Restraining the Second Amendment in the Era of the Individual Right: Adopting a Modified South African Gun Control Model

In New York State Rifle & Pistol Association v. Bruen, the Supreme Court announced a novel historical test for judging the constitutionality of firearm laws. In combination with its earlier decisions in District of Columbia v. Heller and McDonald v. City of Chicago, the Court has created an onerous burden on federal and state legislatures attempting to regulate civilian firearm ownership. Given Heller’s individual right ruling, McDonald’s incorporation, and Bruen’s historical precedent requirement, it is clear that designing a restrictive firearm ownership system based on models that have proven successful in other Western countries is not possible, as most, if not all, of these would run afoul of these precedents. South Africa’s firearm licensing system, on the other hand, can provide a useful starting point for creating a framework that states can adopt. South Africa has significant private firearm ownership, its licensing system is not unduly restrictive, and it has proven successful in reducing gun violence. This Note therefore proposes adopting a version of South Africa’s firearm licensing system modified to survive judicial review in the United States. This Model Act likely represents close to the most restrictive licensing system that can pass judicial review following Bruen and might prove similarly effective in reducing gun violence in the United States.

There is almost no political question in the United States that is not resolved sooner or later into a judicial question.

—Alexis de Tocqueville1Alexis de Tocqueville, Democracy in America 257 (Harvey C. Mansfield & Delba Winthrop eds. & trans., 2000) (1835).

INTRODUCTION

The United States is in many ways an odd country, and there are few things more quintessentially American than the sheer quantity of firearms and relative frequency of mass shootings in this country. Presently, the United States has about 120 guns for every 100 citizens,2Global Firearms Holdings, Small Arms Surv. (Mar. 29, 2020), https://www.smallarmssurvey.org/database/global-firearms-holdings [https://perma.cc/6UY8-GCHP]. and a higher rate of gun violence than any other wealthy, developed country.3Gun Violence in the US Far Exceeds Levels in Other Rich Nations, Bloomberg (May 26, 2022, 5:00 PM), https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2022-us-gun-violence-world-comparison [https://perma.cc/TQF9-U8TY]. In addition to issues of gun violence, a high proportion of firearm ownership is closely associated with firearm suicide rates. See Michael Siegel & Emily F. Rothman, Firearm Ownership and Suicide Rates Among US Men and Women, 1981–2013, 106 Am. J. Pub. Health 1316, 1319 (2016) (finding a correlation between state-level firearm ownership and suicide rates of 0.71 among men and 0.49 among women). The tragic reality is that the gun control debate in the United States is never untimely. In light of the level of gun violence and ready availability of firearms in the United States, one solution seems simple: restrict access to firearms. After all, there is evidence that this approach can be successful.4See S. Chapman, P. Alpers, K. Agho & M. Jones, Australia’s 1996 Gun Law Reforms: Faster Falls in Firearm Deaths, Firearm Suicides, and a Decade Without Mass Shootings, 12 Inj. Prevention 365, 366 (2006). However, since the Second Amendment5U.S. Const. amend. II. has been interpreted to protect a broad, individual right to keep and bear arms,6District of Columbia v. Heller, 554 U.S. 570, 592 (2008); N.Y. State Rifle & Pistol Ass’n v. Bruen, 142 S. Ct. 2111, 2121 (2022). and any realistic prediction of the foreseeable future provides little reason to expect that the Second Amendment will be repealed, designing a perfect gun control statute from scratch is simply not an option. Moreover, our federal governmental structure further restricts our options. Promulgating a comprehensive, federal regulatory scheme that does not run afoul of the individual rights in, or the structural aspects of, the Constitution is infeasible.

Apart from the legal constraints on gun control, political, cultural, and economic roadblocks abound. Firearms are a prominent aspect of modern American culture,7Michael Waldman, The Second Amendment: A Biography 166 (2014); B. Bruce-Briggs, The Great American Gun War, 45 Pub. Int. 37, 41 (1976). and many Americans enjoy firearm ownership for safe, legitimate purposes like self-defense, hunting, and sport shooting.8Lydia Saad, What Percentage of Americans Own Guns?, Gallup (Nov. 13, 2020), https://news.gallup.com/poll/264932/percentage-americans-own-guns.aspx [https://perma.cc/B27Z-KY9R] (“Thirty-two percent of U.S. adults say they personally own a gun, while a larger percentage, 44%, report living in a gun household.”). Additionally, the United States firearms market is a $28 billion industry with significant lobbying strength.9Elizabeth MacBride, America’s Gun Business Is $28B. The Gun Violence Business Is Bigger, Forbes (Nov. 25, 2018, 5:00 AM), https://www.forbes.com/sites/elizabethmacbride/2018/11/25/americas-gun-business-is-28b-the-gun-violence-business-is-bigger [https://perma.cc/B2L2-UWUS]. Suffice it to say, there are significant constraints within which any regulatory structure must fit. Fortunately, however, it is not necessary to start from scratch. Foreign practices that have proven effective can be tailored to our constitutional constraints to develop a model gun control act for the several states to adopt. In particular, this Note proposes a distinctive approach: start with South Africa’s Firearms Control Act of 200010Firearms Control Act 60 of 2000 JSRSA (S. Afr.) (updated through 2014). and modify it to create an act that satisfies the U.S. Constitution and serves the policy goals of reducing access to firearms by those who would misuse them while keeping them available to responsible citizens. The purpose of this act is to provide a framework for the states to create a comprehensive firearm licensing system that can survive judicial review under current Second Amendment doctrine.11This Note proposes a model act for the states to adopt—rather than a proposed federal statute—because the amount of state and local law enforcement cooperation that would have to be demanded would be at risk of violating the anti-commandeering doctrine. See Printz v. United States, 521 U.S. 898, 929 (1997). This Model Act serves as a starting point for responsible firearm regulation in the era of the individual right and does not purport to be the final word on the Second Amendment question.

South Africa’s gun control system may be a surprising basis for a new federal gun control law in the United States; its intentional homicide rate far surpasses ours.12See Victims of Intentional Homicide, U.N. Office on Drugs and Crime https://dataunodc.un.org/dp-intentional-homicide-victims [https://perma.cc/2T6S-7XJQ]. However, South Africa has seen a steady decrease in gunshot-related deaths since it adopted the Firearms Control Act of 2000.13R. Matzopoulos, P. Groenewald, N. Abrahams & D. Bradshaw, Where Have All the Gun Deaths Gone?, 106 S. Afr. Med. J. 589, 590 (2016). The United States could see a reduction in its gunshot-related deaths by adopting a similar model. In any case, the large-scale empirical questions over the efficacy of various gun control systems are beyond the scope of this Note. The Note instead focuses on how we might adapt a comprehensive, firearms licensing scheme to our constitutional framework. South Africa’s model is an excellent starting point because it restricts access to especially dangerous firearms while providing individuals the opportunity to own firearms for self-defense, which the U.S. Supreme Court has said is the core right of the Second Amendment.14See District of Columbia v. Heller, 554 U.S. 570, 592 (2008). The Firearms Control Act of 2000 also does not completely prohibit ownership of AR-15’s and other similar firearms. This is important because a law completely banning AR-15’s and similar rifles could be in danger of being declared unconstitutional and setting an even more cumbersome precedent.15See Miller v. Bonta, No. 19-cv-01537, 2023 U.S. Dist. LEXIS 188421, at *97 (S.D. Cal. Oct. 19, 2023) (declaring California’s assault weapons ban unconstitutional). Additionally, other potential solutions devised to completely side-step the Supreme Court’s latest precedents are not only unlikely to succeed beyond perhaps the short term, but, if successful, could also create a worrying trend whereby state governments could close off its courts to citizens seeking to vindicate their constitutional rights. California, for instance, has created a one-way fee-shifting penalty that allows government defendants to recover costs from a plaintiff who loses on any claim in a case challenging a state or local firearm regulation, but never allows a plaintiff to recover attorneys’ fees from the government, even if the plaintiff wins on every claim.16Act of July 22, 2022, ch. 146, 2022 Cal. Stat. 15 (codified at Cal. Civ. Proc. Code § 1021.11(a) (West 2022)); see also Complaint for Declaratory, Injunctive, or Other Relief at 1, Miller v. Bonta, 646 F. Supp. 3d 1218 (S.D. Cal. 2022). If held constitutional,17At present, a federal district court has enjoined enforcement of this fee-shifting statute. Miller v. Bonta, 646 F. Supp. 3d 1218, 1227 (S.D. Cal. 2022); S. Bay Rod & Gun Club, Inc. v. Bonta, 646 F. Supp. 3d 1232, 1235 (S.D. Cal. 2022). this fee-shifting statute would chill future lawsuits by citizens seeking enforcement of their right to bear arms and would, at the very least, force them into a federal forum, unduly burdening the district courts.18If this practice of closing off state courts to claims the legislature does not want them to hear becomes widespread, federal courts would be unduly burdened with 42 U.S.C. § 1983 claims for rights the states do not want to respect. This has implications far beyond the gun control debate and could threaten other enumerated constitutional rights.19See Miller v. Bonta, 646 F. Supp. 3d 1218, 1224 (S.D. Cal. 2022) (“The principal defect of § 1021.11 is that it threatens to financially punish plaintiffs and their attorneys who seek judicial review of laws impinging on federal constitutional rights. Today, it applies to Second Amendment rights. Tomorrow, with a slight amendment, it could be any other constitutional right . . . .”) (footnotes omitted). Such jerry-rigging of procedural laws bearing on a constitutional right is bad policy that could encourage other states to similarly attempt to sabotage any constitutional right it wishes to infringe.20See Whole Woman’s Health v. Jackson, 595 U.S. 30, 65 (2021) (Sotomayor, J., concurring in part) (“[S]tate courts cannot restrict constitutional rights or defenses that our precedents recognize . . . . Such actions would violate a state officer’s oath to the Constitution.”). Rather than venturing down this destructive path, it is more effective to work within governing caselaw to achieve legitimate policy goals like gun safety and gun violence prevention.21A more dangerous exercise in legislative draftsmanship is to enact new statutes that criminalize ownership of commonly owned weapons like the AR-15. See, e.g., 720 Ill. Comp. Stat. 5/24–1.9(b) (2023). Acts such as these are not only unlikely to survive judicial review but could also create sweeping precedent severely limiting how a future Supreme Court might approach the Second Amendment question. In fact, within days, three lawsuits were filed in federal and state court, challenging the law as unconstitutional. See Mitch Smith, Illinois Passed a Sweeping Ban on High-Powered Guns. Now Come the Lawsuits., N.Y. Times (Jan. 20, 2023), https://www.nytimes.com/2023/01/20/us/illinois-gun-ban-second-amendment.html [https://perma.cc/X7P7-4CKV]. Even if many or all of the Supreme Court’s recent Second Amendment cases were incorrectly decided, they remain binding precedent.22As any realist would point out, we have no choice but to adhere to precedent in the Second Amendment context at least until the composition of the Supreme Court changes dramatically. At minimum, two of the six conservative Supreme Court Justices (Chief Justice Roberts and Justices Thomas, Alito, Gorsuch, Kavanaugh, and Barrett) would have to be replaced to provide a chance to overrule District of Columbia v. Heller, 554 U.S. 570 (2008), McDonald v. City of Chicago, 561 U.S. 742 (2010), or N.Y. State Rifle & Pistol Association v. Bruen, 142 S. Ct. 2111 (2022). Thus, a detailed look at the Court’s recent Second Amendment precedents is necessary to develop a statutory scheme that will survive judicial review.

Part I begins with a breakdown of the Supreme Court’s recent Second Amendment jurisprudence from Heller through Bruen, analyzing the various doctrines articulated in these cases. Part I ends with a summary of the constitutional limitations that the model gun control statute must satisfy. Part II summarizes the salient points of South Africa’s Firearms Control Act of 2000. Part III provides the full text of the Model Firearms Control Act. Part IV argues that this Model Act is likely to be upheld by the Court.

I.  CONSTITUTIONAL LIMITATIONS OF GUN CONTROL

Second Amendment jurisprudence has been rather scant from its ratification in 1791 until the Heller decision in 2008, when the Amendment took on its modern meaning.23See generally District of Columbia v. Heller, 554 U.S. 570 (2008). Before the swell in revisionist legal scholarship that began in the 1960s, “[t]here was no more settled view in constitutional law than that the Second Amendment did not protect an individual right to own a gun.”24Waldman, supra note 7, at 97. Yet, the Second Amendment is now interpreted to protect a broad, individual right to own a firearm for self-defense.25See Heller, 554 U.S. 570; McDonald, 561 U.S. 742; Bruen, 142 S. Ct. 2111. Because of this recent, dramatic shift in case law, an investigation into the Court’s modern Second Amendment jurisprudence is required to create a model gun control act that is likely to survive judicial review.

A.  The Trilogy of Modern Second Amendment Jurisprudence

In a trilogy of cases—District of Columbia v. Heller,26Heller, 554 U.S. at 570. McDonald v. City of Chicago,27McDonald, 561 U.S. at 742. and New York State Rifle & Pistol Association v. Bruen28Bruen, 142 S. Ct. at 2121.—the Supreme Court established a broad, individual right to keep and bear arms, irrespective of any militia service, effective against both the federal and state governments. This broad protection of firearm ownership is built on four main principles: (1) the individual right approach, (2) the pre-existing right doctrine, (3) the common use doctrine, and (4) incorporation. To shape a gun control scheme to fit within controlling Supreme Court precedent, these four doctrines flowing from this trilogy of cases must be mapped out and understood.

1.  The Necessity of an Individual Right

Before the Court would have an opportunity to incorporate the Second Amendment to the states, it had to lay some precedential groundwork to convert the Second Amendment into a right that could be incorporated. To a large extent, finding an individual right to keep and bear arms for the purpose of self-defense without any militia service requirement was a prerequisite to incorporating the right. Prior to Heller, scholars and jurists had proposed three main approaches to interpreting the Second Amendment.29See David A. Lieber, Comment, The Cruikshank Redemption: The Enduring Rationale for Excluding the Second Amendment from the Court’s Modern Incorporation Doctrine, 95 J. Crim. L. & Criminology 1079, 1080–81 (2005). First, the “collective right” approach argued that the right to keep and bear arms protected the right of the states to arm and organize militias.30Id. at 1080. Second, the “limited individual right” or “sophisticated individual right” approach suggested that the right to keep and bear arms does protect an individual right, but only to the extent that individuals participate in a well-regulated militia.31Id. at 1080–81. Third, the unmodified “individual right” approach embraced the idea that the Second Amendment protects an individual’s right to keep and bear arms irrespective of any participation in a well-regulated militia, essentially reading the prefatory clause out of the amendment.32Id. at 1081.

Throughout pre-Heller Second Amendment case law and scholarship, the individual right approach was overwhelmingly disfavored.33From 1888, when law review articles began to be indexed, to 1960, no law review articles concluded that the Second Amendment guaranteed an individual right. Waldman, supra note 7, at 97. The first law review article to argue otherwise, published in 1960, was a student-written note which concluded that the Second Amendment provided a “right of revolution” that the Southern States availed themselves of during the Civil War. Stuart R. Hays, The Right to Bear Arms, A Study in Judicial Misinterpretation, 2 Wm. & Mary L. Rev. 381, 387–88 (1960). Between 1970 and 1989, however, twenty-five articles endorsing the individual right were written, at least sixteen of which were written by lawyers who had represented or been employed by the National Rifle Association (“NRA”) or other gun rights organizations. Carl T. Bogus, The History and Politics of Second Amendment Scholarship: A Primer, 76 Chi.-Kent L. Rev. 3, 8 (2000). From ratification until 2001, no federal appellate court had ever endorsed the individual right approach to the Second Amendment,34See Lieber, supra note 29, at 1097–98. and the first case to adopt this approach, United States v. Emerson,35United States v. Emerson, 270 F.3d 203 (5th Cir. 2001), abrogated by United States v. Rahimi, 61 F.4th 443 (5th Cir. 2023). did so only in dictum.36Id. at 260; Lieber, supra note 29, at 1081. Shortly following Emerson, then Attorney General John Ashcroft issued a memorandum to all United States Attorneys stating that the individual right approach reflects the correct understanding of the Second Amendment, reversing the Department of Justice’s longstanding policy regarding Second Amendment interpretation.37Memorandum from Attorney General John Ashcroft to All United States’ Attorneys (Nov. 9, 2001), https://www.justice.gov/archives/ag/attorney-general-memorandum-regarding-5th-circuit-united-states-court-appeals-decision-united [https://perma.cc/T6NT-XKH5]; Lieber, supra note 29, at 1081. Had the Court endorsed the collective right approach in Heller, as it had 132 years earlier,38United States v. Cruikshank, 92 U.S. 542, 549 (1875), overruled in part by McDonald v. City of Chicago, 561 U.S. 742 (2010). the right to bear arms would essentially be a right belonging to the states, making incorporation nonsensical as a state could not meaningfully infringe its own right.39Possession of a right implies the possession of an option. See Right, Black’s Law Dictionary (11th ed. 2019). It therefore follows that a decision to not exercise a right is unassailable. Thus, incorporating the “collective right” of a state to arm its own militias would be nonsensical, since it would have a concomitant right to not arm its militias. Alternatively, had the Court endorsed the limited individual right in Heller, a subsequent decision incorporating that right would only prevent states from disarming individuals serving in its own militias, which would provide no protection to anyone outside the National Guard.40See Lieber, supra note 29, at 1080–81, 1120. Thus, it was necessary for the Court to find an individual right to keep and bear arms in the Second Amendment, independent of any militia service, to meaningfully incorporate that amendment against the states.

2.  The Pre-Existence Doctrine: Finding the Individual Right in Text and History

In finding a free-standing, individual right to bear arms in the Second Amendment, the Court relied on the notion of some constitutional rights having pre-existed the ratification of the clauses protecting them.41District of Columbia v. Heller, 554 U.S. 570, 592 (2008) (“[T]he Second Amendment, like the First and Fourth Amendments, codified a pre-existing right.”). Although the Court did not cite any authority for this proposition, this quote from Heller has been parroted by numerous cases and law review articles, but there is a paucity of literature or case law substantively discussing the idea that the First and Fourth Amendments codified a pre-existing right. The discussion of the pre-existence and codification of the rights enshrined in the First and Fourth Amendments scarcely goes deeper than to quote Heller, and possibly to analogize the First Amendment to the Second. See, e.g., David B. Kopel, The First Amendment Guide to the Second Amendment, 81 Tenn. L. Rev. 417, 419 (2014) (“[T]he Supreme Court has strongly indicated that First Amendment tools should be employed to help resolve Second Amendment issues.”); Tyler v. Hillsdale Cnty. Sherriff’s Dep’t, 837 F.3d 678, 711 (6th Cir. 2016) (Sutton, J., concurring in part) (“The First Amendment offers a useful analogy [to the Second Amendment].”); United States v. Marzzarella, 614 F.3d 85, 96–97 (3d Cir. 2010) (applying a sliding scale test to the Second Amendment whereby the stringency of the standard varies according to the degree to which the statute burdens the right), abrogated by N.Y. State Rifle & Pistol Ass’n v. Bruen, 142 S. Ct. 2111 (2022). According to the Court, the Second Amendment did not create a new right but constitutionalized a pre-existing right.42Heller, 554 U.S. at 592 (“[T]his is not a right granted by the Constitution. Neither is it in any manner dependent on that instrument for its existence. The second amendment declares that it shall not be infringed . . . .”) (quoting United States v. Cruikshank, 92 U.S. 542, 553 (1876)). This pre-existence argument relies on the proposition that the framers of the Second Amendment intended to codify a right to bear arms that already existed in English law43See id. at 593–94. and simply wished to create a stronger protection for it. The Court purported to find a textual basis for this conclusion, stating that “[t]he very text of the Second Amendment implicitly recognizes the pre-existence of the right and declares only that it ‘shall not be infringed.’ ”44Id. at 592. Even if it is assumed that the text of the amendment implies a pre-existing right, it is not clear that this right comes from old English and Colonial law. An at least equally plausible explanation is that the Second Amendment confirms that the federal government does not have the power to disarm state militias. See The Federalist No. 46 (James Madison).

The Heller Court began its historical analysis by stating that “[t]he Second Amendment is naturally divided into two parts: its prefatory clause and its operative clause.”45Heller, 554 U.S. at 577. The prefatory clause states “[a] well regulated Militia, being necessary to the security of a free State . . . .” The operative clause states that “the right of the people to keep and bear arms shall not be infringed.”46Id. at 579–98; U.S. Const. amend. II. The Court asserted that the prefatory clause announces only the amendment’s justification, and does not limit the scope of the operative clause.47Heller, 554 U.S. at 577–78. After its explication, the Court concluded that the prefatory clause “fits perfectly” with an operative clause understood to grant an individual right to keep and bear arms because the pre-constitutional history showed that tyrants had eliminated militias not by banning them but by disarming them.48Id. at 598.

The Court supported its individual right approach through a sort of reverse incorporation argument limited to “analogous arms-bearing rights in state constitutions that preceded and immediately followed adoption of the Second Amendment.”49Id. at 600–01; see Joseph Blocher, Reverse Incorporation of State Constitutional Law, 84 S. Cal. L. Rev. 323, 381 (2011). Although many of the state constitutions had more individualistic wording,50Heller, 554 U.S. at 600–03. Even at the time Heller was being decided, the vast majority of states recognized an individual right to keep and bear arms. Eugene Volokh, State Constitutional Rights to Keep and Bear Arms, 11 Tex. Rev. L. & Pol. 191, 192 (2006) (concluding forty-four states recognize an individual right to bear arms); Adam Winkler, Scrutinizing the Second Amendment, 105 Mich. L. Rev. 683, 686, 711 (2007) (concluding that forty-two states protect an individual right to bear arms). the Court did not take this to conclude that the Second Amendment was materially different from its state analogues. To the contrary, the Court used the more individual rights-focused arms-bearing provisions of state constitutions—and state supreme court decisions interpreting those provisions—to read the Second Amendment as conferring a broad individual right.51Heller, 554 U.S. at 600–03. Pennsylvania’s Declaration of Rights of 1776 read “the people have a right to bear arms for the defence of themselves and the state . . . .”52Id. at 601; Pa. Const. of 1776, art. I, cl. 13, amended by Pa. Const. art. I, § 21 (emphasis added). and Vermont’s 1777 Declaration of Rights contained a nearly identical provision.53Heller, 554 U.S. at 601; Vt. Const. of 1777, ch. I, cl. XV, amended by Vt. Const. ch I, art. XVI. The Court further supported its argument by describing roughly contemporaneous state analogues.

Between 1789 and 1820, nine States adopted Second Amendment analogues. Four of them—Kentucky, Ohio, Indiana, and Missouri—referred to the right of the people to “bear arms in defence of themselves and the State.” Another three States—Mississippi, Connecticut, and Alabama—used the even more individualistic phrasing that each citizen has the “right to bear arms in defence of himself and the State.” Finally, two States—Tennessee and Maine—used the “common defence” language of Massachusetts.54Heller, 554 U.S. at 602–03 (citations omitted).

The Court noted that the decision of at least seven of these nine states to unequivocally protect an individual right to bear arms is strong evidence that the framers of the Second Amendment conceived of the right to bear arms as an individual right.55Id. at 603. Contrary to the Court’s conclusion, however, the inclusion of language clearly protecting an individual right to bear arms in state constitutional analogues to the Second Amendment might be indicative of a structural difference between state and federal governments. The federal right to bear arms could simply prevent the federal government from disarming state militias while states might be best understood to have the right to arm and disarm their own militias and citizens as they see fit. For further discussion on the incorporation issue, which is by its very nature intertwined with the individual right issue, see infra Section I.A.4.

The Court next sought precedential support for its individual right interpretation.56Id. at 600–01. The Court first cited Nunn v. State, an 1846 case in which the Georgia Supreme Court struck down a ban on carrying pistols openly, stating that the Second Amendment protects “the natural right of self-defense.”57Nunn v. State, 1 Ga. 243, 251 (1846). The Heller Court noted that the Georgia Supreme Court “perfectly captured the way in which the operative clause of the Second Amendment furthers the purpose announced in the prefatory clause, in continuity with the English right.”58Heller, 554 U.S. at 612. Despite what the Heller Court and Tennessee Supreme Court’s wording might suggest, it is important to note that the “English right” in question is not easily analogized to the Second Amendment. Importantly, the right to bear arms for self-defense in the pre-constitutional English right contains clearer limiting language and was a concession by the English Crown and subject to the will of parliament. See Bill of Rights 1689 1 W. & M., 2d sess. c. 2, § 7; see also 1 William Blackstone, Commentaries on the Laws of England *130 (William Carey Jones ed., Claitor’s Publ’g Div. 1976) (1765). In further support of its position, the Court cited State v. Chandler, an 1850 case in which the Louisiana Supreme Court held that United States constitution guaranteed citizens the right to carry arms openly.59State v. Chandler, 5 La. Ann. 489, 490 (1850). In response to the dissent’s reliance on Aymette v. State, an 1840 decision in which the Tennessee Supreme Court adopted a limited individual right approach for its own state constitutional right to bear arms,60Aymette v. State, 21 Tenn. 154, 161 (1840) (“[W]e must understand the expressions as . . . relating to public, and not private, to the common, and not the individual, defence.”). the Court reasoned that more important than this decision was the Tennessee Supreme Court’s later decision in Andrews v. State.61Andrews v. State, 50 Tenn. 165 (1871). In Andrews, the Tennessee Supreme Court concluded that its state constitutional right to bear arms protected the right to bear arms for personal self-defense, overruling Aymette.62Id. at 178–79. However, the relevant state constitutional provision reads: “[T]he citizens of this State have a right to keep and to bear arms for their common defense; but the Legislature shall have power, by law, to regulate the wearing of arms with a view to prevent crime.” Tenn. Const. art. I, § 26. This is notable because the text of the Tennessee Constitution’s arms-bearing provision is manifestly different from the text of the Second Amendment. The Andrews court itself held—on anti-incorporation grounds—that the Second Amendment does not protect a right to bear arms for self-defense against state infringement. Andrews, 50 Tenn. at 175, 178–79. In other words, Tennessee’s counterpart to the Second Amendment protected an individual right where the Second Amendment did not. This indicates that the Andrews court considered the Second Amendment to be not only meaningfully different from, but also narrower than, its state counterpart. Id.; see also Simpson v. State, 13 Tenn. 356, 360 (1833) (construing the state constitution to protect an individual right to bear arms); cf. State v. Reid, 1 Ala. 612, 616 (“[T]he act, ‘To suppress the evil practice of carrying weapons secretly,’ [does not] trench upon the [Alabama] constitutional rights of the citizen.”).

Turning to its own precedents, the Court asked whether any of its prior decisions foreclosed its ultimate conclusion in Heller. The Court began with its decision in United States v. Cruikshank,63United States v. Cruikshank, 92 U.S. 542 (1875), overruled in part by McDonald v. City of Chicago, 561 U.S. 742 (2010). in which the Court vacated a white mob’s convictions for depriving black militia men of their right to bear arms, holding that the Second Amendment “means no more than that it shall not be infringed by Congress.”64Id. at 553. The Heller Court reasoned that there was no claim in Cruikshank that the defendants had violated the victims’ right to carry arms in a militia, and that the Cruikshank Court’s discussion made little sense if it was speaking of a collective rather than an individual right.65District of Columbia v. Heller, 554 U.S. 570, 620 (2008). The Court rests this argument on the Cruikshank Court’s conclusion that “ ‘the people [must] look for their protection against any violation by their fellow-citizens of the rights it recognizes’ to the States’ police power.”66Id. (quoting Cruikshank, 92 U.S. at 553) (alteration in original).

The Heller Court next turned to United States v. Miller,67United States v. Miller, 307 U.S. 174 (1939), abrogated by McDonald v. City of Chicago, 561 U.S. 742 (2010). reasoning that it not only failed to foreclose the possibility of an individual right, but also “positively suggests” it.68Heller, 554 U.S. at 622. Miller considered whether a law prohibiting the unregistered possession of a short-barreled shotgun ran afoul of the Second Amendment.69Miller, 307 U.S. at 175–76. In concluding that it did not, the Miller Court announced its interpretation of the Second Amendment’s purpose.

In the absence of any evidence tending to show that possession or use of a ‘shotgun having a barrel of less than eighteen inches in length’ at this time has some reasonable relationship to the preservation or efficiency of a well regulated militia, we cannot say that the Second Amendment guarantees the right to keep and bear such an instrument.70Id. at 178.

The Court reasoned that the Miller Court’s basis for concluding that the Second Amendment did not apply was not that the Second Amendment failed to protect non-military use, but that it did not protect the type of firearm at issue.71Heller, 554 U.S. at 622. Before announcing its “common use” doctrine, however, the Court acknowledged some limitations on the individual right to bear arms, such as the historical precedence for prohibiting the public carry of “dangerous and unusual weapons.”72Id. at 627 (citing 4 William Blackstone, Commentaries on the Laws of England *149 (William Carey Jones ed., Claitor’s Publ’g Div. 1976) (1765) (“The offense of riding or going armed with dangerous or unusual weapons is a crime against the public peace . . . .”)).

3.  Market Share as Constitutionality: The Common Use Doctrine

With the individual right in hand, the Heller Court turned to the law at issue, which totally banned handgun possession in the home and required any lawfully owned firearm to be disassembled and bound by a trigger lock.73Id. at 628. In determining that the law was unconstitutional, the Court began by concluding that “the inherent right to self-defense has been central to the Second Amendment right.”74Id. True enough, there is no serious doubt that the right to self-defense predates the constitution as part of the common law75See, e.g., Blackstone, supra note 58. and continues to exist in the United States today.76See Restatement (Second) of Torts §§ 63–68 (Am. L. Inst. 1965). It would be a novel legal principle indeed to compel citizens to allow themselves to be victimized by an aggressor. The right to bear arms to effectuate this defense of life and limb also existed in England prior to the ratification of the U.S. Constitution, at least by statute, as a “public allowance, under due restrictions, of the natural right of resistance and self-preservation . . . .”77Blackstone, supra note 58, at *144; see Bill of Rights 1689 1 W. & M., 2d sess. c. 2, § 7. Although the statutory right to bear arms for self-defense in England was considered less fundamental than the right to self-defense in general,78Compare Blackstone, supra note 58 (“Both the life and limbs of a man are of such high value, in the estimation of law of England, that it pardons even homicide if committed se defendendo (in self-defense), or in order to preserve them.”), with Blackstone, supra note 58, at *144 (“The . . . last auxiliary right of the subject, that I shall at present mention, is that of having arms for their defense, suitable to their condition and degree, and such as are allowed by law.”) (emphasis added). and was a concession by the Crown that presupposed an omnipotent legislature—a feature clearly absent from our constitutional scheme—the Court has insisted on the centrality of individual self-defense to the right to bear arms.79See District of Columbia v. Heller, 554 U.S. 570, 628 (2008); N.Y. State Rifle & Pistol Ass’n v. Bruen, 142 S. Ct. 2111, 2125 (2022). There is, however, significant historical evidence to the contrary. See William Carey Jones, Annotation, Blackstone, supra note 58, at *144 n.20 (“The constitutional right to bear arms in this country does not mean the right to bear them for individual defense . . . .”); Andrews v. State, 50 Tenn. 165, 197 (1871); United States v. Cruikshank, 92 U.S. 542, 591–92 (1875), overruled in part by McDonald v. City of Chicago, 561 U.S. 742 (2010); The Federalist No. 46 (James Madison) (describing the rationale for the Second Amendment in terms of militia service); see also Waldman, supra note 7, at 6 (explaining that keeping arms for English militia service was not an individual right but a duty); see generally Saul Cornell & Nathan DeDino, A Well Regulated Right: The Early American Origins of Gun Control, 73 Fordham L. Rev. 487 (2004).

The purported centrality of self-defense to the Second Amendment, combined with the individual right approach, allowed the Court to announce a new, sweeping doctrine in Heller. The Court reasoned that “[u]nder any of the standards of scrutiny that we have applied to enumerated constitutional rights, banning from the home ‘the most preferred firearm in the nation to “keep” and use for protection of one’s home and family,’ would fail constitutional muster.”80Heller, 554 U.S. at 628–29 (quoting Parker v. District of Columbia, 478 F.3d 370, 400 (2007)); see also Gary Kleck & Marc Gertz, Armed Resistance to Crime: The Prevalence and Nature of Self-Defense with a Gun, 86 J. Crim. L. & Criminology 150, 182–83 (1995). It noted that few laws in our nation’s history have come close to the restriction the District of Columbia has imposed and several of those laws have been struck down.81Heller, 554 U.S. at 629. Because handguns have been overwhelmingly chosen by the American people as their preferred arm for self-defense, a complete prohibition of its use runs afoul of the individual right to bear arms for the very purpose of self-defense.82Id. This common use doctrine begs the question: If it is unconstitutional to outright ban firearms in common use for self-defense, how would the Court approach bans on classes of arms which are not in common use because they were banned before they could get into common use?83For instance, the National Firearms Act has capped the market of machine guns by only allowing the lawful possession and transfer of machine guns lawfully owned prior to May 19, 1986. 27 C.F.R. § 479.105(b) (2023). This imposed market cap means that machine guns no longer have the chance to get into common use. It is not clear whether the Heller decision means that such a law is unconstitutional. The Court did not address this question,84It is true, however, that if the Second Amendment was intended to protect an individual right to bear arms for the purpose of self-defense—as indeed the Court has held—there must be some allowance made for citizens to keep and bear modern weapons. If citizens could only keep and bear arms in use at the time the Amendment was ratified, the right would be meaningless today. noting that it did not undertake an analysis of the full scope of the Second Amendment.85Heller, 554 U.S. at 626–27. However, the Court stated that nothing in its opinion “should be taken to cast doubt on longstanding prohibitions on the possession of firearms by felons and the mentally ill, or laws forbidding the carrying of firearms in sensitive places such as schools and government buildings, or laws imposing conditions and qualifications on the commercial sale of arms.”86Id. In fact, the Court noted that the measures it listed are presumptively lawful and that its list was inexhaustive.87Id. at 627 n.26. This is an important concession by the Court because by noting that its list of presumptively lawful measures was inexhaustive, the Court indicated that it might be open to other presumptively lawful restrictions to the right to bear arms, so long as there is a historical precedent that is satisfactory in the Court’s view.

4.  Incorporation

The Supreme Court would of course go on to conclude in McDonald v. City of Chicago that the right to bear arms is “deeply rooted in this Nation’s history and tradition”88McDonald v. City of Chicago, 561 U.S. 742, 768 (2010) (quoting Washington v. Glucksberg, 521 U.S. 702, 721 (1997)). and incorporate the Second Amendment in full.89Id. at 791. In so doing, it relied heavily on Heller’s individual right approach and common use doctrine, arguing that history and precedent pointed “unmistakably” to the conclusion that the Second Amendment is “deeply rooted” in our “history and tradition.”90Id. at 767–70. Just as in Heller, the Court argued that the right to bear arms for self-defense was as fundamental as the broader right self-defense.91Id. at 768. Confusingly, the Court stated that “by 1765, Blackstone was able to assert that the right to keep and bear arms was ‘one of the fundamental rights of Englishmen.’ ” Id. (quoting Heller, 554 U.S. at 594). This is a quote from Heller, but not from Blackstone, who in fact listed the right to bear arms as an auxiliary right, not a fundamental one. See Blackstone, supra note 58, at *144 (“The . . . last auxiliary right of the subject, that I shall at present mention, is that of having arms for their defense . . . .”) (emphasis added). In incorporating the individual right to the states, the Court had another perfect occasion to utilize the doctrine of reverse incorporation92See Blocher, supra note 49. to adopt a standard of review based on how state supreme courts have analyzed their own constitutions’ arms-bearing provisions that the Court saw as analogous to the Second Amendment. Most states recognize an individual right to keep and bear arms but allow “reasonable regulations” restricting that right.93Id. at 383; Winkler, supra note 50, at 686–87. Despite the states’ far greater experience in drafting and reviewing gun laws, the Supreme Court left the decision over what standard applied to Second Amendment cases to another day, eventually settling on Bruen’s historical test.94N.Y. State Rifle & Pistol Ass’n v. Bruen, 142 S. Ct. 2111, 2129–30 (2022).

The confluence of the individual right approach, the common use doctrine, and incorporation has opened many long-standing state firearms laws to constitutional scrutiny, even before Bruen was decided. California, for instance, has prohibited the purchase, sale, and manufacture of high-capacity magazines95California defines high-capacity or “large capacity magazines” as “any ammunition feeding device with the capacity to accept more than 10 rounds . . . .” Cal. Penal Code § 16740 (West 2012). The terms “high-capacity magazine” and “large-capacity magazine” are used interchangeably in this Note. since 2000,96See Cal. Penal Code § 32310 (West 2012 & Supp. 2020). and by popular initiative in 2016 expanded the prohibition to make possession of high-capacity magazines a felony offense, regardless of the date the magazine was acquired.97Id.; Safety for All Act, 2016 Cal. Legis. Serv. Prop. 63, § 6.1 (West), adding Cal. Penal Code § 32310(c)–(d) (Supp. 2020). This new law gave rise to protracted but groundbreaking litigation. In Duncan v. Becerra,98Duncan v. Becerra, 366 F. Supp. 3d 1131 (S.D. Cal. 2019), rev’d sub nom. Duncan v. Bonta, 19 F.4th 1087 (9th Cir. 2021), vacated, 142 S. Ct. 2895 (2022) (mem.). the outright ban on possession of high-capacity magazines was ruled unconstitutional as a Fifth Amendment taking without just compensation and as violative of the Second Amendment because it imposed a substantial burden on the right to self-defense and the right to keep and bear arms.99Id. at 1185–86. The district court enjoined the statute, and its decision was affirmed on appeal by the Ninth Circuit,100Duncan v. Becerra, 970 F.3d 1133, 1141 (9th Cir. 2020), vacated sub nom. Duncan v. Bonta, 142 S. Ct. 2895 (2022). but was later reversed on rehearing en banc.101Duncan v. Bonta, 19 F.4th 1087, 1096 (9th Cir. 2021) (en banc), vacated, 142 S. Ct. 2895 (2022). The Supreme Court then vacated the judgement and remanded the case to the Ninth Circuit for further consideration in light of its decision in Bruen.102Duncan v. Bonta, 142 S. Ct. 2895, 2895 (2022). On remand from the Ninth Circuit, the District Court once again held California’s high-capacity magazine ban unconstitutional, but stayed its order enjoining enforcement while the California Attorney General appealed the decision.103Duncan v. Bonta, No. 17-cv-1017, 2023 U.S. Dist. LEXIS 169577 (S.D. Cal. Sept. 22, 2023), appeal docketed, No. 23-55805, 2023 U.S. App. LEXIS 25723 (9th Cir. Sept. 28, 2023). It therefore remains to be seen how the latest Supreme Court precedent will affect this high-capacity magazine ban, but it suffices to say that the law in this area remains very much in flux.

5.  The Third Act: Applying Heller to Public Carry Licensing

Building on the bedrock of the individual right principle, the common use doctrine, and the Second Amendment’s incorporation, the Court recently expanded the Amendment’s protections with its historical precedence doctrine. At issue in Bruen was a New York law that made it a crime to possess a firearm without a license.104N.Y. State Rifle & Pistol Ass’n v. Bruen, 142 S. Ct. 2111, 2122 (2022). New York’s provision for licenses to carry firearms outside the home for self-defense was particularly stringent. An applicant could not obtain that license without a showing of “proper cause.”105Id. at 2123 (citing N.Y. Penal Law. § 400.00(2)(f) (McKinney 2022)). Without this showing of “proper cause,” an applicant may only obtain a “restricted” license to carry a firearm for such purposes as “hunting, target shooting, or employment.” Id. New York courts have defined “proper cause” as requiring an applicant to “demonstrate a special need for self-protection distinguishable from that of the general community”106Klenosky v. N.Y.C. Police Dep’t, 428 N.Y.S.2d 256, 257 (N.Y. App. Div. 1980), abrogated by N.Y. State Rifle & Pistol Ass’n v. Bruen, 142 S. Ct. 2111 (2022). such as evidence “of particular threats, attacks or other extraordinary danger to personal safety.” Living or working in a high-crime area was considered insufficient to demonstrate proper cause.107See Bernstein v. Police Dep’t of N.Y.C., 445 N.Y.S.2d 716, 717 (N.Y. App. Div. 1981), abrogated by N.Y. State Rifle & Pistol Ass’n v. Bruen, 142 S. Ct. 2111 (2022).

To evaluate the constitutionality of the New York law, the Bruen Court began by clarifying the test for Second Amendment challenges. The Court noted that the circuit courts had coalesced around a two-part test that combined a historical inquiry with means-end scrutiny, but it rejected this approach.108Bruen, 142 S. Ct. at 2125–26. The Court instead leaned on its historical approach from Heller and specifically rejected any interest balancing test,109Id. at 2127 (“Heller and McDonald do not support applying means-end scrutiny in the Second Amendment context. Instead, the government must affirmatively prove that its firearms regulation is part of the historical tradition that delimits the outer bounds of the right to keep and bear arms.”); id. at 2131 (“The Second Amendment ‘is the very product of an interest balancing by the people’ and it ‘surely elevates above all other interests the right of law-abiding, responsible citizens to use arms’ for self-defense.”) (emphasis in original) (quoting District of Columbia v. Heller, 554 U.S. 570, 635 (2008)). settling on the following standard:

When the Second Amendment’s plain text covers an individual’s conduct, the Constitution presumptively protects that conduct. The government must then justify its regulation by demonstrating that it is consistent with the Nation’s historical tradition of firearm regulation. Only then may a court conclude that the individual’s conduct falls outside the Second Amendment’s “unqualified command.”110Id. at 2129–30 (quoting Konigsberg v. State Bar of Cal., 366 U.S. 36, 49 n.10 (1961)). The Court’s quotation of Konigsberg here is misleading. The Court in Konigsberg compared the Second Amendment’s “unqualified command” with the restrictive reading of the right to bear arms in United States v. Miller, 307 U.S. 174 (1938) as an analogy for how the right to free speech is similarly not absolute, despite the First Amendment’s “unqualified terms.” Konigsberg, 366 U.S. at 49 n.10 (1961). The Court in Bruen, however, uses this quote as a semantic justification for a more expansive reading. This test dashed hopes that the Court would adopt a reasonability standard that states have largely applied to their own Second Amendment analogues. See Blocher, supra note 49, at 381–83; see also Winkler, supra note 50, at 687.

In applying this test, the Court stated that it would consider whether historical precedent from before, during, and relatively shortly after the founding demonstrates a “comparable tradition of regulation.”111Bruen, 142 S. Ct. at 2131–32 (citing Heller, 554 U.S. at 631). When comparing modern firearm laws and regulations to historical precedents, it is of course necessary to reason by analogy to determine whether the two are relatively similar.112Id. at 2132. Although the Bruen Court did not provide an exhaustive list of features that would render historical precedents relatively similar to modern laws, it provided two metrics: “how and why the regulations burden a law-abiding citizen’s right to armed self-defense.”113Bruen, 142 S. Ct. at 2133. Thus, for a historical precedent to support the constitutionality of a modern regulation, there must be (1) a comparable burden and (2) that burden must be comparably justified.114Importantly, the Court noted that, to successfully defend a regulation, the government must only find a proper “historical analogue, not a historical twin.” Id. at 2133 (emphasis in original); cf. Cass R. Sunstein, On Analogical Reasoning, 106 Harv. L. Rev. 741, 773 (1993) (“Everything is similar in infinite ways to everything else . . . . At the very least one needs a set of criteria to engage in analogical reasoning. Otherwise one has no idea what is analogous to what.”). For instance, there have long been prohibitions on carrying arms in sensitive places such as legislative assemblies, schools, and courthouses, so laws prohibiting carrying arms in such places, or even in newly defined sensitive places, are presumptively constitutional, so long as the sensitive place is analogous to those historically designated as such.115See id.; David B. Kopel & Joseph G.S. Greenlee, The “Sensitive Places” Doctrine: Locational Limits on the Right to Bear Arms, 13 Charleston L. Rev. 203, 227–36, 242–45 (2018); see also Heller, 554 U.S. at 626. New York’s licensing scheme, by contrast, could not be justified as analogous to these historical “sensitive places” laws because it generally banned citizens from carrying arms in any place “where people typically congregate,”116Bruen, 142 S. Ct. at 2133. meaning that entire cities would essentially be exempted from Second Amendment protection.117Id. at 2133–34. The Court also refused to allow the Second Amendment to be construed to apply only in the home. Id. at 2134 (“[T]he Second Amendment guarantees an ‘individual right to possess and carry weapons in case of confrontation,’ and confrontation can surely take place outside the home.”) (quoting Heller, 554 U.S. at 592).

Turing to New York’s proper-cause requirement, the Court stated that the plain text of the amendment protects ordinary citizens’ general right to carry handguns publicly for self-defense, emphasizing that confining the right to bear arms to the home would nullify half of the Second Amendment’s explicit protections—to not only “keep” but also “bear” arms.118Id. at 2134. The central right of the Second Amendment has been held to be the right to bear arms for self-defense in case of confrontation, which often will take place outside the home.119Id. at 2134–35; Heller, 554 U.S. at 592, 599. In assessing New York’s requirement that applicants for a license to carry a firearm in public show “proper cause”—as defined by the New York courts—the Court assessed a variety of sources that the respondents appealed to, dating from the 1200s to the early 1900s.120Bruen, 142 S. Ct. at 2135–36. The Court explained that, “when it comes to interpreting the Constitution, not all history is created equal.”121Id. at 2136. Therefore, even in light of the pre-existing right doctrine, historical evidence long-predating the enactment of the Second and Fourteenth Amendments will carry less weight than historical precedents closer in time to these enactments if legal conventions have changed in the intervening years.122Id. Thus, English practices traceable from the Middle Ages to the ratification of the Constitution will carry more weight than ancient practices that became obsolete before ratification.123Id. (citing Dimick v. Schiedt, 293 U.S. 474, 477 (1935)). Likewise, post-enactment history can be elucidating when “a regular course of practice” can settle the meaning of disputed terms and phrases.124Id. (quoting Chiafalo v. Washington, 140 S. Ct. 2316, 2326 (2020)); see also NLRB v. Noel Canning, 573 U.S. 513, 572 (2014) (Scalia, J., concurring) (“[W]here a governmental practice has been open, widespread, and unchallenged since the early days of the Republic, the practice should guide our interpretation of an ambiguous constitutional provision.”); The Federalist No. 37, at 179 (James Madison) (Buccaneer Books 1992) (“All new laws, though penned with the greatest technical skill, and passed on the fullest and most mature deliberation, are considered as more or less obscure and equivocal, until their meaning be liquidated and ascertained by a series of particular discussions and adjudications.”). However, when post-enactment precedents take effect long after ratification, they will be accorded less weight.125Bruen, 142 S. Ct. at 2137; cf. Sprint Commc’ns Co. v. APCC Servs., Inc., 554 U.S. 269, 312 (2008) (Roberts, C. J., dissenting) (“The belated innovations of the mid- to late-19th-century courts come too late to provide insight into the meaning of [the Constitution in 1787].”). With the parameters of its historical inquiry set, the Court proceeded to determine that the historical record the respondents compiled failed to demonstrate a historical analogue for New York’s firearm licensing scheme.126Bruen, 142 S. Ct. at 2138. That is, there was no historical tradition of limiting the public carry of firearms to citizens who could demonstrate a special need for self-defense, nor was there a historical tradition of broadly prohibiting the carry of commonly used firearms for self-defense.127Id.

A few key takeaways from the Court’s evaluation of this compendium of historical precedents will inform how a model gun control statute can be structured. First, the manner of public carry was historically subject to reasonable regulation—individuals could be restricted from carrying deadly weapons in a way that would be likely to terrorize others.128Id. at 2150. Second, states with surety laws129Surety statutes generally required certain individuals to post bond before carrying weapons in public. These were not the general bans absent a specific showing of a particular need as the New York statute was. Rather, these statutes targeted those threatening to do harm. Id. at 2148; see also Wrenn v. District of Columbia, 864 F.3d 650, 661 (D.C. Cir. 2017) (“[S]urety laws did not deny a responsible person carrying rights unless he showed a special need for self-defense. They only burdened someone reasonably accused of posing a threat. And even he could go on carrying without criminal penalty. He simply had to post money that would be forfeited if he breached the peace or injured others—a requirement from which he was exempt if he needed self-defense.”). provided financial incentives for responsible arms carrying, rather than directly restricting public carry.130Bruen, 142 S. Ct. at 2150. Third, states have historically been able to restrict or eliminate one kind of public carry—usually concealed carry—so long as they allowed the other type of carry—usually open carry.131Id. Fourth, the more widely enacted a type of statute is, the more likely the court is to uphold it. Thus, the relatively few historical examples prohibiting the carry of pistols—and in some cases all firearms—in towns, cities, and villages could not “overcome the overwhelming evidence of an otherwise enduring American tradition permitting public carry.”132Id. at 2154. Many of the statutes that prohibited or severely restricted the public carry of arms were enacted in the Western Territories prior to statehood. Id. The Court recognized two main defects in analogizing these statutes to modern legislation. First, the territorial populations that lived under these statutes was miniscule—less than one percent of the population at the time, showing that they were not widely adopted. Id. Second, the American territorial system was transitional and temporary, allowing for more improvisational territorial legislation that was short-lived and rarely subject to judicial scrutiny. Id. at 2155. Finally, as Kavanaugh’s concurrence underscores, the Court’s opinion does not jeopardize the existing “shall-issue” licensing regimes employed in forty-three states, only the “may-issue” regimes employed by six states and the District of Columbia.133Id. at 2161 (Kavanaugh, J., concurring). The states with “shall-issue” regimes are New York, California, Hawaii, Maryland, Massachusetts, and New Jersey. Id. at 2124. See also Thomson Reuters, 50 State Statutory Surveys: Right to Carry a Concealed Weapon, 0030 Surveys 32 (2022). The District of Columbia’s analogue to the “proper cause” standard at issue in Bruen has been enjoined since 2017. Wrenn, 864 F.3d at 668. The difference between these two is that when an applicant meets the statutory criteria in a shall-issue regime, they must be issued a license. Under a “may-issue” regime, however, even if an applicant meets the statutory criteria, a licensing officer has the discretion to refuse to issue a license, based on the difficult to meet “special need” requirement.134Bruen, 142 S. Ct. at 2123–21. Although the Court did not explicitly say that “shall-issue” regimes and “proper cause” requirements for licenses to carry firearms for self-defense are per se unconstitutional, it is difficult to see how either of these could be upheld.135See id. at 2138 n.9.

B.  Summary of Second Amendment Precedent

Before moving on to the model statute, a brief summary of the major limitations imposed by the foregoing trilogy of modern Second Amendment jurisprudence will prove helpful. First, the core right protected by the Second Amendment is an individual right to keep and bear arms for self-defense. Second, this right is effective against both the state and federal governments. Third, if the Second Amendment’s plain text—as interpreted by the Supreme Court—covers an individual’s conduct, it is presumptively protected, and the government must demonstrate that the law in question is analogous—though not necessarily identical—to a historical practice of firearms regulation. Fourth, when seeking a historical analogue to justify a modern regulation, not all history is created equal. Examples of post-ratification regulation that settle disputed terms and are relatively close in time to the adoption of the Bill of Rights can be particularly informative, as can evidence of English and Colonial practices that stayed in effect at least until ratification. Fifth, the more widespread a particular firearm regulation is, the more likely it is constitutional. Sixth, a legislature might well be able to ban or severely restrict either concealed carry or open, so long as they allow one of the two methods to remain legal. Finally, some types of firearm regulations are presumptively lawful—prohibitions on possession by felons and the mentally ill, laws against brandishing a firearm—while some are presumptively unlawful—shall-issue regimes, proper cause requirements.

As onerous as these requirements might appear to be, there is still a way for legislatures to assert meaningful control over the exercise of the Second Amendment, albeit with less free reign than they had previously been allowed. A systemic approach to gun ownership composed of rules that have historical analogues in the American legal tradition can be modeled on South Africa’s firearm licensing system. South Africa’s Firearms Control Act could provide a method to limit possession of high-capacity magazines while still allowing them to be owned for self-defense.

II.  SOUTH AFRICA’S GUN CONTROL SYSTEM

South Africa is fairly unique in its approach to firearms ownership in that a central focus of its firearm licensing system is to allow people the means to defend themselves.136Firearms Control Act 60 of 2000 pmbl. JSRSA (S. Afr.) (updated through 2014). Its licensing system is nevertheless comprehensive in spelling out the requirements for owning different categories of firearms and is fairly stringent in its requirements for firearm ownership in the first place—at least when compared with current law in the United States. Because the South African Model allows for a right to own a firearm for self-defense,137See id. at ch. 6 § 13. yet provides a comprehensive licensing scheme, it provides an ideal starting point for drafting a model statute for the United States.

The main feature of South Africa’s Firearms Control Act of 2000138The Act is designed around creating a comprehensive licensing system that requires a competency as well as a license for each firearm that a person owns. See id. at ch. 4 § 6(2) (“[N]o licence may be issued to a person who is not in possession of the relevant competency certificate.”).—which states could benefit from replicating—is a licensing system requiring citizens who wish to own a firearm to first obtain a competency certificate139Id. and then obtain a license specific to each firearm that they wish to own.140Id. at ch. 6 § 11 (“The Registrar must issue a separate licence in respect of each firearm licensed in terms of this Chapter.”). The type of firearm a citizen can own will depend on the type of license that they receive, which, in turn, depends on their purpose for owning the firearm. For instance, a citizen cannot obtain a semi-automatic rifle for occasional hunting or sports shooting because such a weapon is not necessary for that purpose.141See id. at ch. 15. Of course, a semi-automatic rifle could be used for occasional hunting or sports shooting, but the South African legislature presumably found that the potential danger of allowing more citizens to own semi-automatic rifles outweighed its utility for occasional hunting and sports shooting. This an important feature that could lawfully be replicated in the United States142See infra Section IV.B.2. to strike a balance between the states’ interest in public safety and the private interest in self-defense. Take high-capacity magazines, for instance. Some states have tried to outright ban them,143See, e.g., Safety for All Act, 2016 Cal. Legis. Serv. Prop. 63, § 6.1 (West), adding Cal. Penal Code § 32310(c)–(d) (Supp. 2020). but it is not clear that this is constitutional under Heller, McDonald, and Bruen.144Compare Duncan v. Becerra, 366 F. Supp. 3d 1131, 1143 (S.D. Cal. 2019) (“California’s § 32310 directly infringes Second Amendment rights . . . by broadly prohibiting common firearms and their common magazines holding more than 10 rounds, because they are not unusual and are commonly used by responsible, law-abiding citizens for lawful purposes such as self-defense.”), rev’d sub nom. Duncan v. Bonta, 19 F.4th 1087 (9th Cir. 2021), vacated, 142 S. Ct. 2895 (2022) (mem.), with Wiese v. Becerra, 306 F. Supp. 3d 1190, 1195 n.3 (E.D. Cal. 2018) (finding that California’s high-capacity magazine ban does not violate the Second Amendment), and Ass’n of N.J. Rifle & Pistol Clubs, Inc. v. Att’y Gen. of N.J., 910 F.3d 106, 118 (3d Cir. 2018) (finding that a New Jersey law banning high-capacity magazines “does not severely burden, and in fact respects, the core of the Second Amendment right”), abrogated by N.Y. Rifle & Pistol Ass’n v. Bruen, 142 S. Ct. 2111 (2022). South Africa’s Firearms Control Act could provide a method to limit possession of high-capacity magazines while still allowing them to be owned for self-defense uses.

Although South Africa’s system provides a good starting point for a model act, some areas will need modification to comport with U.S. constitutional standards. The main modifications are in the types of firearms that can be owned and the permit issuance requirements. Heller instructs that firearms in common use receive Second Amendment protection145See supra Section I.A.3. and Bruen indicates that “may issue” regimes are very likely per se unconstitutional.146See N.Y. State Rifle & Pistol Ass’n v. Bruen, 142 S. Ct. 2111, 2138 (2022). The primary modifications this Note proposes for its Model Act appear in Sections 2(b), 3, 5, and 6 in Part III below.

III.  THE MODEL FIREARMS CONTROL ACT

The following is the full text of the Model Firearms Control Act that this Note proposes the states adopt. This act is intended to supplement existing state firearms regulations by creating an individual licensing requirement.

A.  Chapter 1: Definitions, License Requirement, Eligibility Certificate

  • § 1 Definitions
    • (a) Designated Firearms Officer. A “Designated Firearms Officer” means a law enforcement official designated as such by state law.
    • (b) Accredited Hunting Association. An “Accredited Hunting Association” means an association meeting the criteria designated by state law.
    • (c) Accredited Sports Shooting Association. An “Accredited Sports Shooting Association” means an association meeting the criteria designated by state law.
  • § 2 License Requirement
    • (a) No person may possess a firearm without holding a license issued by the state for that firearm. A separate license is required for each firearm.
    • (b) No person may receive a license to possess a firearm without first having been issued an eligibility certificate.
    • (c) A Designated Firearms Officer may not issue an applicant a license to possess a firearm that is not legal to possess in the state within which the applicant resides.
    • (d) Familial transfer. Ownership of a firearm cannot be transferred from one person to another unless the transferee has a license to possess that firearm, even if the transferor and transferee are family members.
    • (e) Issuance. Upon meeting the criteria for any firearms license, the Designated Firearms Officer to whom the application has been delivered must issue the applicant the appropriate firearms license. Neither the Designated Firearms Officer, nor any other state or federal government employee or agent may prevent an applicant from delivering a valid application to the Designated Firearms Officer.
  • § 3 Eligibility Certificate
    • (a) Requirements. To receive an eligibility certificate, the applicant must:
      • (1) Complete an application delivered to a Designated Firearms Officer responsible for the area in which applicant resides;
      • (2) Provide a full set of the applicant’s fingerprints;
      • (3) Be eighteen years old or older;
      • (4) Be lawfully present in the United States;
      • (5) Not suffer from a mental illness that renders the applicant a danger to himself or others;
      • (6) Never have been convicted of a crime punishable by a year or more of imprisonment;
      • (7) Never have been convicted of a crime involving:
        • (A) Fraud in relation to—or supplying false information for the purpose of—obtaining an eligibility certificate, license, permit, or authorization to possess a firearm in terms of this Act or a previous law; or
        • (B) Domestic violence.
      • (8) Not be addicted to any substance that has an intoxicating effect; and
      • (9) Pass a firearms safety course as prescribed by state law.
    • (b) Issuance. Upon the applicant’s completion of the above requirements, the Designated Firearms Officer to whom an application has been delivered must issue a qualified applicant an eligibility certificate within thirty days of delivery.
    • (c) Denial pending investigation. If the Designated Firearms Officer has a well-founded doubt that an applicant has not met one or more of the eligibility requirements, the Designated Firearms Officer can deny an applicant an eligibility certificate for up to thirty days, during which time he or she may conduct a further investigation to determine whether the applicant has met the requirements to receive an eligibility certificate. After thirty days, the Designated Firearms Officer must either:
      • (1) Issue the eligibility certificate if the applicant meets the necessary criteria; or
      • (2) Provide the applicant with the reason for denying the certificate.

      If the Designated Firearms Officer has a well-founded doubt as to the mental stability of an applicant, the Designated Firearms Officer has the discretion to require an applicant to undergo a screening by a licensed psychologist or licensed psychiatrist before issuing an eligibility certificate contingent on the psychologist or psychiatrist’s determination that the applicant is of stable mental condition.

B.  Chapter 2: Types of Licenses and Use of Firearms

  • § 4 License to Possess a Firearm for Self-Defense
    • (a) Firearms that may be possessed for self-defense. A person can receive a license to possess the following firearms for self-defense:
      • (1) A handgun that is not fully automatic; or
      • (2) A rifle or shotgun that is not semi-automatic or fully automatic.
    • (b) Issuance. A license to possess such a firearm for self-defense must be issued to any natural person who
      • (1) Holds a valid eligibility certificate; and
      • (2) Applies for a license to possess a firearm for self-defense.
    • (c) Limits. No person may possess more than two licenses under this section.
  • § 5 License to Possess a Restricted Firearm for Self-Defense
    • (a) Restricted firearms defined. The following are considered “restricted firearms” for the purpose of this section:
      • (1) A rifle or shotgun that accepts detachable magazines and is semi-automatic but not fully automatic.
    • (b) Requirements to issue a license to possess a restricted firearm for self-defense. A license to possess a firearm for self-defense must be issued to any natural person who
      • (1) Holds a valid eligibility certificate;
      • (2) Applies for a license to possess a restricted firearm for self-defense; and
      • (3) Shows cause why the particular restricted firearm for which a license is sought serves a self-defense need that a non-restricted firearm cannot serve.
    • (c) Basis for denial. The Designated Firearms Officer reviewing the application to possess a restricted firearm for self-defense must provide an objectively reasonable basis, based on clear and convincing evidence, to deny an application for lack of cause under section 5(b)(3).
  • § 6 License to Carry a Concealed Firearm for Self-Defense
    • (a) Concealed carry defined. “Concealed carry” means carrying a firearm on the person of the license holder in a way that is not visible to others.
    • (b) Requirements to issue a license to carry a concealed firearm for self-defense. A license to possess a firearm for self-defense must be issued to any natural person who
      • (1) Is twenty-one years old or older;
      • (2) Holds a valid eligibility certificate; and
      • (3) Completes an application delivered to a Designated Firearms Officer responsible for the area in which the applicant resides.
    • (c) Arms that may be possessed for concealed carry. A person who holds a license to carry a concealed firearm can carry any handgun that is concealable on the person, is not fully automatic, and that the person has a license to possess.
  • § 7 License to Openly Carry a Firearm for Self-Defense147Either this section or section 5 can be deleted at the determination of the state legislature, but one type of public carry—either open or concealed—must be permitted. See Bruen, 142 S. Ct. at 2150.
    • (a) Openly carry defined. “Openly carry” means carrying a firearm on the person of the license holder that is not concealed.
    • (b) Requirements to issue a license to openly carry a firearm for self-defense. A license to openly carry a firearm for self-defense must be issued to any natural person who
      • (1) Is twenty-one years old or older;
      • (2) Holds a valid eligibility certificate; and
      • (3) Completes an application delivered to a Designated Firearms Officer responsible for the area in which applicant resides.
    • (c) Arms that may be possessed for open carry. A person who holds a license to openly carry a firearm can openly carry any handgun that is not fully automatic and that the person has a license to possess.
  • § 8 License to Possess a Firearm for Occasional Hunting or Occasional Sports Shooting
    • (a) Purpose. The purpose of this section is to provide responsible, law-abiding citizens access to ordinary firearms for such lawful activities as hunting, target practice, and sports shooting.148The terms “occasional hunting” and “occasional sports shooting” remain undefined because definition is not necessary. Section 8 is rather permissive in providing access to ordinary firearms (as opposed to dangerous and unusual firearms) to any person who can obtain an eligibility certificate.
    • (b) Persons eligible under this section. Any person who holds a valid eligibility certificate can receive a license to possess a firearm for occasional hunting or sports shooting.
    • (c) Arms that may be possessed for occasional hunting or sports shooting. A person may receive a license to possess the following firearms for occasional hunting or occasional sports shooting:
      • (1) A rifle or shotgun that is not semi-automatic or fully automatic; and
      • (2) A handgun that is not fully automatic.
  • § 9 License to Possess a Firearm for Dedicated Hunting or Dedicated Sports Shooting
    • (a) Dedicated hunter defined. A “dedicated hunter” means a person who regularly participates in hunting activities and who is a member of an Accredited Hunting Association.
    • (b) Dedicated sports shooter defined. A “dedicated sports shooter” means any person who regularly participates in sports shooting and who is a member of an Accredited Sports Shooting Association.
    • (c) A person who is a dedicated hunter or a dedicated sports shooter can receive a license to possess the following firearms for dedicated hunting or dedicated sports shooting:
      • (1) A rifle or shotgun that is not fully automatic; and
      • (2) A handgun that is not fully automatic.

    C.  Chapter 3: Use and Transportation of Firearms

    • § 10 Use of Firearms. A person may use a firearm for which the person holds a valid license where it is safe and lawful to do so.
    • § 11 Transportation of Firearms. A person lawfully possessing a firearm can transport that firearm in any manner that is consistent with state law.

    IV.  CONSTITUTIONALITY

    The Model Act that this Note proposes is designed to survive judicial review by United States courts, rather than to be considered constitutional in an abstract sense. The object of the application of Second Amendment jurisprudence here is “the prediction of the incidence of the public force through the instrumentality of the courts.”149Justice O. W. Holmes, Address at the Boston University School of Law: The Path of the Law 457 (Jan. 7, 1897), in 10 Harv. L. Rev. 457 (1897). As such, this Section argues that the confluence of Second Amendment doctrine and practical considerations will allow the Model Act to remain “lawful” in the realist sense.150See id. at 461 (“The prophecies of what the courts will do in fact, and nothing more pretentious, are what I mean by the law.”).

    A.  “Longstanding Prohibitions”

    The Heller Court enumerated in dictum certain restrictions on the right to bear arms that its common use doctrine did not place in jeopardy.

    [N]othing in our opinion should be taken to cast doubt on longstanding prohibitions on the possession of firearms by felons and the mentally ill, or laws forbidding the carrying of firearms in sensitive places such as schools and government buildings, or laws imposing conditions and qualifications on the commercial sale of arms.151District of Columbia v. Heller, 554 U.S. 570, 626–27 (2008). Unfortunately, the Heller Court provided no historical basis for these restrictions, so the Heller opinion itself is of no use in finding a historical precedent for these “longstanding prohibitions.” Id. at 626–27; see Waldman, supra note 7, at 126 (“This eminently sensible list barges into the text, seemingly from nowhere.”). In his McDonald dissent, Justice Breyer succinctly summarizes the odd nature of this list of “acceptable” regulations.
    [T]he Court has haphazardly created a few simple rules, such as that it will not touch “prohibitions on the possession of firearms by felons and the mentally ill,” “laws forbidding the carrying of firearms in sensitive places such as schools and government buildings,” or “laws imposing conditions and qualifications on the commercial sale of arms.” But why these rules and not others? Does the Court know that these regulations are justified by some special gun-related risk of death? In fact, the Court does not know. It has simply invented rules that sound sensible without being able to explain why or how Chicago’s handgun ban is different.
    McDonald v. City of Chicago, 561 U.S. 742, 925 (2010) (Breyer, J., dissenting) (citations omitted) (quoting Heller, 554 U.S. at 626–27).

    Although somewhat reassuring at the time the Heller decision was handed down, Bruen and McDonald have not given this assertion clear majority support. First, in McDonald, only Chief Justice Roberts and Justices Scalia and Kennedy joined Justice Alito’s endorsement of this list of presumptively lawful restrictions.152McDonald, 561 U.S. at 786 (plurality opinion). Next, in Bruen, this passage was omitted entirely from the majority opinion, appearing only in Justice Kavanaugh’s concurrence.153Bruen, 142 S. Ct. at 2162 (Kavanaugh, J., concurring). Perhaps, then, this ipse dixit of “longstanding prohibitions” will not carry any special favor with the Court in the future and sections 3(a)(1–7) of the Model Act will have to be justified under Bruen’s historical test.

    1.  Prohibition on Firearm Possession by Felons

    When applying Bruen’s historical test to section 3(a)(7) of the Model Act—which denies eligibility certificates to felons—the first question is whether the Second Amendment’s plain text covers an individual’s conduct.154Id. at 2126. To conclude that the Second Amendment does not cover this conduct requires reliance more on dicta from Heller, McDonald, and Bruen, as well as the majority’s focus on the rights of law-abiding citizens in these cases,155Of course, the law-abiding nature of the litigants in Heller, McDonald, and Bruen was never in question, limiting the persuasiveness of this argument. rather than a formally applied Bruen analysis. In United States v. Minter, for instance, a district court was faced with a challenge to the constitutionality of a federal law that makes possession of firearms and ammunition by convicted felons illegal.156United States v. Minter, 635 F. Supp. 3d 352, 354 (M.D. Pa. 2022). The district court reasoned that “the Supreme Court in Bruen ha[d] already signaled the answer to this question,” and concluded that “the Bruen Court’s decision did not undermine Heller’s statement,” emphasizing that the Second Amendment protects the “right of law-abiding, responsible citizens to use arms for self-defense.”157Id. at 358 (quoting Bruen, 142 S. Ct. at 2131) (emphasis in original). Several other district courts have considered the constitutionality of a felon-in-possession laws post-Bruen, many of which have concluded that the Second Amendment’s plain text does not cover this conduct.158See, e.g., United States v. Ingram, 623 F. Supp. 3d 660, 664 (D.S.C. 2022) (“[S]imilar discussion regarding felon-in-possession and comparable statutes appears in three different opinions: Heller, McDonald, and Bruen. By distinguishing non-law-abiding citizens from law-abiding ones, the dicta in Heller and McDonald clarifies the bounds of the plain text of the Second Amendment.”); United States v. Jackson, No. 21-51, 2022 U.S. Dist. LEXIS 164604, at *3 (D. Minn. Sept. 13, 2022) (“In Bruen, the Court again stressed that Heller and McDonald remain good law. Justice Kavanaugh, joined by Chief Justice Roberts, stated that Bruen does not disturb what the Court has said in Heller about the restrictions imposed on possessing firearms . . . .”); United States v. Hill, 629 F. Supp. 3d 1027, 1029–30 (S.D. Cal. 2022); United States v. Siddoway, No. 21-cr-00205, 2022 U.S. Dist. LEXIS 178168, at *3–5 (D. Idaho Sept. 27, 2022); United States v. Burrell, No. 21-20395, 2022 U.S. Dist. LEXIS 161336, at *6–7 (E.D. Mich. Sept. 7, 2022). However, this reliance on dicta might not be enough to avoid the historical inquiry that Bruen demands.159See, e.g., United States v. Coombes, 629 F. Supp. 3d 1149, 1154–56 (N.D. Okla. 2022) (concluding that the Second Amendment does not categorically exclude convicted felons from “the people”).

    If the Second Amendment’s plain text is interpreted to include convicted felons in its reference to “the people,”160Id. Bruen’s historical test would require the government to determine whether section 3(a)(7) is “consistent with this Nation’s historical tradition of firearm regulation.”161Bruen, 142 S. Ct. at 2126. Because the earliest felon-disarmament laws date from the twilight of the nineteenth century and the early part of the twentieth century,162Carlton F.W. Larson, Four Exceptions in Search of a Theory: District of Columbia v. Heller and Judicial Ipse Dixit, 60 Hastings L.J. 1371, 1376 (2009). an earlier historical analogue must be identified. One possible analogue is some American Colonies’ practice of attainder, which was utilized to disarm “disaffected” or “delinquent” individuals.163See Thomas R. McCoy, The Collateral Consequences of a Criminal Conviction, 23 Vand. L. Rev. 929, 942–49, 1080–82 (1970); 1 Journals of the Provincial Congress, Provincial Convention, Committee of Safety and Council of Safety of the State of New York 149–50 (Albany, Thurlow Weed 1842); see also Stephen P. Halbrook, The Founders’ Second Amendment: Origins of the Right to Bear Arms 117–18 (2008). Although a bill of attainder would surely constitute a due process violation today, the colonial practice of attainder is still sufficiently analogical to felon-in-possession laws because it is an example of state legislatures disarming individuals considered dangerous.164See Coombes, 629 F. Supp. 3d at 1157–58. Additionally, a colonial New York law prohibited convicted felons from owning property or chattels, implicitly prohibiting them from owning firearms.165See Howard Itzkowitz & Lauren Oldak, Note, Restoring the Ex-Offender’s Right to Vote: Background and Developments, 11 Am. Crim. L. Rev. 721, 725 n.33 (1973); 1 The Colonial Laws of New York: From the Year 1664 to the Revolution 145 (Albany, James B. Lyon 1894); Coombes, 629 F. Supp. 3d at 1158–59. Finally, a few historical examples of proposals made during the ratification process show that the founders did not intend to confer the right to bear arms on convicted felons.166See Coombes, 629 F. Supp. 3d at 1158–59. Proposals from Anti-Federalists in Pennsylvania,1672 Bernard Schwartz, The Bill of Rights: A Documentary History 665 (1971). Samuel Adams in Massachusetts,168Heller, 554 U.S. at 716 (Breyer, J., dissenting). and delegates from New Hampshire1691 Jonathan Elliot, The Debates in the Several State Conventions on the Adoption of the Federal Constitution 326 (Philadelphia, J. B. Lippincott Co. 2d ed. 1836) (The proposed amendment provided that “Congress shall never disarm any citizen, unless such as are or have been in actual rebellion.”). all show that the framers thought of the Second Amendment as recognizing the right of law-abiding citizens to bear arms. One of these proposals, for instance, provided that “no law shall be passed for disarming the people or any of them unless for crimes committed, or real danger of public injury from individuals.”170Schwartz, supra note 167. Although these were only proposals, they are still helpful because they illustrate how Americans at the time understood the government’s authority to limit firearm possession. These proposals’ rejection does not necessarily show that early Americans objected to such limitations on the right to bear arms and could simply be a result of a lack of Federalist support.

    Although the historical precedents identified here are not overly persuasive, they have thus far been sufficient for many federal courts that have heard challenges to the federal felon-in-possession law and entertained the question of whether it is consistent with this Nation’s historical tradition of firearm regulation.171See, e.g., Coombes, 629 F. Supp. 3d at 1158–59; United States v. Collette, 630 F. Supp. 3d 841, 846 (W.D. Tex. 2022); United States v. Charles, 633 F. Supp. 3d 874, 878–79 (W.D. Tex. 2022); United States v. Price, 635 F. Supp. 3d 455, 458 (S.D.W. Va. 2022); United States v. Cockerham, No. 21-cr-6, 2022 U.S. Dist. LEXIS 164702, at *3–4 (S.D. Miss. Sept. 13, 2022). Taking a realist view, this could simply be because the judiciary is staffed by those “who know too much to sacrifice good sense to a syllogism”172O. W. Holmes, Jr., The Common Law 36 (Boston, Little, Brown, & Co. 1881). and are unwilling to invalidate a law that is so sensible on its face. Even the Supreme Court, staffed as it is today, might not invalidate such laws. Assuming Justice Kavanaugh’s concurring opinion in Bruen to be an honest representation of how he (and Chief Justice Roberts, who joined his concurrence) will vote in the future, the Heller Court’s enumeration of presumptively lawful regulations will not be stripped of all persuasive effect.173N.Y. Rifle & Pistol Ass’n v. Bruen, 142 S. Ct. 2111, 2161 (2022) (Kavanaugh, J., concurring). After all, it is hard to imagine that Justices Sotomayor, Kagan, or Jackson would not endorse the “longstanding prohibitions” passage from Heller. Thus, we can expect laws that prohibit felons from possessing firearms—and section 3(a)(6) of the Model Act—will not be invalidated by the Supreme Court, even if on practical rather than doctrinal considerations.

    2.  Prohibiting Firearm Possession for Certain Non-Felonies

    Possibly more challenging, however, is section 3(a)(7), which denies eligibility certificates to individuals convicted of fraud for the purpose of obtaining a firearm; unlawful use or handling of a firearm; or domestic violence. After deciding Bruen, the Supreme Court vacated and remanded for further consideration a circuit court decision rejecting a challenge to a Massachusetts law similar to section 3(a)(7) of the Model Act.174Morin v. Lyver, 143 S. Ct. 69, 69 (2022). The law in question prohibited the plaintiff from receiving a license to carry a firearm in public because he had been convicted of attempting to carry a pistol without a license and of possession of an unregistered firearm in the District of Columbia.175Morin v. Lyver, 13 F.4th 101, 102–03 (1st Cir. 2021), vacated, 143 S. Ct. 69 (2022). Although these convictions were misdemeanors, Massachusetts law denied public carry licenses to “persons who had, ‘in any state or federal jurisdiction, been convicted’ of ‘a violation of any law regulating the use, possession, ownership, transfer, purchase, sale, lease, rental, receipt or transportation of weapons or ammunition for which a term of imprisonment may be imposed.’ ”176Id. at 103 (quoting Mass. Gen. Laws ch. 140, § 131(d)(i)(D) (2008)). In upholding the Massachusetts law, the circuit court applied intermediate scrutiny, which the Supreme Court has since rejected as inappropriate for Second Amendment analysis.177Bruen, 142 S. Ct. 2111 at 2129–30. However, in a similar post-Bruen case, the Fifth Circuit upheld a law prohibiting possession of a firearm by persons under indictment,178United States v. Avila, No. 22–50088, 2022 U.S. App. LEXIS 35321, at *1 (5th Cir. Dec. 21, 2022); see also United States v. Rowson, No. 22 Cr. 310, 2023 U.S. Dist. LEXIS 13832, at *1 (S.D.N.Y. Jan. 26, 2023). and several district courts have upheld laws prohibiting possession of firearms by felons,179See, e.g., United States v. Kays, 624 F. Supp. 3d 1262, 1265 (W.D. Okla. 2022); United States v. Price, 635 F. Supp. 3d 455, 466–67 (S.D.W. Va. 2022); United States v. Minter, 635 F. Supp. 3d 352, 354 (M.D. Pa. 2022); District of Columbia v. Heller, 554 U.S. 570, 716 (2008) (Breyer, J., dissenting). domestic violence misdemeanants,180United States v. Nutter, 624 F. Supp. 3d 636, 644–45 (S.D.W. Va. 2022). Infamously, however, the Fifth Circuit recently held that the federal law prohibiting possession of firearms by persons under a domestic violence restraining order is unconstitutional because it does not fit “within our Nation’s historical tradition of firearm regulation.” United States v. Rahimi, 61 F.4th 443, 460 (5th Cir. 2023), cert granted, 143 S. Ct. 2688 (2023). and unlawful users of controlled substances.181United States v. Daniels, 610 F. Supp. 3d 892, 897 (S.D. Miss. 2022), rev’d, 77 F.4th 337 (5th Cir. 2023). Although some district courts have held similar laws unconstitutional,182United States v. Hicks, No. W:21-CR-00060, 2023 U.S. Dist. LEXIS 35485, at *17–18  (W.D. Tex. Jan. 9, 2023) (holding a law prohibiting firearm possession while under a felony indictment unconstitutional); United States v. Quiroz, 629 F. Supp. 3d 511, 511–12 (W.D. Tex. 2022); Price, 635 F. Supp. 3d at 457 (holding a law prohibiting possession of a firearm with an altered, obliterated, or removed serial number unconstitutional); United States v. Perez-Gallan, 640 F. Supp. 3d 697,  716 (W.D. Tex. 2022) (holding a federal statute prohibiting firearm possession by those subject to restraining order related to domestic violence unconstitutional). there is, as of yet, no circuit precedent invalidating these laws.

    In addition to the weight of circuit precedent, the plain text of Heller supports the conclusion that “prohibitions on the possession of firearms by felons and the mentally ill”183Heller, 554 U.S. at 626. and similar measures are “presumptively lawful.”184Id. at 627 n.26. However, if the Court determines that Bruen abrogates the “longstanding prohibitions” dictum from Heller, a historical analogue will have to be found.185N.Y. Rifle & Pistol Ass’n v. Bruen, 142 S. Ct. 2111, 2133 (2022). Bruen provides two metrics to be considered in determining whether a regulation is relevantly similar to a historical analogue: (1) how they burden a “law-abiding citizen’s right to armed self-defense,” and (2) why they burden that right.186Id. at 2132–33. These are not the only metrics that could render a historical analogue “relatively similar,” but they are the only metrics the Court explicitly mentioned.

    Under these metrics, section 3(a)(7) of the Model Act could escape invalidation on the same basis as felon-in-possession laws187See supra Section IV.A.1.: because it burdens a law-abiding citizen’s right of lawful self-defense in a way similar to, and for a reason practically identical to, the colonial practice of disarming “disaffected” or “delinquent individuals” through attainder,188See McCoy, supra note 163, at 942–49. and the colonial practice of prohibiting convicted felons from owning chattels, including firearms.189Itzkowitz et al., supra note 165, at 721, 725 n.33.

    First, the burden is similar because a regulation prohibiting possession of firearms to certain classes of misdemeanants does not actually burden the right any more than a law prohibiting a felon’s possession of firearms. The right described in Bruen is one belonging to law-abiding citizens, not citizens convicted of felonies.190Bruen, 142 S. Ct. at 2138 n.9. Individuals convicted of a felony or misdemeanor domestic violence; unlawful use or handling of a firearm; or fraud for the purpose of unlawfully obtaining a firearm are by definition not law-abiding.191This does not mean, however, that any violation of the law will result in a forfeiture of Second Amendment rights. Section 3(a)(7) contemplates specific violations of law that tend to show that allowing that person to own a firearm would be dangerous to themselves, to the public, or both. To the contrary, those individuals would be showing that they are willing to commit serious violent crimes—domestic violence—or crimes showing that they are not safe users of firearms. Second, the reason for the restrictions in section 3(a)(7) of the Model Act are identical to the reasons for the colonial practice of prohibiting dangerous individuals from owning firearms: to ensure those bearing arms are responsible, safe, and law-abiding. In discussing the regulations in shall-issue licensing regimes, Bruen acknowledges that regulations designed “to ensure only that those bearing arms in the jurisdiction are, in fact, ‘law-abiding, responsible citizens’ ” are constitutional.192Bruen, 142 S. Ct. at 2138 n.9. Because section 3(a)(7) is closely analogous to the presumptively lawful measures expounded in Heller,193District of Columbia v. Heller, 554 U.S. 570, 626–27 (2008); see also McDonald v. City of Chicago, 561 U.S. 742, 786 (2010); Bruen, 142 S. Ct. at 2162 (Kavanaugh, J., concurring). it is likely to be held constitutional.

    Another potentially problematic provision is section 3(a)(8), which does not allow individuals addicted to narcotics to obtain an eligibility certificate that is a prerequisite to possession of any firearm. In 2023, a federal court in Oklahoma ruled that the federal statute prohibiting possession of firearms by users of substances made illegal by the federal Controlled Substances Act19418 U.S.C. § 922(g)(3). was unconstitutional.195United States v. Harrison, No. CR-22-00328, 2023 U.S. Dist. LEXIS 18397, at *51 (W.D. Okla. Feb. 3, 2023) (concluding that the statute forbidding possession of firearms by unlawful drug users violates the Second Amendment). However, this ruling is far from sounding the death knell for laws prohibiting possession of firearms by drug addicts. Even if this position was adopted by the circuit courts or the Supreme Court, it would not invalidate section 3(a)(8) because that section only prohibits individuals who are addicted to, rather than mere users of, intoxicating substances from obtaining eligibility certificates. This is intended to prevent individuals whose mental stability would be regularly impaired by the abuse of drugs or alcohol from possessing firearms and would not apply to an occasional marijuana user. Section 3(a)(8) is therefore very similar to a law prohibiting possession by those with mental illnesses, as described in Heller as presumptively lawful.196Heller, 554 U.S. at 626. These presumptively lawful restrictions were also endorsed by two justices in the majority in Bruen and would likely also be endorsed by the three dissenting justices. See Bruen, 142 S. Ct. at 2162 (Kavanaugh, J., concurring).

    One final challenge section 3(a)(8) might face is that it is unconstitutional under Robinson v. California.197Robinson v. California, 370 U.S. 660 (1962). In Robinson, the Court held that a law criminalizing being addicted to the use of narcotics was cruel and unusual punishment under the Eight Amendment.198Id. at 666; U.S. Const. amend. VIII. This comparison is, however, inapposite. Section 3(a)(8) does not criminalize drug addiction; it only prevents drug addicts from arming themselves—for their own safety and the safety of the general public. It is fundamentally no different from making it illegal for blind persons to drive. Moreover, the Model Act does not prevent persons who were once addicted to drugs but are no longer addicted from obtaining an eligibility certificate. Thus, section 3(a)(8) falls far short of being a punishment at all, much less a cruel and unusual one.

    B.  Regulation of Different Classes of Arms

    1.  Purpose-Based Licensing

    The defining characteristic of the Model Act, in accordance with South Africa’s licensing system, is how it ties the ownership of a firearm to its use by only allowing ownership of firearms that are suited to the purpose for which the license is sought. Although access to certain firearms, such as semi-automatic rifles, is restricted under the Model Act, they are not entirely banned. This is done in an attempt to limit access to especially dangerous firearms while acknowledging the reality that a blanket ban on assault weapons might not be held constitutional by the current Supreme Court because of the inherent difficulty in finding a historical precedent regulating distinctly modern arms.199See Miller v. Bonta, No. 19-cv-01537, 2023 U.S. Dist. LEXIS 188421, at *97 (S.D. Cal. Oct. 19, 2023). Moreover, given the Supreme Court’s current 6-3 conservative supermajority, a blanket ban would create a risk of creating a dangerous precedent. If the Supreme Court invalidated an assault weapons ban, future Justices who might not consider such a ban unconstitutional per se might nevertheless feel duty-bound to apply Supreme Court precedent faithfully.

    The requirements for a license to possess a firearm for self-defense described in section 4(b) of the Model act would likely be found constitutional under Bruen because it is very closely analogous to the “shall-issue” carry licensing system in place in the vast majority of states.200Bruen, 142 S. Ct. at 2162. Bruen held only that the discretion afforded to licensing officials in the states with “may-issue” regimes is unconstitutional,201Id. at 2156. and did not jeopardize the licensing requirements that are employed in forty-three states.202Id. at 2138 n.9; see also id. at 2161 (Kavanaugh, J., concurring) (“[T]he Court’s decision does not affect the existing licensing regimes—known as ‘shall-issue’ regimes—that are employed in 43 States.”); id. at 2162 (Kavanaugh J. concurring) (“[T]he Second Amendment allows a ‘variety’ of gun regulations.”) (citing District of Columbia v. Heller, 554 U.S. 570, 636 (2008)). The Court explained that “nothing in our analysis should be interpreted to suggest the unconstitutionality of the 43 States’ ‘shall-issue’ licensing regimes, under which ‘a general desire for self-defense is sufficient to obtain a [permit].’ ”203Bruen, 142 S. Ct. at 2138 n.9 (quoting Drake v. Filko, 724 F.3d 426, 442 (3d Cir. 2013) (Hardiman, J., dissenting)). Moreover, the Court used the fact that “shall-issue” licensing regimes are in place in the vast majority of states to bolster its argument that New York’s “may-issue” regime was unconstitutional.204Id. at 2123–24. The Court further explained that states are free to “require applicants to undergo a background check or pass a firearms safety course,” and that these measures “are designed to ensure only that those bearing arms in the jurisdiction are, in fact, ‘law-abiding, responsible citizens.’ ”205Id. at 2138 n.9 (quoting Heller, 554 U.S. at 635). Section 4(b) of the Model Act follows the convention of a “shall-issue” licensing regime, but applies to firearm ownership for self-defense in general, not just to public carry. Regulations such as section 4(b) of the Model Act, just like regulations that the court mentioned,206Id. serve only to ensure that firearm owners are law-abiding, responsible citizens.207Id. Thus, section 4(b) burdens the right of law-abiding citizens to keep and bear arms for self-defense to a similar extent, and for the very same purpose, as the public carry licensing requirements in effect in forty-three states.208See id. at 2123–24; Thomson Reuters, 50 State Statutory Surveys: Right to Carry a Concealed Weapon, 0030 Surveys 32 (2022). Although the modern prevalence of the licensing requirement might not be doctrinally relevant, practically speaking, 4(b) would be unlikely to be invalidated unless a court were either willing to invalidate the widespread practice of public carry licensing or unwilling to accept licensing for firearm ownership in general.

    2.  High-Capacity Magazines and Semi-Automatic Rifles

    Perhaps the most difficult constitutional question in this area is whether states can ban specific types of arms. The Supreme Court has not given clear guidance on these issues in any of its decisions, resulting in discordant lower court rulings on the issues of high-capacity magazine bans209Compare Ass’n of N.J. Rifle & Pistol Clubs Inc. v. Att’y Gen. of N.J., 910 F.3d 106, 117 (3d Cir. 2018) (“The Act [banning high-capacity magazines] does not severely burden the core Second Amendment right to self-defense in the home . . . .”), abrogated by N.Y. Rifle & Pistol Ass’n v. Bruen, 142 S. Ct. 2111 (2022), with Duncan v. Becerra, 970 F.3d 1133, 1169 (9th Cir. 2020) (“California’s near-categorical ban of LCMs [Large Capacity Magazines] infringes on the fundamental right to self-defense.”), vacated sub nom. Duncan v. Bonta, 142 S. Ct. 2895 (2022), and Duncan v. Bonta, No. 17-CV-1017, 2023 U.S. Dist. LEXIS 169577, at *4 (S.D. Cal., Sept. 22, 2023) (“There is no American tradition of limiting ammunition capacity . . . .”), appeal docketed, No. 23-55805, 2023 U.S. App. LEXIS 25723 (9th Cir. Sept. 28, 2023). and assault weapon bans.210Compare Bianchi v. Frosh, 858 Fed. App’x 645, 646 (per curiam) (4th Cir. 2021) (affirming district court’s dismissal of challenge to Maryland’s assault weapons ban for failure to state a claim on which relief may be granted), vacated, 142 S. Ct. 2898 (2022), with Miller v. Bonta, 542 F. Supp. 3d 1009, 1021 (S.D. Cal. 2021) (“The overwhelming majority of citizens who own and keep the popular AR-15 rifle and its many variants do so for lawful purposes, including self-defense at home. Under Heller, that is all that is needed.”), vacated, No. 21-55608, 2022 U.S. App. LEXIS 21172 (9th Cir. Aug. 1, 2022). Heller states that the Second Amendment protects individual ownership of the types of firearms in common use, and that this protection means states cannot outright ban handgun ownership, but it is not clear how expansively “common use” (or for that matter, the “type” of a firearm) will be interpreted. Several states have attempted to prohibit possession of high-capacity magazines and assault weapons such as the AR-15;211See, e.g., Md. Code Ann., Pub Safety § 5-101 et seq. (West 2022). however, until the issue is squarely addressed by the Court, states will have to operate based on discordant lower federal court decisions.

    Adding to this opacity is the term “assault weapon” itself. “Assault weapon” is a legal term that is not uniformly defined by legislatures.212Compare Md. Code Ann., Pub. Safety § 5-101(r)(2) (West 2022) (defining assault weapons by enumerating specific makes and models), with Cal. Penal Code § 30515 (West 2012 & Supp. 2020) (defining assault weapons as semi-automatic rifles with detachable magazines and certain combinations of features), and Public Safety and Recreational Firearms Use Protection Act, H.R. 4296, 103d Cong. (1994) (repealed 2004) (defining an assault weapon as either one of a list of enumerated makes and models or as having a combination of specific features). Some states define these weapons by its semi-automatic213Semi-automatic means having a mechanism for self-loading, but not continuous firing. That is, semi-automatic firearms allow for one shot per trigger pull without requiring manual operation of the firearm between shots. functioning in combination with features like flash hiders,214Used for reducing the amount of muzzle flash produced by a firearm upon discharging. pistol grips,215A grip shaped like the butt of a pistol. and adjustable stocks.216See, e.g., Cal. Penal Code § 30515 (West 2012 & Supp. 2020). Regardless of how they are defined, however, the most functionally important aspects of assault weapons are that they are semi-automatic rifles and accept detachable magazines.217Detachable magazines can be removed from a firearm without disassembly, allowing for much faster reloads. Assault weapons typically fire an intermediate rifle cartridge—a cartridge that is less powerful than a full-power rifle cartridge but more powerful than a pistol cartridge—making for a light and easy-to-use weapon with low recoil.218Phil Klay, Uncertain Ground: Citizenship in an Age of Endless, Invisible War 152–53 (2022). Perhaps the most common cartridge used in assault weapons in the United States is the 5.56 x 45mm NATO round.219Id. Although the projectile weighs only one tenth of an ounce, it is capable of traveling at up to 3,200 feet per second—almost triple the speed of sound—making for a rather destructive weapon.220Id. at 152. These light but fast bullets have the distinct advantage of producing low recoil while inflicting more damage than would be expected from its muzzle energy alone. Id. at 153. A 5.56 mm bullet from an AR-15 will begin tumbling and fragmenting at approximately eleven centimeters into the body, causing hydrostatic shock that can sever muscle tissue and burst apart organs. Id. Because the functionally important aspect of an assault weapon is that it is a semi-automatic rifle that accepts detachable magazines, the Model Act addresses these features specifically rather than fussing over the minute details of weapons that make little functional difference.

    In acknowledgement of the constitutional invalidation risk that an outright ban on high-capacity magazines or assault weapons poses,221Part of the danger of this overruling risk is that the Court could have occasion to announce a sweeping decision. the Model Act takes an intermediate approach limiting, but not prohibiting, access to assault weapons and does not attempt to regulate magazine capacity. Under sections 4 and 5 of the Model Act, citizens cannot be granted a license to possess a semi-automatic rifle or shotgun—classified as restricted firearms under section 5(a)—for self-defense unless they show the particular restricted firearm for which they are seeking a license serves an important purpose for which a non-restricted firearm is insufficient. For instance, if a person lives on a property with large open fields, a handgun might not be sufficient for self-defense because it is difficult to shoot accurately over a long distance and a manually operated rifle222A manually operated rifle is one that requires manual manipulation of the rifle’s action to chamber a new round and fire another shot. A semi-automatic rifle, by contrast, will automatically eject a fired cartridge and chamber a new cartridge, providing a user with one shot per trigger pull. would be too slow to operate and use for self-defense. In this instance a semi-automatic rifle could be necessary to defend against an attacker who is armed with a semi-automatic long gun, thus serving an important need under section 5(b). Moreover, unlike the unfettered discretion that the “may-issue” regimes discussed in Bruen allowed for,223N.Y. State Rifle & Pistol Ass’n v. Bruen, 142 S. Ct. 2111, 2156 (2022). section 5(c) severely limits the discretion of the designated firearms officer by requiring “an objectively reasonable basis based on clear and convincing evidence” to support a denial.224See supra Section III.B.

    Individuals could also obtain a license to possess a restricted firearm for dedicated hunting or sports shooting under section 9 of the Model Act. This is intended for individuals who regularly engage in hunting or sports shooting activities such as competitive shooting. This provision serves the purpose of limiting access to such particularly dangerous firearms as semi-automatic rifles while still allowing individuals to continue to engage in hunting, target practice, and shooting competitions using other kinds of firearms. The requirements that a person be regularly engaged in hunting or sports shooting and belong to an accredited hunting or sports shooting association is meant to keep semi-automatic rifles from being available to any adult for any purpose.

    At first blush, this restriction on semi-automatic rifles seems to violate the historical test created in Bruen,225Bruen, 142 S. Ct. at 2126. unless a historical analogue can be found. However, a close reading of Bruen’s test shows that, in reviewing section 9 of the Model Act, the burden to find a historical analogue would never shift to the government. The Bruen test states that the Second Amendment presumptively protects an individual’s conduct only when its “plain text covers an individual’s conduct.”226Id. The Court has held that the plain text of the Amendment covers “ ‘the individual right to possess and carry weapons in case of confrontation’ that does not depend on service in the militia.”227Id. at 2127 (quoting District of Columbia v. Heller, 554 U.S. 570, 592 (2008)). Section 9 of the Model Act, however, does not burden the “individual right to possess and carry weapons in case of confrontation”228Heller, 554 U.S. at 592. in the slightest. It restricts only the sporting use of certain weapons, not their self-defense use.229It is important to note that the Heller Court mentioned a right to hunting. Id. at 599 (“[M]ost [Americans] undoubtedly thought it even more important for self-defense and hunting.”). The Model Act accounts for this by allowing for permissive licensing for sporting purposes or hunting under section 8.

    The restriction on the sporting use of certain especially dangerous arms notwithstanding, individuals who wish to own a restricted firearm for self-defense have that option, subject only to a showing that the restricted firearm they wish to possess serves an important purpose that a non-restricted firearm cannot. This provision requiring an applicant to show that a restricted firearm serves an important purpose is also likely to be found constitutional under Bruen. Because section 5(a) concerns a restriction on firearms ownership for self-defense—unlike the sporting use contemplated in section 9—the “plain text” of the Second Amendment presumptively covers the conduct in question. Therefore, the burden would shift to the government to prove that section 5 burdens the right to bear arms for self-defense in a similar way and for a similar reason as a historical analogue to that regulation.230Bruen, 142 S. Ct. at 2132–33. The clear historical analogue for section 5 is the English prohibition on going armed with dangerous or unusual weapons.

    The offense of riding or going armed with dangerous or unusual weapons is a crime against the public peace, by terrifying the good people of the land, and is particularly prohibited by the statute of Northampton, 2 Edward III, c. 3 (Wearing Arms, 1328), upon pain of forfeiture of the arms, and imprisonment during the king’s pleasure . . . .2314 William Blackstone, Commentaries on the Laws of England *149 (William Carey Jones ed., Claitor’s Publ’g Div. 1976) (1765).

    Laws prohibiting going armed with dangerous or unusual weapons form a “long, unbroken line of common-law precedent”232Bruen, 142 S. Ct. at 2136. that was recognized in the United States following the adoption of the Second Amendment.233See Blackstone, supra note 231; 1 William Hawkins, Treatise of the Pleas of the Crown 489 (John Curwood ed., 8th ed. 1824) (“[P]ersons of quality are in no danger of offending against this statute [prohibiting affrays] by wearing common weapons . . . .”); State v. Langford, 10 N.C. (3 Hawks) 381, 383 (1824) (“[T]here may be an affray when there is no actual violence: as when a man arms himself with dangerous and unusual weapons . . . .”); State v. Huntly, 25 N.C. (3 Ired.) 418, 420 (1843) (“[T]he offence of riding or going about armed with unusual and dangerous weapons, to the terror of the people, was created by the statute . . . .”); State v. Lenier, 71 N.C. 288, 289 (1874); English v. State, 35 Tex. 473, 473 (1871) (rejecting Second Amendment challenge to law regulating the carrying of pistols, dirks, bowie knives, and other deadly weapons). Although the Court stated in Bruen that the English and colonial laws prohibiting affrays were not sufficiently analogous to New York’s proper cause requirement,234Bruen, 142 S. Ct. at 2143. it did not foreclose reliance on these laws to justify other firearms regulations.235Id. The Court went so far as to state that “colonial legislatures sometimes prohibited the carrying of ‘dangerous and unusual weapons’—a fact we already acknowledged in Heller.”236Id. (quoting District of Columbia v. Heller, 554 U.S. 570, 627 (2008)). Crucially, sections 4 and 5 of the Model Act concern dangerous and unusual weapons, not a restrictive carry licensing scheme like the one the respondents sought to justify in Bruen.

    In comparing sections 4 and 5 of the Model Act with the historical analogue, it is first necessary to establish whether the arms described in section 5(a) can fairly be described as “dangerous and unusual.” Clearly, compared with the types of arms the English law prohibited at the time of Blackstone’s Commentaries, the arms described in section 5(a) are extraordinarily dangerous and unusual. Even compared with other modern firearms, however, semi-automatic rifles that can be reloaded quickly are uniquely destructive.237Klay, supra note 218, at 152–54. They are capable of inflicting an incredible amount of damage in a short period of time, making them especially dangerous and unusual by any standard.238Id. The federal government acknowledged as much in making the transfer or possession of assault weapons unlawful. Public Safety and Recreational Firearms Use Protection Act, H.R. 4296, 103d Cong. (1994) (repealed 2004). The act was allowed to expire in 2004 in accordance with its sunset provision. Comparing the relative burdens of the historical prohibition and the Model Act, the latter clearly burdens the right to bear arms to a lesser degree than the historical analogue. The historical offense outright prohibits going armed with dangerous or unusual weapons while sections 4 and 5 only limit it to certain uses. Within the terms of the Model Act, these uses include the “law-abiding citizen’s right to armed self-defense.”239Bruen, 142 S. Ct. at 2133. Moreover, the historical analogue and the Model Act burden the right for a similar purpose—to prevent especially dangerous and frightening arms from being widespread and to prevent individuals from terrorizing others with these arms.240Blackstone, supra note 231.

    C.  Public Carry

    The portion of the Model Act regulating public carry of firearms for self-defense—sections 6 and 7—is perhaps as restrictive as courts will allow under Bruen. Of course, sections 6(b) and 7(b) make clear that the Model Act establishes a shall-issue public carry licensing regime, as required by Bruen.241Bruen, 142 S. Ct. at 2156. Sections 6 and 7 also require an applicant to have a valid eligibility certificate, which is where most of the requirements that help ensure safe use of a firearm are listed. The eligibility certificate requirements would not be likely to face much resistance from the courts because they do not burden the right per se;242See supra Section IV.A. rather, they are “designed to ensure only that those bearing arms in the jurisdiction are, in fact, ‘law-abiding, responsible citizens.’ ”243Bruen, 142 S. Ct. at 2138 n.9 (quoting District of Columbia v. Heller, 554 U.S. 570, 635 (2008)). The Model Act leaves to the states the decision of whether one type of carry—open or concealed—should be banned.244Id. at 2150.

    CONCLUSION

    The governing case law concerning the Second Amendment greatly limits how states can restrict firearm ownership. The Supreme Court’s historical approach to Second Amendment challenges places many regulations many people find desirable outside the realm of constitutionality. This does not mean, however, that all reasonable regulations are impossible to implement. The Model Firearms Control Act presented in this Note is an initial step toward a comprehensive firearms licensing system that can serve to keep Americans safer while respecting their right to armed self-defense. The relatively limited nature of the regulations advocated in this Note is simply an acknowledgement of the reality that the Supreme Court has adopted a sweeping interpretation of the Second Amendment irrespective of its true meaning, which may best be left to historians. Given its current membership, the Supreme Court will not, for the foreseeable future, overturn its trilogy of Second Amendment precedents, so all states can do is implement the safest gun control solutions that governing case law will allow. On a later day, perhaps, a differently constituted Supreme Court will reconsider Bruen and replace its untenable historical inquiry with some form of means-end scrutiny. If and when that happens, the Model Act proposed in this Note can be expanded to be more restrictive while still respecting the individual right to armed self-defense. This Note offers an initial large step in implementing such solutions.

97 S. Cal. L. Rev. 211

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* Senior Editor, Southern California Law Review, Volume 97; J.D. Candidate 2024, University of Southern California Gould School of Law; B.S. Criminology & Criminal Justice 2020, California State University, Long Beach. Thank you to Professor David B. Cruz for his invaluable feedback and to the Southern California Law Review for their meticulous editing. A very special thank you to Alyssa Polito whose unwavering support during my time in law school has made this Note possible.

“Shelby County” to Clean Air Act: Evaluating the Constitutionality of California’s Clean Air Act Waiver Under the Equal Sovereignty Principle

In August 2022, California promulgated the Advanced Clean Cars II regulation, banning all sales of new gasoline-powered cars in the state by 2035. Transportation is the largest source of air pollution in California, responsible for nearly 40% of greenhouse gas (“GHG”) emissions; thus, the regulation is a crucial step towards meeting the state’s carbon neutrality and climate goals. California has the unique authority to regulate motor vehicle emissions due to a waiver exemption in the Clean Air Act. Congress recognized California’s expertise and unique air pollution challenges early on by authorizing just two standards: the national and California standards. Over the last five decades, California has received over one hundred waivers for its motor vehicle emission standards. However, in May 2022, seventeen states challenged the constitutionality of the waiver provision in Ohio v. EPA (pending in the D.C. Circuit Court of Appeals as of the publication of this Note), alleging, inter alia, that it violates the equal sovereignty principle—the idea that states must have equal political authority—by allowing only California to set new vehicle emission standards. These states further argue that California cannot regulate GHGs because climate change is a global problem not unique to California. To date, no court has addressed the constitutionality of the Clean Air Act under the equal sovereignty principle. Thus, this Note takes the principle seriously and analyzes how courts historically have applied it. In 2013, the Supreme Court developed the equal sovereignty principle as a meaningful concept for the first (and last) time in Shelby County v. Holder to invalidate section 4 of the Voting Rights Act. This Note applies the test established in Shelby County to the Clean Air Act waiver at issue, arguing that the equal sovereignty principle does not apply to the Clean Air Act, and even if it were to apply, the Clean Air Act waiver provision remains constitutional because Congress’s reasons for granting California an exemption remain relevant. California’s pioneering role in early air pollution control, its large economy, and its characteristic geographic and climate conditions put the state in a unique position to protect public health by regulating automobile emissions, while the state faces increasingly formidable threats from climate change that have exacerbated the local air pollution problems that initially compelled its motor vehicle regulations. Thus, even as California’s motor vehicle regulations have shifted from reducing local smog to reducing GHG emissions, California’s current needs continue to justify its differential treatment—maintaining, and perhaps even strengthening, the Clean Air Act waiver’s relevance in the twenty-first century.

INTRODUCTION

In August 2022, the California Air Resources Board (“CARB”), California’s chief air pollution regulator, promulgated the Advanced Clean Cars II regulation, which bans the sale of new gasoline-powered cars in California by 2035.1Advanced Clean Cars II Regulations: All New Passenger Vehicles Sold in California to be Zero Emissions by 2035, Cal. Air Res. Bd., https://ww2.arb.ca.gov/our-work/programs/advanced-clean-cars-program/advanced-clean-cars-ii [https://perma.cc/A9WT-T2BP]; Cal. Code Regs. tit. 13, § 1962.4 (2022). Transportation is the largest source of air pollution in the state, responsible for nearly 40% of greenhouse gas (“GHG”) emissions, 80% of nitrogen oxide pollution, and 90% of diesel particulate matter pollution.2Current California GHG Emission Inventory Data, Cal. Air Res. Bd., https://ww2.arb.ca.gov/ghg-inventory-data [https://perma.cc/L9KM-VCG3]; Transforming Transportation, Cal. Energy Comm’n, https://www.energy.ca.gov/about/core-responsibility-fact-sheets/transforming-transportation [http://perma.cc/LAS2-MAYL]. CARB estimates that the new rule will result in significant climate, economic, and public health benefits. By 2040, the regulation is projected to result in a 50% reduction in GHG emissions from cars, pickup trucks, and SUVs.3California Moves to Accelerate to 100% New Zero-Emission Vehicle Sales by 2035, Cal. Air Res. Bd. (Aug. 25, 2022), https://ww2.arb.ca.gov/news/california-moves-accelerate-100-new-zero-emission-vehicle-sales-2035 [https://perma.cc/5GRX-9NXR]. Taking gas cars off the road would eliminate the equivalent of 395 million metric tons of carbon dioxide emissions, which is analogous to avoiding the combustion of 915 million barrels of petroleum or shutting down more than one hundred coal plants for a year.4Id. From 2026 to 2040, the decrease in pollution should lead to 1,290 fewer cardiopulmonary deaths, 460 fewer hospital admissions for cardiovascular or respiratory illness, and 650 fewer emergency room visits for asthma.5Id. Thus, the regulation is a crucial step towards meeting the state’s carbon neutrality and climate goals.6Id. (“The ACC II regulation is a major tool in the effort to reach the SB 32 target of reducing greenhouse gases an additional 40% below 1990 levels by 2030 . . . . Ending sales of vehicles powered by fossil fuels is a critical element in the state’s efforts to achieve carbon neutrality by 2045 or sooner.”).

The regulations that California enacts are hugely influential; thus, the implications of California’s ability to implement motor vehicle regulations are extensive. If California were a country, it would be the tenth largest auto market in the world.7Naveena Sadasivam, It’s Official: California is Phasing Out Gas-Powered Cars by 2035, Grist (Aug. 25, 2022), https://grist.org/transportation/california-gas-car-ban-electric-vehicles [https://perma.cc/2XPY-J5HH]. As of May 13, 2022, seventeen states and the District of Columbia have adopted California’s Low-Emission Vehicle (“LEV”) and Zero-Emission Vehicle (“ZEV”) regulations under section 177 of the Clean Air Act, which allows other states to adopt California’s approved standards instead of the federal standards.8States That Have Adopted California’s Vehicle Standards Under Section 177 of the Federal Clean Air Act, Cal. Air Res. Bd. (May 13, 2022), https://ww2.arb.ca.gov/sites/default/files/2022-05/%C2%A7177_states_05132022_NADA_sales_r2_ac.pdf [https://perma.cc/EM9D-QLM9]. California alone makes up 11% of U.S. new light-duty vehicle sales, or 40.1% when combined with the states that have already adopted its rules.9Id. New York was the second state to ban sales of gas-powered cars by 2035 as part of its plan to increase EV adoption.10Kira Bindrim, NY Implements 2035 All-EV Plan After California Clears the Way, Bloomberg (Sept. 29, 2022, 1:57 PM), https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-29/new-york-follows-california-in-banning-sale-of-gas-cars-by-2035 [https://perma.cc/N7N6-LUSS]. In February 2021, New York passed a law requiring all new passenger cars and trucks sold in the state to produce zero emissions by 2035,11Assemb. B. 4302, 2021–2022 Leg. Reg. Sess. (N.Y. 2021). and in September 2022, after California finalized its own ban, New York followed California in requiring all new vehicles sold by 2035 to be zero-emissions, setting in motion the regulatory process to implement the law.12Press Release, Kathy Hochul, Governor of the State of New York, Governor Hochul Drives Forward New York’s Transition to Clean Transportation (Sept. 29, 2022), https://www.governor.ny.gov/news/governor-hochul-drives-forward-new-yorks-transition-clean-transportation [https://perma.cc/8EJ3-NPTG]. In August 2022, Massachusetts Governor Charlie Baker also signed climate change legislation to end new sales of gas-powered cars in the state by 2035.13Keith Goldberg, Calif. Sews Up Regs to End Gas Car Sales by 2035, Law360 (Aug. 25, 2022, 6:52 PM), https://www.law360.com/articles/1524638/calif-sews-up-regs-to-end-gas-car-sales-by-2035 [https://perma.cc/RQK3-HTU3].

California has the unique ability to implement motor vehicle emissions regulations because of an exception in the Clean Air Act.1442 U.S.C. § 7543(b)(1). While the Clean Air Act generally prohibits states from setting vehicle emission standards,1542 U.S.C. § 7543(a). it provides a waiver exemption under section 209(b)(1) that allows California to set more stringent vehicle emission standards than the federal government.1642 U.S.C. § 7543(b)(1). While the waiver does not reference California by name, it was clearly intended for California because California was the only state that met the requirement of adopting motor vehicle emission standards prior to March 30, 1966. H.R. Rep. No. 90-728, at 49 (1967). Given California’s pioneering role in motor vehicle regulations and unique air pollution problems, Congress recognized California’s expertise early on in the history of federal air pollution regulation.17See Air Quality Act of 1967, S. Rep. No. 90-403, at 33 (“California’s unique problems and pioneering efforts justified a waiver . . . . [I]n the 15 years that auto emission standards have been debated and discussed, only the State of California has demonstrated compelling and extraordinary circumstances sufficiently different from the Nation as a whole . . . .”). However, in May 2022, seventeen Republican-led states filed a lawsuit, Ohio v. EPA, challenging California’s ability to set its own pollution rules and demanding that the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (“EPA”) revoke the waiver.18Petition for Review, Ohio v. EPA, No. 22-1081 (D.C. Cir. May 12, 2022). The petitioner states claimed that the waiver provision is unconstitutional because it violates the so-called equal sovereignty principle—the idea that states must have equal political authority—by only empowering California to set new vehicle emission standards.19See Brief for Petitioners at 28, Ohio v. EPA, No. 22-1081 (D.C. Cir. Nov. 11, 2022). The petitioners additionally argued that Congress cannot allow California alone to regulate climate change, which is a global problem not unique to California.20Id. at 13. Because California has shifted from regulations to reduce smog and local air pollution to GHG regulations to address global climate change, the petitioners essentially argued that circumstances have changed enough since Congress enacted the waiver provision in 1967 that California’s special treatment is no longer justified.21See id. at 13, 30–33.

This Note takes the equal sovereignty claim seriously and argues that the Clean Air Act waiver provision remains constitutional under the equal sovereignty principle. Part I provides relevant background on the waiver provision and history of California’s waiver requests. It then summarizes the equal sovereignty principle arguments made in the pending Ohio v. EPA lawsuit and provides relevant history on how courts have applied the principle leading up to Shelby County v. Holder,22Shelby County v. Holder, 570 U.S. 529, 540 (2013). the first time the Supreme Court held a statute unconstitutional based on the equal sovereignty principle. Part II argues that the equal sovereignty principle does not apply to the Clean Air Act, but even if it were to apply, the test from Shelby County does not invalidate the Clean Air Act waiver provision. This Note concludes by offering final thoughts on the equal sovereignty claim and underscoring the implications of Ohio v. EPA in California’s ability to continue to lead the nation in addressing GHG emissions.

I.  BACKGROUND

A.  The Clean Air Act and EPA Waiver Provision

California’s ability to implement its own motor vehicle standards stems from the Clean Air Act. Congress passed the Clean Air Act in response to air pollution crises in the mid-20th century resulting from industrialization.23Clean Air Act Requirements and History, EPA, https://www.epa.gov/clean-air-act-overview/clean-air-act-requirements-and-history [https://perma.cc/HL9S-DUXJ]. “Killer fog” events, where a deadly mix of pollution and fog covered cities in the United States and around the world, spurred federal regulation of air pollution.24The 1948 Donora, Pennsylvania killer fog killed at least 20 people and left 5,900 ill. Lorraine Boissoneault, The Deadly Donora Smog of 1948 Spurred Environmental Protection—But Have We Forgotten the Lesson?, Smithsonian (Oct. 26, 2018), https://www.smithsonianmag.com/history/deadly-donora-smog-1948-spurred-environmental-protection-have-we-forgotten-lesson-180970533 [https://perma.cc/QXH6-BJ4N]; Elizabeth T. Jacobs, Jefferey L. Burgess & Mark B. Abbott, The Donora Smog Revisited: 70 Years After the Event That Inspired the Clean Air Act, 108 Am. J. Pub. Health S2, S85–S88 (2018). The 1952 London Killer Fog killed between 8,000 and 12,000 people. Christopher Klein, When the Great Smog Smothered London, History (Dec. 6, 2012), https://www.history.com/news/the-killer-fog-that-blanketed-london-60-years-ago [https://perma.cc/BS36-3M7Z]. In 1955, Congress enacted the Air Pollution Control Act, the first national air pollution legislation.25Air Pollution Control Act of 1955, Pub. L. No. 84-159, 69 Stat. 322, 322. Continuing “killer fog” incidents in the United States then prompted Congress to pass the 1963 Clean Air Act, which established grant and research programs to support states in their air pollution control efforts but left air pollution regulation primarily to the states.26Clean Air Act of 1963, Pub. L. No. 88-206, 77 Stat. 392, 393.

California was the first state to regulate emissions from cars.27History, Cal. Air Res. Bd., https://ww2.arb.ca.gov/about/history [https://perma.cc/BA4F-FJXN]. The first recognized episodes of smog occurred in Los Angeles in 1943, and in the 1950s, a California researcher determined that the automobile was the main cause of the smog.28Id.; Timeline of Major Accomplishments in Transportation, Air Pollution, and Climate Change, EPA, https://www.epa.gov/transportation-air-pollution-and-climate-change/timeline-major-accomplishments-transportation-air [https://perma.cc/ZS88-ZEXJ]. In 1966, California established the first tailpipe emissions standards in the nation.29Cal. Air Res. Bd., supra note 27.

Congress continued to enact new statutes in response to California’s regulations.30The 1967 Air Quality Act regulations for controlling motor vehicle emissions “were patterned after those . . . in effect in California.” 113 Cong. Rec. S32478 (daily ed. Nov. 14, 1967) (remarks by Sen. George Murphy of California). The 1967 Air Quality Act amended the 1963 Clean Air Act, moving towards a uniform federal policy by requiring national air quality criteria, which states would then implement.31Air Quality Act of 1967, Pub. L. No. 90-148, 81 Stat. 485, 485–86. It was also the first statute to give preemptive power to the federal government to adopt and enforce standards relating to the control of emissions from new motor vehicles.32Id. at 501. However, Congress added a waiver provision exempting California from the preemption provision when California could demonstrate a need for more stringent standards than those the EPA established.33“The Secretary shall . . . waive application of [federal preemption] . . . to any State which has adopted standards . . . for the control of emissions from new motor vehicles or new motor vehicle engines prior to March 30, 1966, unless he finds that such State does not require standards more stringent than applicable Federal standards to meet compelling and extraordinary conditions . . . .” Air Quality Act of 1967, Pub. L. No. 90-148, § 208(b), 81 Stat. 485, 501. While the waiver does not reference California by name, it was clearly intended for California because California was the only state that met the requirement of adopting motor vehicle emission standards prior to March 30, 1966.34H.R. Rep. No. 90-728, at 49 (1967). Thus, Congress acknowledged California’s expertise early on in the history of federal air pollution regulation.

In fact, the Clean Air Act is a paradigmatic example of cooperative federalism, under which “States and the Federal Government [are] partners in the struggle against air pollution.”35Gen. Motors Corp. v. United States, 496 U.S. 530, 532 (1990). The federal preemption provision reflects Congress’s interest in allowing automobile manufacturers to produce uniform automobiles for a national market and benefit from the economies of large-scale production without having to accommodate multiple state standards.36H.R. Rep. No. 90-728, at 21 (1967); see also id. at 50. Congress acknowledged the complex nature of automobile manufacturing and noted the importance of ensuring that automobile manufacturers obtain “clear and consistent answers” concerning emission standards.37Id. at 21. Courts have also interpreted that Congress preempted the field of vehicle emission regulation “to ensure uniformity throughout the nation, and to avoid the undue burden on motor vehicle manufacturers which would result from different state standards.”38Motor Vehicle Mfrs. Ass’n v. New York State Dep’t. of Env’t. Conservation, 810 F. Supp. 1331, 1337 (N.D.N.Y. 1993), aff’d in part, rev’d in part, 17 F.3d 521 (2d Cir. 1994). However, given California’s lead in early motor vehicle regulations and Congress’s additional interest in having California as a “laboratory for innovation,”39Motor & Equip. Mfrs. Ass’n v. EPA (MEMA I), 627 F.2d 1095, 1111 (D.C. Cir. 1979). Congress intentionally struck a balance between having one national standard and fifty different state standards by authorizing just two standards, the national and California standards.40See S. Rep. No. 90-403, at 33 (1967) (“California’s unique problems and pioneering efforts justified a waiver . . . .[I]n the 15 years that auto emission standards have been debated and discussed, only the State of California has demonstrated compelling and extraordinary circumstances sufficiently different from the Nation as a whole . . . .”); 113 Cong. Rec. H30975 (daily ed. Nov. 2, 1967) (remarks by Rep. John Moss) (“[The California waiver] permits California to continue a role of leadership which it has occupied among the States of this Union for at least the last two decades . . . . [I]t offers a unique laboratory, with all of the resources necessary, to develop effective control devices which can become a part of the resources of this Nation and contribute significantly to the lessening of the growing problems of air pollution throughout the Nation.”); see also Engine Mfrs. Ass’n v. EPA, 88 F.3d 1075, 1080 (D.C. Cir. 1996) (“Rather than being faced with 51 different standards, as they had feared, or with only one, as they had sought, manufacturers must cope with two regulatory standards . . . .”); Motor & Equip. Mfrs. Ass’n v. Nichols (MEMA II), 142 F.3d 449, 463 (D.C. Cir. 1998). This balance allowed California to continue to innovate and improve its air quality without creating a practical nightmare for automakers and interstate commerce.41Members of Congress favored states’ rights, but also were concerned that having 50 different sets of requirements related to emissions controls would “unduly burden interstate commerce.” H.R. Rep. No. 95-294, at 309 (1977).

The 1970 Clean Air Act Amendments, which form the basis of the contemporary federal Clean Air Act, authorized the development of federal and state regulations to limit emissions from stationary (industrial) and mobile sources (including automobiles).42Clean Air Act Amendments of 1970, Pub. L. No. 91-604, 84 Stat. 1676, 1678; Evolution of the Clean Air Act, EPA, https://www.epa.gov/clean-air-act-overview/evolution-clean-air-act [https://perma.cc/7XMF-6QVB]. Section 109 requires the EPA Administrator to establish basic requirements for ambient air quality, known as National Ambient Air Quality Standards (“NAAQS”), for particular criteria pollutants, which the states would be required to meet.43Clean Air Act Amendments of 1970, Pub. L. No. 91-604, § 109(a)(1), § 110(a)(1), 84 Stat. 1676, 1679–80. The current list of criteria pollutants includes sulfur dioxide, particulate matter, nitrogen oxide, carbon monoxide, ozone, and lead, but does not include carbon dioxide.44Criteria Air Pollutants, EPA, https://www.epa.gov/criteria-air-pollutants [https://perma.cc/Y9JR-T8K6].

In 1977, Congress revised the provision to read as it does today. Section 202(a)(1) requires the EPA Administrator to establish motor vehicle emissions standards for pollutants “which, in his judgment, cause or contribute to air pollution which may reasonably be anticipated to endanger public health or welfare.”45Clean Air Act Amendments of 1977, Pub. L. No. 95-95, § 401(d)(1), 91 Stat. 685, 791. The 1977 Clean Air Act Amendments strengthened the deference given to California under the waiver provision in two significant ways. First, the 1977 Amendments revised section 209(b)(1) by requiring the EPA Administrator to grant a preemption waiver for California “if the State determines that the State standards will be, in the aggregate, at least as protective of public health and welfare as applicable Federal standards.”46Clean Air Act Amendments of 1977, Pub. L. No. 95-95, § 207, 91 Stat. 685, 755 (emphasis added). This amendment allows California, rather than the EPA, to make its own determination as to whether the regulations are sufficiently protective of public health and welfare. It also allows California to make this determination by looking at the entire program as a whole, rather than evaluating each regulation individually. Thus, as long as the entire set of regulations is more protective than the federal system, the EPA must allow California to implement these measures. The EPA Administrator can deny the waiver only if the state’s determination is “arbitrary and capricious” or the state does not need its standards to meet “compelling and extraordinary conditions.”47Id. Second, the 1977 Amendments added section 177, which enhanced the strength of California’s motor vehicle emissions regulations by allowing other states to adopt California’s approved standards in lieu of the federal standards.48Clean Air Act Amendments of 1977, Pub. L. No. 95-95, § 177, 91 Stat. 685, 750. According to the House Report, the Committee on Interstate and Foreign Commerce makes clear that it sought to “ratify and strengthen the California waiver provision . . . to afford California the broadest possible discretion in selecting the best means to protect the health of its citizens and the public welfare.”49H.R. Rep. No. 95-294, at 301–02 (1977). The legislative and statutory history thus suggests that Congress intended to give California broad discretion to regulate air pollutants in the way it deems most appropriate to protect public health and welfare.

B.  History of California’s Motor Vehicle Regulations and Waiver Requests

The Clean Air Act section 209(b)(1) waiver reflects a five-decade history of allowing California to implement motor vehicle emissions standards that are more stringent than federal government standards.50Pollution Standards Authorized by the California Waiver: A Crucial Tool for Fighting Air Pollution Now and in the Future, Cal. Air Res. Bd. (Sept. 17, 2019), https://ww2.arb.ca.gov/resources/fact-sheets/pollution-standards-authorized-california-waiver-crucial-tool-fighting-air [https://perma.cc/P6EX-HUGH]; Emily Wimberger & Hannah Pitt, Come and Take It: Revoking the California Waiver, Rhodium Grp. (Oct. 28, 2019), https://rhg.com/research/come-and-take-it-revoking-the-california-waiver [https://perma.cc/3Q28-6RBA] (“Since 1970, the federal government has granted California over 100 waivers . . . .”); see Vehicle Emissions California Waivers and Authorizations, EPA, https://www.epa.gov/state-and-local-transportation/vehicle-emissions-california-waivers-and-authorizations [https://perma.cc/VA5H-RSVG] (documenting all the waivers the EPA has granted). California was granted its first waiver in 1968 and has since received over one hundred waivers for a range of new or amended motor vehicle and motor vehicle engine standards.51Pollution Standards Authorized by the California Waiver: A Crucial Tool for Fighting Air Pollution Now and in the Future, Cal. Air Res. Bd. (Sept. 17, 2019), https://ww2.arb.ca.gov/resources/fact-sheets/pollution-standards-authorized-california-waiver-crucial-tool-fighting-air [https://perma.cc/P6EX-HUGH]; Vehicle Emissions California Waivers and Authorizations, EPA, https://www.epa.gov/state-and-local-transportation/vehicle-emissions-california-waivers-and-authorizations [https://perma.cc/VA5H-RSVG] (documenting all the waivers the EPA has granted). Smog in Los Angeles initially spurred California to adopt statewide standards to regulate criteria pollutants,52See infra Section I.A. and CARB has consistently developed the first emission standards in the nation.53The California Air Resources Board (“CARB”) developed the nation’s first tailpipe emissions standards for hydrocarbons and carbon monoxide in 1966, oxides of nitrogen in 1971, and particulate matter from diesel-fueled vehicles in 1982, as well as catalytic converters in the 1970s. More recently, CARB has delved into regulations seeking to mitigate climate change by encouraging Low-Emission Vehicles (“LEVs”). It promulgated LEV regulations that established criteria pollutant regulations for light and medium-duty vehicles in 1990 for the 1994–2003 model years (LEV I), and in 1999 for the 2004 model year and after (LEV II). Low-Emission Vehicle Program, Cal. Air Res. Bd., https://ww2.arb.ca.gov/our-work/programs/low-emission-vehicle-program/about [https://perma.cc/R7KV-ME7L]; Low-Emission Vehicle (LEV II) Program, Cal. Air Res. Bd., https://ww2.arb.ca.gov/our-work/programs/advanced-clean-cars-program/lev-program/low-emission-vehicle-lev-ii-program [https://perma.cc/MG4U-3U6M].

As California transitioned from regulating criteria pollutants to promulgating regulations that address GHG emissions, certain EPA administrations began to challenge its waiver requests, leading to the ping-ponging back and forth between administrations. In 2002, recognizing that global warming would impose “compelling and extraordinary impacts” on California, the state enacted Assembly Bill (AB) 1493, Chapter 200.54Assemb. B. 1493, Ch. 200, 2001–2002 Leg. Reg. Sess. (Cal. 2002). The bill acknowledged that motor vehicle emissions are a major source of the state’s GHG emissions and that reducing GHG emissions is critical to slowing down the effects of global warming and protecting public health and the environment.55Id. The bill directed CARB to adopt regulations that achieve the “maximum feasible . . . reduction of greenhouse gas emissions” from passenger vehicles, beginning with the 2009 model year.56Id. Thus, in 2004, CARB approved the first regulations in the nation that control GHG emissions from motor vehicles (Pavley regulations), which applied to new vehicles for the 2009–2016 model years.57Low-Emission Vehicle Program, Cal. Air Res. Bd., supra note 53.

In December 2005, CARB requested a waiver to allow California to enforce its new GHG emission standards.58California’s Greenhouse Gas Vehicle Emission Standards Under Assembly Bill 1493 of 2002 (Pavley), Cal. Air Res. Bd., https://ww2.arb.ca.gov/californias-greenhouse-gas-vehicle-emission-standards-under-assembly-bill-1493-2002-pavley [https://perma.cc/6T52-5YNF]. The EPA delayed action pending the outcome of litigation regarding whether the EPA had authority to regulate GHG emissions under the Clean Air Act, as the Clean Air Act did not explicitly regulate GHG emissions at the time.59Letter from John B. Stephenson, Director, Natural Resources and Environment, to Congressional Requesters (Jan. 16, 2009) (on file with the United States Government Accountability Office). The Supreme Court addressed GHG emissions for the first time in Massachusetts v. EPA, holding in a 5-4 decision that carbon dioxide is considered an “air pollutant” that the EPA may regulate under section 202(a)(1) of the Clean Air Act.60Massachusetts v. EPA, 549 U.S. 497, 532 (2007). Thus, the Court held that the EPA has the statutory authority to regulate GHG emissions from new motor vehicles and that Congress provided the EPA with the flexibility to address new air pollutant threats that the EPA determines endanger the public welfare.61Id.

Despite the Supreme Court ruling, in March 2008, the Bush administration’s EPA denied the waiver for the Pavley regulations, which was the first time the EPA denied a waiver for California.62California State Motor Vehicle Pollution Control Standards, Notice of Decision Denying a Waiver of Clean Air Act Preemption, 73 Fed. Reg. 12156, 12157 (Mar. 6, 2008) [hereinafter 2008 Waiver Denial]. In its decision, the EPA deviated from the traditional interpretation of the “compelling and extraordinary” waiver criteria6342 U.S.C. § 7543(b)(1); see Rachel L. Chanin, California’s Authority to Regulate Mobile Source Greenhouse Gas Emissions, 58 N.Y.U. Ann. Surv. Am. L. 699, 723 (2001); California State Motor Vehicle Pollution Control Standards, 49 Fed. Reg. 18887, 18889–92 (May 3, 1984). to narrowly interpret that Congress authorized the EPA to grant a waiver only when “California standards were necessary to address peculiar local air quality problems,” as opposed to global climate change problems.642008 Waiver Denial, 73 Fed. Reg. at 12161. Unlike California’s previous motor vehicle programs, which addressed local smog problems, the GHG emission standards aimed to address climate change. Thus, the EPA determined that California did not need its new motor vehicle standards to meet “compelling and extraordinary” conditions related to GHG emissions because emissions from California cars “become one part of the global pool of GHG emissions”65Id. at 12160. and do not directly cause elevated concentrations of GHGs in the region.66Id. at 12162 (“The local climate and topography in California have no significant impact on the long-term atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases in California.”). Alternatively, the EPA determined that because climate change is a global issue, the impacts of climate change in California were not sufficiently unique and different.67Id. at 12168.

In July 2009, the Obama administration’s EPA reversed the 2008 denial and granted California’s waiver request to enforce its GHG emission standards for model year 2009 and later new motor vehicles.68Notice of Decision Granting a Waiver of Clean Air Act Preemption, 74 Fed. Reg. 32744, 32746 (July 8, 2009) [hereinafter 2009 Waiver Grant]. As the EPA stated, CARB has repeatedly demonstrated the need for its motor vehicle program to address “compelling and extraordinary” conditions in California, and Congress did not intend to allow California to address only local or regional air pollution problems.69Id. at 32761. Rather, Congress intended California to have broad discretion and autonomy, acting as a pioneer and a “laboratory for innovation.”70Id. (citing Motor & Equip. Mfrs. Ass’n v. EPA (MEMA I), 627 F.2d 1095, 1111 (D.C. Cir. 1979)); see S. Rep. No. 90-403, at 33 (1967) (“The Nation will have the benefit of California’s experience with lower standards which will require new control systems and design. In fact California will continue to be the testing area for such lower standards and should those efforts to achieve lower emission levels be successful it is expected that the Secretary will . . . give serious consideration to strengthening the Federal standards.”). Thus, narrowing the waiver’s scope would hinder California from implementing motor vehicle programs “as it deems appropriate to protect the health and welfare of its citizens.”712009 Waiver Grant, 74 Fed. Reg. at 32761. In contrast to the 2008 EPA’s reasoning, the 2009 EPA determined that the impacts of global climate change can exacerbate the local air pollution problem.72Id. at 32763. It found compelling California’s assessment that its GHG standards are linked to improving California’s smog problems and that higher temperatures from global warming will exacerbate California’s high ozone levels and the “climate, topography, and population factors conducive to smog formation in California, which were the driving forces behind Congress’s inclusion of the waiver provision in the Clean Air Act.”73Id. The EPA noted that California’s GHG regulations will reduce greenhouse gas concentrations, even if only slightly, and “every small reduction is helpful . . . .”74Id. at 32766. Given California’s unique geographical and climatic conditions that foster extreme air quality issues, its ongoing need for dramatic emissions reductions, and growth in its vehicle population and use, the EPA determined that California’s need met “compelling and extraordinary” conditions.75Id. at 32760. Still, the EPA acknowledged that “conditions in California may one day improve such that it no longer has the need for a separate motor vehicle program.”76Id. at 32762.

In 2012, CARB adopted the Advanced Clean Cars I (“ACC I”) regulations to increase the stringency of criteria pollutant and GHG emission standards for new passenger vehicles for the 2015–2025 model years.77The regulations consisted of two programs: (1) the Low Emission Vehicle program, designed for cars to emit 75% less smog-forming pollution (criteria pollutants) than the average car sold in 2012 and to reduce GHG emissions by about 40% from 2012 model year vehicles by 2025; and (2) the Zero Emission Vehicle program, which requires manufacturers to ensure that about 22% of their California sales consist of zero-emission vehicles and plug-in hybrids by 2025. Advanced Clean Cars Program, Cal. Air Res. Bd., https://ww2.arb.ca.gov/our-work/programs/advanced-clean-cars-program/about [https://perma.cc/W2R9-KFF7]. In 2013, the Obama administration’s EPA granted California a waiver for its ACC I regulations.78Notice of Decision Granting a Waiver of Clean Air Act Preemption, 78 Fed. Reg. 2112, 2145 (Jan. 9, 2013) [hereinafter 2013 Waiver Grant]. The EPA largely followed the 2009 waiver decision in determining that the new standards continued to meet “compelling and extraordinary” conditions.79Id. at 2131. The EPA found a rational connection between CARB’s emission standards and long-term air quality goals,80Id. (“Whether or not the ZEV standards achieve additional reductions by themselves above and beyond the LEV III GHG and criteria pollutant standards, the LEV III program overall does achieve such reductions, and EPA defers to California’s policy choice of the appropriate technology path to pursue to achieve these emissions reductions.”). The long-term goals were to have ZEVs be nearly 100% of new vehicle sales between 2040 and 2050, and reduce GHG emissions by 80% below 1990 levels by 2050. Id. at 2131–32. as well as compelling and extraordinary conditions within the state pertaining to the effects of pollution.81CARB noted: “Record-setting fires, deadly heat waves, destructive storm surges, loss of winter snowpack—California has experienced all of these in the past decade and will experience more in the coming decades . . . . In California, extreme events such as floods, heat waves, droughts and severe storms will increase in frequency and intensity. Many of these extreme events have the potential to dramatically affect human health and well-being, critical infrastructure and natural systems.” Id. at 2129.

In September 2019, in an unprecedented move, the Trump administration’s EPA revoked the 2013 waiver, marking the first time the EPA retroactively withdrew a previously granted waiver.82The Safer Affordable Fuel-Efficient (SAFE) Vehicles Rule Part One: One National Program, 84 Fed. Reg. 51310, 51310 (Sept. 27, 2019) [hereinafter 2019 Waiver Withdrawal]. The EPA and National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) issued a joint rulemaking that withdrew the waiver of California’s GHG and ZEV standards that were part of the ACC I program. The EPA went a step further than its 2008 waiver decision, narrowly interpreting that “Congress did not intend the waiver provision . . . to be applied to California measures that address pollution problems of a national or global nature,” but only conditions “extraordinary” with respect to California; that is, “with a particularized nexus to emissions in California and to topographical or other features peculiar to California.”83Id. at 51347. The EPA argued that climate change caused by carbon dioxide emissions is not a local air pollution problem and that California’s new motor vehicle standards deviated too far from what Congress intended in granting California a waiver.84Id. at 51350 n.285 (“Attempting to solve climate change, even in part, through the Section 209 waiver provision is fundamentally different from that section’s original purpose of addressing smog-related air quality problems.”) (quoting the SAFE proposal). The EPA concluded that California’s GHG standards were missing a specific connection to local features, and thus excluded GHG regulation from the scope of the waiver.85Id. at 51347, 51350.

In March 2022, the Biden administration’s EPA rescinded the 2019 waiver withdrawal, restoring the 2013 waiver and California’s authority to enforce its GHG emission standards and ZEV sales mandate.86Advanced Clean Car Program; Reconsideration of a Previous Withdrawal of a Waiver of Preemption; Notice of Decision, 87 Fed. Reg. 14332, 14332 (Mar. 14, 2022) [hereinafter 2022 Waiver Reconsideration]. In determining that California has a compelling need for its GHG standards and ZEV sales mandate, the EPA essentially reverted back to its 2013 analysis, maintaining that pollution continues to pose a distinct problem in California.87Id. at 14352–53, 14367. The EPA saw no reason to distinguish between local and global air pollutants, reasoning that all pollutants play a role in California’s local air quality problems and that the EPA should provide deference to California in its comprehensive policy choices for addressing them.88Id. at 14363. The 2022 EPA refuted the 2019 EPA’s premise that GHG emissions from motor vehicles in California do not pose a local air quality issue,89Id. at 14365–66. noting that criteria pollution and GHGs have interrelated and interconnected impacts on local air quality.90“[T]he Agency [in SAFE 1] failed to take proper account of the nature and magnitude of California’s serious air quality problems, including the interrelationship between criteria and GHG pollution.” Id. at 14334. “The air quality issues and pollutants addressed in the ACC program are interconnected in terms of the impacts of climate change on such local air quality concerns such as ozone exacerbation and climate effects on wildfires that affect local air quality.” Id. at 14334 n.10. CARB also attributed GHG emissions reductions to vehicles in California, projecting that the standards will reduce car CO2 emissions by about 4.9% a year. Id. at 14366.

Congress recently expanded the Clean Air Act to include GHGs, clarifying that GHGs are pollutants under the Clean Air Act. On August 16, 2022, President Biden signed the Inflation Reduction Act into law, the single largest climate package in U.S. history, which will invest almost $370 billion in clean energy and other climate-related measures over the next ten years, and is expected to reduce U.S. carbon emissions by 40% by 2030 compared to 2005 levels.91The White House, Building a Clean Energy Economy: A Guidebook to the Inflation Reduction Act’s Investments in Clean Energy and Climate Action 5–6 (2023); Summary: The Inflation Reduction Act of 2022, Senate Democrats, https://www.democrats.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/inflation_reduction_act_one_page_summary.pdf [https://perma.cc/Z4ED-W32A]. The Act reinforces the EPA’s authority to regulate GHGs under the Clean Air Act, amending sections of the Clean Air Act to define “greenhouse gas” to include “the air pollutants carbon dioxide, hydrofluorocarbons, methane, nitrous oxide, perfluorocarbons, and sulfur hexafluoride.”92Inflation Reduction Act of 2022, Pub. L. No. 117-169, § 132(d)(4), 136 Stat. 1818, 2067. It also grants money under the Clean Air Act for any project that “reduces or avoids greenhouse gas emissions and other forms of air pollution.”93Id. § 134(c)(3)(A), 136 Stat. 1818, 2064. This language supports that Congress fully intends to include GHGs in the Clean Air Act and that California is acting within the scope of the Clean Air Act in implementing its forward-looking motor vehicle emissions regulations.

C.  Pending Lawsuit—Ohio v. EPA

Similar to its prior motor vehicle regulations, California will need to request a preemption waiver from the EPA under section 209(b)(1) of the Clean Air Act to regulate post-2025 vehicles. In the meantime, the Biden administration’s EPA’s latest March 2022 waiver decision prompted Republican-led states and private petitioners to challenge the constitutionality of the Clean Air Act waiver provision, making the case highly relevant for California’s ability to regulate motor vehicle emissions in the future.94Brief for Petitioners, supra note 19, at 28. In May 2022, seventeen states filed a lawsuit in the U.S. Court of Appeals for the D.C. Circuit (Ohio v. EPA), claiming, inter alia, that the section 209(b)(1) waiver provision violates the equal sovereignty principle because it limits state political authority unequally by allowing only California to set new car emission standards and “exercise sovereign authority that section 209(a) takes from every other State.”95Id. Under this principle, the petitioners alleged, Congress cannot give only some states favorable treatment of sovereignty authority, as it has done with California.96Id. at 26. Even if section 209(b)(1) allowed California to regulate unique state-specific issues, the petitioners argued that the waiver would still be unconstitutional because it allows California to regulate GHGs to address climate change, which is not a problem unique to California.97Id. at 13. The petitioners disagreed with the Biden administration’s EPA’s statement that “California is particularly impacted by climate change,”982022 Waiver Reconsideration, 87 Fed. Reg. at 14363. arguing that other states will be impacted just as much, if not more, from climate change.99Brief for Petitioners, supra note 19, at 32.

The petitioner states also took issue with the idea of giving one state power to regulate a major national industry.100“A federal law giving one State special power to regulate a major national industry contradicts the notion of a Union of sovereign States.” Id. at 29–30. The states argued that California’s “special treatment” under the Clean Air Act—giving California special power to regulate a major national industry and exercise sovereign authority that the Act withdraws from every other state, when California has no unique interest101Id. at 26.—violates the Constitution’s intent to hold all states equal.102Id. at 30. “Instead of allowing all States with a unique environmental concern to seek a waiver, it accords special treatment to a category of States defined to forever include only California and to forever exclude all other States, without regard to whether other States face their own localized environmental concerns.” Id. at 30. In a separate brief, a group of private petitioners, including the American Fuel & Petrochemical Manufacturers and Clean Fuels Development Coalition, argued that the equal sovereignty principle does not allow the federal government to give only one state the authority to regulate national and international issues.103Initial Brief for Private Petitioners at 15, Ohio v. EPA, No. 22-1081 (D.C. Cir. Oct. 24, 2022). They claimed that any mandate to shift the nation’s automobile fleet to electric vehicles must come from Congress, because such a shift would “substantially restructure the American automobile market, petroleum industry, agricultural sectors, and the electric grid, at enormous cost and risk.”104Id. at 23. The private petitioners cited the recent West Virginia v. EPA decision, which essentially restricted the EPA’s authority to regulate GHG emissions from power plants.105See id. at 23; West Virginia v. EPA, 142 S. Ct. 2587, 2612, 2615–16 (2022). Applying the major questions doctrine,106The major questions doctrine states that if an agency seeks to decide an issue of major national significance—that is, in cases where the “history and breadth of the authority” an agency asserts or the “economic and political significance” of that assertion is extraordinary—its action must be supported by clear congressional authorization. Id. at 2607–08. See Kate R. Bowers, Cong. Rsch. Serv., IF12077, The Major Questions Doctrine 1 (2022) (providing an overview of the major questions doctrine). the Court held that the EPA must point to “clear congressional authorization”107 West Virginia, 142 S. Ct. at 2609 (quoting Util. Air Regul. Grp. v. EPA, 573 U.S. 302, 324 (2014)). to justify its regulatory authority in “extraordinary cases” when the EPA asserts broad authority in an area of “economic and political significance.”108West Virginia, 142 S. Ct. at 2608–09 (quoting FDA v. Brown & Williamson Tobacco Corp., 529 U.S. 120, 159–60 (2000)). The case centers around the Clean Power Plan, a regulation the EPA issued in 2015 that would have curbed carbon emissions from existing coal and gas plants via “‘generation shifting from higher-emitting to lower-emitting’ producers of electricity.” Id. at 2603 (quoting Carbon Pollution Emission Guidelines for Existing Stationary Sources: Electric Utility Generating Units, 80 Fed. Reg. 64728 (Oct. 23, 2015) (to be codified at 40 C.F.R. pt. 60)). The decision was the first time the Supreme Court has used the term “major questions doctrine” in a majority opinion. Bowers, supra note 106, at 2. The Court concluded that the EPA does not have the authority to “substantially restructure the American energy market . . . .”109West Virginia, 142 S. Ct. at 2610. If the EPA cannot upend energy generation in the country, as West Virginia v. EPA held, then, the petitioners argued, California similarly cannot “upend the transportation and energy sectors.”110Initial Brief for Private Petitioners, supra note 104, at 19–20. The petitioners further argued that section 177 also allows California to shape national industries, which may burden the states that decline to adopt California’s standards.111Id. at 54.

On the other hand, several electric utility providers, clean energy industry groups, and auto manufacturers have backed California.112Goldberg, supra note 13. A few automakers have indicated that they support the more stringent California standards. In July 2019, CARB reached a voluntary agreement with four major automakers—BMW of North America, Ford, Honda, and Volkswagen Group of America—to adopt a modified version of the GHG standards.113California and Major Automakers Reach Groundbreaking Framework Agreement on Clean Emission Standards, Cal. Air Res. Bd. (July 5, 2019), https://ww2.arb.ca.gov/news/california-and-major-automakers-reach-groundbreaking-framework-agreement-clean-emission [https://perma.cc/52VH-PCLS]. Building on this voluntary framework, in 2020, Volvo joined the four automakers in agreeing to a 17% emissions cut through the 2026 model year.114Framework Agreements on Clean Cars, Cal. Air Res. Bd. (Aug. 17, 2020), https://ww2.arb.ca.gov/news/framework-agreements-clean-cars [https://perma.cc/EN78-JR87]. The automakers filed a motion to intervene to defend the EPA’s March 2022 decision.115Ford Motor Co., Volkswagen Grp. of Am., Inc., BMW of N. Am., LLC, Am. Honda Motor Co., Inc., and Volvo Car USA LLC, Motion to Intervene in Support of Respondents, Ohio v. EPA, No. 22-1081 (D.C. Cir. June 7, 2022).

To date, the Supreme Court has not addressed the constitutionality of the Clean Air Act under the equal sovereignty principle. In its 2019 decision revoking the 2013 California waiver, the Trump administration’s EPA interpreted the statutory criteria in the context of the equal sovereignty principle, explaining that section 209(b)(1) provides “extraordinary treatment” to California and therefore should be interpreted to require a “state-specific particularized” pollution problem.1162019 Waiver Withdrawal, 84 Fed. Reg. at 51340. In contrast, in its 2022 waiver grant, the Biden administration’s EPA noted that it has historically declined to consider constitutional issues, reviewing the waiver solely based on the section 209(b)(1) criteria because the statute and legislative history reflect a broad policy of deference to California to address its air quality problems.1172022 Waiver Reconsideration, 87 Fed. Reg. at 14376. This interpretation has been upheld by the U.S. Court of Appeals for the D.C. Circuit. See Motor & Equip. Mfrs. Ass’n v. EPA (MEMA I), 627 F.2d 1095, 1115 (D.C. Cir. 1979) (declining to consider whether California standards are constitutional); Am. Trucking Ass’ns. v. EPA, 600 F.3d 624, 628 n.1 (D.C. Cir. 2010) (declining to express a view on a constitutional challenge to the California standards). In both cases, the Court upheld prior EPA decisions to not consider constitutional objections. Although equal sovereignty presented a new constitutional argument, the EPA limited its role in evaluating waiver requests to “the criteria that Congress directed EPA to review.”1182022 Waiver Reconsideration, 87 Fed. Reg. at 14376. Nevertheless, the Biden administration’s EPA briefly addressed the equal sovereignty principle, arguing that the waiver does not impose a burden on any state and that Section 177, in enabling other states to adopt California’s standards, undermines the notion that the section 209(b)(1) waiver treats California in an extraordinary manner.119Id. at 14356. Rather, in deliberately compromising between having one national standard and fifty different state standards by authorizing just two—the federal standard and California’s standards—Congress allowed California to be a “laboratory for innovation” and address the state’s extraordinary pollution problems, while ensuring that automakers were not overburdened with varying state standards.120Id. at 14360, 14377.

D.  California’s Advanced Clean Cars II Regulations

California recently promulgated the Advanced Clean Cars II (“ACC II”) regulations in the shadow of the pending Ohio v. EPA lawsuit. ACC II stems from an executive order Governor Gavin Newsom signed in September 2020 directing CARB to develop regulations contributing to the goal that 100% of in-state sales of new passenger cars and trucks will be zero-emission by 2035.121Cal. Exec. Order No. N-79-20 (Sept. 23, 2020), https://www.gov.ca.gov/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/9.23.20-EO-N-79-20-Climate.pdf [https://perma.cc/F4SE-B5AB]. As a point of comparison, in 2022, nearly 19% of all new light-duty vehicles sold in the state were electric vehicles. New ZEV Sales in California, Cal. Energy Comm’n, https://www.energy.ca.gov/data-reports/energy-almanac/zero-emission-vehicle-and-infrastructure-statistics/new-zev-sales [https://perma.cc/TDY9-TXST]. As a result of the executive order, on August 25, 2022, CARB promulgated a new regulation, the ACC II program, phasing out all sales of new fossil fuel cars by 2035.122Cal. Air Res. Bd., supra note 1. The regulation requires that automakers increase the percentage of electric vehicles progressively, nearly tripling it to 35% by 2026 and reaching 100% by 2035 (see Figure 1).123Cal. Air Res. Bd., supra note 3.

Figure 1.  Percentage of new vehicle sales that must be zero-emission vehicles

The ACC II regulations amend the ZEV and LEV standards for model years 2026–2035,124Cal. Air Res. Bd., supra note 77. The ACC II regulations: (1) amend the ZEV regulation to require an increasing number of zero-emission vehicles, and rely on advanced vehicle technologies, including battery-electric, hydrogen fuel cell electric and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles, to meet air quality and climate change emissions standards; and (2) amend the LEV regulations to include increasingly stringent standards for gasoline cars and heavier passenger trucks to continue to reduce smog-forming emissions while the sector transitions toward 100% electrification by 2035. Cal. Air Res. Bd., supra note 1. following the ACC I regulations, which address model year 2015–2025 vehicles.125Cal. Air Res. Bd., supra note 1. CARB estimates that the new regulations will reduce vehicle GHG emissions by more than 50% by 2040.126Goldberg, supra note 13. Thus, the decision from Ohio v. EPA will have implications for California’s ability to implement standards including the ACC II program going forward.

E.  The Equal Sovereignty Principle

The Supreme Court didn’t develop the equal sovereignty principle as a meaningful concept until Shelby County v. Holder in 2013,127Shelby County v. Holder, 570 U.S. 529, 540 (2013); see Equal Sovereignty Five Years After Shelby County, Harv. C.R.-C.L. L. Rev.: Amicus Blog (Oct. 31, 2018), https://harvardcrcl.org/equal-sovereignty-five-years-after-shelby-county [https://perma.cc/S5G8-QSAQ]. in which the Supreme Court held a statute (the Voting Rights Act) unconstitutional based on the equal sovereignty principle for the first time. The Court did not clarify what constitutional provision this principle is based on.128See Amdt 10.4.3 Equal Sovereignty Doctrine, Const. Annotated, https://constitution.congress.gov/browse/essay/amdt10-4-3/ALDE_00013628 [https://perma.cc/US7J-4YU9]. Although the Constitution requires equal treatment among the states in particular contexts,129See, e.g., U.S. Const. art. I, § 3, cl. 1 (“The Senate of the United States shall be composed of two Senators from each State . . . .”); U.S. Const. art. I, § 8, cl. 1 (requiring “Duties, Imposts and Excises” to be “uniform throughout the United States”); U.S. Const. art. I, § 8, cl. 4 (requiring “a uniform Rule of Naturalization” and “uniform Laws on the subject of Bankruptcies throughout the United States”); U.S. Const. art. I, § 9, cl. 6 (“No Preference shall be given by any Regulation of Commerce or Revenue to the Ports of one State over those of another . . . .”); U.S. Const. art. IV, § 1 (Full Faith and Credit Clause – “Full Faith and Credit shall be given in each State to the public Acts, Records, and judicial Proceedings of every other State.”); U.S. Const. art. IV, § 2, cl. 1 (Privileges and Immunities Clause – “The Citizens of each State shall be entitled to all Privileges and Immunities of Citizens in the several States.”); U.S. Const. art. V (“[N]o State, without its Consent, shall be deprived of its equal Suffrage in the Senate.”); U.S. Const. amend. XI. no provision explicitly requires Congress to treat all states equally as a general matter.130See Leah M. Litman, Inventing Equal Sovereignty, 114 Mich. L. Rev. 1207, 1230–32 (2016); Thomas B. Colby, In Defense of the Equal Sovereignty Principle, 65 Duke L.J. 1087, 1099–1100 (2016). This absence of an explicit statement could mean that the founders did not intend to establish a generally applicable equal sovereignty principle.131See Final Brief for Respondents at 33, Ohio v. EPA, No. 22-1081 (D.C. Cir. Mar. 20, 2023). Critics of Shelby County have claimed that the Supreme Court invented the equal sovereignty principle to achieve political ends.132See Abigail B. Molitor, Understanding Equal Sovereignty, 81 U. Chi. L. Rev. 1839, 1840 (2014); Litman, supra note 130. Judge Richard Posner, Chief Judge of the Seventh Circuit Court of Appeals, wrote regarding the equal sovereignty principle: “This is a principle of constitutional law of which I had never heard—for the excellent reason that . . . there is no such principle . . . . The opinion [Shelby County] rests on air.” Richard A. Posner, The Supreme Court and the Voting Rights Act: Striking Down the Law Is All About Conservatives’ Imagination, Slate (June 26, 2013, 12:16 AM), https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2013/06/the-supreme-court-and-the-voting-rights-act-striking-down-the-law-is-all-about-conservatives-imagination.html [https://perma.cc/P7WJ-62A7]. Other scholars argue that questions about the sovereign power of the states have existed since the drafting of the U.S. Constitution.133See Molitor, supra note 132, at 1877; Colby, supra note 130, at 1102; Valerie J.M. Brader, Congress’ Pet: Why the Clean Air Act’s Favoritism of California Is Unconstitutional Under the Equal Footing Doctrine, 13 Hastings W.-Nw. J. Env’t L. & Pol’y 119, 151 (2007); Jeffrey M. Schmitt, In Defense of Shelby County’s Principle of Equal State Sovereignty, 68 Okla. L. Rev. 209, 238 (2016). Many scholars agree there is some support for the principle in the historical record and constitutional doctrine, but they doubt that is sufficient for it to be considered a “fundamental” principle, as Shelby County claims.134See Molitor, supra note 132, at 1841; Litman, supra note 130, at 1212; David Kow, An “Equal Sovereignty” Principle Born in Northwest Austin, Texas, Raised in Shelby County, Alabama, 16 Berkeley J. Afr.-Am. L. & Pol’y 346, 375 (2015). This Section traces the history of how courts have applied the equal sovereignty principle, from the context of admitting new states into the Union to voting rights.

1.  Origins: The Equal Footing Doctrine—New Admission of States

The equal sovereignty principle dates back to the equal footing doctrine referenced in Article IV, Section 3 of the Constitution: “New States may be admitted by the Congress into this Union; but no new State shall be formed or erected within the Jurisdiction of any other State . . . without the Consent of the Legislatures of the States concerned as well as of the Congress.”135U.S. Const. art. IV, § 3. The Northwest Ordinance of 1787, which provided a path toward statehood for the territories northwest of the Ohio River,136These territories would later become Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Ohio, Wisconsin, and part of Minnesota. The Northwest Ordinance of 1787, U.S. H.R.: Hist., Art & Archives, https://history.house.gov/Historical-Highlights/1700s/Northwest-Ordinance-1787/ [https://perma.cc/CLG2-V2ZA]. further required that these states be admitted “on an equal footing with the original States in all respects whatever,” on the condition that the new state constitutions and governments were “republican, and in conformity to the principles contained in these articles . . . .”137Ordinance for the Government of the Territory of the United States North-West of the River Ohio art. V (1787), https://www.archives.gov/milestone-documents/northwest-ordinance [https://perma.cc/2ZUF-U5DT]. The act also banned slavery in the new territories but allowed for the return of fugitive slaves. Id., art. VI. Professor Litman argues, however, that the Northwest Ordinance’s meaning is unclear because “equal footing” did not necessarily promise new states the same legislative sovereignty as the original states, but rather just that new states would receive fair representation in Congress. Litman, supra note 130, at 1235–36. Additionally, Litman notes that the Northwest Ordinance actually broadened Congress’s powers over the would-be states, resulting in different treatment of those states, since it prohibited religious discrimination and slavery in the new states. Id. James Madison inferred that Congress would determine whether newly admitted states have the same “legislative sovereignty” as the original states. Id.

Several court cases also interpret the Constitution to support the equal sovereignty principle. Pollard’s Lessee v. Hagan held that Congress must admit every state into the Union on the same terms and with the same powers as the original states.138“The new states have the same rights, sovereignty, and jurisdiction [over the shores of navigable waters] as the original states.” Pollard’s Lessee v. Hagan, 44 U.S. 212, 230 (1845). Every state must be “admitted into the union on an equal footing with the original states,139Id. at 216. with “equal sovereign rights.”140Id. at 231. Further, the court held that “no compact” can “diminish or enlarge” the rights a state has when it enters the Union.141Id. at 229. Northwest Austin v. Holder referenced this case as support for the historic tradition that all states enjoy equal sovereignty.142Nw. Austin Mun. Util. Dist. No. 1 v. Holder, 557 U.S. 193, 203 (2009) (citing United States v. Louisiana, 363 U.S. 1, 16 (1960) (citing Pollard’s Lessee v. Hagan, 44 U.S. 212, 223 (1845))). Coyle v. Smith held that states, not Congress, have sovereignty to choose where to locate their state capital: the United States “was and is a union of States, equal in power, dignity and authority, each competent to exert that residuum of sovereignty not delegated to the United States by the Constitution itself.”143Coyle v. Smith, 221 U.S. 559, 567 (1911). No state is “less or greater . . . in dignity or power” than another.144Id. at 566. Thus, Congress may not unequally limit or expand the states’ political and sovereign power.145See Stearns v. Minnesota, 179 U.S. 223, 245 (1900) (“It has often been said that a State admitted into the Union enters therein in full equality with all the others, and such equality may forbid any agreement or compact limiting or qualifying political rights and obligations . . . .”). Indeed, “the constitutional equality of the States is essential to the harmonious operation of the scheme upon which the Republic was organized.”146Coyle, 221 U.S. at 580. Thus, these cases establish the origins of the equal sovereignty principle in the admission of new states into the Union.

2.  Equal Sovereignty Applied to Voting Rights

When the equal sovereignty principle was brought up in the context of the Voting Rights Act, courts had to determine whether the principle applied outside the state admission context.

Congress designed the Voting Rights Act of 1965 to address continuing voting discrimination after the Civil War.147South Carolina v. Katzenbach, 383 U.S. 301, 308 (1966). The Fifteenth Amendment to the Constitution, ratified in 1870, prohibited voting discrimination based on race,148See id. at 310; U.S. Const. amend. XV, § 1. and Congress subsequently enacted the Enforcement Act of 1870, which prohibited obstruction of the exercise of the right to vote.149See Katzenbach, 383 U.S. at 310; Enforcement Act of 1870, ch. 114, 41st Congress, Sess. II. However, enforcement of the law was ineffective, and throughout Reconstruction, many southern states continued to enact tests designed to prevent Black people from voting.150See Katzenbach, 383 U.S. at 310–11. Literacy tests disproportionately affected African Americans due to the high illiteracy rates in comparison with Whites. At the same time, grandfather clauses, property qualifications, character tests, and interpretation requirements were employed to “assure that white illiterates would not be deprived of the franchise.” Id. at 311. To address this continuing discrimination, section 5 of the Voting Rights Act established a preclearance requirement, mandating that the federal government approve all new voting regulations to ensure that they did not perpetuate racial discrimination.151Voting Rights Act of 1965, Pub. L. No. 89-110, § 5, 79 Stat. 437, 439. However, the preclearance requirement only applied to states with a history of voting discrimination, as determined by the coverage formula in section 4 of the Voting Rights Act.152The coverage formula established that if the state used a law like a literacy or character test to keep people from registering to vote as of November 1, 1964, and less than 50% of the eligible voting population was registered to vote on November 1, 1964 or voted in the presidential election of November 1964, then the state was subject to preclearance. Voting Rights Act of 1965, Pub. L. No. 89-110, § 4(b), 79 Stat. 437, 438. The coverage formula implicated states located primarily in the South; thus, a select group of states were subject to more stringent requirements than other states when seeking to change their voting laws.

In its 1966 decision in South Carolina v. Katzenbach, the Supreme Court rejected the notion that the equal sovereignty principle prohibited differential treatment in the voting rights context. The Court held that the equal sovereignty principle only applied to situations involving the admission of new states, not the Voting Rights Act: “The doctrine of the equality of States . . . applies only to the terms upon which States are admitted to the Union, and not to the remedies for local evils which have subsequently appeared.”153Katzenbach, 383 U.S. at 328–29. The Court observed that Congress passed the Voting Rights Act in response to the “insidious and pervasive evil” of racial discrimination in voting,154Id. at 309. and thus held that the Voting Rights Act was a constitutional and appropriate means for carrying out the Fifteenth Amendment.155Id. at 328–29.

Fourteen years later in City of Rome v. United States, the Supreme Court again upheld the Voting Rights Act as constitutional, finding that the Reconstruction Amendments were “specifically designed as an expansion of federal power and an intrusion on state sovereignty,” and thus, Congress had the authority to regulate state and local voting.156City of Rome v. United States, 446 U.S. 156, 179 (1980). The Court cited Fitzpatrick v. Bitzer, which held that the principle of state sovereignty embodied by the Eleventh Amendment is “necessarily limited by the enforcement provisions of section 5 of the Fourteenth Amendment.”157Id. at 156–58 (citing Fitzpatrick v. Bitzer, 427 U.S. 445, 456 (1976)). However, the Court would later apply the equal sovereignty principle to invalidate part of the Voting Rights Act.

3.  Shelby County v. Holder—Equal Sovereignty as a General Principle

Only two Supreme Court cases discuss equal sovereignty as a general principle.158Molitor, supra note 132, at 1879. Northwest Austin v. Holder,159Nw. Austin Mun. Util. Dist. No. 1 v. Holder, 557 U.S. 193, 203 (2009). though still a voting rights case, applied the equal sovereignty principle more broadly in 2009, laying the foundation for Shelby County v. Holder160Shelby County v. Holder, 570 U.S. 529, 544 (2013). to overrule Voting Rights Act section 4 in 2013.161See Molitor, supra note 132, at 1878 (“Since Shelby County, only one court has issued an opinion dealing with equal sovereignty [NCAA v. New Jersey, a Third Circuit case].”).

In Northwest Austin, the Supreme Court observed that the section 4 coverage formula of the Voting Rights Act went against the “historic tradition that all the States enjoy ‘equal sovereignty’ ” by differentiating between the states.162Nw. Austin, 557 U.S. at 203 (citing United States v. Louisiana, 363 U.S. 1, 16 (1960) (citing Lessee of Pollard v. Hagan, 3 How. 212, 223 (1845))). The Court acknowledged that differentiating between states is sometimes justified, citing Katzenbach as an example.163Id.  (citing South Carolina v. Katzenbach, 383 U.S. 301, 328–29 (1966)). However, it held that departing from “the fundamental principle of equal sovereignty requires a showing that a statute’s disparate geographic coverage is sufficiently related to the problem that it targets.”164Id. Thus, the equal sovereignty principle limits Congress’s ability to subject different states to unequal burdens, at least without sufficient justification.165Amdt 10.4.3 Equal Sovereignty Doctrine, Const. Annotated, https://constitution.congress.gov/browse/essay/amdt10-4-3/ALDE_00013628 [https://perma.cc/US7J-4YU9]. The Court also noted that the Act “imposes current burdens and must be justified by current needs.”166Nw. Austin, 557 U.S. at 203. While the Court ultimately resolved the case on statutory grounds,167Id. at 206–11. it expressed concern that sections 4 and 5 of the Voting Rights Act raised “serious constitutional questions.”168Id. at 204. The Court observed that improved conditions in the South since 1965 may distinguish the case from Katzenbach because current conditions in 2009 may no longer reflect the discriminatory state actions that Congress meant for section 5 to address, and cited a lower racial gap in voter registration as an example to show that the coverage formula may rely on outdated statistics.169Id. at 202–04 (2009). The Court notes that “[v]oter turnout and registration rates now approach parity[,]” “[b]latantly discriminatory evasions of federal decrees are rare,” and “minority candidates hold office at unprecedented levels.” Id. at 202. The Court also observed that the Voting Rights Act’s preclearance requirements “authorize[d] federal intrusion into sensitive areas of state and local policymaking” and imposed “substantial ‘federalism costs.’ ”170Id. at 202.

These concerns formed the basis for Shelby County to hold that section 4 of the Voting Rights Act was unconstitutional because it departed from the “fundamental principle” of equal sovereignty.171Shelby County v. Holder, 570 U.S. 529, 544 (2013). The Supreme Court found the “fundamental principle of equal sovereignty” to be “highly pertinent in assessing subsequent disparate treatment of States.”172Id. The Court adopted the guidelines Northwest Austin set—namely, that the Voting Rights Act “imposes current burdens and must be justified by current needs,” and that “a departure from the fundamental principle of equal sovereignty requires a showing that a statute’s disparate geographic coverage is sufficiently related to the problem that it targets.”173Id. at 542; see Nw. Austin, 557 U.S. at 203. The Court also distinguished the case from Katzenbach. Whereas in Katzenbach, the coverage formula was “relevant to the problem” of voting discrimination at the time,174Shelby County, 570 U.S. at 551–52; see South Carolina v. Katzenbach, 383 U.S. 301, 301 (1966). here, the coverage formula was not updated to reflect contemporary improvements in voting participation, including higher voter registration and turnout numbers.175Shelby County, 570 U.S. at 547–49, 551. The Court concluded that Congress did not sufficiently justify its reauthorization of the “extraordinary and unprecedented features” of the Voting Rights Act;176Id. at 549. thus, the Court held that the coverage formula no longer met the test introduced in Northwest Austin.177Id. at 551.

Shelby County, the only Supreme Court case to apply the test established in Northwest Austin, gave little guidance on how to apply the equal sovereignty principle in future cases, other than indicating that the law should rely on “current data reflecting current needs” when the degree of voting discrimination that prompted the original passage of the Voting Rights Act had changed.178Id. at 552–53. The Supreme Court has not decided an equal sovereignty challenge since Shelby County, leaving lower courts to interpret how to apply the equal sovereignty principle outside the voting rights context.

II.  APPLYING THE SHELBY COUNTY TEST TO THE CLEAN AIR ACT

Under the Northwest Austin test that Shelby County applied (the “Shelby County test”), the statute “must be justified by current needs,” and if federal legislation departs from the “fundamental principle of equal sovereignty,” it “requires a showing that a statute’s disparate geographic coverage is sufficiently related to the problem that it targets.”179Id. at 542; see Nw. Austin, 557 U.S. 193, 203 (2009). This Part argues that the equal sovereignty principle likely does not apply to the Clean Air Act, thus the Shelby County test should not even apply. But even if it were to apply and the Shelby County test is triggered, this Part concludes that the principle does not invalidate section 209(b)(1) of the Clean Air Act because California’s current needs continue to justify its differential treatment. California’s unique exemption is sufficiently related to the public health problem that the Clean Air Act waiver provision targets; allowing California broad discretion to regulate motor vehicle emissions directly contributes to Congress’s goal of addressing public health threats from motor vehicle pollution in the state.

A.  The Equal Sovereignty Principle Likely Does Not Apply to the Clean Air Act

This Section argues that the scope of the Shelby County test is limited and likely does not apply to the Clean Air Act. Shelby County emphasizes that the equal sovereignty principle applies to federal laws that “authorize[] federal intrusion into sensitive areas of state and local policymaking.”180Shelby County, 570 U.S. at 545 (citing Lopez v. Monterey County, 525 U.S. 266, 282 (1999)). The Supreme Court thus applied the equal sovereignty principle to the Voting Rights Act because it determined that election regulation was a sensitive area of state policymaking. Highlighting the “extraordinary” nature of the Voting Rights Act’s preclearance provisions,181Id. the Court noted that the law suspends “all changes to state election law—however innocuous—until they have been precleared by federal authorities . . . .”182Id. at 544 (citing Nw. Austin, 557 U.S. at 202). The federal government must explicitly grant states permission to implement voting laws that they “would otherwise have the right to enact and execute on their own . . . .”183Id. Because the Voting Rights Act intruded into a sensitive area of state policymaking that had traditionally been the exclusive province of the states, the Court limited Congress’s authority under the Fifteenth Amendment to restrict states’ election procedures disparately.

Professor Leah Litman goes even farther to posit that only federal action that lessens the dignity of a state or group of states triggers the Shelby County conception of equal sovereignty.184Litman, supra note 130, at 1214. Under this narrower interpretation, Litman argues that laws will violate equal sovereignty only if they single out particular states that have behaved in morally-blameworthy ways, limiting the scope of the principle to legislation enacted under the Reconstruction Amendments.185Id. at 1214–15. Under this interpretation, the equal sovereignty principle primarily serves as a check on the Fourteenth and Fifteenth Amendments and should only apply in cases similar to those involving voting rights, in which the dignity of human beings is at stake.186Id.

Since Shelby County, a few weak equal sovereignty claims have been made in the lower courts in areas outside of voting rights, and the courts have distinguished these cases from Shelby County. For example, in Mayhew v. Burwell, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the First Circuit held that the equal sovereignty principle does not apply to Medicaid laws.187In Mayhew v. Burwell, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the First Circuit held that the Affordable Care Act (“ACA”) did not violate equal sovereignty even though it prevented Maine from “design[ing] its [own] Medicaid laws in ways that many of its sister States remain[ed] free to do.” Mayhew v. Burwell, 772 F.3d 80, 93 (1st Cir. 2014). The court reasoned that the ACA did not intrude into an area of authority traditionally occupied by the states because it governed Maine’s administration of a federal program that is primarily funded by the federal government. Id. at 95. Thus, the statute at issue “does not similarly effect a federal intrusion into a sensitive area of state or local policymaking.” Id. at 93. Perhaps most relevant to the Clean Air Act waiver is National Collegiate Athletic Association (NCAA) v. Governor of New Jersey, which addressed the constitutionality of the Professional and Amateur Sports Protection Act of 1992 (“PASPA”).188Nat’l Collegiate Athletic Ass’n v. Governor of N.J., 730 F.3d 208, 214 (3d Cir. 2013). PASPA prohibits states from licensing sports gambling, except for states that had gambling operations prior to the Act’s passage, which only includes Nevada.189Id. at 214–15; see 28 U.S.C. § 3702, 3704. The U.S. Court of Appeals for the Third Circuit determined that the equal sovereignty principle does not apply to PASPA, distinguishing the Voting Rights Act from PASPA by finding that regulating gambling via the Commerce Clause is “not of the same nature” as regulating elections via the Reconstruction Amendments.190Nat’l Collegiate Athletic Ass’n, 730 F.3d at 238. The court held that the Commerce Clause allowed Congress to enact laws “aimed at matters of national concern and finding national solutions will necessarily affect states differently,”191Id. such that federal Commerce Clause regulation “does not require geographic uniformity.”192Id. (citing Morgan v. Virginia, 328 U.S. 373, 388 (1946)). The court found that applying Shelby County to all situations is “overly broad” and that the equal sovereignty principle does not apply outside “the context of ‘sensitive areas of state and local policymaking.’ ”193Id. at 238–39 (citing Shelby County v. Holder, 570 U.S. 529, 545 (2013)).

Similar to PASPA, Congress acted pursuant to its Commerce Clause authority in passing the Clean Air Act to regulate motor vehicle emissions; thus, Congress is exercising the federal power of regulating interstate commerce and can treat states differently in the process.194See Vikram David Amar, Why the Clean Air Act’s Special Treatment of California is Permissible Even in Light of the Equal-Sovereignty Notion Invoked in Shelby County, Justia: Verdict (Aug. 2, 2022), https://verdict.justia.com/2022/08/02/why-the-clean-air-acts-special-treatment-of-california-is-permissible-even-in-light-of-the-equal-sovereignty-notion-invoked-in-shelby-county [https://perma.cc/EYD8-H26N] (“[T]he Clean Air Act was enacted under Congress’s Commerce Clause powers, a provision that decidedly does not require geographic uniformity”); Final Brief for Respondents, supra note 131, at 32–35. The Clean Air Act likely does not intrude into “sensitive areas of state and local policymaking” as the Voting Rights Act does. Regulating motor vehicles has not traditionally been the exclusive province of the states. Three agencies set federal and state vehicle emissions standards: the EPA, the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, and CARB.195Federal Vehicle Standards, Ctr. for Climate & Energy Sols., https://www.c2es.org/content/regulating-transportation-sector-carbon-emissions [https://perma.cc/BK55-6TCA]. Section 209(a) of the Clean Air Act explicitly provides for federal preemption, prohibiting states from adopting their own motor vehicle regulations.19642 U.S.C. § 7543(a). Regulating motor vehicle emissions affects interstate commerce because air pollution crosses state borders.197S. Allan Adelman, Control of Motor Vehicle Emissions: State or Federal Responsibility? 20 Cath. U. L. Rev. 157, 158, 163–64 (1970). Thus, like PASPA, the Clean Air Act does not intrude into a sensitive area of policymaking traditionally occupied by the states.

At its core, the outcome the petitioners demand in Ohio v. EPA is inconsistent with the fundamental principle of equal sovereignty. Without the waiver, the Clean Air Act defaults to only federal standards and federal preemption, leaving states with no choice but to adopt the federal standard. Thus, invalidating the California waiver—as petitioners seek to do—gives states fewer choices. It fails to promote the principle of equal sovereignty, which arguably protects the power of the states to enact policies that differ from those of the federal government.198Schmitt, supra note 133, at 262; see infra Section I.E.1; 2022 Waiver Reconsideration, supra note 86, at 14360 (“Indeed, if section 209(b) is interpreted to limit the types of air pollution that California may regulate, it would diminish the sovereignty of California and the states that adopt California’s standards pursuant to section 177 without enhancing any other state’s sovereignty.”). In her amicus brief, Professor Litman noted that the petitioners’ invocation of the equal sovereignty principle is inconsistent with its history because the petitioners’ arguments would result in less authority and flexibility for the states, and more coercive authority for the federal government.199Brief for Professor Leah M. Litman as Amici Curiae Supporting Respondents at 2, Ohio v. EPA, No. 22-1081 (D.C. Cir. Jan. 20, 2023). By allowing California to promulgate more stringent standards and allowing other states to choose between the federal and California standards, Congress has offered those states more options, not fewer. This is likely not an abuse of state sovereignty.200Id. at 28. By arguing for an expansion of federal preemption, thereby preempting more state legislative and policy goals, the petitioners seek a result that does not promote state sovereignty and instead runs contrary to the equal sovereignty principle’s historical use as a limit on congressional power.201Id. at 5, 30; see infra Section I.E.1.

Congressional debates regarding California’s special status indicate that Congress clearly considered the equal sovereignty problem and rejected it. In 1970, members of the House of Representatives expressed concern that all states should have the “same right that the State of California has in setting standards that they deem necessary for the health and safety of their people.”202See 91 Cong. Rec. H19232 (daily ed. Jun. 10, 1970) (statement of Rep. Leonard Farbstein, New York). Representatives of other states, including Pennsylvania and New York, argued that their air quality problems were worse than California’s, so they too should have the power to create state regulations exceeding federal standards.203Pennsylvania “has had more deaths due to air pollution than any other State in the Nation” and “is interested in increasing its standards.” Id. at 19231. “New York has a problem with fog and smog that is just as bad as that condition which exists in California.” Id. at 19232. Thus, proper application of the equal sovereignty principle would allow all states to promulgate their own motor vehicles emissions regulations. Congress was more concerned about other states not being able to promulgate their own motor vehicles emissions standards than about California having special privileges. In contrast, in Ohio v. EPA, the petitioner states attempt to prevent California from enacting more stringent policies that could benefit other states, thus flipping the use of the equal sovereignty principle to make it more difficult for states to enact their own policies.

The Supreme Court has suggested in Shelby County that the equal sovereignty principle does not extend to all areas of the law, and this Section concludes that the equal sovereignty principle does not apply to the Clean Air Act. However, even if it were to apply, the Clean Air Act waiver provision passes the Shelby County test and remains constitutional, as analyzed in the next Section.

B.  Even if the Equal Sovereignty Principle Applies to the Clean Air Act, It Does Not Invalidate Section 209(b)(1) of the Clean Air Act

Even if the equal sovereignty principle were to apply to the Clean Air Act, the Clean Air Act waiver provision remains constitutional. Applying the Shelby County test, the Clean Air Act waiver likely departs from the “fundamental principle of equal sovereignty” in creating a differential in its treatment of states’ political authority. As a result, the “statute’s disparate geographic coverage” must be “sufficiently related to the problem that it targets.” This Section concludes that this criterion is met; thus, the waiver provision remains constitutional. Congress had strong justifications for granting California an exemption that continue to remain relevant. First, the Clean Air Act targets not only smog in one region of California, but also the broader problem of public health from automobile emissions. Second, allowing California to implement more stringent motor vehicle regulations would directly help address this broader problem. California faces new and increasingly formidable threats from climate change, which have exacerbated the existing problems that initially compelled California’s motor vehicle regulations. Allowing California broad discretion to regulate GHG emissions is directly related to Congress’s goal of addressing the public health threats from motor vehicle pollution in California because the effects of GHG emissions and smog are interrelated and affect one another. This Section thus concludes that California’s current needs continue to justify Congress’s differential treatment of California—maintaining, and perhaps even strengthening, section 209(b)’s relevance in the twenty-first century.

1.  By Treating States’ Political Authority Differently, the Clean Air Act Waiver Likely Violates the Equal Sovereignty Principle

The equal sovereignty principle does not require the federal government to treat states equally in every scenario, but requires that all states have equal political authority.204Schmitt, supra note 133, at 220. Black’s Law Dictionary defines “sovereignty” as “[s]upreme dominion, authority, or rule”205Sovereignty, Black’s Law Dictionary (11th ed. 2019). and “state sovereignty” as “[t]he right of a state to self-government; the supreme authority exercised by each state.”206State sovereignty, Black’s Law Dictionary (11th ed. 2019). The Court in Shelby County explained that “[s]tates retain broad autonomy . . . in structuring their governments and pursuing legislative objectives,”207Shelby County v. Holder, 570 U.S. 529, 543 (2013). referencing the Tenth Amendment and federalism principles as crucial in preserving the “integrity, dignity, and residual sovereignty of the States.”208Id. at 530 (citing Bond v. United States, 564 U.S. 211, 221 (2011)). In United States v. Texas, the Supreme Court noted that the equal footing doctrine applies to political rights and sovereignty, but not economic issues.209United States v. Texas, 339 US 707, 716 (1950). The Court observed that the equal footing doctrine was not designed to eliminate diversity in economic aspects such as area, location, and geology, but rather to “create parity as respects political standing and sovereignty.”210Id. Thus, Congress violates the equal sovereignty principle when it limits the political power of a particular subset of states.211Schmitt, supra note 133, at 220.

Legislation that prohibits some states but not others from enacting laws about the same topic likely would violate the equal sovereignty principle. For example, the Voting Rights Act limits only southern states’ ability to regulate elections and PASPA permits only Nevada to legalize sports betting;212Colby, supra note 130, at 1155. PASPA “does not merely regulate private conduct; it curtails the regulatory and revenue-raising authority of the states. It precludes non-exempted states from legalizing sports gambling . . . . Nevada may derive enormous financial benefits from casino sports book betting, but other states may not.” Id. thus, these laws would in theory violate the principle. Similarly, the Clean Air Act treats California’s sovereign authority differently from the other states. By permitting only California to regulate motor vehicles and promulgate new motor vehicles emissions standards, while limiting other states to either adopt the California or federal standards, the Clean Air Act waiver arguably limits other states’ rights to govern themselves in the area of motor vehicles, as well as transportation and energy more broadly. Rather than allow all states with certain air quality conditions to set regulations, the Clean Air Act allowed the state that first adopted its own motor vehicle regulations to continue setting the standard for new regulations.213See Brader, supra note 133, at 155–56. “The one state that had chosen to regulate in particular ways was given a power denied to all the states that had chosen not to exercise their equal right to do so . . . . These provisions are not about an inequality of economics or geography—they are about sovereignty.” Id. Thus, if we were to apply the equal sovereignty principle to the Clean Air Act, the Clean Air Act likely departs from the equal sovereignty principle by exhibiting disparate treatment of the states’ political authority pertaining to motor vehicle regulations.

2.  Nevertheless, the Clean Air Act Waiver Provision Remains Constitutional Because Its Disparate Geographic Coverage Favoring California Is “Sufficiently Related to the Problem that It Targets”

Violating the equal sovereignty principle does not automatically invalidate a law as unconstitutional. However, it triggers heighted scrutiny, meaning that Congress must justify the disparate treatment of the states as unequal sovereigns214See Nw. Austin Mun. Util. Dist. No. 1 v. Holder, 557 U.S. 193, 203 (2009) (“Distinctions can be justified in some cases.”). by showing that the differential treatment is sufficiently related to the problem the law is addressing.215Colby, supra note 130, at 1155–56. If the statute departs from the “fundamental principle of equal sovereignty,” it “requires a showing that a statute’s disparate geographic coverage is sufficiently related to the problem that it targets.” Shelby County v. Holder, 570 U.S. 529, 542 (2013) (citing Nw. Austin, 557 U.S. at 203 (2009)). This higher standard “ensures that when Congress limits the sovereign power of some of the states in ways that do not apply to others, it has a good reason to do so.”216Schmitt, supra note 133, at 213.

In Shelby County, the Supreme Court concluded that the coverage formula, while perhaps justified in 1965, was no longer justified in 2006 when Congress reauthorized the Voting Rights Act.217Shelby County, 570 U.S. at 551. Because the coverage formula continued to distinguish states “based on ‘decades-old data and eradicated practices,’ ” including the past use of literacy tests that “have been banned nationwide for over 40 years” and on racial disparity in “voter registration and turnout in the 1960s and early 1970s” that no longer persisted, the Court held that the 2006 reauthorization statute’s disparate geographic coverage was not sufficiently related to the problem of twenty-first century racial discrimination in voting that it targeted, so “current needs” no longer justified it.218Id. at 551–53. Thus, the Court found circumstances in 2013 to be sufficiently changed to render the coverage formula unconstitutional.219Id. at 550–53, 556–57; Molitor, supra note 132, at 1849–50.

Applying this line of reasoning to the Clean Air Act, the petitioners in Ohio v. EPA claim that because California has transitioned to regulating GHG emissions, the waiver provision is no longer sufficiently related to the problem that it targets because California’s standards are targeting climate change, which is global, not state-specific, in nature: “[C]limate change is not an acute California problem.”220Brief for Petitioners, supra note 19, at 30–31. This Section counteracts this argument and asserts that the waiver provision continues to be sufficiently related to the problem that it targets, distinguishing California’s motor vehicle regulations from the voting regulations at issue in Shelby County. First, the Clean Air Act targets not only smog in one region of California, but also the broader problem of public health from automobile emissions. Second, allowing California to implement more stringent motor vehicle regulations would directly help address this broader problem. California faces new and increasingly formidable threats from climate change that have exacerbated the existing problems that initially compelled California’s motor vehicle regulations. The effects of GHG and smog pollution are directly interrelated and affect one another; thus, addressing GHG emissions is directly related to Congress’s goal of addressing the public health threats from motor vehicle pollution in California. This Section therefore concludes that California’s current needs continue to justify the state’s differential treatment.

i.  The Clean Air Act Targets the Broad Problem of Public Health Threats from Automobile Emissions

How courts frame the problem that Congress is targeting can shape their determination of whether a statute is constitutional. In NCAA v. Governor of New Jersey, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Third Circuit held that even if the equal sovereignty principle were to apply to Commerce Clause legislation, PASPA passed the Shelby County test because its “true purpose” was to “stop the spread of state-sanctioned sports gambling,” rather than eliminate it altogether.221Nat’l Collegiate Athletic Ass’n v. Governor of N.J., 730 F.3d 208, 239 (3d Cir. 2013). Because PASPA was drafted in neutral terms, any state that already supported gambling could continue to do so, and Congress likely knew that Nevada was the only state that had existing gambling operations.222“It shall be unlawful . . . to sponsor, operate, advertise, promote, license, or authorize by law or compact . . . .” 28 U.S.C. § 3702. However, § 3702 shall not apply to a state that conducted a gambling scheme “at any time during the period beginning January 1, 1976, and ending August 31, 1990 . . . .” 28 U.S.C. § 3704. “Nevada alone began permitting widespread betting on sporting events in 1949 . . . .” Nat’l Collegiate Athletic Ass’n, 730 F.3d at 215. PASPA’s disparate geographic coverage was therefore justified: “Targeting only states where the practice did not exist is . . . precisely tailored to address the problem.”223Nat’l Collegiate Athletic Ass’n, 730 F.3d at 239. If the court had defined the problem PASPA was targeting as eliminating all sports gambling, Nevada’s exemption would be harder to justify, and the statute would likely be unconstitutional for not being sufficiently related to the problem. However, because the court defined the problem as halting the spread of sports gambling, the Third Circuit’s analysis was a stronger one.

In Ohio v. EPA, the petitioners argue that the problem Congress designed the Clean Air Act to target was a narrow, California-specific problem.224Brief for Petitioners, supra note 19, at 30–31. However, while smog may have been the impetus for the legislation,225See H.R. Rep. No. 90-728, at 50 (1967) (recognizing the “critical concern of California for air pollution control, which is prompted especially by the acute susceptibility of the Los Angeles basin to concentrations of smog”). Congress also intended a broader goal of enabling California to use its developing expertise in vehicle pollution to develop innovative regulatory programs and serve as a leader in automobile emissions regulations.226See Chanin, supra note 63, at 716–17. In 1967, Congress acknowledged California’s serious air quality problems as well as its role as a laboratory for emissions control technology for the country.227See H.R. Rep. No. 90-728, at 96 (1967). The Senate Report concluded that with California’s experience in control systems and design, the waiver provision will allow California to “continue to be the testing area” for more stringent standards, potentially strengthening federal standards and benefiting all states.228S. Rep. No. 90-403, at 33 (1967).

Multiple instances from the Congressional Record suggest that the broader problem Congress intended to target was the public health threats caused by motor vehicle pollution.229See H.R. Rep. No. 90-728, at 3–8, 96 (1967); S. Rep. No. 90-403, at 32–33 (1967). Congress could have amended the Clean Air Act in 1977 to restrict the waiver provision. Instead, it ratified and strengthened the waiver by giving California the flexibility to adopt a complete program of motor vehicle emission controls.230Motor & Equip. Mfrs. Ass’n v. EPA (MEMA I), 627 F.2d 1095, 1110 (D.C. Cir. 1979) (citing H.R. Rep. No. 95-294, at 301–02 (1977); see infra Section I.A. The original 1967 waiver provision required the EPA Administrator to grant a waiver “unless he finds that such State does not require standards more stringent than applicable Federal standards . . . .”231Clean Air Act of 1967, Pub. L. No. 90-148, § 208(b), 81 Stat. 485, 501. In contrast, the amended version requires that the EPA grant the waiver “if the State determines that the State standards will be, in the aggregate, at least as protective of public health and welfare as applicable Federal standards.”232Clean Air Act Amendments of 1977, Pub. L. No. 95-95, § 207, 91 Stat. 685, 755 (emphasis added); see infra Section I.A. Congress intentionally granted California deference in creating motor vehicle standards in order to “afford California the broadest possible discretion in selecting the best means to protect the health of its citizens and the public welfare.”233H.R. Rep. No. 95-294, at 301–02 (1977); see MEMA I, 627 F. 2d at 1110–11. The amendment “confers broad discretion” on California to “weigh the degree of health hazards from various pollutants and the degree of emission reduction achievable for various pollutants with various emission control technologies and standards.”234H.R. Rep. No. 95-294, at 23 (1977). Congress made clear that the EPA should defer to California’s policy decisions, unless they are overwhelmingly arbitrary and capricious: the EPA Administrator “is not to overturn California’s judgment lightly. Nor is he to substitute his judgment for that of the State. There must be clear and compelling evidence that the State acted unreasonably in evaluating the relative risks of various pollutants . . . .”235Id. at 302. The EPA recognized in its 2013 waiver decision that Congress allowed it only limited review based on the section 209(b)(1) criteria to “ensure that the federal government did not second-guess state policy choices.”2362013 Waiver Grant, 78 Fed. Reg. at 2115. As the EPA affirmed, “Congress recognized that California could serve as a pioneer and a laboratory for the nation in setting new motor vehicle emission standards.”237Id. at 2113. Thus, as long as the regulations protect the health of California residents, the EPA should defer to California on the scope of those regulations.

ii.  Allowing California Broad Discretion to Regulate GHG Emissions Is Sufficiently Related to Addressing the Public Health Threats from Motor Vehicle Pollution in California

In Shelby County, the Voting Rights Act coverage formula factored in states’ voting discrimination history, which consisted of specific, unchangeable factors.238The coverage formula established that if the state used a law like a literacy or character test to keep people from registering to vote as of November 1, 1964, and less than 50% of the eligible voting population was registered to vote on November 1, 1964 or voted in the presidential election of November 1964, then the state was subject to preclearance. Voting Rights Act of 1965, Pub. L. 89-110, § 4(b), 79 Stat. 437. In contrast, Congress noted that California’s circumstances can change: if California no longer faces “compelling and extraordinary” conditions, it can no longer establish its own standards.239S. Rep. No. 90-403, at 33 (1967). This possibility creates a built-in mechanism to continually evaluate whether California needs its separate regulations240See Final Brief for Respondents, supra note 131, at 42. and whether the waiver provision is “justified by current needs.”241See Nw. Austin Mun. Util. Dist. No. 1 v. Holder, 557 U.S. 193, 203 (2009). Recognizing “the unique problems facing California as a result of its climate and topography,” Congress noted in 1967 that only California has demonstrated “compelling and extraordinary circumstances sufficiently different from the Nation as a whole to justify standards on automobile emissions which may, from time to time, need [to] be more stringent than national standards.”242H.R. Rep. No. 90-728, at 21–22 (1967); S. Rep. No. 90-403 at 33 (1967). The petitioners in Ohio v. EPA treat GHG emissions as if they are a separate and mutually exclusive concept from smog and criteria pollutants, claiming that because California has shifted from regulations to reduce local smog problems to regulations to reduce GHGs and address global climate change, the waiver provision no longer justifies California’s exemption.243See Brief for Petitioners, supra note 19, at 32 (“[T]here is no evidence California will suffer effects that are worse—in magnitude or in kind—than those experienced by the other forty-nine States.”). On the contrary, this Section argues that the effects of GHG emissions and smog pollution are interrelated and affect one another. Thus, addressing GHG emissions is directly related to Congress’s goal of addressing the public health threats from motor vehicle pollution in California.

Given the history of California’s early motor vehicle regulations and Congress’s interest in having California as a “laboratory for innovation” while not overburdening automobile manufacturers by forcing them to comply with multiple state standards, Congress intentionally struck a balance by authorizing just two standards: the national standard and the California standard.2442022 Waiver Reconsideration, 87 Fed. Reg. at 14360, 14377; H.R. Rep. No. 90-728, at 21 (1967); see S. Rep. No. 90-403 at 33–34 (1967). This compromise would allow California to continue to innovate and improve its air quality without creating a practical nightmare for automakers and interstate commerce.245Members of Congress favored states’ rights but were also concerned that having 50 different sets of requirements related to emissions controls would “unduly burden interstate commerce.” H.R. Rep. No. 95-294, at 309 (1977). Congress deliberately exempted California from federal preemption of motor vehicle regulations because of its “pioneering role in regulating automobile-related emissions, which pre-dated the Federal effort.”246Id. at 301. Because California had already adopted a robust air quality program and established its own motor vehicle emission standards prior to the passage of the federal Clean Air Act, it had expertise in emissions regulations that other states did not have.247See Ann E. Carlson, Federalism, Preemption, and Greenhouse Gas Emissions, 37 U.C. Davis L. Rev. 281, 314 (2003) (“The prospect of fifty separate standards for automobiles is untenable. But California has unique air pollution problems and an economy large enough to support separate standards.”); id. at 311 (noting that California “is probably unique in the country in the amount of expertise and sophistication it has developed in the regulation of auto emissions”).

California’s large automobile market and economy continue to justify its disparate treatment. At the time Congress passed the Clean Air Act waiver, it recognized the “presence and growth of California’s vehicle population, whose emissions were thought to be responsible for ninety percent of the air pollution in certain parts of California.”2482013 Waiver Grant, 78 Fed. Reg. at 2126. Congress noted the large effect of vehicles on local air pollution: “Motor vehicles are responsible for about 90 percent of the smog in the Los Angeles County, some 56 percent in the San Francisco Bay area, and about 50 percent in San Diego.”249H.R. Rep. No. 90-728, at 97 (1967). Congress also noted that because of its large size, California has “an economy large enough to support separate standards.”250Carlson, supra note 247, at 314. Thus, California’s market was large enough that automobile companies could still make a sizable profit while producing cars to meet California’s more stringent environmental requirements.251“The auto industry has shown itself willing and able to make the modifications required for its lucrative California market.” H.R. Rep. No. 90-728, at 97 (1967). There were twice as many vehicles in California as in any other state, including New York.252113 Cong. Rec. H30942 (daily ed. Nov. 2, 1967) (statement of Rep. Chet Holifield, California). Today, California continues to be the largest automobile market in the United States; if the state were a country, it would be the tenth largest auto market in the world.253Based on new passenger car/light vehicle registrations. Felix Richter, California Is Among the World’s Largest Car Markets, Statista (Sept. 24, 2020), https://www.statista.com/chart/23023/top-10-markets-for-new-passenger-car-registrations [https://perma.cc/6886-64FN]. California makes up 11% of U.S. new light-duty vehicle sales, and combined with the states that have already adopted its LEV rules, makes up 40.1% of U.S. new light-duty vehicle sales.254Cal. Air Res. Bd., supra note 8. Forty-three percent of ZEVs sold in the U.S. are sold in California.255California ZEV Sales Near 18% of All New Car Sales in 2022, Off. Cal. Governor Gavin Newsom (Oct. 19, 2022), https://www.gov.ca.gov/2022/10/19/california-zev-sales-near-18-of-all-new-car-sales-in-2022 [https://perma.cc/XM2W-6F3U].

California’s unique topography and climate conditions have also contributed to the air pollution problems exacerbated by climate change. The legislative history indicates that Congress granted California an exemption to regulate motor vehicle emissions primarily because California was facing unique, severe air pollution problems across the state, particularly in the Los Angeles area.256See H.R. Rep. No. 90-728, at 50 (1967) (recognizing the “critical concern of California for air pollution control, which is prompted especially by the acute susceptibility of the Los Angeles basin to concentrations of smog”). California’s air pollution problem was among “the most pervasive and acute in the Nation” at the time.257H.R. Rep. No. 95-294, at 301 (1977); see 113 Cong. Rec. H30943 (daily ed. Nov. 2, 1967) (statement of Rep. Tunney, California: “We are facing a serious and spreading smog problem, primarily caused by motor vehicle emissions.”). Geographical and climatic factors were consistently cited as “compelling and extraordinary” factors during the House debate, including the “unique problems facing California as the result of numerous thermal inversions that occur within that State because of its geography and prevailing winds pattern.”258113 Cong. Rec. H30948 (daily ed. Nov. 2, 1967) (statement of Rep. Harley Staggers, Chairman, House Interstate and Foreign Commerce Committee); see also id. at H30955 (statement of Rep. Roybal, California, referring to “atmospheric inversion”); id. at H30975 (statement of Rep. John Moss, California, referring to California’s “unique” meteorological problems). Rep. Holifield noted that California has a unique problem due to an atmospheric inversion which “the peculiar topography of the metropolitan area of Los Angeles County” has caused to some extent by keeping smog in the area and surrounding counties.259Id. at H30942 (statement of Rep. Chet Holifield, California). Even though members of Congress recognized that air pollution also affects other states in concerning ways,260William Macomber, Jr., Assistant Secretary for Congressional Relations, noted that air pollution has become an increasingly pressing problem in most metropolitan areas, including New York City, Detroit, Pittsburgh, Chicago, Baltimore, and Washington D.C. H.R. Rep. No. 90-728, at 50 (1967). they agreed that California’s distinct conditions and topography continue to contribute to the unique effects of pollution in the state, creating a critical need for air pollution control.261See S. Rep. No. 90-403, at 33 (1967) (“California’s unique problems and pioneering efforts justified a waiver . . . in the 15 years that auto emission standards have been debated and discussed, only the State of California has demonstrated compelling and extraordinary circumstances sufficiently different from the Nation as a whole . . . .”). As CARB established, California’s ozone levels will be exacerbated by higher temperatures from global warming, and “there is general consensus that temperature increases from climate change will exacerbate the historic climate, topography, and population factors conducive to smog formation in California, which were the driving forces behind Congress’s inclusion of the waiver provision.”2622022 Waiver Reconsideration, 87 Fed. Reg. at 14364 n.297.

Most significantly, climate change has only exacerbated the air pollution and smog problems that initially compelled California’s motor vehicle regulations and the Clean Air Act waiver. Automobiles emit both GHGs and smog-forming emissions including nitrogen oxide, carbon monoxide, and particulate matter.263Greenhouse Gas Versus Smog Forming Emissions, EPA, https://19january2017snapshot.epa.gov/greenvehicles/greenhouse-gas-versus-smog-forming-emissions_.html [https://perma.cc/ULA6-84AC]. The 2021 report of the United Nations’ Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (“IPCC”) reflects the latest scientific consensus that climate change is both a local and global problem.264Summary for Policymakers, in Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change 25 (Valérie Masson-Delmotte et al. eds., 2021) [hereinafter IPCC 2021 Report] (“Cities intensify human-induced warming locally, and further urbanization together with more frequent hot extremes will increase the severity of heatwaves.”). The report establishes a connection between climate change and intensifying weather extremes including heat waves and droughts.265Id. at 8. Additionally, GHGs contribute to respiratory disease from smog and air pollution.266Christina Nunez, Carbon Dioxide Levels are at a Record High. Here’s What You Need to Know, National Geographic (May 13, 2019), https://www.nationalgeographic.com/environment/article/greenhouse-gases [https://perma.cc/T2EQ-QABH]. GHG emissions lead to hotter global temperatures,267IPCC 2021 Report, supra note 264, at 5. which is expected to enhance the formation of ground-level ozone (a main component of smog).268John H. Tibbetts, Air Quality and Climate Change: A Delicate Balance, 123 Env’t Health Persps. A148, A149 (2015); Junfeng (Jim) Zhang, Yongjie Wei & Zhangfu Fang, Ozone Pollution: A Major Health Hazard Worldwide, 10 Frontiers Immunology 1, 2–3 (2019); Criteria Pollutants, N.H. Dep’t Env’t Servs., https://www.des.nh.gov/air/state-implementation-plans/criteria-pollutants [https://perma.cc/F8HD-GUFC] (noting ozone is a key ingredient in smog). Exposure to ozone can cause respiratory problems269Tibbetts, supra note 268, at A151. and aggravate lung diseases including asthma, particularly within more vulnerable groups.270Greenhouse Gas Versus Smog Forming Emissions, EPA, supra note 263; Health Effects of Ozone Pollution, EPA, https://www.epa.gov/ground-level-ozone-pollution/health-effects-ozone-pollution [https://perma.cc/LVH2-6KX8]; see also Ozone Effects, Cal. Air Res. Bd. (Nov. 3, 2016), https://ww2.arb.ca.gov/resources/fact-sheets/ozone-effects [https://perma.cc/P7TL-JJ4V]; Ozone and Your Health, Ctrs. for Disease Control & Prevention (Feb. 16, 2023), https://www.cdc.gov/air/ozone.html [https://perma.cc/YEB4-Z7XM]. Thus, GHGs can worsen exposure to ground-level ozone and smog, which is associated with increased mortality from respiratory and cardiovascular diseases.271Zhang et al., supra note 268, at 5. As a result, it has been well established that GHGs and smog are interrelated and affect air quality separately and together.272See 2022 Waiver Reconsideration, supra note 86, at 14363 (“[A]ir pollution problems, including local or regional air pollution problems, do not occur in isolation.”); see also Final Brief for Respondents, supra note 131, at 89–90.

Contrary to what the petitioners claim, climate change continues to uniquely affect California as an “acute California problem.”273See Final Brief for Respondents, supra note 131, at 52. While GHG emissions from California cars can “become one part of the global pool of GHG emissions,”2742008 Waiver Denial, 73 Fed. Reg. at 12160. this global pool eventually affects local conditions. The EPA recognized CARB’s strong evidence that California is “particularly impacted by climate change, including increasing risks from record-setting fires, heat waves, storm surges, sea-level rise, water supply shortages and extreme heat,” and that “GHG emissions contribute to local air pollution.”2752022 Waiver Reconsideration, 87 Fed. Reg. at 14363, 14365. Climate change impacts ozone exacerbation and wildfires, which affect local air quality.276Id. at 14334 n.10. California continues to have a serious smog problem, exacerbated by climate change.277California & the Waiver: The Facts, Cal. Air Res. Bd. (Sept. 17, 2019), https://ww2.arb.ca.gov/resources/fact-sheets/california-waiver-facts [https://perma.cc/N9DL-6B2P]. Seven of the ten cities with the worst air pollution nationwide are in California.278Id.; see Most Polluted Cities, Am. Lung Ass’n, https://www.lung.org/research/sota/city-rankings/most-polluted-cities [https://perma.cc/Z535-6KNT]. Ten million Californians in the San Joaquin Valley and Los Angeles air basins currently live under “severe non-attainment” conditions for ozone, where people suffer unusually high rates of asthma and cardiopulmonary disease.279Cal. Air Res. Bd. supra note 277. Climate change has increased the number of hot days that can result in smog events and exacerbate wildfires.280Id. Thus, smog exacerbates climate change, which in turn exacerbates smog, and GHGs—which lead to climate change—continue to pose a direct and local threat.281Cause and Effects of Climate Change, U.N., https://www.un.org/en/climatechange/science/causes-effects-climate-change [https://perma.cc/6G32-UAYX] (“As greenhouse gas emissions blanket the Earth, they trap the sun’s heat. This leads to global warming and climate change.”). As the 2022 EPA decision concluded, the 2019 EPA decision to withdraw the 2013 EPA waiver grant failed to properly consider “the nature and magnitude of California’s serious air quality problems, including the interrelationship between criteria and GHG pollution.”2822022 Waiver Reconsideration, 87 Fed. Reg. at 14334. The EPA noted that the 2019 record contained evidence that GHG emissions can lead to locally elevated carbon dioxide concentrations with local impacts such as ocean acidification, in addition to the longer-term global impacts from global emissions.283Id. at 14366. Thus, just like smog, climate change poses serious threats to the public health and safety of residents in California. As a result, ZEV regulations are crucial in protecting the public health and safety of Californians.

Even adopting the 2019 EPA’s narrow “local nexus” test, which required that the California waiver only applies to measures that address conditions “extraordinary” with respect to California, or those with a specific connection to local features and emissions peculiar to California,2842019 Waiver Withdrawal, 84 Fed. Reg. at 51347. California’s ZEV standard meets this test in directly addressing local air pollutant conditions by reducing criteria pollutant emissions. California’s 2020 Executive Order and resulting ACC II regulations made clear that California intended to regulate both GHG emissions and smog pollutants. The 2020 Executive Order states that zero emissions technologies “reduce both greenhouse gas emissions and toxic air pollutants,”285Cal. Exec. Order No. N-79-20 (Sept. 23, 2020), https://www.gov.ca.gov/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/9.23.20-EO-N-79-20-Climate.pdf [https://perma.cc/F4SE-B5AB]. and the ACC II regulations require new vehicles to “produce zero exhaust emissions of any criteria pollutant (or precursor pollutant) or greenhouse gas . . . .”286Cal. Code Regs. tit. 13, § 1962.4. California’s more stringent standards will thus continue to achieve critical reductions in conventional criteria pollution and help the state address public health problems caused by smog and soot.287See 2022 Waiver Reconsideration, 87 Fed. Reg. at 14353 (“CARB’s motor vehicle emission standards operate in tandem and are designed to reduce both criteria and GHG pollution and the ways in which GHG pollution exacerbates California’s serious air quality problems, including the heat exacerbation of ozone . . . .”); id. at 14364 (“CARB had demonstrated the need for GHG standards to address criteria pollutant concentrations in California.”). Congress has not provided any indication that California cannot take measures to reduce criteria pollutants and GHGs. Transportation is the largest source of air pollution in the state, responsible for nearly 40% of GHG emissions, 80% of nitrogen oxide pollution, and 90% of diesel particulate matter pollution.288Transforming Transportation, Cal. Energy Comm’n, supra note 2; Current California GHG Emission Inventory Data, Cal. Air Res. Bd., supra note 2. The EPA concluded that GHG measures are relevant to addressing local criteria pollutant issues2892009 Waiver Grant, supra note 68, at 32763 (“[A]lthough the factors that cause ozone are primarily local in nature and [] ozone is a local or regional air pollution problem, the impacts of global climate change can nevertheless exacerbate this local air pollution problem . . . California has made a case that its greenhouse gas standards are linked to amelioration of California’s smog problems. Reducing ozone levels in California cities and agricultural areas is expected to become harder with advancing climate change . . . ‘California’s high ozone levels—clearly a condition Congress considered—will be exacerbated by higher temperatures from global warming.’ ”); id. at 32750 (“CARB also found that its greenhouse gas standards will increase the health and welfare benefits from its broader motor vehicle emissions program by directly reducing upstream emissions of criteria pollutants from decreased fuel consumption.”). and that regulations to reduce GHGs often simultaneously address smog-forming pollutants like nitrogen oxide.2902022 Waiver Reconsideration, 87 Fed. Reg. at 14364 (citing Heavy-Duty Tractor-Trailer Greenhouse Gas Regulations); Notice of Decision, 79 Fed. Reg. 46256, 46261 (Aug. 7, 2014) (projecting that GHG standards will reduce nitrogen oxide emissions by one to three tons per day through 2020). The legislative history provides no basis for the claim that California cannot mitigate climate change threats or address environmental problems within their boundaries as soon as the problems extend beyond them.291See Final Brief for Respondents, supra note 131, at 52. In fact, Congress expressed an interest in allowing California to “continue its already excellent program” and continue to be the testing area of motor vehicle standards, which is expected to benefit its people and the nation by strengthening federal standards.292S. Rep. No. 90-403, at 33 (1967). The Senate report reflected opposition to displacing California’s right to set more stringent standards, as justified by California’s “unique problems and pioneering efforts.”293Id. Members of Congress concurred with the principle that California’s advances in air pollution regulation should not be nullified and that the state’s progress should not be impeded. Congressman John Dingell stated: “To penalize California for being ahead of the rest of the country in combating the menace of air pollution is totally incomprehensible.”294113 Cong. Rec. at H30946 (daily ed. Nov. 2, 1967) (remarks of Congressman John Dingell). The Ninth Circuit has also stated that California should be “encouraged to continue and to expand its efforts . . . to lower carbon emissions.”295Rocky Mountain Farmers Union v. Corey, 730 F.3d 1070, 1107 (9th Cir. 2013). Thus, Congress’s reasons for granting California a waiver continue to be compelling and extraordinary, and California’s current needs continue to remain relevant as ever in justifying the Clean Air Act waiver provision.

Congress did not justify the Clean Air Act waiver provision based on whether pollution problems were of a more local or global nature, but rather on the unique effects of smog in the Los Angeles area.296See H.R. Rep. No. 90-728, at 50 (1967) (recognizing the “critical concern of California for air pollution control, which is prompted especially by the acute susceptibility of the Los Angeles basin to concentrations of smog”). This emphasis suggests that Congress intended to give California the flexibility to adopt motor vehicle standards that the state determines are needed to address air pollution in the state, regardless of whether those problems might also be global in nature.297See 2022 Waiver Reconsideration, 87 Fed. Reg. at 14363 (“EPA sees no reason to distinguish between ‘local or regional’ air pollutants versus other pollutants that may be more globally mixed. Rather, it is appropriate to acknowledge that all pollutants and their effects may play a role in creating air pollution problems in California and that EPA should provide deference to California in its comprehensive policy choices for addressing them.”). Thus, California’s problems are serious enough and its efforts are such a model for the nation that a waiver provision is necessary in order for California to adequately protect public health. More recently, Congress’s clarification in the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act that GHGs are pollutants regulated under the Clean Air Act suggests that Congress intends the Clean Air Act to include GHGs.298Inflation Reduction Act of 2022, Pub. L. No. 117-169, 136 Stat. 1818. This further strengthens the argument that California is acting within the scope of the Clean Air Act in regulating GHGs through its innovative motor vehicle program.

CONCLUSION

The equal sovereignty argument is a new attempt to invalidate the Clean Air Act waiver provision and California’s ability to regulate motor vehicle emissions. As of this Note, no court has specifically addressed the constitutionality of the Clean Air Act under the equal sovereignty principle, and the decision is pending for Ohio v. EPA, which is expected to address this constitutional question.

This Note concludes that the equal sovereignty principle does not apply to the Clean Air Act, but even if it were to apply, it does not invalidate section 209(b)(1). Distinguishing from the outcome in Shelby County, the Clean Air Act waiver provision remains constitutional because granting California an exemption is “sufficiently related to the problem that it targets.” First, the Clean Air Act targets the broader problem of public health from automobile emissions. Second, allowing California to implement more stringent motor vehicle regulations will directly help address this problem. Congress had strong justifications for granting California an exemption which continue to remain compelling and relevant today. California’s history with air pollution control, its large economy, and its characteristic geographic and climate conditions put the state in a unique position to influence the automobile market and address GHG emissions. California faces new and increasingly formidable threats from climate change, which have exacerbated the existing problems that initially compelled California’s motor vehicle regulations. Allowing California broad discretion to regulate GHG emissions is directly related to Congress’s goal of addressing the public health threats from motor vehicle pollution in California because the effects of GHGs and smog are directly related and affect one another. Even as California’s motor vehicle regulations have shifted from reducing local smog by regulating criteria pollutants to reducing GHG emissions by eliminating gasoline-powered cars, California’s current needs continue to justify its differential treatment—maintaining, and perhaps even strengthening, section 209(b)(1)’s relevance in the twenty-first century.

The court’s decision on whether section 209(b)(1) of the Clean Air Act remains constitutionally valid will determine the extent to which California can continue to realize the localized benefits of the Clean Air Act while helping accelerate the nation’s transition towards a clean energy economy. It will also have implications for California’s ability to continue to regulate GHG emissions as a leader in addressing the most pressing environmental issues of the day.

Is the court going to handcuff California’s ability to protect the health and safety of its residents in the name of equal sovereignty? That was not the intention of Congress when it discussed equal sovereignty concerns pertaining to the Clean Air Act waiver. On the contrary, Congress debated whether other states should also be able to enact more stringent standards than the federal government, which would be the more reasonable remedy if the Clean Air Act waiver provision were deemed unconstitutional per equal sovereignty, as the petitioners demand.

To strengthen the ability of motor vehicle regulations to withstand future court challenges, California could emphasize criteria pollutants in its regulations. Since criteria pollutants have been more directly linked to local air pollution issues and Congress originally implemented the waiver provision in response to regional smog problems, this change could make it more difficult to challenge a regulation on the basis of it only regulating climate change. It will likely be simpler to show that the disparate treatment of California is sufficiently related to the problem that the Clean Air Act targets if legislators explicitly provide how they expect the regulations to affect local air quality as well as the local co-benefits of implementing them. For example, replacing internal combustion passenger vehicles with EVs will reduce not only GHG emissions, but also criteria pollutants including nitrogen oxides that are emitted.

California’s motor vehicle standards alone may not reverse or solve climate change, but the EPA has a duty to take steps to slow or reduce it.299States need not “resolve massive problems in one fell regulatory swoop.” Massachusetts v. EPA, 549 U.S. 497, 524 (2007). Allowing California to continue to promulgate innovative, forward-looking motor vehicle standards is crucial to its ability to lead the country as a “laboratory of innovation,” as Congress intended, and address the urgent environment and public health consequences of motor vehicle pollution.

97 S. Cal. L. Rev. 165

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* Senior Editor, Southern California Law Review, Volume 97; J.D. Candidate 2024, University of Southern California Gould School of Law; B.A. Economics 2019, Wellesley College. A special thank you to Professor Robin Craig for her thoughtful guidance, my friends and family for their consistent support and encouragement, and the Southern California Law Review editors for their thorough feedback.

The Federal Reserve and the Constitution

In a number of important cases restricting the authority and independence of federal agencies, the Supreme Court’s conservative majority has adopted reasoning that, if applied consistently, could have more far-reaching consequences for the administrative state. To explore the limits of the Court’s evolving doctrines, this Article shows how their application might lead to a conclusion that the structure or mandate of the Federal Reserve, as created by Congress, is unconstitutional. On the assumption that at least some of the conservative Justices would not want to reach this result, the Article goes on to survey strategies available to the Court for avoiding such an outcome. It explains how, if a constitutional challenge to the Federal Reserve were to reach the Court, its choice among these strategies would further delineate the reach of its campaign against the administrative state. Even in the absence of an actual challenge, this exercise reveals how the Court’s political philosophy is shaping its jurisprudence.

INTRODUCTION

The low intensity offensive against the administrative state that has been waged by the conservative Justices of the Supreme Court for well over a decade has escalated in the last several terms. The campaign has two prongs. One is the restriction of agency authority derived from enabling legislation. The other is the invalidation of structural measures that insulate decisions of government officials from the political control of the President. The first is exemplified by the potentially very broad “major questions doctrine” announced by the Court in West Virginia v. EPA1See West Virginia v. EPA, 142 S. Ct. 2587, 2609 (2022). and the possible revival of the long dormant non-delegation doctrine heralded by Justice Gorsuch’s dissent in Gundy v. United States.2See Gundy v. United States, 139 S. Ct. 2116, 2133–35 (2019) (Gorsuch, J., dissenting). The second is reflected in the trio of decisions invalidating for-cause removal protections for officials in agencies that Congress had chosen to make independent,3See Collins v. Yellen, 141 S. Ct. 1761, 1782 (2021); Seila Law LLC v. Consumer Fin. Prot. Bureau, 140 S. Ct. 2183, 2207–08 (2020); Free Enter. Fund v. Pub. Co. Acct. Oversight Bd., 561 U.S. 477, 507 (2010). and in United States v. Arthrex,4See United States v. Arthrex, Inc., 141 S. Ct. 1970, 1988 (2021). One must, in fairness, note that although Justice Thomas is in some respects the most aggressive of the Justices in the Court’s offensive against the administrative state, he dissented from Chief Justice Roberts’s opinion for the majority in Arthrex. which gave a political appointee authority to review certain decisions of patent law judges that Congress had insulated from direct political influence.

While the battle lines have thus been drawn, it remains unclear how much territory the conservative Court aims to capture. The rhetoric and logic of some of these opinions seem to extend far beyond the holdings and practical effects of the decisions themselves. An important open question is where the Court will stop. In this article I take up that question indirectly by examining what is perhaps the strongest candidate for a limiting case—the Federal Reserve.

In his famous foretaste of Legal Realism, Justice Holmes observed that common law rights and duties are “nothing but prophecies” of what courts will do when presented with a specific case.5Oliver Wendell Holmes, The Path of the Law, 10 Harv. L. Rev. 457, 458 (1897). So too with a judicially-centered view of constitutional law. An assertion that an act of Congress is “constitutional” or “unconstitutional,” as opposed to whether it should be, is coherent only if it rests on a more or less convincing prediction of how the Supreme Court would rule on the matter.6Holmes’s second famous point in his address—the impact of a prediction as to how a court would rule on a “bad man”—is less, though by no means completely, irrelevant to constitutional law. Id. at 459. I believe, as I suspect most readers do, that even the current Court is unlikely to rule unconstitutional the delegation of monetary policy to the Federal Open Market Committee (“FOMC”)—an independent entity that includes nongovernmental officials as well as the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (the “Board”), an independent government agency. At least on first inspection, however, this prediction is discordant with some of what the Court has already said about the Appointments Clause and the removal power. Were the conservative Justices’ intimations of further expansion of the removal power doctrine and revival of the non-delegation doctrine to be realized, the dissonance with the Federal Reserve’s structure would only grow. If my intuition is correct, and the Court would decline to follow some of the logic in earlier opinions to a conclusion that the Federal Reserve was unconstitutional, then its rationale for pulling up short of this outcome would itself be revealing of the limits of the emerging doctrines and, perhaps, of the political philosophy lying behind them.

The Article proceeds as follows: Part I provides some background on the mandate and structure of the Federal Reserve. Part II evaluates that mandate and structure in light the evolving separation of powers doctrines of the Court’s conservative majority and reaches the following conclusions:

First, although a majority of the Justices have indicated interest in reviving the non-delegation doctrine, the streak of nearly ninety years without a statute being declared an excessive delegation continues. Should the conservative Justices move beyond their talk in Gundy to action, the broad delegation of authority to the FOMC in the Federal Reserve Act would almost surely raise a constitutional question.

Second, the status of the nongovernmental members on the FOMC is most vulnerable to constitutional challenge. The FOMC includes as five of its voting members the presidents of regional Federal Reserve Banks, who are not appointed by the President and confirmed by the Senate. Indeed, they are not even employees of the U.S. government. They could well be adjudged principal officers of the United States, in which case their presence on the FOMC would be unconstitutional as a violation of Article II.

Third, because the Court has not to this point ruled that traditional multi-member independent agencies are unconstitutional infringements on the President’s removal power, the Board continues to enjoy for-cause removal protection. However, if the Court were to follow through on the logic of its recent opinions, as explicitly urged by some of its conservative members, the Board would presumptively be just as vulnerable as every other independent federal agency.7A recent court of appeals decision raised the prospect of another potential constitutional challenge to the FOMC, and the Federal Reserve System more generally. In Community Financial Services Association of America v. Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, 51 F.4th 616, 642–43 (5th Cir. 2022), cert. granted, 143 S. Ct. 978 (2023), the Fifth Circuit broke with the conclusion reached by at least six other federal courts and declared that the statutory method for funding the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (“CFPB”) (a portion of the budget of the Federal Reserve, transferred directly from the Fed) violates the Appropriations Clause because it is not approved by Congress. See id. at 644. Since the Federal Reserve itself is funded by the interest it earns on securities and various fees it charges private financial institutions for its services, the holding of the Fifth Circuit threatened to implicate the Fed as well (notwithstanding the Court’s efforts to distinguish the CFPB). Although at the time of this writing the case had not been decided, the comments of several conservative Justices during oral argument suggested that the Court will not be receptive to the argument that the CFPB funding scheme violates the Appropriations Clause. Transcript of Oral Argument at 51, 67–68, 82, Consumer Fin. Bureau v. Cmty. Fin. Servs. Ass’n of America, 143 S. Ct. 981 (2023) (No. 22-448). Hence, I do not include an analysis of this issue in this Article.

Part III discusses why and how, notwithstanding these apparent constitutional vulnerabilities, the Court might well not hold the core delegation to, and structural features of, the Federal Reserve to be unconstitutional. As to why—members of the Court’s conservative majority may be more favorably inclined toward a central bank than other economic regulatory agencies. A more tangible consideration is the difficulty the Court would have in fashioning a remedy for the supposed unconstitutionality of the FOMC structure or mandate that did not risk major disruption to monetary policy, and thus the U.S. economy.

As to how, there are two means of avoidance that are at least arguably consistent with the revealed doctrinal inclinations of the conservative Justices. First, the Court may literally avoid the merits through denying standing to likely plaintiffs. A fairly restrictive standing doctrine of the sort now embraced by the Court would preclude challenges to the FOMC mandate and, quite possibly, to the status of the Reserve Bank presidents.

Second, the Court may find that, on the merits, the Federal Reserve enjoys an exception to the doctrines the Court’s majority has been building. This second way itself has two branches. One is based on the history of the regulation of money going all the way back to the First Bank of the United States. The other rests on perceived functional differences between the Federal Reserve and other independent agencies—an “anomaly,” as then Judge Kavanaugh once described it.8PHH Corp. v. Consumer Fin. Prot. Bureau, 881 F.3d 75, 175, 192 n.17 (D.C. Cir. 2018) (en banc) (Kavanaugh, J., dissenting).

Part IV builds on the detailed doctrinal analysis of Part II and Part III to discuss the constitutional choices of the Court that would be revealed by the possible outcomes of challenges to the Federal Reserve’s mandate or structure. If the Court refrains from further incursions on congressional decisions to delegate authority to independent agencies, the mandate and structure of the FOMC would be largely insulated from constitutional attack, at least as a practical matter. In that event, some limits on the Court’s separation of powers campaign would have been established.

But what if the Court extends its separation of powers doctrines further? Cass Sunstein and Adrian Vermeule have argued that one of the Court’s recent removal cases was driven not by originalism or any other interpretive method based on the text of the Constitution, but by “judgments, grounded in abstract principles, about what would make the constitutional order the best that it could be.”9Cass R. Sunstein & Adrian Vermeule, The Unitary Executive: Past, Present, Future, 2020 Sup. Ct. Rev. 83, 117 (2021). Assuming the Court wishes to avoid interfering with the statutory independence of the nation’s central bank, even as it pushes those principles further into the statutory organization of the U.S. government, then it will reveal not just its political philosophy, but some of its specific policy preferences. In granting the Federal Reserve exceptional status, the Court would be making choices that either seem arbitrary or that quite overtly appropriate the legislative role of making policy judgments. Finally, were the Court unexpectedly to find some part of the Federal Reserve’s mandate or structure unconstitutional, it would signal an escalation of its campaign against the administrative state and its strong resolve to remake the U.S. government.

* * *

Two additional points should be stated at the outset. First, my aim in this article is not to make a normative argument on the constitutionality of the Federal Reserve. Instead, my aims are to analyze that set of issues as a positive matter against the backdrop of the Court’s separation of powers jurisprudence and to consider what that analysis reveals about the ideological and policy dispositions of the Court underlying that jurisprudence. But this focus should not be confused with the view that the Federal Reserve’s mandate or structure should be captured by the Court’s evolving doctrines. On the contrary, like so many others, I find Justice Kagan’s arguments in her dissent in Seila Law convincing: Congress should have broad, though not unbounded, leeway in deciding how to structure the agencies it creates.10Equally compelling is Justice Scalia’s explanation in Whitman v. American Trucking Associations of why a non-delegation doctrine is essentially impossible for the Court to apply. Whitman v. Am. Trucking Ass’ns, 531 U.S. 457, 472 (2001).

Second, the Article focuses solely on these constitutional considerations. Nothing here should be read to suggest that the structure of the FOMC is or ought to be sacrosanct. There are good reasons to consider a range of changes, especially to the Reserve Banks and the status of their presidents. But decisions on whether the country should have an independent central bank, and how independent it should be, properly lie with Congress, not the Supreme Court.

I.  STRUCTURE AND MANDATES OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE

The “Federal Reserve” actually consists of two separate policymaking entities created by statute. The awkwardly named “Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System” is recognizable as one of the many independent regulatory agencies in the U.S. government. The Federal Reserve Act provides for seven members who are appointed by the President and confirmed by the Senate for fourteen-year terms1112 U.S.C. § 241. and then enjoy for-cause removal protection.12Id. § 242. The Board has a number of regulatory and programmatic responsibilities. Most prominent are certain authorities for providing emergency liquidity to the financial system13Sections 10A and 10B of the Federal Reserve Act authorize the Reserve Banks, under the direction of the Board, to extend short-term loans against good collateral to solvent banks. 12 U.S.C. §§ 347a–b. Section 13(3) of the Federal Reserve Act permits the Federal Reserve, in “unusual and exigent circumstances,” to create “broad-based” programs of lending to non-banks. 12 U.S.C. § 343(3)(A). Any program—usually referred to as a “facility,” created by the Federal Reserve under this authority must be approved by the Secretary of the Treasury. 12 U.S.C. § 343(3)(B)(iv). Credit may be extended under any 13(3) program only to solvent debtors and must be backed by appropriately discounted debt instruments. and the regulation of bank holding companies and certain insured depository institutions.1412 U.S.C. § 1813(q)(3) specifies that the Board is the regulator for state banks that are members of the Federal Reserve system, all bank holding companies, and certain other bank-related entities. Like the two agencies with which the Board shares bank regulatory authority, it regularly engages in notice-and-comment rulemakings and formal adjudications under the Administrative Procedure Act. And, like those two other agencies, it is self-funding and thus not subject to the congressional appropriations process.15Section 10(3) of the Federal Reserve Act gives the Board power to levy an assessment on the Federal Reserve Banks to pay for the Board’s expenses. 12 U.S.C. § 243. The Reserve Banks, in turn, derive their revenue primarily from interest on securities acquired in open market operations. Other sources of income include priced services provided to depository institutions—such as check clearing, funds transfers, and automated clearinghouse operations. Fed. Rsrv. Pub. Educ. & Outreach, The Fed Explained: What the Central Bank Does 4 (11th ed. 2021), https://www.federalreserve.gov/aboutthefed/files/the-fed-explained.pdf [https://perma.cc/L6XK-X9M5]. Net earnings in excess of expenses and other obligations are returned to the Treasury. Id. As indicated at note 7, a pending case challenging the statutory funding mechanism for the CFPB could have implications for the non-appropriated funding capacity of the Federal Reserve. See Cmty. Fin. Servs. Ass’n of Am. v. Consumer Fin. Prot. Bureau, 51 F.4th 616, 644 (5th Cir. 2022), cert. granted, 143 S. Ct. 978 (2023).

The FOMC, by contrast, is an institutionally unique policymaking entity within the U.S. government. The FOMC sets monetary policy for the United States. While it considers itself an “agency” for purposes of the Administrative Procedure Act,16Regulations governing FOMC practice, including Freedom of Information Act (“FOIA”) requests, are at 12 C.F.R. §§ 270–81. it is not an organization unto itself. Instead, it consists of representatives of the constituent entities of the Federal Reserve System. It has no employees. Its staff work is done by employees of the Board and the Reserve Banks.17See Rules of Organization § 5, Fed. Open Mkt. Comm. (as amended effective Sept. 30, 2016), https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/fomc_rulesorganization.pdf [https://perma.cc/S6C5-HAPW]. Its voters include all members of the Board plus, on a rotating basis, five of the presidents of the twelve Reserve Banks.18Technically, under 12 U.S.C. § 263(a), the first vice president of a Reserve Bank could be the designated member of the FOMC, but in practice it is always the president. Only the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York has a permanent vote on the FOMC. By convention, the others rotate through four other voting positions once every two or three years. Section 12A of the Federal Reserve Act states only that the boards of directors of specified groups of two or three Reserve Banks shall elect a representative annually. 12 U.S.C. § 263(a). In theory, then, the boards of the Boston, Philadelphia, and Richmond Reserve Banks could decide each year which one of their three presidents would represent them on the FOMC that year. By long-established convention, the presidents of the Reserve Banks grouped together by Section 12A rotate as FOMC members. That is why, despite the fact the statutory election has not taken place, the portion of the Board’s website devoted to the FOMC lists the voting members for future years. Thus, when the Board is at full strength, there are at any given time seven Board votes and five Reserve Bank votes.1912 U.S.C. § 263(a). The remaining seven Reserve Bank presidents nonetheless attend and participate fully (except for voting) in all FOMC meetings.

The Reserve Banks themselves are organizationally unusual. They are not “agencies” of the U.S. government. Neither the presidents nor staff of the Reserve Banks are government employees. However, both their distribution of profits and governance differ substantially from that of private corporations. They were created through a somewhat circuitous process outlined by Congress in Section 4 of the Federal Reserve Act.20Federal Reserve Act, Pub. L. No. 63-43, § 4 ¶¶ 1–3, 38 Stat. 251, 254 (1913) (uncodified). Their paid-in capital comes from private banks that are required or choose to become member banks of the Federal Reserve system. Reserve Banks make money principally through seigniorage on cash transactions in securities, interest paid on securities held by the Federal Reserve, and fees charged for various financial services. The member banks are entitled to a dividend, which is calculated roughly as a preferred stock dividend would be—as a percentage of the paid-in capital of each bank.2112 U.S.C. § 289. All remaining “profits” of the Reserve Banks, beyond those necessary to meet their expenses, and that of the Board, are turned over to the Treasury Department.22Id. Since the creation of the CFPB in 2010, a portion of Federal Reserve Revenues is allocated to fund that agency. Id. § 5497.

By law, the nine members of the boards of directors of each Reserve Bank consist of three representatives of the member banks (Class A directors), three representatives of non-banking interests selected by the member banks (Class B directors), and three representatives of the public selected by the Board (Class C directors).23Id. § 302. The chair of each Reserve Bank is appointed by the Board from among the Class C directors. In practice, Reserve Bank presidents suggest the three public members and chair after consultation with the Board. With the approval of the Board, the Class B and Class C directors select the president of the Reserve Bank, who is generally the representative of that Bank on the FOMC.24Id. § 341. Both the Board25Id. § 248(f). and the board of directors of a Reserve Bank26Id. § 341. have statutory authority to remove its president.

Congress has legislated the objectives of monetary policy—“to promote effectively the goals of maximum employment, stable prices, and moderate long-term interest rates.”27Id. § 225a. See infra Section II.A. For decades the FOMC’s principal means for managing monetary policy was through “open market operations”—the purchase and sale of short-term U.S. government obligations.28The FOMC’s core statutory authority is to direct the twelve regional Federal Reserve Banks “[t]o buy and sell in the open market . . . any obligation which is a direct obligation of, or fully guaranteed as to principal and interest by, any agency of the United States.” Id. § 355(2). Open market operations directly affect interest rates on these risk-free obligations, which in turn affect all interest rates in the economy.29The Federal Reserve’s purchase of securities on the open market increases the supply of money by creating “reserves” for the institutions selling those securities. During the Global Financial Crisis of 2007–2009, the FOMC quickly used open market purchases of Treasuries to lower its target short-term interest rate to what was effectively zero. At the “zero lower bound,” the traditional policy approach of managing short-term rates had reached its limit. The FOMC consequently engaged in “quantitative easing”—that is, the purchase of longer duration securities in an effort to bring longer-term rates down as well.30In normal times, changes in short-term rates engineered by the FOMC affect longer-term rates as well, though rarely in the exact proportion of the change in short-term rates.

The resulting enormous increase in reserves meant that when the FOMC was ready to begin cautiously raising rates in late 2015, traditional open-market operations would not have produced the scarcity of reserves in the federal funds market that would result in higher lending rates in the economy as a whole. Consequently, the FOMC has changed to the use of “administered rates” to set policy.31For an explanation, see Ben S. Bernanke, 21st Century Monetary Policy: The Federal Reserve from the Great Inflation to COVID-19 248–52 (2022). The Federal Reserve sets its interest rate on reserves32Throughout most of the Federal Reserve’s history, it was not authorized to pay interest on reserves. In 2006, Congress granted that authority, which was originally to have become effective in 2011. See Financial Services Regulatory Relief Act of 2006, Pub. L. No. 109-351, Title II, § 201(a), 120 Stat. 1966, 1968 (2006) (codified at 12 U.S.C. § 461(b)(12)(A)). However, in light of the gathering financial crisis in 2008, Congress accelerated the effective date. See Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008, Pub. L. No. 110-343, Title I, § 128, 122 Stat. 3765, 3796 (2008) (uncodified). (and in separate facilities in which certain non-bank financial firms can participate)33This is the overnight reverse repurchase facility (the “ON RRP”). As explained by the Federal Reserve:

The FOMC sets an overnight reverse repurchase agreement offering rate (ON RRP rate), which is the maximum interest rate the Federal Reserve is willing to pay in an ON RRP operation. When an institution uses the ON RRP facility, it essentially makes a deposit at the Fed overnight, receiving a government security as collateral. The next day, the transaction is “unwound”—the Fed buys back the security, and the institution earns interest on the cash it deposited at the Fed. . . . In general, any counterparty to the facility should be unwilling to invest funds overnight in money markets at a rate below the ON RRP rate.

Fed. Rsrv. Pub. Educ. & Outreach, supra note 15, at 37.
to establish floors below which the recipients of the interest will have no incentive to lend to households and businesses.

The FOMC is, if not the most independent policymaking organization in the U.S. government, certainly among the top few. Because its operations are funded by the Reserve Banks and the Board, which are themselves self-funding, it is not subject to the congressional appropriations process. Its deliberations are exempted from the Government in the Sunshine Act3412 C.F.R. § 281.1; see 5 U.S.C. § 552b(c)(9)(A) (exempting from obligation to open deliberations to the public any meeting involving information “the premature disclosure of which would [] in the case of any agency which regulates currencies, securities, commodities, or financial institutions, be likely to [] lead to significant financial speculation in currencies, securities, or commodities . . . .”). and, to a considerable extent, from the Freedom of Information Act.35See 5 U.S.C. § 552(b)(1)–(9) (listing categories of records exempt from disclosure); see also 12 C.F.R. § 271.15(a)(1)–(8). Monetary policy activities and communications may not be audited by the Government Accountability Office.3612 U.S.C. § 3910(a)(3). Finally, to repeat, members of the Board may be removed by the President only for cause, and Reserve Bank presidents are neither appointed nor removable by the President.37There is some question as to whether the Federal Reserve Act permits the President to remove the Chair and Vice Chairs, who are appointed to those specific positions for terms of four years, even in the absence of cause. See infra note 356. Were the President to successfully remove a Chair or Vice Chair, however, that individual would still enjoy for-cause removal protection as a Member of the Board.

The unusual structure of the Federal Reserve System was established in the original Federal Reserve Act, as signed into law in 1913. However, while the original framework of twelve nongovernmental regional Reserve Banks and a governmental Board in Washington providing coordination and oversight has endured in the intervening century, much else has changed. Because recent Supreme Court decisions have assessed the pedigree of an agency in determining its constitutionality, Parts III and IV will discuss relevant features of Federal Reserve history and of its antecedents—the two Banks of the United States created in the nation’s early decades. Here, as a prefatory matter, I make a few general points to provide some context for the discussions to follow.

First, the motivation for creation of the Federal Reserve differs from that of the now prominent central banks that predated it. While the Bank of England and Banque de France were established to help the governments of those countries finance wars, the Federal Reserve was a response to a series of financial panics that culminated in the Panic of 1907. Thus, the availability of credit throughout the economy and the preservation of financial stability were central to the original mission of the Federal Reserve. The legacy of sectional and political disputes over credit helps explain its peculiar decentralized structure, while the experience of private clearinghouse efforts to mobilize private bank resources in the face of credit crunches helps explain its peculiar public-private character.38See Donald R. Wells, The Federal Reserve System: A History 7–20 (2004) (discussing brief accounts of conflicts over the creation of the Federal Reserve); Eugene Nelson White, The Regulation and Reform of the American Banking System, 1900–1929, at 1983–99 (1983). The most extensive treatment remains one written less than a decade after passage of the Federal Reserve Act, by a former academic who had advised the congressional committees drafting the Act and then became the Board’s first secretary. Henry Parker Willis, The Federal Reserve System: Legislation, Organization and Operation 520 (1923).

Second, the authority of the Federal Reserve is more centralized and governmental today than at its creation. For its first two decades, the Reserve Banks—especially the Federal Reserve Bank of New York—had the upper hand in determining Federal Reserve policies, which often varied across Reserve Banks. New Deal legislation increased Board authority—including requiring Board approval of the Presidents of the Reserve Banks—and entrenched a single, unified approach to monetary policy decisions by formally establishing the FOMC and removing the autonomy of individual Reserve Banks to make their own decisions on the rates at which liquidity can be extended to member banks. While changes in the intervening eighty years have been more incremental, they have almost uniformly enhanced Board authority at the expense of Reserve Bank prerogatives. Still, despite proposals in the 1930s to nationalize the Reserve Banks or to make their Presidents subject to the Article II appointment process, no change in the basic structure of the System was made then. Nor, despite periodic revival of such proposals, has any been made since.

Third, notwithstanding a formal ruling by the Attorney General at the inception of the Federal Reserve that the Board was independent of the Treasury Department,39Attorney General T.W. Gregory relied on both the structure of the Federal Reserve Act and its legislative history in concluding that the Board was a distinct entity from the Treasury and was intended to be such. Off. of the Att’y Gen., Opinion Letter on Status of Federal Reserve Board (Dec. 19, 1914), as reprinted in First Annual Report of the Federal Reserve Board for the Period Ending December 31, 1914 (1915), https://fraser.stlouisfed.org/files/docs/publications/arfr/1910s/arfr_1914.pdf [https://perma.cc/RAV4-37NY]. both its de jure and de facto independence have varied over time. Until the New Deal legislation, both the Treasury Secretary and Comptroller of the Currency were ex officio members of the Board, with the Treasury Secretary as chair. Even after the Administration officials were removed from the Board, statutory authorities that gave Treasury the authority to create money on its own afforded Administrations leverage over the Federal Reserve.40See infra notes 324–27 and accompanying text. This legal influence was buttressed by political pressures on the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates low in order to support government financing of both World Wars and New Deal spending programs.

Even following the 1951 Fed-Treasury Accord, which obliquely freed the Fed from a commitment to peg rates at a level desired by Treasury,41See Wells, supra note 38, at 91–95. various Presidents and Treasury Secretaries have successfully influenced FOMC decisions, and Fed Chairs in particular. The posture of reasonably scrupulous presidential respect for Fed independence—which today many consider a norm to have been breached by President Trump—was arguably a historical anomaly during a period covered by the presidencies of Clinton, Obama, and both Bushes.42President Biden has reverted to the practice of the four pre-Trump presidents and scrupulously avoided any public statement that might be seen as interfering with the Fed’s monetary policy independence. Finally, during periods of financial stress, close coordination between the Federal Reserve and Treasury has understandably been the rule, rather than the exception. Now that some of the Board’s emergency liquidity authorities require the agreement of the Secretary,43Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act, Pub. L. No. 111-203, § 1101(a), 124 Stat. 1376, 2113–14 (2010) (current version at 12 U.S.C. § 343(3)(B)(iv)). that coordination has a legal, as well as practical, foundation.44Although the special authorities in question belong to the Board, rather than to the FOMC, decisions on use of these powers are analytically and practically related to decisions on extraordinary monetary policy action under stressed conditions.

II.  CONSTITUTIONAL PROBLEMS

A.  Non-Delegation

As recently as a few years ago, a non-delegation issue would not have appeared in a discussion of possible constitutional infirmities in the structure and operation of the Federal Reserve. Indeed, it would have appeared on none but the most comprehensive lists of constitutional issues associated with any agency. In his opinion for the Court in Whitman,45Whitman v. Am. Trucking Ass’ns, 531 U.S. 457, 463 (2001). Justice Scalia had seemingly put to rest any lingering question as to whether a congressional grant of authority to an agency might be found to lack an “intelligible principle” and thus be an unconstitutional delegation. But Justice Gorsuch’s dissent in Gundy v. United States,46Gundy v. United States, 139 S. Ct. 2116, 2131–48 (2019) (Gorsuch, J., dissenting). which now appears to command the support of a majority of the Court,47Four other Justices have expressed either sympathy or support for Justice Gorsuch’s opinion. Chief Justice Roberts and Justice Thomas joined his dissent. Id. Justice Alito concurred in the judgment but indicated that he would be willing to revisit the delegation doctrine. Id. at 2131 (“If a majority of this Court were willing to reconsider the approach we have taken for the past 84 years, I would support that effort.”) (Alito, J., concurring). Justice Kavanaugh, who had just joined the Court and took no part in the consideration or decision in Gundy, nonetheless went out of his way to indicate sympathy for the Gorsuch opinion by adding a statement to the Court’s denial of cert. in a case several months after Gundy was decided. Paul v. United States, 140 S. Ct. 342, 342 (2019) (“Justice Gorsuch’s thoughtful Gundy opinion raised important points that may warrant further consideration in future cases.”) (Kavanaugh, J., concurring). has raised the prospect of breathing life into the non-delegation doctrine for the first time in ninety years.

It remains to be seen whether this prospect will in fact be realized, or whether the Court will ultimately demur in the face of the same problem of defining the limits of an intelligible principle (or some other test for valid delegations) that bedeviled it for all those decades following Schechter48A.L.A. Schechter Poultry Corp. v. United States, 295 U.S. 495, 538 (1935). and Panama Refining.49Panama Refining Co. v. Ryan, 293 U.S. 388, 429–30 (1935). Until the Court’s intentions become clearer, though, at least some consideration of the non-delegation issue—as expressed in Justice Gorsuch’s dissent—seems warranted in assessing the constitutional status of any agency with broad authority.50It is possible that the Court’s conservative majority may avoid the definitional problems inherent in a non-delegation doctrine by devising or expanding other doctrinal checks on administrative agencies. In West Virginia v. EPA, 142 S. Ct. 2587 (2022), for example, the Court majority put forth a rather open-ended “major questions” doctrine that suggested there may be substantial limits on agency authority even where statutory text appears to grant broad administrative powers. While the potential reach of the doctrine is difficult to derive from Chief Justice Roberts’s opinion in West Virginia, the FOMC’s discretion to balance maximum employment and price stability does not appear to be a prime candidate for negation under that doctrine. Although the exercise of monetary policy is certainly important economically, and can provoke political controversy at times, the FOMC’s mandate is clear from both the text and the legislative history of the 1997 amendment to the Federal Reserve Act. In exercising this discretion, the FOMC is not invoking an old statute to justify new authority in ways unanticipated by Congress, as the Court argued the Environmental Protection Agency (“EPA”) had done in West Virginia. The FOMC’s broad authority to decide between important, sometimes conflicting macroeconomic policy goals would certainly be implicated by any serious revival of the doctrine.

Until 1977, Congress had never articulated a standard to guide monetary policy decisions by the Federal Reserve.51The original Federal Reserve Act granted the Reserve Banks and the Board various powers and imposed various limitations on the exercise of those powers, but included no explicit standard for guiding the exercise of those powers. As to the purpose of these powers, from which such a standard might have been inferred, all that was provided was the introductory language of the Act: “An Act To provide for the establishment of Federal reserve banks, to furnish an elastic currency, to afford means of rediscounting commercial paper, to establish a more effective supervision of banking in the United States, and for other purposes.” Federal Reserve Act, Pub. L. No. 63-43, 38 Stat. 251 (1913) (emphasis added). In the brief, but significant, Federal Reserve Reform Act of that year, Congress specified the monetary policy objectives:

The Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and the Federal Open Market Committee shall maintain long run growth of the monetary and credit aggregates commensurate with the economy’s long run potential to increase production, so as to promote effectively the goals of maximum employment, stable prices, and moderate long-term interest rates.52Federal Reserve Act, Pub. L. No. 95-188, § 202, 91 Stat. 1387, 1387 (1977) (codified at 12 U.S.C. § 225a). Section 204 of the Act required that the Chair and Vice Chair of the Board be separately nominated by the President and confirmed by the Senate for four-year terms. Previously the President had simply designated individuals to serve in these roles from the Members of the Board already confirmed for fourteen-year terms. Id. § 204.

When assessed against the statutory standards considered in the line of decisions between Schechter and Gundy, the Federal Reserve’s “dual mandate” of maximum employment and stable prices seems unremarkable.53Although the statute apparently includes three aims, the conventional view is that because “long-term interest rates can remain low only in a stable macroeconomic environment,” Congress has in fact given the Federal Reserve a “dual” mandate. Frederic S. Mishkin, Governor, Fed. Rsrv. Bd., Monetary Policy and the Dual Mandate (Apr, 10, 2007), https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/mishkin20070410a.htm [https://perma.cc/LDW9-2GDB]. True, Congress has given the Federal Reserve broad discretion, both to determine what “maximum employment” and “stable prices” mean in concrete terms and to strike a balance between the two objectives when they may conflict.54Economists discussing central bank “independence” sometimes distinguish between “goal” independence and “instrument” independence, following the taxonomy introduced by the distinguished monetary policy economist and former central banker Stanley Fischer. Stanley Fischer, Modern Central Banking, in The Future of Central Banking 262, 292 (1995). Goal independence, as the term suggests, is the ability of a central bank to set its own goals, whereas instrument independence is the “discretion and power to deploy monetary policy to attain its goals.” Id. Fischer further notes that the Federal Reserve is given multiple goals, which at least in the short run may be in conflict. Id. at 265–66. Former Fed Chair Ben Bernanke characterizes the Federal Reserve as having “de facto policy independence.” Bernanke, supra note 31, at 405. Indeed, the genesis of the amendment was the view of many in Congress that the Federal Reserve needed to weight employment goals more substantially. However, as aptly summarized by Justice Scalia in Whitman,55Whitman v. Am. Trucking Ass’ns, 531 U.S. 457, 474­–75 (2001). the Court has found statutes with objectives as broad as achieving the “public interest” to meet the intelligible principle test.

How, though, might the dual mandate fare if the non-delegation doctrine is put back in play? At present the best starting point for answering that question is Justice Gorsuch’s view of the limits of permissible delegations, as explained in his Gundy dissent. He gives us a detailed application of his position only for the Sex Offenders Registration and Notification Act (“SORNA”)—the statute challenged in Gundy.56This analysis is not especially illuminating in considering regulatory delegations, insofar as it rests on Justice Gorsuch’s interpretation that SORNA authorized the Attorney General to decide which previously convicted sex offenders were subject to its terms, not just the details of how those terms would apply to all such offenders. Justice Kagan’s plurality opinion construed the Attorney General’s discretion much more narrowly, based on her conclusion that SORNA reflected a congressional decision that all prior offenders register under the Act and thus that the “Attorney General’s discretion extends only to considering and addressing feasibility issues.” Gundy v. United States, 139 S. Ct. 2116, 2124 (2019). Gorsuch’s interpretation that SORNA allowed the Attorney General to determine the scope of what is, in effect, a status offense set up a favorable test case for those interested in reviving the non-delegation doctrine. Still, his dissent is composed mostly of criticism of the evolution of the “intelligible principle” test set forth by the Court nearly a century ago in J.W. Hampton, Jr., & Co. v. United States57J.W. Hampton, Jr., & Co. v. United States, 276 U.S. 394, 409 (1928). and, as such, contains an outline of what he believes to be the salient considerations in formulating a more robust test.

First, drawing from cases decided prior to J.W. Hampton, Justice Gorsuch identifies what he considers the three limited forms of delegation permitted by the Court until the intelligible principle test “began to take on a life of its own.”58Gundy, 139 S. Ct. at 2139 (Gorsuch, J., dissenting). Two are relevant for present purposes—“fill[ing] up the details” of a congressional policy decision and making “the application of . . . [a congressional] rule depend on executive fact-finding.”59Id. at 2136. The most far-reaching permissible delegation in the cases he favorably cites to illustrate these principles is found in United States v. Grimaud, a 1911 decision upholding a statute authorizing the Secretary of Agriculture to adopt rules regulating the “occupancy and use” of public forests to protect them from “destruction” and “depredations.”60United States v. Grimaud, 220 U.S. 506, 509 (1911).

Second, after rejecting the “mutated version” of the contemporary intelligible principle doctrine, but suggesting that some cases decided under that test might “be consistent with more traditional teachings” of the nineteenth and early twentieth centuries,61Gundy, 139 S. Ct. at 2139–40 (Gorsuch, J., dissenting). Justice Gorsuch suggested that the tariff cost equalization statute at issue in J.W. Hampton itself might have “passed muster under the traditional tests.” Id. at 2139. It is unclear from his brief description whether he understood how much discretion the apparently determinate standard of “cost equalization” left to the President—so much that the President had scope for deciding whether to implement a relatively protectionist or free-trade import policy. See Daniel K. Tarullo, Law and Politics in Twentieth Century Tariff History, 34 UCLA L. Rev. 285, 319–22 (1986). If so, then Justice Gorsuch’s contemplated revival of the non-delegation doctrine would likely pose less of a threat to the Administrative State than some have feared. Justice Gorsuch enunciates something approaching a test:

To determine whether a statute provides an intelligible principle, we must ask: Does the statute assign to the executive only the responsibility to make factual findings? Does it set forth the facts that the executive must consider and the criteria against which to measure them? And most importantly, did Congress, and not the Executive Branch, make the policy judgments? Only then can we fairly say that a statute contains the kind of intelligible principle the Constitution demands.62Gundy,139 S. Ct. at 2141 (Gorsuch, J., dissenting).

At first glance, application of this test would suggest significant, if not major, problems for the Federal Reserve Act. While the Federal Reserve’s dual objectives of stable prices and maximum employment often call for the same policy response, the most important decisions occur precisely at moments when those objectives are in actual, or at least arguable, conflict. Thus, monetary easing was obviously indicated in 2009, when employment was well below anyone’s estimate of its “maximum” levels, and it was the risk of deflation that threatened price stability. But the two objectives were in at least short-term conflict in the early 1980s, when unemployment and inflation were both well above historical levels. Less dramatically, in the recent past there has been vigorous debate both within the FOMC and among outside commentators as to how quickly monetary policy should be eased to reduce the risk of a future recession, as opposed to maintaining a more restrictive policy in order to guard against inflation reaccelerating.63In fact, monetary policy debates can be even more complicated. Through much of 2021, for example, most members of the FOMC opined that the inflationary spike would prove transitory after the supply shocks associated with COVID-19 abated, and thus the apparent conflict between the two sides of the FOMC’s dual mandate was illusory. Jerome H. Powell, Chair, Fed. Rsrv. Bd., Monetary Policy in the Time of COVID (Aug. 27, 2021), https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/powell20210827a.htm [https://perma.cc/QA39-HNZL]. Conversely, quite a number of non-FOMC observers anticipated that COVID-induced constraints on both supply and demand meant that inflation would continue. These kinds of debates over evaluation of the state of the economy invariably elide into policy choices. Olivier Blanchard, In Defense of Concerns Over the $1.9 Trillion Relief Plan, Peterson Inst. for Int’l Econ Blog (Feb. 18, 2021, 5:15 AM), https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/defense-concerns-over-19-trillion-relief-plan [https://perma.cc/5XMD-2YNF]. For these latter two instances, Congress did not provide a standard to guide the Federal Reserve in making the policy judgment either to maintain an accommodative monetary policy to foster higher employment at the risk of continued price instability, or instead to tighten policy to restrain inflation at the risk of lowering achievable levels of employment in the near to medium term.

Despite this ostensible inconsistency of the FOMC’s policy discretion with Justice Gorsuch’s provisional test for constitutional delegations, the wording of his summary of “traditional teachings”64Gundy, 139 S. Ct. at 2140 (Gorsuch, J., dissenting). on the subject might be read to suggest that the dual mandate could fall on the permissible side of that yet-to-be-well-defined line. In stating the “fill up the details” and “executive fact-finding” forms of acceptable delegations, he refers respectively to statutes “regulating” and “governing” private conduct.65Id. at 2136 (emphasis added). Four of the five cases he cites as examples clearly involved government regulation of private conduct. The fifth involved discretion of the federal courts to adapt state law procedures in hearing common law cases for which state law provided the rule of decision. Wayman v. Southard, 23 U.S. 1, 31, 43 (1825). While not the typical way in which the government regulates private conduct, the case involved execution of a judgment in a private dispute and thus did result in a judgment affecting the rights of private parties. One might draw from this formulation the negative inference that delegations not involving the regulation of private conduct are less constrained by constitutional considerations. As explained in the discussion of standing doctrine in Section III.B., the FOMC’s monetary policy does not “regulate” or “govern” private conduct—at least not directly. Monetary policy is executed through trading in government securities and adjustments in the interest rates the Federal Reserve itself pays on bank reserves and short-term borrowing from certain classes of non-bank financial firms. So perhaps it would fit within what at this moment remains an inchoate possible exception to the Gorsuch test for impermissible delegations.

At present, of course, there is no way to know if this distinction is one that Justice Gorsuch means to be significant. If so, there is something peculiar about the outcome: delegation to the FOMC of authority to balance growth and price stability goals for the entire country through massive open market purchases and sales of government debt could be acceptable, while determinations by the War Department under a statutory standard allowing the government to recover “excessive profits” from military contractors during the Second World War might not be.66The excessive profits case is Lichter v. United States, 334 U.S. 742 (1948), criticized by Justice Gorsuch as one in which the “intelligible principle” standard was misleadingly argued as controlling. Gundy, 139 S. Ct. at 2139 n.60 (Gorsuch, J., dissenting). He is unclear as to whether he believes the result to have been incorrect, but the Lichter Court does indeed appear to rely on J.W. Hampton, Lichter, 334 U.S. at 785 (citing J.W. Hampton, Jr. & Co. v. United States, 276 U.S. 394 (1928)), and Justice Gorsuch does not include the case as one that would have been correct under “traditional teachings.”

Still, Justice Gorsuch’s emphasis in Gundy on the delegation doctrine’s role in preserving “liberty” at least mildly supports this reading.67Like other of his conservative colleagues on the Court, Justice Gorsuch seems to regard corporate profits as a “liberty” interest rather than a property interest. He asserts that the non-delegation doctrine springs from the framers’ belief that the “new federal government’s most dangerous power was the power to enact laws restricting the people’s liberty,”68Gundy, 139 S. Ct. at 2134 (Gorsuch, J., dissenting). and that it is “one of the most vital of the procedural protections of individual liberty found in our Constitution.”69Id. at 2145. More importantly, perhaps, this distinction aligns with standing doctrine. As explained later in this Article, plaintiffs challenging the constitutionality of the FOMC have generally been denied standing, at least in part because the FOMC did not take any action specifically and directly affecting them. Similar reasoning might lie behind a delegation doctrine that applied most stringently to rules directly regulating the conduct of citizens.

Finally, it is perhaps worth noting that Congress could, if it were so inclined, legislate a monetary policy goal that would come closer to, if not meet, the embryonic test for permissible delegations set forth by Justice Gorsuch in Gundy. This possibility might affect the disposition of the Court majority associated with that opinion to conclude that current law failed that test. However, as a practical matter, Congress could do so only if it embraced a conservative monetary policy. To see why, it is necessary to understand at least the broad strokes of two longstanding, and sometimes conflated, debates among monetary policy economists and practitioners concerning the desirability of monetary policy rules.

The first is whether a dual mandate is appropriate, as opposed to a single mandate instructing a central bank to pursue price stability. One traditional position in this debate begins from the premise that monetary policy cannot itself expand the productive potential of the economy, which is determined by structural features such as productivity gains and the efficiency of labor markets. Hence, those taking this position argue, central bank attention to employment is at best inefficacious and at worst inflationary. The second debate is whether, assuming that monetary policy should have only a single objective, that objective should be expressed as a quantified benchmark to guide the central bank. In the past, advocates for this position urged the adoption of a target for the growth of the money supply. While a monetary aggregate target is embraced by relatively few contemporary economists and policymakers, there is considerably more support for an inflation target. Indeed, many major central banks have, as a formal matter, only the single mandate of price stability. And some of those are given a quantified inflation target by their governments.70For example, the European Central Bank and the Bank of England have the single mandate of price stability. The Bank of England is given its target by the government, while the European Central Bank can—like the Federal Reserve, set its own target. As a practical matter, there may actually be a good bit of flexibility in their implementation of their mandates, allowing them to take account of growth and employment considerations. See, e.g., David Miles, Inflation, Employment, and Monetary Policy: Objectives and Outcomes in the UK and U.S. Compared, 46 J. Money, Credit & Banking 155, 155 (Supp. II 2014).

Were the Federal Reserve Act amended to establish a single mandate—instructing the FOMC to target, say, 2% inflation—it would fit much more comfortably into Justice Gorsuch’s comments on acceptable delegations. 71In its early years the Federal Reserve did not conduct a monetary policy as we would recognize that function today. Furthermore, in providing an “elastic currency,” the Fed was constrained by the legal obligation created in § 16 of the Federal Reserve Act to convert its notes into gold upon demand. Until President Roosevelt took the United States off the gold standard in 1934, this requirement limited the Federal Reserve’s capacity to create money. Congress would have made the key policy “judgment” that the country should be aiming for 2% inflation. The FOMC, at least in theory, would not need to balance that policy against other policy aims. Instead, it would be doing something closer to Gorsuch’s “executive fact-finding.” Is inflation materially over (or under) 2%? Or, a bit more subtly, are economic conditions such that inflation is likely to deviate significantly from that target in the coming months unless monetary policy is adjusted?

The problem, of course, is that this more confined delegation is possible only if Congress makes the policy decision to elevate a price stability goal above employment and growth goals. But what if Congress takes one of the other sides in the long-running debates over monetary policy? A majority of legislators might, for example, agree with economists who believe that an exclusive focus on price stability may, under some economic conditions, allow hysteresis effects to take hold—that is, the persistent shortfall in aggregate demand will negatively affect the production potential of the economy. As a result, those holding this position believe an insufficiently accommodative monetary policy during recessions may reduce maximum achievable employment over the medium term.72Hysteresis effects occur if a persistent shortfall in aggregate demand negatively affects the production potential of the economy. The hypothesis of hysteresis effects is contrary to the traditional economic view that there is a natural rate of output and unemployment that demand management does not change. The concept is still a contested one in economics, though prominent economists—including a Chair of the Federal Reserve—have suggested that economic performance in the aftermath of the Global Financial Crisis supports it. See Janet L. Yellen, Chair, Fed. Rsrv. Bd., Macroeconomic Research After the Crisis, Remarks at “The Elusive ‘Great’ Recovery: Causes and Implications for Future Business Cycle Dynamics” 60th annual economic conference sponsored by the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston (Oct. 14, 2016), https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/yellen20161014a.htm [https://perma.cc/6XUU-VWGL]. For a recent examination of the evidence for hysteresis, see generally Francesco Furlanetto, Antoine Lepetit, Ørjan Robstad, Juan Rubio-Ramírez & Pȧl Ulvedal, Estimating Hysteresis Effects (Divs. of Rsch & Stats. and Monetary Affs. Fed. Rsrv Bd., D.C., Working Paper 2021-059, 2021), https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/files/2021059pap.pdf [https://perma.cc/GPP5-44J4]. If hysteresis is present, it has important implications for monetary policy:

To the extent that hysteresis is present, it implies that deviations in output from its optimal level are much longer-lasting and thus more costly than usually assumed. The implication is straightforward, namely that monetary policy should react more strongly to output movements, relative to inflation. For example, by being more aggressive early on, this would reduce the increase in unemployment, and by implication, reduce the increase in the number of long term unemployed. It also implies that stabilizing inflation is definitely not the optimal policy: to the extent that an increase in actual unemployment leads to an increase in the natural rate, the unemployment gap, and by implication inflation, will give a misleading signal about the degree of underutilization of resources in the economy.

Olivier Blanchard, Eugenio Cerutti & Lawrence Summers, Inflation and Activity – Two Explorations and Their Monetary Policy Implications (IMF, Working Paper No. WP/15/230, 2015), https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2015/wp15230.pdf [https://web.archive.org/web/20230413144519/https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2015/wp15230.pdf].
Similarly, legislators might believe that some inflationary (or disinflationary) bursts have idiosyncratic causes that will abate without leading to sustained upward pressure on overall price levels. Under these circumstances, forcing central banks to raise interest rates to dampen demand and thus relieve inflationary pressures would be unnecessary to maintain price stability, but damaging for short-term employment and growth.

As these two examples illustrate, it would be quite rational for Congress to conclude that a single-minded focus on achieving 2% inflation in all circumstances would be suboptimal policy. Further, Congress might recognize the impracticality of trying to specify in advance all situations in which deviation from the target would be desirable, or of itself revisiting the inflation target whenever economic conditions seem to be changing. But if one formulation of Justice Gorsuch’s limited view of permissible delegations is to be taken at face value, Congress would not be able to delegate this policy preference for balancing higher inflation against higher unemployment within a particular configuration of economic circumstances.73Even a single mandate with a specified inflation target may give a central bank considerable discretion. A central bank can, for example, plausibly indicate that it is focused on medium term price stability, since monetary policy operates only with variable lagged effects on the real economy, some of which are difficult to estimate with precision. A central bank might decide, for example, to begin raising rates even though current inflation is at target (or, conversely, to lower rates even though current inflation is above target). Much depends on the central bank’s analysis of where the economy is headed given current macroeconomic conditions and forces.

B.  Appointment and Removal

There are distinct constitutional issues raised by the structure of the FOMC and its constituent entities—one pertaining to the Board and others to the Reserve Bank presidents. The former is not specific to the Board, since it involves the broader question of whether the Court might abandon nearly ninety years of precedent and find traditional multi-member agencies with for-cause removal protection to be unconstitutional. The other issues, though, are very much specific to the unique status of Reserve Bank presidents in the American administrative landscape. Precisely because the status and role of Reserve Bank presidents differ so much from those of the officials at issue in the Court’s recent appointments and removal cases, the analysis here is necessarily not a straightforward application of the doctrines enunciated in those opinions. But it does not require a bold extrapolation of their analyses to conclude that, in their monetary policy capacity, the presidents are principal officers under the Constitution. If that is the case, the structure of the FOMC is unconstitutional because the Reserve Bank presidents are not nominated by the President and confirmed by the Senate.

1.  Removal of Members of the Board of Governors

As with application of the delegation doctrine to monetary policy, the for-cause removal protection afforded members of the Board by the Federal Reserve Act would until recently not have been thought much of an issue at all.74The Federal Reserve Act states that Members of the Board shall serve a fourteen-year term “unless sooner removed for cause” by the President. 12 U.S.C. § 241. This language differs from the “inefficiency, neglect of duty, or malfeasance in office” language used in both the legislation creating the CFPB and in the original Federal Trade Commission Act, which was essentially contemporaneous with the Federal Reserve Act. Federal Trade Commission Act, ch. 311, § 1, 38 Stat. 717, 718 (1914) (codified at 15 U.S.C. § 41 (2018)). Jane Manners and Lev Menand suggest that, if anything, the “for cause” formulation gives the President a somewhat wider scope for removal than does “inefficiency, neglect of duty, or malfeasance in office.” Jane Manners & Lev Menand, The Three Permissions: Presidential Removal and the Statutory Limits of Agency Independence, 121 Colum. L. Rev. 1, 63 n.363 (2021). It seems unlikely that this difference would affect the current Court’s consideration of the issue. Its opinions in Free Enterprise, Seila Law, and Collins v. Yellen have certainly said nothing to suggest so. And perhaps it will prove not to be one. But, just as Justice Gorsuch’s dissent in Gundy raises the possibility that the Court may depart from its longstanding accommodating view of the delegation doctrine, so Chief Justice Roberts’s majority opinion in Seila Law75Seila Law LLC v. Consumer Fin. Prot. Bureau, 140 S. Ct. 2183, 2199 (2020). raises the possibility that the Court may upend the traditional understanding that Humphrey’s Executor v. United States76Humphrey’s Ex’r v. United States, 295 U.S. 602, 620 (1935). This case held constitutional a provision of the Federal Trade Commission Act protecting FTC Commissioners from removal by the President prior to the end of their statutory terms except for “inefficiency, neglect of duty, or malfeasance in office.” Id. (quoting 15 U.S.C. § 41). sanctions for-cause removal protection for principals of independent multi-member agencies such as the Federal Trade Commission (“FTC”) and the Federal Communications Commission (“FCC”).

Seila Law involved a constitutional challenge to the structure of the CFPB. Congress established the CFPB with a single director appointed for a five-year term and removable only for cause. In his majority opinion holding this structure unconstitutional, Chief Justice Roberts neither had to, nor did, address directly whether the contemporary form and authority of multi-member independent agencies raise constitutional concerns. In his opinion a decade earlier in Free Enterprise Fund77Free Enter. Fund. v. Pub. Co. Acct. Oversight Bd., 561 U.S. 477 (2010). he had simply left Humphrey’s Executor aside.78Id. at 483. In fact, Chief Justice Roberts described Humphrey’s Executor as indicating that the removal power fashioned in Myers v. United States, 272 U.S. 52 (1926), was “not without limit” and “that Congress can, under certain circumstances, create independent agencies run by principal officers appointed by the President, whom the President may not remove at will but only for good cause.” Id. at 479. In Seila Law, however, he went out of his way to characterize that case as an “exception” to the general rule of broad removal authority that he believes Myers v. United States79Myers, 272 U.S. at 127. had created. While he affirmed that “we do not revisit Humphrey’s Executor or any other precedent today,”80Seila Law, 140 S. Ct. at 2198. In his opinions in a case raising the same issue, then-Judge Kavanaugh had also characterized Humphrey’s Executor as an exception to the Myers rule. PHH Corp. v. Consumer Fin. Prot. Bureau, 881 F.3d 75, 164 (D.C. Cir. 2018) (en banc) (Kavanaugh, J., dissenting); PHH Corp. v. Consumer Fin. Prot. Bureau, 839 F.3d 1, 5 (D.C. Cir. 2016), vacated, 2017 WL 631740 (D.C. Cir. 2017). his opinion suggests that the “exception” it created might be a fairly narrow one. If so, the reach of that precedent may be considerably less than has been widely assumed for decades.

In defining the scope of the Humphrey’s Executor “exception” to the Myers rule, Chief Justice Roberts emphasized what he took to be the narrow reading of the FTC’s authority given by the Court in that case. Specifically, he noted that the Humphrey’s Executor Court described the FTC as possessing legislative and judicial powers, not executive power. He went on to point out that the Court had explicitly abandoned that view in Morrison v. Olson81Morrison v. Olson, 487 U.S. 654, 690 (1988). and left readers to draw the inference that the rationale for Humphrey’s Executor is no longer valid. The Chief Justice further maintained that the Humphrey’s Executor Court had a more circumscribed view of the FTC’s authority than is associated with it (and many other agencies) today.82Seila Law, 140 S. Ct. at 2215 (demonstrating the FTC was understood by the Humphrey’s Executor Court as acting “as a legislative agency in ‘making investigations and reports’ to Congress and ‘as an agency of the judiciary’ in making recommendations to courts as a master in chancery”). The Chief Justice dismissed Justice Kagan’s objection that the FTC in the 1930s actually had more far-reaching powers by stating that “what matters is the set of powers the Court considered as the basis for its decision, not any latent powers that the agency may have had not alluded to by the Court.” Id. at 2200 n.4. Especially since none of this was necessary to decide whether the single-headed CFPB was constitutional, one finishes reading his depiction of the Humphrey’s Executor exception with at least some doubt as to whether it covers the modern-day FTC or other influential agencies.83In his opinion concurring in the non-remedial parts of the Chief Justice’s opinion, Justice Thomas—joined by Justice Gorsuch—said as much: “But with today’s decision, the Court has repudiated almost every aspect of Humphrey’s Executor.” Seila Law, 140 S. Ct. at 2212 (Thomas, J., concurring in part and dissenting in part). Also, in his D.C. Circuit opinions, then-Judge Kavanaugh had noted there was a “strong argument” that independent agencies violate Article II. PHH Corp., 881 F.3d at 179 n.7 (Kavanaugh, J., dissenting); PHH Corp., 839 F.3d at 34 n.15. It was only his understanding (and that of most other people prior to Seila Law) that Humphrey’s Executor established the constitutionality of the traditional independent agencies whose members enjoy for-cause removal protection that forced him—as a lower court judge—to distinguish the CFPB from those agencies.

These doubts are strengthened by the way in which the Chief Justice frames the question of the CFPB’s constitutionality. He quotes some of the broadest statements from Chief Justice Taft’s opinion in Myers on the need for the President to be able to control those executing the laws, in order to fulfill the President’s own duty to see that the laws are faithfully executed.84Seila Law, 140 S. Ct. at 2213. Furthermore, in drawing a sharp contrast between the powers of the CFPB and those of the FTC in the 1930s—or at least those he believes the Myers Court understood the FTC to have—Chief Justice Roberts indirectly suggests there may be constitutional problems with the modern administrative agencies:

[T]he CFPB Director is hardly a mere legislative or judicial aid. Instead of making reports and recommendations to Congress, as the 1935 FTC did, the Director possesses the authority to promulgate binding rules fleshing out 19 federal statutes, including a broad prohibition on unfair and deceptive practices in a major segment of the U.S. economy. And instead of submitting recommended dispositions to an Article III court, the Director may unilaterally issue final decisions awarding legal and equitable relief in administrative adjudications. Finally, the Director’s enforcement authority includes the power to seek daunting monetary penalties against private parties on behalf of the United States in federal court—a quintessentially executive power not considered in Humphrey’s Executor.85Id. at 2200.

Had the Chief Justice wanted only to emphasize the anti-novelty principle86For a review and critique of the apparent view of a Court majority that novelty in a statute implicating federalism or separation of powers concerns is constitutionally suspect, see Leah M. Litman, Debunking Antinovelty, 66 Duke L.J. 1407, 1407 (2017). he had invoked in Free Enterprise, he need not have focused on the authorities of the agency itself, but only their concentration in a single director. It is possible that, in adding this color about the CFPB’s authority, Chief Justice Roberts was simply looking to buttress rhetorically his rather formalistic argument later in the opinion that “[a]side from the sole exception of the Presidency, [the constitutional] structure scrupulously avoids concentrating power in the hands of any single individual.”87Seila Law, 140 S. Ct. at 2202. Indeed, the Chief Justice does not make clear whether Myers principles, novelty, and inconsistency with his political theory of American government are each sufficient grounds for the Seila holding. But, as Justice Thomas observed in his separate opinion, “with today’s decision, the Court has repudiated almost every aspect of Humphrey’s Executor.”88Id. at 2212 (Thomas, J., concurring in part and dissenting in part). Given the Chief Justice’s proclivity for step-by-step, rather than sweeping, undoing of longstanding constitutional doctrine, it is conceivable that in a head-on challenge to a contemporary “multimember body of experts, balanced along partisan lines,”89Id. at 2199 (majority opinion). he would find that the modern FTC does exercise “executive power” and thus falls outside his interpretation of the Humphrey’s Executor “exception.”

While the members of the Board of Governors in their FOMC roles may not exercise these kinds of powers, they (and not the Reserve Bank presidents) have broad statutory authority to regulate banking organizations that, if anything, exceeds the powers of the CFPB described in the above quote.90See Fed. Rsrv. Pub. Educ. & Outreach, supra note 15, at 62–82 (explaining the broad regulatory authority of the Board of Governors). Were the Court to take the step hinted at by Chief Justice Roberts and urged by Justice Thomas, and invalidate for-cause removal protection for the principals of a multi-member agency that exercises executive authority, the Board of Governors would join many other agencies in the crosshairs of ensuing constitutional challenges.91In fact, the Board may not meet one of the other apparent conditions for inclusion in the Humphrey’s Executor exception: It is not by statute “balanced along partisan lines.” Seila Law, 140 S. Ct. at 2189, 2199. Unlike the Federal Trade Commission Act, and many other statutes creating independent Commissions, the Federal Reserve Act does not limit the number of Board members who may be from one party. Even so, the Board has not traditionally been regarded as a partisan agency. Indeed, histories of the Fed recount the unhappiness of various Presidents that the Chairs and Board members whom they had appointed were not following the wishes of the Administration. See, e.g., A. Jerome Clifford, The Independence of the Federal Reserve System 242–45 (1965) (describing that of President Truman); Stephen H. Axilrod, Inside the Fed: Monetary Policy and Its Management, Martin through Greenspan to Bernanke 44 (2009) (describing that of President Johnson); see also Burton A. Abrams, How Richard Nixon Pressured Arthur Burns: Evidence from the Nixon Tapes, 20 J. Econ. Persps. 177, 177 (2006) (describing that of President Nixon).

2.  The Status of Reserve Bank President

Up until the last several years, few would have thought there was even a modicum of doubt about the constitutionality of the delegation of monetary policy under the Federal Reserve Act, or for-cause removal protection afforded the members of the Board. In contrast, at least since the 1935 legislation that established the current structure of the Federal Reserve, both the constitutionality and the policy merits of participation by Reserve Bank presidents on the FOMC have periodically become live topics for debate. Various plaintiffs have challenged their constitutional status, although no appellate court has yet reached the merits. (As discussed below, two district courts have). Although some commentators find the analysis and conclusion of unconstitutionality straightforward,92See, e.g., Peter Conti-Brown, The Institutions of Federal Reserve Independence, 32 Yale J. Reg. 257, 300–03 (2015). the unique configuration of the Federal Reserve makes application of structural constitutional precedents developed in other contexts somewhat inexact.

The basic issue, and the complexities attending it, arise from the fact that the Reserve Bank presidents are not employees of the U.S. government. They are hired as chief executives of the congressionally-created but nongovernmental Reserve Banks by the private boards of directors of those Banks.9312 U.S.C. § 341. Following a 2010 amendment to this statutory provision, the three bank directors are excluded from voting on appointing a president. Federal Reserve Act Amendments on Federal Reserve Bank Governance, Pub. L. No. 111-203, title XI, § 1107, 124 Stat. 2126 (2010) (uncodified). Yet five of them vote on the committee to which Congress has delegated monetary policy. For this arrangement to be constitutional, they must either be “officers” of the United States appointed in conformity with Article II requirements or nongovernmental actors whose participation in policymaking can pass muster under the private non-delegation doctrine enunciated in Carter v. Carter Coal.94Carter v. Carter Coal Co., 298 U.S. 238, 292 (1936). As was evident in Department of Transportation v. Association of American Railroads,95Dep’t of Transp. v. Ass’n of Am. R.Rs., 575 U.S. 43, 43 (2015). decided only a decade ago, there is not likely to be much receptivity in the current Court to the latter rationale.

If the Reserve Bank presidents are officers of the United States, they must be appointed by one of the two routes laid out in Article II. Because they are not nominated by the President and confirmed by the Senate, they must both qualify as “inferior” officers and be appointed by a “Head of Department.” Because, at least since Edmond v. United States,96Edmond v. United States, 520 U.S. 651, 651 (1997). the determination of whether officers are inferior is bound up with the question of how they can be removed, the constitutional issues pertaining to appointment and removal are closely related.

A good point of reference for considering these questions is a 2019 opinion of the Office of Legal Counsel (“OLC”).97Appointment and Removal of Fed. Rsrv. Bank Members of the Fed. Open Mkt. Comm., 43 Op. O.L.C. 1, 1 (2019) [hereinafter 43 Op. O.L.C.], https://www.justice.gov/olc/file/1349721/download [https://perma/cc/44K7-9QB4]. The opinion was occasioned by the introduction of a bill that would have made all Reserve Bank presidents voting members of the FOMC at every meeting. Id. at 1. A subsequent district court opinion addressed some of these issues, but much more briefly and outside the context of the FOMC and monetary policy. See Custodia Bank, Inc. v. Fed. Rsrv. Bd. of Governors, 640 F. Supp. 3d 1169, 1189–93 (D. Wyo. 2022). This opinion, which was occasioned by the introduction of a bill that would have made all Reserve Bank presidents voting members of the FOMC, concluded after careful analysis that the participation of Reserve Bank presidents on the FOMC was constitutional because they were inferior officers appointed, and removable, by the Board. As we will see, reaching this conclusion took some doing. Moreover, the Court’s subsequent decisions in Seila Law and Arthrex98United States v. Arthrex, Inc., 141 S. Ct. 1970, 1970 (2021). have arguably attenuated further the weaker links in OLC’s reasoning, though it is difficult to say by how much.

i.  Reserve Bank Presidents as “Officers of the United States”

As the Court itself observed in Lucia v. SEC,99Lucia v. SEC, 138 S. Ct. 2044, 2051 (2018). the standard that an officer of the United States is an official who “exercis[es] significant authority pursuant to the laws of the United States” has not been much developed since it was enunciated in Buckley v. Valeo100Buckley v. Valeo, 424 U.S. 1, 126 (1976) (per curiam), superseded by statute, Bipartisan Campaign Reform Act of 2002, Pub. L. No. 107-155, 116 Stat. 81, as recognized in Ams. for Prosperity v. Grewal, 2019 WL 4855853 (D.N.J. Oct. 2, 2019). A much older case, United States v. Germaine, 99 U.S. 508 (1878), had established that someone must occupy a “continuing,” and not temporary, position in order to be an officer of the United States. Id. at 511–12. OLC quite reasonably concluded that, even though most Reserve Bank presidents serve as voting members of the FOMC for only one year at a time, they still meet the Germaine standard because the voting slots for Reserve Bank presidents are permanent, even though the individuals filling those slots may rotate. 43 Op. O.L.C., supra note 97, at 7. nearly fifty years ago. OLC reasoned that the FOMC meets the Buckley standard because it “sets the government’s monetary policy by ordering open-market transactions on the government’s behalf, which is ‘the most important monetary policy instrument’ of the United States.”101Id. (quoting Fed. Open Mkt. Comm. Fed. Rsrv. Sys. v. Merrill, 443 U.S. 340, 343 (1979)). OLC also cited the FOMC’s power to issue binding rules, a factor that appeared to have influenced the Court in Buckley.102Id. (citing Buckley, 424 U.S. at 141).

On the face of it, conducting monetary policy through the power delegated to the FOMC in the Federal Reserve Act seems an exercise of authority more significant than that possessed by most other officers in the U.S. government. If anything, OLC understated its significance in pointing to the FOMC’s authority to order the Federal Reserve Bank of New York to buy or sell government securities in order to implement monetary policy.103Id. When the Federal Reserve buys Treasuries from the market in order to increase demand and thus lower the interest rate on this risk-free asset, it does not fund the transaction as a private bond trader would—by using existing assets to purchase the bonds. Instead, the Federal Reserve creates the money it uses to buy the bonds through increasing the reserve balances of the correspondent banks of the dealers that sell those bonds. Understood in these terms, the FOMC’s power to order the purchase of bonds is a direct exercise of the sovereign authority to create money.

Are there any countervailing arguments? Perhaps the Court would look differently upon the FOMC because it does not bind private parties in ways comparable to the actions of the tax court judges, administrative law judges, Federal Election Commission members, and Public Company Accounting Oversight Board members who have been treated as officers in previous decisions. Indeed, the rulemaking function of the FOMC cited by OLC mostly binds parts of the Federal Reserve System itself.104See 43 Op. O.L.C., supra note 97, at 7. The FOMC does issue rules governing public access to its proceedings, 12 C.F.R. §§ 271.1–9, but these regulations do not “bind” third parties in the way that the Federal Election Commission’s requirements for reporting of campaign contributions binds those who have received the contributions. While this point does echo a distinction suggested in Justice Gorsuch’s Gundy dissent, there is little in any of the cases just noted to suggest that this distinction makes a difference. Nor do the alternative formulations for determining officer status suggested by the concurring and dissenting Justices in Lucia support such a distinction.105Justice Thomas, joined by Justice Gorsuch, reiterated his far-reaching position that any official “with responsibility for an ongoing statutory duty” is an officer subject the Appointments Clause. Lucia v. SEC, 138 S. Ct. 2044, 2056 (2018) (Thomas, J., concurring) (quoting NLRB v. SW General, Inc., 137 S. Ct. 929, 946 (2017) (Thomas, J., concurring)). That formulation would seem clearly to embrace all members of the FOMC. In dissent, Justice Sotomayor, joined by Justice Ginsburg, proposed refining the “significant authority” test so as to limit the universe of officers to officials with “the ability to make final, binding decisions on behalf of the Government.” Id. at 2065 (Sotomayor, J., dissenting). Narrower though her recommended standard may be, it would still seem to cover the FOMC, which makes the final decision on the open market purchases that influence interest rates. Her contrast of officers with “a person who merely advises and provides recommendations to an officer” surely does not describe Reserve Bank presidents who vote in the FOMC (though it might describe the presidents in the years in which they participate, but are not voting members). Id. It seems likely, then, that the Court would find Reserve Bank presidents to be officers of the United States.

ii.  Inferior or Principal Officers

As is already apparent, there is some uncertainty around how precedents derived in other contexts would be applied by the Court in considering the constitutionality of the Federal Reserve. The question of whether the Reserve Bank presidents are inferior officers is easily the most nettlesome of all, owing both to the idiosyncrasies of the Federal Reserve structure and to the fact that the line of relevant Supreme Court cases has generally involved officials acting in an adjudicatory capacity.106United States v. Arthrex, Inc., 141 S. Ct. 1970, 1982 (2021); Lucia, 138 S. Ct. at 2052; Edmond v. United States, 520 U.S. 651, 663 (1997). OLC references Intercollegiate Broadcasting System, Inc. v. Copyright Royalty Board, 684 F.3d 1332 (D.C. Cir. 2012), in support of its analysis of the status of the Reserve Bank presidents—which also involved an adjudicatory function. 43 Op. O.L.C., supra note 97, at 10. OLC concluded they were, but in doing so appeared to elide some salient considerations. A recent district court case also concluded that a Reserve Bank president was an inferior officer, but outside the monetary policy context. As this section will show, there is a respectable argument that, extending the reasoning of recent opinions by members of the conservative majority, the Reserve Bank presidents are principal officers, at least for purposes of monetary policy.

OLC applied the test put forth by Justice Scalia in the first of those cases, Edmond: an inferior officer is one “whose work is directed and supervised at some level” by an officer who was nominated by the President and confirmed by the Senate.107Edmond, 520 U.S. at 662–63. OLC acknowledged that “the FOMC, as a body, has final authority over open-market operations.” But, specifically citing Justice Scalia’s “at some level” language in Edmond, as well as his observation that the “power to remove . . . is a powerful tool for control,”108Id. at 664. OLC relied heavily on the statutory authority of the Board to remove Reserve Bank presidents for its conclusion that they were inferior officers.10943 Op. O.L.C., supra note 97, at 11. OLC characterized the Board’s removal power as “at will.” Id. The relevant language of the Federal Reserve Act is at least slightly ambiguous: “The Board . . . shall be authorized and empowered . . . [t]o suspend or remove any officer or director of any Federal reserve bank, the cause of such removal to be forthwith communicated in writing by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System to the removed officer or director and to said bank.” 12 U.S.C. § 248(f). It did not invoke the provisions of the Federal Reserve Act giving the Board broad authority over Federal Reserve Banks,110The Act gives the Board seemingly plenary power to “exercise general supervision over said Federal reserve banks,” 12 U.S.C. § 248(j), as well as specific powers, such as to examine “the accounts, books, and affairs of each Federal reserve bank,” id. § 248(a)(1), and suspend, liquidate or reorganize the banks, id. § 248(h). presumably because the presidents act in a different capacity on the FOMC than as chief executives of their Banks.

Before assessing whether the at-will removal power of the Board is enough to make the presidents inferior officers, we must address the threshold question of whether the Federal Reserve Act actually grants this power. As OLC noted, the same statutory provision that creates the removal authority goes on to require that “the cause of such removal [must] . . . be forthwith communicated in writing by the Board . . . to the removed officer or director and to said bank.”111Id.§ 248(f). The question is whether the requirement to communicate “the cause” should be read to restrict the Board’s discretion, just as it would be if the language paralleled that applicable to the Board— with a specified term of office “unless sooner removed for cause by the President.”112Id. § 242. OLC concluded that it did not, citing four reasons: the meaning of “cause” in the context of a reporting requirement; what OLC characterized as the “default rule that the appointing authority retains plenary removal authority”; the existence of “many statutes” that “parallel” the requirement of a communication of reasons; and the principle of constitutional avoidance.11343 Op. O.L.C., supra note 97, at 11–12.

At the time the opinion was issued, one might have wondered whether OLC’s assertion of the default rule proposition reflected Executive Branch bias toward presidential prerogative. The Court’s subsequent opinion in Seila Law, with its full-throated reaffirmation of much of the Myers reasoning, has certainly strengthened the OLC conclusion. Given that rule, OLC’s related argument of constitutional avoidance seems fairly well-grounded. So too, the Court’s endorsement of that rule strengthens an already plausible argument that a requirement to communicate “the cause” does not carry the term-of-art meaning of “for cause” elsewhere in the statute. So, the OLC’s conclusion that clear statutory language will be required by the current Court before it recognizes “for-cause” protection seems a reasonable prediction.114Less supportive of its conclusion are the other statutes cited by OLC, insofar as they do not use the term “cause” at all. Instead, they require that in removing the officer in question, the President communicate the “reasons for any such removal” to Congress. The statutes cited by OLC are Director of Operational Test and Evaluation in the Defense Department, 10 U.S.C. § 139(a)(1); Inspector General of the State Department, 22 U.S.C. § 3929; and Archivist of the United States, 44 U.S.C. § 2103(a). The three statutes use the same formulation: “The [Officer] may be removed from office by the President. The President shall communicate the reasons for any such removal to” either “both Houses” or “each House” of Congress. These cases do not contradict the OLC conclusion, but they do not support it either. Additionally, the only court to have considered the issue read the Federal Reserve Act as providing for-cause removal protection for the presidents. Melcher v. Fed. Open Mkt. Comm., 644 F. Supp. 510, 511 (D.D.C. 1986), aff’d on other grounds, Melcher v. Fed. Open Mkt. Comm., 836 F.2d 561, 561 (D.C. Cir. 1987). However, the persuasiveness of that opinion is questionable, both because its judgment was upheld by the Court of Appeals on other grounds and because the district court never addressed the fact that “cause” was used in a reporting context, rather than explicitly as a qualification on removal. The Court reasoned as follows:

The statutes governing the FOMC contain no suggestion that the Governors may supervise or otherwise influence the policy choices of the Reserve Bank members. Similarly, not even a hint of a suggestion exists that the power of the Board of Governors to remove officers of the Federal Reserve Banks was meant to be used by the Board to influence the votes of those officers who sit with them as members of the FOMC. To the contrary, the power of removal granted by 12 U.S.C. § 248(f) was to facilitate only the suspension or removal of Federal Reserve Bank officers for cause, a mechanism undoubtedly meant to encompass such infractions as misfeasance in office, but not a policy disagreement.

Melcher, 644 F.Supp. at 519–20.

Turning back to the inferior vs. principal officer issue, it is not obvious that a principal’s removal power is always sufficient to establish inferior status. While Justice Scalia’s majority opinion in Edmond clearly elevated the “directed and supervised” standard above other factors that had been considered in past cases, it did not specify that the removal power was dispositive. The Coast Guard judges at issue in that case were removable by the Judge Advocate General, though not in an effort to change the outcome in any specific case, and Justice Scalia noted the importance of that fact.115Edmond v. United States, 520 U.S. 651, 664 (1997) (citing 10 U.S.C. § 866(f)). He went on to cite two other ways in which the work of the judges was “directed and supervised.” One was that the Judge Advocate General set the rules of procedure and formulated policies for reviews of court-martial cases.116Id. at 664. The other was that the judges had “no power to render a final decision on behalf of the United States” because of an explicit, if somewhat complicated, system of review within the military justice system.117Id. at 665.

The inference one might draw from Edmond that removability alone may not be enough was modestly strengthened by the Court’s ruling in Free Enterprise Fund. There the Court ruled that the members of the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board were inferior officers both because it had invalidated their for-cause removal protection and because of “the Commission’s other oversight authority.”118Free Enter. Fund. v. Pub. Co. Acct. Oversight Bd., 561 U.S. 477, 510 (2010).

The importance of one of Justice Scalia’s other factors for determining inferior status—the inability to “render a final decision on behalf of the United States”—has increased following the Court’s decision in Arthrex, which came nearly two years after the OLC opinion. It was precisely the “unreviewable authority wielded by [Administrative Patent Judges]” that the Court found “incompatible with their appointment by the Secretary to an inferior office.”119United States v. Arthrex, Inc., 141 S. Ct. 1970, 1985 (2021). The removal authority of the relevant principal officer was more circumscribed than in Edmond: while Administrative Patent Judges (“APJs”) could be removed from serving on future review panels, they had for-cause protection from being fired from federal service entirely.120Id. at 1982. It is not clear whether the Court would have found an unrestricted removal authority enough to offset the fact that the agency principal would still have had “no means of countermanding the final decision already on the books.”121Id. But Chief Justice Roberts’s choice of remedy suggests it would not have ruled differently. Rather than making the power to remove APJs explicitly plenary, the Court required that—contrary to the statutory scheme—the Director of the Patent and Trademark Office (the relevant principal officer) have discretion to review every decision made by the APJs.122Id. at 1986–88.

Perhaps because the Court was so closely divided, Chief Justice Roberts made clear that “we do not address supervision outside the context of adjudication.”123Id. at 1986. How much weight attaches to any part of Chief Justice Roberts’s opinion in Arthrex remains to be seen. The Court was split 5-4 on both the merits and the remedy, with the Chief Justice the sole affirmative vote for both parts of his opinion. This remark underscores the uncertainty as to how the Court might apply principles developed in an adjudicatory context to other kinds of officers. Still, it helps identify the part of the OLC opinion that was necessarily the most speculative. OLC was aware of the difference in functions between FOMC members and the officials in prior cases. It “recognize[d] that Reserve Bank FOMC members have voting power on a body that is empowered to make final decisions on behalf of the federal government.”12443 Op. O.L.C., supra note 97, at 13. In opining that they were nonetheless inferior officers, OLC doubled down on its removal argument: “The Board’s ability to supervise Reserve Bank FOMC members through the removal authority means that Reserve Bank members would have remained inferior officers, even if H.R. 6741 had made them a majority on the FOMC.”125Id.

In support of its conclusion, OLC cited a 2012 Court of Appeals case that, like Edmond and Arthrex, involved an adjudicatory function. In Intercollegiate Broadcasting System, Inc. v. Copyright Royalty Board, the D.C. Circuit had ruled that “[w]ith unfettered removal power, the Librarian [of Congress] will have the direct ability to ‘direct,’ ‘supervise,’ and exert some ‘control’ over the Judges’ decisions,” even though “individual CRJ decisions will still not be directly reversible.”126Intercollegiate Broad. Sys., Inc. v. Copyright Royalty Bd., 684 F.3d 1332, 1341 (D.C. Cir. 2012) (citing to Edmond v. United States, 520 U.S. at 651, 662–64 (1997)). Whether this precedent remains a good one after Arthrex is at least questionable (again, the apparently dissimilar removal powers in the two cases leaves us without a clear answer). Even before Arthrex was decided, however, Intercollegiate would have been less than a complete answer to the “directed and controlled” issue in the significantly different context of the FOMC—one in which supposed inferior officers vote for final government decisions on the same committee with principal officers.

For similar reasons, a district court’s recent holding in Custodia Bank, Inc. v. Federal Reserve Board of Governors127Custodia Bank, Inc. v. Fed. Rsrv. Bd. of Governors, 640 F. Supp. 3d 1169, 1176–77 (D. Wyo. 2022). that a Reserve Bank president is an inferior officer provides at best limited support for the OLC conclusion. This case involved not monetary policy, but a determination by the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City not to grant a “master account” at the Federal Reserve to a financial institution.128Id. at 1180–81. An account of this sort is necessary for a financial institution to access the payments system, and certain other services, operated by the Federal Reserve. See Marc Labonte, Cong. Rsch. Serv., IN12031, Federal Reserve: Master Accounts and the Payment System (2022), https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/IN/IN12031 [https://perma.cc/6YP8-KMAG]. Although the Court’s analysis was brief,129For example, the Court did not explicitly address the implications of Arthrex for its conclusion, despite the fact that both sides briefed the point. Defendant Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System’s Memorandum of Points and Authorities in Support of its Motion to Dismiss at 43–45, Custodia Bank, Inc., v. Fed. Rsrv. Bd. of Governors, 640 F. Supp. 3d 1169 (D. Wyo, 2022) (No. 1:22-CV-00125-SWS) [hereinafter Board of Governors Motion to Dismiss]; Omnibus Memorandum in Opposition to Defendants’ Motions to Dismiss Plaintiff’s Complaint, Custodia Bank, Inc., v. Fed. Rsrv. Bd. of Governors, 640 F. Supp. 3d 1169 (D. Wyo. 2022) (No. 1:22-CV-00125-SWS). it referred both to the Board’s appointment and removal powers and to its statutory authority to “exercise general supervision over [the] Federal reserve banks.”130Custodia Bank, 640 F. Supp. 3d, at 1192 (citing 12 U.S.C. §§ 248 (a), (f), (j)). Moreover, elsewhere in its opinion, the Court had concluded that the Board was properly a defendant in the case because Custodia had plausibly alleged that the Board had “participated in or interfered with the consideration and decision of Custodia’s master account application.”131Id. at 1181. It appears, then, that the Court was under the impression that the Board’s actual influence over the Reserve Bank’s decision extended beyond its removal power.

Stepping back for a moment from the doctrine that has evolved in the cases just discussed, one is struck by the oddness of the relationship between members of the Board and Reserve Bank presidents on the FOMC that is implicit in the OLC opinion: If the Board does not like the positions taken on monetary policy by one or more presidents, it can replace those presidents. Through the exercise of this power, or the threat of its exercise, the Board thereby provides the direction and control necessary to satisfy the Edmond standard. To accept this view, one would have to believe that when Congress created the FOMC in 1933, its allocation of five votes to Reserve Bank presidents was more or less for show.132For a discussion of the impact of, and possible motivations for, the change, see Clifford, supra note 91, at 131–35 (explaining that the creation of FOMC meant to enhance status of Reserve Bank presidents as against their Boards of Directors, and the powers of the Board, but not to displace the Federal Reserve’s attribute of group authority). Yet there is nothing in the historical record suggesting such an intent. Nor, in contrast to the Board’s posture towards Reserve Banks with respect to non-monetary policy issues,133My experience while on the Board was that, on essentially any non-monetary policy issue, the Board believed it had the authority to provide both generally applicable guidelines for the Reserve Banks and direction on specific matters. An example of the former is the Board’s response to controversy over the securities trading activities of certain Reserve Bank presidents: the Board adopted a set of conflict of interest rules applicable to the presidents. Nick Timiraos & Michael S. Derby, Fed Imposes New Restrictions on Officials’ Investment Activities, Wall. St. J. (Oct. 21, 2021, 6:07 PM), https://www.wsj.com/articles/fed-imposes-new-restrictions-on-officials-investment-activities-11634839207 [https://perma.cc/XD84-RBQW]. An alleged, publicly known, example of the latter is found in another suit by a financial institution seeking a master account. The plaintiff explicitly alleged that its application had been denied at the specific direction of Chair Powell. See Complaint at 3, TNB USA, Inc. v. Fed. Rsrv. Bank of New York, 2020 WL 1445806 (S.D.N.Y. 20202) (No. 11:8-CV-07978). is there anything in Federal Reserve practice during the ensuing ninety years to support the view that Reserve Bank presidents are answerable to the Board for their votes on monetary policy. Of course, when the Court starts operating under the rubric of the constitutional avoidance doctrine, it may reshape statutes in ways surely not contemplated when they were passed.134See Neal Kumar Katyal & Thomas P. Schmidt, Active Avoidance: The Modern Supreme Court and Legal Change, 128 Harv. L. Rev., 2109, 2129–53 (2015). But OLC does not appear to be relying on the constitutional avoidance doctrine to conclude that the Board must have supervisory power over the monetary policies of Reserve Bank presidents.135Elsewhere in its opinion, OLC explicitly invokes the constitutional avoidance doctrine. See infra Section II.B.2.iv. Moreover, even if we accept this view of the statutory relationship between the Board and the presidents, there may still be constitutional problems.

The votes of Reserve Bank presidents have not come close to determining outcomes on the FOMC in the last thirty years. If the Board is at full strength and of one mind on monetary policy, even a solid bloc of Reserve Bank presidents would be outvoted 7-5. True, for several periods in recent years, the Board has had as few as four Members. Even in such circumstances, however, a prevailing coalition of Reserve Bank presidents has never seemed even a remote possibility. For one thing, there have been only two dissenting votes cast by Members of the Board in the twenty years since the FOMC began announcing its rollcall vote immediately following its meetings.136Information on FOMC dissents is maintained in tabular form by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. Daniel L. Thornton & David C. Wheelock, Making Sense of Dissents: A History of FOMC Dissents (2014), https://view.officeapps.live.com/op/view.aspx?src=https%3A%2F%2Ffiles.stlouisfed.org%2Ffiles%2Fhtdocs%2Fpublications%2Freview%2F2014%2Fq3%2FData_Appendix_Thornton_Wheelock_Dissents.xlsx&wdOrigin=BROWSELINK [https://perma.cc/EL5H-YM3R]. This change was one of many transparency measures instituted by Alan Greenspan during his lengthy tenure as Chair. My suspicion is that the greater transparency has modestly increased the threshold of disagreement that a Board Member would need to feel before dissenting from the Chair’s proposed policy decision. Especially after a prolonged period of Board unanimity—no Board Member has dissented since 2005—a dissent would itself become a big part of the story after an FOMC meeting. With the advent of another transparency measure—this one introduced by Chair Bernanke—of press conferences following FOMC meetings, a dissent by a Board member would surely become a major topic at the Chair’s press conference. Since communication is now itself regarded as an important tool of monetary policy, the resulting muddying of the waters around the Board’s views could be counterproductive, even from the perspective of a Board Member who would have preferred a different outcome. As recounted in Ben Bernanke’s reminiscence on his years as Chair, there are sometimes still quite significant differences of view among Board members. See Ben S. Bernanke, The Courage to Act 539–46 (2015). But Chair Powell and his two immediate predecessors have all taken pains to accommodate differences in forging an eventual consensus position. For another, the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York has traditionally been Vice-Chair of the FOMC and, in that capacity, has worked closely with the Chair in the so-called “troika,” which formulates the proposed monetary policy action prior to each FOMC meeting.137The third member of the troika is the Vice Chair of the Board. The troika is not an official entity. At times the Chair has invited a fourth FOMC member to participate in these preparatory meetings—most recently, Chair Jerome Powell invited then-Governor Lael Brainard to join those meetings. See Nick Timiraos, Trillion Dollar Triage: How Jay Powell and the Fed Battled a President and a Pandemic—and Prevented Economic Disaster 54 (2022). Finally, as a group Reserve Bank presidents tend to have more divergent views than Board members, and thus the odds of all five voters taking the same dissonant position are low.

However, the opinions in Free Enterprise Fund, Seila Law, and Arthrex suggest that a majority of current Justices is largely uninterested in the ways in which agencies have actually functioned. Led by Chief Justice Roberts, they have focused more on theoretically possible outcomes within the structures Congress has created. In Seila Law, Roberts invoked the possibility that a single director might be less responsive to the President than a multi-member Board as part of the justification for striking down the for-cause removal protection that Congress had granted the Director of the Consumer Finance Protection Bureau. And in both Free Enterprise Fund and Arthrex he rejected arguments from dissenting Justices that the relevant principal officers had effective, though not direct, control over the decisions of officers who had not been nominated by the President and confirmed by the Senate. Here, there are certainly theoretical possibilities for Reserve Bank presidents to determine the outcome of an FOMC vote. Moreover, there were at least half a dozen votes in the period 1960–1988 in which the votes of Reserve Bank presidents were significant, including one in which those votes produced a different outcome from that which would have been reached had only Board members been voters.

The first possibility has already been mentioned: a Board at less than full strength may be outvoted by the bloc of five Reserve Bank presidents at an FOMC meeting. Under OLC’s account of the Board’s control over the “inferior” presidents, the Board could respond by removing some or all of the presidents, who would be replaced as voters by the previously designated alternates.138Under current practice, the alternatives in any given year would be four other Reserve Bank presidents and the first vice president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. Then the Chair could call a special FOMC meeting at which the Board’s original monetary policy preference could be adopted. If all the alternates proved recalcitrant, the Board could then remove them. Because the Federal Reserve Act specifies that only presidents and first vice presidents can represent the Reserve Banks on the FOMC,13912 U.S.C. § 263(a). at some point there would be no eligible alternates remaining and the Board would outnumber the Reserve Bank presidents.

The foregoing scenario is no way to run a central bank. The FOMC personnel drama would consume financial markets. The projection of a solid institutional footing, on which central banks rely for their credibility, would at least for a time be undermined, with potentially deleterious effects on the achievement of monetary policy aims. How would the Court assess the prospect of such a situation (fanciful as one hopes it will remain)? Perhaps the Court would find the confusion resulting from this sequence of events, coupled with the delay in implementing the Board’s preferred action, analogous to the impact of a decision by the APJs in Arthrex. That is, there would have been a final action taken on behalf of the United States that would have consequences that could not be completely undone by subsequent dismissal of the inferior officers involved. Alternatively, because the impact of the FOMC struggle would not fall on identifiable actors (such as patent holders), the Court might worry less about infringements on “liberty,” and accept the plenary removal power of the Board as adequate to establish the inferior officer status of Reserve Bank presidents. That is, the removal power might be found in this context to meet the Edmond standard of direction and supervision “at some level.”140Edmond v. United States, 520 U.S. 651, 663 (1997).

A second possible situation in which Reserve Bank votes could be determinative is where a monetary policy action favored by a majority, but not all, of the Board did not prevail because of the votes of Reserve Bank presidents. In a sense, the circumstances of this second situation present a variation on the first. As a matter of legal authority, the same majority favoring a different monetary policy action could remove one or more presidents who had taken the opposite position. If the Chair was in the minority of Board members (but the majority of the FOMC), the organizational complications in achieving this outcome could be substantial, with potential negative effects on financial markets. But, if the dissenting Board members held their ground, eventually they would probably prevail.

A third possible situation seems harder to resolve through use of the Board’s removal authority. Suppose the Board is one short of its full complement, and the Members are split 3-3 on whether to raise rates. If three or more of the Reserve Bank presidents vote to raise rates, a majority of the FOMC will have voted to raise the target federal funds rate. If only the votes of the Board Members (principal officers) counted, the target rate would remain the same. Unlike the prior hypothesized situations, the policy outcome that would have prevailed if only Board Members voted may not be achievable through use of the removal power, since the evenly divided Board could deadlock on removing the presidents who favored the rate increase.

As mentioned earlier, this last scenario is not entirely hypothetical. There are at least two instances in Federal Reserve history when the votes of Reserve Bank presidents resulted in a change of policy for which there was not majority support on the Board. At the June 1988 FOMC meeting, the Board had six Members, rather than its full complement of seven. They split evenly on whether to tighten monetary policy conditions, the position favored by Chairman Greenspan. Had only the presidentially appointed members of the FOMC been voting, the deadlock would have meant no change in policy. But because all five Reserve Bank voting members sided with the Chairman, the outcome was an 8-3 vote to tighten.141Press Release, Federal Rsrv. Bd. & Fed. Open Mkt. Comm., Record of Policy Actions of the Federal Open Market Committee (Aug. 19, 1988), https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/fomcropa19880630.pdf [https://perma.cc/KS3Y-8TV3]. At the December 1961 FOMC meeting, four of the Board’s seven Members dissented from the position favored by Chairman Martin, which nonetheless prevailed because of the Reserve Bank presidents’ votes. This situation was unlike that in my second hypothetical scenario, because the four dissenting Board members had three different views—one for greater tightening of policy than the FOMC majority had voted, two who opposed any tightening, and one who disagreed with the means chosen to implement the less accommodative policy.142Bd. of Governors of the Fed. Rsrv. Sys., Forty-Eighth Annual Report of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Covering Operations for the Year 1961, 89–91, https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/fomcropa19611219.pdf [https://perma.cc/TB4E-8FB7]. The last-mentioned dissenter had disagreed with the specific Treasury security whose interest rate the Committee instructed the Fed’s market operations to target.

Whatever the Court’s views of the other situations, this last possibility would presumably be more troubling. The closest thing we have to a relevant view from a member of the current Court supports that inference. Justice Alito, concurring in Department of Transportation v. Association of American Railroads,143Dep’t of Transp. v. Ass’n of Am. R.Rs., 575 U.S. 43, 57 (2015) (Alito, J., concurring). considered various constitutional issues that would need to be addressed following the Court’s unanimous decision that Amtrak was a governmental entity.144Writing for the Court, Justice Kennedy briefly noted the issues, which were to be considered by the Court of Appeals on remand. Id. at 55–56. As it happened, the D.C. Circuit did not reach the issue of interest here, having decided the case on other grounds. Ass’n of Am. R.Rs. v. U.S. Dep’t. of Transp., 821 F.3d 19, 23 (D.C. Cir. 2016), vacated, Ass’n of Am. RRs. v. U.S. Dep’t of Transp., WL 6209642 (D.D.C. Mar. 23, 2017). Among these was whether the manner of selecting Amtrak’s president ran afoul of the Appointments Clause. Eight members of Amtrak’s board were presidentially appointed and Senate confirmed. They chose the president, who became ex officio the ninth member of the Board. The president served at the pleasure of the Board.145Ass’n of Am. R.Rs., 575 U.S. at 65 (Alito, J., concurring).

Although he did not reach any definitive conclusions, Justice Alito clearly found the arrangement constitutionally suspect:

It would seem to follow that because agency heads must be principal officers, every member of a multimember body heading an agency must also be a principal officer. After all, every member of a multimember body could cast the deciding vote with respect to a particular decision. One would think that anyone who has the unilateral authority to tip a final decision one way or the other cannot be an inferior officer.146Id.

Dismissing the government’s argument that the president serves only at the pleasure of the other members of the Amtrak board, Justice Alito said “it makes no sense to think that the side with which the president agrees will demand his removal.”147Id. It is hard to know how Justice Alito would parse the FOMC. As already noted, interest rate increases are not regulatory, at least in a direct sense, and thus perhaps not the threat to “liberty” perceived by the conservative members of the Court to lurk in every administrative regulatory action.148Indeed, Justice Alito began his concurring opinion in the Amtrak case with the now customary invocation of liberty. Id. at 57. On the other hand, nothing in the logic of Justice Alito’s comment that every member of a multimember body heading an agency must be a principal officer suggests that this principle is limited to agencies that directly regulate nongovernmental individuals or entities.149There might even be a better argument for the Amtrak president’s manner of selection and presence on its board of directors than for the presence of Reserve Bank presidents on the FOMC. When Congress created that governance arrangement, which was designed for what was supposed to be a profitably run government corporation, it was apparently following practice at most public corporations, where non-executive directors select the chief executive officer, who is then placed on the board. In contrast, while the Reserve Bank presidents are also chief executive officers, their participation on the FOMC is not a managerial function; it is pure policymaking. Interestingly, OLC followed a logic similar to that of Justice Alito in concluding that the Reserve Bank presidents must be officers to serve on the FOMC: “[T]he officer status of some members does not turn on the presence of others who may outvote them.” 43 Op. O.L.C., supra note 97, at 8. As discussed in the text, however, OLC did not follow this logic in evaluating whether the presidents needed to be principal officers. Id.

iii.  Article II Requirements for Appointment of Inferior Officers

Assuming Reserve Bank presidents are inferior officers, there remains the question whether their appointments conform to Article II requirements. Free Enterprise confirmed that the “Head” of a Department may be a multi-member board or commission, so it is clearly acceptable for the Board to appoint the inferior members of the FOMC.150Free Enter. Fund. v. Pub. Co. Acct. Oversight Bd., 561 U.S. 477, 512–13 (2010). There are two additional issues. First, the Board does not appoint the presidents directly; it approves selections made by the boards of directors of the Reserve Banks. Second, that approval is for the individuals appointed to be presidents of the Reserve Banks, not members of the FOMC. Under the Federal Reserve Act, the boards of directors of the Reserve Banks each year select the representatives of the Reserve Banks who will be voting members of the FOMC, with no requirement for approval by the Board of Governors.151See 12 U.S.C. § 263(a).

OLC disposed of both issues in concluding that the appointment of the presidents to the FOMC was consistent with Article II requirements. To deal with the fact that the Board approves—rather than directly makes—the selections of the Reserve Bank boards, OLC cited a 19th century case, United States v. Hartwell.15243 Op. O.L.C., supra note 97, at 14 (citing United States v. Hartwell, 73 U.S. 385, 393–94 (1867)). In Hartwell, which was favorably cited in a footnote in Free Enterprise Fund,153Free Enter. Fund, 561 U.S. at 512 n.13. OLC also cited to a line of Attorney General opinions predating Hartwell that had reached a similar conclusion. 43 Op. O.L.C., supra note 97, at 14–15. the Court ruled that a clerk in the office of the assistant Treasurer of the United States was a validly appointed officer, even though he had been selected by the assistant Treasurer with the “approbation” of the Secretary of the Treasury.154Hartwell, 73 U.S. at 392–93. OLC further noted that the Board appoints the Class C directors of the Reserve Banks (one of whom is designated as the chair), and has the power to dismiss the directors of all three classes.15543 Op. O.L.C., supra note 97, at 16 (citing 12 U.S.C. § 305 and 12 U.S.C. § 248(f)). OLC reasoned that “the Board could indefinitely reject proposed candidates until the directors propose Reserve Bank presidents to the Board’s liking.”156Id. Indeed, it appears as though the Board could even short circuit that potentially lengthy process by dismissing any Class B director who was unwilling to appoint a president satisfactory to the Board and, if necessary, appointing new Class C directors, who for at least a brief time could be the only members of the Board eligible to select the president.

As to the fact that the Board’s approval authority is for selection of individuals in their roles as presidents of Reserve Banks, rather than for participation on the FOMC as such, OLC again relied on a 19th century decision whose authority has been reaffirmed in a modern case. In Shoemaker v. United States,157Shoemaker v. United States, 147 U.S. 282, 300–01 (1893). the Court ruled that Congress could place the holders of two existing offices requiring Senate confirmation on a newly created commission without the incumbents having to go through another nomination and confirmation process. The test adopted by the Court was whether the “additional duties” were “germane to the offices already held by them.”158Id. at 301. Applying this test to the Chief of Engineers of the U.S. Army and the Engineer Commissioner of the District of Columbia, the Court found that the duties of their original offices were indeed germane to sitting on a commission charged with creating what is now Rock Creek Park in Washington, D.C.159Id.

Weiss v. United States, a 1994 case considering whether commissioned military officers could be appointed as military judges without a new Article II appointment, applied the Shoemaker germaneness test.160Weiss v. United States, 510 U.S. 163, 175 (1994). The majority opinion distinguished the case from Shoemaker on the ground that Congress had clearly not tried to “both create an office and also select a particular individual to fill the office.” Id. at 174. However, the Court went on to apply the germaneness test and found it satisfied. Id. at 177. In a concurring opinion, Justice Scalia explained the rationale for the test:

Violation of the Appointments Clause occurs not only when (as in Shoemaker) Congress may be aggrandizing itself (by effectively appropriating the appointment power over the officer exercising the new duties), but also when Congress, without aggrandizing itself, effectively lodges appointment power in any person other than those whom the Constitution specifies. Thus, “germaneness” is relevant whenever Congress gives power to confer new duties to anyone other than the few potential recipients of the appointment power specified in the Appointments Clause—i.e., the President, the Courts of Law, and Heads of Departments.161Id. at 196 (Scalia, J., concurring) (emphasis omitted).

Insofar as Justice Scalia’s concerns extended beyond the potential for congressional aggrandizement, they foreshadow the Court’s construction of the President’s removal power in Free Enterprise Fund, and thus better reflect the contemporary approach to these structural Constitutional issues.

Even with this more expansive view of the germaneness test, the selection by Reserve Bank boards of the presidents who will vote on the FOMC seems to pass muster. As OLC reasoned, “[I]n approving the selection of Reserve Bank presidents to their positions, the Board of Governors has implicitly concluded that the presidents would be competent to serve on the FOMC.”16243 Op. O.L.C., supra note 97, at 17. Indeed, the Federal Reserve Act explicitly ties the two roles together. The Board is fully aware that, in approving Reserve Bank presidents, they are effectively deciding who will be sitting around the table at FOMC meetings.

iv.  Removal of Presidents by Reserve Bank Boards

Unless one reads as a limitation the requirement that the Board notify a president of its reasons for exercising its power of removal, the Board has the plenary removal authority that is consistent with inferior officer status of the presidents. But OLC pointed out that the boards of directors of the Reserve Banks also have statutory authority to remove presidents whose appointments have been approved by the Board.163Id. at 11. The statutory provision is included among the enumerated powers of the Reserve Banks: “To appoint by its board of directors a president, vice presidents, and such officers and employees as are not otherwise provided for in this chapter, to define their duties . . . and to dismiss at pleasure such officers or employees.” 12 U.S.C. § 341. This is the one feature of the Federal Reserve structure that OLC assessed to be unconstitutional.16443 Op. O.L.C., supra note 97, at 21.

In reaching this conclusion, OLC cited Myers v. United States for the proposition that “the power to remove inferior officers is . . . ‘an incident of the power to appoint them.’ ”165Id. at 20 (citing Myers v. United States, 272 U.S. 52, 161 (1926)). But Myers involved a statute requiring congressional approval before the President could remove a postmaster. Even a broad reading of that case does not directly support the OLC conclusion, since there is no question the Board can remove a Reserve Bank president on its own. Doubtless for this reason, OLC relied more on its own prior opinions involving removals of officers by actors other than those with the Constitutional power to appoint them.166Id. However, in asserting that “a delegation [of the power to remove a Reserve Bank president] would improperly diffuse accountability for the supervision of inferior officers,”167Id. at 21. OLC did reflect a concern that has been featured in the Court’s recent decisions. It cited Chief Justice Roberts’s complaint in Free Enterprise Fund that “[t]he diffusion of power carries with it a diffusion of accountability.”168Id. at 20 (quoting Free Enter. Fund. v. Pub. Co. Acct. Oversight Bd., 561 U.S. 477, 497 (2010)). Though preceding Arthrex, OLC foreshadowed the Chief Justice’s emphasis there on the “chain of command” from the president,169United States v. Arthrex, Inc., 141 S. Ct. 1970, 1979 (2021). in whom—according to a majority of the current Court—an indivisible and complete executive power of the United States was lodged by the Constitution.

OLC apparently resolved this issue by invoking the constitutional avoidance doctrine and then reading the statutory provision giving Reserve Bank boards the power of removal as requiring the approval of the Board before exercising that authority.17043 Op. O.L.C., supra note 97, at 21. I say “apparently” because, although OLC cited to a well-known case in which the Court applied that doctrine,171Id. (citing Edward J. DeBartolo Corp. v. Fla. Gulf Coast Trades Council, 485 U.S. 568, 575 (1988)). it also pointed out that “all classes of directors are subservient to the Board of Governors,”172Id. because of the Board’s power to remove those directors and its general supervision of Reserve Banks. OLC reasoned that the Board could, accordingly, require the Reserve Bank boards to seek approval before dismissing a president.173Id. at 21–22.

Given that these powers of the Board are explicitly set forth in the Federal Reserve Act, it is unclear why OLC felt it needed to give the directors’ removal authority provision a reading arguably inconsistent with its plain language. The alternative would have been for OLC to follow the course it did in considering the appointments process, where it emphasized that the Board could repeatedly reject individuals suggested by a Reserve Bank board until the latter sent the Board a name it liked.174See supra note 156 and accompanying text. Here, OLC could have noted that the Board’s authority to dismiss directors (and directly appoint the Class C directors) means that the Board could effectively reverse any decision by a Reserve Bank board to dismiss a president.

v.  Reserve Bank Presidents as Private Actors

Until the recent Custodia Bank case, the only court opinion addressing the merits of the constitutional status of the Reserve Bank presidents was the 1986 district court decision in Melcher v. Federal Open Market Committee.175Melcher v. Fed. Open Mkt. Comm., 644 F. Supp. 510, 510 (D.D.C. 1986), aff’d on other grounds, Melcher v. Fed. Open Mkt. Comm., 836 F.2d 561 (D.C. Cir. 1987). The D.C. Circuit Court affirmed on procedural grounds, leaving Judge Greene’s opinion on the merits neither validated nor rejected.176Melcher, 836 F.2d at 565. Judge Greene’s view that the authority granted Reserve Bank presidents on the FOMC was a permissible delegation to private actors seems unlikely to find favor in today’s Court.177OLC expressly disagreed with Judge Greene’s reasoning. 43 Op. O.L.C., supra note 97, at 7. His opinion is nonetheless instructive in thinking about both the constitutional arguments considered in the preceding subsections and the reasons why the Supreme Court might decline to find the structure of the FOMC unconstitutional even if the logic of its recent decisions tends toward that conclusion.

Judge Greene’s conclusion rested principally on two grounds. One was his textual observation that the Appointments Clause “governs the selection of public officers—it says nothing about the exercise of public power by private persons.”178Melcher, 644 F. Supp. at 521. The other, to which I will return in closing my discussion of the status of the presidents, was that “the lessons of history . . . militate strongly against a conclusion that would rigidly exclude the private members from the FOMC.”179Id.

The first point, while literally true, elided the question of whether someone acting in an effective government capacity should be treated as an “officer of the United States” for Appointments Clause purposes.180See id. A decade before Judge Greene’s opinion, Buckley had set forth the “significant authority pursuant to the laws of the United States” test. Buckley v. Valeo, 424 U.S. 1, 126 (1976) (per curiam), superseded by statute, Bipartisan Campaign Reform Act of 2002, Pub. L. No. 107-155, 116 Stat. 81, as recognized in Ams. for Prosperity v. Grewal, 2019 WL 4855853 (D.N.J. Oct. 2, 2019). It also ignored the doctrine enunciated, if not especially well explained, in Carter Coal, which had found a delegation of federal governmental authority to private parties to be unconstitutional.181Carter v. Carter Coal Co., 298 U.S. 238, 278 (1936). Judge Greene may, in fact, have had Carter Coal in mind when he observed later in his opinion that the five Reserve Bank presidents did not have the “decisive voice” on the FOMC. Melcher, 644 F. Supp. at 523. That comment may have been an implicit allusion to a line of cases following Carter Coal that had countenanced private involvement in government decisions so long as the governmental actors had the final say. For a description of these cases, see Gillian E. Metzger, Privatization as Delegation, 103 Colum. L. Rev. 1367, 1437–45 (2003). There are unusual circumstances in which the Reserve Bank presidents could have the decisive vote(s) on an FOMC decision.

Subsequent judicial developments have further undermined the consistency of Judge Greene’s reasoning with the Court’s views. One is the persistent emphasis in structural constitutional cases over the last thirty years on the accountability of those exercising any form of executive power in the U.S. government. The other, consistent with that emphasis, is the Roberts Court’s conclusion in two cases that even entities and individuals specified as “private” by Congress can be considered parts of the government for Constitutional purposes.182See, e.g., Free Enter. Fund v. Pub. Co. Acct. Oversight Bd., 561 U.S. 477, 485–86, 495–96 (2010) (“Despite the provisions specifying that Board members are not Government officials for statutory purposes, the parties agree that the Board is ‘part of the Government’ for constitutional purposes . . . and that its members are ‘Officers of the United States’ who ‘exercis[e] significant authority pursuant to the laws of the United States.’ ”) (citations omitted); see also Dep’t of Transp. v. Ass’n of Am. R.Rs., 575 U.S. 43, 55 (2015) (“[Despite] Congress’ disclaimer of Amtrak’s governmental status . . . Amtrak is a governmental entity, not a private one, for purposes of determining the constitutional issues presented in this case.”). Although the features of the Reserve Banks and their presidents might be distinguished from those of the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board and Amtrak—the entities at issue in those cases—the basic logic applies: entities and individuals whose positions have been created by the government, that continue to have significant links to the government, and that exercise governmental powers will be treated as part of the government.183Ironically, Judge Greene cited Amtrak as an example of a “public-private partnership” created by Congress “in lieu of execution of these responsibilities exclusively by government officials.” Melcher, 644 F. Supp. at 523.

From our vantage point, the most interesting feature of Judge Greene’s opinion is that he turned to a rationale of a permissible delegation to private actors only after he had concluded that the Reserve Bank presidents had not been selected in a manner consistent with the Appointments Clause.184Obviously, they had not been nominated by the President and confirmed by the Senate. So, if they were officers, they had to be inferior officers to meet the Article II requirements. He cited three factors in reaching this conclusion: One was that they were appointed by the Reserve Bank boards of directors, rather than by the Board itself.185Melcher, 644 F. Supp. at 519. The other two factors were closely related. The first was that it “would be a distortion of language to label as ‘inferior officers’ members of a body vested with the vast powers possessed by the Federal Open Market Committee.”186Id. The other was that “Reserve Bank members sit on the FOMC with the Governors themselves, with the same opportunity to participate and vote as the Governors.”187Id. Elaborating a bit on the latter point, Judge Greene asserted that the Federal Reserve Act contained “no suggestion that the Governors may supervise or otherwise influence the policy choices of the Reserve Bank members.”188Id. He further maintained that the Board’s power to remove presidents was only for cause and, in any case, that the statutory removal provision contained “not even a hint of a suggestion” that it was “meant to be used by the Board to influence the votes of those officers who sit with them as members of the FOMC.”189Id. at 520.

As discussed earlier, some of these arguments would be dealt with by OLC thirty years later. Judge Greene did not even mention the statutory approval authority given to the Board for appointments of the presidents. And, unlike OLC, he did not parse the use of “cause” in the removal provision, but simply asserted that it was “a mechanism undoubtedly meant to encompass such infractions as misfeasance in office, but not a policy disagreement.”190Id. As we have seen, this is a contestable proposition as a textual and doctrinal matter.

Still, Judge Greene’s observations about how the FOMC actually operated were valid in 1986, and remain so today. In a sense, he was anticipating the functional analysis of inferior officer status that would be set forth a couple of years later in Morrison v. Olson.191Morrison v. Olson, 487 U.S. 654, 668–89 (1988). The fact that the Reserve Bank presidents act like, and are treated like, equals on the FOMC sits uneasily with the notion that they are subordinate to the Board. OLC followed the formalist approach to inferior status that began with Justice Scalia’s dissent in Morrison, became the Court’s position in Edmond, and was reinforced in Arthrex. While I constructed low probability hypotheticals to demonstrate the gap in OLC’s formalist analysis, Judge Greene captured the FOMC’s “tradition of operation,”192Melcher, 644 F. Supp. at 520. even as he glossed over doctrinal points that have become only more important as formalism has gotten the upper hand over functionalism in the Court’s structural Constitutional doctrines.

Judge Greene’s doctrinal argument that Congress may constitutionally delegate voting positions on the FOMC to private individuals has an awkward feel to it. As already noted, it is almost summary in its brevity and does not deal with two obvious issues. Additionally, one of the points he makes in that argument is somewhat at odds with his analysis of the inferior officer question. While he had earlier referred to “the vast powers possessed by the Federal Open Market Committee” in rejecting the notion that the presidents could be inferior officers, he suggests later that because private parties regularly buy and sell Treasury securities, Congress can establish a public-private partnership in the Federal Reserve to do just that.

An indication of what might have been motivating a smart district court judge to offer such a strained argument may be found in Judge Greene’s invocation of what he called the “deliberate, time-honored balance” of public and private representation in the regulation of the monetary system,193Id. at 522. as contemporaneously reflected in the composition of the FOMC: “Ever since the birth of this nation, the regulation of the nation’s monetary systems has been governed by a subtle and conscious balance of public and private elements.”194Id. at 521. He recounted how this balance had been variously struck in the structures of both the First and Second Banks of the United States, the original Federal Reserve Act, and finally the Banking Act of 1935 that established the FOMC as we know it today. He concluded that

[f]ew issues in the history of this nation have been as thoroughly considered and debated as central banking and the regulation of the money supply, and private participation, or even control, have been hallmarks of what was from time to time prescribed by the Congress. The current system is also the product of an unusual degree of debate and reflection within the Legislative Branch, with the participation from time to time of the Executive, and it represents an exquisitely balanced approach to an extremely difficult problem. To be sure, this background would not save the legislation if it clearly contravened the Constitution. But the Court concludes on the basis of its consideration of all the factors discussed above, that, while the composition of the Federal Open Market Committee may be unusual, it is not unconstitutional.195Id. at 524 (footnote omitted).

One can read this part of Judge Greene’s opinion as both acknowledging the force of long-established practice in determining the constitutionality of certain government arrangements and as giving at least some Constitutional role to the political branches in determining the acceptable form of those arrangements. As we will see in Part III, a variation on this theme might also affect the view of today’s Court on the constitutionality of not just the Reserve Bank presidents’ status, but of the Federal Reserve more generally.

III.  CONSTITUTIONAL AVOIDANCE

Application of the doctrines embraced by the Court’s conservative majority in recent cases raises significant questions about the constitutionality of the FOMC. Even without further steps in the Court’s revamp of the separation of powers doctrine, the presence of Reserve Bank presidents on the FOMC is not easy to reconcile with the reasoning in existing opinions. If, as seems quite possible, the conservatives extend the logic of some of their opinions in future cases, other features of the FOMC could be more directly implicated. Were the Court to resurrect a meaningful non-delegation doctrine, the broad monetary policy discretion of the FOMC would obviously invite scrutiny. Similarly, were the Court to invalidate a traditional multi-member independent agency, the Board would obviously be among the many agencies whose constitutionality would be under a cloud.196Additionally, were the Court to find the non-appropriated funding mechanism for the Consumer Finance Protection Bureau unconstitutional on grounds that implicated the Federal Reserve’s independent funding, the independence of monetary policy would be threatened.

But suppose the Court wants to avoid holding that some part of the Federal Reserve’s structure or mandate runs afoul of its separation of powers doctrines. In this Part, I begin with some conjecture as to why the conservative majority may prefer such an outcome and then consider the doctrinal positions that could be available to the Court to achieve this end.197It is also possible that one or more Justices will not have a strong ex ante view on the issue and could be swayed by one or more of these arguments. Since my aim here is to support my intuition that this Court will not issue a ruling that finds the central role or structure of the FOMC unconstitutional, I focus only on potential arguments that have a fighting chance of being accepted by the current Court majority. Most obviously, I do not include in this part of my discussion a functional analysis of the sort presented in Justice Breyer’s dissents in Free Enterprise Fund and Arthrex, Justice Kagan’s dissent in Seila Law, and to a limited extent Justice Thomas’s dissent in Arthrex. Chief Justice Roberts and the other four of his colleagues have displayed little receptivity to such analyses. With respect to the participation of Reserve Bank presidents in monetary policy and the breadth of the FOMC’s delegated powers, standing requirements could foreclose a case from ever reaching the merits.198Of course, if the Court did not want to rule against the FOMC, it could use its discretion not to grant certiorari to unsuccessful challenges in the lower courts. However, were a circuit court of appeals to engage in its own extrapolation of the Court’s prior rulings and find against the FOMC, the Court could be forced to deal with such a case. Alternatively, even if standing were established and the substantive constitutional issues were taken up, the Court might find the FOMC, and perhaps the entire Federal Reserve System, to be exceptional and thus protected from the reach of generally applicable separation of powers doctrines.199It is also possible that, despite the apparent logic of some opinions of the conservative majority, the Court might ultimately not revive the non-delegation doctrine directly or extend its removal power dogma to traditional independent agencies. As evidenced by its decision in West Virginia v. EPA, 142 S. Ct. 2587, 2607 (2022), the Court might create other routes to de-fang the administrative state that could be less of a threat to the FOMC. But, as with other areas in which the Court’s failure to elaborate a standard for its doctrinal innovations, it is virtually impossible to determine how much impact the majority’s major questions doctrine will have.

A.  Reasons to Forbear

There are many reasons why at least some conservative Justices might be reluctant to invalidate either the mandate or the structure of the FOMC. As a matter of ideology, they may simply be more accepting of a powerful, operationally independent central bank than of regulatory agencies such as the EPA, Occupational Safety and Health Administration, and SEC, which typify the administrative state that they hold in such low esteem. As became apparent when President Trump mused publicly about replacing Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, there is support for an independent Fed among some Republican legislators.200Nick Timiraos & Kate Davidson, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell Draws Congressional Support, Even as Trump Bashes Him, Wall St. J. (Dec. 6, 2018, 5:30 AM), https://www.wsj.com/articles/fed-chairman-jerome-powell-draws-congressional-support-even-as-trump-bashes-him-1544092201 [https://perma.cc/VX5Z-L8N5]; see also Michael C. Bender, Rebecca Ballhaus, Peter Nicholas & Alex Leary, Trump Steps Up Attacks on Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, Wall St. J. (Oct. 23, 2018, 8:39 PM), https://www.wsj.com/articles/trump-steps-up-attacks-on-fed-chairman-jerome-powell-1540338090 [https://perma.cc/5FMY-PGQF]; Jeanna Smialek, Trump’s Feud With the Fed Is Escalating, and Has a Precedent, N.Y. Times (June 24, 2019), https://www.nytimes.com/2019/06/24/business/economy/federal-reserve-trump.html [https://perma.cc/5E7K-83XG]. And, while many—perhaps most—companies subject to the jurisdiction of those latter agencies would like to see their authority curtailed, there is almost certainly more support for an independent central bank. Indeed, while financial firms may differ with specific decisions of the FOMC and regulatory actions of the Board, they rely on the central bank to moderate inflation, promote growth, and support the financial system in periods of stress.201Additionally, as a group, Reserve Bank presidents have traditionally been inclined toward the more “hawkish” monetary policy associated with some economic conservatives than have the Board members appointed by presidents of both political parties. Of course, there are dovish Reserve Bank presidents. And perhaps no U.S. central banker is more identified with a hawkish monetary policy than Paul Volcker, chair of the Board and the FOMC from 1979 to 1987.

Another explanation, not inconsistent with the first, is that some members of the Court may share the sense that the Federal Reserve is a higher-status and more consequential agency than others.202Needless to say, there is no official ranking of the status of agencies. If, however, one is looking for some objective indicator of the status point, it is worth noting that the Chair of the Board is, by statute, an Executive Level 1 position, and the Members are Executive Level 2 positions. Those positions correlate with the Secretaries and Deputy Secretaries, respectively, of Cabinet departments. By contrast, the Chairs of most other independent agencies are Executive Level 3 positions, and the non-Chair members are Executive Level 4, the status (and salary) of, respectively, Under and Assistant Secretaries in the Cabinet departments. The Reserve Bank presidents, as nongovernment employees, have salaries roughly double those of the Board members. However, with the exception of the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, their status is decidedly lower, if for no other reason than that the other eleven do not have votes on the FOMC every year. Moreover, none of the Reserve Bank presidents share in the regulatory authority of the Board. Some of the Justices may recognize that they have very little understanding of monetary policy, other than that it is important. For both reasons, they may be reluctant to disrupt the agency to which that policy has been committed.

It is obviously hard to know whether, or how much, policy considerations of this sort would affect the Court’s predisposition toward a constitutional challenge lodged against the FOMC. The potential impact of an adverse ruling on the economy, however, would almost surely weigh on at least some of the conservative majority. This concern would be evident in the difficulty the Court would face in the more narrowly legal exercise of crafting a workable remedy.

Although the Court’s recent separation of powers decisions have been doctrinally aggressive, their immediate impact on the functioning of government has been limited. Indeed, it may be a mark of the conservative majority’s eagerness to make new law that its decisions provided little practical relief to the plaintiffs in those cases.203In Free Enterprise Fund, the Court denied the broad injunctive relief sought by petitioners, which would effectively have brought the operations of the PCAOB to a halt. All that changed was the invalidation of the for-cause removal protection that Congress had created for PCAOB members. Free Enter. Fund. v. Pub. Co. Acct. Oversight Bd., 561 U.S. 477, 513 (2010). Similarly, in Seila Law the CFPB’s civil investigative demand that had triggered the case was eventually upheld, an outcome essentially unaffected by the Court’s ruling that the Director could be removed at will by the President. Consumer Fin. Prot. Bureau v. Seila Law LLC, 997 F.3d 837, 848 (9th Cir. 2021). As of this writing it remains unclear if the plaintiffs in Collins v. Yellen will obtain any relief. The Fifth Circuit has remanded the case to the district court to determine if any retrospective relief was appropriate, though five of the judges thought the absence of injury was sufficiently clear that no remand was necessary. Collins v. Yellen, 27 F.4th 1068, 1069 (5th Cir. 2022) (mem.) (en banc). Finally, in Arthrex the only remedy was to give the Director of the Patent and Trademark Office the opportunity to review the decision of the patent law judge. United States v. Arthrex, Inc., 141 S. Ct. 1970, 1987 (2021). Since there was never any indication that the Director was opposed to that decision, this case also made new law while giving no actual relief to the plaintiff. None produced any immediate tangible consequences of note to the general public—or, indeed, to anyone beyond the relatively small circles of parties and agency officials involved in the cases.

In contrast, a holding that either the mandate or structure of the FOMC was unconstitutional could have a major destabilizing effect on financial markets and, at least for a time, could be front page news. As in Free Enterprise Fund, Seila Law, and Collins, a holding that the Members of the Board were removable at will by the President would not in itself affect the actions of the formerly protected officials. However, the presumed independence of the Federal Reserve would have been called into question. Especially if the decision was handed down at a time when the Administration was thought to be unhappy with FOMC policy, there could be a period of volatility as market actors speculated on whether the President might use the implicit threat of removal to force a change in policy.204It is possible, perhaps likely, that the President and Secretary of Treasury would respond to the Court’s decision by affirming their intention not to interfere with monetary policy. Such a statement would likely reduce, though probably not eliminate, short-term market uncertainty. There might nonetheless be an impact on longer-term interest rates, as market actors priced in the possibility of a future president threatening, if not actually exercising, the use of the removal power. In discussing the uncertain status of the Federal Reserve chair qua chair, Adrian Vermeule has suggested that in most instances convention will deter the President from removing that individual. Adrian Vermeule, Conventions of Agency Independence, 113 Colum. L. Rev. 1163, 1196–99 (2013). The convention, in turn, is backed by the prospect of political backlash, including difficulties in naming a successor, and the alternative of waiting what has recently been only about a year after a president is inaugurated before the term of the chair lapses. Id. In a sense, Vermeule’s hypothesis was strengthened by President Trump’s ultimate decision not to attempt to remove Chair Jerome Powell, despite the President’s deep unhappiness with his own appointee. However, a President empowered by the Supreme Court to remove non-chair members may face less of a political backlash. Moreover, if the Senate is controlled by the same party that holds the presidency, the backlash may not be so significant. Market actors might also speculate on the likelihood that a new President would remove several members of the Board whose monetary policies did not align with those of the incoming Administration.

A holding that the Reserve Bank presidents were principal officers, and thus not constitutionally eligible to sit on the FOMC, would present an especially tricky remedial challenge. The cleanest option might be to sever the portion of Section 12A of the Federal Reserve Act that provides for Reserve Bank representation on the FOMC,20512 U.S.C. § 263(a). leaving just the Members of the Board. This would be a major amputation, not the neat surgical snip performed in recent separation of powers cases. Moreover, it would clearly be at odds with the congressional policy reflected in the Federal Reserve Act for more than a century, and thus hard to justify as capturing what congressional preferences would be in light of the holding that the Reserve Bank presidents were principal officers.

An alternative approach would be to give the President authority to remove the Reserve Bank presidents, thereby dodging the problem of a divided Board discussed in Part II.206An even more far-reaching remedy would be for the Court to require that Reserve Bank presidents be nominated by the President, confirmed by the Senate, and then removable by the President. Since this resolution would probably not be thought necessary by the Court in order to make the Reserve Bank presidents inferior officers, and since this remedy would almost surely reinforce a narrative that the Court is ignoring the will of the political branches in remaking the U.S. government more to its own liking, this option seems unlikely. But this remedy would require the Court not just to excise from a statute the provisions that it has found unconstitutional. It would have to write in a new provision never drafted by Congress.207In Free Enterprise Fund and Seila, the Court was able to remove the brief clauses in the challenged statutes providing for-cause removal protection. As noted earlier, in Arthrex the Court did effectively add its own provision to the statute in framing the remedy to require review by the Director of the Patent and Trademark Office. However, the Court (albeit with a fragile majority that included the Justices who had dissented on the merits) apparently believed that making the Patent Law Judges removable at will would be more at odds with the structure of the statute passed by Congress than making their decision reviewable. Arthrex, 141 S. Ct. at 1987 (“[R]eview by the Director better reflects the structure of supervision within the PTO and the nature of APJs’ duties . . . .”). In addition, this remedy would create some of the same uncertainty discussed earlier in connection with an invalidation of for-cause protection for Board Members, though probably of a lesser order, because the Reserve Bank presidents occupy fewer seats and generally have more heterogeneous views.

Finally, of course, the Court could simply invalidate the entire Federal Reserve Act, rather than changing a core structural feature of the FOMC by severing or rewriting certain offending provisions. Quite possibly—almost inevitably, to my mind—the result would be chaos in financial markets as banks, businesses, and households all scrambled to preserve the value of their money after the creator and caretaker of that money had just been put out of business. In theory, Congress could step in quickly by—for example, reenacting the Federal Reserve Act for a limited period, while leaving the Reserve Bank presidents off the FOMC. Congress would thereby calm financial markets to some degree, while giving itself time to decide on a permanent solution. Presumably, however, the Court is not oblivious to the difficulties in getting anything done across First Street in the Capitol. Even apparent no-brainers such as raising the statutory debt limit in order to pay obligations already incurred by the federal government have entailed political brinkmanship, which in 2011 led to the credit rating of U.S. government debt being downgraded for a time,208Binyamin Appelbaum & Eric Dash, S.&P. Downgrades Debt Rating of U.S. for the First Time, N.Y. Times (Aug. 5, 2011), https://www.nytimes.com/2011/08/06/business/us-debt-downgraded-by-sp.html [https://perma.cc/UF3J-KKVP]; Damian Paletta, S&P Official: U.S. Downgrade Was Due in Part to Debt-Ceiling Brawl, Wall St. J. (Aug. 5, 2011, 10:25 PM), https://www.wsj.com/articles/SB10001424053111903454504576491043656840536 [https://perma.cc/BM7N-WFQD]. and in 2023 caused anxiety in financial markets until an eleventh-hour agreement avoided the U.S. government defaulting on its obligations. The Court could not have confidence that Congress would expeditiously pass a temporary measure that preserved at least a recognizable status quo at the Federal Reserve.

Were the Court to strike down as an excessive delegation of legislative authority the dual mandate that gives the FOMC substantial discretion in the conduct of monetary policy, it would either have to divine a permissible congressional rule for the FOMC to implement or, as in the invalidation of the entire Federal Reserve Act scenario of the preceding paragraph, leave the country without any monetary policy until Congress (somehow) acted.

The former path seems difficult but not inconceivable. Where could the Court find an appropriate congressional rule if not in the Federal Reserve Act itself? Perhaps, as suggested in Part II.A., the Court could follow the preference of some (mostly conservative) economists and effectively read the “maximum employment” aim of monetary policy out of the Federal Reserve Act. Doing so would leave price stability as the “rule” set by Congress, which will then be assumed to have made the basic policy decision for price stability over employment. As with some other recent controversial steps it has taken, the Court might justify such an outcome by invoking the expanded canon of constitutional avoidance.209See generally Katyal & Schmidt, supra note 134 (explaining how the Court has used constitutional avoidance canon to aggressively rewrite statutes). That is, it would argue that Section 2A of the Federal Reserve Act would be an unconstitutional delegation of authority to the FOMC unless the statutory “maximum employment” goal is read to be a byproduct of achieving price stability, rather than as a goal in itself. To reach this decision, though, the Court would have to ignore not just the plain meaning of Section 2A (including the fact that “maximum employment” precedes “stable prices” in the text), but the entire purpose and history of the Federal Reserve Reform Act that added this provision in 1977.210Among other factors underscoring the significance of the maximum employment goal in the Federal Reserve Reform Act are the intense contemporary debate around the wisdom of including such a goal, see Michelle A. L. Goldberg, The Fed’s Dual Mandate: One Too Many?, 33 Rev. Banking & Fin. L. 343, 363–67 (2013), and the passage by the same Congress of the Humphrey Hawkins Act establishing full employment as a national goal, see Full Employment and Balanced Growth Act of 1978, Pub. L. No. 95-523, 92 Stat. 1887 (codified as amended in scattered sections of 15 U.S.C.). It is also worth noting that, over time, bills have been introduced (and not passed) to remove the maximum employment mandate. See, e.g., H.R. 215, 113th Cong. (2013) (proposing to strike maximum employment).

B.  Standing

One way for the Court to avoid the unattractive outcomes described in the preceding section would be simply to decline to reach the merits of a challenge to the FOMC.  There is a quartet of D.C. Circuit cases from the late 1970s to the late 1980s in which the court found that plaintiffs alleging economic harm from monetary policy actions lacked standing to challenge the constitutionality of the FOMC on grounds of excessive delegation of authority, due process, and the Appointments Clause.211The due process claim was based on the participation in selection of Reserve Bank presidents by the bankers on Reserve Bank boards. The Federal Reserve Act has subsequently been amended to prohibit the three bank representatives on each board from involvement in the selection of the president. 12 U.S.C. § 341, amended by Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act, Pub. L. No. 111-203, 124 Stat. 1412. Those cases largely explain the paucity of judicial discussions of the constitutional status of Reserve Bank presidents.212There had been occasional constitutional challenges to the FOMC prior to the D.C. Circuit cases discussed in the text. These, too, had been dismissed on standing grounds. See, e.g., Horne v. Fed. Rsrv. Bank, 344 F.2d 725, 725 (8th Cir. 1965); Bryan v. Fed. Open Mkt. Comm., 235 F. Supp. 877, 877 (D. Mont. 1964). The two questions to be addressed in this section are, first, whether enough has changed in the last thirty-five years to alter those outcomes today and, second, whether there are claims other than injury from monetary policy actions that might provide an alternative route for a structural challenge to the FOMC.

As to the first question, the best chance for a plaintiff probably lies in appealing to the Court’s recent preoccupation with accountability in the context of Appointments Clause and removal issues to argue that the special rules of separation of powers standing should apply here. As to the second question, there are several possibilities: The D.C. Circuit cases included unsuccessful claims by Members of Congress asserting harm to their position as legislators. Another possibility is an indirect route, by which a plaintiff suing a Reserve Bank or its president for a non-monetary policy harm includes a constitutional claim. Finally, there is the theoretical possibility that the President would attempt to remove a Reserve Bank president.

When both legal and practical considerations are taken into account, the chances of any plaintiff having standing to pursue a structural challenge to the FOMC are, at best, modest. However, it is important to note that the standing hurdle in past cases applied only in cases directly challenging the FOMC—the presence of the Reserve Bank presidents, the breadth of its mandate, or both. Were the Court to extend its reasoning in Seila Law and find traditional multi-member independent commissions unconstitutional, any banking organization regulated by the Federal Reserve could easily meet the standing requirements in challenging a regulation or order. If its outcome were to subject the members of the Board to at-will removal by the President, it would immediately affect the independence of the FOMC.

1.  Private Party Standing to Challenge Monetary Policy Actions
i.  The D.C. Circuit Decisions

Of the four D.C. Circuit cases, two addressed standing claims by plaintiffs suing in their private capacities. Committee for Monetary Reform v. Board of Governor of the Federal Reserve System213Comm. for Monetary Reform v. Bd. of Governors of the Fed. Rsrv. Sys., 766 F.2d 538, 538 (D.C. Cir. 1985). involved only private standing claims, while in Reuss v. Balles214Reuss v. Balles, 584 F.2d 461, 464 (D.C. Cir. 1978). Representative Reuss claimed standing both in his capacity as a Member of Congress and as a private citizen owning government securities.

In Committee for Monetary Reform, the court applied a three-part test for determining standing very similar to that used today:

Art. III requires the party who invokes the court’s authority to show [1] that he personally has suffered some actual threatened injury as a result of the putatively illegal conduct of the defendant, and that the injury [2] fairly can be traced to the challenged action and [3] is likely to be redressed by a favorable decision.215Comm. for Monetary Reform, 766 F.2d at 541. The court quoted this version of the test from Valley Forge Christian College v. Ams. United for Separation of Church & State, Inc., 454 U.S. 464, 472 (1982). Today the formulation most often used is taken from Lujan v. Defenders of Wildlife, 504 U.S. 555, 560–61 (1992), which states the first prong of the test as “injury in fact,” a phrase Judge Edwards used later in his opinion in Committee for Monetary Reform. Comm. for Monetary Reform, 766 F.2d at 542.

Although the 800 entities and individuals joining the Committee in the suit were a varied lot,216The plaintiffs included “businesses, building associations, farmers, a labor union, and private individuals.” Comm. for Monetary Reform, 766 F.2d at 542. the court did not dwell on the first prong of the test. It simply assumed that the economic injuries alleged—“serious financial damage as a result of monetary instability and high interest rates in recent years”217Id.—were sufficient to establish injury in fact. The court may have felt it unnecessary to detail economic injuries such as wealth erosion because of high inflation in the late 1970s and early 1980s, and job loss, because of the contractionary monetary policy and serious recession that followed. Alternatively, the court may simply have economized its analysis because of its conclusion that the second prong of traceability was clearly not satisfied.

On this point, the court stated that it was “entirely speculative” whether the influence of the Reserve Bank presidents was responsible for the FOMC’s pursuit of restrictive monetary policies.218Id. In addition, it was “highly uncertain whether and to what extent such policies were responsible for the adverse economic conditions that allegedly resulted in harm to the appellants.”219Id. For good measure, the court also said that the injuries could not be redressed by the court, because it was again “too speculative” whether having only members on the FOMC subject to “democratic control” would have resulted in a different monetary policy.220Id. at 543.

The plaintiffs had also argued that they had standing on “separation-of-powers grounds,” an argument based on the Supreme Court’s decision a decade earlier in Buckley v. Valeo.221Buckley v. Valeo, 424 U.S. 1, 1 (1976) (per curiam). In Buckley, the Court had allowed a challenge to the constitutionality of the composition of the Federal Election Commission without requiring the plaintiff to show that an appropriately appointed Commission would have decided the matter at hand any differently. The D.C. Circuit rejected this argument derived from Buckley, quoting its holding that “litigants with sufficient concrete interests at stake may have standing to raise constitutional questions of separation of powers with respect to an agency designated to adjudicate their rights.”222Comm. for Monetary Reform, 766 F.2d at 543 (quoting Buckley, 424 U.S. at 117) (per curiam)). Here, the court said, the plaintiffs had not alleged they were “directly subject to the governmental authority they seek to challenge, but merely assert[ed] that they [were] substantially affected by the exercise of that authority.”223Id. Judicial intervention was thus not necessary to protect individual rights. To allow standing under these circumstances would be to open up the courts to the “generalized grievances” shared by a large class of citizens and, thereby, to decide “abstract” questions better decided by other governmental institutions.224Id. (quoting Warth v. Seldin, 422 U.S. 490, 499, 500 (1975)).

The D.C. Circuit’s earlier decision in Reuss had rested on generally similar reasoning, with a few notable differences. One was the reluctance of the panel majority in that case even to conclude that the injury prong of the standing test had been met, though Congressman Reuss’ own pleadings may have led to this conclusion.225Reuss v. Balles, 584 F.2d 461, 469 (D.C. Cir. 1978). Reuss had alleged that action by the FOMC may affect the value of his bond, an injury the court found too speculative. Note that this case was litigated in the mid-1970s, before the appointment of Paul Volcker as Fed Chair and the dramatic rise in interest rates (and thus decline in value of existing fixed-rate bonds) that followed his steering the FOMC to a much more restrictive monetary policy. A second was that the panel majority distinguished Buckley not on the Committee for Monetary Reform ground that the plaintiffs must be “directly subject to the authority of the agency, whether such authority is regulatory, administrative, or adjudicative in nature,”226Comm. for Monetary Reform, 766 F.2d at 543. but because Reuss had not shown a sufficiently “personal stake”227Reuss, 584 F.2d at 465. that would “benefit” from a favorable decision.228Reuss, 584 F.2d 461, 470 (D.C. Cir. 1978). This reasoning seemed to invoke, without specifically citing, the “generalized grievance” concern. But, as Judge Wright noted in dissent, the counterargument was that Reuss’ bonds could well benefit if the FOMC did not tighten monetary policy.229Id. at 472.

ii.  Current Standing Doctrine

How, if at all, would the views of a majority of the current Court differ from those expressed in the D.C. Circuit cases decided several decades ago? The recent cases invalidating for-cause removal protection for federal officials provide a starting point for analysis. In the most recent of the three, Collins v. Yellen,230Collins v. Yellen, 141 S. Ct. 1761, 1761 (2021). Justice Alito addressed standing to bring a separation of powers challenge, in a part of his opinion joined by all his colleagues but Justice Sotomayor.231Justices Kagan, Breyer, and Gorsuch did not join in other parts of Justice Alito’s opinion. Id. at 1769. Because he concluded rather easily that the plaintiffs had standing, his discussion is not lengthy.

Justice Alito began by invoking the now-familiar three-part test of Lujan.232Lujan v. Defs. of Wildlife, 504 U.S. 555, 560–61 (1992) (alteration in original) (citations omitted):

First, the plaintiff must have suffered an “injury in fact”—an invasion of a legally protected interest which is (a) concrete and particularized . . . and (b) “actual or imminent, not ‘conjectural’ or ‘hypothetical’ . . . . Second, there must be a causal connection between the injury and the conduct complained of—the injury has to be “fairly . . . trace[able] to the challenged action of the defendant, and not . . . th[e] result [of] the independent action of some third party not before the court.” . . . . Third, it must be “likely,” as opposed to merely “speculative,” that the injury will be “redressed by a favorable decision.”
The plaintiffs, shareholders of the government-sponsored enterprises Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, claimed that actions taken by the Federal Housing Finance Agency (“FHFA”) had diminished the value of their shareholdings. FHFA, the regulator of Fannie and Freddie, had taken these actions in its other statutory role as conservator of those two enterprises following their massive losses during the onset of the Global Financial Crisis in 2008. Justice Alito found the first injury-in-fact prong of the Lujan standard easily satisfied because plaintiffs’ claim of unnecessarily withheld dividends was the “sort of pocketbook injury [that] is a prototypical form of injury in fact.”233Collins, 141 S. Ct. at 1779.

The second prong of traceability was satisfied because FHFA had adopted a dividend formula that swept all the net worth of Fannie and Freddie to the Treasury Department, in exchange for its financial support of the two enterprises. Justice Alito found the third prong of redressability satisfied, at least in part because the case involved a claim that the President’s removal power had been unconstitutionally infringed. He quoted from Seila Law, in which Chief Justice Roberts’s majority opinion had stated that, in the context of the removal power, it was “sufficient that the challenger sustains injury from an executive act that allegedly exceeds the official’s authority.”234Id. (quoting Seila Law LLC v. Consumer Fin. Prot. Bureau, 140 S. Ct. 2183, 2196 (2020)). Seila Law, in turn, referred back to the first of the trio of removal cases, Free Enterprise Fund. Thus there was no need for plaintiffs to allege, much less prove, that FHFA would have acted differently had the relevant enabling legislation not restricted the President’s removal power.

A claim of standing to challenge the constitutionality of the FOMC by plaintiffs such as Congressman Reuss or the Committee for Monetary Policy Reform would differ in two salient respects from that advanced by the aggrieved Fannie and Freddie shareholders in Collins. First, the existence of an injury-in-fact would not be so clear cut for today’s Court. Second, as discussed by the D.C. Circuit in those two older cases, the many economic factors affecting bond prices and interest rates more generally make tracing the putative bondholder injury back to the FOMC less straightforward. The traceability prong may also be complicated by the absence of the regulatory relationship between agency and plaintiffs that was present in Seila Law, Collins, and Buckley itself.

At first glance, an allegation that the actions of the FOMC reduced the value of a plaintiff’s bonds or resulted in a recession in which a plaintiff was laid off would seem a clear injury in fact, and thus adequate under the first prong of the Lujan test. In Collins, Justice Alito had characterized “pocketbook injury” as a “prototypical” form of injury in fact.235Id. As it further restricted standing in an even more recent case, the Court reaffirmed that “certain harms readily qualify as concrete injuries . . . . The most obvious are traditional tangible harms, such as physical harms and monetary harms.” TransUnion LLC v. Ramirez, 141 S. Ct. 2190, 2204 (2021). However, Lujan’s statement of standing requirements included not only that an injury in fact be “concrete,” but that it be “particularized.”236Lujan, 504 U.S. at 560 (citations omitted). The Lujan formulation also requires that the injury be “actual or imminent,” and not “conjectural or hypothetical.” Id. (citations omitted). This requirement is often explained as disallowing standing where plaintiffs have only “generalized grievances” shared with most or all other citizens.237See, e.g., id. at 573–74. (“We have consistently held that a plaintiff raising only a generally available grievance about government—claiming only harm to his and every citizen’s interest in proper application of the Constitution and laws, and seeking relief that no more directly and tangibly benefits him than it does the public at large—does not state an Article III case or controversy.”); see also the discussion of cases featuring the generalized grievance issue in Lance v. Coffman, 549 U.S. 437, 439–41 (2007) (per curiam). In a recent case, Justice Breyer’s majority opinion might be read as suggesting that the generalized grievance standard is distinct from a determination of an injury in fact. Carney v. Adams, 141 S. Ct. 493, 498 (2020) (noting that requirement that injury must be “concrete and particularized” is a first aspect of standing law relevant to the case and requirement that grievance must be “more than an abstract and generalized harm to a citizen’s interest in the proper application of the law,” as a second aspect of standing doctrine). Logically, though, it seems more an elaboration, or example, of the particularization (and perhaps concrete) standard. See Spokeo, Inc. v. Robins, 578 U.S. 330, 339 n.7 (2016) (discussing a generalized grievance in the context of considering the particularization requirement).

Again at first glance, the particularization—or non-generalized grievance—requirement does not seem to pose a significant problem for bondholder standing. After all, the injury any bondholder claims to have suffered will vary, obviously with the face value of the bonds they hold, but also with their maturity, since changes in the federal funds rate will normally have different effects on shorter-term bonds than on long bonds.238The difference depends, among other factors, on the degree to which market actors believe that high rates will be sustained. So, for example, if the FOMC raises rates, but most market actors believe that the economy is too fragile to absorb rate increases without falling into recession, then prices of longer-dated bonds will not change as much (and, if markets believe that the FOMC will have to reverse course, the price of longer-dated bonds may actually increase, in anticipation of lower future rates). The cases in which the Court has found a plaintiff’s grievance to be a generalized one involved quite different circumstances, usually involving “every citizen’s interest in proper application of the Constitution and laws, and seeking relief that no more directly and tangibly benefits him than it does the public at large.”239Lujan, 504 U.S. at 573–74. Thus the Court has denied standing to plaintiffs claiming that funds had not been properly appropriated or spent,240See, e.g., United States v. Richardson, 418 U.S. 166, 196 (1974); see also, e.g., Massachusetts v. Mellon, 262 U.S. 447, 488 (1923). that a member of Congress who was also an officer in the military reserves violated the Incompatibility Clause,241See Schlesinger v. Reservists Comm. to Stop the War, 418 U.S. 208, 222–23 (1974). and that a successful voter referendum had not been properly implemented.242See Hollingsworth v. Perry, 570 U.S. 693, 693 (2013); see also Lance v. Coffman, 549 U.S. 437, 439–41 (2008) (per curiam) (discussing similar cases).

The particularized injury argument of a bondholder is arguably strengthened by Justice Scalia’s explanation, offered a few years before he authored the Lujan opinion, that a “widely shared” grievance was not the same as a “generalized” grievance.243FEC v. Atkins, 524 U.S. 11, 34–35 (1998) (Scalia, J., dissenting). The explanation was contained in his dissent in Federal Election Commission v. Akins,244Id. a case that granted standing to a group of voters seeking review of a Federal Election Commission (“FEC”) decision that an organization was not a “political committee.”245Id. at 27 (majority opinion). Justice Scalia made clear that his objection was based not on the fact that many people may have been harmed by the FEC action, but that every voter had been harmed in the same way.246Id. at 35 (Scalia, J., dissenting). He explained that victims of a mass tort had standing because each suffered a different injury, and that each plaintiff in a voting rights suit had been denied his or her own statutorily protected right to vote.247Id. The differing losses to individual bondholders would seem consistent with these forms of particularized injury.

While Justice Scalia’s reasoning in Akins might be applied in a case challenging the constitutionality of the FOMC, two considerations inject at least a bit of doubt. First, in the twenty-five years since Akins, the Court has neither embraced nor rejected his approach. There is no congruent analysis to be found in any more recent majority opinion. Second, Chief Justice Roberts has subsequently suggested that the generalized grievance bar to standing might be higher than one might infer from Justice Scalia’s Akins opinion.

In a dissent in Massachusetts v. EPA joined by Justice Scalia himself, the Chief Justice included among his arguments against standing the fact that the “very concept of global warming seems inconsistent with this particularization requirement” because it is a “phenomenon ‘harmful to humanity at large.’ ”248Massachusetts v. EPA, 549 U.S. 497, 541 (2007) (Roberts, C.J., dissenting). He did not elaborate. One should perhaps not place too much emphasis on this comment, insofar as most of his dissent focused on the problems of traceability and redressability, and his objections to what he believed to be the majority’s relaxation of standing requirements based on a state’s parens patriae interests. Still, his observation about global warming is at least arguably inconsistent with Scalia’s Akins reasoning: Not everyone is harmed in the same way by global warming, or perhaps at all. Indeed, while the economic losses are likely to be very large for the country as a whole, there will be discrete winners. And the damage suffered by those owning coastal property in New England surely will be particular to each owner.

So, too, with interest rate increases—households and institutions holding mostly cash or very-short-term assets (as opposed to equities or longer-term bonds) can benefit from higher rates. The Roberts dissent thus raises the possibility that the current Court would expand the meaning of generalized grievance to include actions by the FOMC that reverberate broadly through the economy, whether or not some plaintiffs could point to injuries specific to them. How real that possibility would be is among the many imponderables encountered in the muddled world of standing doctrine. One wonders, for example, whether the Chief Justice’s view may be limited to instances where plaintiffs seek to force an agency to regulate, rather than to escape regulation.

Turning to traceability, there are two hurdles for plaintiffs attempting to satisfy this second prong of the Lujan test. First, as both D.C. Circuit panels concluded in those older cases, the action of the FOMC in raising the federal-funds target does not directly cause the harm that plaintiffs allege they suffer because of a higher-interest-rate financial environment. The second hurdle also implicates the redressability prong of the Lujan test: How can plaintiffs trace back their injury to the fact of a putatively unconstitutional FOMC, when they have no way of showing that a properly appointed (or removable) FOMC would have taken a different policy action in light of prevailing economic circumstances?

The first hurdle to establishing traceability does appear significant for many of the plaintiffs represented in the Committee for Monetary Reform case. While the historically high interest rates of the 1980s FOMC, and the recession they brought on, led to considerable economic pain, tracing any specific job loss or corporate bankruptcy to the FOMC’s actions is not straightforward. After all, not every company went bankrupt, and the vast majority of employees did not lose their jobs. Other factors, such as pre-existing vulnerabilities of certain firms and employees or changes in consumer preference, presumably played a role. At least as to holders of Treasury securities, though, the argument for traceability is much stronger, since Treasuries of the same denomination and maturity are fungible. Indeed, there is solid economic evidence linking changes in the federal-funds rate to changes in the prices of Treasuries. As one review of the economic literature concluded, “FOMC decisions affect bonds of all maturity.”249Andrea Buraschi & Paul Whelan, Bond Markets and Monetary Policy, in Handbook of Fixed-Income Securities 77, 91 (Pietro Veronesi ed., 1st ed. 2016). One important analytic challenge in isolating the impact of FOMC policy decisions on Treasuries has been to determine changes in bond prices that have occurred in anticipation of FOMC policy moves, which may limit the effect of FOMC statements on those prices. Studies demonstrate that the information content of FOMC statements as to future monetary policy also affects the prices of Treasuries. See, e.g., Samuel G. Hanson & Jeremy C. Stein, Monetary Policy and Long-Term Real Rates, 115 J. Fin. Econ. 429, 429 (2015). Recent research has confirmed that non-traditional monetary policy tools, such as large-scale asset purchases, also predictably affect the price of Treasuries. See, e.g., Eric T. Swanson, Measuring the Effects of Federal Reserve Forward Guidance and Asset Purchases on Financial Markets, 118 J. Monetary Econ. 32, 32 (2021). While intervening variables such as liquidity considerations and term premia also play a role, it is quite clear that FOMC actions have a major impact on prices.250There may be unusual circumstances in which the prices of certain maturities of bonds do not appreciably change after an FOMC change in its interest-rate target. For example, if the FOMC raises short-term rates, but markets believe that an economic slowdown will ensue, followed by a reversal of the rate increase, then the price of longer-dated bonds may not move much in response to the initial increase. The result would be a flattening of the yield curve, meaning that the slope of the line connecting short-term rates to longer-term rates had been reduced. Because plaintiffs would not be seeking damages, and thus would not need to quantify the impact of an FOMC policy change on the market value of their bonds, the argument for a traceable injury-in-fact seems a strong one.

Still, the preceding paragraph is based on financial economics analysis, not legal doctrine. There is no regulatory, contractual, or any other relationship between the FOMC and a bondholder. The loss occurs as financial markets adjust their assessment of the value of a bond in light of the effects on funding costs for financial institutions that participate in the federal funds market, hold reserves with the Federal Reserve, or transact in the repo and reverse repo facilities now maintained by the Federal Reserve.251The implementation notes issued by the FOMC to accompany its statements at the end of each meeting make clear that there is no regulatory action directed at any particular party, but instead a series of market operations and setting of interest rates to be paid by the Federal Reserve on reserves and in its ONRRP facility. Press Release, Federal Rsrv. Bd. & Fed. Open Mkt. Comm., Implementation Note: Decisions Regarding Monetary Policy Implementation (Dec. 14, 2022), https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20221214a1.htm [https://perma.cc/8JLK-U4Z3]. Those institutions will face higher borrowing costs and, accordingly, will need to increase the rates they charge to households and businesses borrowing from them.252The set of direct effects of FOMC actions is now broader than it was for many years, when the principal monetary policy instrument of the FOMC was open market operations—that is, buying and selling Treasuries, which affected the level of reserves held by banks, and thus the amount they could lend. As reserves became scarcer, the price of credit extended between financial institutions in the federal funds market rose. Several developments during and after the Global Financial Crisis of 2007–2009 have complicated things. First, a 2008 change in the Federal Reserve Act authorized the FOMC to pay interest on reserves. That authority proved useful to the FOMC when it decided in late 2015 to begin raising rates following seven years near zero, because reserves were so abundant after the extraordinary FOMC purchases of bonds during and after the crisis that open market operations alone likely would have been ineffective in raising rates. The “administered rate” of interest on reserves affects bank lending because there is no reason for a bank to make a loan at a rate lower than the risk-free rate it receives from the Federal Reserve on its reserves. Similarly, the reverse repo and repo facilities created in recent years allow the FOMC to affect the rates that financial institutions eligible to directly participate in those facilities can earn or must pay. Anticipating these effects, a potential purchaser of the plaintiff’s Treasury bond will now be willing to buy it only at a price that effectively equalizes the return the purchaser could get on a newly issued Treasury with a similar term until maturity.

In a sense, the question the Court would face is whether economic traceability will suffice, or whether standing doctrine will demand legal traceability—a kind of privity between the plaintiff and the agency. This same question is raised by the second hurdle, that of demonstrating that a validly constituted FOMC would have acted differently than the current FOMC with Reserve Bank presidents as voters. This hurdle is also relevant to the redressability prong of standing requirements.

Without some doctrinal relaxation, that second hurdle would be effectively insuperable. But, as explicitly stated by the Court in its recent decisions finding that statutory constraints on the President’s prerogative to remove officials were unconstitutional, “a litigant challenging governmental action as void on the basis of the separation of powers is not required to prove that the Government’s course of conduct would have been different in a ‘counterfactual world’ in which the Government had acted with constitutional authority.”253Seila Law LLC v. Consumer Fin. Prot. Bureau, 140 S. Ct. 2183, 2196 (2020) (citing Free Enter. Fund v. Pub. Co. Acct. Oversight Bd. 561 U.S. 477, 512 (2010)). In its recent decisions the Court has not discussed this point. The excerpt from the opinion quoted in the text simply cited to Free Enterprise Fund, which in turn had cited to several much older cases in which the Court had decided such cases without requiring plaintiffs to establish the counterfactual. In Collins, Justice Alito simply cited back to Seila Law. Collins v. Yellen, 141 S. Ct. 1761, 1779 (2021).

As noted earlier, the two D.C. Circuit panels had rejected plaintiffs’ claims of “separation of powers standing,” based on their readings of Buckley. Recall that in Buckley the Court said that plaintiffs with “sufficient concrete interests at stake may have standing to raise constitutional questions of separation of powers with respect to an agency designated to adjudicate their rights.”254Buckley v. Valeo, 424 U.S. 1, 117 (1976) (per curiam). The Committee on Monetary Reform panel read the last clause of that sentence as restricting separation of powers standing to plaintiffs “directly subject to the governmental authority they seek to challenge,” and not simply “substantially affected by the exercise of that authority.”255Comm. for Monetary Reform v. Bd. of Governors of the Fed. Rsrv. Sys., 766 F.2d 538, 543 (D.C. Cir. 1985). The court seems to have concluded a lot from a single sentence in a massive per curiam opinion. The plaintiffs in Buckley were clearly subject to regulation by the FEC. Thus, the Court had no occasion to consider whether the relaxation of traceability might be permitted in other circumstances. The fact that the Court has never since cited the Buckley sentence in disposing of standing objections in its separation of powers cases reinforces the inference that the D.C. Circuit may have invested it with too much significance.

Again, the atypical characteristics of the FOMC and monetary policy, relative to those of most other federal agencies, make extrapolation of standing doctrine tricky. In most cases, potential plaintiffs fall into two groups—those who are, or might be, regulated by the agency whose action is being challenged, and those who are not. As explained by Justice Scalia in Lujan, contemporary standing doctrine erects a high barrier to those in the second group:

When . . . plaintiff’s asserted injury arises from the government’s allegedly unlawful regulation (or lack of regulation) of someone else, much more is needed. In that circumstance, causation and redressability ordinarily hinge on the response of the regulated (or regulable) third party to the government action or inaction—and perhaps on the response of others as well . . . . [A]nd it becomes the burden of the plaintiff to adduce facts showing that those choices have been or will be made in such manner as to produce causation and permit redressability of injury.256Lujan v. Defs. of Wildlife, 504 U.S. 555, 562 (1992) (citations omitted).

Many of the more controversial standing cases have involved the question of whether the Court regards the interests of beneficiaries of the regulation to be concrete and particularized enough to satisfy the Court’s view of legal harm. But the FOMC does not regulate anyone.257There is one possible, modest qualification to this statement considered. See infra note 282. The claim of bondholders would turn neither on a regulatory relationship nor on the actions of a regulated party, but instead on the well-documented reaction of financial markets to FOMC action, the motivation of which is usually to bring about that very reaction.

This distinctive circumstance appears to pit two predilections of the Roberts Court conservative majority against one another—on the one hand, a restrictive view of standing to challenge agency action (or inaction) for anyone not directly regulated or otherwise suffering injury comparable to one cognizable at common law258See Cass R. Sunstein, Injury in Fact, Transformed, 2021 Sup. Ct. Rev. 349, 350 (2022). and, on the other, an expansive view of Appointments Clause requirements and presidential removal prerogatives. While it is obviously impossible to say for sure, I suspect that the conservative majority would incline toward the former position, since the plaintiffs for which it has shown most solicitude are the subjects of regulation.259There is a slightly different note struck in Justice Alito’s opinion in Collins, as discussed in greater detail later in this Article. See infra Section IV.A.1. In rebutting the argument that the FHFA should be distinguished from the CFPB, he acknowledged that the FHFA did not wield regulatory and enforcement authority over purely private individuals. However, he noted that FHFA did regulate the two government-sponsored enterprises that dominate the secondary mortgage market and, as such, “could have an immediate impact on millions of private individuals and the economy at large.” Collins v. Yellen, 141 S. Ct. 1761, 1785 (2021). Obviously that description applies to the FOMC as well. One should probably not place too much weight on this comment for purposes of a standing determination, though, insofar as the impact of FHFA decisions on the plaintiffs in its role of conservator created the kind of direct economic injury that Justice Alito had already classified as a “prototypical” form of injury-in-fact. Apart from the Court’s abstract preferences, though, one thing is certain. If, for whatever reason, the Court does not want to take on the merits of such a case, it has a ready means for avoiding the issue by taking a narrower view of standing.

2.  Claims Other than Economic Harm from Monetary Policy Actions
i.  Congressional Standing

Three of the four D.C. Circuit cases included a claim of congressional standing.260Melcher v. Fed. Open Mkt. Comm., 836 F.2d 561, 562 (D.C. Cir. 1987); Riegle v. Fed. Open Mkt. Comm., 656 F.2d 873, 874 (D.C. Cir. 1981); Reuss v. Balles, 584 F.2d 461, 464–65 (D.C. Cir. 1978). Reuss also included a claim to standing as a private citizen. Id. In the first, Reuss v. Balles, the court rejected the argument of the Member of Congress that he had standing because he was deprived of his constitutional right to initiate impeachment proceedings against a Reserve Bank president.261Reuss, 584 F.2d at 464–65. Because Representative Reuss was a member of the House, he could not rely more directly on the advice and consent role of the Senate. Reuss also claimed that his powers as a member of the Legislative Branch were usurped by an unconstitutional delegation of the Article I power to “coin money.” Id. at 465. As the court noted, that circumstance would not have been changed even had all members of the FOMC been subject to Senate confirmation. Id. In the second case, Riegle v. FOMC, the Court assumed that Senator Riegle had standing, because a violation of the Appointments Clause deprived him of his Constitutional right to advise on, and consent to, officer appointments.262Riegle, 656 F.2d at 877. I say “assumed” because, in acting on a motion to dismiss, the Court expressly construed the complaint in the manner most favorable to the plaintiff. Id. The court provided no analysis of the basis for Senator Riegle’s claim of standing. Id. However, the Court ruled that “[w]here a congressional plaintiff could obtain substantial relief from his fellow legislators through the enactment, repeal, or amendment of a statute, this court should exercise its equitable discretion to dismiss the legislator’s action.”263Id. at 881. In the third case, Melcher v. FOMC, the court simply invoked the Riegle equitable discretion ground for dismissal, without conducting its own standing analysis.264Melcher, 836 F.2d at 562. The court spent a good bit of its opinion trying to clarify that, contrary to what had been suggested in Riegle, the availability of congressional standing did not depend in any way on whether private standing to assert a similar constitutional claim was available to any plaintiff.

The Supreme Court’s decision in Raines v. Byrd265Raines v. Byrd, 521 U.S. 811, 829 (1997). very likely resolves the standing issue raised in Reuss, Riegle, and Melcher against the legislators in those cases. Raines involved a challenge by six legislators to the constitutionality of the Line Item Veto Act, which allowed the President to “cancel” specific spending authorizations or tax benefits in subsequently enacted legislation. The legislators argued that a line item veto violated the Article I bicameralism and presentment requirements and, thereby, “divest[ed]” them of their constitutionally protected role in repealing legislation.266Id. at 816. The majority opinion by Chief Justice Rehnquist rejected their claim of injury, holding that “individual members of Congress do not have a sufficient ‘personal stake’ in this dispute and have not alleged a sufficiently concrete injury to have established Article III standing.”267Id. at 830. The Court believed the injury was “institutional,” rather than personal.268The court easily distinguished the one precedent cited by the legislators, where the plaintiffs had been a group of “legislators whose votes would have been sufficient to defeat (or enact) a specific legislative Act . . . on the ground that their votes have been completely nullified.” Id. at 823. The precedent in question was Coleman v. Miller, 307 U.S. 433, 456 (1939).

The injuries alleged in the three suits against the FOMC are fairly clearly “institutional” as the Court used the term in Raines. The Court characterized any claim that is not “personal,” such as entitlement to the congressional seat itself or receipt of salary, as institutional, because it “ran” with the status of being in Congress and would not be retained when the Member left that body.269Raines, 521 U.S. at 821. The prerogatives of adopting Articles of Impeachment, or advising and consenting in connection with appointment of an officer of the United States, belong to the full House and Senate, respectively. And, for all the twists and turns in standing doctrine in the intervening years, the Court recently reiterated that after Raines, “individual members lack standing to assert the institutional interests of a legislature.”270Va. House of Delegates v. Bethune-Hill, 139 S. Ct. 1945, 1953 (2019).

Might a majority of the House or the Senate have standing under the Raines doctrine, as elaborated in subsequent cases, to complain that the presence of Reserve Bank presidents on the FOMC deprives that house of its unique constitutional powers?271In an aside of uncertain significance, the Court noted that it “attach[ed] some importance to the fact that appellees have not been authorized to represent their respective Houses of Congress in this action, and indeed both Houses actively oppose their suit.” Raines, 521 U.S. at 829. Maybe, but not very likely.272The organizational hurdle to such a case has been substantially diminished, at least with respect to the House of Representatives, by the creation and progressively increased authority of the Bipartisan Legal Advisory Group, a five-member committee that is authorized to bring suit on behalf of the House based on a majority vote. See Ben Miller-Gootnick, How the House Sues, 2021 U. Ill. L. Rev. 607, 607 (2021).

In the first place, the one circumstance in which the Raines Court envisaged legislative body standing was when an action in another part of government had “completely nullified” its vote.273Raines, 521 U.S. at 823. While the Court did not explain the scope of “complete nullification,” the two cases in which it found institutional legislative standing (one before and one after Raines) involved situations in which an executive branch official determined the outcome of a tied legislative vote274Coleman v. Miller, 307 U.S. 433, 438 (1939). or a voter initiative removed the authority of a legislature to determine legislative districts.275Ariz. State Legislature v. Ariz. Indep. Redistricting Comm’n, 576 U.S. 787, 787 (2015). While one might argue that the denial of the opportunity to vote on articles of impeachment of a presidential nomination also “completely nullified” the relevant house’s vote, the absence of an intervening action by a non-legislative actor distinguishes an FOMC challenge from those prior cases.

Relatedly, Raines did not stipulate that institutional legislative standing would be found even if both houses of Congress had authorized challenges to a line item veto. The Court pointedly noted that its denial of standing did not “deprive[] Members of Congress of an adequate remedy (since they may repeal the Act or exempt appropriations bills from its reach).”276Raines, 521 U.S. at 829. In one recent D.C. Circuit case, which was later vacated as moot, the Court found institutional standing where there was the theoretical possibility of a veto-proof majority of Congress passing legislation to forbid an allegedly unconstitutional Executive Branch expenditure.277U.S. House of Reps. v. Mnuchin, 976 F.3d 1, 4 (D.C. Cir. 2020), vacated sub nom. Yellen v. U.S. House of Reps., 142 S. Ct. 332 (2021). This case involved a challenge to the Trump Administration’s transfer of funds appropriated for other purposes to supplement a congressional appropriation for building a wall on the border between the United States and Mexico. The three-judge panel did not use the language of “nullification” in applying what it deduced as the test emerging from the Supreme Court’s cases. Instead, it asked whether “the defendant’s action curtail[ed] the power and authority of the [House].” Mnuchin, 976 F.3d at 12 (emphasis added). But even this somewhat expanded view of legislative standing, assuming its acceptance by the Supreme Court, still involved an action in another part of government that “nullified” the effect of a congressional vote.278The D.C. Circuit has also granted standing to six House members on the Committee on Oversight and Reform, who sought to enforce their statutorily granted right to obtain information related to property owned by the U.S. government. The court ruled that a rebuffed request for information is a sufficiently particularized injury for a legislator that there was no requirement that the House, or even the Committee as a whole, bring the suit. Maloney v. Murphy, 984 F.3d 50, 54 (D.C. Cir. 2020), vacated sub nom. Carnahan v. Maloney, 143 S. Ct. 2653 (2023). Again, whatever the receptivity of the Supreme Court to this “informational” exception for individual legislators, it would not be helpful to a legislative challenge to the constitutionality of the Federal Reserve Act. In the FOMC context, the Court might well return to the point that Congress itself has created the situation of which one House complains, with no intervening action by anyone to undermine the original congressional vote (or a future one).279An additional point is that both of the cases in which the Court found legislative standing involved state legislative bodies. In Raines the Court cautioned that separation of powers considerations at the federal level might well make the hurdle for congressional standing higher. 521 U.S. at 824 n.8. Indeed, the point is further made by the identity of the likely defendant in such a case—the FOMC itself. The FOMC has surely done nothing to interfere with, much less nullify, congressional prerogatives.

As with so many strands of standing doctrine, Raines and its progeny have been vigorously criticized from different perspectives.280See, e.g., Matthew I. Hall, Making Sense of Legislative Standing, 90 S. Cal. L. Rev. 1, 22–23 (2016); Jonathan Remy Nash, A Functional Theory of Congressional Standing, 114 Mich. L. Rev. 339, 354–58 (2015); David J. Weiner, The New Law of Legislative Standing, 54 Stan. L. Rev. 205, 233–34 (2001); Note, Standing in the Way of Separation of Powers: The Consequences of Raines v. Byrd, 112 Harv. L. Rev. 1741, 1752–58 (1999). And there have been indications that legislative standing may be available in certain other circumstances, such as to defend the Constitutionality of a statute where the Executive declines to do so.281For a review of these other areas, see generally Wilson C. Freeman & Kevin M. Lewis, Cong. Rsch. Serv., R45636, Congressional Participation in Litigation: Article III and Legislative Standing (2019). In Maloney, the Court of Appeals found standing for a group of members of congressional oversight committees under 5 U.S.C. § 2954, which authorizes a minimum number of members of one of those committees to obtain information pertaining to its jurisdiction from any executive agency. In a split decision, the court concluded that this “informational interest” was more personal than institutional, and thus standing was not foreclosed by Raines. 984 F.3d at 54. Whatever the merits of that decision, it is not relevant to the issue of standing for individual members of Congress to contest the constitutionality of properly enacted legislation. But there has been no indication that the Court would be receptive to a claim of standing when members of Congress challenge the constitutionality of a statute validly enacted into law. A search for a nonlegislative government actor that has “nullified” a congressional voting prerogative will come up empty in a prospective challenge to any of the potential Constitutional infirmities associated with the FOMC. As a result, even if one or both houses of Congress voted to initiate such a challenge, the Court would likely find standing lacking.

ii.  Private Actions Against Reserve Banks

Recall that in Custodia Bank the plaintiff financial firm argued that the Reserve Bank president was a principal officer. Because the Reserve Bank’s denial of a master account to Custodia was a particularized harm that gave it standing, it could include this structural constitutional argument along with its administrative law claims.282While disputes over access to Federal Reserve services have occurred in the past, the emergence of financial firms involved with crypto assets and other innovative technologies has elevated the importance of this issue and, with it, the number of possible plaintiffs with standing to challenge the status of Reserve Bank presidents. David Zaring has suggested another possible plaintiff with standing to raise structural constitutional issues pertaining to the FOMC—the primary dealers with which the Federal Reserve conducts its transactions in government securities. David Zaring, Law and Custom on the Federal Open Market Committee, 78 Law & Contemp. Probs. 157, 182–83 (2015). As Zaring himself notes, it is hard to see the incentive of an existing primary dealer to challenge the hand that feeds it. In any case, there is no regulatory relationship between the FOMC and the primary dealers. The Federal Reserve Bank of New York actually maintains the relationships, since it implements FOMC directives. The Bank characterizes them as “business, not regulatory.” Federal Reserve Bank of New York Policy on Counterparties for Market Operations, Fed. Rsrv. Bank of N.Y. (Apr. 25, 2023), https://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/counterparties/policy-on-counterparties-for-market-operations [https://perma.cc/KZM3-ZR3E]:

The Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s relationships with private sector counterparties described in this policy are business, not regulatory, relationships entered into by the New York Fed for the purposes described herein. That a firm is a New York Fed counterparty is not an endorsement of the firm by the New York Fed and should not be used as a substitute for independent analysis and due diligence by other parties considering a business relationship with the firm.

Id. If a firm chooses not to continue as a primary dealer, with the benefits it brings, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York would no longer have any authority to enforce the contractual expectations it has established for its relationships with the dealers. Perhaps, though, a financial firm that unsuccessfully sought primary dealer status could, like Custodia in the master account context, claim that the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York is a principal officer.
In dismissing that claim, the court found that the Reserve Bank president was an inferior officer properly appointed by the Board. But its conclusion was built on the facts of that case—the undoubted power of the Board to remove her and at least the suggestion that the Board had successfully influenced her decision. Might a similarly situated future plaintiff import the arguments for Reserve Bank presidents being principal officers in the monetary policy context, as discussed in Part II.B.2? Possibly, but there are some hurdles.

First, there is the question of whether the Reserve Bank president’s action is an exercise of “executive power” to which Article II requirements attach. In Custodia, the district court noted that the standard for deciding the case was whether granting a master account “constitutes the execution and enforcement of the Federal Reserve Act.”283Custodia Bank, Inc. v. Fed. Rsrv. Bd. of Governors, 640 F. Supp. 3d 1169, 1190 (D. Wyo. 2022). But the court made clear it was not definitely deciding that actions on master account applications are executive functions as a matter of law.284Id. Instead, it observed that Custodia had “plausibly alleged” this to be the case.285Id. at 1186. Presumably because of its view that the Reserve Bank president was an inferior officer, the Court did not believe it needed to resolve the executive power issue.

In its motion to dismiss, the Board had argued that granting a master account was incident to the taking of deposits from banks and other financial institutions, a function that Reserve Banks are authorized (but not required) by the Federal Reserve Act to perform.286Board of Governors Motion to Dismiss, supra note 129, at 4–5; 12 U.S.C. § 342 (“Any Federal reserve bank may receive from any of its member banks, or other depository institutions . . . deposits of current funds in lawful money . . . .”). The Board seemed to be arguing that the granting of master accounts—and, by extension, the provision of other services by Reserve Banks—falls on the private, operational side of the public-private hybrid created by the Federal Reserve Act. Indeed, the Board explicitly invoked the precedent of the First Bank of the United States for the proposition that a “decision on whether to open an account at a government-affiliated bank is not the type of sovereign power implicating the [Appointments] Clause.”287Board of Governors Motion to Dismiss, supra note 129, at 40. Thus, we are directed to the question of how history may be relevant for assessing the constitutionality of Federal Reserve practice. As will be discussed shortly, the answer to that question cannot readily be derived from existing Court precedents. See infra Section III.C.1. This characterization is belied somewhat by the Board’s own explanation that it was developing guidelines to promote consistency in master account decisions across the Federal Reserve System, because “access decisions made by individual Reserve Banks can have implications for a wide array of Federal Reserve System . . . policies and objectives.”288Proposed Guidelines for Evaluating Account and Services Requests, 86 Fed. Reg. 25865, 25866 (proposed May 11, 2021). This aim itself suggests that, in making decisions on master accounts, Reserve Bank presidents do “exercis[e] significant authority pursuant to the laws of the United States.”289Buckley v. Valeo, 424 U.S. 1, 126 (1976) (per curiam).

Regardless of a plaintiff like Custodia Bank’s success on the executive power issue, the second hurdle would likely prove more formidable. The very fact that its claimed injury has nothing to do with monetary policy decisions, or the FOMC as such, might well foreclose the plaintiff from arguing that Reserve Bank presidents are principal officers because of their role on the FOMC. In Seila Law, the Court stated that, “[i]n the specific context of the President’s removal power, we have found it sufficient that the challenger ‘sustain[s] injury’ from an executive act that allegedly exceeds the official’s authority.”290Seila Law LLC. v. Consumer Fin. Prot. Bureau, 140 S. Ct. 2183, 2196 (2020) (quoting Bowsher v. Synar, 478 U.S. 714, 721 (1986)). As explained earlier, this standard removes the need for a plaintiff to show that the official or agency would have made a different decision in the absence of for-cause protection. But it retains a required link between the injury and the official’s authority. A disappointed applicant’s injury is related to the Reserve Bank president’s statutory authority to accept deposits, under the general supervision of the Board, not from an FOMC monetary policy decision on which the president has voted.

The circumstance here raises a peculiar question: Can a Reserve Bank president be an inferior officer for some purposes (those in which she is acting as head of the Reserve Bank), while being a principal officer for purposes of FOMC monetary policy decisions? The possibility may seem a bit jarring. But perhaps that is a sensible way to parse the anomalous characteristics of the Federal Reserve System generally, and the Reserve Bank presidents in particular. In any case, if standing to challenge the FOMC role of Reserve Bank presidents is denied plaintiffs like Custodia Bank, chances are that courts will never need to decide the question one way or another.

iii.  Presidential Removal of a Reserve Bank President

A third possibility is that the President could attempt to remove a Reserve Bank president, much as President Roosevelt attempted to remove Commissioner Humphrey in the confrontation that gave rise to Humphrey’s Executor. While the procedure by which the President would execute this effort is not entirely clear, given that the Reserve Bank president is not an employee of the U.S. government, presumably an actual case or controversy would eventually be joined. Undoubtedly, the putatively deposed Reserve Bank president would have standing to challenge her removal, thereby bringing the Article II issues front and center. While the legal issue is clear, the circumstances under which the President might be tempted to initiate a confrontation of this sort, with its potential for economic uncertainty, are probably quite limited.

C.  The Federal Reserve as Exceptional

While a relatively low probability outcome, there is at least some chance that a bondholder could successfully argue for standing to challenge the role of Reserve Bank presidents on the FOMC or the breadth of monetary policy discretion granted the FOMC in its statutory mandate. Alternatively, if the Court applies the logic of Seila Law in future cases involving traditional independent agencies, a plaintiff appealing a regulatory action by the Board would have no difficulty establishing standing to challenge the for-cause removal protection of its members. This section explores two, arguably mutually reinforcing, avenues by which the Court might nonetheless find that the FOMC’s pedigree provides it some insulation from contemporary constitutional challenge. One is quite literally the Fed’s pedigree—that is, its arguable ancestry in the First and Second Banks of the United States, which date to the earliest years of the Republic. The other is a simple denomination of the Federal Reserve as “exceptional” or an “anomaly” because of the role of a central bank. There are hints of both these arguments—though no more than that—in opinions by Justices in the current conservative majority.

1.  History

Much of the doctrine on the relevance of historical practice to separation of powers issues—if it can even be called that—predates the consolidation of the conservative majority on today’s Court.291For a review and assessment of the uses of history, see Curtis A. Bradley & Trevor W. Morrison, Historical Gloss and the Separation of Powers, 126 Harv. L. Rev. 411, 411 (2012). See also Curtis A. Bradley & Neil S. Siegel, Historical Gloss, Madisonian Liquidation, and the Originalism Debate, 106 Va. L. Rev. 1, 1 (2020); Richard H. Fallon, Jr., The Many and Varied Roles of History in Constitutional Adjudication, 90 Notre Dame L. Rev. 1753, 1753 (2015). Still, the Chief Justice’s emphasis on what he regarded as the novelty of the for-cause removal protections invalidated in Free Enterprise Fund and Seila Law raises the question whether a long-established agency structure might be tolerated even if the Court’s increasingly muscular Article II doctrines suggest constitutional difficulties. If, that is, a structure is unconstitutional in part because it is novel, then perhaps it may be constitutional if it is longstanding. It should be noted at the outset, though, that there are no examples of the current conservative majority using this reasoning to validate a practice in a separation of powers case—only examples where the purported novelty of practice is said to reinforce questions about its constitutionality.

A threshold question is whether the asserted novelty of the two-level for-cause protection in Free Enterprise Fund and the single-headed independent agency in Seila Law was, in fact, integral to the Court’s conclusions that they were unconstitutional. If the decisions ultimately rested on the Court’s textual extrapolations and its theory of the separation of powers, then the absence of novelty might not save the FOMC (or any other agency). The Chief Justice does not give a clear answer to this question.292Cf. Leah M. Litman, Debunking Antinovelty, 66 Duke L.J. 1407, 1423 (2017) (“[I]t is unclear whether the Court uses novelty as a ‘factor’ in its analysis or as an on-off switch that adjusts whether a statute is presumed constitutional or presumed unconstitutional.”). In Free Enterprise Fund, the direct discussion of novelty was relatively brief and came only after both a lengthy consideration of judicial precedent and some speculation as to the effects of the two-level protection on the President’s ability to take care that the laws be faithfully executed. His reference late in the opinion to then-Judge Kavanaugh’s assertion that the “lack of historical precedent” was “the most telling indication of [a] severe constitutional problem” appeared to “hover[] somewhere between rhetorical dressing and doctrine,” as Neal Katyal and Thomas Schmidt characterized it.293Katyal & Schmidt, supra note 134, at 2145 (quoting Free Enter. Fund v. Pub. Co. Acct. Oversight Bd., 537 F.3d 667, 699 (D.C. Cir. 2008) (Kavanaugh, J., dissenting). It may be that the Chief Justice included the novelty point in part to compensate for the shakiness of his reasoning in rejecting the view that, notwithstanding the PCAOB’s for-cause removal protection, the SEC had essentially unlimited control over the PCAOB’s actions, as was argued by Justice Breyer in dissent. Free Enter. Fund. v. Pub. Co. Acct. Oversight Bd., 561 U.S. at 477, 547–49 (Breyer, J., dissenting).

By contrast, the Chief Justice’s discussion of history and novelty is a prominent part of his opinion in Seila Law. It actually precedes his structural analysis. He again quotes the “telling indication” comment and, further echoing then-Judge Kavanaugh’s opinions in the D.C. Circuit, proceeds to distinguish or dismiss the handful of historical precedents of agencies headed by a single director with for-cause removal protection that were cited by the parties and in Justice Kagan’s dissent. But, as in his earlier invocations of an anti-novelty doctrine in Free Enterprise Fund and National Federation of Independent Business v. Sebelius,294Nat’l Fed’n of Indep. Bus. v. Sebelius, 567 U.S. 519, 549–50 (2012). In the quite different context of the constitutional support for the Affordable Care Act provided by the Commerce Clause, the Chief Justice’s discussion of novelty was remarkably brief. In perhaps his most telling comment, he acknowledged that “[l]egislative novelty is not necessarily fatal.” Id. at 549 (emphasis added). He then quoted the “telling indication” language that had also been quoted in Free Enterprise Fund, Katyal and Schmidt note that the Chief Justice used the rhetoric of novelty throughout his opinion. Katyal & Schmidt, supra note 134, at 2158–59. Whether or not one agrees with their argument that the avoidance doctrine made the anti-novelty doctrine possible, they are manifestly correct that the Court did not “define it carefully . . . defend it with any kind of rigor, or . . . face its full consequences.” Id. at 2149. he does not explain why the absence of historical precedent is problematic. Nor does he specify how, exactly, the purported novelty of the CFPB’s single-director structure fits into his conclusion that it is unconstitutional. He begins his structural discussion by saying that “[i]n addition to being a historical anomaly, the CFPB’s single-Director configuration is incompatible with our constitutional structure.”295Seila Law LLC v. Consumer Fin. Prot. Bureau, 140 S. Ct. 2183, 2202 (2020) (emphasis added). And he certainly gives no indication that a well-established practice might help save an agency structure.

In truth, there is little in the Seila Law opinion to suggest that congressional and executive practice matters to the Chief Justice, except insofar as it confirms his view of far-reaching presidential prerogatives. On the contrary, the trouble he took to narrow the conventional understanding of Humphrey’s Executor might be read to suggest that he attaches little constitutional significance to historical practice by the politically accountable branches of government.296For Chief Justice Roberts, unlike some of his conservative colleagues, past Supreme Court practice does matter, at least to some degree. As the Chief Justice made clear in dismissing Justice Kagan’s argument that the FTC’s authority in 1935 had been quite broad, its actual authority did not matter to him.297Seila Law, 140 S. Ct. at 2200 n.4. All that mattered was the characterization of the agency provided by the Humphrey’s Executor Court.298Id.

One might conclude from Seila Law that novelty matters because it identifies a practice falling outside the narrow bounds of the reinterpreted Humphrey’s Executor (or Morrison, the other “exception” to Myers), but that non-novelty in itself has no validating force.299This is the conclusion Gillian Metzger had reached even before Seila Law. See Gillian E. Metzger, Forword: 1930s Redux: The Administrative State Under Siege, 131 Harv. L. Rev. 1, 19 (2017) (“[N]ovelty can condemn an administrative arrangement, but lack of novelty can’t save it . . . .”). The issues for Chief Justice Roberts may be limited to whether a practice runs afoul of his conception of the Myers “general rule” and, if so, whether the Court deigns to extend the two narrow exceptions created by those two cases. Indeed, the discussion of novelty may be little more than a rhetorical device to help mask what might otherwise seem a rather aggressive judicial restructuring of the government to the Court’s liking.

Still, as already noted, Chief Justice Roberts does not address the issue of historical practice head-on. And there is a single, tantalizing hint in Seila Law—albeit only in a footnote—that history might carry some significance after all. In rejecting the argument that any prior agencies are relevant precedents for the CFPB, Chief Justice Roberts references Justice Kagan’s point that “financial regulators” have historically enjoyed some insulation from the president.300Seila Law, 140 S. Ct. at 2202 n.8. He responds that “even assuming financial institutions like the Second Bank and the Federal Reserve can claim a special historical status, the CFPB is in an entirely different league.”301Id. He does not endorse the point, but he apparently admits of the possibility.

To supplement the limited inferences on the relevance of historical precedent that can be drawn from recent separation of powers cases, we can turn to another fairly recent case—one that offers a more extensive look at the constitutional relevance of historical practice. National Labor Relations Board v. Noel Canning302NLRB v. Noel Canning, 573 U.S. 513, 519 (2014). relied substantially on past practice in concluding that the Recess Appointments Clause covered vacancies that had arisen prior to a congressional recess.303The appointments at issue were nonetheless voided because the Court found that the Senate was truly “in session” during its pro forma sessions and that a three-day recess was to be too short a time to bring them within the scope of the Recess Appointments Clause. Id. at 549–53. However, with the change in composition of the Court since 2014, Justice Breyer’s majority opinion is likely of limited value in predicting how history might influence the disposition of the constitutional issues raised by the FOMC’s structure and mandate.304It is perhaps noteworthy that when Chief Justice Roberts in Seila Law and then-Judge Kavanaugh in PHH Corp. cited the Noel Canning majority opinion, it was not to the lengthy part of the opinion in which Justice Breyer found that historical practice had validated the use of the recess appointment power for vacancies occurring before the recess commenced, but for the holding that practice also established that three days was too short a period for the power to be operative. Seila Law LLC v. Consumer Fin. Prot. Bureau, 140 S. Ct. 2183, 2201 (2020) (noting that a “few scattered examples” shed little light on the question); PHH Corp. v. Consumer Fin. Prot. Bureau, 881 F.3d 75, 182 (D.C. Cir. 2018) (en banc) (Kavanaugh, J., dissenting). Justice Scalia’s stinging concurrence in the judgment, joined by the Chief Justice and Justices Thomas and Alito, is almost surely more relevant in projecting when and how the current Court may credit history and practice.305One would expect that Justices Kavanagh, Gorsuch, and Barrett will align much more closely with the Scalia view than with Breyer’s.

A good portion of Justice Scalia’s opinion addressed disagreements with the majority that are not especially salient for present purposes—whether the Recess Appointments Clause is ambiguous and whether there was any textual basis for the majority’s conclusion that a three day intrasession congressional break was not a “recess.”306Noel Canning, 573 U.S. at 575–83 (Scalia, J., concurring). Addressing the cases cited by Justice Breyer to support the weight he gave to historical practice, Justice Scalia countered that “[n]early all involved venerable and unchallenged practices, and constitutional provisions that were either deeply ambiguous or plainly supportive of the practice.” Id. at 574 n.1. He did, however, also spend considerable time contrasting the majority’s approach with his own high threshold for historical practice to affect constitutional interpretation:

Of course, where a governmental practice has been open, widespread, and unchallenged since the early days of the Republic, the practice should guide our interpretation of an ambiguous constitutional provision . . . . ‘But [p]ast practice does not, by itself, create power. . . . That is a necessary corollary of the principle that the political branches cannot by agreement alter the constitutional structure. Plainly, then, a self-aggrandizing practice adopted by one branch well after the founding, often challenged, and never before blessed by this Court—in other words, the sort of practice on which the majority relies in this case—does not relieve us of our duty to interpret the Constitution in light of its text, structure, and original understanding.307Id. at 572–73 (citations omitted).

He went on to note, among other things, that no “[p]residential legal adviser” had opined until 1921 that intrasession recess appointments were constitutional,308Id. at 589. and that it was only after this opinion was delivered to President Harding by his Attorney General “did the flow of intra-session recess appointments start.”309Id. at 590. His observation that “[i]t is necessary to skip over the first 13 decades of our [n]ation’s history”310Id. at 589. underscored his “early days of the Republic” standard. Indeed, to support his narrowly drawn characterization of when historical practice might argue in favor of its constitutionality, he invoked INS v. Chadha,311INS v. Chadha, 462 U.S. 919 (1983). in which “[w]e did not hesitate to hold the legislative veto unconstitutional even though Congress had enacted, and the President had signed, nearly 300 similar provisions over the course of 50 years.”312Noel Canning, 573 U.S. at 572 (Scalia, J., concurring). The Court does not defer to accommodations between the President and Congress, because the structural features of the Constitution were “designed first and foremost not to look after the interests of the respective branches, but to ‘protec[t] individual liberty.’ ”313Id. at 571.

Justice Scalia did not explain why historical practice meeting his fairly demanding standard should receive deference from the judiciary. This omission is unfortunate, because an understanding of the rationale might help in assessing the FOMC’s historical case. Justice Breyer’s majority opinion invoked Madison’s “liquidation” theory in explaining why practice could be relevant to constitutional interpretation—that is, that the “difficulties . . . in expounding terms & phrases necessarily used in such a charter . . . might require a regular course of practice to liquidate & settle the meaning of some of them.”314Id. at 525 (majority opinion) (quoting James Madison’s letter to Spencer Roane of Sept. 2, 1819). Then-Judge Kavanaugh apparently agreed with the liquidation explanation, since he quoted this part of the Breyer opinion in his D.C. Circuit opinions on the CFPB single-director structure.315PHH Corp. v. Consumer Fin. Prot. Bureau, 881 F.3d 75, 179 (D.C. Cir. 2018) (en banc) (Kavanaugh, J., dissenting); PHH Corp. v. Consumer Fin. Prot. Bureau, 839 F.3d at 1, 24 (D.C. Cir. 2016).

In his Seila Law opinion, Chief Justice Roberts does not use the term “liquidation,” but does nod in its direction by citing the famous debate on removability in the First Congress.316Seila Law LLC v. Consumer Fin. Prot. Bureau, 140 S. Ct. 2183, 2197 (2020). He appears, though, to be nodding toward a narrow view of liquidation, which values the non-judicial explication of ambiguous Constitutional text only when it was “contemporaneous” with the drafting of the Constitution and is thus presumed to reflect its original meaning.317Id. For an explanation of narrow and broader understandings of liquidation, see Bradley & Siegel, supra note 291, at 39–59. Again, though, insofar as the Chief Justice reads that decision of the First Congress to accord with his view that the Constitution gives the President far-reaching removal power,318For criticism of the Chief Justice’s historical reading, see Daniel D. Birk, Interrogating the Historical Basis for a Unitary Executive, 73 Stan. L. Rev. 175, 187–89, 194–97 (2021); Jane Manners & Lev Menand, The Three Permissions: Presidential Removal and the Statutory Limits of Agency Independence, 121 Colum. L. Rev. 1, 21–27 (2021); Jed Handelsman Shugerman, Presidential Removal: The Marbury Problem and the Madison Solutions, 89 Fordham L. Rev. 2085, 2097–98, 2105–08 (2021). it remains unclear whether this history has independent significance or is simply a helpful gloss on his structural analysis.

Assuming that Chief Justice Roberts might grant some relevance to history that cuts against his doctrinal instincts on separation of powers issues, his comments in Seila Law on the prior practice cited by Justice Kagan and the parties appear consistent with the Scalia standard: “[T]hese isolated examples [of agencies with single heads who have for-cause removal protection] are modern and contested.”319Seila Law, 140 S. Ct. at 2202 (emphasis added). While Roberts did not say that a practice had to date back to “the early days of the Republic” to be relevant, he did observe that the Office of Special Counsel, the “first enduring single-leader office,” had been created in 1978, “nearly 200 years after the Constitution was ratified.”320Id. at 2201. He tracked the “unchallenged” component of Justice Scalia’s standard in asserting that President Carter had raised a Constitutional objection, that President Reagan had vetoed a renewal of the office on constitutional grounds, and that President Clinton had “questioned the constitutionality” of the Social Security Administration’s new single-director structure when signing the relevant legislation in 1994.321Id. at 2202. It is not clear that all those constitutional objections by three Presidents actually related to the feature of a single Director removable only for cause. See Sasha W. Boutilier, Simplistic Structure and History in Seila Law, 96 N.Y.U. L. Rev. 1582, 1610–15 (2021). It is certainly true, however, that the Office of Legal Counsel had, without ultimately resolving the issue, noted that the removal restriction for the Commissioner of the Social Security Administration presented a serious constitutional question. See Constitutionality of the Commissioner of Social Security’s Tenure Protection, 45 Op. O.L.C. 1, 1 (2021), https://www.justice.gov/olc/opinion/constitutionality-commissioner-social-security-s-tenure-protection [https://perma.cc/4XMQ-2YYS] (referencing Letter to Lloyd N. Cutler, Counsel to the President, from Walter Dellinger, Assistant Attorney General, Office of Legal Counsel from July 29, 1994). In any case, for purposes of projecting Chief Justice Roberts’s assessment of the FOMC, the accuracy of his history is less important than the point he is making by invoking it.

Although Chief Justice Roberts did not explicitly embrace the “early years of the Republic” norm, his recasting of Humphrey’s Executor suggests that actual congressional practice in creating the Federal Trade Commission Act in 1914 is not dispositive of anything. As noted earlier, all that matters is the characterization of an agency whose principals enjoy for-cause protection that he understands the Humphrey’s Executor Court to have validated. Since the Federal Reserve was created less than a year before the FTC, it seems increasingly unlikely that the early twentieth century lineage of an agency would in itself buy anything with the current Court.322Readers wondering if the nineteenth century Interstate Commerce Commission (“ICC”) provides a hoarier, and thus potentially more convincing, precedent for independent agencies should remember that the ICC as created in 1887 was essentially subordinate to the Secretary of the Interior. Only after the amendments passed by Congress in 1905 was it recognizable as a workably independent agency.

Indeed, one could argue that, for constitutional purposes, the salient characteristic of today’s Federal Reserve—its more or less exclusive, independent authority and discretion to make monetary policy—is even more recent. It did not take shape for two or more decades after passage of the Federal Reserve Act. Both directly and indirectly, Presidents and their Secretaries of the Treasury played a role under the original Federal Reserve Act. It was only in the Banking Act of 1935 that the Secretary of the Treasury and Comptroller of the Currency were removed from the Board.323Banking Act of 1935, ch. 614, Title II, § 203(b), 49 Stat. 684, 704 (1935) (current version at 12 U.S.C. § 241). The story is complicated by the fact that the 1935 legislation also made the Federal Reserve more governmental and less private by clarifying the authority of the Board over the Reserve Banks, see id. §§ 203(a), 204, 49 Stat. 684 at 704, 705 (1935) (current version at 12 U.S.C. §§ 241, 347b(a)), and formally creating an FOMC dominated by the Board. Id. § 205, 49 Stat. 684, 705 (1935) (current version at 12 U.S.C. § 263(a)). This shift might be argued to somewhat mitigate the Article II issues discussed earlier, but it is almost surely not enough to change the basic analysis. President Roosevelt’s roughly contemporaneous decision to take the United States off the gold standard removed what had initially been a notable, if variable, constraint on the Fed’s policy discretion.324For the text of the April 19, 1933, press conference at which President Roosevelt announced that the nation was off the gold standard, see 2 Franklin D. Roosevelt & Samuel I. Rosenman (Compiler), The Public Papers and Addresses of Franklin D. Roosevelt 137–40 (1938). For a more detailed discussion of the various steps taken by President Roosevelt to effectuate the elimination of the gold standard, see Craig K. Elwell, Cong. Rsch. Serv., R41887, Brief History of the Gold Standard in the United States 8–10 (2011); Kenneth W. Dam, From the Gold Clause Cases to the Gold Commission: A Half Century of American Monetary Law, 50 U. Chi. L. Rev. 504, 509–14 (1983). The practical impact of the gold standard on monetary policy varied with macroeconomic conditions. For a thorough treatment of the effect of the gold standard on U.S. economic performance, including monetary policy, see Barry Eichengreen, Golden Fetters: The Gold Standard and the Great Depression, 1919–19­39 (1996), especially at 118–19, 295–97, 324, 326, 346–47, 392–93. Moreover, as a political and institutional matter, as in the early years of the Fed coinciding with the First World War, the Federal Reserve felt compelled through the end of the Second World War to support the Administration’s demand for keeping interest rates low in order to facilitate financing of the war effort. This de facto subservience ended only with the so-called Treasury-Fed Accord of 1951. See Robert L. Hetzel & Ralph F. Leach, The Treasury-Fed Accord: A New Narrative Account, 87 Fed. Rsrv. Bank Richmond Econ. Q. 33, 33 (2001); Clifford, supra note 91, at 229–70. But even then, the Federal Reserve did not have full legal, much less practical, autonomy in setting monetary policy. Two provisions included in 1933 legislation—the Thomas Amendment to the Agricultural Adjustment Act325Agricultural Adjustment Act of May 12, 1933, ch. 25, § 43, 48 Stat. 51 (1934) (codified as amended in 31 U.S.C. § 821). and the Emergency Banking Act326Emergency Banking Act of March 9, 1933, ch. 1, § 4, 48 Stat. 2 (codified as amended in 12 U.S.C. § 95).—gave the President and the Treasury Department authority to make open market purchases of Treasury securities and to regulate all member banks of the Federal Reserve System. Although the Administration did not exercise either of these authorities, they “remained at hand to make the wishes of the Treasury forceful in the councils of the Federal Reserve System.”327Clifford, supra note 91, at 144. For a description of both statutory provisions and their use, see id. at 142–46. On June 12, 1945, Congress terminated the authority of the President and the Secretary of the Treasury, under section 43(b)(1) of the Agricultural Adjustment Act in 1941, to issue United States notes and use such notes to purchase and retire Unites States bonds and other obligations, absent an agreement with the Federal Reserve Board. Act of June 12, 1945, ch. 186, § 4, 59 Stat. 238 (1945).

Assuming that congressional practice from the first half of the twentieth century is not old enough to affect the current Court’s constitutional analysis, do the Banks of the United States nonetheless ground the Fed in practice from the “earliest days of the Republic”? After all, the First Bank was incorporated on February 25, 1791,328An Act to Incorporate the Subscribers in the Bank of the United States, ch. X, 1 Stat. 191, (1791) [hereinafter First Bank Charter]. in the waning days of the very same First Congress whose debates over the removal of presidential appointees loomed so large in the reasoning of Chief Justice Taft in Myers v. United States329Myers v. United States, 272 U.S. 52, 117–19 (1926). and, by extension, Chief Justice Roberts in Seila Law. The answer to that question may depend on how broadly or narrowly the antecedent “practice” is characterized for purposes of deciding if it created a relevant precedent.

If the history is framed narrowly, then the precedents of the Banks of the United States are likely immaterial. So, for example, if the Court asks whether there is an unchallenged practice for two centuries or more of having a mixed committee composed of both government and nongovernment employees with unlimited capacity and discretion to inject fiat money into the economy, and to withdraw it in order to restore price stability, then the answer is clearly no. Both Banks of the United States were chartered directly by Congress as private entities in a way similar to the chartering of corporations by state legislatures at the time—through special acts of incorporation that sought to achieve a public purpose while setting forth many specific powers, constraints, and governance provisions.330For a discussion of the use of such charters by Massachusetts, see Oscar Handlin & Mary Flug Handlin, Commonwealth: A Study of the Role of Government in the American Economy: Massachusetts, 1774–1861 (rev. ed. 1969). Those acts contained neither the mandate nor the authority to conduct monetary policy as we know it today.331There is disagreement among Fed historians as to whether some proponents contemplated the First Bank of the United States conducting quasi-monetary policy. See infra p. 180. The disagreement is described in Richard H. Timberlake, Monetary Policy in the United States: An Intellectual and Institutional History 28–29 (1993). Whatever the intentions of proponents however, it is clear that neither Bank’s charter contained any such mandate. Unlike the Federal Reserve, both Banks competed with state-chartered banks for lending business.332See David Jack Cowen, The Origins and Economic Impact of the First Bank of the United States, 1791–1797, in Financial Sector of the American Economy 50–54 (Stuart Bruchey ed., 2000); see also Bray Hammond, Banks and Politics in America: From the Revolution to the Civil War 199, 283–­85 (1957). Unlike shares in Federal Reserve Banks, shares of the banks of the United States could be (and were) held by non-bank individuals and entities, and could be alienated more or less freely. Both banks had statutory limitations on the size of their balance sheets, in contrast to today’s Federal Reserve, which as a legal matter has no constraints on the amount of its borrowing, lending, or purchases.333Moreover, the directors of the Banks could be held personally liable for violations of this and certain other charter provision. First Bank Charter § 7; An Act to Incorporate the Subscribers in the Bank of the United States, ch. XLIV, § 11, 3 Stat. 271 (1816) [hereinafter Second Bank Charter]. The Second Bank was also subject to an explicit requirement that it not refuse payment in specie (i.e., gold or silver) to any noteholder or depositor, thereby restraining its ability to create money.334Second Bank Charter § 17. For the importance of this provision, see Timberlake, supra note 331, at 32–33.

In short, while the congressional acts of incorporation of the banks did provide for a board that combined shareholder-selected and presidentially-appointed directors, in a manner that roughly foreshadowed the structure of the Federal Reserve, the authority of that board was, to borrow Chief Justice Roberts’s phrase, “in an entirely different league.”335Seila Law LLC v. Consumer Fin. Prot. Bureau, 140 S. Ct. 2183, 2202 n.8. (2020). Interestingly enough, in light of recent Supreme Court decisions, among President Andrew Jackson’s ideas for an alternative to a straightforward rechartering of the Second Bank of the United States was the feature that all directors of the Bank would have to be renominated by the President and confirmed by the Senate each year. See Edward S. Kaplan, The Bank of the United States and the American Economy 111 (1999). Obviously, this would have substantially increased Administration influence over the Bank’s policies and practices. Finally, while the Supreme Court famously held in McCulloch v. Maryland336McCulloch v. Maryland, 17 U.S. 316, 316 (1819). that Congress could constitutionally charter a banking corporation, the Court gave no indication that it was endorsing the delegation of monetary policy to any actors, governmental or nongovernmental. Indeed, the Court assumed that the purpose of the Second Bank of the United States was to facilitate the “fiscal operations” of the government.337Id. at 422.

On the other hand, a broader—but, as a factual matter, equally accurate—characterization of the history could readily lend relevance to the legacy of the Banks of the United States in applying separation of powers doctrines as they are remade by the current Court. Starting less than two years after the country began operating under the Constitution, the objective of ensuring a stable, national currency has periodically led the political branches to create institutions to pursue that objective with a significant measure of operational autonomy from those same political branches. In part to reinforce this autonomy, these institutions have always been public/private hybrids, combining certain government features with contributions of private capital and with a governance structure that includes individuals who are not employees of the government.

When the Banks of the United States were incorporated in 1791 and 1816, respectively, there was no conception of monetary policy as we think of it today to be found anywhere in the world.338See Hammond, supra note 332, at 128. But, as has been regularly noted by economic historians, both Banks engaged in activities to expand or contract the amount of credit being extended in the economy. With the government’s deposits and the Banks’ own capital, they were the dominant financial actor in the country. Like any bank, they could, and did, increase the amount of credit in the economy through their own lending. They also could, and sometimes did, exercise restraint in the interests of a more stable economy by declining to extend more credit, even where profitable opportunities may have been available.339See, e.g., Cowen, supra note 332, at 104–05, 199–­209. At times, though, the Bank might take action designed to protect its own position, rather than serving the needs of the economy more generally. See Timberlake, supra note 331, at 38. The existence of examples of the Banks acting in both their private and the public interests underscores the availability of facts supporting multiple narratives of the Banks’ relationship to modern day central banking. In a rudimentary way they also “regulated” credit creation by the growing number of private, state-chartered banks. This they accomplished not by means of legally binding rules, but by either presenting the notes of those banks with a demand for payment in specie (a credit constraining activity) or by forbearing from doing so, and thereby allowing higher levels of credit in the economy.340See Hammond, supra note 332, at 198­–99, 301, 304–­06; Jane Ellen Knodell, The Second Bank of the United States: Central Banker in an Era of Nation-Building, 1816–1836, 158–60 (2017). By statute, both Banks of the United States were granted the critical privilege of having their bills and notes declared legal tender for “all payments to the United States.”341First Bank Charter § 10; Second Bank Charter § 14. This provision enhanced the money status of the Banks’ notes across the country by sparing them the discounting to which the notes of state banks were frequently subject, especially in locales far removed from the banks.342See Knodell, supra note 340, at 89–92. Finally, it is worth noting the contemporary references to the Banks as “public” banks and the fact that the basis for Chief Justice Marshall’s opinion in McCulloch was that Congress had created the Second Bank as a “necessary and proper” adjunct to the exercise of its governmental powers.343In Osborn v. Bank of the United States, 22 U.S. 738, 861 (1824), a later case involving the jurisdiction of the federal judiciary to hear cases involving the Bank, Chief Justice Marshall elaborated on his reasoning in McCulloch and stated explicitly that the Bank was a “public,” not a “private” corporation, “created for public and national purposes.” Id. at 860. Of course, neither McCulloch nor Osborn described the Bank in terms we would recognize as describing a modern central bank.

The governance of both Banks was even more weighted to the private side than the original Federal Reserve, and certainly than today’s Federal Reserve. In the First Bank, the twenty-five directors were elected annually by a plurality of shareholders, with no more than three-quarters eligible for re-election the following year. The U.S. government had the right to,344First Bank Charter § 11. and did, acquire twenty percent of the ten million dollars in stock that was set by statute as the capital ceiling for the Bank. With the reduced weighting of votes for owners of larger numbers of shares required by the Act of Incorporation,345Id. § 7. The Act specified that the stockholders obtained progressively fewer votes for the number of shares they held (e.g., one vote for every two shares up to ten shares, but then only one additional vote for every four shares between ten and thirty shares). There was an absolute limit of thirty votes per stockholder (including any government stockholders). the government would not have been able to dominate formal governance of the Bank in any case. However, the government waived its voting rights,346See Edwin J. Perkins, American Public Finance and Financial Services 1700–1815, in Historical Perspectives on Business Enterprise 236 (Mansel G. Blackford & K. Austin Kerr eds., 1994). thereby ceding any formal governance role altogether (though economic historians have argued that the influence of the Secretary of the Treasury on the Bank’s operations was nonetheless significant).347This argument is especially put forward with respect to the early years of the First Bank of the United States. See Cowen, supra note 332, at 143–53. The Act of Incorporation of the Second Bank required, rather than simply authorized, the government to acquire twenty percent of the shares.348Second Bank Charter § 6. It also provided for the President to appoint five of the twenty-five directors annually, with the advice and consent of the Senate.349Second Bank Charter § 8.

In short, the legacy of the Banks of the United States can be characterized as establishing an American practice of using a public-private hybrid financial institution to manage the monetary affairs of the country, in accordance with the needs of the day. If the Court were to choose this relatively broad framing of the history of the Banks, it would probably have already decided against finding the FOMC unconstitutional. Still, it is worth asking how historical “practice” as so understood measures up against the Scalia formulation in Noel Canning.

Scalia’s limitation of history’s value to cases involving an “ambiguous constitutional provision”350NLRB v. Noel Canning, 573 U.S. 513, 572 (2014) (Scalia, J., concurring). does not seem especially problematic here. There is no constitutional text defining inferior officers or addressing delegations of congressional authority or granting the President the power to remove officials. All are judge—or, more accurately, Justice—made doctrines whose specifics can be refined as the Justices choose, perhaps in part because of the significance of history. The Appointments Clause, of course, is a part of the Constitution. But that text presents no difficulties for the FOMC so long as the Reserve Bank presidents are considered inferior officers.

The requirement that the practice have been “open” seems less applicable to statutory enactments, which are by definition publicly known. Nor does a requirement that a practice be “widespread” apply to legislation in the same way that actions by the Executive such as recess appointments do.351In Noel Canning, Justice Scalia was concerned with the potential for presidential aggrandizement through practices that were constitutionally questionable but perhaps difficult for Congress collectively to resist. Id. at 593. Obviously, that is not the concern where the issue is the extent of the President’s removal power. Once legislation is passed, it is law. But might the Court translate “widespread” from the context of Executive practice into a requirement that a legislated practice have been in effect more or less continuously since its implementation in the early years of the Republic? The charters of both Banks were allowed to lapse, one by congressional inaction and the other by presidential veto. There was an interval of three quarters of a century between the demise of the Second Bank in 1836 and the passage of the Federal Reserve Act in 1913.

Moreover, neither the Banks nor the FOMC have been “unchallenged.” The controversy over the constitutionality of the First Bank gave rise to the famous debate among the Founders, pitting Madison and Jefferson against Hamilton as all three vied to influence President Washington’s decision whether to veto the Bank bill. Controversy over the Second Bank produced one of the landmarks of constitutional history. Later, in his message vetoing the Second Bank, President Jackson argued it was unconstitutional not only by indirectly relitigating the Court’s decision in McCulloch,352As Jerry Mashaw has pointed out, Jackson did not directly question the validity of the Court’s holding in McCulloch. Rather, he argued that the Court had held the Bank was constitutional because Congress had concluded it was a necessary and proper adjunct to exercise of a power explicitly granted in Article I. Jackson went on to enumerate the reasons he (in wielding his veto as part of the Article I legislative process) did not regard a renewal of the Second Bank’s charter as necessary and proper. See Jerry L. Mashaw, Administration and “The Democracy”: Administrative Law from Jackson to Lincoln, 1829–1861, 117 Yale. L.J. 1568, 1592–93 (2008). but also by asserting that the Congress had unconstitutionally delegated its own authority to the Bank by granting it an effective monopoly.353This is not to say that President Jackson is necessarily persuasive. He essentially argued that the Constitution provides in only a few cases—such as patents and trademarks—for Congress to grant a monopoly over restrictions on “trade or exchange.” Since Congress, in Section 21 of the Act of Incorporation of the Second Bank, had forbidden itself from establishing any other bank during the term of the Second Bank’s charter, Jackson urged that Congress had thereby exceeded its constitutional powers by restricting its own action. This is obviously a different kind of non-delegation argument from those advanced in the last hundred years—one that arises from the act of granting an exclusive privilege through an act of incorporation. However, as President Jackson himself demonstrated in withdrawing U.S. government deposits from the Second Bank, it is not at all clear just how much Congress had restricted the prerogative of the political branches. As discussed earlier, the FOMC itself has been challenged in litigation by legislators.

Even as some of Justice Scalia’s requirements are not germane to legislation, so there may be qualifications on the significance of historical practice that apply only to legislation. Most relevant here is that the “monetary policy” function of the Banks of the United States, as described earlier, was not authorized in either Bank’s Act of incorporation. It was the heft and reach of the Banks that enabled them to permit or restrain credit growth by state banks. While Congress had enabled this rudimentary credit regulation practice through providing for a large capitalization and by allowing branching, it had neither asked nor authorized the Banks to fulfill that function. Accordingly, one might argue, whatever monetary policy power the Banks might have possessed de facto was of no consequence for deciding constitutional practice, which is determined by the formal pronouncements and actions of the three branches of government established by the Constitution.

There are, in turn, rejoinders to these qualifications on the strong legacy account: As to a reformulation of “widespread” as “continuous,” James Madison himself eventually came to believe that the creation and existence of the First Bank had liquidated the question of its constitutionality. Extending this acknowledgement, one might argue that once the constitutionality of a governance device or delegation is established through practice, subsequent congressional choices for other means of achieving policy aims do not remove the precedential value of that practice. Congress is free to return to it as circumstances change. Similarly, with respect to the “unchallenged” point, it would be odd if constitutional objections by political actors themselves fatally undermine a piece of legislation, especially one that the Court itself has found constitutional. Under the logic by which standing was denied to some of the congressional challengers in the cases discussed earlier, their objections do not carry any constitutional weight beyond that which would apply in a private party’s challenge. Finally, while neither Act of incorporation of the Banks called upon them to regulate the credit practices of state banks, the issue of ensuring sound money—in part through exercising control over state bank note issuance—was central to the debate over (and support for) the Second Bank.354See Hammond, supra note 332, at 233–43.

2.  The Federal Reserve as Anomalous

A second route by which the Court might find the FOMC exceptional is to declare it so. Peculiar as that might seem as the stated basis for a judicial conclusion, consider then-Judge Kavanaugh’s possibly revealing aside in his dissent from the en banc decision of the D.C. Circuit in PHH Corporation v. Consumer Financial Protection Bureau.355PHH Corp. v. Consumer Fin. Prot. Bureau, 881 F.3d 75, 75 (D.C. Cir. 2018) (en banc). Responding to the CFPB’s argument that the Chair of the Federal Reserve is not removable except for cause, Judge Kavanaugh first correctly noted that the matter is not at all clear from the language of the Federal Reserve Act.356While the Act specifies the term of Members of the Board as fourteen years “unless sooner removed for cause,” the following sentence specifies the four-year terms as Chair or Vice Chair for officials who are also members of the Board. 12 U.S.C. § 242. That second sentence neither contains a similar for-cause provision nor indicates explicitly that the President has plenary removal power. Id. He then went on to say that, even if the CFPB were correct, that attribute of the Federal Reserve Board Chair was not pertinent to a decision on the CFPB:

But even assuming the CFPB’s assertion is correct, such an exception would simply reflect the unique function of the Federal Reserve Board with respect to monetary policy. The Chair of the Federal Reserve Board would be akin to what Justice Breyer in Noel Canning referred to as an historical anomaly—here, an anomaly due to the Federal Reserve’s special functions in setting monetary policy and stabilizing the financial markets.357PHH Corp., 881 F.3d at 192 n.17 (Kavanaugh, J., dissenting).

So, the Federal Reserve may be an “anomaly.”358Id. Given that this comment was in a footnote, it is perhaps not surprising that Judge Kavanaugh did not explain it any further. It seems unlikely that, in upholding the constitutionality of the FOMC, the Court would simply declare it anomalous without further explanation. But his remark is a good starting point for projecting what this escape route might look like.

To begin with, of course, the fact that an agency feature is an anomaly does not in itself validate that feature. A law authorizing the Senate Finance Committee to choose the Secretary of the Treasury without the involvement of the President or the rest of the Senate would certainly be anomalous. It would equally certainly be held unconstitutional. So what is it about the Federal Reserve that might make its anomalous status acceptable?

Judge Kavanagh did refer to the Federal Reserve, or at least the possible status of its chair, as a “historical anomaly.”359Id. It is not altogether clear if Judge Kavanaugh meant that the Federal Reserve is, historically, an anomaly or that it is an anomaly because of its history—in the sense of longevity or pedigree. If the answer is that banking and credit played an unusually prominent role in constitutional and policy debates in the early days of the Constitution, then we revert to the analysis in the preceding section. But because he says that the Federal Reserve is an anomaly due to its “special functions in setting monetary policy and stabilizing the financial markets,”360Id. he may be implying that something about those functions could justify agency features that would be struck down elsewhere.

One possibility is that Judge Kavanaugh, and perhaps other conservative colleagues, simply regard the Federal Reserve as too important to mess with, as suggested earlier. Whatever its utility as a realist explanation of why the Court may forbear from finding the FOMC unconstitutional, however, the perceived importance of the Federal Reserve is not an argument carrying much doctrinal weight. A rationale more easily grounded in the Court’s conservative doctrines has already cropped up several times in my discussion of recent separation of powers cases: the FOMC does not regulate any private actors. Judge Kavanaugh began his dissent with the same appeal to liberty that we saw in Justice Gorsuch’s Gundy dissent.361“This is a case about executive power and individual liberty.” Id. at 164. Again, “liberty” to these Justices means not just what most people think of as liberty, but also corporate property and profits. That same invocation of liberty appears in Justice Scalia’s Noel Canning concurrence (arguing that separation of powers doctrine is not principally a matter of protecting the prerogatives of the three branches of government, but of guarding liberty).362NLRB v. Noel Canning, 573 U.S. 513, 571 (2014) (Scalia, J., concurring). It is also echoed, albeit with less rhetorical flourish, in some elements of standing doctrine.

If the Court opts to maintain a fairly restrictive standing doctrine for anyone not directly regulated by an agency, perhaps it would extend the rationale for that position to its treatment of a removal, Appointments Clause, or delegation issue that unexpectedly reached the merits. That is, the Chief Justice’s emphasis on accountability and liberty interests in finding removal restrictions unconstitutional in Free Enterprise Fund and Seila Law, and in his somewhat ambiguous Appointments Clause opinion in Arthrex, might lead the Court to give Congress more constitutional latitude in structuring agencies where those interests are not at stake—at least as the Court seems to understand them. Similarly, as noted in Part II, Justice Gorsuch’s suggested non-delegation doctrine appears more permissive where Congress does not empower an agency to “regulate” or “govern” private conduct.363Va. House of Delegates v. Bethune-Hill, 139 S. Ct. 1945, 2139 (2019) (Gorsuch, J., dissenting).

However convincing this approach might be to the Court in considering the FOMC as a monetary policy body, it does not apply to the Board in its non-monetary policy roles. The Board has far-reaching regulatory powers over banking organizations and certain financial market utilities,364For a description of the Board’s regulatory powers, see Fed. Rsrv. Pub. Educ. & Outreach, supra note 15, at 62–82. which as an economic matter are much more significant than those of the CFPB. The Board alone exercises these powers, without the participation of the Reserve Bank presidents. Were Seila Law to prove a forerunner to a broader invalidation of traditional multi-member independent commissions, the non-regulator logic would hardly save the Board and, by extension, its independence as the more important of the two groups that constitute the FOMC. Indeed, insofar as the Chief Justice’s cryptic reference in Seila Law to the Second Bank of the United States and the Federal Reserve contrasted those institutions with the CFPB,365Seila Law LLC v. Consumer Fin. Prot. Bureau, 140 S. Ct. 2183, 2202 (2020). he may have been referring only to their monetary policy and credit extension roles.366It is also possible that the Chief Justice was not aware of the complexities of the Fed’s structure. In academic legal literature, one sometimes sees references to the “Federal Reserve Board” as the entity conducting monetary policy. His description of the CFPB—“a mini legislature, prosecutor, and court, responsible for creating substantive rules for a wide swath of industries, prosecuting violations, and levying knee-buckling penalties against private citizens,” mostly describes non-monetary policy roles of the Board as well.367Seila Law, 140 S. Ct. at 2202 n.8. One might not characterize the Federal Reserve as regulating a “wide swath of industries,” but its scope of powers to set prudential and other requirements for all banking organizations reaches to the heart of those firms’ financial and business models, not just to their relationships with retail customers.

There is a basis for distinguishing the Board from the CFPB and most other agencies. The Board’s regulatory authority over banking organizations is in some sense an extension of its monetary policy authority. If the Court accepts a rationale for the exercise of monetary policy independent of the President, then there may be a derivative rationale for the independence of the Board’s regulatory functions. Moreover, the authority to pay interest on bank reserves held at the Federal Reserve, which has become a principal tool of monetary policy, is lodged solely in the Board.36812 U.S.C. § 461(b)(12). A greatly simplified explanation of how banks “create” money may be useful for understanding this argument.

When, as is usually the case, private banks extend loans to households and businesses by crediting the transaction accounts of those borrowers, they are creating money—“inside money” as it is described in economics.369See N. Gregory Mankiw, Principles of Economics 611–16 (8th ed. 2016); Ricardo Lagos, Inside and Outside Money, Fed. Rsrv. Bank of Minneapolis (May 1, 2006), https://www.minneapolisfed.org/research/staff-reports/inside-and-outside-money [https://perma.cc/CTU4-V6UY]. The borrowers receive in their checking accounts the amount of the loans, which are now available to spend. Meanwhile, no other party (for example, the bank or any of its depositors) has seen a reduction in the amount available for immediate expenditure. Hence the aggregate supply of money in the economy has increased. However, the banks know that the borrowers will spend some or all of their loans, and that other depositors will in the normal course of business be drawing funds as well. So the banks’ money creation function is at least somewhat constrained by its need to maintain sufficient reserves to meet the demands for payment as they are presented in the form of checks and electronic transfer instructions by account holders.370Vault cash is of course a reserve asset as well, but the non-cash transfers that dominate the contemporary financial system are ultimately grounded in the “outside” money (i.e., outside of banks) created electronically by the Federal Reserve.

Traditionally, banks have been regarded as the “transmission belt” for monetary policy. The Federal Reserve used open market operations to increase or decrease the amount of reserves in the banking system by, respectively, buying or selling government securities. The variation in available reserves, in turn, affected the amount and pricing of credit that banks could make available. Up until very recently, the Federal Reserve also imposed minimum reserve requirements on banks to help constrain the growth of the money supply.371With the shift to an ample reserves monetary policy, see infra note 372. The Federal Reserve eliminated minimum reserve ratios in March 2020. Press Release, Bd. of Governors of the Fed. Rsrv. Sys., Federal Reserve Actions to Support the Flow of Credit to Households and Businesses (Mar. 15, 2020), https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20200315b.htm [https://perma.cc/E7CQ-BW8G]. For years beforehand, the Federal Reserve’s required reserve ratios had remained unchanged and were not regarded as an important tool for monetary policy. The Federal Reserve’s response to the Global Financial Crisis of 2007–2009 included a massive increase in the amount of reserves, and thus significantly reduced the efficacy of open market operations in influencing the amount and pricing of bank lending.372Once the acute phase of the Global Financial Crisis (“GFC”) began in the fall of 2008, the FOMC quickly reduced interest rates very close to zero in an effort to make liquidity available and borrowing as cheap as possible under severely adverse conditions. However, the FOMC found that monetary stimulus at the “zero lower bound” was still inadequate in the face of the financial and economic disruptions that followed the collapses of Lehman Brothers, AIG, Fannie Mae, and Freddie Mac. The FOMC therefore undertook to purchase very large amounts of government securities in an effort to ease financial conditions further. As a result, the reserves in the banking system (which the Federal Reserve created in order to purchase the outstanding securities) increased enormously. This “quantitative easing” and its aftermath have moved monetary policy from the traditional “scarce reserves” condition to one of “ample reserves.” When, in late 2015, the FOMC increased its target rate for the first time since the onset of the GFC, it would not have been able to achieve that target with the traditional “modest size” of securities sales. Fed. Rsrv. Pub. Educ. & Outreach, supra note 15, at 38. Instead, it used its relatively new authority to pay interest on reserves to influence banks’ lending behavior. Since reserves are by definition risk-free, a bank has no incentive to use its reserves to back lending at less than the Federal Reserve pays on those reserves. Still, the now preferred monetary policy tool of paying interest on reserve balances held by banks at the Federal Reserve has not changed the basic situation: the Federal Reserve uses its reserve policies to affect lending—and thus the creation of money—by banks.373The Federal Reserve has also established an Overnight Reverse Repurchase facility (“ONRRP”), which allows some non-bank financial institutions—principally money market funds—to engage in what is essentially a short-term, interest-bearing deposit with the Fed. Adjustment of the ONRRP rate and changes in the rate paid on bank reserve balances together constitute the “administered” rate approach to monetary policy that has emerged following the GFC.

Through its discount window lending programs, the Federal Reserve makes liquidity available to solvent banks unable to obtain funding from depositors or other private sources.374The Federal Reserve’s description of the discount window explicitly ties the discount window to the purposes of monetary policy:

Federal Reserve lending to depository institutions (the “discount window”) plays an important role in supporting the liquidity and stability of the banking system and the effective implementation of monetary policy. By providing ready access to funding, the discount window helps depository institutions manage their liquidity risks efficiently and avoid actions that have negative consequences for their customers, such as withdrawing credit during times of market stress. Thus, the discount window supports the smooth flow of credit to households and businesses.

The Discount Window, The Fed. Rsrv. Disc. Window (Aug. 28, 2023), https://www.frbdiscountwindow.org/pages/general-information/the%20discount%20window [https://perma.cc/RDW4-3WND].
The provision of liquidity to banks under stress was a principal motivation for the creation of the Federal Reserve—this is what was meant by the phrase “to furnish an elastic currency” in the purpose clause of the original Federal Reserve Act.375Federal Reserve Act, Pub. L. No. 63-43, Ch. 6, 38 Stat. 251 (1913). The classic formulation of lender-of-last-resort policy is that the central bank should make credit freely available to solvent firms upon presentation of good collateral, but at a penalty rate. The penalty referred to, however, is customarily understood to be relative to terms available under normal circumstances—that is, the rate should be such as to disincentivize banks from accessing the discount window when private funding is available. Theoretically, a central bank could make a solvency determination even if it (or other government agencies) did not regulate the specific financial intermediary. In practice, however, a de novo solvency determination in the midst of a financial squeeze would be exceedingly difficult. But this access to liquidity is tied to the far-reaching prudential regulatory authority of the Board. That is, only financial institutions that have been subject to regulations designed to keep them responsibly supplying credit to businesses and households are entitled to the favorable terms of the discount window.376In “unusual and exigent circumstances,” the Board does have authority to provide liquidity to institutions and markets it does not regulate. 12 U.S.C. § 343(3)(A). Exercise of this authority now requires agreement by the Secretary of the Treasury. Id. § 343(3)(B)(iv).

More generally, this prudential authority is important to ensure the stability of the banking system, because problems such as bank runs will disrupt the flow of sustainable credit and thus the aims of monetary policy. The purpose clause of the original Federal Reserve Act included the aim of “establish[ing] a more effective supervision of banking in the United States.”377Federal Reserve Act, Pub. L. No. 63-43, Ch. 6, 38 Stat. 251 (1913). The Act imposed detailed reserve requirements for member banks,378Id. § 19, 38 Stat. 270. which the Board was authorized to temporarily suspend.379Id. § 11(c), 38 Stat. 262. The Board was empowered to examine “the accounts, books and affairs” of each member bank.380Id. § 11(a), 38 Stat. 261. Any state bank that became a member was to be subject to the various statutory requirements already imposed on national banks “and to such rules and regulations as the Federal Reserve Board may, in pursuance thereof, prescribe.”381Id. § 9, 38 Stat. 259.

The prudential authority of the Federal Reserve granted in the original Act was, in effect, a price of membership for banks wishing to benefit from the Federal Reserve’s exercise of its “elastic currency” authority (though any bank wishing to acquire or maintain a national banking charter was required to be a member of the System). In the succeeding decades, both prudential regulation and access to lender-of-last-resort facilities ceased to be a choice for depository institutions. All state-chartered banks became subject to the reserve requirements promulgated by the Board and also gained access to the discount window.382Monetary Control Act of 1980, Pub. L. No. 96-221, § 103, 94 Stat. 133 (1980) (amending § 19(b) of the Federal Reserve Act, codified at 12 U.S.C. § 461(b)). Since passage of the Bank Holding Company Act in 1956,383Bank Holding Company Act of 1956, Pub. L. No. 511, 70 Stat. 133 (1956). the Board regulates and supervises at a consolidated level all holding companies that own insured depository institutions. In the wake of the GFC, Congress gave the Board additional authority, and instructions, to regulate large banking organizations in order to promote financial stability.384Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act § 165, Pub. L. No. 111-203, § 165, 124 Stat. 1376, 1423 (2010) (codified at 12 U.S.C. § 5365) (requiring the Board to develop and apply enhanced prudential standards on large bank holding companies).

In short, one could plausibly argue that the function of the Board in regulating private banking organizations is inextricably related to the monetary policy function of the entire FOMC. The banks create money. The Board’s prudential regulation of the banks is thus an indirect regulation of the supply of money and credit. The fact that the Board also provides advantages to regulated banks (for example, interest on reserves and discount window access) further demonstrates that monetary policy, liquidity assistance, and bank regulation are all components of the same enterprise. To subject the Board to discretionary presidential removal would, accordingly, compromise monetary policy independence.

Whatever its policy and economic merits, this argument might well vex the conservative Justices, who may be inclined toward the presumed view of many bankers that prudential regulation is just as much an intrusion on their “liberty” as EPA regulation is on the liberty of chemical plants. There are also some complications internal to the argument itself. For one thing, prudential regulatory authority is shared among several federal agencies. While the Board’s authority over bank holding companies gives it, as a practical matter, regulatory power over the vast majority of U.S. banking assets, a small national or state non-member bank would be regulated only by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency or Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, respectively. So the Court might ask whether recognition of a special status for the Board under evolving separation of powers doctrines would need to extend to those other banking agencies. Second, the sustained and substantial growth of non-bank lending has led to a situation in which many institutions outside the prudential regulatory perimeter extend credit, and in some cases effectively create “money” through their lending activities.385For example, retail money market funds are a significant enough source of money creation to be included in the Federal Reserve’s calculation of M2, which is the broader of its two standard measures of the money supply. Money Stock Measures—H.6 Release, Bd. of Governors of the Fed. Rsrv. Sys., https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h6/about.htm [https://perma.cc/WVT9-QN8N]. Yet money market funds are regulated by the Securities and Exchange Commission, not the Federal Reserve or the other federal banking agencies. The Board’s regulatory authority is not coincident with the range of private activities that implicate the aims of monetary policy by affecting credit growth and financial stability.

IV.  CONSTITUTIONAL CHOICES

To recap what we have seen thus far: The logic of opinions of conservative Justices in recent separation of powers cases suggests there may be one or more constitutional infirmities in the structure and mandate of the Federal Reserve. At the same time, there are various ways by which the Court could nonetheless avoid a decision that such an infirmity does indeed exist. The working assumption in this paper is that the Court would likely opt for an avoidance route. This last Part details the implications for the conservatives’ separation of powers jurisprudence of each avoidance route, as well as the less likely alternative of deciding that the structure or monetary policy mandate of the Federal Reserve is in action unconstitutional.

A.  Doctrinal Restraint

As should be clear by now, it would take further evolution in one or more existing separation of powers doctrines to place the structure or mandate of the Federal Reserve at significant risk. If none but a very unlikely plaintiff has standing to challenge the FOMC, then the relatively strong argument on the status of Reserve Bank presidents and a potential argument on non-delegation grounds will not reach the merits. And if the Court forbears from holding traditional multimember independent agencies unconstitutional, then the standing readily available to any regulated banking organization cannot undo the removal protection of the Board. The independence of the Federal Reserve would be preserved.

1.  Standing

Long before any of the current Justices were on the Court, the D.C. Circuit applied standing doctrine to preclude challenges to the FOMC from reaching the merits, as recounted in Part III. Thus, even as the current Justices have further restricted standing in other contexts,386See TransUnion LLC v. Ramirez, 141 S. Ct. 2190, 2198 (2021) (holding that a right created by Congress may create standing only if it is one for which there is “a close historical or common-law analogue”) (emphasis omitted). For assessments of the cumulative effect of the Court’s restrictions on standing, see Erwin Chemerinsky, What’s Standing After TransUnion LLC v. Ramirez, 96 N.Y.U. L. Rev. Online 269, 282–86 (2021); Sunstein, supra note 258, at 362–73. they need not break new doctrinal ground to avoid deciding constitutional issues related to the FOMC. However, in most other contexts, regulated entities will have standing to challenge an agency’s constitutionality when regulatory beneficiaries and interested members of the public do not. Here it is very possible that no one has standing to launch such a challenge, absent the unlikely scenario of the President attempting to remove a Reserve Bank president.387Of course, were the Court to permit a plaintiff such as Custodia Bank to challenge the status of a Reserve Bank president on the FOMC as part of its suit against a Reserve Bank that had denied it access to certain Federal Reserve services, then a much more likely route to an adjudication on the merits would exist. With the concept of a unitary executive, and the associated norm of presidential accountability that is integral to the Chief Justice’s justification of recent separation of powers decisions, it might seem odd for the most powerful independent agency in the U.S. government to be insulated from presidential control solely because no likely plaintiff has standing.

The Court might try to reconcile these two doctrinal strands by embracing the position the D.C. Circuit inferred from that single sentence in Buckley—that is, by holding special separation of powers standing is limited to stating “a regulated entity with sufficiently concrete interests.”388See supra pp. 53–54, 60. The justification for choosing traditional, restrictive standing doctrine over more recent concerns with political accountability of independent agencies is suggested by the argument we have already seen in the removal cases—that separation of powers principles are important only, or at least principally, to protect the “liberty” interests of regulated companies. Here, though, there is some latent tension between statements in the Seila Law and Collins majority opinions.

In Seila Law, Chief Justice Roberts had dismissed the argument that the single-headed Social Security Administration was a precedent for the CFPB by, among other things, noting that “unlike the CFPB, the SSA lacks the authority to bring enforcement actions against private parties. Its role is largely limited to adjudicating claims for Social Security benefits.”389Seila Law LLC v. Consumer Fin. Prot. Bureau, 140 S. Ct. 2183, 2202 (2020). As with so much in in that opinion, this point echoed then-Judge Kavanaugh’s opinions in the earlier CFPB case, in which he had distinguished the Commissioner of Social Security’s for-cause removal protection because that official lacked the unilateral authority to bring enforcement actions against private citizens, “the core of the executive power and the primary threat to individual liberty.”390PHH Corp. v. Consumer Fin. Prot. Bureau, 881 F.3d 75, 174 (D.C. Cir. 2018) (en banc) (Kavanaugh, J., dissenting).

But in Collins, Justice Alito—who himself is certainly not ill-disposed to the “liberty” argument—observed that the FHFA “could have an immediate impact on millions of private individuals and the economy at large,” even though it does not directly regulate any private individuals and businesses, as the CFPB does.391Collins v. Yellen, 141 S. Ct. 1761, 1785 (2021). Because of the unusual circumstances of that case, the criterion of sheer economic impact was not essential to his conclusion on removability of the FHFA director. Nonetheless, it may fit more comfortably with the formalist notion reflected in the Chief Justice’s opinions that the Constitution requires all exercises of executive power to be subject to some form of direct presidential oversight. Indeed, it was relied on in the Office of Legal Counsel opinion that, despite his statutory for-cause protection, the Commissioner of Social Security could be removed by the President.392See supra note 11 and accompanying text.

There is, of course, no necessary congruence between standing doctrine and the Article II doctrines at issue in these recent cases. Still, a standing decision today would be made against the backdrop of a very different separation of powers jurisprudence from that which prevailed four decades ago when the D.C. Circuit ruled on the challenges to the FOMC. A denial of standing to the hypothetical bondholder in Part II would have the substantive effect of limiting the Court’s Appointments Clause and removal doctrines.

Such a decision would align with the special solicitousness of the current Court for regulated entities, as opposed to beneficiaries of regulation. In that sense it would reflect the Court’s ideological leanings. As a practical matter, it would be of much greater importance for the Federal Reserve, precisely because most other statutorily independent agencies do regulate private actors. But it would not require a break with precedent. Furthermore, in the specific context of the FOMC, the de facto substantive character of restrictive standing would not obviously favor either end of the political spectrum. One can readily imagine a more permissive standing doctrine producing challenges from the left seeking more presidential control over inflation-fighting central bankers, and from the right seeking to remove the discretion of the FOMC to balance employment growth and price stability in making monetary policy decisions.

2.  Independent Agencies

Unlike a continuation of restrictive standing doctrine, the Court’s reaffirmation of the traditional understanding of Humphrey’s Executor would be received as very significant. Against the experience of the last decade and the changes in the Court’s composition, such a development may seem unlikely. A declaration that today’s multimember independent agencies violate Article II would permit the Court’s conservatives to pursue their goal of a unitary executive, but to do so through decisions that generally will have limited immediate impact, and thus elicit less popular blowback. The day after the Court’s decision, the agencies would function as they did before, except that they would labor under the tacit—and at times perhaps not so tacit—threat of removal if they do not follow the President’s wishes in their rule-making, programmatic, enforcement, and adjudicatory activities.

For the Court’s conservatives to pass up this opportunity, the Chief Justice and at least one other Justice would need to see good reasons not to apply the logic in parts of Seila Law in deciding a head-on challenge to a traditional independent agency. What reason or combination of reasons might they find convincing? A premonition that condemning those agencies to Executive subservience might indeed produce a significant public reaction, despite the absence of immediate policy change? Second thoughts about undoing nearly a century and a half of settled practice, and substituting their own views for those of so many Congresses and Presidents? A bit of uneasiness at the prospect of the jurisprudential gymnastics that might be needed to save the Board, and perhaps a few other favored agencies, for which a finding of unconstitutionality would produce significant economic or political repercussions?

Whatever its possible motivation, a decision reaffirming Humphrey’s Executor would signal, if not quite a cease fire, then at least a pause on one front of the Court’s campaign against the administrative state. It might be accompanied by an escalation on the other front, resulting in more “major questions” limitations on agency authority and perhaps a straightforward application of the non-delegation doctrine to strike down part of an agency’s statutory authority. But, at least with respect to the structure of government, it would be an accommodation to the transformation that took place in the first third of the twentieth century. In that sense, it would at least somewhat echo the accommodation by the Court’s conservatives in the 1930s.

This stance might well be interpreted in the way Professors Randy E. Barnett and Larry Solum interpreted the first stirrings of the Court’s anti-novelty sentiments—as an embrace of a “this far and no further” approach to evaluating congressional experimentation with agency independence.393Randy E. Barnett, No Small Feat: Who Won the Health Care Case (and Why Did So Many Law Professors Miss the Boat)?, 65 Fla. L. Rev. 1331, 1348 (2013); Lawrence B. Solum, How NFIB v. Sebelius Affects the Constitutional Gestalt, 91 Wash. U. L. Rev. 1, 52 (2013). Their suggestion, grounded in a version of originalism, was that novelty in and of itself was not a constitutional argument, but that decisions of the Court such as National Federation of Independent Business v. Sebelius, 567 U.S. 519 (2012), instead were premised on the inconsistency of a congressional enactment with the original meaning of the Constitution. They further suggested that the Roberts Court had more or less accepted the expansions of congressional power during the New Deal (and later, as sanctioned by the Warren Court), but that it would not countenance any further expansion inconsistent with the original meaning—an “originalist second best,” as Solum termed it. Id. at 54. This was a very plausible reading of the Roberts Court in 2013 and may turn out to be plausible still. However, the reasoning in Seila Law and the change in composition of the Court inject some doubt as to the continuing viability of their interpretation. It may limit the range of options to those exercised by Congress through the 1930s but would pull up short of a complete imposition of the Court’s favored organization of government.

B.  Federal Reserve as Exceptional

Were the Court unexpectedly to liberalize standing or open the door to challenging traditional multi-member agencies, it would need to address the merits. In that event, as discussed in Part III, it might distinguish the Federal Reserve from other agencies in applying its evolving separation of powers doctrines. This section considers the implications of a decision upholding the mandate and structure of the Federal Reserve.

1.  History

The discussion of the history-based avoidance strategy in Part III explained how the Court can effectively determine the outcome of its analysis by the way it defines the practice for which historical validation is sought. By defining the practice in general terms—such as seeking a stable national currency through creating institutions with significant operational autonomy—the Court could vindicate the structure and mandate of the Federal Reserve. By defining it more narrowly—a mixed committee composed of both government and nongovernment employees with unlimited capacity and discretion to inject fiat money into the economy, and to withdraw it in order to restore price stability—the eighteenth and nineteenth century experience with the Banks of the United States becomes irrelevant. In fact, that narrow characterization of the Federal Reserve’s structure and mandate is not even a description of the original Federal Reserve in 1914 and arguably does not become so for decades following passage of the Federal Reserve Act.394See supra pp. 10–12.

Faced with a decision on the constitutional merits, the Court might well opt for the broader characterization of the “practice” that was arguably liquidated by the creation of the Banks of the United States. But doing so, while producing the sensible outcome in that case, would raise a different question: Might the congressional practice not be fairly characterized even more broadly—as insulating additional recipients of extensive delegated statutory authority from full control by the President? If the two Banks provide precedent for today’s Federal Reserve because, despite all their differences, they were congressional creations with substantial autonomy, why do they not also serve as precedent for other such institutions, including today’s agencies such as the FTC and FCC? In creating those agencies, Congress endorsed the proposition that they too needed some degree of insulation from presidential politics and favoritism.

Of course, the early Congresses did not create independent regulatory commissions; they successively chartered two independent Banks that served public functions, including an early form of what today is called monetary policy. So perhaps the relevant precedent is limited to that substantive area—“monetary policy and stabilizing the financial markets” as then-Judge Kavanaugh expressed it.395PHH Corp. v. Consumer Fin. Prot. Bureau, 881 F.3d 75, 192 n.17 (D.C. Cir. 2018) (en banc) (Kavanaugh, J., dissenting). Again, though, why? It would be one thing if, during that same era, Congress had legislated on other economic issues and uniformly delegated regulatory functions to entities wholly subservient to the President. But that is not what happened. The forms of economic regulation pioneered by Congress beginning in the late nineteenth century just did not exist in 1789 or 1816.396While there were no other entities we would recognize as independent regulatory agencies, Congress had in fact endowed various agencies performing other functions with considerable independence. See Jerry L. Mashaw, The American Model of Federal Administrative Law: Remembering the First One Hundred Years, 78 Geo. Wash. L. Rev. 975, 984–85 (2010). There was no railroad system to be regulated, no awareness of a radio spectrum to be allocated, no internal combustion engine to pollute the air and overheat the planet. There were not even monopolies, except perhaps those created by the states.397The only other contemporaneous governmental economic regulation that even approaches the importance of money was the tariff, a key subject of another of Alexander Hamilton’s seminal commentaries on the economic circumstances of the new nation. See Alexander Hamilton, Alexander Hamilton’s Final Version of the Report on the Subject of Manufactures, Founders Online (Dec. 5, 1791), https://founders.archives.gov/documents/Hamilton/01-10-02-0001-0007 [https://perma.cc/RK4Z-E6VF]. Administration of the tariff was lodged in the Treasury Department and thus fully subject to political control. See Carl E. Prince & Mollie Keller, The U.S. Customs Service: A Bicentennial History 35–67 (1989). But the history of the tariff is no more compelling as a supposed precedent for what came later than the Banks. In the first place, although the tariff was from the start bound up with debates over the protecting U.S. industry from foreign competition, its most important function was as the dominant source of revenue for the federal government. Second, presumably because of its importance as a revenue measure, Congress itself made all policy decisions in periodic tariff legislation that set specific tariffs in great detail. Third, the early decades of customs administration were characterized by extreme patronage politics and corruption, which eventually produced a measure of insulation for customs employees (though they remained within Treasury). Id. Fourth, there is certainly nothing in the history of the early tariff acts and the creation of tariff districts to suggest that Congress considered, and rejected on constitutional grounds, an independent customs service.

The history of the regulation of money, and the various institutional arrangements created by Congress to perform this task, is indeed a complicated one. One can discern broad trends, especially since the founding of the Federal Reserve, whose authority has become decidedly more governmental and mostly more independent over time. The very complexity of that history—from Alexander Hamilton’s proposals, to the Banks, to the experiment with congressionally created currency during the Civil War, to the formation of the Federal Reserve, to the removal of the gold standard, to the New Deal overhaul of the Fed’s structure, to the addition of the dual mandate—suggests how reactionary it would be for the Supreme Court to override the decisions Congress and the President have made. Those decisions, as included in the Federal Reserve Act and updated most recently in 2010, have been made as prevailing economic and political concerns changed. For the Court to impose its view on the basis of a separation of powers theory nowhere stated in the text of the Constitution would seem the height of judicial imperialism.

As compelling a reason as this complex story of money regulation is for deferring to the political branches, the position of the Federal Reserve relative to other agencies is an accident of history. Even in a predominantly agricultural economy, the development of a reliable and uniform currency was an important issue for the fledgling national government. The only reason Congress could grant a measure of autonomy to money-related institutions and not to the other agencies we know today was that those other problems associated with the economy were either unknown or of such trivial importance in 1800 as not to be worth Congress’s time. So, yes, the pedigree of the Federal Reserve is unusual, if not unique. But that distinction from other agencies is not necessarily a good reason to parse the scope of congressional authority under the Necessary and Proper Clause in a qualitatively different way.

Noel Canning involved the interpretation of a discrete constitutional text—the Recess Appointments Clause. Both Justice Breyer’s opinion for the majority and Justice Scalia’s concurrence in the result were focused on the history of a well-defined practice that was recognized as such from the outset by the Presidents who made the appointments and by the Congresses that acquiesced in them (or did not, depending on your perspective). The Congresses that chartered the Banks of the United States had no idea that their actions could be relevant to the constitutionality of an independent commission to allocate the radio spectrum. The demarcation of the precedent—or liquidation, for those who prefer the Madisonian term—that was created by those Congresses is thus necessarily a task for those participating in today’s debates. As such, whether the Court defines the practice in need of historical precedent narrowly, somewhat more broadly, or very broadly is itself a policy choice.

2.  Nature of Central Banking

In discussing removability doctrine, Justice Kavanaugh characterized the Federal Reserve as anomalous because the Fed has “special functions in setting monetary policy and stabilizing the financial markets.”398PHH Corp., 881 F.3d at 192 n.17. Well, yes, and the FCC has special functions in regulating access to the airwaves. The FTC has special functions in protecting consumers. The Securities and Exchange Commission has special functions in protecting investors and assuring the smooth operation of capital markets. And, in fact, the CFPB itself has the “special functions” of ensuring that consumers understand financial commitments and protecting them from unscrupulous lenders.

So why might the Federal Reserve’s “special functions” be more special than those of these other agencies, so as to justify agency features that would be struck down elsewhere? Here, the fact that the FOMC does not regulate any private actors, which we have seen multiple times as a possible distinction, does not really fit with the concept of “special functions.” Additionally, of course, the Board does regulate private actors. Some academics who favor more independence for the Federal Reserve than for other agencies offer what has become the standard argument for central bank independence—that a central bank subject to political control will be pushed toward accommodative monetary policy when helpful to the incumbent Administration’s electoral or other political needs, regardless of possible medium term effects in the form of high inflation.399Sunstein & Vermeule, supra note 9, at 98; Lawrence Lessig & Cass R. Sunstein, The President and the Administration, 94 Colum. L. Rev. 1, 107 (1994); Geoffrey P. Miller, The Unitary Executive in a Unified Theory of Constitutional Law: The Problem of Interpretation, 15 Cardozo L. Rev. 201, 216 (1993). Sunstein and Vermeule extend their point about the dangers of over-concentrating power in the President beyond the Federal Reserve, suggesting—as I have—that the allocation of broadcast licenses by the FCC raises similar concerns. Sunstein & Vermeule, supra note 9, at 98. That is a good argument, to be sure, though it leaves open the question of just how to strike the balance between operational independence and accountability in a democracy.

Whatever the policy merits of this argument, however, it is not grounded in the Constitution. There is nothing there stating, or even implying, a different separation of powers principle for central banking. On the contrary, the constitutional controversy over the two Banks of the United States, those early avatars of a central bank, was resolved in a Supreme Court decision that rested on the Necessary and Proper Clause, a part of the Constitution that today’s conservative majority often glosses over. There was no reason to think the congressional discretion derived from that Clause applied any less to its implementation of any other explicit Article I power. Nor does anything in Article II suggest otherwise. There is no textual basis to conclude, for example, that Congress may grant independence to the Federal Reserve because of the importance of keeping near-term politics out of monetary policy, but that it may not grant independence to the FCC if it believes that near-term politics should be kept out of allocating broadcast licenses.

In her Seila Law dissent, Justice Kagan noted that, up until recently, the Court has nearly always left issues of agency structure and relative independence to the Congress.400Seila Law LLC v. Consumer Fin. Prot. Bureau, 140 S. Ct. 2183, 2224 (2020) (Kagan, J., dissenting). She made that point in the context of arguing that the Court should similarly have refrained from finding a separation of powers problem in the single-headed structure of the CFPB. As Sunstein and Vermeule argue, in doing otherwise and striking down the for-cause protection of the Director, the Seila Law majority opinion reflected a set of ideas and preferences about government that cannot be derived from the originalist approach to which the conservative justices say they subscribe. Were the Court later to exempt the structure or mandate of the Federal Reserve from the doctrines it has been crafting, its policy preferences would be more obviously on display. While that would be true of any decision giving the Fed special treatment, one that carved out the Board—despite its extensive regulatory powers—from an otherwise applicable prohibition on traditional multimember independent agencies would highlight the Court’s policy preferences in especially sharp relief. In finding historical precedent for allowing, for example, the Federal Reserve but not the FCC to be insulated from presidential control, the Court will be picking favorites from among the creations of Congress.

C.  Finding of Unconstitutionality

Although my expectation is that at least two of the Court’s conservatives would refrain from finding the structure or mandate of the Federal Reserve to be unconstitutional, one cannot have full confidence in that assumption. Given the scope of some of its recent decisions and the limited regard of at least some Justices for stare decisis, one cannot rule out entirely such a finding. To the degree that the non-disruptive approach described above was attributable to Chief Justice Roberts’s status as the swing vote on the Court prior to Justice Ginsburg’s death, rather than to congruent views of the other conservative Justices, it is obviously less secure. The divergence between the approaches of incrementalism and sweeping change was on full view in the Court’s decision in Dobbs v. Jackson401Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Org., 142 S. Ct. 2228 (2022). In Dobbs, five of the conservative Justices voted to overturn Roe v. Wade. Chief Justice Roberts concurred only in the judgment; he would have found the Mississippi statute at issue in the case to be constitutional, but he would not have gone so far as to overturn Roe completely. Id. at 2310–11 (Roberts, C.J., concurring). overruling Roe v. Wade.402Roe v. Wade, 410 U.S. 113 (1973), overruled by Dobbs, 142 S. Ct. 2228 (2022). Still, one or more other conservative members of the Court may be more concerned with the immediate impact on the economy associated with a ruling against the Federal Reserve than they were to the upending of abortion rights in many states. Justice Kavanaugh, in particular, comes to mind, both because of the pains he went to in Dobbs, 142 S. Ct. at 2309­–10 (Kavanaugh, J., concurring) to confine the implications of his vote and because of his specific reference to the “anomalous” character of the Federal Reserve in his D.C. Circuit opinions in PHH. PHH Corp. v. Consumer Fin. Prot. Bureau, 881 F.3d 75, 174 (D.C. Cir. 2018) (en banc) (Kavanaugh, J., dissenting). So too, the possibility of an escalation of the offensive against the administrative state has likely increased. Accordingly, it is worth noting the implications of a negative outcome for the Federal Reserve.

The implications for the Court’s separation of powers doctrine would vary depending on the specific basis for a ruling of unconstitutionality. They would be least significant if the ruling was based on the Appointments Clause issue with Reserve Bank presidents. Even if the ruling disrupted the economy,403Even the economic impact of a finding against the Reserve Bank presidents might be manageable. As noted in Section III.A., a decision invalidating the participation of Reserve Bank presidents on the FOMC would surely create some uncertainty in financial markets. But if it left the Board intact and independent, market actors might conclude after some reflection that there would be substantial continuity in the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy. This outcome is particularly likely if, as has been true for some time, a solid majority of the Board supports the Chair’s policy direction. the Court could craft an opinion with few implications for the rest of the government. The circumstance of nongovernmental employees sitting on a powerful policymaking committee is unique to the Federal Reserve. While the decision might have an impact on policy roles for government corporations, as in the Amtrak case, it would have little relevance for traditional multi-member independent regulatory agencies. Indeed, the most consequential part of this hypothesized decision might be the expansion of the special standing rules for separation of powers cases that might be necessary in order to reach the merits.

On the other hand, a decision that the mandate of the FOMC or the for-cause removal protection of the Board was an unconstitutional delegation would have broad legal, as well as economic, repercussions. It would effectively signal that there were no limits to the Court’s redesigning of the federal government in accordance with its own views of the best relationship among the branches.

A finding that the Fed’s dual mandate for monetary policy was an unconstitutional delegation would either follow or presage the invalidation of a host of statutory authorities—not just of independent agencies, but probably of agencies within the Administration as well. Any delegation that requires an agency to balance different policy aims could be at risk. In addition, the Court would be faced with the remedial dilemma of either effectively terminating the FOMC or rewriting the Federal Reserve Act. The former option would produce economic chaos. The latter is certainly possible. As discussed in Part II, the Court might elevate price stability to a single mandate, requiring no balancing of inflation against growth. In that event, the Court would have overtly adopted the policy preference of some economic conservatives, thereby reinforcing suspicions that the Court has become an essentially political institution.404Were the Court disposed to invalidate the dual mandate, an alternative path would be to interpret the statutory language in a way that effectively read out the distinct goal of maximum employment. That is, the Court would invoke the substantive canon of constitutional avoidance in declaring that only by reading the statute this way could it be upheld as constitutional. The FOMC would be left with the single goal of price stability. In either case—a finding of unconstitutional delegation or a distorted reading of the Federal Reserve Act—in practice the outcome might nonetheless leave the FOMC with de facto discretion to take employment and growth considerations into account. In such circumstances, assuming liberalized standing, private actors might challenge FOMC decisions as inconsistent with the Court’s ruling. At that point, the Court would have to decide if it would get into the business of reviewing monetary policy decisions, something that Judge Augustus Hand, on behalf of the eminent panel including his cousin Judge Learned Hand and Judge Thomas Swan, shunned nearly a century ago. Raichle v. Fed. Rsrv. Bank of N.Y., 34 F.2d 910 (2d Cir. 1929). Additionally, of course, the Court would need to liberalize non-separation of powers standing doctrine in order to permit challenges to monetary policy decisions.

A decision holding that the Board cannot constitutionally be given for-cause removal protection would, again, either follow or presage similar decisions pertaining to other agencies. The Court would have negated well over a century of practice and realized its vision of a unitary executive, eliminating at least the rulemaking functions of independent agencies and perhaps their adjudicatory and programmatic functions as well. As already seen in the cases of the CFPB and FHFA, the impact on most agencies might not be immediately noticeable in policy terms. One would expect, though, that agency principals whose policies were disagreeable to the current President would eventually be removed. Their replacements would presumably be of one mind (the Administration’s) and significant policy changes could ensue. This impact would be even greater if the Court simultaneously struck down partisan balance requirements as a further infringement on unitary executive authority. The result, as Professors Cass R. Sunstein and Adrian Vermeule put it well, would be a “Madisonian nightmare”—a “discretion-wielding, immensely powerful set of administrative authorities concentrated in a single person.”405Sunstein & Vermeule, supra note 9, at 98.

CONCLUSION

Some of the most important opinions authored by Chief Justice Roberts disclaim any intention to set forth rules that could be applied in future cases. Of course, it is nothing new for important Supreme Court cases to raise more questions than they answer. But this result is often the product of opinions whose reasoning is tied closely to the facts of the case, as to which competing principles or values are explicitly balanced. The uncertainty about the implications of those decisions for future cases arises because it is hard to predict how the Court will balance these principles and values in different factual circumstances.

Chief Justice Roberts’s opinions are different. They often articulate broad principles that do not appear actually or potentially offset by other principles of equal importance to the Court. Thus, the peculiar feel of cases like Seila Law and Arthrex, whose sweeping logic can readily be understood to threaten many other agency arrangements established by statute, but whose conclusions rather unpersuasively state that the reasoning is confined to specifics of the case.406Similarly, in West Virginia v. EPA, 142, S. Ct. 2587 (2022), Chief Justice Roberts invoked the potentially far-reaching “major questions doctrine” while declining to give any meaningful guidance as to when that doctrine might be invoked in the future. For early criticisms on this and other grounds, see Natasha Brunstein & Richard L. Revesz, Mangling the Major Questions Doctrine, 74 Admin. L. Rev. 217, 217 (2022); Daniel T. Deacon & Leah M. Litman, The New Major Questions Doctrine, 109 Va. L. Rev. 1009, 1015 (2023). Justice Gorsuch’s dissenting opinion in Gundy also expressed a sweeping principle and left considerable uncertainty as to how it might be applied. Of course, precisely because he was writing a dissent, he did not have the same obligation to address the implications of his reasoning that might be felt by the author of a majority opinion. Moreover, Justice Gorsuch did try to provide at least some guidance as to how his principle would work. The substantial uncertainty that nonetheless results from his opinion is perhaps mostly a function of the inherent difficulty of drawing even a fuzzy non-delegation line, as Justice Scalia had noted two decades earlier. See supra Section II.A. We can only guess as to the reasons for this approach. Perhaps the Chief Justice is trying to move the Court’s doctrine forward in a politically less provocative fashion, while still getting his more uncompromising colleagues to sign on to his opinions. Perhaps he hopes to recapture some legitimacy for the Court by pulling up short of full realization of those controversial principles in future cases. Perhaps he himself does not know how far he is willing to extend the doctrines.

Precisely because the Chief Justice’s principles can capture so much more than the facts of the cases that expressed them, their potential reach can be at least generally extrapolated. In this Article I have used the Federal Reserve to explore the limits of those principles, taking into account other relevant doctrines in opinions written or joined by Justices in the Court’s conservative majority. As a practical matter, a challenge to the constitutionality of the mandate or structure of the FOMC may never be decided on the merits. Yet, even if that remains the situation, working through the implications of the conservative majority’s evolving doctrines is valuable heuristically.

This exercise has revealed the choices from which the Court may need to select in applying its new separation of powers doctrines over time: One is to confine the principles already embraced through introduction of additional, moderating principles. A second is to apply doggedly the logic of those principles by invalidating congressional grants of authority and independence for many agencies. A third is to fashion ad hoc arguments that limit the reach of the new doctrines in particular cases. The first would, in essence, be a welcome retreat from the Court’s campaign against the administrative state. The second would lay bare a judicial appropriation of power from the other two branches of government that might (or might not) produce a destabilizing political reaction. The third would rest not on recognizable judicial standards but on the Court’s own preferences for certain agencies and functions of the U.S. government over others.

97 S. Cal. L. Rev. 1

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* Nomura Professor of International Financial Regulatory Practice, Harvard Law School.

The Court’s Morality Play: The Punishment Lens, Sex, and Abortion

This Article uncovers the hidden framework for the Supreme Court’s approach to public values, a framework that has shaped—and will continue to shape—the abortion debate. The Court has historically used a “punishment lens” to allow the evolution of moral expression in the public square, without enmeshing the Court itself in the underlying values debate. The punishment lens allows a court to redirect attention by focusing on the penalty rather than the potentially inflammatory subject for which the penalty is being imposed, regardless of whether the subject is contraception, abortion, Medicaid expansion, or pretrial detention.

This Article is unique in discussing the circumstances in which the Court has simultaneously concluded that the state could regulate but could not punish, even if that means redefining a sanction as not punitive. By making visible this framework, we offer the Court and the states a potential off-ramp from the continuation of an ugly and litigious future on abortion access. If the Supreme Court seeks to deflect the outrage over Dobbs, the simplest way to do so would be to take seriously the statement that all it has to do is to return the issue to the states. In that case, the Court’s focus should be, as Justice Kavanaugh suggested in his concurrence, on the impermissibility of punishment that infringes on established rights, independent of a right to abortion, such as the right to travel, the First Amendment right to communicate accurate information about abortion availability, or doctors’ efforts to perform therapeutic abortions necessary to preserve a pregnant person’s health. The Court would not pass judgment on the permissibility of abortion, and it could affirm the propriety of state bans, but still strike down heavy-handed prosecutions and ill-defined prohibitions that impose undue penalties. 

After Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization, this Article is particularly important for three reasons. First, this Article examines the ways in which the Court has used considerations of punishment to deflect irreconcilable values clashes. Second, a focus on punishment often illuminates the “dark side” of government action, justifying limits on such actions. Third, a focus on “punishment” often illustrates the consequences of government actions, consequences that may be an indirect result of statutes or regulations but that have disproportionate effects on marginalized communities. Understanding how the Court has used this elusive concept in the past may thus help shape the response to Dobbs.

INTRODUCTION

 The concept of punishment is central to the Supreme Court’s jurisprudence on abortion—and, beyond abortion, to the expression of moral values in the public square. In Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization, Justice Alito found “an unbroken tradition of prohibiting abortion on pain of criminal punishment” throughout the common law until the Court’s decision in Roe v. Wade in 1973.1Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Org., 142 S. Ct. 2228, 2253 (2022). He noted that “the great common-law authorities—Bracton, Coke, Hale, and Blackstone—all wrote that a post-quickening abortion was a crime”2Id. at 2236. and he traced these developments from the thirteenth century forward.3Id.

The Dobbs opinion, like most criminal law discussions, assumes that the power to prohibit includes the power to punish violations of those prohibitions. And, indeed, criminal law scholars have produced an extensive literature on the justifications for the imposition of criminal sanctions and the constitutional limits on that imposition.4See, e.g., Aliza Plener Cover, Supermajoritarian Criminal Justice, 87 Geo. Wash. L. Rev. 875, 894–95 (2019) (discussing approaches to the relationship between criminal justice and social morals, including H.L.A. Hart); see also Dov Fox, Medical Disobedience, 136 Harv. L. Rev. 1030, 1088–89 (2023) (pointing out the moral costs of punishing those who receive abortions); Mary Ziegler, Some Form of Punishment: Penalizing Women for Abortion, 26 Wm. & Mary Bill Rts. J. 735, 783–84 (2018) (exploring the moral complexity of abortion punishment). See generally R.A. Duff, Punishment, Communication, and Community (2001) (arguing that criminal punishment is a means of moral communication).

What neither that vast literature nor the Dobbs opinion addresses, however, is the role of punishment in the evolution of the jurisprudence addressing the expression of public values, separate and apart from the existence of the laws prohibiting conduct. As this Article shows, when the Supreme Court has focused on the state’s justification for punishment independently from the underlying policy, it has often used the nature of punishment as a justification for striking down legislation—even when the Court concedes that the state purpose is otherwise legitimate.5See infra notes 75–81 and accompanying text. And it sometimes uses the declaration that onerous provisions are not “penalt[ies]” to uphold coercive legislation that, as a practical matter, limits access to what the Court otherwise recognizes as important rights.6Wyman v. James, 400 U.S. 309, 316 (1971) (“When a case involves a home and some type of official intrusion into that home, as this case appears to do, an immediate and natural reaction is one of concern about Fourth Amendment rights and the protection which that Amendment is intended to afford. Its emphasis indeed is upon one of the most precious aspects of personal security in the home . . . .”); Harris v. McRae, 448 U.S. 297, 317 n.19 (1980) (“A refusal to fund protected activity, without more, cannot be equated with the imposition of a ‘penalty’ on that activity.”). As these cases show, outside of the narrow context of whether a criminal prohibition justifies the imposition of a particular sentence,7While an extensive literature addresses the propriety of sentencing for specific offenses, the Supreme Court has been criticized for failing to adopt a rigorous definition of what constitutes “punishment,” even in the context of determining “cruel and unusual punishment,” a doctrine in which the definition of punishment is of constitutional significance. See Raff Donelson, Cruel and Unusual What? Toward A Unified Definition of Punishment, 9 Wash. U. Juris. Rev. 1, 3 (2016) (concluding that “the Court has largely tried to sidestep the question of what should count as punishment”). punishment has an ill-defined life of its own in Supreme Court jurisprudence.

This Article is the first to detail how the Supreme Court has viewed the concept of “punishment” as a justification for upholding or invalidating government acts in the context of issues involving contested values.8While other scholars have discussed the propriety of morals regulation, that literature generally assumes that the power to regulate morality includes the power to punish—or that the harshness of punishment constitutes an argument for repealing morals regulations. See Alice Ristroph, Third Wave Legal Moralism, 42 Ariz. St. L.J. 1151 passim (2010) (summarizing the debate). While an intense debate raged at mid-century over whether the state should regulate morality, that debate generally assumed that if the state could regulate, it could also punish.9See id. (describing the traditional argument that criminal laws should reflect shared moral institutions and that the failure to enforce them would lead to social disintegration); see also Paul H. Robinson & John M. Darley, Intuitions of Justice: Implications for Criminal Law and Justice Policy, 81 S. Cal. L. Rev. 1, 21 (2007) (arguing that the power of the criminal justice system relies on the community’s belief in the moral credibility of the law). This Article is unique in discussing the circumstances in which the Court has simultaneously concluded that the state could regulate but could not punish. For example, the Court held that a state could discourage teen sex but not by encouraging pregnancy as the consequence10Carey v. Population Servs. Int’l, 431 U.S. 678, 685 (1977). or could adopt restrictive measures,11Harris, 448 U.S. at 297–99. such as blanket refusals to fund medically necessary abortions, so long as the statute did not prohibit abortion or penalize those seeking one.12While some see this as ‘punishing’ the poor, see, e.g., Deborah L. Rhode, Feminism and the State, 107 Harv. L. Rev. 1181, 1205 (1994), the Court rejected such a label in Harris, maintaining that since the poor have no affirmative right to government funding, selectively choosing to fund some procedures (childbirth) and not others (abortion) is not punishment. Harris, 448 U.S. at 317 n.19 (“A refusal to fund protected activity, without more, cannot be equated with the imposition of a ‘penalty’ on that activity.”).

This Article is particularly important following Dobbs for three reasons. First, it illustrates the ways in which the Court has used considerations of punishment to deflect irreconcilable values clashes. For those who would like to extricate the Court from the conflicts Dobbs has inflamed, limiting punishment, for example, of those exercising a constitutionally protected right to travel, offers a potential off ramp.

Second, a focus on punishment often illuminates the “dark side” of government action. The opinion in Griswold v. Connecticut placed great weight on the intrusiveness of policing the use of contraceptives in the marital bedroom.13 Griswold v. Connecticut, 381 U.S. 479 (1965). The ugliness of imposing punishment may similarly become a focal point for organization in response to the patchwork of state laws after Dobbs.14See generally David S. Cohen, Greer Donley & Rachel Rebouché, The New Abortion Battleground, 123 Colum. L. Rev. 1 (2023) [hereinafter Cohen et al., The New Abortion Battleground].

Third, a focus on “punishment” is often used to illustrate the consequences of government actions, consequences that may be an indirect result of statutes or regulations but that have disproportionate effects on marginalized communities.15See, e.g., Loïc Wacquant, Punishing the Poor: The Neoliberal Government of Social Insecurity (2009). In some cases, the effect is intentional, maintaining moral hierarchies that fall along lines of race and class. Much of the opposition to Medicaid expansion, for example, has been focused on penalizing those perceived as “undeserving” of government benefits. See infra notes 205–210 and accompanying text; Nicole Huberfeld & Jessica L. Roberts, Health Care and the Myth of Self-Reliance, 57 B.C. L. Rev. 1, 14 (2016) (“State politicians have displayed reticence to opt into Medicaid expansion based on bias against those historically deemed unworthy of governmental assistance . . . .”). Khiara Bridges observes

And so the fall of Roe ushers black people into a regime in which they are likely to engage in criminalized behavior more frequently and in which their racial unprivilege makes them more likely to be swept into the apparatus of the criminal legal system. In this way, the fall of Roe inflicts a racial injury.

Khiara M. Bridges, Foreword: Race in the Roberts Court, 136 Harv. L. Rev. 23, 50 (2022).
Abortion bans may aggravate race and class-based differences,16Erwin Chemerinsky & Michele Goodwin, Abortion: A Woman’s Private Choice, 95 Tex. L. Rev. 1189, 1213, 1247 (2017) (describing racially disparate impact of limiting abortion access). prompting greater recognition of the rights of the pregnant to obtain the medical care needed to safeguard their health.17Given the ambiguities in many abortion bans, court action may be necessary to secure access to the use of abortion-like procedures, even in cases in which the fetus is already dead or has no chance of survival but threatens a person’s life. See discussion infra notes 304–309 and accompanying text. Understanding how the Court has used this elusive concept in the past can thus help shape the response to Dobbs.

The Supreme Court’s conception of “punishment” underlying these considerations is slippery, perhaps intentionally so.18See, e.g., Donelson, supra note 7, at 3, 10 (concluding that “the Court has largely tried to sidestep the question of what should count as punishment” and noting support for the Court’s failure to define punishment “on the grounds that the Court should avoid broad, theoretically ambitious decisions, especially on factually or ethically complex matters”). Precisely because the Court has used the concept of “punishment” or “penalties” without exact definitions to aid the Court in sidestepping issues, we do not offer a definition here, but instead underscore how the commonalities in the way the Court uses the term, rather than in how it (inconsistently) defines it. The Court uses the concept at both an expressive level, reinforcing public norms, and a practical level, specifying the consequences for the violation of government mandates, both civil and criminal. Most critically for this Article, it provides the Court with a way to shape emerging norms in the context of public unease.

After describing the multidisciplinary literature on punishment’s multiple roles, we examine the way that the Court has deployed punishment as a rationale for invalidating government action, particularly in the context of cases involving sexual morality. Eisenstadt v. Baird, which stuck down bans on the sale of contraceptives to single women, provides a classic case: the Court simultaneously “conceded” that “the State could . . . regard the problems of extramarital and premarital sexual relations as ‘(e)vils’ ”19Eisenstadt v. Baird, 405 U.S. 438, 448 (1972). but still held that this could not be the purpose of the Massachusetts legislation because it “would be plainly unreasonable to assume that Massachusetts has prescribed pregnancy and the birth of an unwanted child as punishment for fornication . . . .”20Id. The reasoning in Eisenstadt is particularly striking because the state, in outlawing contraception for single women, did not address pregnancy per se; instead, the Court treated it as part of the implicit basis for the prohibition. See discussion infra Section II.A. The irrationality of the punishment, not the permissibility of unmarried sex, provided the basis for the decision—and implicitly for the limitation of state power to regulate sexual morality.

We then explore how the Court has used the determination of what is a punishment to affirm state decision-making power in a federal system. The question of when the state is inflicting a punishment as opposed to imposing a reasonable condition or proceeding on appropriate administrative grounds arises in contexts ranging from welfare “home visits” to detention to Medicaid expansion, with the Court using the punishment lens to sidestep the substantive bases for these decisions.21The Court has, for example, labelled some pretrial detentions as “regulatory,” rather than punishment. United States v. Salerno, 481 U.S. 739, 746 (1987); see Megan T. Stevenson & Sandra G. Mayson, Pretrial Detention and the Value of Liberty, 108 Va. L. Rev. 709, 719 (2022) (discussing states’ justification of pretrial detention). Cf. June Carbone, Seeing Through the Emperor’s New Clothes: Rediscovery of Basic Principles in the Administration of Bail, 34 Syracuse L. Rev. 517, 565–68 (1983) (arguing that the legitimacy of the bail system depends on proportionality between pretrial measures and postconviction sanctions).

Finally, this Article considers cases that directly engage the relationship between punishment and the underlying values debate. Lawrence v. Texas, which invalidated Texas’s same-sex sodomy statute, provides the most striking example. Justice Kennedy’s majority opinion did not just strike down the criminalization of the sexual conduct.22Lawrence v. Texas, 539 U.S. 558, 558 (2003). It affirmed the dignity and worth of the expression of intimacy in the case. Justice Scalia’s dissent, by contrast, saw punishment as the point, with both the majority and dissent agreeing that the values debate was central to the discussion.23Id. at 602.

This Article observes that the “punishment lens” provides a powerful tool for shaping the evolution of public values without enmeshing the Court in the underlying values debate. We consider whether the punishment lens can be successful in two ways: guiding the evolution of public values without triggering a backlash that further entrenches polarized opposition24Neil Siegel has labelled this “judicial statesmanship.” Neil S. Siegel, The Virtue of Judicial Statesmanship, 86 Tex. L. Rev. 959, 963 (2008). Siegel argues that statesmanship is what allows “the legal system to legitimate itself” and it requires “expressing social values as social circumstances change and sustaining social solidarity amidst reasonable, irreconcilable disagreement.” Id. or, failing that, reaching decisions in controversial cases that do not undermine the Court’s own legitimacy and authority.25Id. On the concept of judicial legitimacy, see William N. Eskridge, Jr., Pluralism and Distrust: How Courts Can Support Democracy by Lowering the Stakes of Politics, 114 Yale L.J. 1279, 1293–94 (2005) (identifying the overriding goal of judicial review as “lowering the stakes of politics”); Tara Leigh Grove, Sacrificing Legitimacy in a Hierarchical Judiciary, 121 Colum. L. Rev. 1555, 1581 (2021) (discussing the judiciary’s “conundrum” in high-profile cases as setting out rules versus open-ended tests); Robert Post & Reva Siegel, Roe Rage: Democratic Constitutionalism and Backlash, 42 Harv. C.R.-C.L. L. Rev. 373, 379 (2007) (“Constitutional judgments based on professional legal reason can acquire democratic legitimacy only if professional reason is rooted in popular values and ideals.”); Nelson Tebbe & Micah Schwartzman, The Politics of Proportionality, 120 Mich. L. Rev. 1307, 1308–09 (2022) (considering whether “proportionality review” can adjudicate between conflicting rights); Lee Kovarsky, The American Execution Queue, 71 Stan. L. Rev. 1163, 1226 (2019) (noting the interest in legitimacy for the criminal justice system). By this standard, Eisenstadt v. Baird, which used the punishment lens to avoid the underlying values questions while striking down barriers to contraceptive access, and Lawrence v. Texas, which instead of relying on the punishment lens directly engaged the values questions, both succeeded in resolving issues in ways that helped move public opinion and lock in legal conclusions that remain embedded in American law. Whether applying the punishment lens to abortion can enjoy similar success remains to be seen, but this Article concludes by outlining the possibilities a focus on punishment can offer.

I.  PUNISHMENT AND THE RULE OF LAW

The role of state-administered punishment is much studied—and much contested. Existing literature addresses the questions of what might justify the ability of the state to inflict intentionally burdensome treatment on its citizens,26R.A. Duff, The Realm of Criminal Law, Chapter 1 passim (2018). what purposes such punishment should serve,27See, e.g., Joshua Kleinfeld, Three Principles of Democratic Criminal Justice, 111 Nw. U. L. Rev. 1455, 1479 (2017) (noting that both the expressive conception of punishment and the prosocial punishment principle use “the expressive qualities of punishment to condemn a crime, affirm the social norm violated by the crime, and affirm the dignity of any victim or victims of the crime”). and what constitutes appropriate punishment.28The U.S. Constitution, for example, prohibits “cruel and unusual” punishment but the meaning of the clause is limited and contested. See, e.g., John F. Stinneford, Rethinking Proportionality Under the Cruel and Unusual Punishments Clause, 97 Va. L. Rev. 899, 903 (2011) (arguing that the Supreme Court reviews whether punishments are proportionate to the crime only in a narrow range of cases that involve the death penalty and that the Court’s power to punish proportionality is not firmly established in the Constitution). As this scholarship establishes, law enforcement—and punishment of egregious crimes—is essential to a state’s legitimacy. Without punishment of criminal acts, a state cannot govern—and command either the support of its constituents or deference from the international order.29See, e.g., Larry May, Crimes Against Humanity: A Normative Account 13 (2005) (arguing that when a state fails to ensure its citizens’ safety and security, international bodies should be able to infringe on its sovereignty, with the need to protect human rights “providing a basis for justified interference with the sovereign affairs of the State”). This literature, however, in its most idealized form, tends to assume a straightforward relationship between crime and punishment: the state prohibits certain acts, imposes prescribed penalties for the violation of the law, and administers the penalties in accordance with principles of procedural and substantive justice, emphasizing due process rights for the accused and fairness defined in terms of proportionality between the crime and the punishment.30That idealized vision, of course, has been subject to extensive critique. See, e.g., Monica C. Bell, Police Reform and the Dismantling of Legal Estrangement, 126 Yale L.J. 2054, 2066–68 (2017) (positing legal estrangement as a means for understanding alienation from the criminal justice system).

This Section goes beyond the conventional analysis of criminal punishment to explore the expressive role that punishment serves. It shows that the judicial oversight of punishment serves four roles that pose difficult challenges in the face of contested or changing values: establishing shared societal values, maintaining or dismantling social hierarchies, mediating disputes over the authority of governmental actors to impose punishment, and channeling the individual desire for vengeance into state-approved channels.

First, the administration of punishment defines and reinforces societal values, often in symbolic ways. For example, with the recognition that smoking caused cancer and other health risks,31U.S. Dep’t of Health and Human Servs., Reducing Tobacco Use: A Report of the Surgeon General 40 (2000). the perceived acceptability of smoking changed.32Dan M. Kahan, The Cognitively Illiberal State, 60 Stan. L. Rev. 115, 138 (2007) [hereinafter Kahan, Cognitively Illiberal] (describing a shift that stamped “smoking . . . as undesirable, deviant behavior, and smokers as social misfits”). In the United States, the state did not respond by prohibiting smoking. Instead, government entities gradually limited the places where smoking was permitted, first, creating “no smoking” areas and ultimately banning smoking in restaurants, offices, and other places.33See, e.g., Helling v. McKinney, 509 U.S. 25, 36 (1993) (describing Nevada prison system’s smoking policy that limited acceptable places for smoking within the prison). Over time, enforcement of these rules—and the imposition of sanctions on violators—did not just shift norms of politeness; they expressed moral disapproval of smoking as undesirable and deviant.34Kahan, Cognitively Illiberal, supra note 32. In 1993, the Supreme Court of the United States embraced the shift in attitudes in a decision that held placing a nonsmoking prison inmate in a cell with a five-pack-a-day smoker could constitute constitutionally impermissible “cruel and unusual punishment.”35Donelson, supra note 7, at 9. In so ruling, the Court did not limit the word “punishment” to the prescribed penalties for a criminal act.36Justices Scalia and Thomas dissented on this point. See Helling, 509 U.S. at 37–38 (Thomas, J. dissenting).  Instead, its finding of “cruel and unusual punishment” reflected and reinforced the changed social meaning of smoking from an acceptable activity to one that violated evolving “standards of decency,”37Helling, 509 U.S. at 29. and concluded that violating this new moral sensibility could constitute “punishment” within the meaning of the Constitution. The act of placing a nonsmoker with a smoker thus became punishment because of the changed moral status of smoking.

Second, legal scholars have argued that beyond merely maintaining order, much of the power of state-administered punishment comes from this expression of “moral condemnation”38Dan M. Kahan, What Do Alternative Sanctions Mean?, 63 U. Chi. L. Rev. 591, 593 (1996). and its role in establishing social hierarchies within a society. In accordance with this analysis, moral condemnation does not just declare particular conduct to be illegal; it establishes and reinforces social order and social standing in a society.39See Jessica Bregant, Eugene M. Caruso & Alex Shaw, Crime Because Punishment? The Inferential Psychology of Morality and Punishment, 2020 U. Ill. L. Rev. 1177, 1177 (2020) (“Psychologically speaking, punishment may operate as a special case of social norm information, but what sets punishment apart from other norms is the moral weight punishment carries. . . . [I]nformation about punishment can influence the extent to which an act of wrongdoing is judged to have been harmful.”); Matthew Tokson & Ari Ezra Waldman, Social Norms in Fourth Amendment Law, 120 Mich. L. Rev. 265, 268 (2021) (“Antisodomy laws, though largely unenforced, shaped social norms by stigmatizing gay people—and their invalidation by the Supreme Court in 2003 helped to promote norms favoring equality and acceptance.”). Criminal acts threaten to upend the social order, as the person committing the crime asserts the right to defy established law and norms. Imposing punishment that carries moral condemnation with it restores the moral order,40Hegel argued that formal punishment in a court of law replaces vengeance for a particular act against a particular victim with universal principles and transforms the punishment “into the genuine reconciliation of right with itself . . . by the annulment of the crime, the law is restored, and its authority is thereby actualized.” Keally McBride, Punishment and Political Order 7 (2007). affirming the victim’s superior status to that of the violator.41Bregant et al., supra note 39, at 1181–82. Bregant et al. refer to this justification for punishment as “expressive retributivism.” Id. at 1181. They observe that “[u]nder this theory, crimes are themselves expressive acts that send a message to a victim and to society about the standing of the victim relative to the offender. Punishment, in contrast, sends the opposite message, rejecting the offender’s false claim and restoring the victim’s position in society.” Id. at 1181–82 (footnote omitted). Punishment can thus signal that “the community values the victim”42Kenworthey Bilz, The Puzzle of Delegated Revenge, 87 B.U. L. Rev. 1059, 1088 (2007). while the failure to punish can indicate indifference, or even disdain, toward the victim.43Id. Indeed, a study of five to eight-year-old children indicated that the children liked “the victim of a theft more if the thief who committed the act was punished, compared to when the thief went unpunished.” Bregant et al., supra note 39, at 1182. That is, punishment validated the victim. Accordingly, both imposing punishment and failing to punish send important messages about what a society values. State-administered punishment can thus establish and reinforce norms in ways that contribute to social cohesion,44McBride, supra note 40, at 9 (observing that a “dominant theme in punishment literature examines how the process of punishment is used as a tool of social cohesion”). cohesion operating at the group as well as the individual level.45Dan Kahan notes, for example, that “by infusing a law with meanings that affirm a person’s worldview, [legislators] diminish the status anxiety that might otherwise have caused that person to resist its adoption.” Kahan, Cognitively Illiberal, supra note 32, at 149. Political theorist Keally McBride argues that administering such punishment builds social cohesion, observing, “[t]he power of the community is expressed when it punishes; the members of the community bond through their imposition of pain upon outsiders.” McBride, supra note 40, at 9. Disturbingly, the imposition of punishment can breed cohesion even if there is no crime;46Or if evidence establishing the responsibility of the accused for the alleged offense does not exist. McBride, supra note 40, at 9. For a particularly brutal description of the role of lynching in maintaining feelings of racial superiority and punishing black male sexuality, see Orlando Patterson, Rituals of Blood: The Consequences of Slavery in Two American Centuries 171–232 (1998). nonetheless, the state reaffirms its legitimacy and authority when it punishes in the name of a value or ideal, rather than simply because it can.47McBride, supra note 40, at 9 (observing that on the playground, “punishment is necessary for the existence of the group, not because of the inevitability of crime,” but that the modern state does not ordinarily “punish simply because it can—rather, it must punish in the name of a value or ideal”).

The role of punishment in establishing social hierarchies, particularly when it operates at a group-based level, contributes to the dark side of punishment.48See, e.g., Molly J. Crockett, Comment, Moral Outrage in the Digital Age, 1 Nature Hum. Behav. 769, 769–71 (2017) (“Moral outrage is a powerful emotion that motivates people to shame and punish wrongdoers. Moralistic punishment can be a force for good, increasing cooperation by holding bad actors accountable. But punishment also has a dark side—it can exacerbate social conflict by dehumanizing others and escalating into destructive feuds.”) (footnote omitted); Keith Jensen, Punishment and Spite, the Dark Side of Cooperation, 365 Phil. Transactions Royal Soc’y B 2635, 2645 (2010) (observing that the “dark side of human nature,” which can include spiteful punishment, “may not only be a shadow of the light side, but may be integral to the foundation of large-scale cooperation”). Brain imaging studies49Molly J. Crockett, Annemieke Apergis-Schoute, Benedikt Herrmann, Matthew D. Lieberman, Ulrich Müller, Trevor W. Robbins & Luke Clark, Serotonin Modulates Striatal Responses to Fairness and Retaliation in Humans, 33 J. Neuroscience 3505, 3510–11 (2013). show that the act of punishing engages the part of the brain that produces feelings of reward—the same area of the brain involved in drug addiction.50Olivia Goldhill, The Psychology of Punishment is Key to Why People Vote Against Their Own Interests, Says an Oxford Neuroscientist, Quartz (Feb. 25, 2017), https://qz.com/916680
/the-psychology-of-punishment-is-key-to-why-people-vote-against-their-own-interests-says-an-oxford-neuroscientist [https://perma.cc/M8UY-S48X]. In other work, Crockett documents how social media stokes these feelings of moral outrage, observing that “expressions of outrage and contempt may help to maintain a positive group image in response to group threat by derogating the out-group.” William J. Brady, Molly J. Crockett & Jay J. Van Bavel, The MAD Model of Moral Contagion: The Role of Motivation, Attention, and Design in the Spread of Moralized Content Online, 15 Persps. Psych. Sci. 978, 986 (2020). 
Individuals may thus derive pleasure from imposing punishment on others even when imposing punishment makes the punisher worse off.51Goldhill, supra note 50. “In both primates and humans, serotonin function tends to covary positively with prosocial behaviors such as grooming, cooperation, and affiliation, and tends to covary negatively with antisocial behaviors such as aggression and social isolation.” Jenifer Z. Siegel & Molly J. Crockett, How Serotonin Shapes Moral Judgment and Behavior, 1299 Annals N.Y. Acad. Sci. 42, 42 (2013). Other studies indicate that in lab experiments, there may be two different kinds of punishment: punishment enforcing group norms that punishes unfairness directed at others, and punishment avenging unfair behavior directed at the punisher. Yan Wu, Hongbo Yu, Bo Shen, Rongjun Yu, Zhiheng Zhou, Guoping Zhang, Yushi Jiang & Xiaolin Zhou, Neural Basis of Increased Costly Norm Enforcement Under Adversity, 9 Soc. Cognitive & Affective Neuroscience 1862, 1869–70 (2014).

This psychological dimension corresponds to some descriptions of the retributivist purpose of punishment. Nietzsche argues that cruelty—and the satisfaction some derive from it—is the point of punishment.5210 Friedrich Wilhelm Nietzsche, A Genealogy of Morals, in The Works of Friedrich Nietzsche 75–86 (Alexander Tille ed., William A. Hausemann trans., MacMillan 1897). Nietzsche stated:

[The anger of the community] plunges [the wrongdoer] back into the wild, out-law condition, against which so far protection had been granted him. Community repudiates him, and now all sorts of hostilities may wreak themselves upon him. ‘Punishment,’ in this stage of civilisation, is simply the image, the mimus of normal conduct, as manifested towards a hated, disarmed and cast-down enemy, who has forfeited not only all privileges and all protections, but even every claim to mercy; it is, therefore, the martial law and triumphal celebration of the vae victis! with all its unrelentingness and cruelty . . . .

Id. at 85–86.
Even Oliver Wendell Holmes agreed that at least in some cases, punishment “is inflicted for the very purpose of causing pain” and “one of its objects is to gratify the desire for vengeance.”53Oliver Wendell Holmes, Jr., The Common Law 41 (1881). And the anger and moral outrage that fuels demand for punishment can be manipulated.54Indeed, researchers describe “affective group polarization,” as involving “intense, negative attitudes toward the political outgroup.” Jordan Carpenter, William Brady, Molly J. Crockett, René Weber & Walter Sinnott-Armstrong, Political Polarization and Moral Outrage on Social Media, 52 Conn. L. Rev. 1107, 1109–10 (2021). Research has tantalizingly suggested that the act of punishment itself reinforces perception of harm.55Bregant et al., supra note 39, at 1202 (“[P]eople . . . infer that a punished act is more morally wrong and more disgusting than an act that is not punished.”). Indeed, the authors report that “apparently harmless violations are not really perceived as harmless at all”; instead, “subjective harm is imputed even when the scenarios are written to foreclose the possibility of objective harm.” Id. at 1188. Cultural cognition studies further show that people associate behavior contrary to their moral norms with socially detrimental consequences.56Kahan, Cognitively Illiberal, supra note 32, at 115.

Precisely because the administration of punishment reinforces social standing at both the individual and the group level, it has implications that go beyond the punishment administered to any particular individuals. The decisions about which punishments to implement (such as firing an employee who refuses to be vaccinated or imposing work requirements as a condition of eligibility for state subsidized health insurance benefits) can create group-based winners and losers, elevating the status of one group at the expense of another.57See, e.g., Kristen Underhill, “Everybody Knows I’m Not Lazy”: Medicaid Work Requirements and the Expressive Content of Law, 20 Yale J. Health Pol’y L. & Ethics 225 passim (2021) (describing perceptions that the poor are lazy as a reason to oppose Medicaid expansion). Yet, denying the legitimacy of such demands for punishment—or imposing them too harshly—can also undermine respect for law.58E.g., Deborah Tuerkheimer, Criminal Justice and the Mattering of Lives, 116 Mich. L. Rev. 1145, 1164 (2018) (addressing the need to balance appropriate punishment and the deterrent and expressive goals of criminal law).

This leads to the third role of judicial oversight of punishment: mediating conflicts that involve the authority of different governmental actors to impose punishment. In the United States, for example, the Supreme Court has overseen evolving conflicts between the states and the federal government in the administration of family law. The U.S. Constitution has historically been viewed as entrusting family law to the states,59Naomi R. Cahn, Family Law, Federalism, and the Federal Courts, 79 Iowa L. Rev. 1073, 1074 (1994). For a discussion of the relationship between this history and the legacy of slavery, see Jill Elaine Hasday, Federalism and the Family Reconstructed, 45 UCLA L. Rev. 1297, 1325 (1998) (describing Southerners as treating slave status as part of domestic relationships law). but the Supreme Court has selectively intervened, at times to enhance or restrain state authority to impose punishment. In Stanley v. Illinois,60Stanley v. Illinois, 405 U.S. 645 (1972). for example, the Supreme Court held that Illinois could not treat Peter Stanley as an unfit parent61Id. at 650 (“[T]he State, on showing that the father was not married to the mother, need not prove unfitness in fact, because it is presumed at law.”). The State of Illinois argued that to earn equal status with a child’s mother, a father must demonstrate his commitment to the family by marrying the mother. See Serena Mayeri, Foundling Fathers: (Non-)Marriage and Parental Rights in the Age of Equality, 125 Yale L.J. 2292, 2313 (2016). —and thus deprive him of standing to seek the custody of his children after their mother’s death—solely because he had not married the mother.62“We conclude that, as a matter of due process of law, Stanley was entitled to a hearing on his fitness as a parent before his children were taken from him and that, by denying him a hearing and extending it to all other parents whose custody of their children is challenged, the State denied Stanley the equal protection of the laws guaranteed by the Fourteenth Amendment.” Stanley, 405 U.S. at 649. The Court intervened to limit the power of the state to punish unmarried fathers, at a time when attitudes were changing toward unmarried relationships.

Finally, the courts have historically overseen punishment in order to channel vengeance into socially constructive venues. The failure to punish perceived wrongs may persuade wronged individuals or groups to “take the law into their own hands” or to impose punishments out of proportion to the wrongful act.63For a discussion on the rationales for the state monopoly on “revenge” and societies where victims “take the law into their own hands,” see Bilz, supra note 42, at 1094–96, discussing why vigilantism, or more colloquially, “taking the law into your own hands” is more prevalent in some cultures than in others. Id. at 1072 (describing the problem of “over-enforcement,” and maintaining that “[i]n a regime where victims have a taste for retribution, wrongdoers will be sanctioned more harshly than they deserve (from the standpoint of the amount of harm they inflicted on their victims)”). The courts, in contrast, are supposed to act “judiciously” in administering punishment in a neutral manner, not just on behalf of the wronged individual, but because the assertion of the moral values of the social order can contribute to a sense of social order and cohesion.64E.g., Rachel E. Barkow, Institutional Design and the Policing of Prosecutors: Lessons from Administrative Law, 61 Stan. L. Rev. 869, 875 (2009) (addressing the judicious nature of criminal prosecution); Marah Stith McLeod, Communicating Punishment, 100 B.U. L. Rev. 2263, 2268 (2020) (noting that punishment must be based on legitimate interests and goals).

The challenge of serving these four roles increases as social norms change.65McBride, supra note 40, at 12 (noting that such punishment can be “destabilizing, creating resistance to and critique of a regime”). The tension between maintaining order and imposing destabilizing punishments is particularly difficult if some social groups reject the norms, while others respond to the increasing defiance of the first group by calling for greater punishment as violations increase.66Robert P. George & David A. J. Richards, The Twenty-First Amendment: Common Interpretation, Nat’l Const. Ctr., https://constitutioncenter.org/the-constitution/amendments/
amendment-xxi/interpretations/151 [https://perma.cc/DL75-6375] (last visited Apr. 17, 2023) (critics believed that “the widespread flouting of Prohibition laws was undermining respect for law in general and encouraging an attitude of contempt for rightful authority”); see also Paul H. Robinson, The Ongoing Revolution in Punishment Theory: Doing Justice As Controlling Crime, 42 Ariz. St. L.J. 1089, 1107 (2010) (“[A] criminal justice system that has squandered its moral authority by regularly deviating from desert is one that is more likely to be ignored during the public conversation because its view may be discounted as just one more example of how the system gets it wrong.”).
The imposition of punishment thus involves an “ever-shifting relationship between a regime and a given population that makes up the most essential element in any political order.”67McBride, supra note 40, at 12.

These four roles make the administration of punishment central to the rule of law. They are also evident as a longstanding aspect of Supreme Court jurisprudence. Yet, managing the tensions between these objectives can undermine as well as maintain social cohesion. Congress and various state legislatures, for example, have attempted to shift norms surrounding intimate relationships by changing the laws governing sexual assault to make date rape easier to prosecute.68Dan M. Kahan, Gentle Nudges vs. Hard Shoves: Solving the Sticky Norms Problem, 67 U. Chi. L. Rev. 607, 623–34 (2000) (discussing difficulty of efforts to change norms around rape law). Imposing more serious penalties, however, may make judges and juries more reluctant to convict—and failures to impose punishment can undermine, in turn, the efforts to shift norms and also lead victims to feel even more isolated and aggrieved.69Id. (commenting on the “stickiness” of norms around rape). Expressing moral condemnation while keeping punishments commensurate with the perceived seriousness of the offenses thus requires walking a tightrope, one that sways with changing public sensibilities. Abortion, perhaps as much as if not more than any other issue, involves “irreconcilable disagreement” that challenges the legitimacy of the judicial system itself. The issues of punishment in the abortion context will test whether the judiciary generally, and the Supreme Court in particular, retain any capacity for guiding the recreation of shared social values.70Following Dobbs, almost two-thirds of the public believed in the legitimacy of the Supreme Court, a much higher percentage than those who supported overruling Roe. Rich Lowry, Opinion: Polls Show Americans Don’t Care That Much About Dobbs—and Won’t Base Their Vote on It, Politico (July 14, 2022), https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2022/07/14/roe-dobbs-wont-save-democrats-00045978 [https://perma.cc/U7MB-YJHQ].

II.  SEX AND PUNISHMENT: RECOGNIZING REPRODUCTIVE RIGHTS

At the time Roe v. Wade was decided in 1973, the Supreme Court was carefully navigating a revolution in sexual mores.71Although Roe had originally come to the Court during the same term as had Eisenstadt, it returned for reargument, and the opinion was issued the subsequent year. Susan Frelich Appleton, The Forgotten Family Law of Eisenstadt v. Baird, 28 Yale J.L. & Feminism 1, 8 (2016). Roe was a direct appeal to the Court, as permitted by 28 U.S.C. § 1253 (2022). In a May 3, 1971 order, the Court postponed the question of jurisdiction to the hearing on the merits. Roe v. Wade, 402 U.S. 941 (1971). Sexual morality presents a classic case for the expressive role of punishment,72The iconic Hart-Devlin debates on the interrelationship of morality and punishment followed a 1957 British report recommending that consensual sexual acts be decriminalized. Lord Patrick Devlin responded, arguing the that shared morality was “essential to social cohesion and stability” and that “disharmony between morality and law would lead to social disintegration.” Patrick Devlin, Maccabaean Lecture, in Jurisprudence of the British Academy: Morals and the Criminal Law (Mar. 18, 1959), reprinted in The Enforcement of Morals 1, 12–14 (1965). H.L.A. Hart argued instead that morality and criminal sanctions should be separated. See H.L.A. Hart, Law, Liberty, and Morality passim (1963). For a summary of the debate and its continuing importance, see Ristroph, supra note 8, at 1151, describing the debate as dominating midcentury discussion of the relationship between morality and punishment, with Hart largely carrying the day. with punishment serving to reinforce what are seen as consensus-based moral values broadly shared by the public.73Devlin argued that the determination of moral standards is embedded in community views and traditions rooted in “common sense.” Devlin, supra note 72, at 14. Dan Kahan observes, however, that such views reflect the different values orientations of those who favor hierarchy and tradition rather than egalitarian values; in other words, as things changes they become points of cultural division rather than consensus-based views. Kahan, Cognitively Illiberal, supra note 32, at 131. Enforcing such norms also involves, however, punishment of private consensual conduct.

This Part shows how the Supreme Court focused on the acceptability of punishment as a rationale for state action rather than on the changing norms themselves. It did so through a series of cases that addressed contraception, nonmarital children’s legitimacy status, welfare benefits, parentage—and ultimately abortion—though the lens of punishment for sexual conduct. Within this new jurisprudence, the Court carved out a right to privacy that did not address the propriety of intimate conduct, but rather evaluated the permissibility of state action designed to shape private conduct.

A.  Contraception and the Propriety of Pregnancy as Punishment for Sex

Starting with Griswold v. Connecticut74Griswold v. Connecticut, 381 U. S. 479, 485 (1965). in 1965, the Supreme Court began to strike down legislation that regulated sexuality in ways that the Court deemed needlessly punitive. In doing so, the Court never waged a frontal assault on the moral order that channeled sexuality into marriage.75Carl E. Schneider, The Channelling Function in Family Law, 20 Hofstra L. Rev. 495, 502 (1992) (describing this purpose).  Instead, the Court examined the rationales underlying the laws and the consequences of imposing punishment.

Griswold addressed the constitutionality of a law that forbade the use of contraception. Anthony Comstock had spearheaded prohibition of contraceptives in the nineteenth century, convinced that they “facilitate[d] immoral conduct” because they “reduce[d] the risk that individuals who engage[d] in premarital sex, extramarital sex, or prostitution [would] suffer the consequences of venereal disease or unwanted pregnancy.”76Geoffrey R. Stone, Sex and the Constitution 190 (2017). Comstock persuaded Congress to outlaw “print and pictorial erotica, contraceptives, abortifacients, information about contraception or abortion, sexual implements and toys, and advertisements” in 187377Id. at 189. The Comstock Act has become more prominent during the editing process of this Article. See, e.g., Application of the Comstock Act to the Mailing of Prescription Drugs That Can Be Used for Abortions, 46 Op. O.L.C. __ (Dec. 23, 2022); Jeannie Suk Gersen, The Expanding Battle Over the Abortion Pill, New Yorker (Mar. 12, 2023), https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2023/03/20/the-expanding-battle-over-the-abortion-pill [https://perma.cc/6QFY-PQGJ]; Michael C. Dorf, Judge Kacsmaryk’s Tortured Readings, Dorf on Law (April 10, 2023), http://www.
dorfonlaw.org/2023/04/judge-kacsmaryks-tortured-readings.html [https://perma.cc/F2MH-64Z2] (discussing the Comstock Act and Alliance for Hippocratic Medicine v. FDA). 
and the states adopted their own “Little Comstock laws” thereafter.78Margaret A. Blanchard, The American Urge to Censor: Freedom of Expression Versus the Desire to Sanitize Society—from Anthony Comstock to 2 Live Crew, 33 Wm. & Mary L. Rev. 741, 751 (1992) (describing adoption of “Little Comstock laws”). Connecticut’s statute, adopted in 1879,79David J. Garrow, How Roe v. Wade Was Written, 71 Wash. & Lee L. Rev. 893, 895 (2014) (describing enactment of the legislation and the Catholic Church’s success in blocking repeal); see also Connecticut and the Comstock Law, Conn. Hist. (Mar. 28, 2021), https://connecticuthistory.org/
connecticut-and-the-comstock-law [https://perma.cc/QP58-LBKR] (noting that while twenty-four states adopted Little Comstock laws, Connecticut’s was the most restrictive).
was one of the most restrictive, banning not just the advertising and sale of contraceptives, but also the use of contraception.80Section 53–32 of the General Statutes of Connecticut (1958 rev.) provided that “[a]ny person who uses any drug, medicinal article or instrument for the purpose of preventing conception shall be fined not less than fifty dollars or imprisoned not less than sixty days nor more than one year or be both fined and imprisoned.” Griswold v. Connecticut, 381 U.S. 479, 480 (1965). Section 54–196 further stated that “[a]ny person who assists, abets, counsels, causes, hires or commands another to commit any offense may be prosecuted and punished as if he were the principal offender.” Id.

The Court framed the case as one against defendants who “gave information, instruction, and medical advice to married persons as to the means of preventing conception.”81Id. at 480 (emphasis in original). In resolving the matter, the Court conceptualized a right to privacy, a right that justified looking the other way at sexual conduct. The Court wrote that “[w]e deal with a right of privacy older than the Bill of Rights older than our political parties, older than our school system.” 82Id. at 486. The Court did not mention married couples’ efforts to limit the number of children they had directly, although it did refer to the marital relationship as “intimate to the degree of being sacred” and suggested that enforcing a ban on contraceptive use would have “a maximum destructive impact upon [the marital] relationship.”83Id. at 485–86 (“[I]n forbidding the use of contraceptives rather than regulating their manufacture or sale,” the statute has “a maximum destructive impact upon [the marital] relationship.”). By contrast, the Court acknowledged the validity of the state’s purported rationale for the regulation: “the discouraging of extra-marital relations.”84Id. at 498. While the Court stated that this rationale “is admittedly a legitimate subject of state concern,”85Id. banning contraceptive use by married couples was simply too far removed from the purported subject of the statute to pass constitutional muster.86The Court stated that the “rationality of this justification is dubious, particularly in light of the admitted widespread availability to all persons in the State of Connecticut, unmarried as well as married, of birth-control devices for the prevention of disease, as distinguished from the prevention of conception . . . .” Id. The Court suggested that the state could regulate the manufacture or sale of contraceptives but not their use within marital unions.87Id. at 485. In short, the Court focused on the ugliness of enforcement88Id. at 485–86 (“Would we allow the police to search the sacred precincts of marital bedrooms for telltale signs of the use of contraceptives? The very idea is repulsive to the notions of privacy surrounding the marriage relationship.”). rather than on the permissibility of the underlying conduct—the use of contraception.89The Griswold decision was not particularly controversial. Public opinion polls not long after the decision found that more than 80% of Americans supported birth control, including 78% of Catholics. Stone, supra note 76, at 78.

Connecticut did not often enforce its ban on married couples’ contraceptive use, but the fact that the law was on the books effectively limited the ability to use contraception to those with access to doctors and pharmacists.90Indeed, John Hart Ely, Chief Justice Earl Warren’s clerk at the time, wrote in a memorandum to Warren, that it was women without adequate financial resources who were the ones most in need of birth control, and that while were the ones “who wanted most for birth control,” and that while “[c]linics are of course the answer . . . it is only against the clinics that the law is enforced . . . . Thus, those who need birth control most are the only ones who are denied it.” Cary Franklin, The New Class Blindness, 128 Yale L.J. 2, 33–34 (2018). While the Griswold decision did not mention the issue,91The briefs, however, did raise the issue. See Brief for Appellants at 70–71, Griswold v. Connecticut, 381 U.S. 479 (1965) (No. 496) (“Since the statutes are not generally enforced or enforceable, they can only be applied to individuals in an arbitrary fashion.”). a major reason for challenging the ban on contraception was the unequal nature of contraceptive access.92See Franklin, The New Class Blindness, supra note 90, at 26 (observing that “[d]isadvantaged women were foremost in the minds of the advocates who challenged Connecticut’s birth control ban in Griswold.”). In a retrospective on Griswold, a curator of the Smithsonian Institution told of her own mother’s efforts to secure contraception—so that she could limit her family to four. She observed that for most of the twentieth century, “[a]ccess to information about safe and effective contraception, like how to use condoms, was hidden to many, yet accessible to predominantly white, middle-class men and women.” Alexandra M. Lord, The Revolutionary 1965 Supreme Court Decision That Declared Sex a Private Affair, Smithsonian Mag. (May 19, 2022), https://www.smithsonianmag.com/smithsonian-institution/the-revolutionary-1965-supreme-court-decision-that-declared-sex-was-a-private-affair-18098
0089 [https://perma.cc/KD5L-3RWN].
By striking down criminal penalties for contraceptive sales, the Court effectively allowed doctors and clinics to make contraception more broadly available. The implicit principle at the core of this decision was that, while the state could steer sexuality into marriage, it could no longer seek to ensure that pregnancy be the unavoidable consequence of sexual relationships.

Eisenstadt v. Baird,93Eisenstadt v. Baird, 405 U.S. 438, 442 (1972). decided in 1972, expanded the principle—that pregnancy was an unreasonable punishment—beyond marriage. Eisenstadt struck down a Massachusetts statute that prohibited supplying contraception to single, as opposed to married, individuals. As in its decision in Griswold, the Court “conceded” that “the State could, consistently with the Equal Protection Clause, regard the problems of extramarital and premarital sexual relations as ‘(e)vils.’ ”94Id. at 448. Nonetheless, it concluded that this could not be the purpose of the Massachusetts legislation because it “would be plainly unreasonable to assume that Massachusetts has prescribed pregnancy and the birth of an unwanted child as punishment for fornication.”95Id. The Court acknowledged, as it did in Griswold, that notwithstanding the law, contraceptives are widely available, and thus “the rationality of this justification is dubious.”96Id.

By 1977, the Supreme Court was willing to say that the state could not prescribe pregnancy as the punishment for sex even where the state had a clear interest in discouraging sex between minors. In striking down a state law that prohibited selling contraceptives to minors under the age of sixteen, the Court noted the state interest in regulating the “morality of minors” in its efforts to promote “the State’s policy against promiscuous sexual intercourse among the young.”97Carey v. Population Servs. Int’l, 431 U.S. 678, 692 (1977). Again, however, the Court accepted the legitimacy of the state interest, but rejected the connection between such a state interest and the prohibition on sales of contraceptives to minors. The Court observed that, “with or without access to contraceptives, the incidence of sexual activity among minors is high, and the consequences of such activity are frequently devastating,” but observed that there was little evidence that banning contraception had much impact.98Id. at 696 (footnotes omitted). The Court thus concluded that the state could not promote an otherwise legitimate objective—discouraging “promiscuous sexual intercourse among the young”—by making pregnancy the punishment for sex and criminalizing efforts to avoid the consequences.99Id. at 692 (rejecting New York’s purported objective of discouraging teen promiscuity). And it emphasized that the justification for banning contraceptive sales became that much weaker as the evidence mounted that the laws on the books did not have the desired effect. It thus concluded that the “punishment” (pregnancy) did not serve the interests of either deterrence (teens with still have sex) or an appropriate desert (a child) for a wrongful act.

B.  Public Recognition and the Removal of the Scarlet Letter from Children

The Supreme Court relied on similar reasoning in dismantling the distinctions between “legitimate” and “illegitimate” children, with the Court ultimately concluding that the states could not seek to channel childbearing into marriage by punishing children for their parents’ conduct. In the “seminal” case of Levy v. Louisiana,100Levy v. Louisiana, 391 U.S. 68, 71–72 (1968). In a companion case, Glona v. American Guarantee & Liability Insurance Co., 391 U.S. 73 (1968), the Court also struck down restrictions on the ability of mothers to recover for the wrongful deaths of their nonmarital children. the Court considered a Louisiana law that restricted the ability to bring a tort action for the wrongful death of a parent to “legitimate children.”101La. Civ. Code Ann. art. 2315 (Supp. 1967) (restricting the word “child” to marital children). As a result, an unmarried mother’s five children, who lived with her, and whom she raised on her own earnings, had no right to sue for their mother’s allegedly wrongful death. The Court, in striking down the statute in a brief opinion, observed that the Court could imagine no reason “why, in terms of ‘equal protection,’ should the tortfeasors go free merely because the child is illegitimate?”102Levy, 391 U.S. at 71. The Court reasoned that the circumstances of the birth had “no relation to the nature of the wrong allegedly inflicted on the mother;” the children, “though illegitimate, were dependent on her.”103Id. at 72. The Court even recounted how the mother in the Levy case supported her children by working as a domestic servant, “taking them to church every Sunday and enrolling them, at her own expense, in a parochial school.”104Id. at 70. In this opinion, the Court identified no countervailing state interest; the children were deprived of the right to sue for the loss of their mother simply because of the circumstances of their birth.

The Supreme Court in Levy did not mention the issue of race, but amicus briefs filed in the case emphasized that, particularly in Louisiana, the distinctions between marital and nonmarital children had a significant racial impact. Indeed, an amicus brief filed by Illinois law professor Harry Krause (and others) argued explicitly that the statute “discriminates on the basis of race.”105Brief for NAACP Legal Defense and Educational Fund as Amicus Curiae Supporting Petitioners at 18, Levy v. Louisiana, 391 U.S. 68 (1967) (No. 508), 1968 WL 112827. The brief maintained that the discrimination stemmed partly from the fact that “disproportionately more Negro children than white children are born out of wedlock,” and, partly from the fact that “a high percentage (70%) of white illegitimate children are adopted . . . whereas very few (3-5%) Negro illegitimates find adoptive parents.”106Id. at 18–19. As a result, “95.8 percent of all persons affected by discrimination against illegitimates under the statute are Negroes.”107Id. at 6. The brief concluded, “the classification of illegitimacy . . . is a euphemism for discrimination against Negroes.”108Id.

Louisiana denied that it sought to punish the children for immorality in sexual behavior, but it nonetheless maintained that it sought to encourage marriage.109Brief for the Attorney General, State of Louisiana as Amicus Curiae Supporting Respondent at 4–5, Levy v. Louisiana, 391 U.S. 68 (1967) (No. 508), 1968 WL 112828. (noting its goal was “the preservation of the legitimate family as the preferred environment for socializing the child”). And the state asserted: “If the community grants almost as much respect for non-marriage as for marriage, illegitimacy increases” and that “illegitimate daughters tend to err in the manner of their illegitimate mothers, producing more illegitimate children.”110Id. at 7. In short, Louisiana did argue that it was necessary to punish the children to deter their parents, if not quite in so many words. And the children who would be punished as a result were overwhelmingly Black.111Serena Mayeri, Marital Supremacy and the Constitution of the Nonmarital Family, 103 Calif. L. Rev. 1277, 1291 (2015) [hereinafter Mayeri, Marital Supremacy]. Louisiana’s efforts to punish nonmarital births thus reinforced a racial as well as moral line, though the majority opinion for the Court did not directly address the racial issue.

In subsequent cases, the Court made the role of punishment even more explicit. In 1972, the Court reaffirmed Levy in striking down a Louisiana statute that defined “child” so that only marital children were eligible for insurance benefits resulting from their father’s death.112Weber v. Aetna Cas. & Sur. Co., 406 U.S. 164, 165 (1972). Justice Powell’s majority opinion held that the “status of illegitimacy has expressed through the ages society’s condemnation of irresponsible liaisons beyond the bonds of marriage,” but still concluded that imposing “this condemnation on the head of an infant is illogical and unjust.”113Id. at 175 (emphasizing that “no child is responsible for his birth and penalizing the illegitimate child is an ineffectual—as well as unjust—way of deterring the parent”). Powell concluded that the distinction between marital and nonmarital children was not justified by any state interest.114Id. at 176.

In 1977, the Court revisited the issue of inheritance,115In 1971, the Court had upheld a Louisiana statute that allowed marital, but not nonmarital, children to inherit from their fathers pursuant to the state’s intestate succession provisions in 1971 because of the difficulties of establishing paternity. Labine v. Vincent, 401 U.S. 532, 533 (1971); see Mayeri, Marital Supremacy, supra note 111, at 1303 (observing that Blackmun, though sympathetic to the claims of the child in the case, who had been acknowledged by her biological father, had concerns about “spurious claims” and the “difficult aspect of proving paternity”). invalidating an Illinois statute that permitted nonmarital children to inherit only from their mothers, not their fathers.116Trimble v. Gordon, 430 U.S. 762, 762–63 (1977). In a 5-4 decision, Justice Powell reiterated that “visiting this condemnation on the head of an infant is illogical and unjust.”117Id. at 769–70 (quoting Weber, 406 U.S. at 175) (“The parents have the ability to conform their conduct to societal norms, but their illegitimate children can affect neither their parents’ conduct nor their own status.”). He emphasized that, while the parents’ behavior might have been immoral, that was not the fault—nor the responsibility—of the children. The opposition to the punishment of children commanded a majority of an even more conservative Court than the Warren Court that had initially struck down such classification.118The following year, however, in Lalli v. Lalli, 439 U.S. 259, 267 (1978), the Supreme Court distinguished Trimble and upheld a New York statute that prevented nonmarital children from inheriting from their fathers where paternity had not been established during the father’s lifetime. The Court distinguished Trimble on the ground that the purpose of the statute was “evidentiary,” not punitive. Lalli, 439 U.S. at 267.

C.  The Right to Abortion: Part I

The Supreme Court’s 1973 decision in Roe v. Wade situated the case within the punishment lens the Court had constructed to deal with reproductive rights more generally. The case never squarely fit there, however, because abortion did not just involve the regulation of sexual behavior between consenting partners; it also raised issues about the involvement of the medical profession and the status of the fetus. Nonetheless, the Court framed the decision as a right centered on the irrationality of the state prescription of childbirth as a way to prevent illicit sex and a jurisprudence conscious of the consequences, intended and unintended, of regulating sexual morality. It thus treated laws banning abortion as imposing punishment—on the pregnant for incurring an unwanted pregnancy, on doctors for exercising medical judgment in treating patients, and on those who felt compelled to seek illegal abortions in unsafe circumstances.

Among the telling aspects of this analysis is the way the Court articulated the state interests at stake. The Court identified the first such interest as one based on “a Victorian social concern to discourage illicit sexual conduct.”119Roe v. Wade, 410 U.S. 113, 148 (1973). Curiously, though, the Court acknowledged that Texas did not articulate that justification in Roe, and it appeared that courts and commentators had not actually taken the argument seriously.120Id. On the other hand, however, the Comstock laws, which banned abortifacients along with pornography and contraception, treated the regulation of sexual morality as of a piece with abortion.121See supra notes 76–80 and accompanying text (discussing adoption of Comstock laws). The Court thought the connection between an abortion ban and the regulation of morality sufficiently important to mention—and dismiss.

Second, the Court acknowledged that forcing a woman to carry an unwanted pregnancy to term is cruel.122Roe, 410 U.S. at 153. It referred to the burdens of pregnancy and childbirth, including the possibility that childbirth “may force upon the woman a distressful life and future,” her “[m]ental and physical health may be taxed by child care,” and the unwanted child may cause “distress, for all concerned.”123Id. The opinion acknowledged the hardship involved in bringing a child into a family that could not care for the child, and the potential for stigmatizing a nonmarital mother.124Id. Indeed, Justice Powell appears to have been influenced by a lower court opinion that held that in the context of an unwanted pregnancy, “the right to an abortion is of even greater concern to the woman than the right to use a contraceptive protected in Griswold.” Garrow, How Roe v. Wade Was Written, supra note 79, at 908. The Court accordingly echoed earlier cases treating avoidable pregnancy and childbirth an inappropriate way to advance state purposes because of the burden imposed.

Third, the Court was aware that the states often brought criminal actions against doctors.125Reva B. Siegel, Roe’s Roots: The Women’s Rights Claims That Engendered Roe, 90 B.U. L. Rev. 1875, 1879 (2010) (observing that criminal prosecutions of doctors as well as “patients was common in the 1960s”). One of the parties in Roe, Dr. James Hubert Hallford, allegedly had faced prosecutions for violations of the Texas abortion statutes.126Roe, 410 U.S. at 120–21. Hallford maintained that the applicable statutes were unconstitutionally vague because he could not determine whether his patients’ situations would qualify as exceptions to the abortion ban,127Id. at 121. so he faced punishment for exercising a good faith medical judgment about his patients’ therapeutic needs. Justice Blackmun’s initial draft proposed striking down Texas’s anti-abortion law as unconstitutional only on the grounds that it was void for vagueness.128Garrow, How Roe v. Wade Was Written, supra note 79, at 905. An earlier case, United States v. Vuitch, 402 U.S. 62, 72 (1971), had upheld an abortion statute challenged on vagueness grounds declaring that the statute’s promulgation of a “health” exception was not unconstitutionally vague so long as “health” was correctly understood to cover a pregnant woman’s “psychological as well as physical well-being.” The punishment that doctors faced in making delicate judgements was clearly a factor in the subsequent Roe decision and in its declaration that abortion decisions should be left to “the woman and her responsible physician.”129Roe, 410 U.S. at 153.

Fourth, the Court dismissed state assertions that banning abortion was necessary to protect women’s health, observing that mortality rates during the first trimester of pregnancy “appear to be as low as or lower than the rates for normal childbirth” in contrast with the “prevalence of high mortality rates at illegal ‘abortion mills.’ ”130Id. at 149–50. While less explicit than the Court’s acknowledgment of the burdens of pregnancy, the Court recognized that resort to unsafe abortions was a punitive consequence of the prohibition of legal abortions.

In the background of the case, states’ law on abortion had begun to change, with some states repealing their anti-abortion statutes entirely and others reforming their law to expand the availability of therapeutic abortions.131David J. Garrow, Liberty and Sexuality: The Right to Privacy and the Making of Roe v. Wade 303–34 (rev. ed. 1998) (providing review of abortion reforms enacted in states prior to Roe). A practical consequence was that, as with contraception, the availability of abortion, particularly safe abortion, differed significantly by race, location, and class.132Melissa Murray, Race-Ing Roe: Reproductive Justice, Racial Justice, and the Battle for Roe v. Wade, 134 Harv. L. Rev. 2025, 2046 (2021) (“[A]s one public health official noted, the difference between a lawful ‘therapeutic’ abortion and an illegal abortion was merely ‘$300 and knowing the right person.’ ”). Partly as a result, women of color were substantially more likely—by some estimates twelve times more likely133Rachel Benson Gold, Lessons from Before Roe: Will Past Be Prologue? Guttmacher Pol’y Rev. (Mar. 1, 2003), https://www.guttmacher.org/gpr/2003/03/lessons-roe-will-past-be-prologue [https://perma.cc/Z93B-MBEU].—to die from illegal abortion than white women.134See Shirley Chisholm, Unbought and Unbossed 122 (1970) (observing that “49 percent of the deaths of pregnant black women and 65 percent of those of Puerto Rican women . . . [are] due to criminal, amateur abortions”) (omission in original); Leslie J. Reagan, When Abortion Was a Crime: Women, Medicine, and Law in the United States, 1867–1973 212–13 (1997) (explaining that “[t]he racial differences in abortion-related deaths and access to safe therapeutic abortions mirrored the racial inequities in health services in general and in overall health” and noting that the maternal mortality rates for Black women were three or four times as high as those for white women); Chemerinsky & Goodwin, supra note 16, at 1213, 1247 (describing racial disparities in the health impact of illegal abortions and noting that there was an almost immediate 40% decline in abortion-related deaths after Roe).

In limiting the state ability to restrict abortion, the Court treated these restrictions as imposing impermissible penalties on those seeking abortion. The penalties were not so much the criminal sanctions themselves; these were rarely imposed on the individuals who secured abortions.135Reagan, supra note 134, at 23–28, 115, 123–27 (observing that few people were prosecuted for obtaining their own abortions); Ziegler, supra note 4, at 740 (“In practice, few women went to prison for having an abortion, although many faced embarrassment and stigma during the very public prosecution of doctors or lovers.”). Instead, states banning abortion were making childbirth the consequence of unprotected sex—and the risk of death the price of seeking an illegal abortion. The Court found that unacceptable. And while the Court recognized the state interest in protecting fetal life, it balanced that interest against the woman’s interest in deciding whether to give birth. Fetal life, as an interest separated from the sexuality (and women’s bodies) that produced it, would become more prominent as an issue only after Roe was decided.136See Cary Franklin, Roe as We Know It, 114 Mich. L. Rev. 867, 871 (2016) (noting that while abortion was already highly political by the time of Roe, the following decade resulted in realignments in parties, increasing the partisan polarization associated with the issue).

In these cases, the Supreme Court helped oversee a shift in sexual mores during a period where nonmarital sexuality was becoming more common and accepted. In focusing on the acceptability of the punishment, the Court did not endorse the changes directly; instead, it addressed the rationality of widely violated restrictions that imposed serious, arbitrary and discriminatory harms. The Court’s use of the term “punishment” was not, however, consistent or the subject of a coherent jurisprudence. Sometimes, it referred to the state rationales (deterring sex by limiting access to contraception, making pregnancy the “punishment” for fornication), sometimes it referred to the intrusive nature of criminal enforcement (searching the marital bedroom) rather than the imposition of criminal sanctions, and sometimes it considered the collateral consequences of government action (the stigma and limitations associated with nonmarital births). In the process, however, the Court used the punishment lens to oversee a wholesale effort to strike down what it saw as the outdated remnants of “Victorian” sexual mores without disavowing the legitimacy of state efforts to channel sexuality into marriage.

III.  PUNISHING PARENTS

The era that produced Roe involved overlapping interests reducing the support for a punitive approach to sexual morality: a change in sexual norms, a remaking of women’s roles, and more urgent calls for racial equality.137See Siegel, supra note 125, passim (explaining how the push to eliminate abortion bans changed from an emphasis on granting doctors more autonomy in medical decision-making to a call for women’s rights); Murray, supra note 132, at 2048 (observing that “in the period before Roe v. Wade was decided, the discourse surrounding abortion rights was diverse and multifaceted, reflecting concerns about the environment, the breadth of criminal regulation, sex equality, racial and class injustice, and intersectional claims that implicated both race and sex discrimination”). In addition, the parties were less ideologically polarized, with greater elite consensus.138By the time Roe was decided, the Warren Court had given way to the more conservative Burger Court, but Roe was still a 7-2 decision with a Democratic appointee (White) and a Republican appointee (Rehnquist) in dissent.

Nonetheless, by the mid-seventies, another jurisprudential revolution was taking place: one embedding a neoliberal139See Jeremy K. Kessler & David E. Pozen, The Search for an Egalitarian First Amendment, 118 Colum. L. Rev. 1953, 1973 (2018) (a neoliberal perspective is market-oriented, with a focus on protecting property and contract); Jedediah Britton-Purdy, David Singh Grewal, Amy Kapczynski & K. Sabeel Rahman, Building a Law-and-Political-Economy Framework: Beyond the Twentieth-Century Synthesis, 129 Yale L.J. 1784, 1835 (2020) (defining neoliberalism as structuring markets to ensure profits and support management at the expense of socially-supportive policies). view of the state into Supreme Court jurisprudence. The Warren Court had been sympathetic to calls not just for racial equality, but also for greater economic rights.140See Adam Cohen, Supreme Inequality: The Supreme Court’s Fifty-Year Battle for a More Unjust America xvi, xxii–xxiiii (2020) (tracing the expansion of the due process rights of public welfare recipients); Naomi Cahn & June Carbone, The Blue Family Constitution, 35 J. Am. Acad. Matrim. Laws. 505 (2023) (documenting the Court’s approach to public welfare over the past century). These claims often took the form of calls to treat government benefits as entitlements, with more equal access to the benefits and more obstacles to denying eligibility. The neoliberal era taking hold by the late seventies rejected these claims. The Court embedded this perspective in the same way it had overseen the change in sexual mores: by using the punishment lens to resolve issues that involved farther reaching clashes in values. The Court did so by denying the very fact of punishment. It concluded that if a given regulation did not penalize the individuals subject to it for protected activity, no constitutional issue arose at all. In the process, the Court upheld regulations that supervised poor women’s sexuality and denied access to abortion funding.

This Section focuses on how the punishment lens applies in more varied civil settings, tracing the evolution of the Court’s treatment of government benefits. The first part of this Section describes how the Court deemed public benefit requirements non-punitive in order to uphold limitations on government benefits under the Aid to Families with Dependent Children (AFDC) and Medicaid programs; the second part of the Section shows how the punishment lens applies outside of the sexual-morality context, analyzing how it has been used to limit access to benefits under the Affordable Care Act.

A.  Welfare Benefits and the Rejection of Positive Rights

In the 1960s, the Supreme Court addressed the relationship between sexuality and eligibility for government benefits during a period in which the Court was enhancing access to government benefits more generally.141Goldberg v. Kelly, 397 U.S. 254 (1970). The original Aid for Dependent Children (ADC) program was adopted in the 1930s as part of the New Deal’s far-reaching social legislation. The United States, unlike many European nations, had never adopted a universal system of family allowances to support childrearing but instead had a variety of state programs designed to provide widows’ pensions to support children who would otherwise land in orphanages because their mothers could not support them.142June Carbone, From Partners to Parents: The Second Revolution in Family Law 200 (2000) (observing that by 1919, thirty-nine states and the territories of Alaska and Hawaii had authorized programs providing direct funds that allowed children to stay with their parents rather than go to orphanages). In the 1930s, Congress nationalized these efforts, providing federal funding for a state-run system to compensate for the loss of a male breadwinner.143Social Security Act of 1935, Pub. L. No. 74-271, 49 Stat. 620 (1935); see Eleanor Brown, Naomi Cahn & June Carbone, Fertility, Immigration, and Public Support for Parenting, 90 Fordham L. Rev. 2485, 2493 (2022) (discussing goals of original program). Congress limited aid to children who had “been deprived of parental support or care by reasons of the death, continued absence from the home, or physical or mental incapacity of a parent” and allowed the states to impose additional eligibility standards, such as “moral character” requirements that excluded the children of unmarried parents from the program.144Carbone, supra note 142, at 201.

As early as the 1940s, critics argued that the moral requirements “were habitually used to disguise systematic racial discrimination; and that they senselessly punished impoverished children on the basis of their mothers’ behavior.”145King v. Smith, 392 U.S. 309, 321–22 (1968).

[I]n 1960, Louisiana enacted legislation requiring, as a condition precedent for AFDC eligibility, that the home of a dependent child be “suitable,” and specifying that any home in which an illegitimate child had been born subsequent to the receipt of public assistance would be considered unsuitable. Louisiana Acts, No. 251 (1960). In the summer of 1960, approximately 23,000 children were dropped from Louisiana’s AFDC rolls [prompting federal action to override the action].

King, 392 U.S. at 322.
The federal government sought to discourage the moral requirements.146The government issued a letter arguing against suitable home provisions in 1945, recommended their abolition in 1960, and ultimately issued regulations setting out requirements for children found to live in “unsuitable” homes. Jonathan Zasloff, Children, Families, and Bureaucrats: A Prehistory of Welfare Reform, 14 J.L. & Pol. 225, 317 (1998). For further discussion of the suitable home requirements, see Elizabeth Pleck, Not Just Roommates: Cohabitation After the Sexual Revolution 57–65 (2012). By the late 1960s, the states had shifted from outright prohibition of benefits to “man in the house rules” that deemed the income of a man who cohabited with a welfare recipient to be available to the family, thereby affecting the family’s qualification for public welfare.147Carbone, supra note 142, at 202. These regulations were understood to serve the dual purpose of punishing African Americans and privatizing dependency by withholding public benefits from nonmarital families.148Mayeri, Marital Supremacy, supra note 111, at 1279. Indeed, in defending its regulations, Louisiana Governor Jimmie Davis “dismiss[ing] the affected mothers as ‘a bunch of prostitutes’ who ran ‘baby factories for money.’ ” Karen M. Tani, Administrative Equal Protection: Federalism, the Fourteenth Amendment, and the Rights of the Poor, 100 Cornell L. Rev. 825, 868 (2015) [hereinafter Tani, Administrative Equal Protection].

In King v. Smith, the Supreme Court examined the punitive nature of these requirements. The Court sidestepped the constitutional issues in the case, striking down the Alabama regulation at issue on statutory grounds, noting that federal law precluded states from denying public welfare to children because “of their mothers’ alleged immorality or to discourage illegitimate births.”149King, 392 U.S. at 324. The Court concluded that “Congress has determined that immorality and illegitimacy should be dealt with through rehabilitative measures rather than measures that punish dependent children, and that protection of such children is the paramount goal of AFDC.”150Id. at 325. Justice Douglas’s concurrence, however, would have reached the constitutional issue. He saw Alabama officials as discriminating against children on the basis of illegitimacy and therefore acting at odds with the ruling in Levy v. Louisiana, decided during the same term.151Id. at 334, 336 (Douglas, J., concurring). He wrote that “the Alabama regulation is aimed at punishing mothers who have nonmarital sexual relations.”152Id. at 336 (Douglas, J., concurring). In administering the provisions, the “economic need of the children, their age, their other means of support, are all irrelevant. The standard is the so-called immorality of the mother.”153Id. He viewed that standard—and the attendant punishment—inflicted on the mother to be constitutionally impermissible.154The Supreme Court later addressed the constitutional issue more directly in New Jersey Welfare Rights Organization v. Cahill, 411 U.S. 619, 621 (1973). The Court sustained an equal protection claim in which benefits “indispensable to the health and well-being of illegitimate children” were denied because of their parents’ marital status. Id.

By the time the Supreme Court decided the case in 1968, the nature of the AFDC program had changed. While 43% of the ADC caseload in 1937 consisted of widows, only 7% were in 1961.155Carbone, supra note 142, at 202. And as documented in an amicus brief in Levy v. Louisiana, decided the same term, the statute was both “overt discrimination on the basis of the criterion of illegitimacy,” and “covertly discriminate[d] on the basis of race.”156Brief for NAACP Legal Defense and Educational Fund, supra note 105, at 18–19. And Alabama’s record was egregious. “Between 1964 and 1966, Alabama’s substitute father regulation had resulted in the removal of 15,000 children from the rolls and the rejection of another 6,400 applications; [B]lack Americans like Smith comprised an estimated 97% of these cases.” Tani, Administrative Equal Protection, supra note 148, at 885 (citing Walter Goodman, The Case of Mrs. Sylvester Smith: A Victory for 400,000 Children, N.Y. Times, Aug. 25, 1968, at 29). The Court observed that by January 1967, “the total number of AFDC recipients in the State declined by about 20,000 persons, and the number of children recipients by about 16,000 or 22%.” King v. Smith, 392 U.S. 309, 315 (1968). The Court almost certainly saw the two cases as linked, although only Justice Douglas’s concurrence in King made the connection directly.157See supra notes 149–52 and accompanying discussion.

In deciding King v. Smith, the majority opinion, however, dealt with these issues only obliquely. Instead, it focused on the irrationality of the punishment imposed—the denial of benefits in a program intended to help children that would disproportionately disadvantage the very children the program was intended to help. The Court did not endorse a right to nonmarital sexuality.158In subsequent cases, the Court would continue to strike down regulations involving statutory bans based solely on marital status. See, e.g., Jimenez v. Weinberger, 417 U.S. 628, 637 (1974) (finding the statutory bar to disability benefits for nonlegitimated nonmarital children born after the onset of an employee parent’s disability was not only not reasonably related to an otherwise valid governmental interest of preventing spurious claims but also contravened the equal protection provisions, but not requirements tied to marital status that served purposes related to statutory purposes other than punishment of nonmarital sexuality). See, e.g., Mathews v. Lucas, 427 U.S. 495, 497 (1976) (upholding Social Security Act requirements that “condition the eligibility of certain illegitimate children for a surviving child’s insurance benefits upon a showing that the deceased wage earner was the claimant child’s parent and, at the time of his death, was living with the child or was contributing to his support”). It did not discuss the discriminatory motive and effect underlying the regulations.159It did, however, acknowledge that “[c]ritics” had charged that the regulations were “used to disguise systematic racial discrimination.” King, 392 U.S. at 321–22. It did not recognize an affirmative “right” to federal benefits160See Dandridge v. Williams, 397 U.S. 471, 473 (1970) (upholding a Maryland law that subjected benefit levels to a ceiling that did not vary based on family size or need); Tani, Administrative Equal Protection, supra note 148, at 889–91 (analyzing how the efforts of administrative agencies situated poor people in the Constitution); Barry Cushman, Book Review, 35 L. & Hist. Rev. 271, 272–73 (2017) (reviewing Karen M. Tani, States of Dependency: Welfare, Rights, and American Governance, 1935–1972 (2016) and discussing Tani’s analysis of this period in Supreme Court welfare jurisprudence). nor a right to privacy for benefit recipients.161See Wyman v. James, 400 U.S. 309, 311 n.2, 319 (1971) (upholding a New York law that required that social service workers remain in “close contact” with those on public assistance, directing that recipient “be visited as frequently” as necessary); Michael Grossberg, Some Queries About Privacy and Constitutional Rights, 41 Case W. Rsrv. L. Rev. 857, 860 (1991) (discussing the Court’s class-based approach in Wyman). Lee Anne Fennell explains that Wyman “actually held that the ‘home visit’ was not a search at all, but rather a reasonable condition on receiving welfare (with no hint of the heightened scrutiny the Court would later apply to conditioned benefits in the property arena).” Lee Anne Fennell, Escape Room: Implicit Takings After Cedar Point Nursery, 17 Duke J. Const. L. & Pub. Pol’y 1, 24 (2022). Instead, it focused solely on the legitimacy of the punishment, concluding that children could not be deprived of benefits in an effort to change their mothers’ conduct. It treated the man-in-the-house rules not as a rational effort to determine the resources available to the family, but as a subterfuge to continue morals regulation in the face of federal disapproval.162See Tani, Administrative Equal Protection, supra note 148, passim (describing a long history of federal-state tensions over the issue of morals requirements). The case was thus of a piece with the contraception and legitimacy cases in challenging irrational punishments: punishments that were irrational because once they failed to deter nonmarital sexuality in an era of changing mores, their application became arbitrary and discriminatory.

In subsequent cases, however, the Supreme Court upheld provisions that burdened the poor and their children by deeming such provisions non-punitive. Thus, in Wyman v. James, the Court found constitutional a New York statute mandating home visits,163See Wyman, 400 U.S. 309; Grossberg, supra note 161, at 861 (discussing the Court’s class-based approach in Wyman). that were in line with federal law’s requirements that aid be provided only after consideration of the family’s resources and only to children who were not being neglected.164Wyman, 400 U.S. at 315–16. The “visits” could prove embarrassing in front of children and guests, and could serve to police sexual relationships.165See Michele Estrin Gilman, Privacy as a Luxury Not for the Poor: Wyman v. James, in The Poverty Law Canon: Exploring the Major Cases 153, 155–56 (Marie A. Failinger & Ezra Rosser eds., 2016) (“In the spring of 1969, Barbara James had attended meetings of a welfare rights organization, where she learned that she might be able to fight the home visit policy . . . . At community meetings, welfare recipients regularly [reported] caseworkers were searching their homes and ‘counting toothbrushes to see if there was a man in the house.’ ”). The Court refused to find that mandated visits were a penalty at all, terming them instead a condition of benefit eligibility166See Wyman, 400 U.S. at 317–18 (“If consent to the visitation is withheld, no visitation takes place. The aid then never begins or merely ceases, as the case may be.”). and not a substantive, much less punitive, standard tying loss of benefits to impermissible or arbitrary considerations.167Indeed, Justice Blackmun’s majority opinion suggested that he thought the visits were warranted. Rather than take Barbara James’s blanket refusal to permit visits at face value, he observed that “[t]he record is revealing as to Mrs. James’ failure ever really to satisfy the requirements for eligibility; as to constant and repeated demands; as to attitude toward the caseworker; as to reluctance to cooperate; as to evasiveness; and as to occasional belligerency. There are indications that all was not always well with the infant Maurice (skull fracture, a dent in the head, a possible rat bite). The picture is a sad and unhappy one.” Wyman, 400 U.S. at 322 n.9.

The dissent objected on the grounds that welfare rights should be seen as entitlements.168Justice Douglas began his dissent: “We are living in a society where one of the most important forms of property is government largesse which some call the ‘new property.’ ” Wyman, 400 U.S. at 326 (Douglas, J., dissenting) (quoting Charles A. Reich, The New Property, 73 Yale L.J. 733, 737–39 (1964)). Douglas said explicitly that “[i]t becomes the task of the rule of law to surround this new ‘right’ to . . . benefits with protections against arbitrary government action, with substantive and procedural safeguards that are as effective in context as the safeguards enjoyed by traditional rights of property in the best tradition of the older law.” Id. at 334 (quoting Harry W. Jones, The Rule of Law and the Welfare State, 58 Colum. L. Rev. 143, 154–55 (1958)). He diverged from the majority in characterizing benefits as a “right,” making ineligibility a penalty for exercising a constitutional right, which was, in Wyman, the right to privacy in the home protected by the Fourth Amendment. See Wyman, 400 U.S. at 334. While both the majority and the dissent focused on the status of welfare benefits, Justice Blackmun’s majority opinion used the conclusion that the “conditions” on receipt of benefits were not penalties to lock in a neoliberal view of government action: because there is no right to benefits, the state could impose whatever standards it chooses as preconditions for eligibility, and those conditions never become punishment subject to constitutional scrutiny.169“The penalty here is not, of course, invasion of the privacy of Barbara James, only her loss of federal or state largesse.” Wyman, 400 U.S. at 327.

B.  Punishing Sex

In subsequent cases, the Court’s characterization of a particular government action as non-punitive allowed it to uphold conditions that were challenged as discriminatory, cruel, or unjust. The results were particularly striking when the issue turned to abortion. Legislators who opposed abortion and who could not overturn Roe v. Wade directly sought to express their disapproval of abortion by prohibiting the use of public funds to pay for abortions, while permitting those funds to be used for pregnancy and childbirth.170See Franklin, The New Class Blindness, supra note 90, at 49 (discussing bans on Medicaid funding for abortion). Were these bans penalization of a constitutionally protected right—the right to elect abortion to terminate a pregnancy—or were they simply the exercise of legislative policy preferences to allocate public funds to support some activities and not others? The Supreme Court used the punishment lens to resolve the issue. Since individuals enjoyed no positive right to health care—or to abortion funding—the denial of funding could not constitute a penalty and thus had no constitutional implications.171There is a rich literature on the Constitution and positive rights. See, e.g., Helen Gershoff, Positive Rights and State Constitutions: The Limits of Federal Rationality Review, 112 Harv. L. Rev. 1131, 1138 (1999).

An initial case upheld Connecticut regulations limiting public funding of abortions to medically necessary abortions during the first three months of pregnancy.172Maher v. Roe, 432 U.S. 464, 480 (1977). Justice Powell wrote for the 6-3 majority that the Constitution did not impose any obligation on the states to pay pregnancy-related medical expenses of low-income women or any other medical expense.173Id. at 469. He noted that the Court had not found in previous cases that wealth was a suspect class174Id. at 471 (“But this Court has never held that financial need alone identifies a suspect class for purposes of equal protection analysis.”) (citing San Antonio Indep. Sch. Dist. v. Rodriguez, 411 U.S. 1, 17 (1973)). and that Connecticut was accordingly free to subsidize childbirth and not abortion as an expression of state policy designed to encourage the former.175Id. at 474. The Court insisted that “[t]he Connecticut regulation places no obstacles—absolute or otherwise—in the pregnant woman’s path to an abortion” and, indeed, that “[a]n indigent woman who desires an abortion suffers no disadvantage as a consequence of Connecticut’s decision to fund childbirth” because she is free to rely on sources to obtain an abortion. Id. The Court even insisted that “influencing” the woman’s decision was permissible, concluding the “indigency that may make it difficult and in some cases, perhaps, impossible for some women to have abortions is neither created nor in any way affected by the Connecticut regulation.” Id.

By 1980, Congress had gone further, adopting the Hyde Amendment, a prohibition on the use of federal funds to reimburse the cost of abortions under the Medicaid program, including abortions that were the result of rape or incest or medically indicated.176Harris v. McRae, 448 U.S. 297, 302 (1980). In a 5-4 opinion later that year, the Supreme Court upheld the constitutionality of the Amendment. The majority opinion treated the issue as a classic one of negative liberty, explaining that the freedom to choose to have an abortion, even a medically necessary one, does not carry with it a government obligation to fund the abortion.177Id. at 316 (“[I]t simply does not follow that a woman’s freedom of choice carries with it a constitutional entitlement to the financial resources to avail herself of the full range of protected choices.”). The Court emphasized that “although government may not place obstacles in the path of a woman’s exercise of her freedom of choice, it need not remove those not of its own creation.” Id. It then explained that a woman’s poverty was “the product not of governmental restrictions on access to abortions, but rather of her indigency.”178Id. Accordingly, the Court concluded that the failure to pay for abortions was not punishment and thus not subject to constitutional review.

The four dissenters viewed the Hyde Amendment as punitive and cruel. Justice Blackmun made the point that the legislators championing the Hyde Amendment cynically sought to express their own views on the morality of abortion by imposing those views “only upon that segment of our society which, because of its position of political powerlessness, is least able to defend its privacy rights from the encroachments of state-mandated morality.”179Id. at 332 (Brennan, J., dissenting). He would have accordingly subjected the legislation to more exacting judicial review.180Id. Justice Stevens emphasized that “the Court expressly approves the exclusion of benefits in ‘instances where severe and long-lasting physical health damage to the mother’ is the predictable consequence of carrying the pregnancy to term” and, indeed, “even if abortion were the only lifesaving medical procedure available.”181Id. at 354 (Stevens, J., dissenting). He concluded that the result “is tantamount to severe punishment” for wanting an abortion.182Id. Justice Marshall emphasized the racial impact of denying abortion funding and also noted that the Hyde Amendment resulted in “excess deaths.”183Id. at 340 (Marshall, J., dissenting).

In Harris, the Court upheld the validity of an extraordinarily cynical statute. Congress, in effect, limited poor women’s abortion access because it could—it could allow expression of the anti-abortion sentiments of members of Congress at the expense of a relatively powerless group.184The Court noted that Congress had “established incentives that make childbirth a more attractive alternative than abortion for persons eligible for Medicaid. These incentives bear a direct relationship to the legitimate congressional interest in protecting potential life.” Id. at 325. By declaring that forced birth due to the failure to secure funding for an abortion was not a punishment, the Court avoided addressing the question of whether it burdened a constitutional right.

In Wyman and Harris, neither the majority nor the dissenting opinions treated these cases as imposing punishment for sex, and the majority opinions rejected even the premise that the aid recipients had been punished for the exercise of constitutional rights (privacy in Wyman, abortion in Harris). The reasoning in the cases backtracked on the entitlement language that had been building in the welfare rights era, leading to the conclusion that if the benefits at issue were not entitlements, the failure to provide them could not be seen as punishment—effectively ending the discussion of whether the provisions at issue were unduly cruel or whether they reinforced class- or race-based social hierarchies.185See Jill E. Adams & Jessica Arons, A Travesty of Justice: Revisiting Harris v. McRae, 21 Wm. & Mary J. Women & L. 5 passim (2014) (discussing the impact of Harris on low-income and minority women); Chemerinsky & Goodwin, supra note 16, at 1247 (describing racially disparate impact of limiting abortion access). But see Franklin, The New Class Blindness, supra note 90, at 63–65 (arguing that Planned Parenthood v. Casey, 505 U.S. 833 (1992), preserved the capacity to consider poverty as an obstacle to abortion at least where government restrictions directly obstructed access to abortion as opposed to the funding for abortion).

C.  The Punishment Lens Beyond Sex

The litigation over the Affordable Care Act (ACA)186See Abbe R. Gluck & Thomas Scott-Railton, Affordable Care Act Entrenchment, 108 Geo. L.J. 495, 518–28 (2020) (describing ACA litigation). involves the clash of values we have described in this Article and the use of the punishment lens to resolve some of the challenges. The ACA was the largest expansion of public largesse in a half century and therefore a direct challenge to neoliberal values. The legislation’s principle of universal health insurance coverage clashed with those who wished to limit government benefits altogether or to withhold them from those deemed unworthy, such as those who were not working, reinforcing class and racial hierarchies. In addition, by treating contraception as an integral part of women’s health care, the ACA conflicted with the views of some Christian employers who opposed contraception. The legislation thus involved, on a much larger scale, the clash of values underlying the characterization of government benefits in Wyman and Harris.

In the cases discussed in this Section, the Supreme Court returns to the issue of punishment, though without any more precise a definition of the concept. Instead, the Court repeatedly faced the question of whether the ACA provisions operated as a tax or a penalty, a condition or a penalty, and a provision of alternative means of compliance or a penalty, and used the characterization of the actions as penalty or not to resolve the cases.187While the term “penalty” is not necessarily always identical to the term “punishment,” within the legal system, both terms can be used to identify the imposition of the prescribed consequences for legal violations. See United States v. La Franca, 282 U.S. 568, 572 (1931) (“[A] penalty, as the word is here used, is an exaction imposed by statute as punishment for an unlawful act.”). The net effect for the ACA was a compromise: the ACA endured but on somewhat more neoliberal terms than the Obama Administration and the Congress that enacted the legislation might have intended.188The result in the cases we discuss below pushes the legal narrative toward more neoliberal norms, but without acknowledgment that outcome is the larger frame for the discussion. The overall result has been a devolution of power to the states that has increased regional disparities in health outcomes. See Naomi Cahn & June Carbone, Supporting Families in a Post-Dobbs World: Politics and the Winner-Take-All-Economy, 101 N.C. L. Rev. 1549 (2023).

The ACA, in attempting to provide universal health care access,189Abbe R. Gluck & Nicole Huberfeld, What Is Federalism in Healthcare for?, 70 Stan. L. Rev. 1689, 1726 (2018) (discussing the goal of universal access to healthcare insurance coverage pursuant to the ACA). included a series of alternatives that were designed to balance the principles of expanded access, adequate funding, and reasonable private choice.190See Nat’l Fed’n of Indep. Bus. v. Sebelius, 567 U.S. 519, 548 (2012). In National Federation of Independent Business v. Sebelius, the most prominent of the ACA cases,191See Gluck & Scott-Railton, supra note 186, at 518–21 (discussing the case’s significance). the Court addressed two issues that turned on the concept of a penalty. The first involved the “individual mandate,” which required an individual who did not otherwise receive health insurance through their employers or other state provisions, to purchase health insurance on state exchanges or pay what the legislation described as a “penalty” collected by the Internal Revenue Service with the filing of individual tax returns. The Court rejected the government’s claim that the commerce clause authorized the mandate,192The Court was dismissive of the government’s defense of the ACA. See Sebelius, 567 U.S. at 558 (“The individual mandate forces individuals into commerce precisely because they elected to refrain from commercial activity. Such a law cannot be sustained under a clause authorizing Congress to ‘regulate Commerce.’ ”). but upheld it instead as a “tax.”

The Court reasoned that under the ACA, “if an individual does not maintain health insurance, the only consequence is that he must make an additional payment to the IRS when he pays his taxes.”193Id. at 562–63. The Government accordingly argued that the mandate could “be regarded as establishing a condition—not owning health insurance—that triggers a tax—the required payment to the IRS.”194Id. at 563. Under this theory, the legislation does not establish “a legal command to buy insurance,” just a trigger for owing taxes, like “buying gasoline or earning income.”195Id. Therefore, the Court concluded that the ACA was within the Congressional tax power.

Critical to the Court’s reasoning was its decoupling of a requirement to buy insurance, which the Court concluded that Congress could not do, and a requirement to pay an amount, deemed by the Court a “tax,” intended to finance the program. In reaching this conclusion, the Court explained that “[i]n distinguishing penalties from taxes, this Court has explained that ‘if the concept of penalty means anything, it means punishment for an unlawful act or omission.’ ”196Id. at 567 (citing United States v. Reorganized CF&I Fabricators of Utah, Inc., 518 U.S. 213, 224 (1996)). The ACA mandate was not a penalty (or punishment) because while the mandate sought to incentivize health insurance purchases, it did not make the failure to do so “unlawful.”197Sebelius, 567 U.S. at 567–68 (“While the individual mandate clearly aims to induce the purchase of health insurance, it need not be read to declare that failing to do so is unlawful.”). The legal consequence was that the ACA was deemed simply to require that individuals who do not buy health insurance instead pay an amount to the IRS, not that their failure to buy the insurance was itself unlawful. Id. at 575 (noting that the federal government did not have the power to command people to buy health insurance, but did have the power to impose a tax). The fact that Congress sought to influence individual behavior did not matter, just as Congress’s efforts to encourage childbirth rather than abortion did not matter in Harris v. McRae; so long as the federal government did not outlaw the failure to buy insurance, the individual mandate was a tax, not a penalty (and not punishment for the failure to buy insurance). It was therefore constitutional.198Id. at 575.

The second issue the Court addressed was Medicaid expansion, which the Court again decided in terms of the acceptability of the Act’s “penalties.” Congress revised the existing Medicaid program, which is a federal-state partnership, to cover individuals within 138% of the poverty line, and to bring Medicaid coverage in line with the coverage health insurance policies offered on the exchanges.199Id. at 575–76. Congress then gave the states a choice: accept federal funding in accordance with the new expanded Medicaid program or forego federal Medicaid funding.200Id. at 585–86. The majority in Sebelius objected that the “choice” was too coercive, effectively mandating state participation in the program.201The Court asked whether “the financial inducement offered by Congress” was “so coercive as to pass the point at which ‘pressure turns into compulsion.’ ” Id. at 580 (quoting South Dakota v. Dole, 483 U.S. 203, 211 (1987)). It reasoned that while Congress could condition state eligibility for federal funding under a new program, it could not “penalize States that choose not to participate in that new program by taking away their existing Medicaid funding,”202Sebelius, 567 U.S. at 585. describing the “inducement” in the Act as “a gun to the head.”203Id. at 581. The Court observed that “Medicaid spending accounts for over 20 percent of the average State’s total budget, with federal funds covering 50 to 83 percent of those costs.” Id. Justice Ginsburg’s dissent objected that Congress was, as it had done in the past, just requiring states to comply with “conditions” imposed by Congress to receive Medicaid funding.204Id. at 626 (Ginsburg, J. dissenting).

The parallels between Sebelius and Wyman v. James are striking. The requirement that the states adopt Medicaid expansion in order to participate in the Medicaid program could have been described, as Justice Ginsburg wrote, as a condition for participation in a federally funded program. The Sebelius Court disagreed, finding that it penalized the states for the failure to agree to the program’s terms.205Id. at 585; see also supra note 203 and accompanying text. The Court effectively treated the state’s existing funds as an entitlement the federal government could not threaten to take away in order to obtain the performance it sought. In Wyman, because welfare was not an entitlement, a welfare recipient’s failure to consent to intrusive home visits was not considered a penalty at all; it was labelled as “a condition of eligibility” to the continued receipt of benefits.206See Wyman v. James, 400 U.S. 309, 317–18 (“If consent to the visitation is withheld, no visitation takes place. The aid then never begins or merely ceases, as the case may be.”). The label—condition or penalty—resolved each case without engaging the substantive issue of whether the conditions themselves were reasonable or justified.

In Sebelius, the result cloaks the real issues underlying Medicaid expansion—skepticism about whether the poor merit medical benefits207See, e.g., Underhill, supra note 57, at 272–73. and opposition to the state role in meeting such needs.208Justice Ginsburg observed that “what makes this such a simple case, and the Court’s decision so unsettling” is that the legislation, in an effort “to assist the needy, has appropriated federal money to subsidize state health-insurance programs that meet federal standards.” Sebelius, 567 U.S at 633. Indeed, the federal government picked up 100% of the initial costs associated with implementing the program, and 90% thereafter so that the financial burden on the states was relatively minimal209A study of the impact of Medicaid expansion on state budgets between 2014 and 2017 indicated that in many states, it was actually a net negative, meaning that the states gained more in revenue from the federal government and other program savings than they spend on additional costs. Bryce Ward, The Impact of Medicaid Expansion on States’ Budgets, Commonwealth Fund (May 5, 2020), https://www.commonwealthfund.org/publications/issue-briefs/2020/may/impact-medicaid-expansion-states-budgets [https://perma.cc/YDF7-EBB3]. Nonetheless, expansion is controversial. See Jesse M. Cross & Shelley Welton, Making Federalism Work: Lessons from Health Care for the Green New Deal, 55 U. Rich. L. Rev. 765, 785 (2021) (“[T]he financial incentives for states to adopt the expansion were overwhelming.”); Alexander Hertel-Fernandez, Theda Skocpol & Daniel Lynch, Business Associations, Conservative Networks, and the Ongoing Republican War over Medicaid Expansion, 41 J. Health Pol., Pol’y & L. 239, 244, 252 (2016) (exploring state-level politics). But see Robert A. Schapiro, States of Inequality: Fiscal Federalism, Unequal States, and Unequal People, 108 Calif. L. Rev. 1531, 1578 (2020) (explaining how Medicaid expansion imposes “greater proportional financial obligations on poorer states”).—and less than the state share of the pre-ACA Medicaid program210Sebelius, 567 U.S. at 637 (noting that Congress reimbursed the prior Medicaid program at 83%). and arguably much less of a burden on the states than asking a welfare recipient to consent to frequent, unannounced, and intrusive home visits (or the uninsured to go without health care).211The standard the Court used in Sebelius was whether, with respect to Medicaid expansion, “the financial inducement offered by Congress” was “so coercive as to pass the point at which ‘pressure turns into compulsion.’ ” Id. at 580 (quoting South Dakota v. Dole, 483 U.S. 203, 211 (1987)). The Court concluded that since Congress did not compel participation in the ACA program, the alternative payment was not a penalty. See supra note 196 and accompanying text. With respect to Medicaid expansion, however, the Court used the opposite reasoning: the size of a loss, even of a program not guaranteed to continue, could become “compulsion,” mandating something beyond Congress’s power to mandate. Sebelius, 567 U.S. at 580. What Sebelius did not address is why states opposed Medicaid expansion, given the substantial financial incentives in the ACA for the states to do so. Most commentators attribute the opposition to the states’ ideological opposition to government provision of health insurance, if not outright hostility to the poor people in their states.212See, e.g., Trudy Lieberman, The Gloves Are Off in the Fight Over Medicaid Expansion in Holdout States, Ctr. for Health Journalism (May 5, 2021), https://centerforhealthjournalism.
org/2021/05/04/why-fight-over-medicaid-expansion-holdout-states-far-over [https://perma.cc/NS5M-R9GE] (observing that the opposition comes primarily from fear that Medicaid expansion will eventually lead to a single payer health care system, but that others have attributed opposition to “[r]aims, a dislike for poor people, and a commonly held but mistaken belief that Medicaid recipients are able-bodied men and women too lazy to work”). 
Some states continue to resist Medicaid expansion, despite widespread public support for it.213In recent years, Medicaid expansion has passed in every state where it was on the ballot, except in Montana, which proposed funding the state share through an unpopular tobacco tax, which triggered well-funded opposition from the tobacco industry. Erin Brantley & Sara Rosenbaum, Ballot Initiatives Have Brought Medicaid Eligibility to Many but Cannot Solve the Coverage Gap, Health Affs.
(June 23, 2021), https://www.healthaffairs.org/do/10.1377/forefront.20210617.992286/#:~:text=
More%20recently%2C%20almost%20all%20states,%E2%80%94Virginia%E2%80%94expanded%20through%20legislation [https://perma.cc/N7M7-52Q7].
In effect, the Court, in the name of federalism, authorized the states to act with impunity in frustrating Congressional efforts to ensure accessible health insurance at the expense of people in their states who qualified for the benefits.

In a later ACA case,214Burwell v. Hobby Lobby Stores, Inc., 573 U.S. 682, 720 (2014). the Supreme Court also used the concept of punishment to address the employer mandate, which gave businesses the choice of providing health insurance that met federal standards for their employees or contributing to the exchanges so that employees could purchase their own insurance.215Id. Hobby Lobby, a closely held, for-profit corporation, provided health insurance for its employees, but refused to comply with federal requirements to cover certain forms of contraception, including the morning after pill, because, according to the company, they acted as an abortifacient.216Naomi Cahn & June Carbone, Uncoupling, 53 Ariz. St. L.J. 1, 51–52 (2021). In a 5-4 decision, the Court held that requiring a company to cover certain mandated health care benefits, such as the pills in question, violated the Religious Freedom Reformation Act.217Hobby Lobby, 573 U.S at 736 (“The contraceptive mandate, as applied to closely held corporations, violates RFRA. Our decision on that statutory question makes it unnecessary to reach the First Amendment claim raised by Conestoga and the Hahns.”). The Court gave little regard to women’s loss of access to the contraceptives, holding that the federal government, if it chose, could provide them through “less restrictive means.”218Id. at 722, n.37. In short, the Court held that it would be an unjustifiable penalty to compel corporate owners to comply with the terms of a neutral government program that benefitted their employees, if those terms conflicted with the owners’ religious beliefs.219In her dissenting opinion, Justice Ginsburg emphasized that the majority opinion “demands accommodation of a for-profit corporation’s religious beliefs no matter the impact that accommodation may have on third parties who do not share the corporation owners’ religious faith—in these cases, thousands of women employed by Hobby Lobby and Conestoga or dependents of persons those corporations employ.” Id. at 740 (Ginsburg, J., dissenting).

The employer mandate was essentially the same as the individual mandate—it gave those affected, whether individuals or employers, a choice: meet the ACA requirements (individuals by purchasing insurance that met federal standards or employers by providing such insurance) or pay the mandated sums to the federal treasury, in each case less than the cost of the insurance. With respect to the individual mandate, the Court concluded that the payment was a tax on those without insurance and not a penalty because the federal government had not (and could not) compel the purchase of insurance. In the case of the employer mandate, the Court concluded that the required payments were, in effect, a penalty for Hobby Lobby’s desire to act on its religious beliefs, rather than a condition for participation in a program providing federal subsidies.

To be sure, the two cases do not arise under identical bodies of law. Sebelius addressed two distinct legal issues: Congressional power to enact the individual mandate under the Commerce Clause and the taxing power, and the limits of Congressional power under a federal system to incentivize state participation in a federal program. Hobby Lobby was decided in accordance with a third body of law, determining the religious rights of for-profit corporations. Yet, in each case, the Court’s framing of the law as punishment or not—that is, whether the intricate provisions of the ACA acted as sanctions designed to compel specific behavior—determined the outcome. And, in each of these cases, the Court upheld moral hierarchies: protection of religious employers at the expense of employees denied access to federal contraception benefits, protection of states disapproving of health care subsidies at the expense of their citizens who would benefit from such subsidies, and limits on the power of the federal government vis-à-vis other actors, including the states and privately-held businesses. 220Jamila Michener, Fragmented Democracy: Medicaid, Federalism, and Unequal Politics 39 (2018) (“[F]ailures [of proposals for national health insurance] served to orient health care policy toward a model of federalist fragmentation . . . .”). Michener notes further that “by dint of federalism, Medicaid policy produces unequal politics and deepens already yawning racial, class, and geographic disparities in the United States” and underscoring that “among the states that were unwilling to implement Medicaid expansion were eight of the top eleven states with the largest share of the nation’s African-American population . . . and eight of the top eleven states with the highest poverty rates.” Id. at 54–55.

IV.  RETURNING MORALITY TO THE PUBLIC SQUARE

In focusing on punishment, the Supreme Court oversaw a revolution in sexual mores without directly engaging the issue of what values should govern in the public square. The Court has also strengthened a neoliberal regime by simultaneously holding that imposing conditions on program beneficiaries does not constitute punishment while imposing conditions that require coverage constitutes a constitutionally unacceptable “penalty.” In relatively few of these cases did the Court, particularly in its majority opinions, directly engage the underlying values clash. The exception has come in the discussion of LGBT rights—and increasingly in the Court’s opinions on abortion. These exchanges pull back the curtain on the role of punishment in Supreme Court jurisprudence. In these cases, the argument for the losing parties, embraced by the dissents, maintain that punishment is the point—the necessary component to affirming the “right values” in the public square. In response, the Court, in a way it did not do so in the earlier cases, directly addresses the relationship between the status of those affected by punishment and the values they express by engaging in the prohibited activity.

A.  LGBTQ+ Rights and the “Homosexual Agenda”

One of the clearest clash of values prior to Dobbs occurred in the Supreme Court’s decision in Lawrence v. Texas.221Lawrence v. Texas, 539 U.S. 558 (2003). In Bowers v. Hardwick,222Bowers v. Hardwick, 478 U.S. 186, 190 (1986). the Court had considered whether there was a fundamental right to engage in same-sex sodomy, a formulation that the Court repeated in Dobbs. In both cases, the Court referred to the long history of criminalizing the conduct at issue,223Id. at 192–95. In a concurrence, however, Justice Powell wrote that the rejection of a right to engage in same-sex intimacy, did not resolve the punishment issue, observing that:

[R]espondents may not be protected by the Eighth Amendment of the Constitution. The Georgia statute at issue in this case, Ga. Code Ann. § 16–6–2 (1984), authorizes a court to imprison a person for up to 20 years for a single private, consensual act of sodomy. In my view, a prison sentence for such conduct—certainly a sentence of long duration—would create a serious Eighth Amendment issue. In this case, however, respondent has not been tried, much less convicted and sentenced. Moreover, respondent has not raised the Eighth Amendment issue below. For these reasons this constitutional argument is not before us.

Id. at 197–98.
with those arguing for the constitutionality of such criminal penalties maintaining that the history of punishment reflected disapproval of the underlying conduct and provided evidence of the continuing legitimacy of such sanctions.224See id. at 190 (“The issue presented is whether the Federal Constitution confers a fundamental right upon homosexuals to engage in sodomy and hence invalidates the laws of the many States that still make such conduct illegal and have done so for a very long time.”).

Lawrence, which involved a criminal prosecution for same-sex sodomy, directly involved the issue of punishment. The two men in the case were arrested in a private residence when the police arrived to investigate a purported weapons disturbance.225Lawrence, 539 U.S. at 562. In his opinion for the majority, Justice Kennedy’s opinion had two levels of analysis. Like the Griswold line of cases, it affirmed a right to privacy, observing that “[t]he statutes do seek to control a personal relationship that, whether or not entitled to formal recognition in the law, is within the liberty of persons to choose without being punished as criminals.”226Id. at 567. The majority opinion then emphasized that the Texas statute being enforced in the case was not just about prohibiting a “particular sexual act”;227Id. it involved intimate conduct as part of “a personal bond that is more enduring.”228Id. The opinion thus concluded that such punishment was not just constitutionally impermissible229Referring to gay men, the Court stated that the “State cannot demean their existence or control their destiny by making their private sexual conduct a crime.” Id. at 578. but that the behavior at issue had societal value.230Id. at 567. The Court also recognized that “persons in every generation can invoke [the Constitution’s] principles in their own search for greater freedom.” Id. at 579.

Justice O’Connor, in her concurrence in Lawrence, did not go as far as the majority. Instead, in a manner reminiscent of the earlier cases on contraception, she limited her analysis to a punishment lens, finding that Texas could not claim a legitimate interest. She thus rejected out of hand the asserted state interest in the case, which she described as nothing more than the “moral disapproval of an excluded group.”231Id. at 585. For O’Connor, the impermissibility of the punishment—and its discriminatory character—were enough to strike down the statute without necessarily requiring an affirmation of the value of same-sex intimacy.

Writing in dissent, Justice Scalia made clear that he thought that moral disapproval of same-sex sexuality was exactly what the case should have been about. He denounced what he called the “homosexual agenda,” which he defined as “the agenda promoted by some homosexual activists directed at eliminating the moral opprobrium that has traditionally attached to homosexual conduct.”232Id. at 602 (Scalia, J., dissenting). He cast his dissent explicitly in terms of maintaining a moral hierarchy based on that opprobrium.233Scalia emphasized that:

Many Americans do not want persons who openly engage in homosexual conduct as partners in their business, as scoutmasters for their children, as teachers in their children’s schools, or as boarders in their home. They view this as protecting themselves and their families from a lifestyle that they believe to be immoral and destructive.

Id. at 602 (Scalia, J., dissenting).

The opinions in Lawrence thus frame, perhaps better than any of the other cases, the permissibility of punishment and the Court’s use of a punishment lens. They involve a clash between the ability to affirm moral values in the public square versus the preservation of private homes from the intrusion of the state. They also involve the use of the declaration of values to define those to be “protected,” in Scalia’s words, from those to be “excluded,” in O’Connor’s terms, thus reaffirming societal hierarchies between the groups. And they involve the permissibility of the imposition of criminal sanction to reinforce moral opprobrium, even when the behavior at issue is consensual conduct between two adults. The Lawrence Court’s 6-3 majority unequivocally rejected the propriety of punishment used to harden the lines between the protected and the excluded—and in the majority opinion, if not O’Connor’s concurrence,234O’Connor concurred in Lawrence to emphasize that she did not join the majority in overturning earlier cases upholding sodomy laws, but rather thought that the Texas statute should be overturned on equal protection, not due process, grounds. She wrote that “[m]oral disapproval of a group cannot be a legitimate governmental interest under the Equal Protection Clause because legal classifications must not be ‘drawn for the purpose of disadvantaging the group burdened by the law.’ ” Id. at 583 (O’Connor, J. concurring) (quoting Romer v. Evans, 517 U.S. 620, 633 (1996)). She added that “because Texas so rarely enforces its sodomy law as applied to private, consensual acts, the law serves more as a statement of dislike and disapproval against homosexuals than as a tool to stop criminal behavior.” Id. embraced an alternative view of the purpose of sexual conduct as an expression of commitment to a partner, not just as a means to procreation.

In Obergefell v. Hodges,235Obergefell v. Hodges, 576 U.S. 644, 666 (2015). the case upholding the right to marriage equality, the majority went even further in embracing same-sex relationships as an expression of family values236Id. (citing Goodridge v. Dep’t of Pub. Health, 798 N.E.2d 941, 955 (Mass. 2003)). while the dissents reaffirmed the need to channel sexuality into marriage—and to punish those who fell outside of such precepts. 237See discussion of Robert’s and Alito’s dissents infra notes 243–247 and accompanying text. Kennedy wrote that there “is dignity in the bond between two men or two women who seek to marry and in their autonomy to make such profound choices.”238Obergefell, 576 U.S. at 666.

The majority opinion added that the right to marry is not just about the couples’ relationship to each other, but also about their children. “Without the recognition, stability, and predictability marriage offers,” Kennedy wrote, “their children suffer the stigma of knowing their families are somehow lesser . . . . The marriage laws at issue here thus harm and humiliate the children of same-sex couples.”239Id. at 668. The opinion thus saw denial of the ability to marry as a punishment imposed not only on the couple but on their children. 240Id. (“Under the laws of the several States, some of marriage’s protections for children and families are material. But marriage also confers more profound benefits. By giving recognition and legal structure to their parents’ relationship, marriage allows children ‘to understand the integrity and closeness of their own family and its concord with other families in their community and in their daily lives.’ ”) (quoting United States v. Windsor, 570 U.S. 744, 772 (2013)). It accordingly equated the limitation of marriage to different-sex couples with imposition of a stigma on those raising families outside the institution.241And, indeed, many of Obergefell’s critics on the left decry that aspect of the opinion. See Melissa Murray, Obergefell v. Hodges and Nonmarriage Inequality, 104 Calif. L. Rev. 1207, 1210 (2016).

The Obergefell majority did take sides in the culture wars—in recognizing the dignity and moral worth of same-sex relationships. In basing the decision on the changed nature of marriage, the Supreme Court acknowledged that marriage reflected a new moral sensibility: one that made autonomous choice, not religious or societal duty, the foundation of the marital relationship.242We argued in 2010 that these changes make marriage equality not only permissible but morally compelled by those who embraced the remade, modernist nature of the institution, a remade nature fully compatible with same-sex relationships, but not with traditionist religious teachings. See Naomi Cahn & June Carbone, Red Families v. Blue Families: Legal Polarization and the Creation of Culture 128 (2011) (describing marriage equality within the blue paradigm as “a matter of basic equality and fairness”). The Court accordingly went beyond the rejection of the punishment (while noting “the harm and humiliation” involved in the refusal to recognize same-sex families) to confer public recognition and moral worth on LGBT families.

The four justices who dissented rejected both the premise that marriage had changed and that the Supreme Court should acknowledge that change. Chief Justice Roberts’s dissent explained that “for the good of children and society, sexual relations that can lead to procreation should occur only between a man and a woman committed to a lasting bond.”243Obergefell, 576 U.S. at 689 (Roberts, C.J., dissenting).

This reasoning is the same as the reasoning that justified the vilification of nonmarital sexuality a half century ago. In accordance with this reasoning, heterosexual sex, not just procreation, needs to be channeled into marriage and marriage needs to be about a moral command to avoid nonmarital sexuality.244Indeed, Roberts said explicitly that “by bestowing a respected status and material benefits on married couples, society encourages men and women to conduct sexual relations within marriage rather than without.” Id. at 689–90. Punishment, whether material or symbolic, is the necessary complement to this reasoning.245For similar reasoning, see Turner v. Rogers, 564 U.S. 431, 450, 461 (2011) (Thomas, J., dissenting) (justifying incarceration without procedural protections in civil child support enforcement actions, stating that “[t]his and other repercussions of the shift away from the nuclear family are ultimately the business of the policymaking branches”).

Alito’s dissent made explicit his objection to overturning traditional moral hierarchies. He wrote: “I assume that those who cling to old beliefs will be able to whisper their thoughts in the recesses of their homes, but if they repeat those views in public, they will risk being labeled as bigots and treated as such by governments, employers, and schools.”246Obergefell, 576 U.S. at 741 (Alito, J., dissenting). In short, Alito’s concern lay directly with the ability to uphold the preferred values in the public square and fear that those who did so would now be the ones receiving punishment. And while he acknowledged that family understandings and behavior could change over time, he simply treated data such as the 40% nonmarital birth rate as further reason states could chose to double-down on traditional moral understandings247Id. at 739–40 (“While, for many, the attributes of marriage in 21st-century America have changed, those States that do not want to recognize same-sex marriage have not yet given up on the traditional understanding. They worry that by officially abandoning the older understanding, they may contribute to marriage’s further decay.”). —drawing clear distinctions between preferred groups and those subject to moral condemnation even when a substantial or even majority of the public did not share such views.

Alito’s opinion accepted the right of moral traditionalists to insist on the primacy of heterosexual marriage and to punish those who create families or engage in sexual intimacy outside of marriage. He saw the majority, in contrast, as embracing same-sex families as entitled to equal moral worth and such views as necessarily punishing those who disagree as bigots. Moreover, he treated evidence of changing norms, such as the increase in nonmarital births, as evidence of a threat to the traditional moral order and therefore as additional reason for punishment. Framed in such terms, the legal question becomes one of power and authority to uphold the preferred views and, in Alito’s terms, punishment cannot be separated from the underlying values.

B.  Abortion Revisited

With respect to abortion, however, neither the Court’s efforts to sidestep the morality of the underlying conduct nor its efforts to address the issues directly have yet succeeded. In the years after Roe, abortion became a political marker in part because the issue offers little opportunity for compromise.248See Drew Westen, The Political Brain: The Role of Emotion in Deciding the Fate of the Nation 178 (2007) (“[Republicans] describe abortion as murder, define an uncompromising stance as the only moral stance one could take, get . . . Americans with the least tolerance for ambiguity on moral questions to the polls, and let the Democrats offer dozens of different positions . . . .”). While the Court largely succeeded in making contraception more available without directly embracing the sexual revolution, the Court’s efforts to sidestep the moral issues underlying the abortion issue satisfied no one. Roe satisfied neither those who saw reproductive rights as essential for gender equality nor those who believe the status of the fetus is not an issue that could be “bracketed.” 249Post & Siegel, supra note 25, at 400 (“Roe has inspired its opponents to ‘run the long race of politics’ . . . .”); see Judith Resnik, The Production and Reproduction of Constitutional Norms, 35 N.Y.U. Rev. L. & Soc. Change 226, 226 (2011). These divisions, unlike those underlying recognition of LGBT relationships, have increased over time.

In Planned Parenthood v. Casey,250lanned Parenthood v. Casey, 505 U.S. 833 (1992).  the Court nonetheless tried to tamp down the divisions by directly engaging the values conflicts. Decided in the early 1990s, Casey251See Siegel, The Virtue of Judicial Statesmanship, supra note 24, at 1028, 1028 n.371 (commenting that the plurality in Casey respected and incorporated the incommensurable values of those on both sides of the abortion divide). had been widely expected to reverse Roe outright.252See, e.g., Linda J. Wharton, Susan Frietsche & Kathryn Kolbert, Preserving the Core of Roe: Reflections on Planned Parenthood v. Casey, 18 Yale J.L. & Feminism 317, 319 (2006) (describing the expectation that Roe would be overturned in the decision). Instead Casey preserved the core of the right to abortion, while permitting the states to impose new restrictions, such as waiting periods and parental consent provisions.253Id. at 319–20 (explaining that these provisions included “mandatory waiting periods, informed consent scripts that force doctors to give their patients information biased against abortion, onerous licensing and regulatory schemes for abortion providers, detailed reporting requirements, consent and notification requirements for minors, abortion procedure bans, and laws making abortion providers strictly liable for any and all damage to their clients”) (footnotes omitted). Justice O’Connor’s plurality opinion was the only significant abortion decision for the Court written by a woman. She observed that the earlier decisions in Griswold, Eisenstadt, and Carey “support the reasoning in Roe relating to the woman’s liberty because they involve personal decisions concerning not only the meaning of procreation but also human responsibility and respect for it.”254Casey, 505 U.S. at 852–53. Casey, alone in the Supreme Court’s reproductive rights decisions, made women’s relationship to the growing fetus central to the decision.255O’Connor explained that the clash over abortion involved two contrasting approaches to the question of responsibility. “One view,” she wrote, “is based on such reverence for the wonder of creation that any pregnancy ought to be welcomed and carried to full term no matter how difficult it will be to provide for the child and ensure its well-being.” Id. at 853. This framing underscores the relationship between religious views of sexuality and the unacceptability of abortion. The alternative view, she continued, “is that the inability to provide for the nurture and care of the infant is a cruelty to the child and an anguish to the parent.” Id. This alternative view acknowledges the harsh nature of the state imposition of a child on a prospective parent unable or unwilling to accept the burden. It succeeded, however, only in delaying the day of reckoning over Roe itself.

Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization256Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Org., 142 S. Ct. 2228 (2022). is radically at odds with previous decisions that have used the concept of punishment to distract attention from inflammatory subjects. It is also at odds with the conception of judicial statesmanship, through which courts legitimate the judicial system while also recognizing social change and creating community in the midst of conflicting values’ clashes.257Id. at 2243; Siegel, The Virtue of Judicial Statesmanship, supra note 24, at 960 (noting that judicial statesmanship allows “the legal system to legitimate itself” and requires “expressing social values as social circumstances change and sustaining social solidarity amidst reasonable, irreconcilable disagreement”). Although Justice Alito claimed otherwise, the decision is designed to inflame and, in doing so, it is likely to empower state officials who wish to exercise their authority to punish—in order to affirm the moral superiority of their position, to reaffirm their values in the public square, to impose dominance over outgroups, and to restore a sense of hierarchical order that validates their position in society. The opinion itself invites such a response.

First, it goes out of its way to say not just that opposing views, but Roe itself were never legitimate. Alito’s majority opinion declares that “Roe was egregiously wrong from the start. Its reasoning was exceptionally weak, and the decision has had damaging consequences.”258Dobbs, 142 S. Ct. at 2243.

Second, it dismisses women’s interest in their bodily integrity as of no consequence, suggesting that those interests are amply protected through existing laws.259Justice Alito summarized some of the arguments in favor of permitting restrictions on abortions:

They note that attitudes about the pregnancy of unmarried women have changed drastically; that federal and state laws ban discrimination on the basis of pregnancy; that leave for pregnancy and childbirth are now guaranteed by law in many cases; that the costs of medical care associated with pregnancy are covered by insurance or government assistance; that States have increasingly adopted “safe haven” laws, which generally allow women to drop off babies anonymously; and that a woman who puts her newborn up for adoption today has little reason to fear that the baby will not find a suitable home. They also claim that many people now have a new appreciation of fetal life and that when prospective parents who want to have a child view a sonogram, they typically have no doubt that what they see is their daughter or son.

Dobbs, 142 S. Ct. at 2258–59 (footnotes omitted). See Sonia M. Suter & Naomi Cahn, The Disembodied Pregnant Person, Nat’l L.J. (July 1, 2022), https://www.law.com/nationallawjournal/2022/07/01/the-disembodied-pregnant-person [https://perma.cc/Z5HX-5NNZ] (discussing Alito’s approach to the impact of pregnancy).

Third, while the opinion claims not to base the decision on recognition of a fetus as a human being from the moment of conception forward, it clearly views state actions based on such views as a legitimate basis for legislative action and declares that the fact that abortion serves to “destroy a ‘potential life’ ” justifies the Court’s treatment of Roe as precedent entitled to less deference than other Supreme Court precedents.260Dobbs, 142 S. Ct. at 2261.

Fourth, unlike other Supreme Court decisions announcing a major change in governing law (with all deliberate speed),261Brown v. Bd. of Educ., 349 U.S. 294, 301 (1955); see Charles J. Ogletree, Jr., Comment, All Deliberate Speed: Reflections on the First Half-Century of Brown vs. Board of Education, 66 Mont. L. Rev. 283, 288, 294 (2005); Charles J. Ogletree, Jr., All Deliberate Speed, Ctr. for Am. Progress (Apr. 12, 2004), https://www.americanprogress.org/article/all-deliberate-speed [https://perma.cc/PK2G-TE99] (discussing earlier Justices’ use of “deliberate speed,” including Justices Holmes and Frankfurter). the Court provides no guidance for the states and no timelines for implementation. It simply overturns Roe and leaves the states—and the pregnant—on their own in the face of a rapidly shifting and still uncertain legal landscape.

The majority opinion thus has the hallmarks of an act of vengeance righting a wrong, rather than serving to provide judicial guidance in the face of contentious issues. It seeks to restore the moral hierarchy associated with the forces that see abortion as necessarily impermissible. It affirms states’ right to ban abortion without addressing the impact on the rights of states who wish to ensure its continuing availability. And in not only issuing the Dobbs’ decision, but in failing to restrain the states’ earlier vigilante laws,262Texas enacted S.B. 8 in 2021 (before Dobbs); the statute imposes civil liability on anyone who performs or aids an abortion that a Texas provider performs. S.B. 8, 87th Gen. Assem., Reg. Sess. (Tex. 2021); see Cohen et al., The New Abortion Battleground, supra note 14, at 49 (suggesting potential challenge to the statute as a penal law). Similarly, consider the Indiana Attorney General’s attacks on the doctor who helped secure a legal abortion for a 10-year-old rape victim vividly illustrated. See Jordan Morey & Peter Blanchard, Former IU Law School Dean Asks for Disciplinary Probe of Rokita, Inside Ind. Bus. (July 19, 2022, 1:22 PM), https://www.insideindianabusiness.com/articles/former-
iu-law-school-dean-asks-for-state-disciplinary-probe-of-ag-todd-rokita [https://perma.cc/T69Y-LZCV] (discussing request to investigate whether Indiana’s Attorney General made false statements in questioning procedures followed by the physician who performed the abortion on the ten-year-old).
the Court’s current stance suggests that the states will be free to treat abortion as murder and punish those who provide abortions, those who seek abortions, and those who aid and abet those involved with abortions in any way.

V.  THE FUTURE OF ABORTION PUNISHMENT

Abortion has become a flash point for political division because it falls on the fault lines of cultural polarization and political realignment.263See Cahn & Carbone, supra note 242, at 4–5, 92–95. After Dobbs, the factors that drive political divisions are likely to overlap with the factors driving calls to punish those seeking and providing abortions.

In analyzing and moving forward on these issues, it is first critical to understand the sources of the call for punitive measures and then to consider whether a focus on punishment can also provide a strategy for defusing the conflict.264For other thoughts on moving forward, see, e.g., David S. Cohen, Greer Donley & Rachel Rebouché, Rethinking Strategy After Dobbs, 75 Stan. L. Rev. Online 1 passim (2022); Yvonne Lindgren & Nancy Levit, Reclaiming Tort Law to Protect Reproductive Rights, 75 Ala. L. Rev. ___ (forthcoming 2023). Without such a strategy, this Article concludes, the likely result is a replication of the conditions that preceded Roe: pregnancy as the punishment for sex, aggravating the existing class and regional bifurcation in unintended births; a high-profile fight between elite actors on the boundaries of post-Dobbs public morality; and selective enforcement that disproportionately penalizes poor and minority women. As an alternative, this Article proposes that using the punishment lens analysis can serve as a means to de-escalate the coming legal wars over abortion.

A.  Values Polarization and Abortion Punishment

The analysis of the factors underlying the calls for punishment start with the factors driving political polarization. Political theorists link partisan polarization to a sorting between the parties based on cultural values. They describe those with conservative values orientations as favoring in-group unity and strong leadership, and having “a desire for clear, unbending moral and behavioral codes,” that include an emphasis on the importance of punishing anyone who strays from the code, “a fondness for systematization,” as well as “a willingness to tolerate inequality (opposition to redistributive policies).”265John R. Alford, Carolyn L. Funk & John R. Hibbing, Are Political Orientations Genetically Transmitted?, 99 Am. Pol. Sci. Rev. 153, 164–65 (2005).

Those with a liberal values orientation, in contrast, tend to be more tolerant to outsiders, to consider context rather strict rules adherence when it comes to determining appropriate behavior.266Id. They also demonstrate more empathy and less interest in strict punishment for violations of moral and behavioral rules and greater intolerance of inequality.267Id. at 165.

Attitudes toward abortion both reflect and contribute to the partisan polarization.268Political scientists Baldassarri and Gelman conclude that “[p]olitical polarization constitutes a threat to the extent that it induces alignment along multiple lines of potential conflict and organizes individuals and groups around exclusive identities, thus crystallizing interests into opposite factions.” Delia Baldassarri & Andrew Gelman, Partisans without Constraint: Political Polarization and Trends in American Public Opinion, 114 Am. J. Soc. 408, 439 (2008). Abortion attitudes have become more partisan over time, and psychologist Drew Westen describes this outcome as a matter of intentional political strategy.269Westen, supra note 248 and accompanying text. Such a strategy was designed to attract people who see abortion in rigid moral terms to the Republican party in the 1990s,270Luker characterizes sexual conservatives as dogmatists who “believe in a moral code derived from God, not man,” while sexual liberals “have a more forgiving view of morality.” She emphasizes that for liberals, sex is “natural,” while for conservatives, it is “sacred.” Kristin Luker, When Sex Goes to School: Warring Views on Sex—And Sex Education—Since the Sixties 99, 184 (2006); see also Mitchell Killian & Clyde Wilcox, Do Abortion Attitudes Lead to Party Switching?, 61 Pol. Res. Q. 561, 561 (2008) (finding that pro-life Democrats tended to become Republicans); Neil A. O’Brian, Before Reagan: The Development of Abortion’s Partisan Divide, 18 Persp. on Pol. 1031, 1031 (2020) (describing how abortion did not become a partisan issue until the nineties).  and as that happened, self-identified Republicans became more opposed to abortion.271See Andrew Gelman, David Park, Boris Shor & Jeronimo Cortina, Red State, Blue State, Rich State, Poor State 118 (2008) (describing increasing partisan polarization on abortion). Stances on abortion accordingly became a political marker.

Public opinion polls today confirm the high degree of partisan polarization on abortion. While 61% of all Americans believe that abortion should be legal in all or most cases, 60% of Republicans—and 72% of those who identify as “conservative Republicans”—believe that abortion should be illegal in all or most cases.272Hannah Hartig, About Six-in-Ten Americans Say Abortion Should be Legal in All or Most Cases, Pew Rsch. Ctr. (June 13, 2022), https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2022/06/13/about-six-in-ten-americans-say-abortion-should-be-legal-in-all-or-most-cases-2 [https://perma.cc/FDH5-5V97]. In contrast, 80% of Democrats and 90% of “liberal Democrats” believe that abortions should be legal in all or most cases.273Id. Public opinion polls indicate that support for the imposition of criminal sanctions closely tracks abortion views generally.274Id.

These attitudes correspond to the purposes and pitfalls of punishment. All groups seek affirmation of their values, but the values to be expressed are not parallel in their relationship to the imposition of punishment. Abortion rights advocates seek to preserve a right to privacy free from government intrusion through the democratic process, including referenda as well as litigation. To the extent they wish to exact punishment for taking away abortion rights, they have suggested defeating anti-choice politicians at the ballot box,275Zolan Kanno-Youngs, ‘This Is Not Over’: Biden Tries to Galvanize Voters After Abortion Ruling, N.Y. Times (June 24, 2022), https://www.nytimes.com/2022/06/24/us/biden-roe-abortion.html [https://perma.cc/G9KN-QQTN]. impeaching Supreme Court justices for perjury about their willingness to follow precedent,276Ramon Antonio Vargas, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Calls for Supreme Court Justices to be Impeached, The Guardian (June 27, 2022, 10:58 AM), https://www.theguardian.com
/us-news/2022/jun/27/alexandria-ocasio-cortez-supreme-court-justices-impeach-kavanaugh-gorsuch-thomas [https://perma.cc/Q7C8-89VM].
and requesting ethics investigations.277Morey & Blanchard, supra note 262. We could also imagine more aggressive efforts to counter the efforts of anti-abortion activists who attempt to interfere with abortion in states where abortion remains legal.278Mark Lungariello, Anti-Abortion Activists Found Guilty After Blocking Westchester Clinic, N.Y. Post (Mar. 19, 2022, 7:49 PM), https://nypost.com/2022/03/19/anti-abortion-activists-found-guilty-after-blocking-ny-clinic [https://perma.cc/EX94-6EEL] (misdemeanor charges for blocking access to abortion clinic); Hannah Sarisohn and Elizabeth Wolfe, Anti-Abortion Activist Charged with Stalking a Bay Area Doctor who Provides Abortion, CNN (May 20, 2022, 1:02 PM), https://www.cnn.com/
2022/05/20/us/anti-abortion-activist-charged-stalking-doctor/index.html [https://perma.cc/MK9D-89TQ] (felony charges for stalking an abortion doctor and vandalism, and trespass charges).
Some of the most important actions pro-choice states have taken, however, is greater support to assist those coming from out-of-state, protecting their own health care workers, and ensuring access to medication abortion. 279Shefali Luthra & Barbara Rodriguez, Blue States Have Passed Laws to Shore Up Abortion Access, but It May Not Be Enough to Address Potential Surge, 19th (May 3, 2022, 3:07 PM), https://19thnews.org/2022/05/blue-states-laws-codify-abortion-access-protections [https://perma.cc/
8Y8T-RMHE].; Press Release, Office of the Attorney General–Connecticut, Attorney General Tong Joins Multistate Coalition to Defend and Protect Access to Medication Abortion (Feb. 10, 2023), https://portal.ct.gov/AG/Press-Releases/2023-Press-Releases/Attorney-General-Tong-Joins-Multistate
-Coalition-to-Defend-and-Protect-Access-to-Medication-Abortion [https://perma.cc/XX2Y-B8HH].
The symbolism involves a greater and more visible state embrace of a right of abortion access.

The punishment desired by those opposed to abortion, by contrast, has two components. The first involves the expressive function of law and the declaration that abortion is wrong.280Michelle Oberman, How Abortion Laws Do and Don’t Work, 36 Wis. J.L. Gender & Soc’y 163, 197 (2021). The declaration reaffirms the moral hierarchy that elevates those who oppose abortion entirely; empirical studies indicate that when abortion is perceived as a “moral wrong” that produces outrage in those who oppose it; they dehumanize the women (and their partners) who seek abortions.281Maria Guiseppina Giovannelli Pacilli, Ilaria Giovannelli, Federica Spaccatini, Jeroen Vaes & Claudio Barbaranelli, Elective Abortion Predicts the Dehumanization of Women and Men Through the Mediation of Moral Outrage, 49 Soc. Psych. 287, 298–99 (2018). Expressing this moral opposition even has a “shaming effect” on those who require abortions because of significant health issues.282Oberman, supra 280, at 197 (arguing that restrictive abortion laws seek to “weaponize shame”). It also justifies subjecting those who seek therapeutic abortions to intrusive review of their doctor’s medical determinations or requiring those experiencing rape or incest to face onerous proof requirements, retraumatizing victims of sexual assault. Yet, the symbolic effect can occur with limited punishment, prosecuting only occasional cases that involve public defiance of the new abortion bans.

This dehumanization and shame, in turn, empowers those who would pursue the second component: waging a war to root out the practice. The National Right to Life Committee has proposed sweeping measures, for example, that would not only criminalize abortion itself, but treat it as a “criminal enterprise” that needs to be eliminated using “RICO-style laws” that would reach anyone providing any type of support to someone seeking an abortion. 283Memorandum from James Bopp, Jr., Nat’l Right to Life Comm. Gen. Couns., Courtney Turner Milbank & Joseph D. Maughon to National Right to Life Committee, NRLC Post-Roe Model Abortion Law 3 (June 15, 2022), https://www.nrlc.org/wp-content/uploads/NRLC-Post-Roe-Model-Abortion-Law-FINAL-1.pdf [https://perma.cc/BB5Z-25CF]. These provisions target not only medical personnel but those providing abortion information.284Id. Others propose empowering not only state prosecutors but individual citizens to conduct surveillance on those visiting out-of-state abortion clinics, accessing internet websites providing abortion information, or even monitoring the pregnant (and their friends and family) more generally.285See, e.g., infra note 288 and accompanying text. These activities, particularly when carried out by private “vigilantes,” combine opposition to abortion with a moral crusade. While some laws immunize the pregnant from prosecution, existing laws in many states have already been used to prosecute women experiencing miscarriages for “feticide”286Melissa Jeltsen, The Coming Rise of Abortion as a Crime, The Atlantic (July 1,
2022), https://www.theatlantic.com/family/archive/2022/07/roe-illegal-abortions-pregnancy-termination
-state-crime/661420 [https://perma.cc/2CJE-G89W]. For example, Texas charged a woman for murder for ending a pregnancy, despite the fact that the Texas abortion law specifically precludes prosecuting patients. The charges, however, were dropped. Julia Shapero, Texas District Attorney to Drop Murder Charge in “Self-Induced Abortion,” Axios (Apr. 10, 2022), https://www.axios.com/2022/04/10/texas-self-induced-abortion-dropped [https://perma.cc/A87J-HQYT]; see Michele Goodwin, If Embryos and Fetuses Have Rights, 11 Law & Ethics Hum. Rts. 189, 196 (2018). In addition, an Indiana woman who used mail order pills to abort a second term fetus received a twenty-year prison sentence, until the sentence was reversed on appeal. See Associated Press, Indiana Declines to Appeal Purvi Patel’s Overturned Feticide Conviction, NBC News (Aug. 24, 2016), https://www.nbcnews.com/news/asian-america/indiana-declines-appeal-purvi-patel-s-overturned-feticide-conviction-n637106 [https://perma.
cc/DT5R-Y6RH]. A California woman was charged with homicide after the baby she was carrying was stillborn in the eighth month because she tested positive for meth—even though there was evidence that the drugs in her system could not have cause the stillbirth. See Sam Levin, She Was Jailed for Losing a Pregnancy. Her Nightmare Could Become More Common, The Guardian (June 4, 2022, 1:00 PM), https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2022/jun/03/California-stillborn-prosecution-roe-v-wade [https://
perma.cc/SV2X-XZDE].
and more draconian laws have been proposed that provide for prosecution for crimes based on an abortion.287Elyssa Spitzer, Some States Are Ready to Punish Abortion in a Post-Roe World, Ctr. for Am. Progress (June 24, 2022), https://www.americanprogress.org/article/some-states-are-ready-to-punish-abortion-in-a-post-roe-world [https://perma.cc/3KE9-TYK5]; Rob Garver, After Leak, Some State Legislators Propose More Restrictive Abortion Laws, Voice America (May 9, 2022, 7:12 PM), https://www.voanews.com/a/after-leak-some-state-legislators-propose-more-restrictive-abortion-laws-/
6564434.html [https://perma.cc/J43Q-QWFS].
Even without new laws, the Attorney General of Alabama, for example, threatened to prosecute those crossing state lines to terminate their pregnancies or using abortion pills as child chemical endangerment, even if the patients legally obtain the pills within Alabama.288          Amy Yurkanin, Women Can Be Prosecuted for Taking Abortion Pills, Says Alabama Attorney General, AL.Com (Jan. 10, 2023), https://www.al.com/news/2023/01/women-can-be-prosecuted-for-taking-abortion-pills-says-alabama-attorney-general.html [https://perma.cc/6ETT-CF8S]. The Attorney General’s statement was made before a case challenging the legality of the FDA’s authorization of abortion pills. See All. for Hippocratic Med. v. FDA, No. 2:22-CV-223-Z, 2023 U.S. Dist. LEXIS 61474 (N.D. Tex. Apr. 7, 2023).

Finally, prosecutions, particularly if they are brought against those who seek abortions, are likely to enforce gender, race and class hierarchies. As anti-abortion fervor has mounted, some states over the last decade have increased criminal investigations of various types of pregnancy loss, including not just self-induced abortions but also miscarriages, stillbirths, and any form of infanticide.289Yvette Cabrera, When Pregnancy Loss Becomes a Crime, Ctr. for Pub. Integrity (June 3, 2022), https://publicintegrity.org/inside-publici/newsletters/watchdog-newsletter/pregnancy-loss-crime-reproductive-rights [https://perma.cc/6WZZ-R52M]. See generally Wendy A. Bach, Prosecuting Poverty, Criminalizing Care (2022) (analyzing prosecutions of pregnant women); Dorothy Roberts, Killing the Black Body: Race, Reproduction, and the Meaning of Liberty (1997) (transformative analysis of the restrictions on poor Black women’s reproductive autonomy). These cases overwhelmingly target “pregnant people who are poor, young, have substance abuse issues or live in areas with limited health services.”290Cabrera, supra note 289. Advocates fear the reversal of Roe will fuel more such cases and particularly harm women of color, already disproportionately overpoliced and prosecuted on pregnancy-related issues.291Id. Farah Diaz-Tello, an attorney who works on reproductive health rights commented, “It’s this vicious cycle where lack of access, . . . increased scrutiny and stigma around abortion, as it becomes further restricted or criminalized, leads to more criminalization.”292Id. (this creates a “perfect storm,” she explains, “that sets up people who are already experiencing marginalization to be punished for the various situations that the states place them in”). And the fact that the individuals are poor, minority group members, substance abusers, or otherwise lack full control of their lives contributes to the willingness of others to impose moral condemnation on their behavior.

Dobbs will only make this worse.

B.  Punishment in the Courts

Striking down Roe invited the states to adopt abortion bans that, in criminalizing abortion, also prescribe punishment. The courts have historically policed the limits of criminal punishment, requiring, for example, that criminal laws provide clear notice as to what acts are proscribed, that those accused enjoy appropriate procedural protections, and punishments are proportionate to the offence. This Article has gone beyond these traditional concerns to address how the Supreme Court uses a punishment lens to accomplish broader objectives, particularly in the face of irreconcilable and intrinsically divisive issues, and issues that may threaten judicial legitimacy. Abortion certainly qualifies as divisive, and Dobbs has already raised serious concerns about judicial legitimacy.

Indeed, in the years since Roe, anti-abortion activists have made the fetus the issue—with the impact on the person forced to give birth disappearing from view.293See Goodwin, If Embryos and Fetuses Have Rights, supra note 286, passim. When the fetus becomes the subject of concern, consensual sex—with no victims other than public mortality—is beside the point. When prosecutors act to prosecute abortions, they are passing moral judgment on the permissibility of the abortion itself and often imposing significant penalties.294See Goodwin, If Embryos and Fetuses Have Rights, supra note 286 and accompanying text; Levin, supra note 286 and accompanying text.

Two arenas in particular, however, offer the Court an opportunity to tamp down the Dobbs-inspired conflicts.

First, if the Supreme Court seeks to deflect the outrage over Dobbs, the simplest way would be to take seriously its own statement that all it has to do is to return the issue to the states.295Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Org., 142 S. Ct. 2228, 2279 (2022). Taking that seriously requires protecting the rights of states that wish to secure access to abortion—and protecting, as Justice Kavanaugh suggested in his concurrence, the constitutional right to travel.296Id. at 2309 (Kavanaugh, J., concurring); see Cohen et al., The New Abortion Battleground, supra note 14, at 27–30 (discussing extraterritorial validity of abortion law). The most basic question involving the right to travel is whether citizens of one state can travel to another state, return to their home state, and be punished for their out-of-state conduct. Existing precedent from the Roe era suggests that such conduct is constitutionally protected and other limits on state jurisdiction ordinarily preclude punishment for out-of-state acts.297Cohen et al., The New Abortion Battleground, supra note 14, at 27–30. Affirming the constitutional right to travel should also mean that states cannot burden exercise of the right to travel, by punishing, for example, those within the state who assist the traveler in leaving the state or acts that a pregnant person takes within the home state, such as researching out of state options, packing one’s bags, or driving to the state line for the purpose of accessing abortion in another state, just as the Court concluded in Hobby Lobby that forcing an employee to choose between an ACA compliant health plan or a monetary contribution to ACA funding constitution a burden on religious freedom.298See discussion of Hobby Lobby, supra notes 214–219 and accompanying text. The Court should also strike down punishment that creates obstacles to First Amendment rights of expression, 299Cf. Eisenstadt v. Baird, 405 U.S. 438, 455–60 (1972) (Douglas, J., concurring) (finding that the case involved a straightforward First Amendment right to display contraceptives at an educational lecture). such as penalizing websites or advice to individuals that contain accurate information about abortion and out-of-state availability.300Bigelow v. Virginia, 421 U.S. 809, 829 (1975) (Virginia law precluding publication from addressing the procurement of abortion struck down as a violation of the First Amendment). The Court could also recognize that states encouraging private citizens to track those accessing out-of-state abortion clinics, websites, menstrual periods or other personal information either serves no legitimate state purpose to the extent it is intended to penalize the right to travel or, like searching the marital bedroom for contraceptives, is so intrusive as to be constitutionally suspect. 301States can regulate, even ban, abortion so long as there is “a rational basis on which the legislature could have thought that it would serve legitimate state interests.” Dobbs, 142 S. Ct. at 2284. If the purpose is to obstruct the right to travel, on the other hand, such regulation would be unrelated to a legitimate state interest. In addition, state encouragement to surveil every person who might become pregnant should be seen as so overbroad, discriminatory on the basis of sex and gender, and intrusive as to lack a rational relationship even to an otherwise legitimate state interest. Striking down punishment that burdens the right to travel could simultaneously affirm state abortion bans and still protect its availability in the states that permit it.302This leaves open, of course, the possibility of a federal abortion ban. See, e.g., Ramesh Ponnuru, Opinion, Pro-Lifers Should Hold Off on Seeking National Abortion Ban, Bloomberg (June 26,
2022, 5:00 AM), https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2022-06-26/federal-abortion-ban-why-conservatives-should-hold-off#xj4y7vzkg [https://perma.cc/PE2K-5L3M] (noting that Dobbs removes any constitutional obstacle to a federal ban on abortion).

The second arena where a punishment lens could be effective in defusing abortion controversies involves women’s right to medical treatment to protect their health. Statutes banning abortion pose a dilemma for doctors; they report that they fear retaliation for performing abortion-like procedures—even when the fetus is dead or the health threat to the patient is significant.303Isabel Keane, Woman Forced to Carry Dead Fetus for Two Weeks After Miscarriage Due to US Abortion Ban, Metro (July 19, 2022, 8:04 PM), https://metro.co.uk/2022/07/19/woman-forced
-to-carry-dead-fetus-after-miscarriage-due-to-abortion-ban-17030740 [https://perma.cc/8G96-YNH2]; Elizabeth Cohen, Danielle Herman & John Bonifield, In Some States, Doctors Weigh ‘Ruinous’ Litigation Against Proper Care for Women Who Have Miscarriages, CNN (July 20, 2022, 2:24 PM), https://www.cnn.com/2022/07/20/health/doctors-weigh-litigation-miscarriage-care/index.html [https://
perma.cc/52SB-D9ST] [hereinafter Cohen et al., In Some States] (“The answer lies in fear: The same surgical procedure used to remove a dead fetus is also used to remove a living fetus, and doctors in states with strict anti-abortion laws worry they’ll be prosecuted for performing an abortion when they were actually providing miscarriage care.”).
In these cases, the risks are asymmetrical: the doctor faces punishment for “doing the right thing” and little in the way of negative consequences for not acting, even if the patient dies as a result.304Cohen et al., In Some States, supra note 303. On the dilemmas doctors face on whether to act in these circumstances, see Fox, supra note 4, at 1034–35. Fox does note: “Abortion laws illustrate the bind that clinicians can find themselves in when ambiguities blur these lines [between what is legal and what is prohibited]: criminally punished for ending a pregnancy or liable for malpractice if they don’t end one, buffered only by narrow exceptions that are vague and variable.” Id. at 1096. Uncertainty itself thus imposes punishment—and serves the purposes of those who would root out abortion (with inevitable spillover effects to abortion-like procedures). Yet, criminal prosecutions of the doctor in these cases, while risky and expensive for the doctor personally, could bring the criminal justice system into disrepute. For those seeking to ensure abortion access, the question therefore should be how to bring the issue of punishing doctors—and the corresponding ability of the pregnant to receive abortions necessary to protect their health—into public focus. Test cases on enforceability of abortion bans in circumstances threatening the life of the mother might bring greater clarity.305Many states do not have Article III limitations on standing in state court. Alternatively, doctors could attempt to get emergency declaratory judgments as they have done in cases involving the removal of feeding tubes or life support from infants with significant birth defects. See Eleanor Klibanoff, Women Denied Abortions Sue Texas to Clarify Exceptions to the Laws, Tex. Tribune (Mar. 7,
2023), https://www.texastribune.org/2023/03/07/texas-abortion-lawsuit [https://perma.cc/PNJ3-VWAJ] (describing such a case).
Such suits could also focus attention on the health threat that punishment poses to pregnant patients. Heavy-handed interventions into newborn care, in which governors sought to prolong the lives of children born with substantial birth defects, helped to discredit the interventions.306See Ava Sasani & Emily Cochrane, ‘I’m Carrying This Baby Just to Bury It’: The Struggle to Decode Abortion Laws, N.Y. Times (Aug. 19, 2022), https://www.nytimes.com/2022/08/19/us/
politics/louisiana-abortion-law.html?campaign_id=2&emc=edit_th_20220820&instance_id=69837&nl
=todaysheadlines&regi_id=34085178&segment_id=101932&user_id=a3ccce257854149749a62ba6aaf78958 [https://perma.cc/C9PC-PEEQ] (noting the complications in health care as a result of an abortion ban and pointing to the unintended effect of state legislation).
The same approach might work in the context of pregnancy care. Justice Blackmun’s initial draft opinion in Roe sought to focus on the issue of professional judgment.307See John Hart Ely, Another Such Victory: Constitutional Theory and Practice in a World Where Courts Are No Different from Legislatures, 77 Va. L. Rev. 833, 876 n.139 (1991) (noting Blackmun’s longstanding association with the Mayo Clinic and consequent deference to physicians). Partisan differences on abortion are smaller (and overall support for punishment is substantially less) when the mother’s health is at risk.308Hartig, supra note 272 (though the partisan divisions remain much larger when an abortion is sought because the child would be born with significant health issues or birth defects). Striking down abortion laws that do not clearly immunize doctor’s decisions about medically therapeutic abortions is a first step; recognizing that the pregnant have a right to abortions necessary to protect their health is an important second step.

In cases of rape and incest, the effort ought to go further to highlight the callous treatment of such victims. Governor Greg Abbott declared, in response to questions about precluding abortion for the victims of involuntary sexual activity, that “Texas will work tirelessly to eliminate all rapists from the streets of Texas . . . .”309Aziza Ahmed & Michele Goodwin, Coercing Rape Survivors to be Pregnant for the State—The Texas Way, Ms. Mag. (Oct. 1, 2021), https://msmagazine.com/2021/10/01/texas-abortion-ban-rape-exception-greg-abbott-crime-control [https://perma.cc/WS44-VJDS] (quoting Abbott). In short, the Governor tried to deflect claims of punishment of one type (forcing the victims of rape to carry the rapist’s child to term) by talking about another type of punishment—that imposed on rapists. The veracity of the claim is not the issue, particularly because Texas has one of the highest rape rates in the country and Abbott had done little to combat it.310Id. Alito’s opinion in Dobbs favorably cites the view of Matthew Hale on abortion without acknowledging that Hale is well known for suggesting that women routinely lie about rape—as well as engage in witchcraft. Jill Elaine Hasday, Opinion, On Roe, Alito Cites a Judge who Treated Women as Witches and Property, Wash. Post (May 9, 2022, 5:00 PM), https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/
2022/05/09/alito-roe-sir-matthew-hale-misogynist [https://perma.cc/LKN4-VNKF].
As with abortions necessary to protect the lives of the pregnant, partisan differences narrow considerably on cases of rape and incest and the failure to provide such exceptions underscores the punitive nature of the restrictions. 311Alison Durkee, How Americans Really Feel About Abortion: The Sometimes Surprising Poll Results One Year After Roe Overturned, Forbes, June 26, 2023, https://www.forbes.com
/sites/alisondurkee/2023/06/26/how-americans-really-feel-about-abortion-the-sometimes-surprising-poll
-results-one-year-after-roe-overturned/?sh=7a8fa8a95ea3 [https://perma.cc/UN5M-CKS3] (reporting on poll finding that 76% of Republicans favor access to abortion in cases of rape or incest).

Finally, cases in which patients are prosecuted ought to be used to highlight the cruelty associated with abortion restrictions in the United States.312Chemerinsky & Goodwin, supra note 16, passim. Restricting access to abortion is in fact just one more form of punishment of the marginalized, with the same groups that support abortion restrictions also opposing more generous provisions to the poor.313See Franklin, The New Class Blindness, supra note 90, at 78 (discussing how the elimination of a right to abortion in Dobbs is resulting in the effective elimination of access to abortion for marginalized subgroups, without the development of a strong social safety net for the resulting children in states that are restricting abortion). White evangelical Protestants, for example, the religious group most opposed to abortion,314Pew Research Center, America’s Abortion Quandary, Pew Rsch. Ctr. (May 22, 2022), https://www.pewresearch.org/religion/2022/05/06/americas-abortion-quandary/ [https://perma.cc/UNZ4
-N9XT].
is also one of the groups most likely to respond that aid to the poor does more harm than good.315Pew Research Center, U.S. Public Becoming Less Religious 104 , Pew Rsch. Ctr. (Nov. 3, 2015), https://www.pewresearch.org/religion/religious-landscape-study/religious-tradition/evangelical-protestant/views-about-government-aid-to-the-poor/ [https://perma.cc/G6WD-U8XC] (indicating that evangelical Protestants and Mormons, though not historically black Protestant churches, are most likely to respond that government aid does more harm than good). The partisan divide on these issues is even greater, with 69% of Republicans in comparison with 25% of Democrats responding that aid to the poor does more harm than good. Id. And the same groups have become more likely to oppose immigration and efforts to promote racial equality316Anthea Butler, White Evangelical Racism: The Politics of Morality in America (2021); Peter Kivisto, The Politics of Cruelty, 60 Soc. Q. 191, 197–98 (2019) (observing that Christian nationalism and white grievance have combined, with those who score high on the Christian nationalism, in particular, more likely to believe that Christian identity is threatened by academics, cultural elites, secularists, and Muslims, both at home and abroad). and to favor imposition of preferred values through authoritarian means.317Samuel L. Perry & Philip S. Gorski, With the Buffalo massacre, white Christian nationalism strikes again, Wash. Post (May 20, 2022), https://www.washingtonpost.com/outlook/
2022/05/20/white-christian-nationalism-buffalo-abortion/ [https://perma.cc/5TB7-VLDC] (“For a segment of Christians, the battle over abortion is just one front in a wider war to make America Christian again—by any means necessary. They are not pro-life so much as pro-control.”).
The cruelty of abortion bans is a large part of what motivated the decision in Roe. With abortion opponents calling for draconian enforcement measures,318See David S. Cohen, Greer Donley & Rachel Rebouché, The Harshest Abortion Restrictions Are Yet to Come, The Atlantic (July 11, 2022), https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/
archive/2022/07/pro-life-legal-strategies-abortion/661517 [https://perma.cc/9FD6-U6AB] (predicting that states will seek extraterritorial reach of their abortion laws and civil and criminal punishment of not just health care providers but of those seeking an abortion); Kaylee Olivas, ‘Murderer’: OK Senator files bill to punish woman getting an abortion, wants to ban contraception, KFOR, (Feb. 7, 2024) https://kfor.com/news/oklahoma-legislature/ok-senator-files-bill-to-punish-woman-getting-an-abortion
-wants-to-ban-contraception/?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email [https://perma.cc/3765-XWCZ] (proposing bill that would allow charging women who terminate their pregnancies with murder, with no exception for rape or incest).
it should be a factor in mobilizing the opposition to post-Dobbs enforcement of abortion restrictions.319A lengthy literature discusses the relationship between the status threat perceived by those who see themselves on the losing end of social hierarchies and the desire for punishment. See, e.g., Rick Ruddell & Martin G. Urbina, Minority Threat and Punishment: A Cross-National Analysis, 21 Just. Q. 903, 924 (2004) (finding that more diverse societies are more likely to impose the death penalty and higher rates of incarceration); Andrew P. Davis, Michael Gibson-Light, Eric Bjorklund & Teron Nunley, Institutional Arrangements and Power Threat: Diversity, Democracy, and Punitive Attitudes, 39 Justice Q. 1545, 1549, 1558 (2022) (finding more punitive attitudes in democratic societies with greater diversity).

CONCLUSION

Focusing on punishment will not resolve intractable values disputes; it simply changes the subject. Changing the subject, however, does offer a tactic for diffusing intractable disputes—or a long-term strategy for reframing what is at stake. In either case, it makes visible the consequences of public actions, such as abortion bans, on those affected by them in ways that can serve to underscore their cruelty. The public wants its core values expressed and respected in the public square; in cohesive societies the values are consensus based, and punishment reinforces them. The urge to punish, when embedded in group conflict, inflames divisions (threatening violence or civil war); channeling it effectively is central to the rule of law. Understanding this dynamic gives the Court tools (and a motive) to construct an offramp: it also allows states to decide their own approaches to abortion while protecting the pathways out of the states that ban it, and ensures that doctors can save the lives of their patients.

96 S. Cal. L. Rev. 1101

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* Robina Chair in Law, Science and Technology, University of Minnesota Law School.

† Justice Anthony M. Kennedy Distinguished Professor of Law, Nancy L. Buc ’69 Research Professor in Democracy and Equity, University of Virginia School of Law. Thanks to workshop participants at the University of Minnesota Law School Squaretable for comments and to Sam Turco for research assistance, and to Katherine Bake, Mary Anne Case and John Q. Barrett for comments on an early draft.

Delegating War Powers

Academic scholarship and political commentary endlessly debate the President’s independent constitutional power to start wars. And yet, every major U.S. war in the last sixty years was fought pursuant to war-initiation power that Congress gave to the President in the form of authorizations for the use of military force. As a practical matter, the central constitutional question of modern war initiation is not the President’s independent war power; it is Congress’s ability to delegate its war power to the President.

It was not until quite late in American history that the practice of war power delegation became well accepted as a domestic law basis for starting wars. This Article examines the development of war power delegations from the founding era to the present to identify when and how war power delegations became a broadly accepted practice. As this Article shows, the history of war power delegation does not provide strong support for either of two common but opposite positions: that war power, as a branch of foreign affairs powers, is special in ways that make it exceptionally delegable; or that it is special in ways that make it uniquely nondelegable. More broadly, that record counsels against treating “foreign affairs delegations” as a single category, and it reveals that constitutional questions of how Congress exercises war power are as significant as whether it does.

INTRODUCTION: WAR POWER AND THE NEW NONDELEGATION DEBATES

Academic scholarship and political commentary endlessly debate the President’s independent constitutional power to start wars or launch military interventions.1See William Michael Treanor, The War Powers Outside the Courts, 81 Ind. L.J. 1333, 1333 (2006) (“War powers scholarship continues to be haunted by the War in Vietnam, and the dominant question continues to be whether Congress must approve large-scale, sustained military action.”). And yet, every major U.S. war in the last 60 years—Vietnam, the Persian Gulf War, Afghanistan, and the 2003 Iraq War—was fought pursuant to war-initiation power that Congress gave to the President in the form of authorizations for the use of military force.2See Curtis A. Bradley & Jack L. Goldsmith, Congressional Authorization and the War on Terrorism, 118 Harv. L. Rev. 2047 (2005). For example, in 2002, Congress resolved that “[t]he President is authorized to use the Armed Forces of the United States as he determines to be necessary and appropriate in order to . . . defend the national security of the United States against the continuing threat posed by Iraq . . . .” Authorization for Use of Military Force Against Iraq Resolution of 2002, Pub. L. No. 107-243, § 3(a)(1), 116 Stat. 1498, 1501 (2002). The United States has engaged in many lower-intensity conflicts during this period, some under congressional authority and others under claimed independent presidential power. Beyond the four conflicts named in the text, the most significant U.S. use of ground troops in this period was in Panama in 1989–1990, which was not authorized by Congress.

Congress’s war power—and by that term, or alternatively “war-initiation power,” we mean throughout this Article specifically the power to commence war, as distinct from power to wage it3Though, as discussed herein, lines can blur between the power to initiate war or intervene militarily and powers to control how force is used or how to wage war. —is generally understood to arise from Article I, Section 8’s power “To declare War.”4U.S. Const. art. I, § 8, cl. 11. See generally Michael D. Ramsey, Textualism and War Powers, 69 U. Chi. L. Rev. 1543 (2002). But none of the congressional war authorizations of the past sixty years was in any sense a declaration of war. None had the effect of initiating, or directing the initiation, of military conflict. Instead, they were broad delegations to the President of the power to decide when and whether to initiate hostilities. In each case the President did use force (and it was apparent beforehand that he likely would, at least to some extent), but Congress left that decision to the President.5The discretionary nature of modern war authorizations has led to the common designation “undeclared wars.” This is a misnomer. Whether one regards a “declaration” of war to be only a formal announcement or defines it more broadly as action initiating a state of hostilities, each of these conflicts was “declared” by the President, pursuant to a delegation of discretionary war-initiation authority from Congress. Michael D. Ramsey, Presidential Declarations of War, 37 U.C. Davis L. Rev. 321, 334–56 (2003). Thus, as a practical matter, the central constitutional question of modern war initiation is not the extent of the President’s independent war power; it is the extent of Congress’s ability to delegate its war power to the President.

Until very recently, that latter question seemed easy—so easy that it was rarely asked. Under the Supreme Court’s modern nondelegation doctrine, Congress can, for the most part, delegate power to the President if it includes an “intelligible principle” by which the delegated power would be exercised—and this principle presents an exceptionally low bar, reviewed by courts with a high degree of deference.6Whitman v. Am. Trucking Ass’ns, Inc., 531 U.S. 457, 474–75 (2001). So while Congress likely could not delegate to the President discretion to start wars anywhere for any reason, delegations limited to particular places or particular threats (even stated broadly) would easily pass the test.

The conventional permissive nondelegation doctrine has, however, been called sharply into question by academic commentators7See generally, e.g., Am. enter. Inst. for Pub. Pol’y Rsch., The Administrative State before the Supreme Court: Perspectives on the Nondelegation Doctrine (Peter J. Wallison & John Yoo, eds., 2022) [hereinafter Wallison & Yoo]. and, more importantly, by the Supreme Court. In particular, Justice Gorsuch’s 2019 dissent in Gundy v. United States, joined by Chief Justice Roberts and Justice Thomas, argued for a new, more restrictive approach to the doctrine.8Gundy v. United States, 139 S. Ct. 2116, 2131 (2019) (Gorsuch, J., dissenting). In a separate opinion, Justice Alito signaled willingness to revisit the doctrine in an appropriate case,9Id. at 2130–31 (Alito, J., concurring). and two Justices added since Gundy—Justices Kavanaugh and Barrett—may have sympathy for the project as well.10See, e.g., Paul v. United States, 140 S. Ct. 342, 342 (2019) (Kavanaugh, J., statement respecting the denial of certiorari). In 2022, the Court rejected the Environmental Protection Agency’s purported authority to regulate carbon emissions, reasoning that extra scrutiny and strict statutory interpretive rules apply to claims that Congress delegated to executive agencies power over “major” public policy questions.11West Virginia v. EPA,  142 S. Ct. 2587, 2595 (2022). Justice Gorsuch, joined by Justice Alito, wrote separately to emphasize the foundational constitutional importance of keeping major legislative decision-making in Congress.12Id. at 2617-18 (Gorsuch, J., concurring). One senses that a substantial revision of the nondelegation doctrine may be impending, thus provoking new scholarly attention to—among other things—the historical practice of delegation.13or recent and conflicting accounts of founding-era nondelegation practices in general, see, for example, Julian Davis Mortenson & Nicholas Bagley, Delegation at the Founding, 121 Colum. L. Rev. 277 (2021); Christine Kexel Chabot, The Lost History of Delegation at the Founding, 56 Ga. L. Rev. 81 (2021); Nicholas R. Parrillo, A Critical Assessment of the Originalist Case Against Administrative Regulatory Power: New Evidence from the Federal Tax on Private Real Estate in the 1790s, 130 Yale L.J. 1288 (2021); Ilan Wurman, Nondelegation at the Founding, 130 Yale L.J. 1490 (2021); Aaron Gordon, Note, Nondelegation, 12 N.Y.U. J.L. & Liberty 718 (2019). For a seminal originalist discussion of delegations, see Gary Lawson, Delegation and Original Meaning, 88 Va. L. Rev. 327 (2002). In contrast, recent accounts specifically directed to foreign affairs or war powers delegations have been less frequent and less comprehensive. See generally, Note, Nondelegation’s Unprincipled Foreign Affairs Exceptionalism, 134 Harv. L. Rev. 1132 (2021); Robert Knowles, Delegating National Security, 98 Wash. U. L. Rev. 1117 (2021); Jacob C. Beach, Authorization and Delegation: AUMFs and Historical Practice, 8 Nat’l Sec. L.J. 54 (2021). For discussion of the major questions doctrine and foreign affairs (but not war powers in particular), see generally Timothy Meyer & Ganesh Sitaraman, The National Security Consequences of the Major Questions Doctrine, 122 Mich. L. Rev. (forthcoming 2023).

War powers have not yet been a focus of this renewed nondelegation debate—but they should be. That is especially so because when the issue comes up, those who consider it are often pulled in one of two opposing directions.

One view sees war-initiation power as special in ways that make it unusually—maybe even uniquely—non-delegable.14For example, this view was an important part of the constitutional criticism of the Vietnam War. See, e.g., infra notes 260–268 and accompanying text. In this view, there is something about going to war, including the stakes or the institutional advantages and proclivities of the different branches, that constitutionally requires Congress to retain ultimate control. For Congress to yield substantial discretion over such a monumental decision to the President violates a key design feature of the Constitution.

A contrary and more common view (at least in the modern era) sees war-initiation power as special in ways that make it unusually delegable. Some justices and commentators have suggested that a more stringent nondelegation doctrine, even if revived in domestic matters, would not apply to foreign affairs.15See, e.g., Gundy v. United States, 139 S. Ct. 2116, 2137 (2019) (Gorsuch, J., dissenting); Michael W. McConnell, The President Who Would Not Be King 326–35 (Stephen Macedo ed., 2020); Michael B. Rappaport, A Two-Tiered and Categorical Approach to the Nondelegation Doctrine, in Wallison & Yoo, supra note 7, at 195, 199–200. And, indeed, at the height of its nondelegation jurisprudence in the 1930s, the Court in United States v. Curtiss-Wright Export Co.16United States v. Curtiss-Wright Exp. Corp., 299 U.S. 304 (1936); cf. Panama Refining Co. v. Ryan, 293 U.S. 388 (1935) (finding broad domestic delegation unconstitutional). Curtiss-Wright rested on a historical account of the founding that has been sharply criticized, and the delegation in Curtiss-Wright was, despite the Court’s broad language, quite narrow (and did not involve war-initiation power). See, e.g., Charles A. Lofgren, United States v. Curtiss-Wright Export Corporation: An Historical Reassessment, Yale L.J. Nov. 1973, at 1; Michael D. Ramsey, The Myth of Extraconstitutional Foreign Affairs Power, 42 Wm. & Mary L. Rev. 379 (2000). indicated that the doctrine generally applies less strictly in foreign affairs than in domestic matters. Given that war powers are (again, at least in the modern era) a quintessential foreign affairs matter, and given that the President has some independent military powers, this view treats war powers as especially delegable.

Neither of these opposing views has been accompanied by sustained examination of historical practice. Such examination is important not just for history’s sake but because historical interpretive gloss often plays an important role in constitutional separation of powers law17See Curtis A. Bradley & Trevor W. Morrison, Historical Gloss and the Separation of Powers, 126 Harv. L. Rev. 411 (2012); Youngstown Sheet & Tube Co. v. Sawyer, 343 U.S. 579, 610–11 (1952) (Frankfurter, J., concurring). and because, in addition to the rising originalist orientation of the Supreme Court, the political branches often invoke originalism to support their respective positions on war powers.

This Article examines the development of war power delegation from the founding era to the present to identify when and how war power delegations became a broadly accepted practice. Ultimately, we argue that the historical record does not provide strong support for either of the two polar views described above: that war-initiation power is exceptionally delegable, or that it is uniquely nondelegable. Throughout much of American history, both political branches sometimes treated war initiation as constitutionally distinct, but not so consistently to alone justify either of those positions. We then explore what that history suggests about both constitutional war power and foreign affairs delegations more generally.

We show first that, contrary to common assumptions, early American history offers little support for broad war-initiation delegation. If anything, the historical record reveals that such delegations were rare and narrow, and sometimes accompanied by strong expressions of concern. In that way, this Article contributes directly to the current debate about nondelegation originalism, pointing to the ways in which war power in particular was understood to operate. We then go on to show that even as war power delegations became more widely used in the nineteenth and especially the twentieth centuries, eventually becoming an accepted practice during the Cold War, constitutional objections to war power delegations have had remarkable staying power. Even if now a minority view, they resurface again and again, especially at moments of major controversy about the role of military force in American foreign policy.

We do not contend that the historical record alone yields a clear doctrinal answer to whether and to what extent the war power is delegable—and, to reiterate, by that we mean the power to commence war as distinct from powers over how to wage it.18See supra note 3 and accompanying text. A comprehensive doctrinal analysis would look at other factors, including functional arguments.

Nevertheless, our analysis of the historical record yields at least four implications for thinking about law in this area. First, this Article casts doubt on efforts to separate a category of “foreign affairs delegation” from resurgent controversies about the nondelegation doctrine in general, because it shows that foreign affairs delegation is not a single, coherent category. Those who want to breathe new life into the nondelegation doctrine, often on originalist grounds, sometimes carve out foreign affairs for special treatment as an area in which broad delegation of executive policy discretion seems especially appropriate. This Article, however, draws attention to the ways in which war-initiation power has historically been viewed as distinct from some other foreign affairs delegations. Contrary to the tendency of some constitutional critics of delegation in general to see Congress’s war power as an area in which delegation is especially appropriate, this Article spotlights arguments as to why war power delegation has sometimes been viewed as uniquely problematic. Among other things, this account complicates efforts by some jurists and commentators to pursue on originalist grounds a restrictive domestic nondelegation doctrine while preserving broad delegations as to war and foreign affairs.

Second, this Article shows that the contemporary emphasis in constitutional debates on whether Congress authorizes war or force misses the historical emphasis on how Congress does so. The stakes involved in the latter are immense, too. Any reform project aimed at restoring Congress’s “original” war powers also needs to grapple with constitutional limits to their delegation.

Third, the periodic reemergence of war power nondelegation objections illustrates how constitutional arguments have always been a major part of policy debates over U.S. military power. A defining feature of American constitutional war powers is the extent to which, even centuries after the founding, many basic legal questions remain contested, and the extent to which partisans in strategic debates over the use of military force wield constitutional arguments for political effect. This point is worth highlighting at this moment because U.S. overseas military commitments face intense resistance from both the right and the left. The history in this Article suggests that we will likely see an uptick in war power nondelegation arguments again as a tool of resistance to military adventurism—and at a time when nondelegation doctrine generally seems to be in some flux.

And, fourth, this Article shows the many ways in which war power delegations have been used or proposed to deal with a wide array of novel strategic challenges. One obvious function of war power delegation is to manage complexity, by giving the President leeway to respond quickly and flexibly to crises. This fits with standard arguments for delegation in general. The story of war power delegation is more intricate. This tool also served as a device for handling various, specific challenges—including dilemmas that were virtually unimaginable to the founders—that arose over time in the context of overseas policing, collective security, and nuclear deterrence.

The Article proceeds as follows. Part I considers what, if anything, the Constitution’s drafting and ratifying history can contribute to debates about war power delegation. Part II examines historical war power practice up to 1860 under four categories of conflicts and their legal bases: (1) formally named “wars”; (2) the “Quasi-War” with France in 1798–1800; (3) lesser-known nineteenth-century episodes in which war power delegation was considered or debated but no actual military conflict ensued; and (4) other use-of-force delegations relating to frontier conflicts with Native American tribes, piracy, and insurrections. Part III looks at delegations from the Civil War to the Second World War, a period in which the nation’s emergence as a global power was, perhaps surprisingly, not accompanied by any material delegation of war-initiation power. Part IV examines practices beginning with the Cold War, in which we find the most decisive shift to a regime of broad delegation of war power. Part V discusses the implications of this history for war powers doctrine, foreign affairs nondelegation doctrine, and war powers reform.

I. WAR POWER DELEGATION AT THE FOUNDING

A vast scholarly literature has explored the extent to which the Constitution’s original design vested the war power exclusively in Congress.19See generally Louis Fisher, Presidential War Power (3d ed. 2013); Francis D. Wormuth, Edwin B. Firmage, & Francis P. Butler, To Chain the Dog of War: The War Power of Congress in History and Law (1986); Treanor, supra note 1; Ramsey, supra note 4; Saikrishna Prakash, Unleashing the Dogs of War: What the Constitution Means by “Declare War,” 93 Cornell L. Rev. 45 (2007); John C. Yoo, The Continuation of Politics by Other Means: The Original Understanding of War Powers, 84 Cal. L. Rev. 167 (1996). Article I gave Congress the power to declare war, and Article II vested executive power in the President and made the President commander in chief. Debate rages today about whether, beyond giving the President wide powers to control the conduct of war, those Article II powers also include authority to initiate military hostilities. We do not relitigate that issue here. For present purposes, we assume that the original design gave Congress some exclusive war power—a proposition not widely contested—and ask instead what founding-era debates suggest about Congress’s ability to delegate that exclusive power (whatever its extent may have been) to the President.

We find that the founding-era debates say surprisingly little on the matter. Neither the framers nor the ratifiers appear to have engaged war power delegation directly. The war power did not play a large role in founding-era debates, and contemporaneous commentary on that power lacked detail about how it would be exercised. Further, discussions of delegation more broadly (which themselves were rare) do not have obvious implications for war power delegations. The founding-era debates and background understandings do not clearly establish congressional authority to delegate war powers. If anything, they indicate strong beliefs among at least some key framers that important war power decisions should not lie with the President, raising doubt whether those framers would have thought it permissible for Congress to broadly hand them off to the President by statute.

A. War Initiation in the Convention and Ratification Debates

The records of the 1787 Philadelphia Convention indicate that delegates discussed war powers on two material occasions. Although both exchanges convey a strong sense that Congress, not the President, should hold war-initiation power, neither considers the question of war power delegation directly or definitively.

On May 29, Edmund Randolph opened the Convention’s substantive debate by introducing the Virginia Plan,201 The Records of the Federal Convention of 1787, at 18–23 (Max Farrand ed., 1966) [hereinafter Farrand 1]. which soon prompted a discussion of the war power. The Plan said nothing directly about war power, but it proposed a national government headed by a “National Executive” which, in addition to “general authority to execute the National laws,” would have “the Executive rights vested in Congress by the [Articles of] Confederation.”21Id. at 21 (Madison’s notes). Various speakers objected that this language could be read to give war powers to the President.22Charles Pinckney objected that “the Executive powers of (the existing) Congress [under the Articles] might extend to peace & war &c which would render the Executive a Monarchy, of the worst kind, towit an elective one.” Id. at 64–65 (Madison’s notes). John Rutledge agreed: “[H]e was for vesting the Executive power in a single person, tho’ he was not for giving him the power of war and peace.” Id. at 65 (Madison’s notes). James Wilson observed that he “did not consider the Prerogatives of the British Monarch as a proper guide in defining the Executive powers. Some of these prerogatives were of a Legislative nature. Among others that of war and peace &c.” Id. at 65–66 (Madison’s notes). The delegates did not vote specifically on the war power point, but on a subsequent motion by James Madison (seconded by James Wilson) they dropped the reference to the executive powers of the Confederation Congress and substituted a direction that the executive would have power “to carry into execution the national laws” and “to appoint to offices in cases not otherwise provided for.”23Farrand 1, supra note 20, at 63 (Journal); id. at 66–67 (Madison’s notes). This motion is discussed further below.  See infra Section I.B. The task of defining legislative and executive powers ended up with the inaptly named Committee of Detail,24See McConnell, supra note 15, at 62 (noting that the “Committee gave the office of the President its name, its structure, and most of its powers”); id. at 62–73 (discussing the Committee’s work). which delivered to the Convention on August 6 a draft giving Congress the power “To make war.”252 The Records of the Federal Convention of 1787, at 182 (Max Farrand ed., 1966) [hereinafter Farrand 2].

When the full Convention reached the “make war” language on August 17, Charles Pinckney suggested that the war power should go to the Senate rather than Congress as a whole, and Pierce Butler spoke in favor of “vesting the [war] power in the President.”26Id. at 318 (Madison’s notes). Butler’s suggestion received no recorded support; Elbridge Gerry replied that he “never expected to hear in a republic a motion to empower the Executive alone to declare war.”27Id. Pinckney’s motion to reallocate Congress’s war power was “disagd. to without call of States.” Id. at 319 (Madison’s notes). Madison and Gerry famously moved to replace “make” with “declare,” which passed eight states to one.28Id. at 318–19 (Madison’s notes); id. at 313 (Journal). Sherman, Ellsworth and Mason all indicated that they opposed giving the President power to commence war. Id. at 318–19 (Sherman saying that “The Executive shd. be able to repel and not to commence war. ‘Make’ much better than ‘declare’ the latter narrowing the power too much.”) (Madison’s notes); id. at 319 (Ellsworth saying that “It shd. be more easy to get out of war, than into it.”) (Madison’s notes); id. (Mason opposing giving war power to the Executive or the Senate and adding that he “was for clogging rather than facilitating war”) (Madison’s notes). Madison argued that the change to “declare” would “leav[e] to the Executive the power to repel sudden attacks,” id. at 318 (Madison’s notes). King added that “ ‘make’ war might be understood to ‘conduct’ it which was an Executive function.” Id. at 319 (Madison’s notes). That vote established what became the Constitution’s final language,29U.S. Const. art. I, § 8, cl. 11. and the delegates seem not to have returned to it.

The August 17 debate tends to support the idea of congressional war-initiation power, but it is unhelpful on the question of delegation. Questions of how Congress would exercise war power were not addressed directly at all. One might argue that the delegates’ focus on the dangers of executive war initiation suggests that they would not have wanted Congress to delegate it broadly to the President.30See Wormuth et al., supra note 19, at 198. Ellsworth and Mason, for example, seemed to favor congressional war power as a way of reducing the likelihood of war—because they thought presidents would be too inclined toward it.31See Farrand 2, supra note 25, at 319 (Madison’s notes). Sherman and Gerry argued (along with Pinckney, Rutledge, Wilson, and Madison in the earlier debate) that the President should not have war-initiation power.32Id.; Farrand 1, supra note 20, at 65–66 (Madison’s notes). Perhaps this meant they thought the President should not have war-initiation power even with Congress’s approval, but that is not certain. Alternatively, they (or some of them) might have thought only that Congress should make the initial decision, but that decision might include empowering the President ultimately to exercise discretion. In the end, only a few delegates spoke to the war power issue (though the speakers included some of the most influential delegates).33Hamilton’s plan for the Constitution, presented on June 18, gave the Senate “the sole power of declaring war” while the “supreme Executive authority” would have “the direction of war when authorized or begun.” Farrand 1, supra note 20, at 292 (Madison’s notes). The plan did not say anything specifically about war power delegation. It seems that the delegates were thinking generally about the question of which branch should have war power, and what the scope of that power would be,34It seems clear that the delegates assumed giving declare-war power (or make-war power) to Congress would deny it to the President. Similarly, they assumed that rewriting the grant to Congress from “make” to “declare” would allow the President to exercise some powers the President would otherwise be denied—for example the power to repel sudden attacks. See Farrand 2, supra note 25, at 318 (Madison explaining that his motion to substitute “declare” for “make” would “leav[e] to the Executive the power to repel sudden attacks”) (Madison’s notes). Presumably that was because the President had the executive power and the commander-in-chief power. but were not focused on how that power would be exercised in practice, including the permissibility or impermissibility of delegating it.

This pattern continued in the ratification debates. As at the Convention, war initiation was not a major focus. When it came up, speakers seemed to assume it was a congressional power without dwelling on how they expected Congress to exercise it. For example, in an often-quoted passage, James Wilson in Pennsylvania said:

This system will not hurry us into war; it is calculated to guard against it. It will not be in the power of a single man, or a single body of men, to involve us in such distress, for the important power of declaring war is vested in the legislature at large; this declaration must be made with the concurrence of the House of Representatives. From this circumstance we may draw a certain conclusion, that nothing but our national interest can draw us into a war.352 The Documentary History of the Ratification of the Constitution 583 (Merrill Jensen ed., 1976). To similar effect, James Iredell said at the North Carolina ratifying convention: “The President has not the power of declaring war by his own authority” because that power is “vested in other hands.” 30 The Documentary History of the Ratification of the Constitution 325 (John P. Kaminski et al. eds., 2019).

The Federalist also had little to say about war initiation. The most significant discussion is in Federalist 69, in which Alexander Hamilton—a bit disingenuously—compared the President’s power under the Constitution to the power of the British monarch and the governor of New York. Regarding war power, Hamilton noted that while the monarch alone could declare war, under the Constitution that power “would appertain to the legislature.”36The Federalist  No. 69, at 417–18 (Alexander Hamilton) (Clinton Rossiter ed., 1961).

As with the comments at the Philadelphia Convention, these statements can be read to imply a nondelegable power in Congress. Although Wilson’s comment does not address delegation directly, concerns about lodging war initiation in a single person—instead demanding that such decisions ultimately rest with both houses of Congress—might also cut against allowing Congress to delegate its war power to the President. But again, that is far from certain. Such statements might only mean that Congress must make the initial decision regarding war, but that choice might include a decision to pass discretionary authority to the President. In Hamilton’s contrast between the British monarch and the Constitution’s President, even if Congress’s war-initiation power were delegable, placing it in Congress in the first instance would still represent a substantial limit on the President’s power compared to the British monarch’s.

Like the drafting debates, the statements regarding war power in the ratification period have only limited value for our inquiry. They are isolated statements by only a few participants (albeit important participants), not addressed to the particular issue of delegation, and not part of an extended discussion of the operation of war powers. Their central focus was to point out an important constitutional limit on presidential power. Their phrasing—and the fact that they were not contested by anti-federalist speakers or writers—indicates a broad consensus on the basic proposition that allocating declare-war power to Congress implicitly denied the President a corresponding independent power. But, how Congress could exercise its declare-war power is a different matter.37The framers’ failure to address the question is puzzling because late eighteenth-century wars were often not begun by formal declarations. See Ramsey, supra note 4, at 1574-78. Thus, the founding generation knew (or should have known) that giving Congress power to declare war did not resolve how Congress would exercise war-initiation power. Yet, how Congress would authorize the President to begin fighting—as important as that topic is today—seems not to have been addressed.

B. General Understandings of Delegation in the Founding Era

The framers and ratifiers might not have addressed war-initiation delegations specifically because they had a broader understanding of delegation that would encompass war power along with many other congressional powers. The founding-era view on that broader issue is sharply contested, with some scholars contending that the founding generation generally saw Congress’s powers as delegable subject perhaps to only modest limits38See, e.g., Mortenson & Bagley, supra note 13 (arguing for broad delegation power); Chabot, supra note 13 (same). while other scholars argue that the founding generation held more exacting restrictions on congressional delegation.39See, e.g., Wurman, supra note 13 (arguing for limited delegation power); Gordon, supra note 13 (same). This debate has said little about war power directly, and we do not take a position on it here.

One specific strand of that debate over the founders’ view of delegation, however, is quite relevant to war power and merits further discussion. Several commentators have suggested that, notwithstanding substantial general limits on delegation, the framers may have understood foreign affairs powers to be broadly delegable. Because that categorical exception might include war-initiation power, we address it briefly here.

The core case against delegation starts with the text of Article I, Section 1: “All legislative Powers herein granted shall be vested in a Congress of the United States . . . .”40U.S. Const. art. I, § 1. By negative implication, it may be argued, legislative powers shall not be vested elsewhere—and statutes delegating power to the President, to the extent they transfer that legislative power to the President, appear to violate this directive.41See McConnell, supra note 15, at 328. By parallel argument, Article III, Section 1 provides that “[t]he judicial Power of the United States, shall be vested in” the Article III federal courts; attempts by Congress to vest that judicial power elsewhere are unconstitutional. Id.; U.S. Const. art. III, § 1. Further, influential English political theorists including Locke and Blackstone had suggested that delegation of lawmaking power by the parliament to the monarch threatened separation of powers.42See, e.g., John Locke, Two Treatises of Government 380–81 (Peter Laslett ed., Cambridge Univ. Press, 2nd ed. 1967) (1690); 1 William Blackstone, Commentaries on the Laws of England 261 (sharply criticizing the 1539 Proclamations by the Crown Act, 31 Hen. 8 ch. 8, which briefly gave the monarch general power to issue proclamations with the force of law). These sources may indicate a background principle of nondelegation informing the founding-era understanding of Article I.43See McConnell, supra note 15, at 327–28. See also Wayman v. Southard, 23 U.S. 1, 42–43 (1825) (Marshall, C.J.) (“It will not be contended that Congress can delegate . . . powers which are strictly and exclusively legislative.”). But even if the Constitution contained such a broad nondelegation principle regarding Congress’s legislative powers, it is not clear how it would relate to war-initiation power (and other foreign affairs powers). Under the British system, war initiation—like much of foreign affairs—was a power of the monarch, not of parliament.441 Blackstone, supra note 42, at 249–50. Thus, to the framers and the thinkers who influenced them, war power may not have been considered the type of lawmaking (that is, making rules governing ordinary private behavior) to which nondelegation principles applied.45See McConnell, supra note 15, at 328–35.

The most developed defense of this position, principally based on Convention debates, comes from Professor Michael McConnell. He suggests that “the non-delegation doctrine, with its roots in the rejection of a Proclamation Power, may apply only to lawmaking, not to the former royal prerogative powers given to the legislative branch.”46Id. at 328–29. He finds support in an exchange near the outset of the Convention, in which participants discussed and rejected a proposal by Madison to specify that the executive would have power “to execute such other powers not Legislative nor Judiciary in their nature as may from time to time be delegated by the national Legislature.”47Farrand 1, supra note 20, at 67 (Madison’s notes). Madison initially proposed a general executive power to exercise delegated power but accepted an amendment limiting it to “powers not Legislative nor Judiciary in their nature.” Id. Pinckney (seconded by Randolph) moved to strike Madison’s proposed delegation revisions on the ground that they were redundant: “He said they were unnecessary, the object of them being included in the ‘power to carry into effect the national laws.’ ” Madison replied that the clause should be retained “to prevent doubts and misconstructions” but Pinckney’s motion carried 6 states to 3. Id. McConnell suggests that the Convention accepted the view that Congress could authorize presidential exercise of congressional powers if those powers were not legislative in nature, and that the President’s exercise of such delegated powers was within the law execution power.48McConnell, supra note 15, at 330–31. Thus, on his account, the delegates rejected Madison’s proposal as superfluous, not because they disagreed with it. Id. He goes on to include “formulating foreign policy” as an example of powers that are not judicial or legislative in nature and which might be especially delegable to the President.49Id. at 331 (distinguishing between former prerogative powers of the monarch and the “core legislative power to make laws binding on the people”).

Perhaps, but this seems far from certain. There was little recorded debate on this issue, and it seems unclear whether the delegates rejected Madison’s proposal because they thought it redundant (McConnell’s view) or because they opposed it on the merits. Nor is it clear whether the category of matters “not Legislative nor Judicial in their nature” approximated the former royal powers or included foreign affairs. And even if McConnell is right about the broad outlines of his conclusion, it is unclear whether Convention participants would have regarded war power as within the category of non-legislative delegable powers. Several key delegates, including Wilson and Madison himself, said or implied that war power was legislative in nature (even if some other foreign affairs powers might not be).50Wilson said directly that powers “of war & peace” were “of a Legislative nature.” Farrand 1, supra note 20, at 65–66 (Madison’s notes). Madison was recorded as agreeing with Wilson. Id. at 70 (King’s notes).

In sum, it is difficult to discern how the founding generation would have thought general principles of delegation applied to war power, even if one could determine what, if any, general principles on delegation they held in common. Lacking specific discussion of war power delegations, the founding-era debates and assumptions seem not to provide clear direction on the matter.

II. DELEGATION AND WAR POWER, 1789–1860

Given the ambiguity of the founding era regarding war power delegations, early practices may be particularly salient in establishing precedent.51Early practice may be indicative of original meaning, if close enough to ratification. Alternatively, consistent practice even well after the founding can provide a “historical gloss” on ambiguous provisions. See Youngstown Sheet & Tube Co. v. Sawyer, 343 U.S. 579, 610–11 (1952) (Frankfurter, J., concurring); see generally Bradley & Morrison, supra note 17. This Part examines early congressional practice relating to delegation and military conflicts. It proceeds in four parts. First it considers conflicts that Congress formally designated as “war.” Second, it describes the most significant authorization of military force in the period apart from formal declarations, the naval “Quasi-War” in 1798–1800. Third, it considers a series of lesser-known incidents involving delegations that did not lead to material conflicts. Finally, it examines delegations relating to uses of force in frontier conflicts with Native American tribes and suppression of piracy and insurrections.52Presidents also used military force without direct congressional authority during this period, but these unilateral actions do not bear on congressional delegation.

We conclude in this Part that the early record of war-initiation delegation is surprisingly thin. Delegations during this period were scattered, relatively narrow, and often accompanied by special circumstances that caution against their use as broad precedents. Moreover, proposals to delegate war-initiation authority (or related authority) were sometimes opposed on constitutional grounds, including on the grounds that war-initiation power was especially nondelegable. These objections stand in contrast to Congress’s extensive delegations during this period as to the manner in which the President might conduct wars and other uses of force that Congress authorized.

A. Formal Wars

In the first seventy years of practice under the Constitution, Congress recognized four wars against foreign powers by name and authorized the President to use the U.S. military to fight them. Two of these are the well-known conflicts with Britain, begun in 1812, and with Mexico, begun in 1846. The other two, less commonly included on the list of formal wars, are conflicts with Tripoli (authorized in 1802) and Algiers (authorized in 1815).

The War of 1812 was the only time in this period that Congress used the phrase “declare” war. Amid rising tensions with Britain on various matters, President Madison asked Congress for a declaration of war in mid-1812, and Congress responded with an Act stating that “[W]ar . . . is hereby declared to exist between [Britain] and the United States . . . and that the President of the United States is hereby authorized to use the whole land and naval force of the United States to carry the same into effect . . . .” 53Act of June 18, 1812, Pub. L. No. 12-106, 2 Stat. 755; see Davis P. Currie, The Constitution in Congress: The Jeffersonians, 1801-1929, at 164–65 (2001).

Notably for our purposes, the 1812 statute was not a delegation of war-initiation power. Unlike modern authorizations, it did not leave war initiation to presidential discretion. Congress itself invoked the state of war. The statute went on to authorize broad presidential discretion in conducting the war. But that is distinct from war initiation. At minimum, the Commander-in-Chief clause indicates a shared power of war-making between the President and Congress.54Recall that at the Convention Gouverneur Morris observed that changing Congress’s power from “make” war to “declare” war would properly leave the power to “conduct” war to the executive. Farrand 1, supra note 20, at 319 (Madison’s notes). Congress’s recognition of broad presidential discretion signaled Congress’s decision not to direct or limit the President’s exercise of the commander-in-chief power in conducting the hostilities.

Congress’s first formal recognition of a state of war came a decade earlier in 1802. The Pasha (ruler) of Tripoli, in modern Libya, as a prelude to beginning piratical attacks on U.S. merchant shipping in the Mediterranean, formally declared war against the United States in 1801.55Currie, Jeffersonians, supra note 53, at 123–29; Ray W. Irwin, The Diplomatic Relations of the United States with the Barbary Powers, 1776-1816, at 103–09 (1931). President Jefferson asked Congress for authority to respond;56It is unclear whether U.S. military action against Tripoli in these circumstances required Congress’s approval (Hamilton argued it did not because Tripoli had begun the war). See Michael D. Ramsey, The President’s Power to Respond to Attacks, 93 Cornell L. Rev. 169, 184–88 (2007) (discussing this debate); Currie, Jeffersonians, supra note 53, at 127–28 (same). in early 1802, Congress recognized a state of war and authorized the President to conduct hostilities against Tripoli.57Act of Feb. 6, 1802, Pub. L. No. 7-4, 2 Stat. 29 (stating that “the regency of Tripoli . . . has commenced a predatory warfare against the United States” and authorizing the President to seize Tripoli’s ships and “to cause to be done all such other acts of precaution or hostility as the state of war will justify, and may, in his opinion, require”). Although Congress did not use the word “declare,” the 1802 Act resembled the subsequent 1812 declaration in other significant respects—including that it did not delegate war-initiation authority. Congress itself acknowledged the war’s existence. Again, Congress recognized broad presidential authority to conduct the war, but the President presumably would have had that authority in any event once the existence of war was established.58See Currie, Jeffersonians, supra note 53, at 125 n.15 (noting that “the Constitution itself makes the President Commander in Chief and that the unpredictable course of hostilities makes it imperative that that officer enjoy great flexibility in deploying his forces once war has been declared”).

The 1815 events with Algiers resembled the earlier Tripoli conflict. During the War of 1812, Algiers’s navy began seizing U.S. shipping, but the United States had little ability to respond with force. After hostilities with Britain ceased, President Madison asked Congress for war-making authority, which Congress granted in similar terms to the 1802 Tripoli authorization. As with Tripoli, Congress did not delegate war-initiation power; it recognized a state of war and authorized the President to direct the military conflict as he saw fit.59Act of Mar. 3, 1815, Pub. L. No. 13-91, 3 Stat. 230 (referring to Algiers’s “predatory warfare” against the United States). See Currie, Jeffersonians, supra note 53, at 165 n.7; Irwin, supra note 55, at 171–76.

Finally in this period, Congress recognized a state of war with Mexico in 1846. In popular history the Mexican War is often listed with the War of 1812 as a “declared” war. In fact, Congress’s authorization of the Mexican War tracked its authorization of the Algiers and Tripoli conflicts, not using the word “declare” but instead recognizing the existence of a state of war resulting from the other party’s acts. Prior to the war, President Polk (without Congress’s authorization) sent U.S. troops into territory claimed by both the United States and Mexico, whereupon Mexican forces attacked U.S. troops in the disputed territory. Polk then asked Congress to recognize a state of war created by Mexico, which Congress did.60Act of May 13, 1846, Pub. L. No. 29-16, 9 Stat. 9. The Act began: “Whereas, by the act of the Republic of Mexico, a state of war exists between that Government and the United States” and continued “for the purpose of enabling the government of the United States to prosecute said war to a speedy and successful termination, the President be, and he is hereby, authorized to employ the militia, naval and military forces of the United States.” Id. Leaving aside the much-debated constitutionality of Polk’s provocative deployment,61See David P. Currie, The Constitution in Congress: Descent into the Maelstrom, 1829-1861, at 104–10 (2005). for present purposes the key point is that Congress did not delegate war-initiation power to the President. As in the previous conflicts, Congress made the decision for war itself and authorized broad presidential discretion in the means of fighting it.

In sum, Congress’s treatment of formal war authorization in the early nineteenth century differed significantly from Congress’s modern authorizations. None of the four nineteenth-century acts delegated war-initiation authority. In each of them, Congress itself stated the existence of war without qualification. This contrasts with modern authorizations that, as discussed below, leave to the President the decisions when, whether, and (sometimes) against whom to begin hostilities. Early nineteenth-century practice regarding formal war authorizations thus affords little precedent for modern delegations of war-initiation power.

These four episodes do support broad congressional delegation of power over the conduct of war. But this should not be read to endorse delegation of congressional war-initiation power because the President was likely understood to have independent war-waging authority once Congress recognized a state of war. To the extent Congress has concurrent authority to manage the conduct of war, the nineteenth-century authorizations signaled that Congress would not exercise that power and left the conduct of war to the President. As a result, early precedent for the delegation of war-initiation power must be sought elsewhere.

B. The Quasi-War

The naval war with France at the end of the eighteenth century, called the Quasi-War,62See Alexander DeConde, The Quasi-War: The Politics and Diplomacy of the Undeclared War with France, 1797-1801, at 3–141 (1966); Stanley Elkins & Eric McKitrick, The Age of Federalism 581–610 (1993). On the legal aspects of the Quasi-War and cases arising from it, see generally Jane Manners, Executive Power and the Rule of Law in the Marshall Court: A Rereading of Little v. Barreme and Murray v. Schooner Charming Betsy, 89 Fordham L. Rev. 1981 (2021). is a frequently cited example of early post-ratification delegation. David Currie observed: “The bellicose legislation of the Fifth Congress was riddled with broad delegations of authority.”63David P. Currie, The Constitution in Congress: The Federalist Period, 1789-1801, at 244 (1997). As to war initiation delegation, however, that is something of an overstatement.

The conflict opened in 1797 when France began seizing U.S. merchant ships as part of an effort to cut off trade with Britain. Congress’s response was initially limited. Consistent with President Adams’s policy of strengthening defenses while seeking peace, it appropriated money for coastal fortifications (with discretion to the President in choosing their location),64Act of June 23, 1797, Pub. L. No. 5-3, 1 Stat. 521. authorized (but did not require) the President to equip and man three frigates (with very specific directions as to the treatment of the crews), and authorized (but did not require) the President to increase the strength of existing revenue cutters.65Act of July 1, 1797, Pub. L. No. 5-3, 1 Stat. 523. Congress also authorized the President to require states to supply militia if needed. Act of June 24, 1797, Pub. L. No. 5-4, 1 Stat. 522. In early 1798, Congress increased appropriations to these ends and authorized the President to raise an additional regiment of artillery and engineers.66Act of Apr. 27, 1798, Pub. L. No. 5-31, 1 Stat. 552; Act of April 27, 1798, Pub. L. No. 5-34, 1 Stat. 553; Act of May 3, 1798, Pub. L. No. 5-36, 1 Stat. 554; Act of May 4, 1798, Pub. L. No. 5-38, 1 Stat. 555. But mostly Congress rejected proposals for more aggressive measures from Federalist leaders and awaited results from a diplomatic mission sent by Adams.67See Currie, Federalist Period, supra note 63, at 239–41.

The diplomatic mission failed, and once the outcome was known in mid-1798, Congress embraced more warlike measures in the form of delegations. Congress authorized the President to use the navy to seize French ships committing “depredations” on U.S. shipping or “hovering” on the U.S. coastline for that purpose.68Act of May 28, 1798, Pub. L. No. 5-48, 1 Stat. 561. On the same day, it also approved a Federalist proposal to authorize the President to raise additional troops at his discretion (the so-called Provisional Army); however, at the insistence of Republican and moderate Federalist congressmen, the President’s authority was limited to situations in which a foreign power declared war or there was an actual or imminent invasion.69Act of May 28, 1798, Pub. L. No. 5-47, 1 Stat. 558; see Currie, Federalist Period, supra note 63, at 244–48. In June, Congress prohibited U.S. ships from sailing to French ports and prohibited French ships from sailing to U.S. ports, with discretion to the President to waive the prohibition in some circumstances.70Act of June 13, 1798, Pub. L. No. 5-53, 1 Stat. 565. Congress later that month authorized U.S. merchant ships to arm themselves and resist French attacks, with the President authorized to provide what we would now call rules of engagement and to suspend the law if France disavowed further hostilities.71Act of June 25, 1798, Pub. L. No. 5-60, 1 Stat. 572.

In July 1798, Congress took its strongest step, authorizing the President to use the navy to attack French navy ships and privateers on the high seas and to commission U.S. privateers.72Act of July 9, 1798, Pub. L. No. 5-67, 1 Stat. 578. Currie calls this act “suspiciously like a delegation of the power to determine whether or not to go to war.” Currie, Federalist Period, supra note 63, at 245. Some congressional leaders discussed declaring war, but that was never formally proposed, nor was there specific direction to the President to expand the war (merely an authorization). This was the high point of Quasi-War delegation. Although the war continued into 1800 before a new diplomatic mission restored peace, Congress’s war-related legislation in subsequent years was largely confined to reenacting prior measures and making additional appropriations.

As delegations of war-making power, these measures are important but modest. Congress gave the President some discretionary authority in war-related matters. But the only direct delegations of the decision to use force were the two 1798 statutes authorizing attacks on French ships. Of these, the first (in May 1798) was purely defensive: the President could respond to French attacks or imminent attacks along the U.S. coast. One might have thought that the President had that power in any event, as part of the power (recognized by Madison at the Convention) to repel sudden attacks.73See Ramsey, supra note 56, at 172. Representative Gallatin made this point in the debate over the bill. 8 Annals of Cong. 1820, 1831 (1798). See also id. at 1832 (Rep. Venable also making this point); id. at 1828 (Rep. Bayard arguing that the bill gave the President slightly broader powers). No material discussion of delegation was recorded in connection with the bill. Moreover, Congress likely would not have seen this as delegating much policy discretion as a practical matter, as there was no doubt at that time the President would use the force described. Nonetheless, at least formally, the statute conveyed discretion to respond to warlike measures in limited circumstances.

The July 1798 authorization was broader and somewhat more akin to modern war power delegations. It permitted—but did not require—the President to expand the conflict to the high seas and against French shipping and naval forces generally. And the case for the President having this power independently is weaker than for purely defensive measures.74See generally Prakash, supra note 19 (arguing that the President independently has only defensive response power). Although Congress debated the measure at some length, concerns about delegation were not recorded as being expressed. See 8 Annals of Cong. 2062, 2067–83 (1798). On its face, this was a material delegation. But Congress did not authorize the President to begin new hostilities—only to extend existing hostilities. Indeed, the July statute could be seen as lifting some restrictions of the previous statute, which implicitly constrained the President to defensive responses. And the July authorization was itself limited, allowing attacks on the high seas but not against French ports or other land facilities, for example in the French Caribbean colonies. Overall, it seems that Congress was trying to maintain tight control over the extent to which the conflict escalated into full-scale war, rather than transferring to the President substantial discretion over whether to escalate.

The related matter of the Provisional Army is noteworthy because Congress’s control over raising a national army (including whether there would be one at all) was such a sensitive issue at the founding. Congress delegated only limited power in this case, which might have been viewed as constitutionally comparable to delegating war power. Some members of Congress expressed grave concerns over broad delegation, successfully narrowing the measure’s proposed scope. The initial Federalist proposal, enacted by the Senate and sent to the House in April 1798, authorized the President to raise the army at his discretion, if he found it required by the public safety.758 Annals of Cong. 1525, 1631 (1798). See Currie, Federalist Period, supra note 63, at 244. House Republicans objected, specifically in constitutional terms, that this unduly delegated congressional power to the President.76See, e.g., 8 Annals of Cong. 1525 (1798) (Rep. Nicolas objecting that the bill would give the President “[t]he highest act of Legislative power”); id. at 1526 (Rep. Gallatin arguing that “if Congress were once to admit the principle that they have a right to vest in the President powers placed in their hands by the Constitution, that instrument would become a piece of blank paper”); see Currie, Federalist Period, supra note 63, at 244–48 (describing this debate). Though the delegation involved raising armies rather than initiating war, the two were thought analogous; Representative Brent, for example, argued that “if a proposition was made to transfer to the President the right of declaring war in certain contingencies, the measure would at once appear so outrageous, that it would meet with immediate opposition.”778 Annals of Cong. 1638 (1798). These objections resonated with enough Federalists that the proposal was modified to limit the President’s discretion to specified circumstances of a declaration of war or actual or imminent invasion, and only during the next recess of Congress.78Professor Currie concludes: “As delegations went, this one was pretty narrowly confined; it could hardly be doubted that Congress itself had laid down the basic policy that was to guide the President’s determination.” Currie, Federalist Period, supra note 63, at 247. With this debate on their minds from earlier in the 1798 session, the lack of delegation-based objections to the July force authorization suggests that members of Congress probably did not regard the July measure as a substantial war-initiation delegation.

To be sure, there were other delegations in the Quasi-War period that could be precedent for other types of modern delegations. But as to delegating war-initiation power, the Quasi-War affords only limited precedent. That is particularly significant because the Quasi-War was the only foreign conflict fought pursuant to delegated discretionary authority in the early post-ratification era (and indeed, as later sections show, the only one prior to the twentieth century).

C. Delegations Not Leading to Military Conflict

Perhaps the most interesting and least studied episodes of war power delegation in the post-ratification era are those in which proposed delegations were refused, or in which delegations were made but no conflict ensued. These are significant because they highlight optional war power delegations, in which the President is authorized to engage in hostilities, or to opt not to act at all. We identified four such episodes, recounted below. They indicate that no clear consensus or consistent pattern existed in the mid-nineteenth century regarding war power delegation. Further, they provide little support for the proposition, discussed above, that formerly prerogative powers were understood to be broadly delegable.79See infra Section I.B; McConnell, supra note 15, at 326–35.

1. The No-Transfer Act

In 1811, war with Britain was on the horizon. So was the United States’ acquisition of Florida. A year earlier, President Madison directed U.S. troops to take possession of West Florida (the coastal strip between the Mississippi River on the west and the Perdido River on the east),80The Perdido River forms the current border between Alabama and Florida west of Pensacola, Florida. on the view that it was part of the Louisiana territory purchased from France in 1803.81Abraham D. Sofaer, War, Foreign Affairs and Constitutional Power: The Origins 297–303 (1976). Spain, which claimed and nominally controlled West Florida, objected but lacked power to mount opposition. That left Spain in control of East Florida (east of the Perdido River) for the moment, but U.S. acquisition of East Florida seemed inevitable. Seeking to make the best of a bad situation, Spain undertook negotiations for a U.S. purchase of East Florida.

With the looming threat of war with Britain and Spain’s increasing weakness, U.S. leaders worried that Britain might seize East Florida first. On January 3, 1811, Madison asked Congress for authority to use force to secure U.S. interests in East Florida.82James D. Richardson, A Compilation of the Messages and Papers of the Presidents, 1789–1897, at 488. Congress responded with a resolution declaring that “the United States cannot see, with indifference, any part of the Spanish Provinces adjoining the said States eastward of the River Perdido, pass from the hands of Spain into the hands of any other foreign Power.”83Resolution of Jan. 15, 1811, 3 Stat. 471. Simultaneously, Congress approved the so-called No-Transfer Act, authorizing the President to use force in East Florida, either under an agreement with the “local authority” or in the event of “an attempt to occupy the said territory, or any part thereof, by any foreign government.”84Act of Jan. 15, 1811, Pub. L. No. 15-130, 3 Stat. 471. All of this was done in extraordinary secret sessions (presumably to keep Britain in the dark).85David Hunter Miller, Secret Statutes of the United States: A Memorandum 4-5 (1918); Sofaer, supra note 81, at 305–06; see also Samuel F. Bemis, John Quincey Adams and the Foundations of American Foreign Policy 301–02 (1949). Britain never made any moves to occupy East Florida, and following the War of 1812, the Monroe Administration concluded the Adams-Onis Treaty of 1819, under which, among other things, the United States purchased East Florida from Spain.86Sofaer, supra note 81, at 306.

The significance of the No-Transfer Act’s delegation of war-initiation powers is unclear. On one hand, the Act entailed a consequential transfer of power to use force from Congress to the President, made without recorded objection on that ground.87We have not found evidence that anyone in Congress objected to the No-Transfer Act on delegation grounds, although the debates are not fully recorded. Some congressmen proposed amendments to narrow the Act by limiting or deleting the authority to respond to foreign occupation, but these failed, and it does not appear that they were supported by appeals to nondelegation. See 22 Annals of Cong. 1126–33 (1811); Miller, supra note 85, at 13, 25–26 (discussing proposed amendments). Armed conflict with Britain was no small thing (as the country found a year later), and the decision to counter a British move in Florida with force carried potentially grave consequences. Unlike the Quasi-War authorizations—the most substantial prior delegations of war power—the No-Transfer Act was not a response to attacks or likely attacks on the United States or U.S. ships; it authorized the opening of new hostilities against a formidable power. On the other hand, the authorization coupled with the resolution that the United States “cannot see, with indifference” any foreign seizure of East Florida, may have been meant to leave little discretion to the President to fail to respond to a British move. The secret Act thus might be seen more as a limited declaration of war conditioned on occurrence of a specific event, rather than a delegation.88See Wormuth et al., supra note 19, at 208 (taking this view). In that sense, it is not directly analogous to modern war-initiation delegations that leave it to the President to decide on war or not war.

2. Rebuffs of Jackson

As President, former General Andrew Jackson twice sought authority to use the U.S. military to press claims against Mexico and France. Both times Congress declined to enact Jackson’s requested authorizations.

By an 1831 treaty, France agreed to pay claims by U.S. shipowners arising from French seizures during the Napoleonic Wars. France failed to pay as required, and in 1834 Jackson asked Congress for authority to make armed reprisals against French property.89President Andrew Jackson, Sixth Annual Message to Congress (Dec. 1, 1834), S. Doc. No. 23-1, at 11. See Henry Bartholomew Cox, War, Foreign Affairs, and Constitutional Power: 1829-1901, at 17–19 (1984). Congress refused, with some speakers referring to the issue of delegation (although much of the discussion focused on the practical question of whether force was necessary). Representative Claiborne argued that the proposal would “be virtually conferring upon the President unconstitutional power—a power to declare war.”90Cong. Globe, 23rd Cong., 1st Sess. 23 (1834). See Wormuth et al., supra note 19, at 200–01. Gallatin wrote of this episode: “The proposed transfer by Congress of its constitutional powers to the Executive, in a case which necessarily embraces the question of war or no war, appears to me a most extraordinary proposal, and entirely inconsistent with the letter and spirit of our Constitution, which vests in Congress the power to declare war and grant letters of marque and reprisal.” Id. at 200 (quoting Jan. 5, 1835, letter to Edward Everett). The Senate Foreign Relations Committee Report on the matter, presented by Henry Clay, specifically objected to Jackson’s request partly on delegation grounds.91Report of the Senate Committee on Foreign Relations, Jan. 6, 1835, at 22, https://www.loc.gov/item/2022697181 [https://perma.cc/N3NP-V3S7] (“[T]he authority to grant letters of marque and reprisal, being specifically delegated to Congress, Congress ought to retain to itself the right of judging of the expediency of granting them . . . . The committee are not satisfied that Congress can, constitutionally, delegate this right.”). The President’s supporters, while not defending delegations of war power, responded that reprisals, which were all Jackson proposed, were different from war.92Cox, supra note 89, at 47–48; e.g., Cong. Globe, 23rd Cong., 1st Sess. 25 (1834) (Rep. Johnson).

Similar events transpired with respect to Mexico in 1837. United States citizens pressed various claims for injuries and lost property, which Mexico declined to satisfy. Jackson proposed that he make further demands and that Congress enact legislation authorizing reprisals and other uses of force if the demands were refused.93Message from the President of the United States, on the subject of the present state of our Relations with Mexico, S. Doc. No. 24-160, at 1 (Feb. 7, 1837). The Senate authorized the demands but not the reprisals or use of force, providing instead that the President should return to Congress for further authorization if Mexico did not respond satisfactorily. The House Committee on Foreign Affairs recommended a similar approach, but the full House failed to act before the end of the session.94Cox, supra note 89, at 48. Delegation did not appear to play much role in the debates. Somewhat ironically in light of later events, see infra Section I.C.2, then-Senator James Buchanan cautioned “it was a matter of extreme delicacy for Congress to confer upon the Executive the power of making reprisals, upon a future contingency . . . . Unless an immediate and overruling necessity existed, which could brook no delay, it was always safer and more constitutional, to take the opinion of Congress upon events after they had happened, than to intrust a power so important to the President alone.” Cong. Globe, 24th Cong., 2d Sess. 210 (1837). Describing the episode later that year, new President Martin Van Buren observed the “indisposition to vest a discretionary authority in the Executive to take redress . . . .”95President Martin Van Buren, State of the Union of 1837, S. Doc. No. 25-1 (Dec. 5, 1837). Observing that he did “[n]ot perceiv[e] in what manner any of the powers given to the Executive alone could be further usefully employed” on the matter, he asked Congress to “decide upon the time, the mode, and the measure of redress.” Id. Congress refused to act on Van Buren’s renewed requests for authority against Mexico, and the matter was later settled by a treaty sending the claims to arbitration.96Cox, supra note 89, at 48–49.

It is hard to know what to make of the failure of Jackson’s initiatives. Congress declined the requests to authorize prospective uses of force. Some reference, usually by the President’s political rivals, was made to constitutional limits on vesting the President with war-initiation power. Perhaps as importantly, responses did not claim broad constitutional license to delegate war-initiation power (nor invoke the No-Transfer Act precedent). But congressional objections likely arose as much from opposition to Jackson’s warlike measures on the merits as from constitutional scruples.

3. The Maine Boundary

President Van Buren subsequently had more success obtaining a war power delegation outside the Mexico context (one may speculate that the quieter Van Buren seemed less worrisome to Congress than the bellicose Jackson). In the 1830s, the uncertain border between northern Maine and Canada became a substantial issue. An attempted settlement through arbitration failed during Jackson’s administration, and Van Buren inherited the dispute. Professing commitment to a peaceful solution, Van Buren nonetheless asked Congress for authority to use military force in the disputed territory.97Message from the President of the United States, in relation to the dispute between the State of Maine and the British Province of New Brunswick, S. Doc. No. 25-270 (1839). Perhaps surprisingly, given Congress’s rejection of Jackson’s requests for military authorizations, Congress in 1839 authorized the President “to resist any attempt on the part of Great Britain, to enforce, by arms, her claim to exclusive jurisdiction over that part of the State of Maine which is in dispute…” by “employ[ing] the naval and military forces of the United States and such portions of the militia as he may deem it advisable to call into service.”98Act of Mar. 3, 1839, § 1, Pub. L. No. 25-89, 5 Stat. 355. See Cox, supra note 89, at 21–22. Cox calls this “one of the broadest [delegations of war power] accorded any nineteenth century president” which “would have permitted Van Buren to go to war before the British attacked U.S. positions.” Id. at 21.

The debates over this measure do not provide a clear picture of how Congress understood it. Some members of Congress specifically objected to delegating war-initiation power.99E.g., Cong. Globe, 25th Cong., 3d Sess. 285 (1839) (Rep. Everett) (“It is the act of making war, and cannot be delegated.”); id. at 299 (Rep. Pickens) (“The Constitution has made Congress the judge of the necessity for war, and we have no right to delegate, directly or indirectly, any portion of that power.”). Others thought the matter largely one of defense against invasion, perhaps in which the President already had constitutional and statutory power to respond.100E.g., id. at 225 (Sen. Buchanan); id. at 274 (Rep. Saltonstall); id. at 276 (Rep. Evans). Evans argued that the bill “simply confers upon the President power, by men and money, to furnish that protection against invasion which the Constitution renders it imperative on him to furnish.” Id. Ultimately the bill passed by wide margins.101Cox, supra note 89, at 49.

This might at first seem a clear-cut case of substantial war power delegation. However, its constitutional significance may be discounted because it involved direct defense of territory disputed between Britain and the United States—and hence perhaps the President’s implied independent power to repel invasions—and it depended on the specific contingency of Britain using force in connection with that dispute. It nevertheless represents a counterpoint to earlier rebuffs of Jackson and a continuation—arguably an expansion—of the willingness to delegate in the No-Transfer Act. In particular, the Maine delegation is unique for the time in putting entirely in the President’s hands, as a practical matter, the decision whether or not to use force. As discussed, the No-Transfer Act (beginning with its title) was close to a direction to the President not to allow British seizure of East Florida. And in the Quasi-War delegation, Congress presumably understood and intended that President Adams would use naval force against France once authorized. The Maine delegation differed from those previous examples in that Congress probably preferred that military conflict not result. Congress would not have assumed that voting for delegation was a vote for war. Rather, circumstances indicated that Congress was passing to the President the decision whether to use force based on future circumstances. In this sense the episode—despite other aspects limiting its significance—can be seen as the first “modern” delegation of the decision whether to initiate war.

4. Buchanan’s Mixed Record

After the Maine dispute, the next major discussion of delegating war power occurred in the Buchanan Administration. Buchanan was somewhat more inclined to use force abroad than his immediate predecessors, but he also generally believed that the President lacked authority to initiate hostilities without congressional approval.102See Currie, Descent, supra note 53, at 127. Thus he made several requests for authority to use force in Mexico, Central America, and Paraguay, with mixed results.

Buchanan’s putative success arose after Paraguayan artillery fired on a U.S. ship, the Water Witch, on the Paraná River.103Paraguay had prohibited foreign warships from navigating rivers within Paraguay and may have mistaken the Water Witch for a warship. See Cox, supra note 89, at 230. At Buchanan’s request, Congress authorized the President, if Paraguay refused reparations, to “adopt such measures and use such force” as needed to induce Paraguay to give “just satisfaction” for the attack.104Act of June 2, 1858, Pub. L. No. 35-1, 11 Stat. 370. See Currie, Descent, supra note 53, at 130; Cox, supra note 89, at 229–30. Wormuth and Firmage refer to the incident as a “conditional declaration of war” but that seems overstated; nothing in the resolution obligated the President to use force nor created a state of war if Paraguay refused compensation. See Wormuth et al., supra note 19, at 203. Buchanan sent a naval force to the region, leading to a diplomatic settlement.

On first look, the Water Witch incident may seem to be a major step in the development of war power delegation. Like the Maine delegation some twenty years earlier, it gave the President wide discretion, both on paper and in practice, to decide whether to launch military attacks. But unlike the Maine delegation, it did not address threats to U.S. territory or immediate U.S. strategic interests. It more closely resembled the authorizations proposed by Jackson and rejected by Congress in part on the argument that they were unconstitutional delegations. Like the Maine delegation but even more so, the Paraguay delegation might be thought akin to modern war-initiation delegations.

But other events complicate the episode as a precedent for emerging consensus on war power delegation. First, Buchanan’s proposed action also resembled earlier unilateral presidential uses of force responding to affronts to U.S. interests abroad. In a notable example, in the immediately preceding Pierce Administration, U.S. forces shelled the city of Greytown, Nicaragua, after perceived mistreatment of a U.S. diplomat.105The unilateral use of force was later found constitutional in Durand v. Hollins, 8 F. Cas. 111 (C.C.S.D.N.Y. 1860). In light of this and other unilateral actions, some members of Congress may have thought congressional approval was not constitutionally required in the Water Witch incident and thus might not have regarded it as a consequential delegation. Moreover, the Paraguay delegation itself drew some sharp opposition, including on the ground that it was unconstitutional.106E.g., Cong. Globe, 35th Cong., 1st Sess. 1705, 1727, 1963 (1858) (Sen. Collamer); id. at 2547 (Rep. Letcher). Collamer specifically argued that the authorization unconstitutionally delegated the power to declare war and that such action was unprecedented. Id. at 1727 (“I insist, as a matter of constitutional law, that Congress has no power to authorize the President to commence a war at his discretion.”); id. (arguing that authorizing the President “to commerce a forcible war . . . in his discretion, when he shall think proper, is entirely unprecedented in our history”). His motion to delete the force authorization was defeated 15-25.  Cong. Globe, 31st Cong., 1st Sess. 1963 (1850); see Cox, supra note 89, at 231 n.*; Currie, Descent, supra note 53, at 129–30 & n.79 (noting “[e]ven this rather specific authorization was attacked in Congress as delegating to the President Congress’s power to declare war”). And while opposition was overcome with respect to Paraguay, it prevailed against Buchanan’s more far-reaching proposals.

Buchanan had in mind multiple aggressive uses of military force in Latin America. He asked Congress for authorization “to employ the land and naval forces of the United States” to protect the isthmus of Panama.107Currie, Descent, supra note 61, at 127; Wormuth et al., supra note 19, at 201–02. Similarly, he asked Congress for authority to use force to prevent closure of alternate routes across Nicaragua108Currie, Descent, supra note 61, at 128. and the isthmus of Tehuantepec in Mexico.109Id. at 129. Buchanan argued:

The remedy for this state of things [disorder and threats to Americans crossing between the oceans] can only be supplied by Congress, since the Constitution has confided to that body alone the power to make war. Without the authority of Congress the Executive cannot lawfully direct any force, however near it may be to the scene of difficulty, to enter the territory of Mexico, Nicaragua, or New Granada . . . even though they may be violently assailed whilst passing in peaceful transit over the Tehuantepec, Nicaragua, or Panama routes . . . . In the present disturbed condition of Mexico and one or more of the other Republics south of us, no person can foresee what occurrences may take place . . . .110Id. (citation omitted).

Buchanan also asked for authority to establish a military protectorate over parts of northern Mexico to defend the U.S. border, as well as authority to respond with force against Britain for interference with U.S. shipping.111Cox, supra note 89, at 233–36, 241–42.

Congress declined to act on all of these requests. How much this had to do with constitutional scruples is unclear; it may simply have been that a majority distrusted Buchanan’s motives. One scholar comments: “Congress was too jealous of the war-making power to heed the President’s requests, and Republican members in particular were too fearful of giving such authority to a president so sympathetic to the South’s desire for more slave territory.”112Currie, Descent, supra note 61, at 129 n.78. Accord Cox, supra note 89, at 242 (observing that “by 1860 any notion of unleashing a Democratic president with a war party at his disposal into nearly helpless Mexico was preordained to defeat in Congress”). But constitutional arguments were strongly, if perhaps conveniently, invoked. Senator Trumbull objected that Congress did not have “any authority to surrender the war-making power to the President . . .  He is not vested with it by the Constitution; and we have no right to divest ourselves of that power which the Constitution vests in us.”113Cong. Globe, 35th Cong., 1st Sess. 2748 (1858) (discussing proposed delegation with respect to Britain). See also Cong. Globe, 36th Cong., 1st Sess. 326–27 (1860) (Sen. Foster discussing proposed delegation with respect to Mexico). Buchanan responded that the requested authority “could in no sense be regarded as a transfer of the war-making power to the Executive, but only as an appropriate exercise of that power by the body to whom it exclusively belongs.”114Currie, Descent, supra note 61, at 129 n.78. Invoking precedent, he added: “In [the Water Witch incident] and in other similar cases Congress have conferred upon the President power in advance to employ the Army and Navy upon the happening of contingent future events; and this most certainly is embraced within the power to declare war.”115Id. at 129–30. Buchanan did not specify what “similar cases” he had in mind, though they likely included the No-Transfer Act and the Maine boundary delegation, described above. He may also have included authorizations to use the military to suppress domestic disorder, discussed below, although these seem distinct from the declare-war power.

Thus, Buchanan’s experiences point in different ways. Congress approved a modern-looking war power delegation in the Water Witch incident, over constitutional objections. But in multiple other cases Congress ignored Buchanan’s appeals for advance authority to initiate hostilities at his discretion. Constitutional objections to delegation featured prominently in these debates as well, though Congress often had other, more practical reasons to withhold authority.

In sum, the record of war-initiation delegation as to foreign enemies in the pre-Civil War period is thin, though not entirely barren. We count three material delegations in addition to the Quasi-War: the No-Transfer Act, the Maine boundary delegation, and the Water Witch delegation. But each delegation was expressly conditioned on a specific fact—a fact that might have triggered the President’s limited independent constitutional authority to act anyway—and was somewhat offset by other near-contemporaneous episodes in which Congress refused delegations, with some objections expressed on constitutional grounds.

D. Using Force against Native American Tribes, Piracy, and Insurrection

Three other areas, distinct from war-initiation delegations, are sufficiently related to merit discussion. First, Presidents directed hostilities throughout this period against Native American tribes on the western frontier, generally with Congress’s implicit approval (although not with specific authorization). Second, Congress authorized the navy to suppress piracy and the slave trade. Third, Congress authorized the President to use the army and militia to enforce federal laws and suppress insurrections, an authority most notably invoked by President Lincoln in the Civil War.

1. Frontier Conflicts

The United States conducted military operations against Native American tribes on the frontier throughout the post-ratification period. Tribes were generally treated as tantamount to foreign nations for treaty-making purposes—that is, tribal treaties were adopted with the Senate’s advice and consent—so by parallel reasoning, the Constitution’s war power provisions arguably should have applied to them as well. It is not entirely clear how early Congresses saw the relationship between the tribes and constitutional war power, but in any event, the frontier conflicts do not provide clear examples of war-initiation delegations. They followed a similar pattern. They were not directly declared or authorized by Congress (nor formally called war). Presidents often sought expansions of the military and additional funding on the basis of frontier conflicts, so Congress was well aware of them. But Congress appeared to assume the President had some independent power to conduct frontier conflicts—perhaps because they were internal and were (or were claimed to be) defensive in nature.

The conflict in the Ohio Valley immediately after the Constitution’s ratification is illustrative. President Washington inherited a violent northwest frontier, with large numbers of U.S. settlers moving west, provoking conflicts with Native inhabitants.116On the conflict in the northwest, see Richard H. Kohn, Eagle and Sword: The Federalists and the Creation of the Military Establishment in America, 1783-1802, at 91–143 (1975); William Hall & Saikrishna Bangalore Prakash, The Constitution’s First Declared War: The Northwestern Confederacy War of 1790-95, 107 Va. L. Rev. 119, 130–41 (2021). On debates in Congress, see Currie, Federalist Period, supra note 63, at 81–87, 157–64. See also Gregory Ablavsky, The Savage Constitution, 63 Duke L.J. 999, 1080 (2014) (noting the importance of considering the frontier wars in analyses of war powers). In 1789, he asked Congress to reauthorize and expand the small army carried over from the Articles of Confederation, citing among other things the troubled northwest. Congress did so,117Pub. L. No. 1-25, 1 Stat. 92 (1789). The authorization for troops said nothing about how they should be used. Madison observed: “By the Constitution, the President has the power of employing these troops in the protection of those parts which he thinks require them most.” 1 Annals of Cong. 724 (1825). See Currie, Federalist Period, supra note 63, at 81. and followed up with a further modest expansion in 1790.118Pub. L. No. 1-10, 1 Stat. 119 (1790). Washington dispatched an expedition under Josiah Harmar against the northwest tribes. When Harmar was defeated, Washington sent a larger expedition under Arthur St. Clair—which likewise met defeat. Congress authorized more troops, at Washington’s request, while conducting a contentious investigation into St. Clair’s defeat. The new troops, commanded by Anthony Wayne, gained a decisive victory in 1794.119Kohn, supra note 116, at 139–43.

The source of Washington’s authority to fight the northwest conflict is unclear. It is possible to see the early military statutes as broad delegations to the President to use the authorized troops as the President thought appropriate (including for offensive operations) on the frontier.120See, e.g., Adam Mendel, The First AUMF: The Northwest Indian War, 1790-1795, and the War on Terror, 18 U. Pa. J. Const. L. 1309, 1310 (2016); Matthew Waxman, Remembering St. Clair’s Defeat, Lawfare (Nov. 4, 2018, 9:00 AM), https://www.lawfareblog.com/remembering-st-clairs-defeat [https://perma.cc/2RNJ-RKKC]. Maggie Blackhawk writes that “President Washington used this broad delegation for the first American war under the newly formed Constitution — the Northwest Indian War.” Federal Indian Law as Paradigm Within Public Law, 132 Harv. L. Rev. 1787, 1826 (2019). In contrast, Hall and Prakash contend that Congress declared war (albeit without using those words) in the relevant statutes. Hall & Prakash, supra note 116, at 152–63. The statutes did not say this, though. They simply authorized troops, with no direction on their use.121The 1789 statute also authorized the President to call out the militia, specifically for defense of the frontier. Because it did not similarly authorize the use of regular troops in this way, Congress may have assumed the President already had constitutional authority to use the regular troops. It seems more likely that Congress understood the troops to be available to respond to ongoing hostilities of the northwest tribes, which had begun before Washington took office. That is, Congress may have seen the United States as already at war in the northwest, with the troop authorizations allowing Washington to use his independent power to fight an existing war but not delegating power to start new ones.122See Ramsey, supra note 56, at 177–81.

There is reason to think Washington took the latter view. While directing campaigns against the northwest tribes without express congressional authorization apart from the authorization of the army, at the same time Washington refused requests from local authorities to use troops against tribes in the southwestern territories, where only sporadic violence had occurred. Washington explained that offensive operations in the south needed specific congressional approval.123Id. at 177–79. Of course, Washington may simply have wanted to avoid southwestern conflicts while embroiled in a northwestern one. But his constitutional reservations fit well with the view that in authorizing troops Congress was not authorizing new theaters of hostilities and that the President had independent power or congressional approval to fight preexisting frontier wars but not to start new ones.

In any event, the Ohio Valley conflict seems a doubtful precedent for congressional delegation of war-initiation power. It is not clear that Congress saw itself delegating such power, as opposed to supplying troops and funds to a pre-existing and ongoing effort. The relevant statutes do not speak in terms of authorization, and modern scholars have drawn various conclusions from them.

Nineteenth-century frontier conflicts took a similar course, typically proceeding on the proposition that they were defensive wars or aspects of law enforcement.124See Wormuth et al., supra note 19, at 123–27 (noting that “[i]n theory, all the Indian wars were responses to sudden attacks” and concluding that “[t]he formless and intermittent character of Indian warfare, and its peculiar status as a rebellion of a dependent nation within the territory of the United States, no doubt encouraged the informality with which Indian wars were treated”). The 1819 Seminole War is an important example. President Monroe, without congressional authorization, directed Andrew Jackson to attack the Seminoles in Spanish Florida in response to Seminole raids into U.S. territory. During the campaign, Jackson attacked Spanish posts—which Monroe had not authorized. Jackson’s actions prompted fierce constitutional debate in Congress. But most participants in the debate conceded that no congressional authorization was needed for hostilities against the Seminoles because those operations responded to attacks; the debate focused on the propriety of attacking the Spanish (who arguably encouraged the Seminoles but had not themselves attacked the United States).125Ramsey, supra note 56, at 188–90; see 33 Annals of Cong. 583-1138 (1819) (recording debate); Currie, Jeffersonians, supra note 53, at 197–200 (summarizing the debate). This debate reinforces the more general impression that both the executive branch and Congress regarded the Native American conflicts (rightly or wrongly) as defensive and thus undertaken on independent presidential authority.

Congress’s most important (and regrettable) action regarding the frontier conflicts in this period, the so-called Indian Removal Act of 1830,126Act of May 28, 1830, Pub. L. No. 21-148, 4 Stat. 411. See generally 1 Francis Paul Prucha, The Great Father: The United States Government and the American Indians (1984) (discussing U.S. policy in this period). is notable for what it did not say. The Act authorized the President to enter into treaties with tribes to exchange land east of the Mississippi River for land in the unorganized western territories. It made no mention of military force; on its face it contemplated peaceful transfers. Of course President Jackson expected forcible removal and most congressmen likely did as well, but this assumption was not reflected in the statute. A range of conflicts with Native American tribes arose during implementation of the removal policy but Jackson and his successors did not seek further congressional force authorizations.

Thus, as with the earlier frontier conflicts, the early nineteenth-century frontier conflicts do not supply a ready precedent for broad war power delegation. It does not appear that Congress saw continuing authorizations of troops as delegating to the President authorization to start wars. Congress probably thought defensive wars (including offensive counterattacks) against the frontier tribes were constitutional, but this view likely rested on independent presidential power to respond to attacks, or perhaps implicit congressional approval to continue fighting preexisting conflicts, rather than delegation of war-initiation power. At minimum, the frontier wars of the period do not provide clear examples of war-initiation delegations.

2. Piracy

Some authorities suggest that early Congresses delegated to the President discretion to use force against pirates.127E.g., Bradley & Goldsmith, supra note 2, at 2074 & n.114. On closer examination, this suggestion is overstated.

Congress first addressed piracy in the 1790 Crimes Act, which provided punishments for various federal offenses including piratical activities, as well as (among others) treason, murder on federal property, and counterfeiting.128Act of Apr. 30, 1790, Pub. L. No. 1-9, 1 Stat. 112, 113–14 [hereinafter 1790 Crimes Act]. As with the other crimes it encompassed, the Act did not expressly authorize presidential enforcement against pirates, presumably because members of Congress thought the President had independent enforcement power under Article II. Subsequent Presidents, notably Jefferson, used U.S. naval forces against pirates to enforce the 1790 Act, without recorded constitutional concerns.129Sofaer, supra note 81, at 484–85 n.633; Gardner W. Allen, Our Navy and the West Indian Pirates 1–23 (1929); id. at 3–4 (describing Jefferson’s anti-piracy operations). President Monroe apparently regarded the 1790 Crimes Act, among other enactments, as authorizing force against a pirate base on Amelia Island, Florida (then a Spanish possession) in 1817. Sofaer, supra note 81, at 337–38.

In 1819, Congress passed an act specifically targeting piracy.130Act of Mar. 3, 1819, Pub. L. No. 15-77, 3 Stat. 510 [hereinafter 1819 Act]. By its terms the 1819 Act expired in a year, Congress extended it for two additional years in 1820. See Act of May 15, 1820, Pub. L. No. 16-113, 3 Stat. 600. The 1820 Act expired by its terms and was succeeded by further enactments in 1822 and 1825, as described below. Unlike the 1790 Act, it expressly authorized the President to use the navy to protect U.S. shipping and seize piratical ships.1311819 Act, §§ 1–2. The point of the 1819 Act, which passed without material recorded debate,132See Sofaer, supra note 81, at 365. is not entirely clear. Piratical activity in the Caribbean and the Gulf of Mexico had surged with the breakdown of Spain’s authority over its American colonies.133See Nathan S. Chapman, Due Process Abroad, 112 Nw. U. L. Rev. 377, 418–19 (2017). Under pressure from constituents, Congress may have felt a need to take visible action, perhaps to encourage greater presidential attention to the matter.134See Sofaer, supra note 81, at 365 (suggesting that Congress responded to “an aroused public”). Part of the 1819 Act also may have been designed to overrule the Supreme Court’s 1818 decision in United States v. Palmer, which held that the general language of the 1790 Act did not criminalize piratical attacks by non-citizens against non-U.S. ships.135United States v. Palmer, 16 U.S. 610, 644–45 (1818); see Sofaer, supra note 81, at 485 n.636. The 1819 Act covered “any piratical aggression” against “any vessel of the United States, or the citizens thereof, or upon any other vessel.” 1819 Act, § 2. It seems unlikely, though, that members of Congress thought the Act was constitutionally necessary to give the President enforcement authority against pirates. The 1790 Crimes Act had no express use-of-force authorization. And, as discussed below, once Congress engaged in substantial debate on the matter, members appeared to agree that the President had independent enforcement power so long as his actions did not risk war with foreign nations.

The United States stepped up anti-piracy operations after the 1819 Act, with limited success. Pirates evaded U.S. forces by developing hidden bases in remote parts of coastal Cuba and Puerto Rico, where Spanish colonial authorities either could not or would not act against them.136Chapman, supra note 133, at 418–19; Sofaer, supra note 81, at 366–69; Allen, supra note 129, at 20–21. A frustrated President Monroe asked Congress in December 1822 for authority to build additional, lighter draft ships suitable for coastal operations.137Sofaer, supra note 81, at 369 & n.651. Supporters in Congress proposed a bill authorizing such construction “for the purpose of repressing piracy, and of affording effectual protection to the citizens and commerce of the United States in the Gulf of Mexico, and the seas and territories adjacent.”13840 Annals of Cong. 371 (1822) (proposal of the House Committee on Naval Affairs). This language provoked the first substantial congressional debate on the matter, with Representative Eustis objecting to the bill as delegating war power because the apparent grant of authority to use force in adjacent territory might lead to war with Spain.139Id. at 375 (expressing “doubts whether this House was ready to invest the Executive with a power amounting to that of making war”). Representative Fuller, who introduced the bill, responded that it was not intended to authorize pursuit of pirates on land, but added that the President likely had some independent pursuit power under the law of nations.140Id. at 376; see Sofaer, supra note 81, at 369–70 & n.653 (discussing this exchange). See also 40 Annals of Cong. 379 (1822) (Rep. Cambreleng saying that “[t]his bill does not authorize the President to send a land force to pursue the pirates”); id. at 380 (Rep. Barbour saying that the extent of power under the law of nations to pursue pirates was a question determined by the President as Commander-in-Chief); id. at 382 (Rep. Colden saying that “no power was proposed to be communicated by [the bill] to the Executive which the Executive does not possess”).

An amendment proposed by Representative Smyth to authorize land operations14140 Annals of Cong. 376–77 (1822). Smyth’s proposal stated that the President was “authorized and required” to pursue pirates on land. met sharp resistance.142Id. at 377–82. Much of the discussion turned on the extent to which the law of nations allowed pursuit of pirates on land, on which there was no consensus among the members. Representative Archer also argued that Smyth “proposed in effect to divest Congress and give to the Executive the power to make war.”143Id. at 381. Fuller, who introduced the bill but opposed Smyth’s amendment, agreed with Archer. Id. at 382. Eventually Smyth withdrew his proposal, and the bill passed the House and later (without substantive debate) the Senate, becoming law upon President Monroe’s signature later that month.144Sofaer, supra note 81, at 370–71; 40 Annals of Cong. 383–84 (1822); Act of Dec. 20, 1822, Pub. L. No. 17-2, 3 Stat. 720.

After another two years of mixed results, Congress returned to the matter in December 1824 with a proposal, backed by President Monroe, to authorize land pursuit and blockade of ports in Cuba and Puerto Rico that sheltered pirates.145Sofaer, supra note 81, at 374, 488 n.674–75. The blockade authorization soundly failed in the Senate. While a range of practical concerns were expressed, Maryland Senator Samuel Smith also raised a delegation objection: “Shall we then, by sanctioning a section of this kind, put in the hands of the Executive the power of declaring war? — a power which we alone possess in Congress . . . . I am unwilling to grant a provisional power, that may lead us into war.”1461 Register of Debates in Congress, at 404 (1825). The motion to delete the blockade authorization passed 37-10. Id. at 408. A Senate motion also attempted to strike the provision authorizing land pursuit, with a number of Senators arguing that the authorization was unnecessary because the President already had this power under the law of nations. The Senate voted to retain the pursuit authorization,147Id. at 461. The Senate rejected a broader proposal by New York Senator Martin Van Buren to authorize the President to land troops to search for pirates and to engage in reprisals. Id. at 462–63. but the House deleted it, apparently on the grounds that it was unneeded. Congressman Forsythe, introducing the Senate bill on behalf of the House Committee on Foreign Relations, said “[t]here did not exist any necessity for granting this provision of the bill, since the President has it already by the law of nations.”148Id. at 714. See also id. at 726 (Forsythe repeating that “the law of nations gives [the President] power, as the Executive Magistrate”). The pursuit authorization was deleted without recorded vote after several other members agreed with Forsythe. Id. at 728. The Senate acquiesced in the deletion; the enacted bill only authorized expenditure for the construction of ships, without authorization or direction as to their use.149Act of Mar. 3, 1825, Pub. L. No. 18-102, 4 Stat. 131; see Sofaer, supra note 81, at 375–76, n.678–79; Chapman, supra note 133, at 420–22.

These events cast considerable doubt on the idea that Congress delegated expansive power to the President regarding piracy. The 1790 Act made piracy a crime and Presidents used their constitutional enforcement power to counter it in U.S. waters and on the high seas. These activities appear not to have inspired constitutional concerns.150As Professor Chapman argues, a key to understanding U.S. anti-piracy operations in this period is that they were considered law enforcement actions. See Chapman, supra note 133, at 416–17. As law enforcement, they did not in themselves implicate war powers, and thus the President had independent constitutional power to direct them (at least once Congress made piracy a federal crime). Although Congress passed the 1819 Act authorizing anti-piracy operations, Congress became hesitant as intensifying and inconclusive conflict suggested the need for operations in Spanish territory. Members appeared to think that some pursuit of pirates on land was allowed by the law of nations and thus fell within presidential enforcement power. But Congress resisted authorizing broader hostile operations that might provoke war with Spain, with some concerns expressed about unconstitutional delegation of war power. Modern suggestions that the nineteenth-century Congress delegated broad powers to use force against pirates thus seem mistaken or overstated.151A similar point applies to congressional acts authorizing suppression of the slave trade. See, e.g., Act of Mar. 2, 1807, Pub. L. No. 9-21, 2 Stat. 424, 428 (authorizing the President to use naval vessels to prohibit importation of slaves); see also Bradley & Goldsmith, supra note 2, at 2074 n.114 (noting these acts). Once Congress criminalized the slave trade, the President presumably had constitutional authority to enforce the prohibition, including on the high seas (but not in a way that initiated war with foreign nations). It is unclear what additional authority, if any, the subsequent authorizations provided.

3. Insurrections and Law Enforcement

In contrast to early concern about delegating war-initiation power, early Congresses seemed relatively (though not entirely) unconcerned about delegating authority to suppress domestic disturbances. The 1792 Militia Act conveyed broad discretion, after some debate over delegation. It gave the President authority to call the militia into federal service “whenever the United States shall be invaded, or be in imminent danger of invasion from any foreign nation or Indian tribe,” as well as “in case of an insurrection in any state, against the government thereof”152Act of May 2, 1792, Pub. L. No. 2-28, §§ 1-2, 1 Stat. 264 [hereinafter 1792 Militia Act]. See Stephen I. Vladeck, Emergency Power and the Militia Acts, 114 Yale L.J. 149, 156–63 (2004). and “whenever the laws of the United States shall be opposed, or the execution thereof obstructed, in any state, by combinations too powerful to be suppressed by the ordinary course of judicial proceedings, or by the powers vested in the marshals by this act.”1531792 Militia Act, § 2.

These were quite broad delegations, made without reference to any particular situation. In the House they prompted objections. “It was surely the duty of Congress,” one member said, “to define, with as much accuracy as possible, those situations which are to justify the execut[ive] in its interposition of a military force.”154Currie, Federalist Period, supra note 63, at 161; 3 Annals of Cong. 554 (1792) (Rep. Murray); see also 3 Annals of Cong. 574 (1792) (Rep. Mercer). The House added amendments limiting power to suppress insurrections to situations where a state requested assistance, and limiting power to enforce federal laws to situations where a federal judge found the laws could not be enforced by ordinary means. In addition, the President could use only the militia of the affected state unless it was insufficient and Congress was not in session. The 1792 Act was also effective for only two years1551792 Militia Act, sec. 10. (barely lasting to its 1794 invocation by President Washington during the Whiskey Rebellion). But even with these limitations, the Act contained much more open-ended delegations than anything on the international front for many years to come.

 A subsequent Militia Act in 1795 made the authorization permanent and dropped several of the restrictions.156Act of Feb. 28, 1795, Pub. L. No. 3-36, 1 Stat. 424. The 1795 Act eliminated the requirement of judicial certification and the limit on using militia of other states. Congress followed up with the Insurrection Act in 1807, authorizing the President to use the regular army (as well as the militia) to suppress insurrections in situations where the President was authorized to use the militia.157Act of Mar. 3, 1807, Pub. L. No. 9-41, 2 Stat. 443 (“[I]n all cases of insurrection, or obstruction to the laws, either of the United States, or of any individual state or territory, where it is lawful for the President of the United States to call forth the militia for the purpose of suppressing such insurrection, or of causing the laws to be duly executed, it shall be lawful for him to employ, for the same purposes, such part of the land or naval force of the United States, as shall be judged necessary, having first observed all the pre-requisites of the law in that respect.”). See Vladeck, supra note 152, at 163–67. The Enforcement Act of 1871 (also known as the Ku Klux Klan Act), Pub. L. No. 42-22, Sec. 3, 17 Stat. 13, authorized the President to use the military to suppress domestic violence and conspiracies to deprive people of their constitutional rights. The 1807 Act’s most famous invocation was the Civil War, as President Lincoln rested his initial military response to Southern secession in part on his authority to suppress insurrection. As the Supreme Court put it in the Prize Cases in 1863, rejecting a challenge to Lincoln’s actions:

The Constitution confers on the President the whole Executive power. He is bound to take care that the laws be faithfully executed. He is Commander-in-chief of the Army and Navy of the United States, and of the militia of the several States when called into the actual service of the United States. He has no power to initiate or declare a war either against a foreign nation or a domestic State. But by the Acts of Congress of February 28th, 1795, and 3d of March, 1807, he is authorized to called out the militia and use the military and naval forces of the United States in case of invasion by foreign nations, and to suppress insurrection against the government of a State or of the United States.158The Prize Cases, 67 U.S. (2 Black) 635, 668 (1863). The Court also indicated that Lincoln had independent constitutional authority to respond to the Confederacy’s initiation of war. In his dissent on behalf of four Justices, Justice Nelson stressed that the power to declare war “cannot be delegated or surrendered to the Executive.” Id. at 693 (Nelson, J., dissenting).

Compared to delegations of war-initiation power, these authorizations were quite broad, especially after 1795. They operated generally, not in connection with any particular uprising, and (again, especially after 1795) left it largely to the President’s discretion when using the military or militia for domestic purposes was appropriate. And as the Civil War demonstrated, they could authorize large-scale presidential uses of force.

Yet as with piracy, delegation of authority to suppress insurrection stands in a very different light from delegation of authority to start foreign wars. The President has the constitutional authority and obligation to enforce the law, as well as an implied power to repel sudden invasions;159U.S. Const. art. II, §§ 1 & 3. the Militia and Insurrection Acts gave him tools (the militia and military) to do so. The President has no corresponding constitutional power relating to war initiation in situations where Congress would be delegating to the President an exclusive power of Congress. Delegating power to use state militia forces might also be distinguished from delegating war power on a separate textual ground: unlike the Declare War Clause that simply grants that power to Congress, Article I states that Congress has the power “[t]o provide for calling forth the Militia” for certain purposes, perhaps indicating that militia powers are more appropriately delegated.160U.S. Const. art. I, § 8, cl. 12 (emphasis added).

E. Conclusion: Implications of the First 70 Years

The early history of war power delegations is complex and resists easy conclusions. But several important ones may be ventured. First, it supplies surprisingly little precedent for modern broad delegation of war-initiation power. Most foreign conflicts of the time were fought pursuant to formal congressional recognition of a state of war—even relatively small-scale ones such as those against Tripoli and Algiers. The only foreign conflict fought by delegated authority was the 1798–1800 campaign against French ships on the high seas, but that was limited in important respects and occurred in the midst of ongoing low-level conflict. That record does not show war-initiation delegation to be unconstitutional, but it does show it to be unusual.

Second, in some now-obscure situations, delegations of war-initiation power began tentatively to take hold—first in the No-Transfer Act, then in the Maine boundary delegation, and finally in the Water Witch incident. So one cannot say the early period rejected war-initiation delegation. But these episodes are balanced by contentious debates over the Provisional Army and unsuccessful requests for delegated power to use force by Presidents Jackson and Buchanan, in which there was a recurring idea that the Constitution imposed limits on Congress’s delegation of its war powers. From the Republic’s birth, there has been an influential strain of thought that regards war powers as especially nondelegable. At minimum, this evidence should caution against a quick assumption that early constitutional practice supports setting aside or loosening general nondelegation principles when it comes to war-initiation power.

At the same time, early practice finds support for broad authorizations in areas where the President had some degree of independent constitutional power. Substantial delegations of war waging (as opposed to war initiating) authority were routine, accompanying all of Congress’s declarations of war, consistent with the President’s power as commander-in-chief to carry out wars once begun. Further, Congress provided broad authorizations in related areas, including using force against pirates and to suppress insurrections161As well as slave-trading. See supra note 151 and accompanying text.—areas in which the President’s power to enforce law indicated substantial independent presidential authority.

III.  WAR POWER DELEGATIONS FROM THE CIVIL WAR TO WORLD WAR II

This Part considers historical practice relating to war power delegations from 1865 to 1945. Though likely beyond the time relevant to the Constitution’s original meaning, practice during this period—a time in which the United States emerged globally as a great power—might contribute to the “historical gloss” on the constitutional regime of delegation.

Again, however, we find little from this period to support a constitutional practice of war-initiation delegation. Congress declared three wars, and authorized the President to direct them, but otherwise most uses of force during this time relied on claimed independent presidential authority, an increasingly common feature of U.S. foreign policy.

It was also during this period, however, that the Supreme Court issued its most significant decision on the nondelegation doctrine and foreign affairs. The Court’s 1936 decision in Curtiss-Wright rejected a challenge to delegation regarding certain arms exports and stated that the nondelegation doctrine applies less strictly in foreign relations than domestic affairs. Though not involving war powers, the decision’s broad language could be read—and we show in later Parts that it would be read by some—to apply in that area.

A. Declared Wars

From 1898 to 1945, the United States fought three formally declared wars. As with earlier major wars, Congress delegated to the President vast discretion over how to wage them, but the declarations did not give the President decision-making discretion over whether to wage them.

1. War with Spain: Congressional Direction to Use Force

In 1898, U.S. relations with Spain had been fraying for years, primarily over Cuba, a Spanish colony seeking its independence. United States investors in Cuba’s agricultural industry also pressed for protection of their interests, and interventionist sentiments intensified when the battleship U.S.S. Maine mysteriously exploded in Havana harbor, where President McKinley had sent it to protect U.S. citizens and property.162David F. Trask, The War with Spain in 1898, at 28–29 (Louis Morton ed., 1981).

On April 20, 1898, Congress passed—at McKinley’s request—a joint resolution calling for Spain to withdraw from Cuba and authorizing the President to intervene militarily to support Cuban independence.163S.J. Res. 24, 55th Cong. (1898). One remarkable feature of that force resolution was its imperative voice. It not only licensed the President to use force but instructed him to do so: “the President of the United States . . . hereby is . . . directed and empowered to use the entire land and naval forces of the United States, and to call into the actual service of the United States the militia of the several States, to such extent as may be necessary” to compel Spain to withdraw from Cuba. True, the resolution’s phrase “as may be necessary” could be read either as giving the President discretion over how much and what type of force to use—or even whether to use it at all. But unlike modern force authorizations giving the President an option to use force, this act obliged him to. Moreover, at the time that Congress directed the President to use force against Spain, the President had made clear his intention to do so.164Benjamin R. Beede, The War of 1898 and the U.S. Interventions, 1898-1934: An Encyclopedia 119–21 (1994).

The April 20 resolution prompted Spain to break off diplomatic relations. McKinley then imposed a naval blockade of Cuba, and Spain responded by declaring war.165Richard F. Hamilton, President McKinley, War and Empire 117 (2006). Senator Lodge insisted that the joint resolution was “[i]n fact, if not in terms, . . . a declaration of war” because it declared “that Spanish rule in Cuba must cease.” Henry Cabot Lodge, The War with Spain 43–44 (1899). The President returned to Congress on April 25 requesting a war declaration.166Hamilton, supra note 165, at 117. A legal formality at that point, Congress that day unanimously passed by voice votes a resolution backdating its war declaration by four days, to the date of Spain’s declaration.167S.J. Res. 189, 55th Cong. (1898); Jennifer K. Elsea & Matthew C. Weed, Cong. Rsch. Serv., RL31133, Declarations of War and Authorizations for the Use of Military Force: Historical Background and Legal Implications 2 (2014); Beede, supra note 164, at 120. As in previous declared wars, Congress recognized a state of war rather than leaving the President discretion whether to do so.

2. World Wars I and II

Following German targeting of U.S. merchant ships in the Atlantic during World War I, as well as other hostile actions, President Woodrow Wilson asked Congress on April 2, 1917, to declare war against Germany. Within days Congress obliged by large majorities. Its joint resolution stipulated “[t]hat the state of war between the United States and the Imperial German Government which has thus been thrust upon the United States is hereby formally declared” and “authorized and directed”—echoing the imperative voice of the 1898 resolution—the President “to employ the entire naval and military forces of the United States and the resources of the Government to carry on war against the Imperial German Government.”168Act of Apr. 6, 1917, ch. 1, 40 Stat. 1. Later that year, Congress declared war against Germany’s ally Austria-Hungary, after that government “committed repeated acts of war against” the United States.169Act of Dec. 7, 1917, ch. 1, 40 Stat. 429. That war resolution’s operative language mirrored the Germany resolution. Both declarations granted immense discretion to the President over how to carry on the war, but they gave no option as to whether to engage in war.170Once the war was over, the treaty ending it raised constitutional delegation questions regarding future wars. The Treaty of Versailles, which the U.S. Senate rejected, included an agreement to create a League of Nations, guaranteeing the political independence of member states and stipulating that a council of League of Nations states would advise upon the means by which members would fulfill the obligation to address aggression. League of Nations Covenant art. 10. This provision elicited U.S. political opposition on many grounds, especially policy concerns that it would ensnare the United States in dangerous foreign crises. One criticism (among many) leveled by Senate opponents was that that it undermined Congress’s exclusive power to decide whether the United States should go to war. Stephen M. Griffin, Against Historical Practice: Facing Up to the Challenge of Informal Constitutional Change, 35 Const. Comment. 79, 95–96 (2020). This objection was rarely framed as a formal constitutional objection, but it resembled a nondelegation argument: that it was constitutionally impermissible to delegate to an international body, through a treaty, power to obligate the United States to participate in war. For example, Senator Pointdexter objected that the draft League covenant “constitute[d] a delegation and transfer of sovereign powers to an alien agency. These powers are vested by the Constitution of the United States in Congress. They can not be constitutionally divested.” 57 Cong. Rec. 3749 (1919); see also 58 Cong. Rec. 7943 (1919) (statement of Senator Borah, raising questions whether the Constitution permits delegation of Congress’s war powers). Defenders generally did not argue that delegation of war powers was constitutionally permissible but that the scheme did not deprive Congress of ultimate decision-making on war. See, e.g., 58 Cong. Rec. 960 (statement of Senator Walsh). This argument recurred later in connection with the UN Charter. See infra Section IV.A.

World War II, the United States’ last formally-declared war, entailed six separate congressional war declarations.171See Elsea & Weed, supra note 167, at 84–87. These declarations—against Japan, Germany, Italy, Bulgaria, Hungary, and Rumania—used a common template. They recognized a state of war to exist and (like the 1898 and 1917 resolutions) “authorized and directed” the President to use force to defeat each enemy.172Act of Dec. 8, 1941, ch. 561, 55 Stat. 795 (Japan); Act of Dec. 11, 1941, ch. 564, 55 Stat. 796 (Germany); Act of Dec. 11, 1941, ch. 565, 55 Stat. 797 (Italy); Act of June 5, 1942, ch. 323, 56 Stat. 307 (Bulgaria); Act of June 5, 1942, ch. 324, 56 Stat. 307 (Hungary); Act of June 5, 1942, ch. 325, 56 Stat. 307 (Rumania). The President’s delegated discretion was entirely about how to wage war, not whether to enter the war.

B. Force Authorizations Other than Declared Wars, 1865–1945

Perhaps surprisingly, the post-Civil War period saw few congressional force authorizations apart from declarations of war. As it corresponded to the nation’s increasingly active and powerful position on the world stage, one might expect more force authorizations. But as discussed below, there were only a few, and even these came with significant qualifications. Presidents fought no major foreign conflicts pursuant to delegated authority during this period, although independent presidential uses of force became more frequent, more sustained, and more consequential. With the notable exception of the 1914 intervention in Mexico, discussed below, Congress played little role in, and at times opposed, increasingly interventionist U.S. foreign policy.

1. The Late Nineteenth Century

No conflicts of any sort were fought pursuant to expressly delegated authority between the end of the Civil War and Congress’s declaration of war against Spain in 1898. That was not because Presidents were uninterested in using force (although President Cleveland told Congress that he would not pursue war with Spain over Cuba even if Congress declared it).173Fisher, supra note 19, at 52. Fisher’s historical account does not discuss any U.S. uses of force between 1865 and 1898. While executive military unilateralism is more associated with the twentieth century, it had some roots in this earlier period. In general, though, the period prior to 1898 was marked by an absence of major foreign conflicts.

A prominent use of U.S. military force in the period was the 1893 landing of marines on Oahu in connection with the overthrow of Hawaii’s native ruler, Queen Lili’uokalani, by private American interests led by Sanford Dole (who became Hawaii’s head of government). President Harrison apparently did not authorize the landing in advance (though he approved it afterward), and it is unclear whether it played an important role in Dole’s success (Harrison denied that it did). Congress did not authorize this use of force, though Congress as a whole also did not object to it.174Cox, supra note 89, at 308. Harrison’s administration and the new Hawaiian government signed an annexation treaty, but newly elected President Cleveland withdrew it from Senate consideration. Id. Congress later approved U.S. annexation of Hawaii by statute.

United States Presidents (or cabinet secretaries) had more direct involvement in several other low-level deployments or uses of force, including by the Grant Administration in the Dominican Republic,175Id. at 312–15. President Grant sent naval forces to the Dominican Republic in 1869 in connection with negotiation of an annexation treaty, with orders to protect against foreign interference. See Sumner Welles, 1 Naboth’s Vineyard: The Dominican Republic, 1844-1924, at 315–408 (1928). Congress sharply debated the constitutionality of Grant’s actions, with Senator Sumner charging that he had “seized the war powers carefully guarded by the Constitution.” Cong. Globe, 40th Cong., 3rd Sess. 1605 (1869). Resolutions condemning Grant’s deployment were tabled, and the Senate rejected the treaty. Cox, supra note 89, at 315. Interest in annexation had begun under the prior Johnson administration, and a resolution was introduced in Congress to give the President authority to establish a protectorate while negotiations were proceeding. In the course of the debate, Representative Bingham objected that “Congress alone . . . is authorized ‘to declare war’ and Congress cannot delegate that authority.” Cong. Globe, 42nd  Cong., 1st Sess. 338 (1871). The proposal failed by a wide margin. Id. at 340. the Hayes Administration in Mexico,176The Hayes Administration authorized incursions across the Mexican border to pursue irregular forces and native tribes raiding into U.S. territory. Cox, supra note 89, at 302–03. the Cleveland Administration in Haiti,177President Cleveland sent warships to the coast of Haiti during unrest in that country, but apparently there were no U.S. landings or involvement in hostilities. Id. at 267. and the Harrison Administration in Brazil.178President Harrison’s secretary of navy approved using U.S. naval force to protect U.S. shipping against rebel forces in the harbor of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil; some minor exchanges of fire resulted. Id. at 308–10. None of these incidents led to significant hostilities, but they marked a trend of presidential unilateralism that intensified in subsequent years. Congress did not directly approve any of these operations.

Three incidents bordering on delegation merit brief further discussion. During the Hayes Administration, Congress passed a bill authorizing the President to use measures “short of war” in a dispute with Britain over an imprisoned U.S. citizen.179Id. at 269–70; 17 Cong. Rec. 4569, 4571, 4591 (1878). Apparently nothing came of the authorization, and presumably (in keeping with the “short of war” limitation) Congress did not intend to authorize significant hostilities against a major power over a minor matter.

Second, during the late 1880s, tensions arose with Germany over the Samoan islands, where both countries had interests. President Cleveland sent naval ships to Samoa to protect U.S. interests and then “submitted [the matter] to the wider discretion conferred by the Constitution upon the legislative branch of the Government.”180S. Exec. Doc. No. 50-68, at 2 (1889) (message of President Cleveland). Congress approved an appropriation to continue the naval deployment without directly addressing the use of force. Whether Congress regarded this as an authorization to use force if Germany attempted a takeover of the islands seems unclear; ultimately no open conflict with Germany occurred.181Cox, supra note 89, at 267–68; 20 Cong. Rec. 1376 (1889) (Senate approval); id. at 1984 (House approval). Cox states: “This legislation amounted to a virtual U.S. guarantee of Samoan independence and indicated that Congress was willing to delegate considerable discretion to the president to take military action, if necessary, without further consultation.” Cox, supra note 89, at 268. This seems to overstate. No hostilities were imminent at the time of the appropriation (although some had arisen earlier) and it is doubtful that Congress regarded itself as giving the President authority to resist a German takeover without further congressional approval. The record does not reflect any members saying the appropriation had this effect, and several members directly said it did not. See 20 Cong. Rec. 1291 (Sherman); id. at 1332 (Dolph); id. at 1336 (Reagan). No hostilities occurred in connection with the 1889 deployment. A decade later, during the McKinley administration, the U.S. military engaged in hostilities, including landing troops, in support of one side in a local civil war, but it is unclear that the administration claimed congressional approval for this action. The United States and Germany agreed by treaty (ratified in 1900) to partition the islands, with the eastern portion becoming the territory of American Samoa. See George H. Ryden, The Foreign Policy of the United States in Relation to Samoa 560–62, 571–74 (1933).

Finally, in 1891, after street violence killed two U.S. sailors and injured others in Valparaiso, Chile, diplomatic tension escalated. President Harrison issued an ultimatum to the Chilean government and began preparations for war.182Joyce S. Goldberg, The “Baltimore” Affair 1-25 (1986); Cox, supra note 89, at 271–74; Fisher, supra note 19, at 56. However, he also submitted the matter to Congress asking for “such action as may be decreed appropriate.”183Cox, supra note 89, at 273. It is unclear whether Harrison was asking Congress for a declaration of war (at least one member of Congress read his message that way) or whether he was asking for delegated authority. It is also unclear whether Harrison would have taken unilateral action if Chile rejected the ultimatum and Congress failed to authorize force.184See id. at 273–74. Cox says that “the president placed before Congress events already shaped for war and thus curtailed congressional power as decisively as if he had unilaterally committed troops in the field.” Id. This seems to overstate, as Harrison’s ultimatum did not expressly commit to war if Chile refused amends, and Congress might have found the matter too trivial to justify hostilities. See Fisher, supra note 19, at 56 (interpreting Harrison’s actions as leaving the decision to Congress). Chile defused the matter by meeting Harrison’s demands, and Congress took no action.

These three incidents are the closest Congress came to delegating war power during the period, and they fall far short of material delegations. As to Britain, Congress expressly disclaimed intent to delegate war power; in Samoa, it is unclear what level of force (if any) Congress meant to delegate; and the Chile episode can as easily be read as a request for a declaration of war rather than a request for a delegation (and, in any event, no congressional action followed). This period, like the preceding one, provides little clear practice or indication of consensus on war power delegation.

 2. The Twentieth Century before World War II

President McKinley kicked off the new century by sending U.S. forces to China to aid other Western governments in suppressing the Boxer Rebellion in 1900.185Fisher, supra note 19, at 57. Thereafter, presidential uses of force mounted, including Theodore Roosevelt’s support of Panama’s independence from Colombia (setting up U.S. control of the route of the prospective canal)186Id. at 58–59. and substantial interventions, sometimes involving commitments of ground troops spanning multiple presidencies, in the Dominican Republic, Haiti, Cuba, and Nicaragua.187Id. at 57–64.

One should not overstate the rise of presidential uses of force. All major foreign conflicts in this period were declared by Congress. Though some presidential uses of force were quite consequential, none involved substantial commitments of troops, extended hostilities, or significant U.S. casualties. They were not clearly “wars” in the constitutional sense, and were not regarded as wars by the political branches or in popular description. Congress was generally aware of these activities, sometimes conducting inquiries of them after-the-fact, and continued to authorize the armed forces used for them, which later (and to this day) led the executive branch to argue that Congress tacitly acknowledged the President’s independent constitutional power to conduct them.188See Memorandum from Steven A. Engel, Assistant Atty Gen. for the Off. of Legal Couns. to the President, April 2018 Airstrikes Against Syrian Chemical-Weapons Facilities, 6 (May 31, 2018). With Presidents less inclined to seek congressional authorization for low- and medium-level uses of force, there were limited congressional opportunities even to debate delegations.

Only one explicit congressional force authorization occurred in this period, though its significance is uncertain. It came with regard to the situation in Mexico in 1914.

Earlier, in 1910–1911, a popular uprising overthrew the longstanding dictatorial regime of Porfirio Díaz, bringing to power a democratically elected but weak government under Francisco Madero. During the unrest, President Taft considered the need to intervene to protect U.S. investments, but left the question to Congress, reporting that he had troops “in sufficient number where, if Congress shall direct that they shall enter Mexico to save American lives and property, an effective movement may be promptly made.”189Fisher, supra note 19, at 60. Taft added that he “seriously doubt[ed]” he had independent power to commit troops to Mexico—a somewhat odd stance as he had already sent troops to Cuba, Honduras and Nicaragua to suppress disorder (the latter intervention continuing until 1925). Id. at 60–63. Congress did not act.

Taft’s successor, Wilson, took a more aggressive stance. In the closing months of the Taft Administration, General Victoriano Huerta seized power from Madero, plunging Mexico into a bloody multi-sided civil war. Wilson refused to accept Huerta’s legitimacy and in 1914 used a minor incident to justify a substantial intervention. Telling Congress that Huerta had insulted U.S. forces by refusing a 21-gun salute, Wilson asked for authority to use force:

No doubt I could do what is necessary in the circumstances to enforce respect for our Government without recourse to the Congress, and yet not exceed my constitutional powers as President; but I do not wish to act in a manner possibly of so grave consequence except in close conference and cooperation with both the Senate and House. I, therefore, come to ask your approval that I should use the armed forces of the United States . . . .190H. R. Doc. 63-910, at 5 (1914). See Robert E. Quirk, An Affair of Honor: Woodrow Wilson and the Occupation of Veracruz (1962).

Congress obliged with a joint resolution declaring that “the President is justified in the employment of the armed forces of the United States to enforce his demand for unequivocal amends for certain affronts and indignities committed against the United States.”191H.R.J. Res. 251, 63rd Cong., 38 Stat. 770 (1914). The resolution included language (added to the House bill by the Senate) that the United States “disclaims any hostility to the Mexican people or any purpose to make war upon Mexico.”192Id. See 51 Cong. Rec. 6937 (House bill); 51 Cong. Rec. 7014 (Senate approval).

The language—that the President “is justified” rather than “is authorized”—suggests that Congress may have accepted Wilson’s view that the President had independent authority to act.193Congressional debate was fairly extensive and divided, with a number of members regarding the proposed resolution as effectively a declaration of war and a number denying that it gave the President any authority he did not already have. See generally 51 Cong. Rec. 6934–7002. Moreover, Wilson did not wait for Congress; while the Senate debated, Wilson ordered bombardment and seizure of the port of Veracruz, where U.S. forces remained for seven months until Huerta was overthrown.194See Fisher, supra note 19, at 60-61. Two years later in 1916, Wilson on his own authority sent troops into northern Mexico to pursue General Pancho Villa, who earlier led a raid on Columbus, New Mexico. Id. at 62.

Thus the only material force authorization (apart from war declarations) in this period was more likely a recognition of presidential power than a delegation, and in any event it disclaimed intent to authorize war; the ensuing hostilities, though perhaps consequential, were small in scale. Wilson’s presidency, like those before and after, was more significant for its growing presidential unilateralism than for delegation.

C. Curtiss-Wright and War Power Delegation

During this same era, the Supreme Court’s seminal 1936 opinion in Curtiss-Wright drew a distinction between foreign affairs delegation and domestic affairs delegation, stressing that the Constitution permits Congress greater latitude to delegate foreign affairs decision-making to the President.195United States v. Curtiss-Wright Exp. Corp., 299 U.S. 304, 315–20 (1936). That case arose from a 1934 joint resolution authorizing the President to proclaim an arms embargo against Paraguay and Bolivia if he found that doing so would contribute to peace in their ongoing war. “[C]ongressional legislation which is to be made effective through negotiation and inquiry within the international field,” wrote Justice Sutherland, “must often accord to the President a degree of discretion and freedom from statutory restriction which would not be admissible were domestic affairs alone involved.”196Id. at 320.

A leading justification the Court gave was functional—the President’s institutional advantages in agility and information—but the opinion also emphasized historical practice:

Practically every volume of the United States Statutes contains one or more acts or joint resolutions of Congress authorizing action by the President in respect of subjects affecting foreign relations, which either leave the exercise of the power to his unrestricted judgment, or provide a standard far more general than that which has always been considered requisite with regard to domestic affairs.197Id. at 324. The opinion also engaged in apparently unnecessary speculation about foreign affairs powers arising outside of the Constitution, a view that has been sharply criticized. See Ramsey, supra note 16, at 379–87.

Curtiss-Wright’s implications for war power delegations are uncertain. War-initiation power of course may be thought of as a prime example of foreign affairs powers, and the Court’s invocation of the President’s institutional advantages in foreign affairs may seem particularly applicable to it. But Curtiss-Wright was not itself about U.S. war powers, only the prohibition of arms sales. Further, as our review of the historical record thus far shows, the Court’s argument from historical practice lacked support as applied to war-initiation, which (unlike some other aspects of foreign affairs) had not previously been a common subject of delegation. Nonetheless, as the following Part shows, Curtiss-Wright—especially its functional and historical claims—played a role in justifying expanded war power delegations in subsequent years.198See infra notes 211, 267, 271, and 273 and accompanying text. Citing Curtiss-Wright, the Supreme Court explained decades later in Zemel v. Rusk that “simply because a statute deals with foreign relations,” Congress may not “grant the Executive totally unrestricted freedom of choice.” But “because of the changeable and explosive nature of contemporary international relations, and the fact that the Executive is immediately privy to information which cannot be swiftly presented to, evaluated by, and acted upon by the legislature, Congress—in giving the Executive authority over matters of foreign affairs—must of necessity paint with a brush broader than that it customarily wields in domestic areas.” 381 U.S. 1, 17 (1965).

IV. THE COLD WAR AND BEYOND

This Part shows that it was in the early Cold War period—when the United States became a superpower, with large standing military forces deployed around the world—that the modern practice of war power delegations, through legislative force authorizations, took hold. A watershed moment was a 1955 force resolution that, notably, the President never exercised.

It was also in that period, however, that Presidents asserted much broader unilateral powers to use military force, and Congress largely (if tacitly and dividedly) acquiesced. To those who viewed the President’s unilateral powers as wide even without legislative authorization, force resolutions would not have posed nondelegation issues. And to those opposing that view, the nondelegation issue probably seemed secondary to reclaiming Congress’s exclusive powers.

A. Collective Security and Delegation: The UN Participation Act

From World War II’s ashes, the victorious powers created the United Nations (“UN”), with a Security Council charged with maintaining peace and security, and empowered to employ military force to do so. In subsequent years, as the East-West Cold War quickly developed, the United States embraced a network of security commitments—some formal defense treaties, some informal pledges—around the world, aimed especially at stemming Communist aggression. To the architects of these arrangements, it was important that the United States be able to react quickly to crises and to assure foreign partners and adversaries of that ability. But a constitutional system of exclusive congressional prerogative to decide on war was designed to move slowly. Thus, security imperatives encouraged both more aggressive claims of independent presidential power and wider delegation of war power by Congress.

To participate effectively in the UN, Congress enacted the UN Participation Act (“UNPA”) in December 1945.199S. Rep. No. 79-717, at 3 (1945). That statute provided that the chief U.S. diplomat at the UN would act at the President’s direction.20022 U.S.C. 287, § 3. It also contained a broad authorization to use force that remains on the books, but has never been used.

Specifically, section 6 authorized the President to negotiate agreements with the Security Council, pursuant to UN Charter Article 43, to make U.S. military forces available for maintaining peace and security.201Id. § 6. Section 6 made Article 43 agreements “subject to the approval of the Congress,”202Id. so that Congress retained responsibility over “the numbers and types of armed forces, their degree of readiness and general location, and the nature of facilities and assistance . . . to be made available to the [Council].”203Id. But the President did not need to return to Congress before providing these forces to the Council.204Id.; Participation by the United States in the United Nations Organization: Hearing on H.R. 4618 and S. 1580 Before the H. Comm. on Foreign Affairs, 79th Cong. 23 (1945) (Statement of Dean Acheson, Under-Secretary of State). Thus, if Congress approved Article 43 agreements in advance, the President could send forces into UN-approved armed conflicts as they developed. This statutory framework specified no geography. It specified no enemy. It specified no particular threat or type of threat.

The UNPA’s vast war power delegation was never activated because the idea that member states would place military forces at the Council’s disposal was stillborn. Cold War geopolitics made it impossible, given that the United States and the Soviet Union each had a veto on Council decisions. No Article 43 agreements were ever concluded. When the Charter and the UNPA were adopted, however, Article 43—and hence section 6 of the UNPA—were understood as a main way the Council would pursue its mandate to preserve international peace and security.205See id. at 92. Article 106 of the Charter refers to Article 43 as the means to enable the Council to “exercise . . . its responsibilities under article 42.” U.N. Charter art. 106. The United States planned to carry it out and expected other members to do the same.206See Ruth B. Russell, A History of the United Nations Charter: The Role of the United States, 1940-1945, at 467 (1958).

The UNPA generated some congressional pushback on nondelegation grounds, but not much. To some critics, the arrangement was a double-delegation: it delegated decisions on war to an international organization, the Security Council, and it delegated decisions about U.S. participation in that body to the President. Senator Burton Wheeler, a prominent isolationist, was foremost among the objectors and among seven senators who voted against the UNPA.20791 Cong. Rec. 11409 (1945). Wheeler noted “that there is no mention in the Constitution of any power of Congress to delegate its [Declare War] authority to the President and for him in turn to authorize his appointee to an international organization to vote to put down aggression in foreign countries.”208Id. at 11393 (1945) (Sen. Wheeler). Similarly, Senator Bushfield argued: “No one will seriously dispute the statement that Congress alone has power to declare war. Attempting to delegate such power is in direct violation of our Constitution.” Id. at 1767. Some similar objections had been raised a generation earlier to the League of Nations, but the Senate rejected the League’s founding treaty more on policy grounds and general concerns about sovereignty than formal legal objections.

In recommending passage, the Senate and House foreign relations committees stated that “[t]here exist several well-recognized and long-standing precedents for the delegation to the President of powers of this general nature.”209S. Rep. No. 79-717, at 7 (1945); see also H. Rep. No. 79-1383, at 6 (1945). Tellingly—and consistent with our reading that the historical record to this point is quite thin—they cited congressional delegations regarding international commerce in the early Republic, and only statutes specific to armed force from the Quasi-War with France.210S. Rep. No. 79-717, at 7. They also cited Curtiss-Wright for support.211Id.

The muted congressional concerns about the UNPA’s delegation might be explained on several grounds. Congress strongly supported the Charter—the Senate voted 89-2 for ratification21291 Cong. Rec. 10965 (1945).—and many members understood that its collective security system required the U.S. military to back up Security Council mandates.213The Senate Foreign Relations Committee report stated that the delegation “is simply a necessary corollary to our membership in this Organization.” S. Rep. No. 79-717, at 6; see also H. Rep. No. 79-1383, at 6 (making a similar argument); David Golove, From Versailles to San Francisco: The Revolutionary Transformation of the War Powers, 70 U. Colo. L. Rev. 1491, 1495–96 (1999) (arguing that the UN’s American architects understood that collective security required loosening some constitutional war powers constraints). Additionally, political leaders and lawyers may have viewed UN-backed emergency interventions, sometimes called at the time “police action,” as distinct from inter-state war;214See Fisher, supra note 19, at 85 (“Senator Claude Pepper (D-Fla.) opposed any delegation of Congress’s war-declaring power to an international body but believed that it would be permissible for American troops to be used, without prior congressional approval, as a ‘police force’ to combat aggression in small wars.”). therefore, legislating discretionary authority to participate in them did not delegate war-initiation power. One lesson of World War II was that early international military action might prevent major war. If used to prevent wide-reaching war, then (so the logic went) an international police action did not implicate the Constitution’s Declare War Clause, at least not in the same way.215See, e.g., 91 Cong. Rec. 10968 (Sen. Connally) (“I am convinced that the Presidential use of armed forces in order to participate in the enforcement action under the Charter would in no sense constitute an infringement upon the traditional power of Congress to declare war. We are not taking the power away from the Congress . . . . How important it is that we authorize the President to take such action in collaboration with the other United Nations in order to maintain world peace.”). A strong current of thought within Congress held that the President could engage in limited police actions unilaterally but required congressional assent for full war.216See Jane E. Stromseth, Rethinking War Powers: Congress, the President, and the United Nations, 81 Geo. L.J. 597, 607–12 (1993).

This latter view of presidential war powers was implemented five years later, when North Korea invaded the South and President Truman intervened militarily, without express congressional authorization, in what became the three-year Korean War. Truman called the move a police action, citing UN approval. Though the Korean War did not involve delegation, it marks an important moment in background constitutional practice. The issue of war-initiation delegation assumes that Congress’s war-initiation power is largely exclusive (perhaps subject to narrow exceptions). Although there were precursors, the Korean War was a high-water mark in presidential assertions of unilateral constitutional power to launch large-scale military interventions. Congressional reactions were mixed, but it was also a high-water mark among a contingent of legislators who regarded unilateralism as proper. The Cold War’s stakes, the advent of nuclear weapons, a general sense of permanent military emergency, and extensive overseas American military commitments and troop deployments all contributed to this shift in thinking.217See generally Griffin, supra note 170.

Alongside these geopolitical and security developments, the postwar period marked virtual obsolescence of formal war declarations, as a matter of both international law and U.S. domestic law.218See Elsea & Weed, supra note 167, at 21–23. The UN Charter’s outlawing of force except in self-defense or when authorized by the UN Security Council contributed to that discontinuance.219See Andrew Clapham, War 48 (2021). Beyond legal technicalities, the widespread public view of war as a moral catastrophe also cast old-fashioned war declarations as outdated. Without such clear markers, the lines around states of war—and hence war-initiation—became even blurrier.

B. Cold War Delegations

Many of the contextual factors—including perceptions of vital stakes in Cold War security crises around the world—that contributed to broader assertions of presidential powers to use force also set the stage for the broadest and potentially most consequential delegations of war power to that point in American history. The first ones, in the Eisenhower years, were never invoked. The last one of this critical early-Cold War period, in the Johnson years, was a basis for one of the United States’ costliest wars. These force authorizations entrenched the modern practice of broad war-initiation delegations.

1. A Delegation Turning Point: Eisenhower’s Force Resolutions

The post-World War II shift in thinking about presidential war powers is important to understanding two extraordinary congressional war power delegations during the Eisenhower Administration.220See Matthew Waxman, Remembering Eisenhower’s Formosa AUMF, Lawfare (Jan. 29, 2019, 8:34 AM) https://www.lawfareblog.com/remembering-eisenhowers-formosa-aumf [https://perma.cc/AZ2L-44L8]; Matthew Waxman, Remembering Eisenhower’s Middle East Force Resolution, Lawfare (March 9, 2019, 10:00 AM) https://www.lawfareblog.com/remembering-eisenhowers-middle-east-force-resolution [https://perma.cc/RY2F-M76A]. Eisenhower rejected broad presidential unilateralism, generally believing only Congress could authorize major U.S. conflicts, but in a reversal of typical positions, many in Congress regarded the President’s unilateral war powers as vast.221See Waxman, Remembering Eisenhower’s Formosa AUMF, supra note 220.

Eisenhower’s security strategy emphasized military commitments to overseas allies to offset threats posed by the Soviet Union and China. It also emphasized taming runaway defense spending. To reconcile these seemingly conflicting tenets, Eisenhower relied on the threat of massive retaliation—including with nuclear weapons—against aggression. This approach encountered a major test in 1954–1955, when Communist China shelled tiny coastal islands that were under control of U.S.-aligned Nationalist China, based on the island of Formosa. In late January 1955, Eisenhower asked Congress for authorization to use force to assure Formosa’s security.22284 Cong. Rec. 600–01 (1955). Days later, Congress obliged by nearly unanimous votes in both houses, resolving that:

[The] President . . . is authorized to employ the Armed Forces of the United States as he deems necessary for the specific purpose of securing and protecting Formosa and the Pescadores against armed attack, this authority to include the securing and protection of such related positions and territories of that area now in friendly hands and the taking of such other measures as he judges to be required or appropriate in assuring the defense of Formosa and the Pescadores.

This resolution shall expire when the President shall determine that the peace and security of the area is reasonably assured by international conditions created by action of the United Nations or otherwise, and shall so report to the Congress.223Act of Jan. 29, 1955, Pub. L. No. 84-4, 69 Stat. 7.

As tensions simmered, Eisenhower signaled the possibility of major military action—even publicly referencing nuclear options. But all sides soon stepped back from the brink. Several years later, shelling and skirmishing between Communist and Nationalist China resumed, but the conflict did not escalate.2242 D.F. Fleming, The Cold War and Its Origins, 1917-1960, at 707–28 (1961); Pang Yang Huei, Strait Rituals: China, Taiwan, and the United States in the Taiwan Strait Crisis, 1954-1958, at 187 (2019).

The 1955 force resolution gave enormous discretion to the President. It provided advance authorization to initiate military conflict—understanding that it might include nuclear escalation—to protect a distant ally. It specified no target or enemy, though Communist China was obviously the intended one. Multiple times it emphasized the President’s role as sole judge of necessity. And its duration was subject to presidential judgment that the region was secure.225See Waxman, Remembering Eisenhower’s Formosa AUMF, supra note 220. Congress eventually repealed it twenty years later, and it probably would have stayed on the books much longer had the United States not reached a diplomatic détente with Communist China.

Despite this open-endedness, the nondelegation question was peripheral in congressional debates. Senator Wayne Morse, a harsh critic of Eisenhower with deep reservations about U.S. commitments to defend Formosa,226Larry Ceplair, The Foreign Policy of Senator Wayne L. Morse, 113 Oregon Hist. Q. 6, 6 (2012). was one of the few legislators to raise this issue. He objected to the constitutionality of a “predated declaration of war.”22784 Cong. Rec. 738 (1955). According to Morse:

I respectfully submit that we have no right under our oaths of office to delegate that great constitutional obligation of Congress. . . . In my judgement, we cannot do it constitutionally. . . . [W]e have no constitutional right to authorize any President to exercise his discretion in determining whether or not he should commit an act of war . . . .228Id. at 842.

But Morse was an outlier. Eisenhower received more pushback from Congress on the grounds that its authorization was unnecessary.229See Waxman, Remembering Eisenhower’s Formosa AUMF, supra note 220. When Eisenhower consulted congressional leaders before seeking the force resolution, House Speaker Sam Rayburn “said that the President had all the powers he needed to deal with the situation,” and Rayburn even believed “that a joint resolution at this particular moment would be unwise because the President would be saying in effect that he did not have the power to act instantly.”230S. Everett Gleason, 26. Memorandum of Discussion at the 233d Meeting of the National Security Council, Washington, January 21, 1955, 9 a.m., Office of Historian, https://history.state.gov/historicaldocuments/frus1955-57v02/d26 [https://perma.cc/5J8A-8MEU].

Modern Presidents have usually requested force authorizations because the President has already initiated force or has concrete plans to do so. But an important aspect of the Formosa resolution is that it was never invoked. Eisenhower did not launch strikes, even when Communist China’s shelling of Chinese Nationalist forces later resumed. The authorization’s purpose was more about signaling than warfighting. Eisenhower’s strategy was deterrence—so China was a key audience—and he expected war power delegation to bolster the credibility of his threats.

For similar reasons, two years later, Congress passed—at Eisenhower’s urging—one of the broadest war delegations in American history. The 1957 act endorsed whatever force the President deemed necessary to prevent Communist aggression anywhere in the Middle East. It had no expiration date; in fact, it remains on the books today. Like the Formosa resolution, it was primarily about signaling rather than warfighting and has never been invoked.231See Matthew Waxman, Remembering Eisenhower’s Middle East Force Resolution, supra note 220.

As background, Eisenhower saw the Middle East as an emergency situation in 1956. The Suez crisis discredited European allies’ influence there, and the administration feared the Soviet Union would fill the vacuum without strong U.S. commitment. In January 1957, Eisenhower requested congressional support for military and economic aid for Middle East nations and sought authority to use military force to protect them. In a four-hour White House meeting with congressional leadership on January 1, 1957, the President emphasized that a force resolution would bolster deterrence and reassure allies:

[Eisenhower] added that should there be a Soviet attack in that area he could see no alternative but that the United States move in immediately to stop it. . . . He cited his belief that the United States must put the entire world on notice that we are ready to move instantly if necessary. He reaffirmed his regard for constitutional procedures but pointed out that modern war might be a matter of hours only.232Memorandum from L. A.. Minnich, Jr., Notes on Presidential-Bipartisan Congressional Leadership Meeting (Jan.1, 1957), https://history.state.gov/historicaldocuments/frus1955-57v12/d182 [https://perma.cc/7N6K-CVTK].

Two months later, Congress passed legislation endorsing the military and economic aid and included the following provision:

[T]he United States regards as vital to the national interest and world peace the preservation of the independence and integrity of the nations of the Middle East. To this end, if the President determines the necessity thereof, the United States is prepared to use armed forces to assist any such nation or group of such nations requesting assistance against armed aggression from any country controlled by international communism.233Joint Resolution to Promote Peace and Stability in the Middle East, Pub. L. No. 85-7, 71 Stat. 5.

The resolution provided that it would expire when the President determined that the “peace and security of the nations in the general area of the Middle East” was “reasonably assured” or if Congress revoked it with a concurrent resolution.234Id.

Unlike the Formosa resolution, which Congress passed quickly and overwhelmingly, the Middle East resolution prompted major debate. Some members supported the proposal, some thought it was dangerously—and possibly unconstitutionally—open-ended, and some thought it was dangerous and possibly unconstitutional in the other direction, by implying that the President lacked unilateral power to respond to emergencies.

A number of senators and representatives specifically objected that it unconstitutionally delegated Congress’s war powers.235Senator Morse again made this argument. 85 Cong. Rec. 2712 (1957) (calling the proposed resolution “an unconstitutional delegation of the power to declare war.”). See also similar statements by Senator Sam Ervin, The President’s Proposal on the Middle East: Hearings on S.J. Res. 19 and H.J. Res. 117 Before the S. Comm. on Foreign Relations and the S. Comm. on Armed Services, 85th Cong. 101–02 (1957); Resolution Regarding the Middle East: Hearing Before the S. Comm. on Foreign Relations, 85th  Cong. (1957), reprinted in Executive Session of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee 297 (U.S. Government Printing Office, 1979), as well as Congresswoman Marguerite Church, Economic and Military Cooperation with Nations in the General Area of the Middle East: Hearings Before the H. Comm. on Foreign Affairs on H.J. Res. 117, 85th Cong. 189–90 (1957) (testimony of Dean Acheson); 85 Cong. Rec. 1182–83 (1957); Congressman Usher Burdick, 85 Cong. Rec. 1201 (1957); and Congressman John Flynt, 85 Cong. Rec. at 1195–97. Senator William Fulbright, for instance, argued that the delegation overturned legislative checks—though without clearly saying whether this was a constitutional or a policy objection:

It asks for a blank grant of power over our funds and Armed Forces, to be used in a blank way, for a blank length of time, under blank conditions, with respect to blank nations, in a blank area. We are asked to sign this blank check in perpetuity or at the pleasure of the President––any President. Who will fill in all these blanks? The resolution says that the President, whoever he may be at the time, shall do it.23685 Cong. Rec. 1856 (1957).

Other legislators believed that the President’s unilateral powers to use force were vast and feared that legislative authorization would undermine that position.237See Waxman, Remembering Eisenhower’s Middle East Force Authorization, supra note 220.

In part to paper over these disagreements, the resolution avoided the term “authorize,” instead adopting a statement approving a policy of force. The Senate Report emphasized that the language had “the virtue of remaining silent” on constitutional allocations of war powers.238S. Rep. 85-70 (1957), at 1135–36, reprinted in 1957 U.S.C.C.A.N. 1128. The House Report added that “the resolution does not delegate or diminish in any way the power and authority of the Congress of the United States to declare war, and the language used in the resolution does not do so.”239H.R. Rep. 85-2, at 7 (1957). Given that Eisenhower believed congressional approval was constitutionally required to start wars, however, he must have read the resolution as a delegation—even if not technically styled as such.240Internal conversations suggest that his administration read it as such. See, e.g., Memorandum of Conversation, Mid-Ocean Club, Bermuda (Mar. 23, 1957), https://history.state.gov/
historicaldocuments/frus1955-57v12/d203 [https://perma.cc/3QH2-XVKC].

Taken together, the congressional force resolutions adopted at Eisenhower’s request represented major steps in the practice of war power delegation. They responded to a perceived strategic imperative to give the President discretion to respond immediately to threats against foreign partners. And nondelegation concerns were muffled or balanced by a rising sense among political leaders and many constitutional lawyers—though, ironically, not Eisenhower himself—that the President possessed such discretion even without congressional approval.

2. Two Cuba Crises: One Covert, One Nuclear

In the years after the Middle East resolution, Cuba was the epicenter of two major Cold War crises. Both situations involved congressional action that might be seen as war power delegations, though neither presented the issue squarely.241See Stephen M. Griffin, Long Wars and the Constitution 109–14 (2013) (discussing constitutional war powers questions arising in these episodes). One concerned the postwar institutionalization of covert paramilitary operations by the Central Intelligence Agency (“CIA”); the other concerned a congressional resolution on Cuba policy.

Congress established the CIA in 1947 and authorized it to conduct various intelligence activities.242National Security Act of 1947, Pub. L. 80-253, §§ 102(d)(4), (5), 61 Stat. 495 (1947) (prior to 2004 Amendment). See also Final Report of the Select Committee to Study Governmental Operations with Respect to Intelligence Activities, S. Rep. No. 94-755, Book 1, at 475 (1976) (“Flexibility was provided through an undefined and apparently open-ended grant of authority to the National Security Council, and through it, to the CIA.”). The statutes creating the CIA were ambiguous as to whether they authorized paramilitary operations, including training, advising, and supporting proxy forces against foreign governments. Under Eisenhower, the CIA engaged in clandestine operations against governments of, for example, Iran and Guatemala (both leading to overthrows), and Congress continued to fund the CIA.243Arthur M. Schlesinger, Jr., The Imperial Presidency 167 (1973); see also Malcolm Byrne, CIA Admits it was Behind Iran’s Coup, Foreign Affairs (Aug. 19, 2013, 1:00 AM), https://foreignpolicy.com/2013/08/19/cia-admits-it-was-behind-irans-coup [https://perma.cc/X3MT-46NF]; Kate Doyle & Peter Kornbluh, CIA and Assassinations: The Guatemala 1954 Documents, Geo. Wash. Univ. Nat’l Sec. Archive, https://nsarchive2.gwu.edu/NSAEBB/NSAEBB4/index.html [https://perma.cc/S76G-CF55]. This raises questions whether Congress had implicitly delegated broad discretion to the President to engage in such operations, and whether that delegation included war-initiation power. The answers are unclear because the legislative basis was ambiguous and neither branch seemed to regard such operations as constitutionally equivalent to war or overt military intervention.244See Griffin, supra note 241, at 100–04.

The CIA paramilitary operation that most resembled an armed invasion was the 1961 Bay of Pigs fiasco, which highlighted those ambiguities. Though originally conceived under Eisenhower, President Kennedy in 1961 implemented plans for about 1,400 U.S.-trained and -armed Cuban exiles to overthrow Fidel Castro’s regime. After landing at the island’s Bay of Pigs, the invaders were routed by government forces.245Richard M. Bissell, Jr., Jonathan E. Lewis & Frances T. Pudlo, Reflections of a Cold Warrior: From Yalta to the Bay of Pigs 190 (1996). Little is publicly known about internal legal discussions behind the operation, but afterwards the Justice Department produced a memorandum characterizing such activities as exercises of the President’s independent foreign relations powers. That document compared covert paramilitary operations to war powers, but seemed to treat them as distinct. It also argued that Congress’s continued funding of such activities represented tacit congressional approval.246Matthew Waxman, Remembering the Bay of Pigs: Law and Covert War, Lawfare (Apr. 16, 2019, 8:00 AM), https://www.lawfareblog.com/remembering-bay-pigs-law-and-covert-war [https
://perma.cc/HBJ4-XKBE]; Office of Legislative Counsel, Department of Justice, Memorandum Re: Constitutional and Legal Basis for So-Called Covert Activities of the Central Intelligence Agency (Jan. 17, 1962), https://s3.documentcloud.org/documents/5836225/73-1501862.pdf [https://perma.cc/NF6R-NFK5]. See also U.S. Intelligence Agencies and Activities: Hearings Before the H.R. Select Comm. on Intel., 94th Cong. 1737 (1975) (statement of Mitchell Rogovin, Special Counsel to the Director of Central Intelligence) (“In sum, the history of congressional action since 1947 makes it clear that Congress has both acknowledged and ratified the authority of the CIA to plan and conduct covert action.”).

Since then, Congress has legislated procedural and notification requirements for covert activities.247Intelligence Authorization Act of 1991, Pub. L. 102-88 § 503, 105 Stat. 436, 442 (1991). That act (the Hughes-Ryan Act of 1974, amended) states that “The President may not authorize the conduct of a covert action . . . unless the President determines such an action is necessary to support identifiable foreign policy objectives of the United States and is important to the national security of the United States . . . .” The findings, in writing, are required within forty-eight hours of the covert action. See also Final Report of the Select Committee to Study Governmental Operations with Respect to Intelligence Activities, S. Rep. No. 94-755, Book 1, at 508 (1976) (“Given [Congress’s knowledge of CIA covert action], congressional failure to prohibit covert action in the future can be interpreted as congressional authorization for it.”). It remains unclear, however, whether either branch regards the laws governing such activities as delegations, regulations of inherent presidential authority, or both—or whether either regards covert paramilitary activities as exercises of war powers or a separate category of foreign relations powers.

In 1962, Cuba was again the locus of Cold War crisis, arguably one of the most dangerous moments in world history. When U.S. intelligence discovered Soviet nuclear missiles on the island, Kennedy ordered a blockade—calling it a “quarantine”—and considered other military actions including air strikes. Although often considered an exercise of unilateral presidential powers,248The Justice Department concluded that Presidents have unilateral authority to impose blockades without congressional authorization. See Dep’t of Just. Memorandum, Legal and Practical Consequences of a Blockade of Cuba ( Oct. 19, 1962), https://www.justice.gov/file/20906/download [https://perma.cc/EAP8-YXPJ]. a congressional joint resolution resembling a war power delegation operated in the background.

Congress passed that Joint Resolution with overwhelming support on October 3, 1962,249Act of Oct. 3, 1962, Pub. L. No. 87-733, 76 Stat. 697. The resolution passed in the Senate 86-1, and in the House 384-7. 108 Cong. Rec. 20058, 20910–11 (1962). a few weeks before the missile crisis. It stated that “the United States is determined,” among other things:

to prevent by whatever means may be necessary, including the use of arms, the Marxist-Leninist regime in Cuba from extending, by force or the threat of force, its aggressive or subversive activities to any part of this hemisphere;

to prevent in Cuba the creation or use of an externally supported military capability endangering the security of the United States . . . .25076 Stat. at 697.

The resolution did not expressly authorize presidential action and is not generally regarded as a force authorization.251It is not, for example, included in the Congressional Research Service’s compilation of force authorizations. See Elsea & Weed, supra note 167, appendix B; see also Fisher, supra note 19, at 125 (“[The resolution] merely expressed the sentiments of Congress.”). It instead declared a policy, implying strongly that the United States was willing to use force in broad circumstances. And the Cuban Missile Crisis is usually thought of as a momentous instance of executive unilateralism.252See, e.g., Richard E. Neustadt & Graham T. Allison, Afterword to Robert F. Kennedy, Thirteen Days: A Memoir of the Cuban Missile Crisis 102 (1999).

Nonetheless, the resolution’s language resembles the 1957 Middle East resolution discussed above, which generally is regarded as a force authorization.253See Elsea & Weed, supra note 167 at 8–9, 95–96. And although the Kennedy Administration emphasized in internal deliberations the President’s Article II authority to act, it also cited this resolution for support, without clearly stating whether that support was legally (or merely politically) significant.254See U.S. Dep’t of State, Foreign Relations of the United States, 1961-1963: Volume XI, Cuban Missile Crisis and Aftermath, doc. 31 (Edward C. Keefer et al., eds., 1998) (citing views at October 19, 1962 meeting that the President had constitutional and statutory authority to take military action); Dep’t of Justice, Legal and Practical Consequences of a Blockade of Cuba, 1 Op. O.L.C. Supp. 486, 491 (Oct. 19, 1962) (expressing the view that the President had authority to take military action and that congressional resolution supported that view). The record is ambiguous as to whether members of Congress regarded this as a force authorization.255See Patrick Hulme, Congress, the Cuba Resolution and the Cuban Missile Crisis, Lawfare, (Apr. 22, 2021, 8:01 AM), https://www.lawfareblog.com/congress-cuba-resolution-and-cuban-missile-crisis. [https://perma.cc/QNW7-34GY].

In sum, around the same time Congress was enacting broad use of force delegations regarding Formosa and the Middle East, it was taking other actions that, although not formal delegations of war power, shared common attributes. One reason why their status as delegations remains ambiguous was that the executive branch simultaneously asserted (and Congress generally accepted) broad unilateral presidential war power. And, again, these episodes took place in the Cold War context of constant East-West hostilities and permanent U.S. military presence worldwide, which were further blurring the line between war and peace, or between war and military actions short of war.

3. Vietnam, War Powers Reform, and Delegation

In contrast to the Formosa and Middle East resolutions, Congress passed the 1964 Gulf of Tonkin Resolution with clear expectation that President Lyndon Johnson would use force in Vietnam—even if it was not at all clear that the conflict would become so protracted and costly. Indeed, by the time Congress enacted this resolution, the United States was already deeply involved militarily.256For several years the United States had been providing military support to the South Vietnamese government. See Elsea & Weed, supra note 167, at 9.

Following an alleged North Vietnamese attack on American naval vessels, Johnson asked Congress for a broad force authorization. Days later and nearly unanimously,257The House passed the resolution 416-0 after forty minutes of debate, while the Senate passed it 88-2 after nine hours. E.W. Kenworthy, Resolution Wins, N.Y. Times, Aug. 8, 1964, at A1. Congress provided:

That the Congress approves and supports the determination of the President, as Commander in Chief, to take all necessary measures to repel any armed attack against the forces of the United States and to prevent further aggression . . . . Consonant with the [Constitution and UN Charter] and in accordance with its obligations under the Southeast Asia Collective Defense Treaty, the United States is . . . prepared, as the President determines, to take all necessary steps, including the use of armed force, to assist any member or protocol state of the Southeast Asia Collective Defense Treaty requesting assistance in defense of its freedom . . . .This resolution shall expire when the President shall determine that the peace and security of the area is reasonably assured by international conditions created by action of the United Nations or otherwise, except that it may be terminated earlier by concurrent resolution of the Congress.258Act of Aug. 10, 1964, Pub. L. No. 88-408, 78 Stat. 384.

This language gave the president broad discretion in extent of force (“all necessary measures” and “all necessary steps”), in purpose (“to prevent further aggression”), in geography (“southeast Asia”), and in time (until “the President shall determine” that peace and security is restored). Over the next decade, Presidents used it—in addition to assertions of unilateral executive power—to justify combat involving hundreds of thousands of troops, not just in Vietnam but also in neighboring countries.259See generally John Hart Ely, War and Responsibility: Constitutional Lessons of Vietnam and Its Aftermath 13–30 (1993).

As in earlier post-war episodes, Senator Morse was a lonely voice objecting on nondelegation grounds.260Senator Ernest Gruening stated that Morse had made his case “wholly convincingly,” while himself arguing against the resolution on policy, not constitutional, grounds. 110 Cong. Rec. 18,413 (1964). Apparently, Morse was the only member of Congress to argue against the Resolution on nondelegation grounds. Only Morse and Gruening voted against it, with eighty-eight senators voting in favor. Id. at. 18,470–71. Morse labeled the resolution a “predated declaration of war, in clear violation of article I, section 8 of the Constitution, which vests the power to declare war in the Congress, and not in the President.”261Id. at 18,427. “In effect,” he asserted, “this joint resolution constitutes an amendment of article I, section 8, of the Constitution, in that it would give the President, in practice and effect, the power to make war in the absence of a declaration of war.”262Id. at 18,445. Morse did not explicitly invoke nondelegation doctrine, except in contrasting the Resolution to the recent Cuba-related resolution discussed above, which Morse explained he supported because “constitutional power of Congress was not delegated to the President in that resolution.” Id. at 18,430. The resolution’s supporters generally disregarded the nondelegation issue—sometimes referring to the 1955 and 1957 resolutions as precedent for authorizing force in broad terms.263The Senate Committee on Foreign Relations Report did not address constitutionality. S. Rep. No. 88-1329 (1964). The House Committee on Foreign Affairs Report dealt with constitutional objections summarily:

As it had during earlier action on resolutions relating to Formosa [1955] and to the Middle East [1957], the committee considered the relation of the authority contained in the resolution and the powers assigned to the President by the Constitution. While the resolution makes it clear that the people of the United States stand behind the President, it was concluded that the resolution does not enter the field of controversy as to the respective limitations of power in the executive and the legislative branches.

H.R. Rep. No. 88-1708, at 4 (1964). Similarly, Secretary of Defense Robert McNamara treated the Resolution’s constitutionality as settled. Joint Hearing Before the Comm. on Foreign Rels. and the Comm. on Armed Servs.: Hearing on a Joint Res. To Promote the Maintenance of International Peace and Security in Southeast Asia, 88th Cong. 3 (1964) (testimony of Robert McNamara). McNamara pointed to past resolutions dealing with Formosa (1955), the Middle East (1957), and Cuba (1962) and observed “There can be no doubt . . . that these previous resolutions form a solid legal precedent for the action now proposed.” Id. A few congressional backers of the resolution explicitly endorsed delegating war power to the President.264Senator Jennings Randolph stated that “[i]n effect, congressional authority for future military action in southeast Asia would be delegated to the President—and properly so—by this resolution.” 110 Cong. Rec. 18,419 (1964). Even one lukewarm supporter of the resolution accepted its constitutionality: Senator George Aiken expressed “misgivings” about Johnson’s actions but stated that he did “not believe that any of us can afford to take a position opposing the President of the United States for exercising the power which we, under our form of government and through our legislative bodies, have delegated to his office.” Id. at 18,456–57 (1964).

Although the nondelegation issue received almost no attention when the resolution was adopted, it became more controversial as the conflict became a quagmire and the Johnson and Nixon administrations expanded it. In some court cases challenging the legality of the Vietnam War, litigants argued that Congress had invalidly delegated its war powers without itself declaring war, but no courts directly adjudicated these claims.265See generally Rodric B. Schoen, A Strange Silence: Vietnam and the Supreme Court, 33 Washburn L.J. 275, 305–06 (1994) (summarizing litigation); see also, e.g., Mora v. McNamara, 389 U.S. 934, 935 (1967) (Stewart, J., dissenting from denial of cert. and highlighting improper war power delegation question as “large and deeply troubling question[]”); Sarnoff v. Connally, 457 F.2d 809 (9th Cir. 1972), cert. denied, 409 U.S. 929 (1972) (dismissing improper delegation argument as nonjusticiable political question). In a 1971 speech on the legal basis for the war, then-Assistant Attorney General for the Office of Legal Counsel William Rehnquist felt obliged to address the issue. Rehnquist argued that from historical examples (though citing none between the Quasi-War and the 1950s Eisenhower resolutions), “both Congress and the President have made it clear that it is the substance of congressional authorization, and not the form which that authorization takes, which determines the extent to which Congress has exercised its portion of the war power.”266Congress, the President, and the War Powers: Hearings Before the Subcomm. on Nat’l Sec. Pol’y and Scientific Dev. of the Comm. on Foreign Affs. H.R., 91st Cong. Rec. 543 (1970) [hereinafter Hearings Nat’l Sec. Pol’y]. Brushing aside objections of “unlawful delegation of powers,” Rehnquist noted that Curtiss-Wright demonstrated that the “principle [of unlawful delegation of powers] does not obtain in the field of external affairs.”267Id. Thus, Rehnquist concluded, “[t]he notion that an advance authorization by Congress of military operations is some sort of an invalid delegation of congressional war power is untenable in the light of the decided cases.”268Id.

This notion—that Congress’s advance authorization of military operations was an invalid delegation—surfaced often in war powers reform debates at that time, including legislative discussions that culminated in the 1973 War Powers Resolution. That resolution (which is still on the books) among other things required the President to withdraw forces from hostilities within sixty days unless Congress authorized their use. In legislative discussions leading to that act, critics argued that the Gulf of Tonkin Resolution had been an unconstitutional delegation, while some critics of the Resolution further argued that allowing the President sixty days of unilateral action was also an unconstitutional delegation. Senator Eagleton, for example, who initially supported the Resolution, voted against the final version because it delegated “a predated declaration of war to the President and any other President of the United States, courtesy of the U.S. Congress.”269119 Cong. Rec. 36,189 (1973). “That is not,” he argued, “what the Constitution of the United States envisaged when we were given the authority to declare war. We were to decide ab initio, at the outset, and not post facto.”270Id. at 36,190; see also id. at 33,556. A handful of mostly Democratic members of the House opposed the Resolution on similar nondelegation grounds. See id. at 24,700 (statement of Rep. Rarick); id. at 24,704 (statement of Rep. Drinan); id. at 36,204 (statement of Rep. Green); id. at 36,210 (statement of Rep. Young); id. at 36,216 (statement of Rep. Bennett); id. at 33,872 (statement of Rep. Holtzman). Congressional defenders of the Resolution echoed Rehnquist’s arguments based on Curtiss-Wright that, even if the resolution was a delegation, it was a valid exercise of congressional power. 271Id. at 25,115 (Senator Dole). Not all supporters staked much on Curtiss-Wright: Senator Javits stated that “it’s unlikely that we will have a resolution from the courts of this area of the Constitution which has been called a twilight zone . . . . The issue must be decided in the political arena.” War Powers: Hearings Before the Subcomm. on Nat’l Sec. Pol’y and Scientific Devs. of the Comm. on Foreign Affs. H.R., 93d Cong. 7 (1973).

The nondelegation objection to open-ended force authorizations, including the Gulf of Tonkin Resolution, was pressed at that time by prominent constitutional scholars. In a 1972 article styled Requiem for Vietnam, Professor William Van Alstyne wrote that “it seems to me clearly the case that the exclusive responsibility of Congress to resolve the necessity and appropriateness of war as an instrument of national policy at any given time is uniquely not delegable at all.”272William Van Alstyne, Congress, the President, and the Power to Declare War: A Requiem for Vietnam, U. Pa. L. Rev., Nov. 1972, at 16 (emphasis added). Van Alstyne argued the Gulf of Tonkin Resolution impermissibly delegated war powers: “[t]he congressional responsibility may not be thus diluted, no matter how eagerly Congress itself might wish to be quit of it.” Id. at 22. In extensive legislative testimony, Professor Alexander Bickel argued that absent detailed standards, Congress could not delegate to the President its own war power, “despite United States v. Curtiss-Wright Export Corporation, which was really quite a limited case.”273War Powers Legislation: Hearings Before the Comm. on Foreign Rels. on S. 731, S.J. Res. 18 and S.J. Res. 59, 92d Cong. 148–49 (1971) [hereinafter Hearings] (Letter from Alexander M. Bickel, Professor of Law, Yale University, to Sen. Jacob K. Javits, Chair, Committee on Foreign Relations (1971). See also id. at 555 (statement of Bickel) (arguing that Curtiss-Wright did not authorize “broad delegation without standards of legislative power to the President”). Curtiss-Wright’s statements about independent executive power were “largely dicta,” Bickel asserted, and the case was not about “powers to go to war, or to use the armed forces without restriction.”274Id. When asked whether he challenged the Gulf of Tonkin Resolution as an unconstitutional delegation, Bickel replied, “Oh, yes.”275Id. at 563. See also Alexander M. Bickel, Congress, the President and the Power to Wage War, 48 Chi.-Kent L. Rev. 131, 137–39 (1971) (making similar arguments). The Lawyers Committee on American Policy Towards Vietnam took a similar position.276Hearings, supra note 273, at 841–49. That group in 1970 sponsored a book by Professor Lawrence Velvel taking a narrow view of the constitutionality of war power delegations, arguing specifically against the constitutionality of the Gulf of Tonkin Resolution. Lawrence R. Velvel, Undeclared War and Civil Disobedience: The American System in Crisis 65–89 (1970). Velvel argued that while delegations are permitted in domestic affairs, “it ought to be impermissible to have delegations of the power to decide to enter future wars.” Id. at 85.

Other prominent legal voices—including Eugene Rostow, John Norton Moore, and former Supreme Court Justice Arthur Goldberg—endorsed the constitutionality of Congress delegating authority to the President to use force. Rostow rejected the arguments of Bickel and others “that, save for minor exceptions, hostilities can be authorized only by Congressional action at the time they begin [rather than in advance], and then by delegations narrowly limited in scope,”277Eugene V. Rostow, Great Cases Make Bad Law: The War Powers Act, 50 Tex. L. Rev. 833, 885 (1972). finding this argument so impractical as to be unconstitutional, and arguing that the Gulf of Tonkin Resolution was sufficiently specific.278Id. at 486–88. See also Hearings Nat’l Sec. Pol’y., supra note 266, at 127 (statement of John Norton Moore) (citing the Formosa, Middle East, and Gulf of Tonkin Resolutions to argue that “resolutions authorizing limited hostilities or delegating authority to the President are constitutional options open to Congress.”); Hearings, supra note 273, at 781 (statement of Arthur Goldberg) (concluding that Congress may authorize presidential deployment of forces without further congressional input if the President finds certain circumstances met). In his subsequent book about the Vietnam War and the Constitution, John Hart Ely noted that opposition to the conflict generated efforts by scholars to push nondelegation objections against the Gulf of Tonkin Resolution and other broad force authorizations, but he sided with the Resolution’s defenders: “The bottom line must . . . be that the Tonkin Gulf Resolution could not have been held at the time, and cannot now responsibly be said, to violate the delegation doctrine unless one postulates a general doctrine significantly stronger than any the Supreme Court (or the academy) has been willing to recognize since the 1930s.”279See generally Ely, supra note 259, at 24–26. Ely went on to say a stronger argument would be that force authorizations must be sufficiently specific regarding against whom they are directed, but he concluded the Gulf of Tonkin Resolution met that requirement.280Id. at 26.

In sum, after being almost entirely eclipsed in the early Cold War, war-power nondelegation arguments made a comeback in the wake of failure in Vietnam. As the following section shows, these arguments linger throughout the post-Cold War period, though at this point again contained to a small minority view in Congress.

C. Post-Cold War Delegations

Since the end of the Cold War, the United States has fought three major ground wars: two in Iraq, and the war against al Qaeda and the Taliban in Afghanistan and elsewhere. All three were waged pursuant to delegated war power. The President requested, and Congress legislated, these resolutions in the context of broad executive branch assertions of presidential power to use force.281Some executive branch lawyers and officials took the position that the President had sufficient unilateral power to engage in these conflicts even without congressional authorization.

1. Two Iraq War Delegations

Congress enacted force authorizations against Iraq in 1991 and 2002, both delegating discretion to initiate war. They authorized the President to use force—or not—based on the President’s judgments about the need and wisdom. In that respect they resembled the 1950s force resolutions, though unlike those earlier ones, presidential intentions to use force were apparent at the time. They also contrast with other force authorizations from the period, such as Congress’s 1983 (Lebanon) and 1993 (Somalia) resolutions authorizing force when substantial military deployment was already underway.282See Bradley & Goldsmith, supra note 2, at 2,077. In 1983, Congress approved for up to eighteen months continuation of President Reagan’s military deployment in Lebanon to enforce a fragile peace. Multinational Force in Lebanon Resolution, Pub. L. No. 98-119, §§ 3–4, 6, 97 Stat. 805, 806–07 (1983). In 1993, it approved continuation of U.S. military deployment initiated by President Bush and expanded by President Clinton, to protect humanitarian aid and UN personnel in Somalia. Resolution Authorizing the Use of United States Armed Forces in Somalia, S. J. Res. 45, 103d Cong. (1993). Although on their faces these approvals appear, like the Iraq resolutions, to be broad delegations—they authorized the President to use force (or not) at his discretion—in practice they did not operate that way, because they approved presidential decisions to use force after the fact. The military operations were already well underway. Also, although substantial casualties ensued, they were understood as lower-level uses of force than full-scale war, in part because there was no apparent sovereign adversary.

On March 23, 1999, the Senate also passed a nonbinding concurrent resolution authorizing the President to use air power against the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia in response to the Kosovo crisis. At that point, the President’s intention to use force was clear; he ordered the air campaign to commence the next day. See Cong. Rsch. Serv., RL30729, Kosovo and the 106th Congress 8 (2001). The Senate debate on the resolution contains no discussion of delegation. 145 Cong. Rec. S3065-S3118 (daily ed. March 23, 1999).

For completeness, we also note that the American Servicemembers’ Protection Act of 2002 authorizes the President to use “all means necessary and appropriate” to bring about release of certain U.S. or allied persons detained by the International Criminal Court. ASPA, Pub. L. No. 107-206, 116 Stat. 899 (2002). This statute is sometimes dubbed the “Hague Invasion Act” or “Invade the Hague Act” because that provision might be interpreted to include authorization of military force—and in that regard a possible war power delegation—though we regard that as largely symbolic and therefore do not discuss it in detail.

In the lead-up to the first Iraq War, following Iraq’s 1990 invasion of Kuwait, the George H.W. Bush Administration generally argued that it had authority to use military force against Iraq even absent congressional authorization.283See, e.g., The President’s News Conference on the Persian Gulf Crisis, 1 Pub. Papers 17, 20 (Jan. 9, 1991); Statement on Signing the Resolution Authorizing the Use of Military Force Against Iraq, 1 Pub. Papers 40 (Jan. 14, 1991). See generally H. W. Brands, George Bush and the Gulf War of 1991, 34 Presidential Stud. Q. 113 (2004). The central constitutional debate in public commentary, legislative hearings, and the eventual floor vote concerned that assertion.284Brands, supra note 283; see also The Constitutional Roles of Congress and the President in Declaring and Waging War: Hearing Before the S. Comm. on the Judiciary, 102d Cong. 1-4 (1991) (Sen. Biden). At this point, the UN Security Council had also authorized member states to use force if Iraq failed to withdraw from Kuwait by a certain date.285U.N.S.C. Res. 678 (Nov. 29, 1990). Many members both favoring and opposing force authorization emphasized the importance of Congress’s role in commencing military conflict; and many members characterized even a broad delegation not as passing the buck but as preserving Congress’s formal role in war initiation.286See, e.g., 137 Cong. Rec. 944 (1991) (statement of Senator Leahy) (“[W]e have our own constitutional responsibility . . . . It is time for the Senate to speak its mind.”); id. at 946 (statement of Senator Boren) (“[W]e may not duck and we may not dodge. We must do our duty under the Constitution as it requires.”); id. at 991 (statement of Senator Lieberman) (“by [authorizing force,] we do not pass the buck of responsibility”). The House passed a nonbinding resolution (shortly before authorizing the use of force) that declared: “the Constitution of the United States vests all power to declare war in the Congress of the United States. Any offensive action taken against Iraq must be explicitly approved by the Congress of the United States before such action may be initiated.”287137 Cong. Rec. 1034, 1049 (1991).

Congress ultimately passed, in January 1991, a joint resolution authorizing the President “to use United States Armed Forces” pursuant to and to achieve the objectives of UN Security Council Resolutions, that is to eject Iraqi forces from Kuwait.288Act of Jan. 14, 1991, Pub. L. No. 102-1, 105 Stat. 3. At that point it was virtually certain that President Bush would use force. Nonetheless, the resolution gave the President wide latitude to decide whether or not to initiate war. The only express limitation was that before commencing war, the President was required to report to congressional leadership that, in his determination, peaceful diplomatic means were insufficient to achieve the objectives.

Some congressional concerns were raised, especially in the House, about nondelegation. Like other modern force authorization debates, though, this was not a central issue and the constitutional objections remained a small minority view. A few representatives framed their criticism as constitutional protests that sound like nondelegation arguments, but it was often not clear whether they were invoking strict legal barriers or just appealing to general principles of legislative responsibility (or perhaps a different constitutional argument).289See, e.g., 137 Cong. Rec. 1050 (1991) (statement of Rep. Hamilton) (“We have a constitutional responsibility to vote at the time when and if the President concludes force is necessary . . . . The President’s resolution means Congress gives up the right to decide. It means we give the President unlimited discretion to start a war in circumstances that cannot be foreseen.”); id. at 1056 (statement of Rep. Jenkins) (“I will not transfer my responsibility as a member of the U.S. Congress to the President . . . [A] straight declaration of war resolution should be brought to this Congress for debate, not some resolution delegating to the President that sole responsibility.”); id. at 1063 (statement of Rep. Smith) (making similar argument); id. at 1100 (statement of Rep. Murphy) (same).

Nondelegation arguments emerged a bit more vocally in Congress during debate over authorizing the next Iraq War. For a decade after the Gulf War, the Iraqi regime had obstructed Security Council-mandated weapons inspections. In 2002, at President George W. Bush’s request, Congress again authorized force against Iraq. The 2002 resolution empowered the President to use military force “as he determines to be necessary and appropriate” to “defend the national security of the United States against the continuing threat posed by Iraq; and . . . enforce all relevant United Nations Security Council resolutions regarding Iraq.”290Authorization for Use of Military Force Against Iraq Resolution of 2002, Pub. L. No. 107-243, 116 Stat. 1498, 1501. The force resolution again included the condition only that the President report to congressional leadership his determination that diplomatic means were insufficient.291Id.

Though still a minority, several members of the Senate292Senator Arlen Specter stated that “It is a concern of mine as to whether there is authority for the Congress under the Constitution to make this kind of a delegation.” 148 Cong. Rec. S9871 (daily ed. Oct. 3, 2002). He went on to vote for the authorization, however. and House293See, e.g., id. at H7242 (daily ed. Oct. 8, 2002) (statement of Rep. Norton) (“As clear as it gets, this vote would be an unconstitutional delegation of the exclusive power of Congress to declare war. It is simply shocking to give away the unique life and death power to declare war bestowed on the Congress by the framers.”); id. at H7396 (daily ed. Oct. 9, 2002) (statement of Rep. Jackson-Lee) (“It is by article 1, section 8 of the Constitution of the United States that calls for us to declare war . . . . Congress may not choose to transfer its duties under the Constitution to the President.”); id. at H7425 (daily ed. Oct. 9, 2002) (Statement of Rep. Filner) (making similar argument); id. at H7009–10 (daily ed. Oct. 3, 2002) (Rep. Paul) (same). raised constitutional nondelegation concerns. Others made arguments that might be read either as legal objections or prudential ones.294Id. at S10089 (daily ed. Oct. 8, 2002) (statement of Sen. Kennedy) (“The most solemn responsibility any Congress has is the responsibility given the Congress by the Constitution to declare war. We would violate that responsibility if we delegate that responsibility to the President in advance . . . .”). Several proponents expressly defended the constitutionality of the resolution.295See, e.g., id. at S10085 (daily ed. Oct 8, 2002) (statement of Senator Lieberman). Then-Senator Joseph Biden specifically addressed delegation, arguing that the resolution included sufficient parameters to satisfy the nondelegation doctrine:

I am confused by the argument that constitutionally we are unable to delegate that authority. Historically, the way in which the delegation of the authority under the constitutional separation of powers doctrine functions is there have to be some parameters to the delegation . . . . But as I read this grant of authority, it is not so broad as to make it unconstitutional for us, under the war clause of the Constitution, to delegate to the President the power to use force if certain conditions exist. . . . [C]onstitutionally, this resolution meets the test of our ability to delegate. It is not an overly broad delegation which would make it per se unconstitutional, in my view.296Id. at S10249 (daily ed. Oct. 10, 2002) (statement of Senator Biden).

Beyond the legislative debate, the 2002 force resolution generated a rare judicial opinion on the war power nondelegation issue. After the resolution passed, a group including members of the armed forces and their relatives and members of Congress sued President Bush, seeking to enjoin him from initiating war.297Doe v. Bush, 323 F.3d 133 (1st Cir. 2003). One of the plaintiffs’ claims was that the resolution unconstitutionally delegated Congress’s power to declare war.298Id. at 141. The district court dismissed the suit and the First Circuit affirmed, holding that the dispute was unripe and “[did] not warrant judicial intervention.”299Id. at 139–44. However, it also addressed the nondelegation argument:

In this zone of shared congressional and presidential responsibility, courts should intervene only when the dispute is clearly framed. An extreme case might arise, for example, if Congress gave absolute discretion to the President to start a war at his or her will. Plaintiffs’ objection to the October Resolution does not, of course, involve any such claim . . . . The mere fact that the October Resolution grants some discretion to the President fails to raise a sufficiently clear constitutional issue.300Id. at 143 (citations omitted).

The court rejected the nondelegation argument for several reasons. First, it treated war power as “shared between the political branches,” in contrast to many other Article I legislative powers.301Id. Thus it apparently rejected the premise that war-initiation power is exclusively vested in Congress, or perhaps it recognized that war-initiation power is not always so easy to separate cleanly from war-waging or other foreign affairs powers. Second, citing Zemel v. Rusk (which had cited Curtiss-Wright for this proposition), it noted that “the Supreme Court has also suggested that the nondelegation doctrine has even less applicability to foreign affairs.”302Id. It adopted the common assumption that war power is a subset of foreign relations powers for delegation purposes, and that within that subset, broader delegation is constitutionally permitted. Third, it rebutted the argument that Congress had relinquished policymaking responsibility to the executive branch. “Nor is there clear evidence of congressional abandonment of the authority to declare war to the President,” the court said. “To the contrary, Congress has been deeply involved in significant debate, activity, and authorization connected to our relations with Iraq for over a decade, under three different presidents of both major political parties, and during periods when each party has controlled Congress.”303Id. at 143–44.

At the time of this writing, Congress is actively considering the repeal of the 1991 and 2002 Iraq force authorizations.304See Karoun Demirjian, Decades Later, Senate Votes to Repeal Iraq Military Authorizations, N.Y. Times (Mar. 29, 2023), https://www.nytimes.com/2023/03/29/us/politics/congress-iraq-war-powers-authorization.html [https://perma.cc/5KDC-T68H]. The fact that they remained on the books for years after the overthrow of Saddam Hussein’s regime, as well as the withdrawal of U.S. combat forces from Iraq, also means that they continued to operate as possible delegations for resuming conflicts or initiating news ones in and around Iraq.305See infra note 342.

2. The 2001 AUMF

Congress’s broadest force authorization may be the one following the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001, which remains in effect. It authorizes the President to use

all necessary and appropriate force against those nations, organizations, or persons he determines planned, authorized, committed, or aided the terrorist attacks that occurred on September 11, 2001, or harbored such organizations or persons, in order to prevent any future acts of international terrorism against the United States by such nations, organizations or persons.306Authorization for Use of Military Force Pub. L. No. 107-40, 115 Stat. 224 (2001).

It specifies a purpose—to prevent further terrorist attacks by those categories of target—but it names no specific enemy or duration. It requires the target to have some nexus to the September 11 attacks but gives the President wide latitude to determine who—individuals, groups, or states—comes within that scope.307See Bradley & Goldsmith, supra note 2, at 2078–83; see also Michael Stokes Paulsen, Youngstown Goes to War, 19 Const. Comment. 215, 252 (2002) (observing that although the 2001 AUMF is a constitutional delegation because it contains an intelligible standard, it is “arguably the broadest congressional delegation of war power in our nation’s history”).

Unlike other modern war power delegations, the United States had been directly attacked on September 11. Even those who interpret the Constitution as lodging war-initiation decisions exclusively in Congress generally recognize an implicit exception for repelling invasions or attacks. So, although the 2001 AUMF is sweeping, at least part of its scope may be understood as recognizing preexisting presidential powers to respond to attacks.308During the 2001 congressional floor debate over the AUMF, many members emphasized that the United States was already party to a conflict resulting from acts of war against it. See 147 Cong. Rec. H5492–705 (daily eds. Sept. 11–14, 2001); id. at S9283–464 (daily eds. Sept. 12–14, 2001). Presumably the reasoning applies to al Qaeda (the actual perpetrators), but defining that group’s organizational and geographic boundaries and determining whether presidential power also applied against, for example, Afghanistan or other nations or entities for harboring al Qaeda, are complicated matters. Thus, the authority granted the President to use force against those not already covered by the President’s constitutional power to respond to direct attacks was potentially quite broad, especially if the nexus requirement is interpreted loosely.

Nondelegation concerns were barely raised, if at all, in Congress or commentary when the AUMF was hurriedly enacted. A few members of Congress indicated at the time that they believed that this resolution was crafted more narrowly than the Gulf of Tonkin Resolution, to avoid serving as a “blank check,” but they did not explain how so.309See Bradley & Goldsmith, supra note 2, at 2079–80 n.135 (quoting congressional members’ statements).

Although nondelegation objections were inaudible in 2001, some critics of the 2001 AUMF and proponents of amending it have more recently raised such concerns. As with the Gulf of Tonkin resolution, expansive interpretations by successive administrations—including applying it in countries far beyond Afghanistan and against new terrorist groups like the Islamic State—probably contributed to a view that at minimum Congress should name specific enemies.310See, e.g., Stephen Wertheim, End the Imperial Presidency, N.Y. Times (Aug. 25, 2021), https://www.nytimes.com/2021/08/25/opinion/declaration-war-president-Congress.html [https://perma.
cc/6T4E-KQ7W] (arguing that authorizing force without naming specific enemies breaks with original constitutional design and early practice).
In response to academic proposals to update the 2001 AUMF to allow the President to add new terrorist groups to its coverage, some commentators objected that doing so would skirt constitutional requirements. As two scholars put it:

The proposal to bypass Congress and instead delegate such future—and momentous—decisions to the President lacks anyhistorical precedent, and for good reason. It is Congress, not the Executive, that is given the authority under our Constitution to declare war. As our Founding Fathers understood well, an authorization to use military force is a measure that should be undertaken solemnly, after public debate and with buy-in from representatives of a cross-section of the nation, based upon a careful and deliberate evaluation of the nature of the specific threat. It should not be an ex antedelegation to the President to make unreviewable decisions to go to war at some future date against some as-yet-unidentified entity.311Jennifer Daskal & Stephen I. Vladeck, After the AUMF, 5 Harv. Nat’l Sec. J. 115, 138 (2014) (responding to Robert Chesney, Jack Goldsmith, Matthew C. Waxman & Benjamin Wittes, A Statutory Framework for Next-Generation Terrorist Threats (2013), https://www.hoover.org/research
/statutory-framework-next-generation-terrorist-threats [https://perma.cc/WL65-2M23]. See also Statement for the Record of Human Rights First to the U.S. House Foreign Affairs Committee Hearing on “Authorization for the Use of Military Force and Current Terrorist Threats” (July 24, 2017), https://docs.house.gov/meetings/FA/FA00/20170725/106315/HHRG-115-FA00-20170725-SD001.pdf [https://perma.cc/F8BL-8JX7] (“Authorizing the president to use force against unknown future enemies, for undefined purposes, or in unknown locations is an unconstitutional delegation of Congress’s power to declare war.”).

Note the echo of arguments from earlier eras, that there is something uniquely problematic constitutionally about delegating war-initiation power, due to its special character.

As during the Cold War, broad legislative delegations were widely accepted in the post-Cold War period as an appropriate mode of exercising war power. Still, the nondelegation objection never fully went away.

V. SUMMARY AND IMPLICATIONS

The historical record laid out in previous Parts yields several significant and surprising points about history, doctrine, and legal reform in the field of war power. As to history, we conclude that—contrary to common assumptions—the originalist or historical case for broad war-initiation delegation is weak. At the same time, however, that history does not support the opposite position, that Congress’s war power is essentially nondelegable at all. Throughout much of American history, both political branches often treated war initiation as constitutionally distinct, but not so consistently to alone justify either of those positions. Modern war power delegation practices arose in the 1950s in response to geostrategic imperatives of the Cold War, but also, importantly, against a background expansion in the exercise of unilateral presidential power to use force.

Moreover, the mixed historical record shows that treating “foreign affairs delegation” as a special constitutional category is problematic. Rather, it points in favor of disaggregating that category, and even disaggregating the sub-category “war powers delegation.” The sparse record of war-initiation delegations prior to modern times also highlights the immense practical stakes of this issue as well as the varied and evolving strategic rationales behind broad delegations. In that way our focus on how Congress exercises its war power adds new dimensions to familiar accounts of whether Congress has done so. And as to legal reform, that historical record raises important questions about calls for restoring Congress’s traditional role in initiating war.

A. The Historical Development of War Power Delegation

This Article’s account of war power delegations suggests at least three conclusions about relevant constitutional history. First, the founding era has relatively little definitive evidence to offer on the topic, particularly for those searching for affirmative support for either broad war power delegation or near-absolute war power nondelegation. The drafters and ratifiers seem not to have discussed the matter directly.312Supra Section I.A. Although some scholars suggest that war power (and other foreign affairs powers) was seen at the time as more delegable than domestic lawmaking power, the leading specific defense of this suggestion relies principally upon extrapolation from a single obscure exchange in the Convention debates, with little if any confirmation in subsequent practice or commentary.313See McConnell, supra note 15; supra Section I.B. And to the contrary, at least some key figures of the time emphasized the need to place war-initiation decisions in Congress specifically to check the President.314Supra Section I.A. The influential idea at the founding that decisions to start wars should rest with Congress, because Presidents might be too tempted toward war, is in considerable tension with unconstrained delegations of that power. 315See Beach, supra note 13 (developing this argument). Overall, though, originalist-oriented analysis of the founding era seems unlikely to generate specific conclusions on the delegability of war power, making this particular issue difficult to separate from the larger debate over Congress’s power to delegate its constitutional powers more generally.316What one thinks of the founding evidence, then, may depend on what one thinks is the appropriate baseline: to what extent did the Constitution generally disfavor congressional delegation, or allow delegation only if accompanied by fairly definite directions. As noted, see supra note 13, there is scholarly debate about whether Congress’s legislative powers were generally regarded as delegable at that time; this Article does not address that debate.

Second, broad delegations of war-initiation power were surprisingly rare in historical practice prior to the Cold War. The 1798 Quasi-War statutes, often identified as key precedents for war power delegations, were actually quite narrow and incremental, sharply limiting the President’s ability to expand the naval conflict into a larger war.317Supra Section II.B. Moreover, they were infrequently repeated. After the Quasi-War, no significant foreign conflict was initiated pursuant to delegated power until Vietnam.318Supra Parts II and III.

While early Congresses authorized hostilities on a few now-obscure occasions in which Presidents ultimately chose not to use force, each of these has limitations as clear precedent for broad delegation. The 1811 No-Transfer Act was conditioned on the occurrence of specific events. The 1839 authorization concerning the Maine border involved defense of specific disputed territory under potential military threat from a hostile power. The 1858 Water Witch authorization also depended on specific events and likely contemplated a low-level use of force.319Supra Section II.C. The only presidential use of force arguably pursuant to delegated authority between the Quasi-War and the Cold War was the 1914 intervention in Mexico, and that episode may be better understood as an exercise of independent presidential authority. See supra Section III.B. By our count, prior to the Cold War, Congress formally recognized a state of war more often (seven times: Tripoli, War of 1812, Algiers, Mexican War, Spanish-American War, World Wars I and II) than it delegated use-of-force decisions to the President (five times: Quasi-War, No-Transfer Act, Maine boundary, Water Witch, 1914 Mexico intervention). And those examples have generally received little scholarly or lawyerly attention, probably because they were never activated: Presidents did not invoke the delegated authority to use force because the facts on which they were conditioned did not occur.320See Matthew C. Waxman, The Power to Threaten War, 123 Yale L.J. 1626, 1653–62 (2014) (discussing tendency of lawyers and legal scholars to overlook cases of threatened force). Indeed, none of the nineteenth-century acts just mentioned even appears in a recent Congressional Research Service compilation of historical authorizations to use military force.321Elsea & Weed, supra note 167, appendixes A, B.

Moreover, during the nineteenth century, Congress rebuffed Presidents Jackson and Buchanan when they requested delegated authority to use force, amid arguments (among others) that such delegations were constitutionally impermissible.322See supra Sections II.B–C. For example, the Water Witch delegation was offset by Congress’s subsequent refusal to grant Buchanan wider authority to use force in Mexico and Central America. The 1839 Maine authorization came only a few years after Congress refused Jackson’s request for force authorizations against France and Mexico.323Supra Section II.C.3. And part of the Quasi-War debate involved authorization for the President to establish a Provisional Army, in which the analogous delegated power was sharply circumscribed in response to nondelegation concerns.324Supra Section II.B. So, war initiation was sometimes—but not consistently—treated as a special case for which broad delegation was impermissible. In sum, there is little historical practice to support broad delegations of war-initiation power prior to the Cold War, although a somewhat better case might be made for a limited practice of narrow delegations, particularly ones tied to specific circumstances or events.

In contrast, broad delegations of military powers were much more common in related areas. For example, all of Congress’s formal declarations and other official recognitions of a state of war contained essentially unlimited authorizations for the President to choose ways of fighting the war.325Supra Section II.C. Similarly, as to suppressing insurrections and law enforcement, Congress made open-ended authorizations with less concern or debate.326Supra Section II.E. Thus, if anything the early historical record suggests that war-initiation delegation was an area of concern—even if the doctrinal limits were unclear and contested.

The historical record of war-initiation delegation spotlights another less-obvious reason that its early practice was more contested than delegation of war-waging powers. Whereas today war-initiation power is usually seen as a core foreign affairs issue, earlier it was viewed as straddling both foreign and domestic affairs. Madison, exemplifying concerns among some constitutional architects, observed that “[w]ar is the parent of armies; from these proceed debts and taxes; and armies, and debts, and taxes are the known instruments for bringing the many under the domination of the few.”327James Madison, Political Observations, in 4 Letters and Other Writings of James Madison 491–92 (Philadelphia: J. B. Lippincott & Co., 1867) (1795). This was written in 1795, when Madison was a member of Congress. When Justice Nelson, dissenting in the Prize Cases, argued that Congress’s war-initiation power cannot be delegated, he did not appeal to grave foreign policy consequences; he cited the effects on the “business and property of the citizen.”328The Prize Cases, 67 U.S. (2 Black) 635, 693 (1863) (Nelson, J., dissenting). See supra note 158 and accompanying text. The Civil War context of course makes this concern sharper. As one modern scholar puts it, even today “[t]he transition from peace to war and back again fundamentally alters many legal relationships, whether they are privately ordered through contract or publicly ordered through statutes, common law doctrines, treaties, or even the Constitution.”329J. Gregory Sidak, To Declare War, 41 Duke L.J. 27, 32 (1991). Historically, it was as much the domestic implications of war initiation as the foreign ones that gave opponents of its delegation pause.330See Beach, supra note 13.

A third conclusion about constitutional history in this area is that the pivotal period for war power delegation was the early Cold War, after which one might argue that the practice reflected a modern “historical gloss” on the Constitution.331Cf. Youngstown Sheet & Tube Co. v. Sawyer, 343 U.S. 579, 610–11 (1952) (Frankfurter, J., concurring) (discussing “systematic, unbroken” practice accepted by the political branches). In a relatively short period of time, Congress passed a series of force authorizations granting or acknowledging broad presidential discretion as to whether (and sometimes even where and against whom) to begin hostilities: the Formosa resolution (1955), the Middle East resolution (1957), the Cuba resolution (1962), and the Gulf of Tonkin Resolution (1964).332See supra Section IV.B.2, including caveats therein regarding inclusion of the Cuba resolution in this list. Nothing like these authorizations had occurred previously. Yet, at the time, they were largely uncontroversial, passing by wide margins with only isolated objections on nondelegation grounds. The Gulf of Tonkin Resolution became controversial later, with the growing unpopularity and inconclusiveness of the expanded Vietnam War, and with that controversy came a rise in political and scholarly appeals to constitutional nondelegation principles.333See supra Section IV.B.3. But those objections faded as the United States withdrew from Vietnam and the Cold War was replaced by concerns over terrorism and rogue regimes.334Supra Section IV.C.

The most evident explanation for this shift is geostrategic. To be sure, the Supreme Court gave comfort through its prior Curtiss-Wright decision, indicating reduced constitutional concern about delegation in foreign affairs generally.335Supra Section III.C. But the fundamental changes presaging the new regime of war-initiation delegation were the rise of enduring Cold War military and ideological competition, the U.S. emergence as a global superpower with a worldwide ring of military bases and defensive alliances, and the advent of nuclear weapons. These new and dire circumstances underlay a broad consensus that Presidents needed powers to respond to global emergencies quickly and with a broad range of options. The constant military mobilization and sense of emergency muddied the distinction between war-initiation and presidential commander-in-chief activities, and the obsolescence of formal war declarations in international law further blurred it. Those conditions drove not only new thinking about delegation, but also new acceptance of presidential war powers unilateralism, as reflected in Korea and Cuba.336Supra Section IV.B.

Thus, while the 1955 Formosa authorization was a significant step-up from previous cases in the breadth of delegation, it occurred at a time when many officials in both political branches believed that security imperatives in the Cold War required interpreting Article II of the Constitution to allow the President to defend distant American interests from the Communist bloc. Only a few years earlier, President Truman took the United States into the Korean War without express congressional approval. Although Eisenhower, who had a narrower view of presidential powers, requested the Formosa authorization, he received at least as much congressional pushback on the grounds that he did not need it to use force as on the grounds that it granted too much discretion.337Supra Section IV. The 1914 Mexico intervention was an early foreshadowing of these developments. These developments bring us to the modern view in which war power delegations are relatively well accepted with relatively little understanding of their origins.

In sum, although on their face congressional force authorizations over time included broader delegations, these resolutions were passed in the context of broader understandings and prevailing practice of executive unilateralism. War power delegation may generally look broader over time in absolute terms, but so do background presidential powers. Perhaps one might attach to Cold War resolutions a historical gloss in favor of delegation, but those background assumptions about independent presidential powers and the perceived need at all for congressional authorization at that time render unclear whether the political branches understood that they were systematically engaging in novel legislative delegations. Indeed, as pointed out in Part IV, that growth in unilateral presidential powers has largely obscured the nondelegation questions lurking below.

B. Doctrinal Implications

This section considers the modern doctrinal implications of the foregoing history. We suggest at least four.

First, for those who would revive a strong version of the nondelegation doctrine, war power delegations are not so easily distinguished from domestic legislative delegations. As discussed, some judges and scholars who seek such a revival on originalist and structural grounds suggest that it would not extend to war alongside other foreign affairs powers.338Supra Section I.B. Our account calls that suggestion substantially into question; at minimum it should caution against assuming that such a carve-out is easy to justify. As described, originalist and early post-ratification evidence for broad war-initiation delegations is quite thin. There is little basis for assuming that the founders were less concerned about war power delegations than they were about other delegations (and some evidence that they would have been more concerned). And prior to the 1950s there was essentially no practice of broad delegation of the decision to go to war. The originalist-driven project to revive the domestic nondelegation doctrine may necessarily entail grappling with war power delegations, however much some of its advocates might wish to avoid that.

Second, the historical record cautions against treating war-related or military-related delegations as a single category. Longstanding practice indicates much greater acceptance of some kinds of broad delegations: delegations as to the method of fighting wars, and as to matters of law enforcement and suppression of domestic insurrection.339Of course, it is not always easy to draw a sharp line between these types of delegations. Presidential action to protect troops could provoke conflict, for example. For example, starting with early force authorizations after the Quasi-War, including the 1802 Tripoli resolution and every formal war declaration thereafter, Congress delegated to the President broad discretion regarding how to use military force. Importantly, these are areas in which the President is widely believed to have substantial independent constitutional power as a result of the President’s constitutional status as commander-in-chief and head of the executive branch.340See David Schoenbrod, The Delegation Doctrine: Could the Court Give it Substance?, 83 Mich. L. Rev. 1223, 1260–61 (1985) (arguing that war declarations are not delegations because the President’s discretion as to how to wage war derives from Article II powers). “Some delegations have, at least arguably, implicated the president’s inherent Article II authority,” noted Justice Gorsuch in Gundy. He continued: “The Court has held, for example, that Congress may authorize the President to prescribe aggravating factors that permit a military court-martial to impose the death penalty on a member of the Armed Forces convicted of murder—a decision that may implicate in part the President’s independent commander-in-chief authority.”341Gundy v. United States, 139 S. Ct. 2116, 2137–40 (2019) (Gorsuch, J., dissenting).

In contrast, war-initiation power—much of which was widely thought, at least in the early Republic, to be vested exclusively in Congress—lacks a similar, long-running historical pattern of broad delegation. Relatedly, to the extent there is historical precedent for delegation of war-initiation power, it involves (prior to the Cold War) specific and limited delegations rather than broad open-ended ones. There is not simply one blanket category of military- or war-related powers for which delegability was historically treated and practiced in the same way.

Third, the above considerations suggest a possible path for limited revival of nondelegation principles in war power debates and adjudication, namely, through interpretation of force authorizations’ scope. To be clear, we are not arguing that such delegation in the modern era is unconstitutional, nor do we think courts are likely anytime soon to address this issue, let alone to hold so. Delegation might be defended on grounds other than originalism and history, and at this point, recent practice has ingrained broad delegations not just as an available option for Congress but even as the preferred option for those who believe that Congress must authorize war or force. However, well short of finding them unconstitutional, legislators, judges, and other legal actors who place great weight on early historical delegation practice might be inclined to read modern force authorizations narrowly.

For example, issues have arisen with respect to the scope of the 2001 and 2002 AUMFs: Presidents have sought to use the 2001 AUMF against entities such as the Islamic State, with only tenuous relationships to the 9/11 attacks, and to use the 2002 AUMF regarding Iraq to authorize force against Syrian and Iranian targets.342See Jack Goldsmith & Matthew Waxman, The Legal Legacy of Light-Footprint Warfare, 39 Wash. Q. 7, 14–15 (2016); Charlie Savage, Obama Sees Iraq Resolution as a Legal Basis for Airstrikes, Official Says, N.Y. Times (Sept. 12, 2014), https://www.nytimes.com/2014/09/13/world/
americas/obama-sees-iraq-resolution-as-a-legal-basis-for-airstrikes-official-says.html [https://web.
archive.org/web/20230104053635/https://www.nytimes.com/2014/09/13/world/americas/obama-sees-iraq-resolution-as-a-legal-basis-for-airstrikes-official-says.html] (Syria and 2002 AUMF); Warren P. Strobel, White House Cites 2002 Iraq War Measure to Justify Killing Soleimani, Wall St. J. (Feb. 14, 2020, 3:23PM), https://www.wsj.com/articles/white-house-cites-2002-iraq-war-measure-to-justify-killing-soleimani-11581711789 [https://perma.cc/E3TT-2AYF] (Iranian targets and 2002 AUMF).
The constitutional history of delegation suggests that if courts were ever to reach the issue, they might instead read these authorizations more narrowly, similar to the way courts have begun to read ambiguous domestic delegations narrowly, as not encompassing important matters not clearly within the contemplation of the delegating Congress.343See, e.g., Nat’l Fed’n of Indep. Bus. v. DOL, OSHA, 142 S. Ct. 661, 664–65 (2022) (per curiam) (reading workplace safety delegation narrowly as not including power to mandate vaccines); id. at 667–70 (Gorsuch, J., concurring) (expressly referring to nondelegation concerns). Much like the Supreme Court held that it would not read a statute to delegate to the Environmental Protection Agency power to decide “major questions” of greenhouse gas regulation absent a clear statement by Congress of that intent,344West Virginia v. EPA, 142 S. Ct. 2587, 2595 (2022). so too courts could reason from the historical record that force authorizations should be read narrowly absent a clear legislative statement.345Cf. Kristen E. Eichensehr, The Youngstown Canon: Vetoed Bills and the Separation of Powers, 70 Duke L.J. 1245, 1286–94 (2021) (making a separate but related argument for narrowly construing force authorizations).

Of course, courts are likely for many reasons—including remedial problems and concerns about comparative expertise—to avoid this issue and treat it as non-justiciable.346See, e.g., Smith v. Obama, 217 F. Supp. 3d 283, 303 (D.D.C. 2016) (rejecting on standing and justiciability grounds a challenge to legality of military operations against Islamic State), vacated as moot sub. nom. Smith v. Trump, 731 Fed. App’x 8 (D.C. Cir. 2018); see also Sarnoff v. Connally, 457 F.2d 809, 809–10 (9th Cir. 1972) (discussing dismissals of Vietnam War nondelegation challenges as nonjusticiable). The wisdom and practicality of such an interpretive rule is beyond this Article’s scope, and it would depend on many other factors besides history. Ultimately this will likely remain a constitutional issue for the political branches to wrestle with outside of courts. But regardless of where the issue is debated and decided, the historical record—especially the founding-era concerns about this particular power and the early practice of specific and limited delegations, to the extent war powers were delegated at all—could be used to support such an interpretive approach.

One might respond to these first three doctrinal points by arguing that the President has at least some independent power to use military force, so—for the purposes of constitutional delegation analysis, and perhaps also for purposes of interpreting force authorizations—war-initiation is to some extent an overlapping set of shared powers among the political branches. But even so, assuming there is at least some zone of exclusive congressional power, the question remains how delegation operates in that zone. As noted, this Article assumes the existence of such a zone. We nevertheless acknowledge that the line separating that zone is not a bright one, and that is also among the reasons that courts are likely to regard this issue as nonjusticiable.

Finally and more generally, the above account indicates the importance of disaggregating the category of foreign affairs delegations. Since Curtiss-Wright, courts and commentators have discussed a generalized category of foreign affairs powers that (it is said) may be more easily delegated.347See Bradley & Goldsmith, supra note 2; Curtis A. Bradley, A New American Foreign Affairs Law?, 70 Univ. Colo. L. Rev. 1089, 1096–97; Note, supra note 13, at 1137–38. But see Ganesh Sitaraman & Ingrid Wuerth, The Normalization of Foreign Relations Law, 128 Harv. L. Rev. 1897, 1971–73 (2015) (documenting recent judicial trend away from foreign affairs exceptionalism). The history of war power delegations shows that this cannot be so easily assumed. As discussed, even within the foreign-affairs sub-category of military or war-related powers, some powers were historically regarded as more readily delegable than others. By extension, it seems inappropriate to generalize about delegability of foreign affairs powers. Some foreign affairs powers may indeed be readily delegable—particularly if they are associated with independent presidential powers, or with longstanding practice of congressional delegations. Others may not be, perhaps because—like war-initiation power—structurally Congress was designed to play a checking role and longstanding practice is not supportive of delegation. Specific types of foreign affairs delegations should be assessed individually rather than in general categories.

The foreign-domestic distinction in nondelegation law has held little significance in practice since Curtiss-Wright because even in domestic cases, courts have generally upheld delegations to the President under very deferential review.348Whitman v. Am. Trucking Ass’n, 531 U.S. 457, 474–75 (2001). However, the idea that the Constitution permits broader delegation in foreign than domestic affairs could become crucial if courts and the political branches were to apply the nondelegation doctrine more strictly, as some Justices say they would. In Gundy, for example, Justice Gorsuch (joined by two other Justices), signaled that expansive foreign affairs delegations might survive his stricter nondelegation analysis.349Gundy v. United States, 139 S. Ct. 2116,  2137 (2019) (Gorsuch, J., dissenting). Justice Thomas elsewhere similarly suggested that broad foreign affairs delegations might be more permissible.350Dep’t of Transp. v. Ass’n of Am. R.Rs., 575 U.S. 43, 80 (2015) (Thomas, J., concurring) (noting that the President’s exercises of discretion pursuant to foreign affairs statutes might not trigger strict nondelegation limits). Although, again, courts will likely continue to treat war-initiation disputes as nonjusticiable,351See supra note 346 and accompanying text. a number of scholars have predicted that judges applying a stricter nondelegation doctrine would likely continue to carve out foreign affairs or national security generally for different treatment.352See, e.g., Harlan Grant Cohen, The National Security Delegation Conundrum, Just Sec. (July 17, 2019), https://www.justsecurity.org/64946/the-national-security-delegation-conundrum [https://
perma.cc/6DGK-PYA5]; Knowles, supra note 13, at 1136.
Ultimately, delegation of war-initiation may still be constitutionally justified and defended on functional or other grounds, but the history of war power delegation cautions against broad-gauge categorical approaches to foreign affairs as a whole.353See Chad Squitieri, Towards Nondelegation Doctrines, 86 Mo. L. Rev. 1239, 1291 (2021) (calling generally for disaggregation of the nondelegation doctrine by subject matter).

C. Strategic Significance of War Power Delegation

The historical record also gives reason to think that the question whether Congress may delegate power to initiate major war has arguably been more consequential than whether Congress must authorize major war (defined loosely as ground wars with immense costs to the United States354This generally accords with an approach the Department of Justice has taken to defining “war” for the purposes of the Declare War Clause. See, e.g., Memorandum Opinion from Caroline D. Krass, Principal Deputy Assistant Att’y Gen., Office of Legal Couns., Dep’t of Just., to the Att’y Gen., Authority to Use Military Force in Libya, at 31 (Apr. 1, 2011) (“In our view, determining whether a particular planned engagement constitutes a ‘war’ for constitutional purposes instead requires a fact-specific assessment of the ‘anticipated nature, scope, and duration’ of the planned military operations,” and “[t]his standard generally will be satisfied only by prolonged and substantial military engagements, typically involving exposure of U.S. military personnel to significant risk over a substantial period.”).). The former issue gets almost no attention today and becomes critically important if one believes the answer to the latter is yes. Apart from the Korean War, the President has always requested and received congressional approval to launch major wars. Presidents have not always regarded this step as necessary, but they have done so. Counterfactual history is of course difficult, but it is hard to show past major wars in which a constitutional requirement of congressional approval would have made a difference.

It may be easier to identify situations where a requirement that Congress actually decide to initiate war might have influenced the outcome or timing. For example, Eisenhower believed that effectively deterring Chinese attacks on Taiwan in 1955 required diplomatic brinksmanship that in turn required congressional pre-approval to use unlimited force. At least in Eisenhower’s view, delegated war power reduced the likelihood of war compared to seeking a decision by Congress after a Chinese provocation. Requiring Congress to expressly initiate war rather than delegate the decision might reduce or delay war in other ways. In the Persian Gulf War, the Senate passed the 1991 resolution granting the President an option to initiate war by only a narrow 52-47 margin. Would Congress have passed a resolution firmly deciding to initiate war, if it could not constitutionally delegate that politically difficult decision to the President? Perhaps not, or perhaps only after diplomacy was given more time. Similarly, had Congress been required to decide on war with Iraq in 2002–2003, we wonder whether Congress might have scrutinized more carefully the intelligence about Iraq’s alleged weapons of mass destruction. It is impossible to prove the impact of such a requirement (compared to an option to delegate), but it is fair to speculate that war decisions might have played out differently or been slowed. And if merely slowing a decision for war seems insubstantial, remember that it is among the reasons most often cited for lodging war power in Congress to begin with.

The historical record also reveals that how Congress exercises its war power, specifically its choice to delegate decision-making on war, has been of great strategic importance—but for different reasons over time. That episodic history can be understood as efforts by the political branches to wrestle with new foreign policy dilemmas that did not fit neatly with a requirement or practice that Congress itself make the final decision on military intervention.

One obvious rationale for war power delegation is the generic rationale behind many legislative delegations: to manage complexity. To deal flexibly with complicated and uncertain situations, Congress often delegates substantial authority to the executive branch to implement policy within legislative parameters. War power delegations since World War II can be understood in similar terms, as recognition that fast-changing geopolitical conditions and the President’s simultaneous exercise of other military, diplomatic, and economic powers favor giving the President flexibility on whether and when to use force or initiate war. Indeed, although historically critics of war power delegation were generally concerned about presidential power, the practical impact of strict nondelegation—that is, giving Congress only a stark choice between deciding to use force or not, rather than allowing it to authorize the President to exercise some discretion—might actually have been more presidential unilateralism. As the U.S. government has dealt with a wide range of security crises, war power delegations may also thus reflect adaptive, pragmatic advantages of flexibility in how Congress legislatively exercises its war power.355Cf. Memorandum Opinion from William H. Rehnquist, Assistant Att’y  Gen., Office of Legal Couns., Dep’t of Just., to the Special Couns. to the President, The President and the War Power: South Vietnam and the Cambodian Sanctuaries, at 321, 336 (May 22, 1970) (“If Congress may sanction armed engagement of United States forces only by declaring war, the possibility of its retaining a larger degree of control through a more limited approval is foreclosed.”).

Historically, however, war power delegation has served as a device for handling various specific strategic challenges in addition to managing complexity. That history is especially useful to those who would justify broad war power delegation on functional grounds. The narrowly crafted 1811 No-Transfer Act involved special need for secrecy, for example. The UNPA involved delegation to solve particular credibility challenges for formal collective security arrangements that would have been unimaginable to the founders. Another new challenge after World War II was extended deterrence, or the credible threat of force to deter attacks on allies, particularly in the Eisenhower Administration.356See Matthew Waxman, Eisenhower and War Powers, Lawfare (Sept. 18, 2020, 8:01 AM), https://www.lawfareblog.com/eisenhower-and-war-powers [https://perma.cc/8WBJ-8GCJ]. In the UNPA and Eisenhower-era force resolution episodes, war power delegations were intended to signal policy certainty, not highlight policy discretion. That dilemma of squaring credible commitments to use force with congressional control of war initiation was also partially obviated by a shift in practice from congressional delegation to executive unilateralism. As explained next, efforts to roll back presidential war powers will bring some of these dilemmas back to the fore.

D. Implications for War Powers Reform

Finally, the historical record of war power delegation—especially questions about its acceptance at the founding and the thin body of practice since then—has implications for war powers reform. Reformists often pitch their calls as “restoring” Congress’s proper constitutional role in war initiation, but the historical record raises questions about what interbranch arrangements reformists are usually calling for a return to. For those who advocate reversion to exclusive congressional control over war initiation, it also raises tough questions about Congress’s ability to delegate discretion through future force authorizations.

Those advocating tighter congressional control of war initiation, whatever their political stripes, often appeal to originalism. In advocating reforms to the 1973 War Powers Resolution, for example, legislative sponsors often talk of restoring the original constitutional framework, in which Congress wielded exclusive control over decisions to initiate war.357See National Security Powers Act, S. 2391, 117th  Cong. (2021); Press Release, Chris Murphy, Sen., Murphy Statement on the National Security Powers Act (July 20, 2021), https://www.murphy.senate.gov/newsroom/press-releases/murphy-lee-sanders-introduce-sweeping-bipartisan-legislation-to-overhaul-congresss-role-in-national-security [https://perma.cc/ZGC3-6P9M]; Press Release, Bernie Sanders, Sen., Sanders Statement on the National Security Powers Act (July 20, 2021); see also National Security Reforms and Accountability Act, H.R. 5410, 117th Cong. (2021); Press Release, James McGovern, H.R., McGovern Statement on the National Security Reforms and Accountability Act (September 30, 2021), https://mcgovern.house.gov/news/documentsingle.
aspx?DocumentID=398752 [https://perma.cc/JS7D-UFSA]; Press Release, Peter Meijer, Rep., House of Representatives, Meijer Statement on the National Security Reforms and Accountability Act (September 30, 2021), https://meijer.house.gov/media/press-releases/meijer-mcgovern-introduce-sweeping-legislation-reassert-congressional [https://perma.cc/97A5-9KQJ].
The core of many war power reform proposals is to add teeth to the requirement that Congress must authorize major uses of military force. To reformists, it is usually assumed not just that a congressional resolution delegating power to use force is constitutionally sufficient, but that it represents the gold standard of congressional war power primacy. Note, also, that a similar view is currently shared by some members of Congress who propose (much like Eisenhower in 1955) to authorize the President in advance to use force against China to protect Taiwan358See, e.g., Elaine Luria, Congress Must Untie Biden’s Hands on Taiwan, Wash. Post (Oct. 11, 2021, 4:39 PM), https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2021/10/11/elaine-luria-congress-biden-taiwan [https://perma.cc/UNE4-6QB6] (arguing for proposed Taiwan Invasion Prevention Act). In 1979, the Senate Foreign Relations Committee report accompanying the bill that became the Taiwan Relations Act expressed doubt, on nondelegation grounds, whether it would be constitutional for Congress to empower the President “prospectively to determine under what conditions the United States armed forces will be introduced into hostilities” to defend Taiwan. See S. Rep. No. 96-7, at 31-32 (1979).—a scenario that could entail large-scale war.

Such proposals may be normatively attractive, but if we take reformists’ appeal to originalism seriously, that commitment may prove more than reformists think. It is not clear that a forward-looking delegation of authority to use force would have satisfied constitutional requirements for how Congress exercised its exclusive war powers at the founding. Whereas today, requiring an express congressional force authorization for any major hostile use of armed force is generally seen as fully restorative of Congress’s powers as they were originally understood, our findings show that early understandings were uncertain—not uncertain in the way commonly discussed, as to whether Congress’s powers were exclusive, but uncertain as to how Congress was required to exercise those exclusive powers.

Our analysis suggests that those advocating a return to greater exclusive congressional war power should also grapple with whether there are any constitutional limits to its delegation. And in doing so, they would simultaneously have to consider how the strategic imperatives discussed in the previous section will continue often to push in favor of broad delegation.

CONCLUSION

This Article’s chief aim has been to describe the historical evolution of war power delegation from the founding era to the present. This account is interesting in itself, as it undercuts a common assumption that broad war-initiation delegations of the type used in modern practice are a longstanding feature of the constitutional landscape. To the contrary, the Article shows that from the Constitution’s earliest years until the mid-twentieth century, war-initiation delegations were rare and typically specific and conditioned on particular events. Broad delegations became more common only after World War II, first in the Cold War and then continuing to modern times in the conflicts with Iraq and the war on terrorism. The story of war-initiation delegations is a story of constitutional change.

The Article takes no firm position on the ultimate implications for modern war powers doctrine. That depends on one’s view of constitutional interpretation more generally—originalists, traditionalists and functionalists may, for example, draw different conclusions. At minimum, though, it is more difficult than often supposed to defend the modern approach to war initiation on grounds of longstanding historical practice. The historical record also spotlights an otherwise-obscured question about common calls to respect Congress’s original, exclusive war power: namely, whether originally there were constitutional limits to its delegation.

Our analysis also yields insights for broader debates about nondelegation. The Supreme Court has indicated that delegation may be categorically more appropriate in foreign affairs matters, and modern proponents of reviving the nondelegation doctrine have suggested that the revival might exempt delegation of foreign affairs powers. Especially for nondelegation revivalists who take originalism seriously, however, this Article cautions against categorical treatment of foreign affairs delegations, and even against categorical treatment of war-related delegations.

96 S. Cal. L. Rev. 741

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* Warren Distinguished Professor of Law, University of San Diego School of Law.

 Liviu Librescu Professor of Law, Columbia Law School. The authors thank Scott Anderson, Curtis Bradley, Harlan Cohen, Kristen Eichensehr, Jane Manners, Michael McConnell, and Kelsey Wiseman, as well as participants in the Duke-UVA Foreign Relations Law Workshop convened by Professors Bradley and Eichensehr, for their comments on earlier drafts. The authors thank Tanner Larkin, Christopher Malis, Austin Owen, Ruth Schapiro, Alec Towse, and Josh Tupler for outstanding research assistance, and they thank the Martin and Selma Rosen Research Fund for support.

The Illusory Moral Appeal of Living Constitutionalism

Two prominent theories of constitutional interpretation are originalism and living constitutionalism.1amuel Izzo is a graduate of the University of Southern California Gould School of Law, class of 2022, and served as an editor on the Southern California Law Review. He is currently an associate attorney for PARK LLP, a litigation firm based in Los Angeles. One common argument for living constitutionalism over originalism is that living constitutionalism better avoids morally unjustifiable results. This Note will demonstrate that this argument is flawed because living constitutionalism lacks a definitive enough prescriptive claim as to how to interpret the United States Constitution.

Proponents of originalism assert that courts should interpret constitutional provisions in accordance with the public meaning of those provisions at the time of their enactment.2Id. at 1251. Originalist proponent Randy Barnett distinguishes between “old originalism,” which was the idea that the Constitution should be interpreted in accordance with the “intentions of the framers,” and “new originalism,” which is “premised on determining the original public meaning of . . . the Constitution.” Randy E. Barnett, Welcome to the New Originalism: A Comment on Jack Balkin’s Living Originalism, 7 Jerusalem Rev. Legal Stud. 42, 43–45 (2013). For the purposes of this Note, I use “originalism” to mean “new originalism” (that is, public meaning originalism). One criticism of originalism is that if the Supreme Court were to faithfully apply the theory, such application leads morally unjustifiable outcomes.3Cass R. Sunstein, Second-Order Perfectionism, 75 Fordham L. Rev. 2867, 2880 (2007) (noting that a “central objection to originalism is that it would produce morally unacceptable outcomes”). This criticism has two components: (1) had the Supreme Court subscribed to originalism as its interpretive method in the past, then certain outcomes, such as the banning of racial segregation in public schools in Brown v. Board of Education,4Brown v. Bd. of Educ., 347 U.S. 483, 495 (1954) (finding statutes of several states requiring racial segregation in public schools to be a violation of the Fourteenth Amendment). would not have occurred;5See Ronald Turner, The Problematics of the Brown-is-Originalist Project, 23 J.L. & Pol’y 591, 593 (2015) (stating that “[t]he Brown Court did not employ originalism”); Michael W. McConnell, The Originalist Case for Brown v. Board of Education, 19 Harv. J.L. & Pub. Pol’y 457, 457 (1995) (noting that major constitutional and legal scholars such as “Alexander Bickel, Laurence Tribe, Richard Posner, Mark Tushnet, Raoul Berger, Ronald Dworkin, and Walter Burns” have concluded that Brown is inconsistent with “the original understanding of the Fourteenth Amendment”). Although McConnell concurs that many scholars find the result in Brown incompatible with originalism, he disagrees with such scholars and argues in his article that Brown can be justified under an originalist approach. Id. passim. and (2) if the Supreme Court employs originalism in the future, the Court might issue rulings contrary to contemporary moral sensibilities.6For example, the Court might let stand a state law prescribing flogging or lashing as a form of criminal punishment. See Craig S. Lerner, Justice Scalia’s Eighth Amendment Jurisprudence: The Failure of Sake-of-Argument Originalism, 42 Harv. J.L. Pub. Pol’y 91, 112–14 (2019). Moreover, some critics of originalism maintain that when confronted with this problem, proponents of originalism deny that its application would lead to those outcomes and stretch the theory’s meaning beyond its capacity for any meaningful constraint on interpretation,7See Turner, supra note 5, at 596 (arguing that originalism cannot be said to “meaningfully constrain interpreters who are and remain free to fashion and shape the methodology in ways that yield a Brown-is-originalist conclusion”). or, alternatively, they admit that they would find the morally objectionable practice unconstitutional, even if such holding would be inconsistent with the originalist method.8See id. at 627. Thus, the claim is that originalists are “faint-hearted;”9See id. at 626 (quoting Antonin Scalia, Originalism: The Lesser Evil, 57 U. Cin. L. Rev. 849, 864 (1989)). that is, they either tailor the definition of originalism to conform to morally required decisions or abandon originalism when it is too much to bear.10Michael C. Dorf, Equal Protection Incorporation, 88 Va. L. Rev. 951, 958 (2002) (stating that originalists “concoct implausible accounts of the Reconstruction Era understanding of segregation” to reconcile originalism with Brown). This, critics of originalism assert, indicates that originalism is not viable as a constitutional method and should be abandoned, some argue, in favor of living constitutionalism.11See David A. Strauss, Do We Have a Living Constitution?, 59 Drake L. Rev. 973, 978 (2011) [hereinafter Strauss, Do We Have a Living Constitution?].

This Note will demonstrate the flaws in the above argument. The argument is flawed, not because it can necessarily be proven that originalism leads to more morally justifiable results than living constitutionalism, but because living constitutionalism lacks a definitive prescriptive claim to make such a comparison between the two theories possible. That is, it is impossible to identify past or hypothetical future outcomes of cases as being consistent or inconsistent with living constitutionalism. Moreover, because it is possible to do so with originalism, and thus, posit how implementing originalism could lead to morally undesirable results, living constitutionalism has an illusory moral superiority over originalism.

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Respect for Marriage in U.S. Territories

The 2010s were a watershed decade for marriage equality in the United States. In 2013, the Supreme Court in United States v. Windsor struck down section 3 of the so-called Defense of Marriage Act (“DOMA”),1hancellor’s Professor of Law, University of California, Irvine School of Law. The author thanks Anthony Birong, Tony Reese, and Michael Vine for providing comments on earlier drafts. which denied federal recognition to valid state marriages between same-sex couples. The opinion left intact section 2 of DOMA, which “allow[ed] States to refuse to recognize same-sex marriages performed under the laws of other States.”2Id. at 752. Two years after Windsor, the Supreme Court in Obergefell v. Hodges invalidated all state laws against same-sex marriage.3Obergefell v. Hodges, 576 U.S. 644, 680–81 (2015). The opinion effectively invalidated section 2 of DOMA and went one step further: states had to not merely recognize out-of-state same-sex marriages but also had to perform same-sex marriages in state as well. Obergefell brought marriage equality to every state.4Id. But it did not bring marriage equality to every territory. Christopher R. Leslie, The America Without Marriage Equality: Fa’afafine, The Insular Cases, and Marriage Inequality in American Samoa, 122 Colum. L. Rev. 1769, 1771 (2022) [hereinafter Leslie, The America Without Marriage Equality] (noting how American Samoan officials disregarded Obergefell). See infra Part I.

Although Obergefell seemed to guarantee same-sex couples the constitutional right to marry, marriage equality became vulnerable in the summer of 2022. In addition to providing the critical fifth vote to reverse Roe v. Wade in Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization,5Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Org., 142 S. Ct. 2228 (2022). Justice Thomas wrote a concurrence calling for the complete repudiation of substantive due process.6Id. at 2301 (Thomas, J., concurring). Ominously, he wrote “in future cases, we should reconsider all of this Court’s substantive due process precedents, including . . . Obergefell.”7Id. Justice Thomas asserted that “[b]ecause any substantive due process decision is ‘demonstrably erroneous,’ we have a duty to ‘correct the error’ established in those precedents.” Id. (citation omitted). Justices Breyer, Sotomayor, and Kagan, in dissent, expressed concern that Dobbs would be used to eliminate substantive due process and to reverse Obergefell, see id. at 2331 (Breyer, Sotomayor & Kagan, JJ., dissenting), while the majority opinion’s author, Justice Alito, claimed that “[n]othing in this opinion should be understood to cast doubt on precedents that do not concern abortion,” and that the “rights regarding contraception and same-sex relationships are inherently different from the right to abortion,” id. at 2277–78, 2280 (majority opinion). His assurances, however, provide little solace given his prior dishonesty when adjudicating the constitutional rights of same-sex couples. See Christopher R. Leslie, Dissenting from History: The False Narratives of the Obergefell Dissents, 92 Ind. L.J. 1007, 1021 n.104 (2017) [hereinafter Leslie, Dissenting from History]. See generally Christopher R. Leslie, Justice Alito’s Dissent in Loving v. Virginia, 55 B.C. L. Rev. 1563 (2014) [hereinafter Leslie, Justice Alito’s Dissent in Loving] (criticizing Justice’s Alito’s arguments against marriage equality in Windsor).

Justice Thomas’s concurrence in Dobbs reinvigorated congressional efforts to pass the Respect for Marriage Act (“RFMA”), a statute that would require states to grant full faith and credit to out-of-state marriages regardless of race, gender, ethnicity, or national origin.8Kevin Breuninger, House Passes Same-Sex Marriage Protections in Response to Roe Ruling, with Murky Senate Path Ahead, CNBC (July 19, 2022, 8:07 PM), http://www.cnbc.com/2022/07/19/
house-votes-on-same-sex-marriage-bill-after-supreme-court-roe-ruling.html [http://perma.cc/P63C-NSS9].
The marriage equality movement succeeded when President Biden signed the RFMA into law in December 2022.9Domenico Montanaro, Biden Signs Respect for Marriage Act, Reflecting His and the Country’s Evolution, NPR (Dec. 13, 2022, 4:36 PM), http://www.npr.org/2022/12/13/1142331501/biden-to-sign-respect-for-marriage-act-reflecting-his-and-the-countrys-evolution %5Bhttp://perma.cc/VGG7-7NXT%5D. Despite the recent controversy of Thomas’s Dobbs concurrence, the RFMA was not new legislation; versions of the RFMA had been proposed in Congress for over a decade, before either the Windsor or Obergefell opinions were issued.10See S. 598 (112th): Respect for Marriage Act of 2011, GovTrack, http://www.govtrack
.us/congress/bills/112/s598 [http://perma.cc/F3AY-BEMW]; see also Nancy C. Marcus, Deeply Rooted Principles of Equal Liberty, Not “Argle Bargle”: The Inevitability of Marriage Equality After Windsor, 23 Tul. J.L. & Sexuality 17, 20–21 (2014) (“At the congressional level, the Respect for Marriage Act, repealing DOMA in its entirety, was reintroduced on June 26, 2013, with 161 Sponsors in the House of Representatives and 41 sponsors in the Senate.”).
The RFMA did not simply codify Obergefell, as the Act does not invalidate any state’s prohibition on licensing same-sex marriage within its own borders. Instead, the RFMA effectively repealed section 2 of DOMA and affirmatively requires states to recognize same-sex marriages legally performed in other states.11Respect for Marriage Act, Pub. L. No. 117–228, 136 Stat. 2305 (2022) (“No person acting under color of State law may deny . . . full faith and credit to any public act, record, or judicial proceeding of any other State pertaining to a marriage between 2 individuals, on the basis of the sex, race, ethnicity, or national origin of those individuals . . . .”). The RFMA is not limited to recognition of same-sex marriage. The statute also prohibits states from refusing to recognize interracial marriages performed in other states. The Supreme Court in Loving v. Virginia struck down anti-miscegenation laws. Loving, unlike Obergefell, is not currently under assault. Ironically, however, opponents of same-sex marriage consistently recycle the precise arguments used in the 1950s and 1960s against interracial marriage, yet they currently only attack the former. Leslie, Justice Alito’s Dissent in Loving, supra note 7, at 1569–1608. For example, while repeatedly attacking same-sex marriages, Justice Thomas never condemns interracial marriages, perhaps because he is in one.

Opponents of the RFMA argued that the legislation was unnecessary because Obergefell already protects marriage equality.12Julia Mueller, Baldwin Pushes Back on GOP Arguments Against Same-Sex Marriage Legislation, Hill (Sept. 12, 2022, 12:00 PM), http://www.thehill.com/homenews/senate/3638918-baldwin-pushes-back-on-gop-arguments-against-same-sex-marriage-legislation [http://perma.cc/R45J-U42C] (“Some Republicans have said the Respect for Marriage Act, which would make marriage a constitutional right regardless of a couple’s sex, race, ethnicity or national origin, is moot because the U.S. Supreme Court has already protected marriage equality.”). They seem unimpressed with Justice Thomas’s shot across the bow in Dobbs.13Brooke Migdon & Al Weaver, Florida Students Protest Sasse Appointment over LGBTQ Issues, Hill (Oct. 10, 2022, 4:10 PM), http://www.thehill.com/homenews/senate/3681727-florida-students-protest-sasse-appointment-over-lgbtq-issues [http://perma.cc/W2TJ-2QQ3] (“Momentum for the Respect for Marriage Act increased after Thomas issued his concurrent opinion, but [Senator Ben] Sasse told reporters in July that it was unnecessary, accusing Democrats of voting in favor of the bill to further divide Americans.”). For example, one month after Justice Thomas announced his intention to reconsider and perhaps reverse Obergefell, Senator Marco Rubio belittled the RFMA as a “stupid waste of time.”14Julia Mueller, Baldwin Says She Confronted Rubio After He Called Vote to Codify Same-Sex Marriage a ‘Stupid Waste of Time,’ Hill (July 22, 2022, 11:33 AM), http://www.thehill.com/homenews
/senate/3570443-baldwin-says-she-confronted-rubio-after-he-called-vote-to-codify-same-sex-marriage-a-stupid-waste-of-time [http://perma.cc/53MQ-RFDZ].
Iowa Senator Chuck Grassley voted against the RFMA, asserting that the “legislation is simply unnecessary. No one seriously thinks Obergefell is going to be overturned so we don’t need legislation.”15Valeree Dunn, Grassley Calls Respect for Marriage Act “Unnecessary,” and a “Threat to Religious Liberty,” (Nov. 16, 2022) (typeface convention added), http://www.msn.com/en-us/news
/politics/grassley-calls-respect-for-marriage-act-unnecessary-and-a-threat-to-religious-liberty/ar-AA14
cnfA [http://perma.cc/66KC-28KY].
He implied that RFMA supporters were seeking “to fabricate unnecessary discontent in our nation.”16Id.

The argument that the RFMA was unnecessary because marriage equality was already the law of the land failed to appreciate how constitutional law reaches the shores of U.S. territories. Even if Justice Thomas fails in his mission to overturn Obergefell, the RFMA is still essential now to bring the protections of Obergefell to all corners of the American empire. Before the RFMA, the U.S. territory of American Samoa refused to follow Obergefell and continued to restrict marriage licenses to opposite-sex couples.17Leslie, The America Without Marriage Equality, supra note 4, at 1771. Various states and localities have historically provided differing degrees of protection for LGBT+ rights. Christopher R. Leslie, The Geography of Equal Protection, 101 Minn. L. Rev. 1579, 1616–24 (2017) (noting that historically some states and cities are more protective of LGBT+ rights than others). American Samoa is unique, however, in singularly rejecting the holding of Obergefell.

While Obergefell instantly brought marriage equality to every state, the path toward marriage rights has been more complicated in U.S. territories: American Samoa, Guam, the Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands (“CNMI”), the U.S. Virgin Islands (“USVI”), and Puerto Rico.

Acquired primarily from colonial powers by purchase or as the spoils of war, U.S. territories hold a precarious position in our constitutional structure. Beginning in 1901, the Supreme Court issued a series of opinions known as the Insular Cases.18Kal Raustiala, Does the Constitution Follow the Flag? The Evolution of Territoriality in American Law 79–80 (2009). This line of authority prevented constitutional rights from automatically protecting territorial residents. Instead, the Court held that “the Constitution is applicable to territories acquired by purchase or conquest, only when and so far as Congress shall so direct.”19Downes v. Bidwell, 182 U.S. 244, 279 (1901). In the absence of congressional directive, the Insular rubric provides that federal courts can hold that a constitutional right applies to one or more territories when the court determines that the right is “fundamental” and that recognizing the right would not be “impracticable and anomalous” for that territory.20Leslie, The America Without Marriage Equality, supra note 4, at 1773; Fitisemanu v. United States, 1 F.4th 862, 878–79 (10th Cir. 2021). Under this test, for example, the district court in King v. Andrus21King v. Andrus, 452 F. Supp. 11 (D.D.C. 1977).struck down rules denying jury trials in criminal cases in American Samoa, finding that it would not be impractical and anomalous to require American Samoa to provide jury trials to criminal defendants, given the structure of the American Samoan judicial system.22See id. at 17.

Conversely, in rejecting calls to provide birthright citizenship to individuals born in American Samoa,23American Samoans did not have a right to birthright citizenship. Fitisemanu, 1 F.4th at 865. American Samoans are U.S. nationals, not U.S. citizens, and thus do not have the right to vote or run in federal or state elections outside American Samoa or the right to serve on federal and state juries. Id. The Court of Appeals for the D.C. Circuit in 2015 in Tuaua v. United States held that it would be “anomalous to impose citizenship over the objections of the American Samoan people themselves”24Tuaua v. United States, 788 F.3d 300, 310 (D.C. Cir. 2015). and federal judges should not “forcibly impose a compact of citizenship—with its concomitant rights, obligations, and implications for cultural identity.”25Id. at 311. In 2021, the Tenth Circuit in Fitisemanu v. United States followed suit and used the Insular framework to block birthright citizenship for American Samoans.26Fitisemanu, 1 F.4th at 864–65.

The Fitisemanu plaintiffs petitioned the Supreme Court for certiorari.27Fitisemanu v. United States, 143 S. Ct. 362 (2022). Some commentators saw the case as the perfect vehicle for challenging the Insular Cases.28James T. Campbell, Aurelius’s Article III Revisionism: Reimagining Judicial Engagement with the Insular Cases and “The Law of the Territories,” 131 Yale L.J. 2542, 2607 (2022) (noting “the efforts to market Fitisemanu as a vehicle for overturning the Insular Cases”). The hope was not far-fetched. Respected scholars advocate the reversal of the Insular Cases.29See, e.g., Christina Duffy Ponsa-Kraus, The Insular Cases Run Amok: Against Constitutional Exceptionalism in the Territories, 131 Yale L.J. 2449 (2022). Significantly, in his concurrence in United States v. Vaello Madero in April 2022,30United States v. Vaello-Madero, 142 S. Ct. 1539 (2022). Justice Gorsuch observed the following:

A century ago in the Insular Cases, this Court held that the federal government could rule Puerto Rico and other Territories largely without regard to the Constitution. It is past time to acknowledge the gravity of this error and admit what we know to be true: The Insular Cases have no foundation in the Constitution and rest instead on racial stereotypes. They deserve no place in our law.31Id. at 1552 (Gorsuch, J., concurring) (typeface convention added).

On October 17, 2022, however, the Supreme Court denied certiorari in Fitisemanu,32Fitisemanu, 143 S. Ct. at 362. thus leaving the Insular Cases intact. While not obvious at first glance, that decision has implications for marriage equality in U.S. territories.

This Article proceeds in three parts. Part I examines how the governments of the five U.S. territories responded to the Obergefell decision. Because of the Insular Cases, Obergefell did not necessarily automatically apply to the territories. Of the most concern, the territorial government of American Samoa has refused to recognize either Obergefell or marriage equality. Part II explains how the RFMA provides a partial solution to the problem created by the Insular Cases. It discusses the unappreciated significance of the RFMA for residents of U.S. territories. The RFMA brings a form of marriage equality to American Samoa for the first time. Less historic, but also important, the RFMA would ensure the continuation of marriage equality in those U.S. territories where the right to same-sex marriage is currently recognized but uniquely vulnerable because of the Insular Cases. Part III exposes some of the limitations of the RFMA. For example, the RFMA requires that states and territories provide full faith and credit to marriages legally performed in other states and territories; same-sex couples still cannot get legally married in American Samoa. They must leave home to get married, a burden not imposed on opposite-sex couples.

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Prosecutorial Authority and Abortion

In the wake of Dobbs, abortion is now unlawful in many states. States that prohibit abortion use their regulatory authority, civil justice systems, and criminal law to do so. Presumably, many of the activists and politicians who have been fighting to ban abortion will want to see that outlawing abortion is effective at reducing the incidence of abortion in fact. Once abortion is unlawful in a state, some pro-life partisans will also want those who perform or assist abortions to be criminally punished.

This Essay identifies a serious procedural obstacle to the use of the criminal law against abortion in a post-Dobbs world: exclusive local authority to bring criminal prosecutions. The obstacle is constitutional in a small number of states, but one of those states, Texas, is the most populous state where abortion is now illegal. In these states, only local, autonomous prosecutors (district attorneys and county attorneys) can pursue indictments or file informations to commence criminal cases. Prosecutorial localism is enshrined in the Texas Constitution.

Inside the borders of states that do not allow their attorneys general to initiate prosecutions, criminal law against abortion will be a dead letter in certain urban and suburban counties as pro-choice electorates pick prosecutors who will not bring abortion prosecutions. For politicians in states like Texas with well-entrenched Republican leadership at the statewide level, the pressure to act forcefully against abortion will be immense, but without changes to jurisdictional laws, Republican attorneys general will be unable to enforce abortion bans through criminal law. At the same time, the pressure on Democratic county and district attorneys not to enforce the abortion laws will be equally immense. The outcome may be highly contentious constitutional litigation to revisit old understandings about the allocation of authority between state and local elected officials, as well as efforts in state legislatures to amend statutes and constitutional provisions that mandate localism in criminal procedure.

This brief Essay adds to the growing literature on criminal procedure in a post-Dobbs world. Those prosecuted for performing or having abortions who have lost the Fourteenth Amendment’s shield for the procedure itself will still be protected by the Fourth, Fifth, and Sixth Amendments, as well as broader common law traditions and workaday rules of criminal trials in their states. For instance, Peter Salib and Guha Krishnamurthi have already pointed out the deterrent effect of jury nullification on abortion prosecutions.1h.D., The University of Texas at Austin, 2018; J.D., with highest honors, The University of Texas School of Law, 2013; A.B., Brown University, 2009.

       Visiting Assistant Professor, Chicago Kent College of Law, 2019–2021; Law Clerk to the Honorable Gregg Costa, United States Court of Appeals for the Fifth Circuit, 2016–2017; Law Clerk to the Honorable Michael Massengale, Texas Court of Appeals for the First District, 2013–2014.

       The author’s previous work on the criminal law has appeared in Houston Law Review, University of Richmond Law Review, and The Ohio State Journal of Criminal Law.

       Associate, Yetter Coleman LLP. The views expressed in this Essay are the author’s own and do not represent the views of his employer.

This Essay closes by recognizing that criminal prosecutions are not the only tool that pro-life leaders at the state level have to promulgate antiabortion policy. The fact that those involved with abortion in some “blue” counties in some “red” states will be safe from criminal prosecution will not restore the pre-Dobbs status quo. Rather, the likely result in these counties is a kind of gray market condition where unlicensed providers of medication abortions will be able to operate while licensed professionals and established clinics will be kept closed by the threat of regulatory fine, license revocation, and civil liability. And of course, this assumes that pro-life politicians and voters do not quickly amend state laws—even state constitutions—to permit attorneys general to prosecute abortion.

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